The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated North Texas page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

North Texas

Conference:		SB
Expected RPI:		158.7
Current RPI:		151
Expected SOS:		281
Current SOS:		260
Current Record:		13-8
Expected Record:		17-10
Current Conf Record:		8-5
Expected Conf Record:		11-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		13-4
Current OOC Record:		5-3
Expected OOC Record:		6-3
Expected OOC RPI:		92
Expected OOC SOS:		220

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
19-8	124.6	11.57%
18-9	144.2	29.20%
17-10	162.7	33.27%
16-11	180.0	19.10%
15-12	197.7	6.00%
14-13	216.2	0.81%
13-14	230.8	0.04%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for North Texas.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-18	Texas Arlington (264.4)	Slnd	A	101-99	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Oklahoma St. (47.3)	B12	A	68-82	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Jackson St. (242.9)	SWAC	H	68-58	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Boise St. (214.6)	WAC	A	73-79	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Rice (288.6)	CUSA	A	64-62	W	100%	0.0
12-7	Texas A&M (23.3)	B12	A	65-75	L	0%	0.0
12-13	Louisiana Monroe (269.9)	SB	H	79-62	W	100%	0.0
12-20	Florida International (287.9)	SB	H	70-80	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Southeastern Louisiana (205.1)	Slnd	H	71-61	W	100%	0.0
12-28	Texas Southern (204.5)	SWAC	H	71-69	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Arkansas Little Rock (267.3)	SB	A	83-78	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Arkansas St. (168.4)	SB	A	56-71	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Louisiana Lafayette (203.8)	SB	A	72-74	L	0%	0.0
1-9	New Orleans (324.9)	SB	H	71-57	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Troy (170.2)	SB	A	75-72	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Arkansas St. (168.4)	SB	H	70-83	L	0%	0.0
1-21	South Alabama (222.1)	SB	H	86-78	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Western Kentucky (159.3)	SB	A	84-83	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Middle Tennessee (189.8)	SB	A	64-69	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Florida Atlantic (201.6)	SB	H	86-69	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Florida International (287.9)	SB	A	68-66	W	100%	0.0
2-11	New Orleans (324.9)	SB	A	0-0		70%	5.8
2-13	Denver (148.1)	SB	H	0-0		63%	3.7
2-15	Houston Baptist (342.6)	GWC	A	0-0		84%	11.0
2-20	Arkansas Little Rock (267.3)	SB	H	0-0		80%	9.1
2-25	Louisiana Lafayette (203.8)	SB	H	0-0		62%	3.3
2-27	Louisiana Monroe (269.9)	SB	A	0-0		60%	2.7

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

North Texas's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

North Texas's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against North Texas.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
North Texas	SB	26.37	26.30	66.32	67.13	8.60	9.01
Florida International	SB	5.36	4.41	21.74	21.84	-3.03	-2.48
Arkansas St.	SB	5.24	4.50	52.63	53.66	0.28	0.33
Florida Atlantic	SB	3.14	2.72	47.62	49.32	-0.15	-0.04
South Alabama	SB	3.13	2.71	50.00	49.31	0.00	-0.04
Middle Tennessee	SB	3.13	2.72	50.00	53.32	0.00	0.18
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	3.08	4.54	25.00	29.84	-1.54	-1.83
New Orleans	SB	3.07	4.54	23.81	23.49	-1.61	-2.41
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	3.02	4.51	45.00	46.97	-0.30	-0.27
Troy	SB	3.00	2.68	50.00	52.38	0.00	0.13
Louisiana Monroe	SB	2.96	4.51	38.10	37.47	-0.71	-1.13
Western Kentucky	SB	2.96	2.69	56.52	57.87	0.39	0.42
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	2.55	1.99	52.94	57.66	0.15	0.30
Jackson St.	SWAC	2.51	1.96	52.38	51.30	0.12	0.05
Texas Southern	SWAC	2.50	1.95	47.37	56.23	-0.13	0.24
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.44	1.92	68.18	62.29	0.89	0.47
Rice	CUSA	2.43	1.92	33.33	31.42	-0.81	-0.71
Texas A&M	B12	2.43	1.91	71.43	65.66	1.04	0.60
Boise St.	WAC	2.38	1.88	42.86	44.08	-0.34	-0.22
Texas Arlington	Slnd	2.38	1.95	50.00	45.36	0.00	-0.18
Denver	SB	0.81	2.80	60.87	60.41	0.18	0.58
Lamar	Slnd	0.41	0.34	47.62	44.69	-0.02	-0.04
Tulsa	CUSA	0.36	0.26	77.27	70.95	0.20	0.11
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.35	2.12	22.73	24.35	-0.19	-1.09
Southern	SWAC	0.34	0.27	18.18	20.35	-0.22	-0.16
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.29	0.24	70.59	73.00	0.12	0.11
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.28	0.24	39.13	35.39	-0.06	-0.07
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.28	0.19	47.06	53.81	-0.02	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.28	0.23	69.57	70.01	0.11	0.09
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.27	0.23	0.00	4.36	-0.27	-0.21
Tulane	CUSA	0.27	0.23	31.82	29.57	-0.10	-0.09
Texas St.	Slnd	0.26	0.18	36.84	36.81	-0.07	-0.05
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.25	0.18	55.56	58.32	0.03	0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.24	0.17	68.42	67.05	0.09	0.06
Baylor	B12	0.23	0.19	76.19	72.74	0.12	0.09
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.23	0.20	21.74	24.91	-0.13	-0.10
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.22	0.27	55.56	55.84	0.02	0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.21	0.13	82.61	78.53	0.14	0.08
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.19	0.17	23.53	26.11	-0.10	-0.08
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.18	0.10	18.18	19.17	-0.11	-0.06
North Dakota	GWC	0.18	0.16	15.79	27.70	-0.12	-0.07
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.18	0.21	26.32	31.50	-0.08	-0.08
Nebraska	B12	0.17	0.13	56.52	50.48	0.02	0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.17	0.13	77.27	75.68	0.09	0.07
Mississippi	SEC	0.17	0.14	73.91	72.54	0.08	0.06
Missouri St.	MVC	0.17	0.14	66.67	64.66	0.06	0.04
