The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Western Carolina page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Western Carolina

Conference:		SC
Expected RPI:		123.0
Current RPI:		123
Expected SOS:		216
Current SOS:		216
Current Record:		19-11
Expected Record:		19-11
Current Conf Record:		12-8
Expected Conf Record:		12-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		12-3
Current OOC Record:		7-3
Expected OOC Record:		7-3
Expected OOC RPI:		38
Expected OOC SOS:		53

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
19-11		123.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Western Carolina.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-18	Texas (29.0)	B12	A	41-73	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Binghamton (229.0)	AE	H	73-44	W	100%	0.0
11-25	Duquesne (111.0)	A10	H	83-77	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Gardner Webb (318.0)	BSth	A	75-59	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Wofford (69.0)	SC	H	72-67	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Furman (278.0)	SC	A	64-57	W	100%	0.0
12-7	Bradley (105.0)	MVC	A	75-67	W	100%	0.0
12-10	Campbell (183.0)	ASun	H	66-59	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Louisville (37.0)	BE	A	91-83	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Clemson (34.0)	ACC	A	57-79	L	0%	0.0
12-30	NC Asheville (217.0)	BSth	H	87-76	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Georgia Southern (288.0)	SC	A	76-81	L	0%	0.0
1-14	NC Greensboro (249.0)	SC	H	79-69	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Elon (269.0)	SC	H	83-81	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Davidson (181.0)	SC	A	77-67	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Appalachian St. (101.0)	SC	A	74-87	L	0%	0.0
1-25	College of Charleston (91.0)	SC	H	100-90	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Chattanooga (238.0)	SC	A	67-80	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Samford (262.0)	SC	A	62-50	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Georgia Southern (288.0)	SC	H	83-68	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Appalachian St. (101.0)	SC	H	77-89	L	0%	0.0
2-8	Elon (269.0)	SC	A	76-81	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Davidson (181.0)	SC	H	72-75	L	0%	0.0
2-15	NC Greensboro (249.0)	SC	A	75-70	W	100%	0.0
2-18	The Citadel (198.0)	SC	A	56-73	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Kent St. (47.0)	MAC	A	72-74	L	0%	0.0
2-25	Samford (262.0)	SC	H	61-44	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Chattanooga (238.0)	SC	H	78-70	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Elon (269.0)	SC	N	68-57	W	100%	0.0
3-7	Wofford (69.0)	SC	N	58-77	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Western Carolina's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Western Carolina's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Western Carolina.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Western Carolina	SC	26.37	26.37	66.92	66.92	8.93	8.93
Elon	SC	5.86	5.86	25.00	25.00	-2.93	-2.93
Wofford	SC	4.35	4.35	77.42	77.42	2.39	2.39
Appalachian St.	SC	4.35	4.35	62.07	62.07	1.05	1.05
NC Greensboro	SC	4.26	4.26	27.59	27.59	-1.91	-1.91
Chattanooga	SC	4.21	4.21	41.38	41.38	-0.73	-0.73
Samford	SC	4.17	4.17	30.77	30.77	-1.60	-1.60
Davidson	SC	4.15	4.15	48.15	48.15	-0.15	-0.15
Georgia Southern	SC	4.13	4.13	21.43	21.43	-2.36	-2.36
College of Charleston	SC	2.66	2.66	67.74	67.74	0.94	0.94
Furman	SC	2.65	2.65	40.74	40.74	-0.49	-0.49
The Citadel	SC	2.63	2.63	44.83	44.83	-0.27	-0.27
NC Asheville	BSth	1.84	1.84	44.44	44.44	-0.20	-0.20
Gardner Webb	BSth	1.83	1.83	20.00	20.00	-1.10	-1.10
Kent St.	MAC	1.78	1.78	70.00	70.00	0.71	0.71
Clemson	ACC	1.78	1.78	66.67	66.67	0.59	0.59
Campbell	ASun	1.75	1.75	62.96	62.96	0.45	0.45
Louisville	BE	1.72	1.72	64.52	64.52	0.50	0.50
Bradley	MVC	1.72	1.72	53.33	53.33	0.11	0.11
Texas	B12	1.70	1.70	71.88	71.88	0.74	0.74
Duquesne	A10	1.70	1.70	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Binghamton	AE	1.69	1.69	39.29	39.29	-0.36	-0.36
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.37	0.37	80.00	80.00	0.22	0.22
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.25	0.25	57.58	57.58	0.04	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.24	0.24	55.88	55.88	0.03	0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.23	0.23	56.67	56.67	0.03	0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.21	0.21	13.33	13.33	-0.15	-0.15
Charlotte	A10	0.20	0.20	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.19	0.19	75.00	75.00	0.09	0.09
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.18	0.18	34.62	34.62	-0.05	-0.05
Radford	BSth	0.18	0.18	58.62	58.62	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.16	0.16	70.97	70.97	0.07	0.07
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.16	0.16	29.03	29.03	-0.07	-0.07
South Carolina	SEC	0.16	0.16	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.16	0.16	58.82	58.82	0.03	0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.16	0.16	65.52	65.52	0.05	0.05
High Point	BSth	0.15	0.15	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.15	0.15	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.14	0.14	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.14	85.29	85.29	0.10	0.10
