The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Illinois St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Illinois St.

Conference:		MVC
Expected RPI:		108.0
Current RPI:		124
Expected SOS:		158
Current SOS:		208
Current Record:		16-8
Expected Record:		19-11
Current Conf Record:		7-6
Expected Conf Record:		9-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		8-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-0
Current OOC Record:		9-2
Expected OOC Record:		10-2
Expected OOC RPI:		141
Expected OOC SOS:		332

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
22-8	70.6	0.83%
21-9	80.0	7.83%
20-10	92.0	25.58%
19-11	106.7	33.73%
18-12	124.1	23.42%
17-13	143.6	7.63%
16-14	162.4	0.97%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Illinois St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	SIU Edwardsville (329.0)	OVC	A	82-60	W	100%	0.0
11-21	North Florida (223.8)	ASun	H	71-55	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Illinois Chicago (293.2)	Horz	A	69-65	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Norfolk St. (309.1)	MEAC	H	79-66	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Southeast Missouri St. (298.6)	OVC	H	93-53	W	100%	0.0
11-29	St. Bonaventure (184.1)	A10	H	80-77	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Central Michigan (186.3)	MAC	H	75-62	W	100%	0.0
12-13	Niagara (157.5)	MAAC	H	68-76	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Ohio (147.7)	MAC	A	57-75	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Utah (162.8)	MWC	A	73-63	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Grambling (338.6)	SWAC	H	80-56	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Wichita St. (46.3)	MVC	H	72-57	W	100%	0.0
1-1	Missouri St. (85.5)	MVC	A	64-68	L	0%	0.0
1-3	Southern Illinois (133.6)	MVC	H	68-61	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Evansville (276.1)	MVC	A	82-63	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Northern Iowa (19.0)	MVC	H	44-59	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Evansville (276.1)	MVC	H	70-56	W	100%	0.0
1-17	Drake (179.5)	MVC	A	59-69	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Creighton (123.3)	MVC	H	71-62	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Southern Illinois (133.6)	MVC	A	80-81	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Wichita St. (46.3)	MVC	A	66-74	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Bradley (115.5)	MVC	H	66-47	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Indiana St. (91.9)	MVC	A	65-72	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Drake (179.5)	MVC	H	71-68	W	100%	0.0
2-9	Bradley (115.5)	MVC	A	0-0		45%	-1.5
2-13	Creighton (123.3)	MVC	A	0-0		42%	-2.2
2-17	Missouri St. (85.5)	MVC	H	0-0		58%	2.3
2-20	Morehead St. (95.2)	OVC	H	0-0		68%	5.0
2-24	Indiana St. (91.9)	MVC	H	0-0		74%	7.0
2-27	Northern Iowa (19.0)	MVC	A	0-0		17%	-10.3

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Illinois St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Illinois St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Illinois St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Illinois St.	MVC	26.48	26.38	66.67	63.25	8.83	6.99
Drake	MVC	4.89	4.28	43.48	42.73	-0.64	-0.62
Southern Illinois	MVC	4.88	4.30	55.00	54.37	0.49	0.38
Evansville	MVC	4.79	4.30	25.00	24.34	-2.40	-2.21
Wichita St.	MVC	4.78	4.25	81.82	79.25	3.04	2.48
Indiana St.	MVC	2.94	4.24	54.55	53.83	0.27	0.32
Bradley	MVC	2.94	4.24	54.55	51.88	0.27	0.16
Creighton	MVC	2.93	4.25	52.17	52.24	0.13	0.19
Northern Iowa	MVC	2.89	4.24	90.91	87.97	2.36	3.22
Missouri St.	MVC	2.85	4.25	65.22	64.17	0.87	1.20
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	2.33	1.88	28.57	26.75	-1.00	-0.87
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	2.31	1.84	9.09	9.93	-1.89	-1.47
Illinois Chicago	Horz	2.23	1.82	23.81	23.41	-1.17	-0.97
Norfolk St.	MEAC	2.22	1.75	25.00	28.26	-1.11	-0.76
St. Bonaventure	A10	2.22	1.75	42.11	44.22	-0.35	-0.20
Niagara	MAAC	2.19	1.73	50.00	50.23	0.00	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	2.13	1.72	52.63	54.23	0.11	0.15
Grambling	SWAC	2.08	1.67	25.00	26.96	-1.04	-0.77
North Florida	ASun	2.08	1.67	45.45	46.93	-0.19	-0.10
Ohio	MAC	2.08	1.70	47.62	49.27	-0.10	-0.02
Utah	MWC	2.08	1.67	47.62	45.85	-0.10	-0.14
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.33	0.32	5.00	8.59	-0.29	-0.27
Austin Peay	OVC	0.31	0.28	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.28	0.26	36.36	37.37	-0.08	-0.07
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.25	0.19	33.33	39.38	-0.08	-0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.24	0.17	61.90	56.12	0.06	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.23	0.18	54.17	55.99	0.02	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.23	0.14	45.45	46.81	-0.02	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.22	0.20	69.57	66.00	0.09	0.06
Iowa	B10	0.22	0.17	33.33	30.82	-0.07	-0.06
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.20	0.15	0.00	5.15	-0.20	-0.14
Miami OH	MAC	0.19	0.17	43.48	47.68	-0.03	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.19	0.17	8.70	10.09	-0.16	-0.14
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.19	0.17	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.19	0.18	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.19	0.18	45.45	44.03	-0.02	-0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.18	0.12	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.18	0.11	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.18	0.11	18.18	21.04	-0.11	-0.07
Iona	MAAC	0.18	0.14	72.00	70.73	0.08	0.06
IUPUI	Sum	0.18	0.14	65.22	67.00	0.05	0.05
Iowa St.	B12	0.17	0.17	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.17	0.18	15.79	27.84	-0.12	-0.08
South Dakota	GWC	0.17	0.15	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
Southern	SWAC	0.17	0.09	19.05	20.58	-0.11	-0.06
Kent St.	MAC	0.15	0.14	69.57	70.29	0.06	0.06
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.15	0.12	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.15	0.09	56.52	58.43	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.15	0.12	62.50	65.32	0.04	0.04
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.14	0.15	38.10	41.29	-0.03	-0.03
Butler	Horz	0.14	0.12	83.33	83.91	0.09	0.08
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.14	0.12	81.82	80.91	0.09	0.07
