The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Murray St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Murray St.

Conference:		OVC
Expected RPI:		57.0
Current RPI:		57
Expected SOS:		263
Current SOS:		263
Current Record:		28-4
Expected Record:		28-4
Current Conf Record:		22-1
Expected Conf Record:		22-1
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		11-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		15-0
Current OOC Record:		6-3
Expected OOC Record:		6-3
Expected OOC RPI:		70
Expected OOC SOS:		176

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
28-4		57.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Murray St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-9	California (20.0)	P10	A	70-75	L	0%	0.0
11-20	James Madison (241.0)	CAA	N	71-43	W	100%	0.0
11-22	North Carolina Central (347.0)	ind	N	84-61	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Florida International (296.0)	SB	A	84-71	W	100%	0.0
12-3	Eastern Kentucky (154.0)	OVC	H	62-60	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Morehead St. (83.0)	OVC	H	86-56	W	100%	0.0
12-12	East Tennessee St. (122.0)	ASun	A	61-57	W	100%	0.0
12-15	Louisiana Tech (78.0)	WAC	A	81-87	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Chattanooga (238.0)	SC	H	73-62	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Western Kentucky (133.0)	SB	A	72-83	L	0%	0.0
12-30	SIU Edwardsville (322.0)	OVC	A	82-51	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Tennessee Martin (338.0)	OVC	H	83-59	W	100%	0.0
1-7	Tennessee St. (260.0)	OVC	A	80-59	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Austin Peay (162.0)	OVC	A	69-53	W	100%	0.0
1-11	Eastern Illinois (170.0)	OVC	H	75-59	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Jacksonville St. (298.0)	OVC	H	92-68	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Tennessee Tech (196.0)	OVC	H	88-66	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Eastern Illinois (170.0)	OVC	A	60-51	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Southeast Missouri St. (312.0)	OVC	A	80-61	W	100%	0.0
1-27	SIU Edwardsville (322.0)	OVC	H	86-49	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Tennessee Martin (338.0)	OVC	A	77-45	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Tennessee St. (260.0)	OVC	H	76-54	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Austin Peay (162.0)	OVC	H	65-63	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Tennessee Tech (196.0)	OVC	A	94-62	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Jacksonville St. (298.0)	OVC	A	75-67	W	100%	0.0
2-16	Southeast Missouri St. (312.0)	OVC	H	80-68	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Morgan St. (103.0)	MEAC	H	75-66	W	100%	0.0
2-25	Morehead St. (83.0)	OVC	A	65-70	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Eastern Kentucky (154.0)	OVC	A	88-74	W	100%	0.0
3-2	Tennessee St. (260.0)	OVC	H	84-51	W	100%	0.0
3-5	Eastern Illinois (170.0)	OVC	N	55-51	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Morehead St. (83.0)	OVC	N	62-51	W	100%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Murray St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Murray St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Murray St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Murray St.	OVC	26.68	26.68	91.89	91.89	22.35	22.35
Morehead St.	OVC	5.83	5.83	71.43	71.43	2.50	2.50
Eastern Illinois	OVC	5.68	5.68	65.38	65.38	1.75	1.75
Tennessee St.	OVC	5.65	5.65	31.03	31.03	-2.14	-2.14
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	4.28	4.28	64.29	64.29	1.22	1.22
Tennessee Tech	OVC	4.26	4.26	46.43	46.43	-0.30	-0.30
Jacksonville St.	OVC	4.22	4.22	34.62	34.62	-1.30	-1.30
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	4.18	4.18	22.22	22.22	-2.32	-2.32
Austin Peay	OVC	4.18	4.18	53.57	53.57	0.30	0.30
Tennessee Martin	OVC	4.18	4.18	8.00	8.00	-3.51	-3.51
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	3.31	3.31	12.50	12.50	-2.48	-2.48
Florida International	SB	1.72	1.72	20.00	20.00	-1.03	-1.03
Chattanooga	SC	1.69	1.69	43.33	43.33	-0.23	-0.23
East Tennessee St.	ASun	1.69	1.69	59.38	59.38	0.32	0.32
Morgan St.	MEAC	1.64	1.64	77.14	77.14	0.89	0.89
James Madison	CAA	1.62	1.62	40.62	40.62	-0.30	-0.30
Western Kentucky	SB	1.61	1.61	60.61	60.61	0.34	0.34
North Carolina Central	ind	1.61	1.61	12.50	12.50	-1.21	-1.21
California	P10	1.56	1.56	68.75	68.75	0.59	0.59
Louisiana Tech	WAC	1.56	1.56	68.75	68.75	0.59	0.59
Belmont	ASun	0.28	0.28	61.29	61.29	0.06	0.06
Evansville	MVC	0.25	0.25	27.59	27.59	-0.11	-0.11
Lipscomb	ASun	0.22	0.22	55.17	55.17	0.02	0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.21	0.21	33.33	33.33	-0.07	-0.07
Arkansas St.	SB	0.21	0.21	51.72	51.72	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.20	0.20	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
Ball St.	MAC	0.20	0.20	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.20	0.20	66.67	66.67	0.07	0.07
Illinois St.	MVC	0.19	0.19	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.18	0.18	36.67	36.67	-0.05	-0.05
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.16	0.16	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.15	0.15	64.52	64.52	0.04	0.04
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.15	0.15	34.48	34.48	-0.05	-0.05
Utah St.	WAC	0.15	0.15	78.79	78.79	0.08	0.08
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.14	0.14	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.14	0.14	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.13	0.13	63.33	63.33	0.04	0.04
Chicago St.	GWC	0.13	0.13	21.43	21.43	-0.08	-0.08
IUPUI	Sum	0.13	0.13	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.13	0.13	94.12	94.12	0.11	0.11
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.12	0.12	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.12	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
Troy	SB	0.12	0.12	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Drake	MVC	0.11	0.11	42.42	42.42	-0.02	-0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.11	0.11	37.04	37.04	-0.03	-0.03
Longwood	ind	0.11	0.11	29.63	29.63	-0.05	-0.05
