The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated North Texas page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 10, 2010.

North Texas

Conference:		SB
Expected RPI:		100.4
Current RPI:		99
Expected SOS:		270
Current SOS:		269
Current Record:		22-8
Expected Record:		22-8
Current Conf Record:		16-5
Expected Conf Record:		16-5
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		7-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		15-5
Current OOC Record:		6-3
Expected OOC Record:		6-3
Expected OOC RPI:		64
Expected OOC SOS:		166

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
22-8		100.4		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for North Texas.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-18	Texas Arlington (234.0)	Slnd	A	101-99	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Oklahoma St. (28.8)	B12	A	68-82	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Jackson St. (199.5)	SWAC	H	68-58	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Boise St. (204.0)	WAC	A	73-79	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Rice (311.0)	CUSA	A	64-62	W	100%	0.0
12-7	Texas A&M (12.9)	B12	A	65-75	L	0%	0.0
12-13	Louisiana Monroe (274.3)	SB	H	79-62	W	100%	0.0
12-20	Florida International (295.8)	SB	H	70-80	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Southeastern Louisiana (192.0)	Slnd	H	71-61	W	100%	0.0
12-28	Texas Southern (230.6)	SWAC	H	71-69	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Arkansas Little Rock (299.3)	SB	A	83-78	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Arkansas St. (203.1)	SB	A	56-71	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Louisiana Lafayette (245.3)	SB	A	72-74	L	0%	0.0
1-9	New Orleans (324.8)	SB	H	71-57	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Troy (108.5)	SB	A	75-72	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Arkansas St. (203.1)	SB	H	70-83	L	0%	0.0
1-21	South Alabama (209.9)	SB	H	86-78	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Western Kentucky (133.2)	SB	A	84-83	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Middle Tennessee (180.3)	SB	A	64-69	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Florida Atlantic (217.2)	SB	H	86-69	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Florida International (295.8)	SB	A	68-66	W	100%	0.0
2-11	New Orleans (324.8)	SB	A	68-46	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Denver (164.5)	SB	H	64-59	W	100%	0.0
2-15	Houston Baptist (330.4)	GWC	A	107-87	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Arkansas Little Rock (299.3)	SB	H	83-65	W	100%	0.0
2-25	Louisiana Lafayette (245.3)	SB	H	65-57	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Louisiana Monroe (274.3)	SB	A	74-71	W	100%	0.0
3-7	Louisiana Monroe (274.3)	SB	N	69-66	W	100%	0.0
3-8	Denver (164.5)	SB	N	63-56	W	100%	0.0
3-9	Troy (108.5)	SB	N	66-63	W	100%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

North Texas's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

North Texas's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against North Texas.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
North Texas	SB	26.43	26.42	77.14	77.14	14.35	14.34
Louisiana Monroe	SB	5.86	5.86	38.46	38.46	-1.35	-1.35
Denver	SB	4.31	4.31	63.33	63.33	1.15	1.15
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	4.24	4.24	23.08	23.08	-2.28	-2.28
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	4.24	4.24	42.31	42.31	-0.65	-0.65
Arkansas St.	SB	4.21	4.21	48.15	48.15	-0.16	-0.16
New Orleans	SB	4.20	4.20	23.08	23.08	-2.26	-2.26
Troy	SB	4.17	4.17	62.96	62.96	1.08	1.08
Florida International	SB	4.09	4.09	17.24	17.24	-2.68	-2.68
Western Kentucky	SB	2.67	2.67	63.64	63.64	0.73	0.73
South Alabama	SB	2.62	2.62	51.72	51.72	0.09	0.09
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.57	2.57	55.17	55.17	0.27	0.27
Florida Atlantic	SB	2.54	2.54	44.44	44.44	-0.28	-0.28
Houston Baptist	GWC	1.90	1.90	36.67	37.37	-0.51	-0.48
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	1.79	1.78	60.00	58.62	0.36	0.31
Jackson St.	SWAC	1.76	1.76	62.07	62.07	0.42	0.42
Texas Southern	SWAC	1.75	1.75	48.15	48.76	-0.06	-0.04
Texas Arlington	Slnd	1.75	1.75	48.00	48.00	-0.07	-0.07
Oklahoma St.	B12	1.72	1.72	70.00	68.62	0.69	0.64
Rice	CUSA	1.72	1.72	24.14	24.14	-0.89	-0.89
Texas A&M	B12	1.72	1.72	71.43	71.76	0.74	0.75
Boise St.	WAC	1.69	1.69	44.83	43.62	-0.18	-0.22
Lamar	Slnd	0.32	0.32	35.71	35.71	-0.09	-0.09
Tulsa	CUSA	0.25	0.25	67.74	67.07	0.09	0.09
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.23	0.23	55.56	54.66	0.03	0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.23	0.23	17.24	17.24	-0.15	-0.15
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.23	0.23	36.67	35.65	-0.06	-0.07
Grambling	SWAC	0.23	0.23	23.08	23.08	-0.12	-0.12
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.23	0.23	6.45	6.45	-0.20	-0.20
Oklahoma	B12	0.22	0.22	41.94	41.94	-0.04	-0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.21	0.24	73.08	73.18	0.10	0.11
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.20	0.20	70.97	70.89	0.08	0.08
Memphis	CUSA	0.20	0.20	74.19	74.20	0.10	0.10
Tulane	CUSA	0.20	0.20	26.67	26.67	-0.09	-0.09
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.19	0.19	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.19	0.19	40.74	40.74	-0.03	-0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.18	0.18	70.37	69.63	0.07	0.07
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.18	0.18	25.93	25.93	-0.09	-0.09
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.17	0.17	25.81	25.81	-0.08	-0.08
Baylor	B12	0.17	0.17	79.31	78.09	0.10	0.09
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.17	0.20	48.00	47.49	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.17	0.17	71.43	70.82	0.07	0.07
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.17	0.17	76.67	76.67	0.09	0.09