Hofstra	CAA	0.14	0.14	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.14	0.14	76.47	76.47	0.07	0.07
Navy	Pat	0.13	0.13	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.12	0.12	24.00	24.00	-0.06	-0.06
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.11	0.11	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.11	0.11	20.69	20.69	-0.07	-0.07
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.11	0.11	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.11	0.11	25.00	25.00	-0.06	-0.06
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.11	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Evansville	MVC	0.11	0.11	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.11	0.11	32.14	32.14	-0.04	-0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.11	0.11	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Akron	MAC	0.11	0.11	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.11	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.11	0.11	73.33	73.33	0.05	0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.11	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.10	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.09	0.09	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.09	0.09	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Massachusetts	A10	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.09	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
Butler	Horz	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Longwood	ind	0.08	0.08	29.63	29.63	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.08	0.08	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Missouri St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Yale	Ivy	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Missouri	B12	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.08	0.08	18.18	18.18	-0.05	-0.05
Iowa St.	B12	0.08	0.08	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Alabama	SEC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Mercer	ASun	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.06	0.06	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Boston University	AE	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.06	0.06	86.21	86.21	0.04	0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.06	0.06	80.65	80.65	0.04	0.04
Hartford	AE	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Maine	AE	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.06	0.06	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
New Hampshire	AE	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Stony Brook	AE	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.00	0.02	0.02
Vermont	AE	0.06	0.06	73.53	73.53	0.03	0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.06	0.06	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.06	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.06	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Troy	SB	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.05	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.05	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	17.24	17.24	-0.03	-0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.03	0.03	67.86	67.86	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.03	-0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.03	0.03	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.03	0.03	7.14	7.14	-0.02	-0.02
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.03	0.03	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.03	0.03	84.85	84.85	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Providence	BE	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.00	-0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Western Carolina	SC	26.37	26.37	66.92	66.92	8.93	8.93
Elon	SC	5.86	5.86	25.00	25.00	-2.93	-2.93
Wofford	SC	4.35	4.35	77.42	77.42	2.39	2.39
Appalachian St.	SC	4.35	4.35	62.07	62.07	1.05	1.05
NC Greensboro	SC	4.26	4.26	27.59	27.59	-1.91	-1.91
Chattanooga	SC	4.21	4.21	41.38	41.38	-0.73	-0.73
Samford	SC	4.17	4.17	30.77	30.77	-1.60	-1.60
Davidson	SC	4.15	4.15	48.15	48.15	-0.15	-0.15
Georgia Southern	SC	4.13	4.13	21.43	21.43	-2.36	-2.36
College of Charleston	SC	2.66	2.66	67.74	67.74	0.94	0.94
Furman	SC	2.65	2.65	40.74	40.74	-0.49	-0.49
The Citadel	SC	2.63	2.63	44.83	44.83	-0.27	-0.27
NC Asheville	BSth	1.84	1.84	44.44	44.44	-0.20	-0.20
Gardner Webb	BSth	1.83	1.83	20.00	20.00	-1.10	-1.10
Kent St.	MAC	1.78	1.78	70.00	70.00	0.71	0.71
Clemson	ACC	1.78	1.78	66.67	66.67	0.59	0.59
Campbell	ASun	1.75	1.75	62.96	62.96	0.45	0.45
Louisville	BE	1.72	1.72	64.52	64.52	0.50	0.50
Bradley	MVC	1.72	1.72	53.33	53.33	0.11	0.11
Texas	B12	1.70	1.70	71.88	71.88	0.74	0.74
Duquesne	A10	1.70	1.70	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Binghamton	AE	1.69	1.69	39.29	39.29	-0.36	-0.36
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.37	0.37	80.00	80.00	0.22	0.22
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.25	0.25	57.58	57.58	0.04	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.24	0.24	55.88	55.88	0.03	0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.23	0.23	56.67	56.67	0.03	0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.21	0.21	13.33	13.33	-0.15	-0.15
Charlotte	A10	0.20	0.20	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.19	0.19	75.00	75.00	0.09	0.09
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.18	0.18	34.62	34.62	-0.05	-0.05