Grambling	SWAC	0.17	0.20	27.78	26.81	-0.07	-0.09
Idaho	WAC	0.17	0.09	45.00	48.32	-0.02	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.17	0.19	36.36	47.14	-0.05	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.17	0.10	42.86	40.57	-0.02	-0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.17	0.14	66.67	65.51	0.06	0.04
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.16	0.20	79.17	73.38	0.10	0.09
Indiana St.	MVC	0.16	0.10	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.16	0.19	59.09	51.14	0.03	0.00
Texas	B12	0.16	0.16	79.17	77.01	0.09	0.09
Texas Tech	B12	0.16	0.13	68.18	59.32	0.06	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.14	0.09	86.96	85.51	0.11	0.07
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.12	0.07	8.70	9.55	-0.10	-0.06
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.12	0.07	69.57	68.49	0.05	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.13	33.33	39.81	-0.04	-0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.11	0.13	31.58	39.01	-0.04	-0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.11	0.09	63.64	58.35	0.03	0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.11	0.13	79.17	78.03	0.07	0.07
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.11	0.07	27.27	25.82	-0.05	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.11	0.07	5.00	8.59	-0.10	-0.06
Centenary	Sum	0.11	0.14	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.06
Houston	CUSA	0.11	0.13	47.62	50.86	-0.01	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.11	0.07	73.91	67.69	0.05	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.10	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	47.83	48.99	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.10	47.62	45.43	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.11	0.13	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.02
Louisville	BE	0.11	0.10	65.22	62.02	0.03	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.06	81.82	79.55	0.07	0.04
Missouri	B12	0.11	0.06	73.91	70.59	0.05	0.03
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.11	0.10	30.43	29.01	-0.04	-0.04
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.06	76.19	73.21	0.05	0.03
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.06	47.62	45.72	-0.00	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.06	65.22	64.72	0.03	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.10	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.04
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.10	0.06	29.17	28.88	-0.04	-0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	73.91	69.55	0.05	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.10	0.06	41.67	38.60	-0.02	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.10	0.06	41.67	42.67	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.06	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.10	0.06	4.76	9.60	-0.09	-0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.07	0.04	79.17	76.61	0.04	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.07	0.11	47.37	52.56	-0.00	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.07	0.10	36.84	39.04	-0.02	-0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.07	0.11	21.05	24.99	-0.04	-0.06
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.07	0.04	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.07	0.11	22.22	26.51	-0.04	-0.05
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.03	60.87	55.48	0.01	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	79.17	77.29	0.03	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.06	0.04	45.45	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.06	0.07	36.36	36.05	-0.02	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.06	0.10	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.06	0.04	17.39	20.02	-0.04	-0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.07	54.17	58.54	0.00	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.06	0.04	43.48	43.62	-0.01	-0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.07	62.50	65.37	0.01	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.74	-0.03	-0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.38	-0.02	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.07	44.00	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.50	-0.00	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.83	0.02	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.93	-0.03	-0.04
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.03	0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.79	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.40	-0.00	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.30	-0.02	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.91	0.02	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.71	0.02	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.03	63.64	64.63	0.01	0.01
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.06	68.18	70.36	0.02	0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.66	-0.00	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.07	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.07	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	38.10	39.63	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.05	0.03	28.57	31.10	-0.02	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.42	-0.02	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	48.13	0.00	-0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.09	0.02	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	48.93	-0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	73.91	76.68	0.03	0.03