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.15	0.15	59.26	59.26	0.03	0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.15	0.15	28.00	28.00	-0.07	-0.06
Centenary	Sum	0.15	0.15	22.22	22.22	-0.08	-0.08
North Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.14	21.43	21.43	-0.08	-0.08
UAB	CUSA	0.14	0.14	76.67	76.44	0.08	0.07
Texas	B12	0.14	0.14	75.00	74.46	0.07	0.07
Houston	CUSA	0.14	0.14	50.00	49.21	0.00	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.12	0.12	70.00	70.00	0.05	0.05
Missouri St.	MVC	0.12	0.12	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.12	0.14	46.88	46.03	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.12	0.11	36.36	36.04	-0.03	-0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.12	0.11	46.15	47.08	-0.01	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.12	0.11	82.76	83.00	0.08	0.08
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.43	0.01	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.11	0.11	54.84	53.26	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.11	0.11	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.10	0.09	23.08	23.08	-0.05	-0.05
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.10	0.09	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.10	0.09	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.09	0.09	44.83	45.22	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.09	0.09	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Creighton	MVC	0.09	0.09	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.09	0.08	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Colorado	B12	0.09	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.09	0.08	46.43	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.09	0.08	62.07	61.92	0.02	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.09	64.52	64.85	0.02	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Indiana St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.04
Montana	BSky	0.08	0.08	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Wyoming	MWC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Seattle	ind	0.08	0.08	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.08	0.08	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.05	-0.05
Cal Poly	BW	0.06	0.06	40.00	39.40	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.06	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	54.84	53.76	0.01	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.06	0.06	46.67	45.96	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.06	0.06	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.06	0.06	7.41	7.41	-0.05	-0.05
Valparaiso	Horz	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.05	93.55	93.61	0.05	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.06	0.08	79.31	79.09	0.03	0.05
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.06	46.67	45.48	-0.00	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Fresno St.	WAC	0.06	0.05	45.16	44.74	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.06	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.06	0.05	62.07	62.74	0.01	0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.06	0.05	44.83	44.75	-0.01	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.06	0.08	80.00	80.37	0.03	0.05
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.05	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.08	25.93	26.48	-0.03	-0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.10	0.00	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.05	12.00	12.73	-0.04	-0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	64.00	64.72	0.02	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	18.75	18.71	-0.03	-0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	75.86	75.86	0.03	0.03
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	51.72	50.46	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	32.14	32.14	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
Albany	AE	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
American	Pat	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	56.25	55.05	0.00	0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	75.86	75.86	0.02	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.05	0.01	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.05	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.31	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.65	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.03	0.03	90.32	90.55	0.02	0.02
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Washington	P10	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.58	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.10	0.02	0.02
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.68	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.11	-0.00	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	58.06	56.85	0.00	0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.23	0.00	0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	76.67	77.26	0.01	0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.03	0.03	37.93	36.74	-0.01	-0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.31	-0.01	-0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.03	0.03	16.13	16.13	-0.02	-0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.03	0.03	44.83	46.01	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	73.33	72.97	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.03	0.03	43.33	42.53	-0.00	-0.00
Utah	MWC	0.03	0.03	46.67	45.46	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.02	0.02	50.00	49.79	0.00	-0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.02	0.02	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
North Texas	SB	26.43	26.42	77.14	77.14	14.35	14.34
Louisiana Monroe	SB	5.86	5.86	38.46	38.46	-1.35	-1.35
Denver	SB	4.31	4.31	63.33	63.33	1.15	1.15
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	4.24	4.24	23.08	23.08	-2.28	-2.28
