The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated East Tennessee St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

East Tennessee St.

Conference:		ASun
Expected RPI:		138.0
Current RPI:		147
Expected SOS:		160
Current SOS:		152
Current Record:		12-12
Expected Record:		16-14
Current Conf Record:		9-5
Expected Conf Record:		13-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		10-4
Current OOC Record:		3-7
Expected OOC Record:		3-7
Expected OOC RPI:		114
Expected OOC SOS:		2

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
18-12	109.8	7.80%
17-13	123.3	28.50%
16-14	139.6	37.66%
15-15	156.6	20.51%
14-16	172.6	5.01%
13-17	188.3	0.47%
12-18	205.2	0.04%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for East Tennessee St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	Appalachian St. (134.5)	SC	H	62-58	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Chattanooga (219.8)	SC	A	76-85	L	0%	0.0
11-19	Morgan St. (106.3)	MEAC	A	61-72	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Louisville (36.4)	BE	A	56-69	L	0%	0.0
11-25	College of Charleston (90.2)	SC	H	77-71	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Arkansas (126.3)	SEC	A	94-85	W	100%	0.0
11-29	North Florida (223.8)	ASun	H	82-56	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Tennessee (14.8)	SEC	A	66-78	L	0%	0.0
12-4	UAB (34.4)	CUSA	A	52-74	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Murray St. (68.0)	OVC	H	57-61	L	0%	0.0
12-18	Morehead St. (95.2)	OVC	A	58-60	L	0%	0.0
12-21	Jacksonville (143.2)	ASun	H	93-70	W	100%	0.0
1-4	South Carolina Upstate (298.7)	ASun	A	63-62	W	100%	0.0
1-7	Kennesaw St. (273.8)	ASun	A	63-46	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Mercer (230.3)	ASun	A	78-83	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Stetson (331.2)	ASun	H	52-54	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Florida Gulf Coast (311.3)	ASun	H	73-51	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Lipscomb (201.5)	ASun	A	71-69	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Belmont (139.8)	ASun	A	89-100	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Campbell (190.8)	ASun	H	72-57	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Lipscomb (201.5)	ASun	H	84-85	L	0%	0.0
2-1	Belmont (139.8)	ASun	H	67-74	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Florida Gulf Coast (311.3)	ASun	A	56-47	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Stetson (331.2)	ASun	A	75-60	W	100%	0.0
2-12	Kennesaw St. (273.8)	ASun	H	0-0		90%	13.8
2-14	Mercer (230.3)	ASun	H	0-0		81%	9.7
2-19	Campbell (190.8)	ASun	A	0-0		45%	-1.3
2-21	South Carolina Upstate (298.7)	ASun	H	0-0		91%	14.6
2-25	North Florida (223.8)	ASun	A	0-0		65%	4.3
2-27	Jacksonville (143.2)	ASun	A	0-0		40%	-2.8