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.03	16.00	21.66	-0.04	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.88	0.02	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	82.61	79.46	0.04	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.71	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.84	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	15.79	22.91	-0.04	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.03	37.50	38.43	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	24.00	26.47	-0.03	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.40	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.03	23.81	30.79	-0.03	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.11	0.02	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.53	0.04	0.02
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.05	-0.01	-0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.63	0.03	0.02
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.33	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.06	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.44	0.01	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.00	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.00	-0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.06	19.05	20.74	-0.00	-0.04
Colorado St.	MWC	0.00	0.03	59.09	52.86	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.00	0.03	32.00	31.25	-0.00	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.00	0.06	56.52	50.43	0.00	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.00	0.06	95.83	93.08	0.00	0.05
Michigan	B10	0.00	0.03	45.45	44.04	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.00	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.00	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.00	0.06	22.22	27.54	-0.00	-0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.00	0.03	91.30	88.20	0.00	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.00	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.00	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.06	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.00	0.06	12.00	18.83	-0.00	-0.04
UC Davis	BW	0.00	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.00	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.00	0.03	60.87	57.67	0.00	0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
North Texas	SB	26.37	26.30	66.32	67.13	8.60	9.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	3.08	4.54	25.00	29.84	-1.54	-1.83
New Orleans	SB	3.07	4.54	23.81	23.49	-1.61	-2.41
Louisiana Monroe	SB	2.96	4.51	38.10	37.47	-0.71	-1.13
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	3.02	4.51	45.00	46.97	-0.30	-0.27
Arkansas St.	SB	5.24	4.50	52.63	53.66	0.28	0.33
Florida International	SB	5.36	4.41	21.74	21.84	-3.03	-2.48
Denver	SB	0.81	2.80	60.87	60.41	0.18	0.58
Florida Atlantic	SB	3.14	2.72	47.62	49.32	-0.15	-0.04
Middle Tennessee	SB	3.13	2.72	50.00	53.32	0.00	0.18
South Alabama	SB	3.13	2.71	50.00	49.31	0.00	-0.04
Western Kentucky	SB	2.96	2.69	56.52	57.87	0.39	0.42
Troy	SB	3.00	2.68	50.00	52.38	0.00	0.13
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.35	2.12	22.73	24.35	-0.19	-1.09
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	2.55	1.99	52.94	57.66	0.15	0.30
Jackson St.	SWAC	2.51	1.96	52.38	51.30	0.12	0.05
Texas Southern	SWAC	2.50	1.95	47.37	56.23	-0.13	0.24
Texas Arlington	Slnd	2.38	1.95	50.00	45.36	0.00	-0.18
Rice	CUSA	2.43	1.92	33.33	31.42	-0.81	-0.71
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.44	1.92	68.18	62.29	0.89	0.47
Texas A&M	B12	2.43	1.91	71.43	65.66	1.04	0.60
Boise St.	WAC	2.38	1.88	42.86	44.08	-0.34	-0.22
Lamar	Slnd	0.41	0.34	47.62	44.69	-0.02	-0.04
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.22	0.27	55.56	55.84	0.02	0.03
Southern	SWAC	0.34	0.27	18.18	20.35	-0.22	-0.16
Tulsa	CUSA	0.36	0.26	77.27	70.95	0.20	0.11
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.29	0.24	70.59	73.00	0.12	0.11
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.28	0.24	39.13	35.39	-0.06	-0.07
Memphis	CUSA	0.28	0.23	69.57	70.01	0.11	0.09
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.27	0.23	0.00	4.36	-0.27	-0.21
Tulane	CUSA	0.27	0.23	31.82	29.57	-0.10	-0.09
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.18	0.21	26.32	31.50	-0.08	-0.08
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.16	0.20	79.17	73.38	0.10	0.09
Grambling	SWAC	0.17	0.20	27.78	26.81	-0.07	-0.09
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.23	0.20	21.74	24.91	-0.13	-0.10
Baylor	B12	0.23	0.19	76.19	72.74	0.12	0.09
Oklahoma	B12	0.16	0.19	59.09	51.14	0.03	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.17	0.19	36.36	47.14	-0.05	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.28	0.19	47.06	53.81	-0.02	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.26	0.18	36.84	36.81	-0.07	-0.05
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.25	0.18	55.56	58.32	0.03	0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.24	0.17	68.42	67.05	0.09	0.06
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.19	0.17	23.53	26.11	-0.10	-0.08
North Dakota	GWC	0.18	0.16	15.79	27.70	-0.12	-0.07
Texas	B12	0.16	0.16	79.17	77.01	0.09	0.09
Centenary	Sum	0.11	0.14	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.06
Mississippi	SEC	0.17	0.14	73.91	72.54	0.08	0.06
Missouri St.	MVC	0.17	0.14	66.67	64.66	0.06	0.04
Marshall	CUSA	0.17	0.14	66.67	65.51	0.06	0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.11	0.13	79.17	78.03	0.07	0.07
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.17	0.13	77.27	75.68	0.09	0.07
UAB	CUSA	0.21	0.13	82.61	78.53	0.14	0.08
Nebraska	B12	0.17	0.13	56.52	50.48	0.02	0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.13	33.33	39.81	-0.04	-0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.11	0.13	31.58	39.01	-0.04	-0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.11	0.13	47.62	50.86	-0.01	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.11	0.13	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.16	0.13	68.18	59.32	0.06	0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.07	0.11	21.05	24.99	-0.04	-0.06