Buffalo	MAC	0.14	0.11	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.14	0.11	30.00	31.19	-0.06	-0.04
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.14	0.09	33.33	33.00	-0.05	-0.03
Illinois	B10	0.14	0.12	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.14	0.20	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.14	0.18	86.96	85.47	0.10	0.13
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.14	0.18	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.14	0.14	57.14	57.10	0.02	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.14	0.08	39.13	38.63	-0.03	-0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.13	0.08	73.91	70.80	0.06	0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.13	0.11	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.13	0.14	35.00	30.59	-0.04	-0.05
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.13	0.09	38.10	38.08	-0.03	-0.02
San Diego St.	MWC	0.13	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.12	0.08	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.11	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.11	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.04
Marquette	BE	0.11	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.06	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.09	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.10	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.03	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.07	0.04
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.09	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.03
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.09	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.04
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.09	0.12	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.09	0.14	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.04
Georgia Southern	SC	0.09	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.06	-0.04
San Diego	WCC	0.09	0.06	33.33	33.43	-0.03	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.09	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.03	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.09	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.04	-0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.08	19.05	22.94	-0.06	-0.05
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.09	0.08	27.27	29.40	-0.04	-0.03
Brigham Young	MWC	0.09	0.11	87.50	87.42	0.07	0.08
Colorado St.	MWC	0.09	0.11	59.09	52.85	0.02	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.09	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.03
Idaho St.	BSky	0.09	0.09	19.05	24.00	-0.06	-0.04
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.09	0.09	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.09	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	1.76	68.18	69.19	0.03	0.67
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.09	0.09	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.09	0.11	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.04
Howard	MEAC	0.09	0.08	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.04
Michigan	B10	0.09	0.08	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.09	0.11	87.50	83.52	0.07	0.07
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.08	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.09	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.09	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.09	0.11	83.33	81.25	0.06	0.07
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.09	0.11	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.05
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.09	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.09	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.03	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.09	0.08	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.05	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.08	0.05	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.08	0.05	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.07	28.57	36.52	-0.03	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.07	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.03	27.27	27.20	-0.03	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.06	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.07	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.06	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.03	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.15	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.05	0.03	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	48.32	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.15	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.08
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.11	73.91	76.66	0.02	0.06
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.12	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.04
Denver	SB	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.09	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.02	-0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.06	12.50	15.31	-0.03	-0.04
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.03	-0.04
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.04	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.04	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.04	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.02	-0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.04	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.04	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Xavier	A10	0.04	0.09	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.04	0.08	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.04	0.05	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.04	0.05	33.33	35.33	-0.01	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.04	0.05	4.17	4.73	-0.04	-0.05
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.04	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.04	0.05	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.00	0.06	45.00	48.63	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.00	0.05	39.13	43.30	-0.00	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Fordham	A10	0.00	0.06	9.52	8.87	-0.00	-0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.00	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.00	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.00	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.00	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.00	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.00	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.00	0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.00	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.00	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.00	0.01