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.11	0.11	23.08	23.08	-0.06	-0.06
Georgia Southern	SC	0.11	0.11	23.33	23.33	-0.06	-0.06
Memphis	CUSA	0.11	0.11	71.88	71.88	0.05	0.05
Iowa	B10	0.10	0.10	31.25	31.25	-0.04	-0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.10	0.10	58.82	58.82	0.02	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.10	0.10	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.10	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.10	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.10	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.08	0.08	9.68	9.68	-0.07	-0.07
Western Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.08	0.08	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
Tennessee	SEC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Kent St.	MAC	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	64.29	64.29	0.02	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.07	0.07	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Denver	SB	0.07	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.07	0.07	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.07	0.07	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.07	0.07	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.07	0.07	18.18	18.18	-0.05	-0.05
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
New Orleans	SB	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Arizona	P10	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.07	0.07	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Fresno St.	WAC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon	P10	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Stanford	P10	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Towson	CAA	0.07	0.07	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Louisville	BE	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
High Point	BSth	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.06	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.06	0.06	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.06	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.06	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.06	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.05	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Elon	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.05	87.88	87.88	0.04	0.04
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.05	79.41	79.41	0.03	0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.03	-0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.04	0.04	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.04	0.04	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.04	0.04	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.04	0.04	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
Colgate	Pat	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.02	0.02	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.02	0.02	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.02	0.02	22.58	22.58	-0.01	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.02	0.02	7.14	7.14	-0.02	-0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.02	0.02	19.23	19.23	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.02	0.02	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.02	0.02	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	28.00	28.00	-0.01	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.02	0.02	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.02	0.02	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.02	0.02	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.02	0.02	67.86	67.86	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.02	0.02	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.02	0.02	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.02	0.02	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.02	0.02	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.02	0.02	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.02	0.02	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.02	0.02	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.02	0.02	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.02	0.02	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Murray St.	OVC	26.68	26.68	91.89	91.89	22.35	22.35
Morehead St.	OVC	5.83	5.83	71.43	71.43	2.50	2.50
Eastern Illinois	OVC	5.68	5.68	65.38	65.38	1.75	1.75
Tennessee St.	OVC	5.65	5.65	31.03	31.03	-2.14	-2.14
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	4.28	4.28	64.29	64.29	1.22	1.22
Tennessee Tech	OVC	4.26	4.26	46.43	46.43	-0.30	-0.30
Jacksonville St.	OVC	4.22	4.22	34.62	34.62	-1.30	-1.30
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	4.18	4.18	22.22	22.22	-2.32	-2.32
Austin Peay	OVC	4.18	4.18	53.57	53.57	0.30	0.30
Tennessee Martin	OVC	4.18	4.18	8.00	8.00	-3.51	-3.51
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	3.31	3.31	12.50	12.50	-2.48	-2.48
Florida International	SB	1.72	1.72	20.00	20.00	-1.03	-1.03
Chattanooga	SC	1.69	1.69	43.33	43.33	-0.23	-0.23
East Tennessee St.	ASun	1.69	1.69	59.38	59.38	0.32	0.32
Morgan St.	MEAC	1.64	1.64	77.14	77.14	0.89	0.89
James Madison	CAA	1.62	1.62	40.62	40.62	-0.30	-0.30
Western Kentucky	SB	1.61	1.61	60.61	60.61	0.34	0.34
North Carolina Central	ind	1.61	1.61	12.50	12.50	-1.21	-1.21
California	P10	1.56	1.56	68.75	68.75	0.59	0.59
Louisiana Tech	WAC	1.56	1.56	68.75	68.75	0.59	0.59
Belmont	ASun	0.28	0.28	61.29	61.29	0.06	0.06
Evansville	MVC	0.25	0.25	27.59	27.59	-0.11	-0.11
Lipscomb	ASun	0.22	0.22	55.17	55.17	0.02	0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.21	0.21	33.33	33.33	-0.07	-0.07
Arkansas St.	SB	0.21	0.21	51.72	51.72	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.20	0.20	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
Ball St.	MAC	0.20	0.20	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.20	0.20	66.67	66.67	0.07	0.07
Illinois St.	MVC	0.19	0.19	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.18	0.18	36.67	36.67	-0.05	-0.05