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.07	0.11	22.22	26.51	-0.04	-0.05
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.07	0.11	47.37	52.56	-0.00	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.10	47.62	45.43	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.10	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.18	0.10	18.18	19.17	-0.11	-0.06
Creighton	MVC	0.06	0.10	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.07	0.10	36.84	39.04	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.16	0.10	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.11	0.10	65.22	62.02	0.03	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.17	0.10	42.86	40.57	-0.02	-0.02
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.11	0.10	30.43	29.01	-0.04	-0.04
Idaho	WAC	0.17	0.09	45.00	48.32	-0.02	-0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.11	0.09	63.64	58.35	0.03	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.14	0.09	86.96	85.51	0.11	0.07
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.12	0.07	8.70	9.55	-0.10	-0.06
Florida	SEC	0.11	0.07	73.91	67.69	0.05	0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.06	0.07	36.36	36.05	-0.02	-0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.07	44.00	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.07	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.07	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.07	54.17	58.54	0.00	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.11	0.07	27.27	25.82	-0.05	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.11	0.07	5.00	8.59	-0.10	-0.06
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.07	62.50	65.37	0.01	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.12	0.07	69.57	68.49	0.05	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.50	-0.00	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.93	-0.03	-0.04
Iowa St.	B12	0.00	0.06	56.52	50.43	0.00	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.00	0.06	95.83	93.08	0.00	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.06	81.82	79.55	0.07	0.04
Missouri	B12	0.11	0.06	73.91	70.59	0.05	0.03
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.06	68.18	70.36	0.02	0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.71	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.06	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.06	76.19	73.21	0.05	0.03
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.06	47.62	45.72	-0.00	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.06	19.05	20.74	-0.00	-0.04
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.06	65.22	64.72	0.03	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.10	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.04
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.10	0.06	29.17	28.88	-0.04	-0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	73.91	69.55	0.05	0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	47.83	48.99	-0.00	-0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.10	0.06	41.67	38.60	-0.02	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.10	0.06	41.67	42.67	-0.02	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.00	0.06	22.22	27.54	-0.00	-0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.06	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.10	0.06	4.76	9.60	-0.09	-0.05
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	48.13	0.00	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.06	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.00	0.06	12.00	18.83	-0.00	-0.04
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	73.91	76.68	0.03	0.03
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.07	0.04	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.07	0.04	79.17	76.61	0.04	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.06	0.04	45.45	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.06	0.04	17.39	20.02	-0.04	-0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.06	0.04	43.48	43.62	-0.01	-0.00
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.74	-0.03	-0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.38	-0.02	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.79	-0.00	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.30	-0.02	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.91	0.02	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.71	0.02	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.09	0.02	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.03	60.87	55.48	0.01	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.03	37.50	38.43	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	79.17	77.29	0.03	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.84	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.83	0.02	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.00	0.03	59.09	52.86	0.00	0.00
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.03	0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	24.00	26.47	-0.03	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.03	63.64	64.63	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.03	23.81	30.79	-0.03	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.00	0.03	91.30	88.20	0.00	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Portland	WCC	0.00	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.00	0.01