Temple	A10	0.00	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.00	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Illinois St.	MVC	26.48	26.38	66.67	63.25	8.83	6.99
Evansville	MVC	4.79	4.30	25.00	24.34	-2.40	-2.21
Southern Illinois	MVC	4.88	4.30	55.00	54.37	0.49	0.38
Drake	MVC	4.89	4.28	43.48	42.73	-0.64	-0.62
Creighton	MVC	2.93	4.25	52.17	52.24	0.13	0.19
Missouri St.	MVC	2.85	4.25	65.22	64.17	0.87	1.20
Wichita St.	MVC	4.78	4.25	81.82	79.25	3.04	2.48
Bradley	MVC	2.94	4.24	54.55	51.88	0.27	0.16
Indiana St.	MVC	2.94	4.24	54.55	53.83	0.27	0.32
Northern Iowa	MVC	2.89	4.24	90.91	87.97	2.36	3.22
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	2.33	1.88	28.57	26.75	-1.00	-0.87
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	2.31	1.84	9.09	9.93	-1.89	-1.47
Illinois Chicago	Horz	2.23	1.82	23.81	23.41	-1.17	-0.97
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	1.76	68.18	69.19	0.03	0.67
Norfolk St.	MEAC	2.22	1.75	25.00	28.26	-1.11	-0.76
St. Bonaventure	A10	2.22	1.75	42.11	44.22	-0.35	-0.20
Niagara	MAAC	2.19	1.73	50.00	50.23	0.00	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	2.13	1.72	52.63	54.23	0.11	0.15
Ohio	MAC	2.08	1.70	47.62	49.27	-0.10	-0.02
Grambling	SWAC	2.08	1.67	25.00	26.96	-1.04	-0.77
North Florida	ASun	2.08	1.67	45.45	46.93	-0.19	-0.10
Utah	MWC	2.08	1.67	47.62	45.85	-0.10	-0.14
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.33	0.32	5.00	8.59	-0.29	-0.27
Austin Peay	OVC	0.31	0.28	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.28	0.26	36.36	37.37	-0.08	-0.07
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.14	0.20	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Akron	MAC	0.22	0.20	69.57	66.00	0.09	0.06
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.25	0.19	33.33	39.38	-0.08	-0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.14	0.18	86.96	85.47	0.10	0.13
Ball St.	MAC	0.19	0.18	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.23	0.18	54.17	55.99	0.02	0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.19	0.18	45.45	44.03	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.14	0.18	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.17	0.18	15.79	27.84	-0.12	-0.08
Toledo	MAC	0.19	0.17	8.70	10.09	-0.16	-0.14
Miami OH	MAC	0.19	0.17	43.48	47.68	-0.03	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.24	0.17	61.90	56.12	0.06	0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.19	0.17	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.17	0.17	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.22	0.17	33.33	30.82	-0.07	-0.06
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.20	0.15	0.00	5.15	-0.20	-0.14
South Dakota	GWC	0.17	0.15	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.15	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.15	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.08
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.14	0.15	38.10	41.29	-0.03	-0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.23	0.14	45.45	46.81	-0.02	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.09	0.14	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.04
Kent St.	MAC	0.15	0.14	69.57	70.29	0.06	0.06
Arkansas St.	SB	0.14	0.14	57.14	57.10	0.02	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.18	0.14	65.22	67.00	0.05	0.05
Iona	MAAC	0.18	0.14	72.00	70.73	0.08	0.06
Air Force	MWC	0.13	0.14	35.00	30.59	-0.04	-0.05
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.15	0.12	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.18	0.12	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.14	0.12	83.33	83.91	0.09	0.08
Illinois	B10	0.14	0.12	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.15	0.12	62.50	65.32	0.04	0.04
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.09	0.12	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.12	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.14	0.12	81.82	80.91	0.09	0.07
Savannah St.	ind	0.14	0.11	30.00	31.19	-0.06	-0.04
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.11	73.91	76.66	0.02	0.06
Brigham Young	MWC	0.09	0.11	87.50	87.42	0.07	0.08
Colorado St.	MWC	0.09	0.11	59.09	52.85	0.02	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.18	0.11	18.18	21.04	-0.11	-0.07
Wyoming	MWC	0.09	0.11	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.04
Canisius	MAAC	0.18	0.11	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.14	0.11	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.09	0.11	83.33	81.25	0.06	0.07
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.09	0.11	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.05
New Mexico	MWC	0.09	0.11	87.50	83.52	0.07	0.07
Texas Christian	MWC	0.13	0.11	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.03
San Diego St.	MWC	0.13	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.04
Southern	SWAC	0.17	0.09	19.05	20.58	-0.11	-0.06
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.09	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.15	0.09	56.52	58.43	0.02	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.13	0.09	38.10	38.08	-0.03	-0.02
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.09	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.03
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.09	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.09	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.09	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.04
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.14	0.09	33.33	33.00	-0.05	-0.03
Xavier	A10	0.04	0.09	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.04
Idaho St.	BSky	0.09	0.09	19.05	24.00	-0.06	-0.04
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.09	0.09	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.09	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.09	0.09	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.04	0.08	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.09	0.08	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.04