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	4.24	4.24	42.31	42.31	-0.65	-0.65
Arkansas St.	SB	4.21	4.21	48.15	48.15	-0.16	-0.16
New Orleans	SB	4.20	4.20	23.08	23.08	-2.26	-2.26
Troy	SB	4.17	4.17	62.96	62.96	1.08	1.08
Florida International	SB	4.09	4.09	17.24	17.24	-2.68	-2.68
Western Kentucky	SB	2.67	2.67	63.64	63.64	0.73	0.73
South Alabama	SB	2.62	2.62	51.72	51.72	0.09	0.09
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.57	2.57	55.17	55.17	0.27	0.27
Florida Atlantic	SB	2.54	2.54	44.44	44.44	-0.28	-0.28
Houston Baptist	GWC	1.90	1.90	36.67	37.37	-0.51	-0.48
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	1.79	1.78	60.00	58.62	0.36	0.31
Jackson St.	SWAC	1.76	1.76	62.07	62.07	0.42	0.42
Texas Southern	SWAC	1.75	1.75	48.15	48.76	-0.06	-0.04
Texas Arlington	Slnd	1.75	1.75	48.00	48.00	-0.07	-0.07
Oklahoma St.	B12	1.72	1.72	70.00	68.62	0.69	0.64
Rice	CUSA	1.72	1.72	24.14	24.14	-0.89	-0.89
Texas A&M	B12	1.72	1.72	71.43	71.76	0.74	0.75
Boise St.	WAC	1.69	1.69	44.83	43.62	-0.18	-0.22
Lamar	Slnd	0.32	0.32	35.71	35.71	-0.09	-0.09
Tulsa	CUSA	0.25	0.25	67.74	67.07	0.09	0.09
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.21	0.24	73.08	73.18	0.10	0.11
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.23	0.23	55.56	54.66	0.03	0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.23	0.23	17.24	17.24	-0.15	-0.15
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.23	0.23	36.67	35.65	-0.06	-0.07
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.23	0.23	6.45	6.45	-0.20	-0.20
Grambling	SWAC	0.23	0.23	23.08	23.08	-0.12	-0.12
Oklahoma	B12	0.22	0.22	41.94	41.94	-0.04	-0.04
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.20	0.20	70.97	70.89	0.08	0.08
Tulane	CUSA	0.20	0.20	26.67	26.67	-0.09	-0.09
Memphis	CUSA	0.20	0.20	74.19	74.20	0.10	0.10
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.17	0.20	48.00	47.49	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.19	0.19	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.19	0.19	40.74	40.74	-0.03	-0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.18	0.18	70.37	69.63	0.07	0.07
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.18	0.18	25.93	25.93	-0.09	-0.09
Marshall	CUSA	0.17	0.17	71.43	70.82	0.07	0.07
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.17	0.17	25.81	25.81	-0.08	-0.08
Baylor	B12	0.17	0.17	79.31	78.09	0.10	0.09
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.17	0.17	76.67	76.67	0.09	0.09
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.15	0.15	59.26	59.26	0.03	0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.15	0.15	28.00	28.00	-0.07	-0.06
Centenary	Sum	0.15	0.15	22.22	22.22	-0.08	-0.08
UAB	CUSA	0.14	0.14	76.67	76.44	0.08	0.07
Nebraska	B12	0.12	0.14	46.88	46.03	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.14	21.43	21.43	-0.08	-0.08
Houston	CUSA	0.14	0.14	50.00	49.21	0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.14	0.14	75.00	74.46	0.07	0.07
Mississippi	SEC	0.12	0.12	70.00	70.00	0.05	0.05
Missouri St.	MVC	0.12	0.12	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.43	0.01	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.12	0.11	82.76	83.00	0.08	0.08
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.12	0.11	36.36	36.04	-0.03	-0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.12	0.11	46.15	47.08	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.11	0.11	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.11	0.11	54.84	53.26	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.10	0.09	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.10	0.09	23.08	23.08	-0.05	-0.05
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.10	0.09	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
Georgia	SEC	0.09	0.09	44.83	45.22	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.09	0.09	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.09	0.09	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.09	64.52	64.85	0.02	0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.09	0.08	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Louisville	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.09	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.09	0.08	46.43	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.09	0.08	62.07	61.92	0.02	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Utah St.	WAC	0.06	0.08	80.00	80.37	0.03	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.06	0.08	79.31	79.09	0.03	0.05
Montana	BSky	0.08	0.08	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Wyoming	MWC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Chicago St.	GWC	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.04
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.08	25.93	26.48	-0.03	-0.04
Seattle	ind	0.08	0.08	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.08	0.08	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.05	-0.05
Cal Poly	BW	0.06	0.06	40.00	39.40	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.06	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	54.84	53.76	0.01	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.06	0.06	46.67	45.96	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.06	0.06	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.06	0.06	7.41	7.41	-0.05	-0.05
Valparaiso	Horz	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.06	46.67	45.48	-0.00	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.05	93.55	93.61	0.05	0.05
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.05	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Fresno St.	WAC	0.06	0.05	45.16	44.74	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.06	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.06	0.05	62.07	62.74	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.10	0.00	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.05	12.00	12.73	-0.04	-0.04