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

East Tennessee St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

East Tennessee St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against East Tennessee St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
East Tennessee St.	ASun	26.46	26.45	53.57	56.99	1.89	3.70
Stetson	ASun	4.99	4.41	10.53	12.90	-3.94	-3.27
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	4.97	4.39	31.82	30.99	-1.81	-1.67
Belmont	ASun	4.96	4.39	56.52	61.25	0.65	0.99
Lipscomb	ASun	4.94	4.39	52.38	56.98	0.24	0.61
Campbell	ASun	3.09	4.41	60.00	61.27	0.62	0.99
Kennesaw St.	ASun	2.96	4.39	45.45	41.96	-0.27	-0.71
Jacksonville	ASun	2.95	4.39	59.09	62.10	0.54	1.06
North Florida	ASun	2.95	4.39	45.45	47.38	-0.27	-0.23
Mercer	ASun	2.91	4.39	40.00	41.16	-0.58	-0.78
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	2.81	4.39	19.05	22.27	-1.74	-2.43
Louisville	BE	2.32	1.81	63.64	60.81	0.63	0.39
Appalachian St.	SC	2.31	1.89	57.89	62.38	0.37	0.47
Arkansas	SEC	2.27	1.80	54.55	50.09	0.21	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	2.27	1.81	45.45	44.18	-0.21	-0.21
Morgan St.	MEAC	2.23	1.78	69.57	72.98	0.87	0.82
College of Charleston	SC	2.22	1.78	69.57	67.88	0.87	0.64
Murray St.	OVC	2.18	1.78	86.36	84.96	1.58	1.24
Morehead St.	OVC	2.13	1.72	66.67	66.69	0.71	0.58
UAB	CUSA	2.13	1.69	81.82	77.82	1.35	0.94
Tennessee	SEC	2.13	1.72	80.95	74.82	1.32	0.85
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.36	0.26	8.70	9.54	-0.30	-0.21
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.31	0.23	20.00	24.04	-0.19	-0.12
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.30	0.23	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.29	0.23	71.43	69.51	0.12	0.09
Florida	SEC	0.24	0.20	73.91	67.72	0.11	0.07
NC Greensboro	SC	0.23	0.20	21.74	24.84	-0.13	-0.10
Miami FL	ACC	0.23	0.18	68.18	62.73	0.08	0.04
Elon	SC	0.23	0.20	19.05	23.26	-0.14	-0.11
Austin Peay	OVC	0.23	0.14	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.23	0.21	45.45	44.03	-0.02	-0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.23	0.17	38.10	41.29	-0.05	-0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.19	0.18	73.91	69.49	0.09	0.07
Winthrop	BSth	0.19	0.17	52.38	54.80	0.01	0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.19	0.24	30.00	31.19	-0.08	-0.09
Alabama	SEC	0.19	0.20	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.19	0.20	76.19	73.20	0.10	0.09
The Citadel	SC	0.19	0.14	45.45	45.80	-0.02	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.18	0.14	17.39	20.11	-0.12	-0.09
Samford	SC	0.18	0.20	28.57	31.03	-0.08	-0.08
Longwood	ind	0.18	0.15	23.81	29.40	-0.10	-0.06
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.18	0.17	65.22	64.71	0.06	0.05
Cincinnati	BE	0.18	0.11	60.87	55.54	0.04	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.18	0.11	52.17	54.94	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.18	0.11	45.00	43.95	-0.02	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.14	0.09	40.00	40.09	-0.03	-0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.14	0.11	78.26	71.72	0.08	0.05
East Carolina	CUSA	0.14	0.12	20.00	21.94	-0.09	-0.07
Wofford	SC	0.14	0.11	66.67	67.94	0.05	0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.14	0.15	72.73	68.13	0.06	0.05
Davidson	SC	0.14	0.14	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.14	0.11	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.14	0.14	95.65	88.67	0.13	0.11
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.14	0.12	5.00	8.59	-0.12	-0.10
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.14	0.11	22.73	27.28	-0.07	-0.05
DePaul	BE	0.13	0.11	34.78	33.89	-0.04	-0.04
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.13	0.14	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.13	0.09	24.00	23.74	-0.07	-0.05
North Carolina Central	ind	0.13	0.09	4.76	9.78	-0.12	-0.07
Kansas	B12	0.13	0.08	95.65	91.32	0.12	0.07
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.13	0.08	33.33	39.38	-0.04	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.13	0.11	61.90	56.12	0.03	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.10	0.09	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.03
NC Asheville	BSth	0.10	0.09	33.33	37.71	-0.03	-0.02
Furman	SC	0.10	0.11	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.10	0.06	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.02
Providence	BE	0.09	0.09	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.09	0.08	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.06	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.09	0.08	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.09	0.08	73.91	72.52	0.04	0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.09	0.08	81.82	80.91	0.06	0.05
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.14	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.09	0.12	27.27	25.82	-0.04	-0.06
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.09	0.08	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.09	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.09	0.09	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.14	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.09	0.05	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.09	0.11	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.09	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.09	0.05	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.09	0.08	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.05	19.05	22.94	-0.05	-0.03
Long Island	NEC	0.09	0.05	39.13	41.53	-0.02	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.09	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.05	0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.09	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.09	0.08	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.08	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.02	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.08	0.06	69.57	68.86	0.03	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.08	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.06	0.00	4.18	-0.05	-0.05
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.06	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.05	0.03	45.00	48.63	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.08	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	73.91	76.66	0.02	0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.06	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.09	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.05	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.06	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.05
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.09	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.01
Maine	AE	0.05	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.08	65.22	66.09	0.01	0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.02	-0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.02	0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.03	-0.02
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.02	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.03	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.00
Albany	AE	0.04	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.02	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.04	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.04	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.04	0.05	11.11	20.93	-0.03	-0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.04	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.04	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.04	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.04	0.03	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.04	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.04	0.05	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.04	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.04	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.04	0.05	23.81	27.28	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.04	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Towson	CAA	0.04	0.03	22.73	23.47	-0.02	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.04	0.05	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.00	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.00	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.00	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.00	0.05	95.83	91.37	0.00	0.04