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.08	19.05	22.94	-0.06	-0.05
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.09	0.08	27.27	29.40	-0.04	-0.03
Binghamton	AE	0.14	0.08	39.13	38.63	-0.03	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.09	0.08	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.13	0.08	73.91	70.80	0.06	0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.08	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.09	0.08	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.12	0.08	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.07	28.57	36.52	-0.03	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.07	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.07	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.06	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.02	-0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.11	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.11	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.04
Marquette	BE	0.11	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.00	0.06	45.00	48.63	-0.00	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.07	0.04
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.09	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.06	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Fordham	A10	0.00	0.06	9.52	8.87	-0.00	-0.05
Georgia Southern	SC	0.09	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.06	-0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.06	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.09	0.06	33.33	33.43	-0.03	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.09	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.03	-0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.09	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.04	-0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.10	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.03	0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.04
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
Denver	SB	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.09	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.00	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.00	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.06	12.50	15.31	-0.03	-0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.03	-0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.04	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.04	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.04	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.02	-0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.04	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.00	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.00	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.09	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.09	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.03	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.04	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.00	0.05	39.13	43.30	-0.00	-0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.04	0.05	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.05	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.08	0.05	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.04	0.05	33.33	35.33	-0.01	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.04	0.05	4.17	4.73	-0.04	-0.05
Rider	MAAC	0.04	0.05	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.08	0.05	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.03	27.27	27.20	-0.03	-0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.02
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.00	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.00	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.00	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.03	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.00	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.00	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.00	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.02
Temple	A10	0.00	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.00	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.05	0.03	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.02	-0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	48.32	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.00
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.04	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Illinois St.	MVC	26.48	26.38	66.67	63.25	8.83	6.99
Wichita St.	MVC	4.78	4.25	81.82	79.25	3.04	2.48
Northern Iowa	MVC	2.89	4.24	90.91	87.97	2.36	3.22
Missouri St.	MVC	2.85	4.25	65.22	64.17	0.87	1.20
Southern Illinois	MVC	4.88	4.30	55.00	54.37	0.49	0.38
Indiana St.	MVC	2.94	4.24	54.55	53.83	0.27	0.32
Bradley	MVC	2.94	4.24	54.55	51.88	0.27	0.16
Creighton	MVC	2.93	4.25	52.17	52.24	0.13	0.19
Central Michigan	MAC	2.13	1.72	52.63	54.23	0.11	0.15
Murray St.	OVC	0.14	0.18	86.96	85.47	0.10	0.13
Butler	Horz	0.14	0.12	83.33	83.91	0.09	0.08
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.14	0.12	81.82	80.91	0.09	0.07
Akron	MAC	0.22	0.20	69.57	66.00	0.09	0.06
Iona	MAAC	0.18	0.14	72.00	70.73	0.08	0.06
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.07	0.04
Brigham Young	MWC	0.09	0.11	87.50	87.42	0.07	0.08
New Mexico	MWC	0.09	0.11	87.50	83.52	0.07	0.07
Pittsburgh	BE	0.13	0.08	73.91	70.80	0.06	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.11	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.04
Kent St.	MAC	0.15	0.14	69.57	70.29	0.06	0.06
Siena	MAAC	0.09	0.11	83.33	81.25	0.06	0.07
St. Louis	A10	0.24	0.17	61.90	56.12	0.06	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.18	0.14	65.22	67.00	0.05	0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.08	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.14	0.12	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.02
San Diego St.	MWC	0.13	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.04
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.09	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.04
Wright St.	Horz	0.15	0.12	62.50	65.32	0.04	0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.09	0.09	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	1.76	68.18	69.19	0.03	0.67