Samford	SC	0.05	0.03	28.57	31.10	-0.02	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.63	0.03	0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	48.93	-0.00	-0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.03	16.00	21.66	-0.04	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.88	0.02	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	82.61	79.46	0.04	0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.00	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.00	-0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	15.79	22.91	-0.04	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.00	0.03	32.00	31.25	-0.00	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.40	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.40	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.00	0.03	45.45	44.04	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.00	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.00	-0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.66	-0.00	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.11	0.02	0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	38.10	39.63	-0.01	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.53	0.04	0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.42	-0.02	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.05	-0.01	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.00	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.00	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.33	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.00	0.03	60.87	57.67	0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.44	0.01	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
North Texas	SB	26.37	26.30	66.32	67.13	8.60	9.01
Texas A&M	B12	2.43	1.91	71.43	65.66	1.04	0.60
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.44	1.92	68.18	62.29	0.89	0.47
Western Kentucky	SB	2.96	2.69	56.52	57.87	0.39	0.42
Arkansas St.	SB	5.24	4.50	52.63	53.66	0.28	0.33
Tulsa	CUSA	0.36	0.26	77.27	70.95	0.20	0.11
Denver	SB	0.81	2.80	60.87	60.41	0.18	0.58
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	2.55	1.99	52.94	57.66	0.15	0.30
UAB	CUSA	0.21	0.13	82.61	78.53	0.14	0.08
Baylor	B12	0.23	0.19	76.19	72.74	0.12	0.09
Jackson St.	SWAC	2.51	1.96	52.38	51.30	0.12	0.05
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.29	0.24	70.59	73.00	0.12	0.11
Memphis	CUSA	0.28	0.23	69.57	70.01	0.11	0.09
Murray St.	OVC	0.14	0.09	86.96	85.51	0.11	0.07
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.16	0.20	79.17	73.38	0.10	0.09
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.17	0.13	77.27	75.68	0.09	0.07
Texas	B12	0.16	0.16	79.17	77.01	0.09	0.09
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.24	0.17	68.42	67.05	0.09	0.06
Mississippi	SEC	0.17	0.14	73.91	72.54	0.08	0.06
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.06	81.82	79.55	0.07	0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.11	0.13	79.17	78.03	0.07	0.07
Texas Tech	B12	0.16	0.13	68.18	59.32	0.06	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.17	0.14	66.67	64.66	0.06	0.04
Marshall	CUSA	0.17	0.14	66.67	65.51	0.06	0.04
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.06	76.19	73.21	0.05	0.03
Florida	SEC	0.11	0.07	73.91	67.69	0.05	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.11	0.06	73.91	70.59	0.05	0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	73.91	69.55	0.05	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.12	0.07	69.57	68.49	0.05	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.07	0.04	79.17	76.61	0.04	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.53	0.04	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	82.61	79.46	0.04	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	79.17	77.29	0.03	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.63	0.03	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.11	0.10	65.22	62.02	0.03	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.11	0.09	63.64	58.35	0.03	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.16	0.19	59.09	51.14	0.03	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.06	65.22	64.72	0.03	0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.25	0.18	55.56	58.32	0.03	0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	73.91	76.68	0.03	0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.03	0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.22	0.27	55.56	55.84	0.02	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.91	0.02	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.17	0.13	56.52	50.48	0.02	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.16	0.10	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.83	0.02	0.01
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.88	0.02	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.71	0.02	0.01
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.06	68.18	70.36	0.02	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.11	0.02	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.09	0.02	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.03	63.64	64.63	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.07	62.50	65.37	0.01	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.10	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.03	60.87	55.48	0.01	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.06	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.84	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.07	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.44	0.01	0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.07	54.17	58.54	0.00	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.00
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.00	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.00	-0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.06	19.05	20.74	-0.00	-0.04
Colorado St.	MWC	0.00	0.03	59.09	52.86	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.06	0.10	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.00	0.03	32.00	31.25	-0.00	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.00	0.06	56.52	50.43	0.00	0.00