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
East Tennessee St.	ASun	26.46	26.45	53.57	56.99	1.89	3.70
Campbell	ASun	3.09	4.41	60.00	61.27	0.62	0.99
Stetson	ASun	4.99	4.41	10.53	12.90	-3.94	-3.27
Belmont	ASun	4.96	4.39	56.52	61.25	0.65	0.99
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	4.97	4.39	31.82	30.99	-1.81	-1.67
Jacksonville	ASun	2.95	4.39	59.09	62.10	0.54	1.06
Kennesaw St.	ASun	2.96	4.39	45.45	41.96	-0.27	-0.71
North Florida	ASun	2.95	4.39	45.45	47.38	-0.27	-0.23
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	2.81	4.39	19.05	22.27	-1.74	-2.43
Lipscomb	ASun	4.94	4.39	52.38	56.98	0.24	0.61
Mercer	ASun	2.91	4.39	40.00	41.16	-0.58	-0.78
Appalachian St.	SC	2.31	1.89	57.89	62.38	0.37	0.47
Chattanooga	SC	2.27	1.81	45.45	44.18	-0.21	-0.21
Louisville	BE	2.32	1.81	63.64	60.81	0.63	0.39
Arkansas	SEC	2.27	1.80	54.55	50.09	0.21	0.00
College of Charleston	SC	2.22	1.78	69.57	67.88	0.87	0.64
Murray St.	OVC	2.18	1.78	86.36	84.96	1.58	1.24
Morgan St.	MEAC	2.23	1.78	69.57	72.98	0.87	0.82
Morehead St.	OVC	2.13	1.72	66.67	66.69	0.71	0.58
Tennessee	SEC	2.13	1.72	80.95	74.82	1.32	0.85
UAB	CUSA	2.13	1.69	81.82	77.82	1.35	0.94
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.36	0.26	8.70	9.54	-0.30	-0.21
Savannah St.	ind	0.19	0.24	30.00	31.19	-0.08	-0.09
Western Carolina	SC	0.29	0.23	71.43	69.51	0.12	0.09
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.31	0.23	20.00	24.04	-0.19	-0.12
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.30	0.23	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.23	0.21	45.45	44.03	-0.02	-0.02
Elon	SC	0.23	0.20	19.05	23.26	-0.14	-0.11
NC Greensboro	SC	0.23	0.20	21.74	24.84	-0.13	-0.10
Florida	SEC	0.24	0.20	73.91	67.72	0.11	0.07
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.19	0.20	76.19	73.20	0.10	0.09
Samford	SC	0.18	0.20	28.57	31.03	-0.08	-0.08
Alabama	SEC	0.19	0.20	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.19	0.18	73.91	69.49	0.09	0.07
Miami FL	ACC	0.23	0.18	68.18	62.73	0.08	0.04
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.23	0.17	38.10	41.29	-0.05	-0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.19	0.17	52.38	54.80	0.01	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.18	0.17	65.22	64.71	0.06	0.05
Longwood	ind	0.18	0.15	23.81	29.40	-0.10	-0.06
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.14	0.15	72.73	68.13	0.06	0.05
Austin Peay	OVC	0.23	0.14	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.14	0.14	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.18	0.14	17.39	20.11	-0.12	-0.09
The Citadel	SC	0.19	0.14	45.45	45.80	-0.02	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.14	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.04
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.13	0.14	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.14	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.14	0.14	95.65	88.67	0.13	0.11
East Carolina	CUSA	0.14	0.12	20.00	21.94	-0.09	-0.07
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.09	0.12	27.27	25.82	-0.04	-0.06
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.14	0.12	5.00	8.59	-0.12	-0.10
Charlotte	A10	0.14	0.11	78.26	71.72	0.08	0.05
Cincinnati	BE	0.18	0.11	60.87	55.54	0.04	0.01
Furman	SC	0.10	0.11	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.02
Wofford	SC	0.14	0.11	66.67	67.94	0.05	0.04
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.14	0.11	22.73	27.28	-0.07	-0.05
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.18	0.11	45.00	43.95	-0.02	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.13	0.11	61.90	56.12	0.03	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.09	0.11	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.13	0.11	34.78	33.89	-0.04	-0.04
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.18	0.11	52.17	54.94	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.14	0.11	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.10	0.09	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.03
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.14	0.09	40.00	40.09	-0.03	-0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.10	0.09	33.33	37.71	-0.03	-0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.09	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Providence	BE	0.09	0.09	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
California	P10	0.09	0.09	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.03
Florida International	SB	0.13	0.09	24.00	23.74	-0.07	-0.05
North Carolina Central	ind	0.13	0.09	4.76	9.78	-0.12	-0.07
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.09	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.09	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.08	65.22	66.09	0.01	0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.09	0.08	81.82	80.91	0.06	0.05
Kansas	B12	0.13	0.08	95.65	91.32	0.12	0.07
Memphis	CUSA	0.09	0.08	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.13	0.08	33.33	39.38	-0.04	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.09	0.08	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.08	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.09	0.08	73.91	72.52	0.04	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.09	0.08	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.09	0.08	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.09	0.08	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.03
Arizona	P10	0.09	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.06	0.00	4.18	-0.05	-0.05
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.06	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.06	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.06	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.06	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.05