San Jose St.	WAC	0.06	0.05	44.83	44.75	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	75.86	75.86	0.03	0.03
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	51.72	50.46	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	64.00	64.72	0.02	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	18.75	18.71	-0.03	-0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	32.14	32.14	-0.01	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
American	Pat	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	75.86	75.86	0.02	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.05	0.01	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	56.25	55.05	0.00	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.05	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.68	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.11	-0.00	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.31	0.01	0.01
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.65	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.03	0.03	90.32	90.55	0.02	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.23	0.00	0.00
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	76.67	77.26	0.01	0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.03	0.03	37.93	36.74	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.03	0.03	16.13	16.13	-0.02	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.58	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.10	0.02	0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	58.06	56.85	0.00	0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.31	-0.01	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.03	0.03	44.83	46.01	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	73.33	72.97	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.03	0.03	43.33	42.53	-0.00	-0.00
Utah	MWC	0.03	0.03	46.67	45.46	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.02	0.02	50.00	49.79	0.00	-0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.02	0.02	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
North Texas	SB	26.43	26.42	77.14	77.14	14.35	14.34
Denver	SB	4.31	4.31	63.33	63.33	1.15	1.15
Troy	SB	4.17	4.17	62.96	62.96	1.08	1.08
Texas A&M	B12	1.72	1.72	71.43	71.76	0.74	0.75
Western Kentucky	SB	2.67	2.67	63.64	63.64	0.73	0.73
Oklahoma St.	B12	1.72	1.72	70.00	68.62	0.69	0.64
Jackson St.	SWAC	1.76	1.76	62.07	62.07	0.42	0.42
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	1.79	1.78	60.00	58.62	0.36	0.31
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.57	2.57	55.17	55.17	0.27	0.27
Baylor	B12	0.17	0.17	79.31	78.09	0.10	0.09
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.21	0.24	73.08	73.18	0.10	0.11
Memphis	CUSA	0.20	0.20	74.19	74.20	0.10	0.10
South Alabama	SB	2.62	2.62	51.72	51.72	0.09	0.09
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.17	0.17	76.67	76.67	0.09	0.09
Tulsa	CUSA	0.25	0.25	67.74	67.07	0.09	0.09
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.20	0.20	70.97	70.89	0.08	0.08
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.12	0.11	82.76	83.00	0.08	0.08
UAB	CUSA	0.14	0.14	76.67	76.44	0.08	0.07
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.18	0.18	70.37	69.63	0.07	0.07
Marshall	CUSA	0.17	0.17	71.43	70.82	0.07	0.07
Texas	B12	0.14	0.14	75.00	74.46	0.07	0.07
Murray St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.05	93.55	93.61	0.05	0.05
Mississippi	SEC	0.12	0.12	70.00	70.00	0.05	0.05
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Utah St.	WAC	0.06	0.08	80.00	80.37	0.03	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.06	0.08	79.31	79.09	0.03	0.05
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Montana	BSky	0.08	0.08	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.12	0.12	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.15	0.15	59.26	59.26	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	75.86	75.86	0.03	0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.23	0.23	55.56	54.66	0.03	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.09	64.52	64.85	0.02	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.03	0.03	90.32	90.55	0.02	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.09	0.08	62.07	61.92	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.10	0.02	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	75.86	75.86	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	64.00	64.72	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	76.67	77.26	0.01	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.06	0.05	62.07	62.74	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	73.33	72.97	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.05	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.31	0.01	0.01
Washington	P10	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.58	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.11	0.11	54.84	53.26	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Pacific	BW	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.08	0.08	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.43	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	54.84	53.76	0.01	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.65	0.01	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.05	0.01	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	58.06	56.85	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	56.25	55.05	0.00	0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.02	0.02	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.09	0.09	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.23	0.00	0.00
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.68	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	51.72	50.46	0.00	0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.10	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00