Radford	BSth	0.18	0.18	58.62	58.62	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.16	0.16	70.97	70.97	0.07	0.07
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.16	0.16	29.03	29.03	-0.07	-0.07
South Carolina	SEC	0.16	0.16	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.16	0.16	58.82	58.82	0.03	0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.16	0.16	65.52	65.52	0.05	0.05
High Point	BSth	0.15	0.15	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.15	0.15	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.14	0.14	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.14	85.29	85.29	0.10	0.10
Hofstra	CAA	0.14	0.14	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.14	0.14	76.47	76.47	0.07	0.07
Navy	Pat	0.13	0.13	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.12	0.12	24.00	24.00	-0.06	-0.06
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.11	0.11	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.11	0.11	20.69	20.69	-0.07	-0.07
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.11	0.11	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.11	0.11	25.00	25.00	-0.06	-0.06
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.11	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Evansville	MVC	0.11	0.11	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.11	0.11	32.14	32.14	-0.04	-0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.11	0.11	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Akron	MAC	0.11	0.11	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.11	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.11	0.11	73.33	73.33	0.05	0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.11	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.10	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.09	0.09	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.09	0.09	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Massachusetts	A10	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.09	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
Butler	Horz	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Longwood	ind	0.08	0.08	29.63	29.63	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.08	0.08	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Missouri St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Yale	Ivy	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Missouri	B12	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.08	0.08	18.18	18.18	-0.05	-0.05
Iowa St.	B12	0.08	0.08	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Alabama	SEC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Mercer	ASun	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.06	0.06	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Boston University	AE	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.06	0.06	86.21	86.21	0.04	0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.06	0.06	80.65	80.65	0.04	0.04
Hartford	AE	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Maine	AE	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.06	0.06	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
New Hampshire	AE	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Stony Brook	AE	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.00	0.02	0.02
Vermont	AE	0.06	0.06	73.53	73.53	0.03	0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.06	0.06	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.06	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.06	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Troy	SB	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.05	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.05	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	17.24	17.24	-0.03	-0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.03	0.03	67.86	67.86	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.03	-0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.03	0.03	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.03	0.03	7.14	7.14	-0.02	-0.02
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.03	0.03	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.03	0.03	84.85	84.85	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Providence	BE	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.00	-0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Western Carolina	SC	26.37	26.37	66.92	66.92	8.93	8.93
Wofford	SC	4.35	4.35	77.42	77.42	2.39	2.39
Appalachian St.	SC	4.35	4.35	62.07	62.07	1.05	1.05
College of Charleston	SC	2.66	2.66	67.74	67.74	0.94	0.94
Texas	B12	1.70	1.70	71.88	71.88	0.74	0.74
Kent St.	MAC	1.78	1.78	70.00	70.00	0.71	0.71
Clemson	ACC	1.78	1.78	66.67	66.67	0.59	0.59
Louisville	BE	1.72	1.72	64.52	64.52	0.50	0.50
Campbell	ASun	1.75	1.75	62.96	62.96	0.45	0.45
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.37	0.37	80.00	80.00	0.22	0.22
Bradley	MVC	1.72	1.72	53.33	53.33	0.11	0.11
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.14	85.29	85.29	0.10	0.10
Pittsburgh	BE	0.19	0.19	75.00	75.00	0.09	0.09
Richmond	A10	0.14	0.14	76.47	76.47	0.07	0.07
Texas A&M	B12	0.16	0.16	70.97	70.97	0.07	0.07
Butler	Horz	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Duquesne	A10	1.70	1.70	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.11	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05