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.16	0.16	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.15	0.15	64.52	64.52	0.04	0.04
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.15	0.15	34.48	34.48	-0.05	-0.05
Utah St.	WAC	0.15	0.15	78.79	78.79	0.08	0.08
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.14	0.14	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.14	0.14	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.13	0.13	63.33	63.33	0.04	0.04
Chicago St.	GWC	0.13	0.13	21.43	21.43	-0.08	-0.08
IUPUI	Sum	0.13	0.13	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.13	0.13	94.12	94.12	0.11	0.11
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.12	0.12	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.12	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
Troy	SB	0.12	0.12	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Drake	MVC	0.11	0.11	42.42	42.42	-0.02	-0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.11	0.11	37.04	37.04	-0.03	-0.03
Longwood	ind	0.11	0.11	29.63	29.63	-0.05	-0.05
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.11	0.11	23.08	23.08	-0.06	-0.06
Georgia Southern	SC	0.11	0.11	23.33	23.33	-0.06	-0.06
Memphis	CUSA	0.11	0.11	71.88	71.88	0.05	0.05
Iowa	B10	0.10	0.10	31.25	31.25	-0.04	-0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.10	0.10	58.82	58.82	0.02	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.10	0.10	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.10	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.10	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.10	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.08	0.08	9.68	9.68	-0.07	-0.07
Western Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.08	0.08	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
Tennessee	SEC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Kent St.	MAC	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	64.29	64.29	0.02	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.07	0.07	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Denver	SB	0.07	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.07	0.07	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.07	0.07	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.07	0.07	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.07	0.07	18.18	18.18	-0.05	-0.05
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
New Orleans	SB	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Arizona	P10	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.07	0.07	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Fresno St.	WAC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon	P10	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Stanford	P10	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Towson	CAA	0.07	0.07	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Louisville	BE	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
High Point	BSth	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.06	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.06	0.06	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.06	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.06	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.06	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.05	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Elon	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.05	87.88	87.88	0.04	0.04
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.05	79.41	79.41	0.03	0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.03	-0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.04	0.04	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.04	0.04	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.04	0.04	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.04	0.04	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
Colgate	Pat	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.02	0.02	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.02	0.02	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.02	0.02	22.58	22.58	-0.01	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.02	0.02	7.14	7.14	-0.02	-0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.02	0.02	19.23	19.23	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.02	0.02	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.02	0.02	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	28.00	28.00	-0.01	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.02	0.02	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.02	0.02	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.02	0.02	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.02	0.02	67.86	67.86	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.02	0.02	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.02	0.02	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.02	0.02	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.02	0.02	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.02	0.02	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.02	0.02	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.02	0.02	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.02	0.02	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.02	0.02	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Murray St.	OVC	26.68	26.68	91.89	91.89	22.35	22.35
Morehead St.	OVC	5.83	5.83	71.43	71.43	2.50	2.50
Eastern Illinois	OVC	5.68	5.68	65.38	65.38	1.75	1.75
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	4.28	4.28	64.29	64.29	1.22	1.22
Morgan St.	MEAC	1.64	1.64	77.14	77.14	0.89	0.89
California	P10	1.56	1.56	68.75	68.75	0.59	0.59
Louisiana Tech	WAC	1.56	1.56	68.75	68.75	0.59	0.59
Western Kentucky	SB	1.61	1.61	60.61	60.61	0.34	0.34
East Tennessee St.	ASun	1.69	1.69	59.38	59.38	0.32	0.32
Austin Peay	OVC	4.18	4.18	53.57	53.57	0.30	0.30
Kentucky	SEC	0.13	0.13	94.12	94.12	0.11	0.11
Utah St.	WAC	0.15	0.15	78.79	78.79	0.08	0.08
Illinois St.	MVC	0.19	0.19	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Kansas	B12	0.08	0.08	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07