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.05	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.05	0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.02	-0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.09	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.09	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.08	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.02	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.02	0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.08	0.06	69.57	68.86	0.03	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.08	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.10	0.06	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.09	0.05	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.09	0.05	39.13	41.53	-0.02	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.05	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.00	0.05	95.83	91.37	0.00	0.04
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.05	19.05	22.94	-0.05	-0.03
Baylor	B12	0.09	0.05	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.04	0.05	11.11	20.93	-0.03	-0.03
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.04	0.05	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.04	0.05	23.81	27.28	-0.02	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.04	0.05	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.05	0.03	45.00	48.63	-0.00	-0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	73.91	76.66	0.02	0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.03	-0.02
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.04	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.04	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.00	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.00	0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.04	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.04	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.02	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.00	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.00	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.01	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.03	0.02
Albany	AE	0.04	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.02	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.04	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.04	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.04	0.03	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.04	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.04	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.04	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.04	0.03	22.73	23.47	-0.02	-0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
East Tennessee St.	ASun	26.46	26.45	53.57	56.99	1.89	3.70
Murray St.	OVC	2.18	1.78	86.36	84.96	1.58	1.24
UAB	CUSA	2.13	1.69	81.82	77.82	1.35	0.94
Tennessee	SEC	2.13	1.72	80.95	74.82	1.32	0.85
Morgan St.	MEAC	2.23	1.78	69.57	72.98	0.87	0.82
College of Charleston	SC	2.22	1.78	69.57	67.88	0.87	0.64
Morehead St.	OVC	2.13	1.72	66.67	66.69	0.71	0.58
Belmont	ASun	4.96	4.39	56.52	61.25	0.65	0.99
Louisville	BE	2.32	1.81	63.64	60.81	0.63	0.39
Campbell	ASun	3.09	4.41	60.00	61.27	0.62	0.99
Jacksonville	ASun	2.95	4.39	59.09	62.10	0.54	1.06
Appalachian St.	SC	2.31	1.89	57.89	62.38	0.37	0.47
Lipscomb	ASun	4.94	4.39	52.38	56.98	0.24	0.61
Arkansas	SEC	2.27	1.80	54.55	50.09	0.21	0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.14	0.14	95.65	88.67	0.13	0.11
Western Carolina	SC	0.29	0.23	71.43	69.51	0.12	0.09
Kansas	B12	0.13	0.08	95.65	91.32	0.12	0.07
Florida	SEC	0.24	0.20	73.91	67.72	0.11	0.07
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.19	0.20	76.19	73.20	0.10	0.09
Florida St.	ACC	0.19	0.18	73.91	69.49	0.09	0.07
Miami FL	ACC	0.23	0.18	68.18	62.73	0.08	0.04
Charlotte	A10	0.14	0.11	78.26	71.72	0.08	0.05
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.14	0.15	72.73	68.13	0.06	0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.09	0.08	81.82	80.91	0.06	0.05
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.18	0.17	65.22	64.71	0.06	0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.05	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.14	0.11	66.67	67.94	0.05	0.04
Baylor	B12	0.09	0.05	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.09	0.08	73.91	72.52	0.04	0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.18	0.11	60.87	55.54	0.04	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.14	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.04
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.06	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.09	0.08	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.03	0.02
Washington	P10	0.08	0.06	69.57	68.86	0.03	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.10	0.06	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.13	0.11	61.90	56.12	0.03	0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
California	P10	0.09	0.09	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.03
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.04	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.02	0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.02	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.19	0.20	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	73.91	76.66	0.02	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.08	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.04	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.14	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.09	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.08	65.22	66.09	0.01	0.03
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.13	0.14	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.01
Maine	AE	0.05	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.04	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01