The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Arkansas Pine Bluff page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Arkansas Pine Bluff

Conference:		SWAC
Expected RPI:		207.7
Current RPI:		237
Expected SOS:		271
Current SOS:		226
Current Record:		7-14
Expected Record:		14-15
Current Conf Record:		7-3
Expected Conf Record:		14-4
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		13-4
Current OOC Record:		0-11
Expected OOC Record:		0-11
Expected OOC RPI:		283
Expected OOC SOS:		9

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
15-14	182.1	19.34%
14-15	200.0	36.61%
13-16	218.5	28.92%
12-17	235.4	12.05%
11-18	250.1	2.66%
10-19	263.7	0.38%
9-20	282.7	0.03%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Arkansas Pine Bluff.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Colorado (136.4)	B12	A	72-88	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Denver (148.7)	SB	A	56-75	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Texas El Paso (53.5)	CUSA	A	52-70	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Akron (113.3)	MAC	A	65-68	L	0%	0.0
11-30	Arizona St. (71.5)	P10	A	57-74	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Michigan (143.6)	B10	A	53-67	L	0%	0.0
12-13	Oklahoma St. (47.7)	B12	A	66-81	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Georgia Tech (25.2)	ACC	A	53-65	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Missouri (39.0)	B12	A	70-88	L	0%	0.0
12-21	Kansas St. (7.0)	B12	A	76-90	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Oregon (152.1)	P10	A	53-73	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Mississippi Valley St. (319.2)	SWAC	N	69-68	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Alabama A&M (327.5)	SWAC	A	82-72	W	100%	0.0
1-11	Alabama St. (302.5)	SWAC	A	73-75	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Southern (342.8)	SWAC	H	64-51	W	100%	0.0
1-18	Alcorn St. (345.0)	SWAC	H	93-59	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Prairie View A&M (250.9)	SWAC	A	62-54	W	100%	0.0
1-25	Texas Southern (205.9)	SWAC	A	67-70	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Grambling (338.6)	SWAC	H	92-69	W	100%	0.0
2-1	Jackson St. (244.3)	SWAC	H	67-72	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Alabama A&M (327.5)	SWAC	H	62-55	W	100%	0.0
2-8	Alabama St. (302.5)	SWAC	H	0-0		87%	12.5
2-13	Southern (342.8)	SWAC	A	0-0		88%	12.6
2-15	Alcorn St. (345.0)	SWAC	A	0-0		93%	16.2
2-20	Prairie View A&M (250.9)	SWAC	H	0-0		82%	9.8
2-22	Texas Southern (205.9)	SWAC	H	0-0		71%	6.1
2-27	Grambling (338.6)	SWAC	A	0-0		84%	10.8
3-1	Jackson St. (244.3)	SWAC	A	0-0		59%	2.5
3-4	Mississippi Valley St. (319.2)	SWAC	H	0-0		93%	16.2

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Arkansas Pine Bluff's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Arkansas Pine Bluff's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Arkansas Pine Bluff.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	26.41	26.47	40.26	54.60	-5.14	2.44
Alabama A&M	SWAC	5.25	4.44	33.33	40.17	-1.75	-0.87
Texas Southern	SWAC	3.16	4.54	42.11	53.41	-0.50	0.31
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	3.10	4.51	23.81	28.99	-1.62	-1.90
Southern	SWAC	3.10	4.51	20.00	21.64	-1.86	-2.56
Alcorn St.	SWAC	3.10	4.52	0.00	5.27	-3.10	-4.04
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	3.08	4.49	50.00	57.65	0.00	0.69
Jackson St.	SWAC	3.03	4.48	45.00	47.80	-0.30	-0.20
Alabama St.	SWAC	3.02	4.47	29.41	37.97	-1.25	-1.08
Grambling	SWAC	3.02	4.46	25.00	27.44	-1.51	-2.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.67	1.94	68.18	62.29	0.97	0.48
Colorado	B12	2.60	1.93	40.00	38.36	-0.52	-0.45
Missouri	B12	2.60	1.90	72.73	69.63	1.18	0.75
Kansas St.	B12	2.54	1.87	80.95	78.87	1.57	1.08
Oregon	P10	2.54	1.87	52.38	47.04	0.12	-0.11
Texas El Paso	CUSA	2.49	1.84	76.19	74.82	1.31	0.91
Arizona St.	P10	2.44	1.78	65.22	66.66	0.74	0.59
Akron	MAC	2.38	1.72	68.18	64.83	0.87	0.51
Denver	SB	2.38	1.72	59.09	58.13	0.43	0.28
Georgia Tech	ACC	2.38	1.72	71.43	66.99	1.02	0.59
Michigan	B10	2.38	1.72	42.86	42.00	-0.34	-0.28
Texas A&M	B12	0.34	0.24	72.73	66.85	0.15	0.08
Baylor	B12	0.33	0.29	76.19	72.73	0.17	0.13
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.29	0.25	61.90	56.37	0.07	0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.28	0.14	73.91	69.49	0.13	0.05
Oregon St.	P10	0.27	0.20	45.45	40.28	-0.02	-0.04
Kansas	B12	0.27	0.29	95.65	91.32	0.25	0.24
Washington St.	P10	0.26	0.20	63.64	58.79	0.07	0.04
Auburn	SEC	0.24	0.14	45.45	42.62	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.23	0.18	36.36	36.18	-0.06	-0.05
Nebraska	B12	0.22	0.26	56.52	50.42	0.03	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.22	0.18	77.27	70.93	0.12	0.07
Arkansas St.	SB	0.21	0.15	57.14	57.10	0.03	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.21	0.18	68.18	59.30	0.08	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.18	0.13	78.26	78.92	0.10	0.07
Mississippi	SEC	0.17	0.13	73.91	72.52	0.08	0.06
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.17	0.18	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.17	0.18	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.17	0.08	59.09	54.41	0.03	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.17	0.18	68.42	67.04	0.06	0.06
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.17	0.08	20.00	24.04	-0.10	-0.04
North Texas	SB	0.17	0.18	61.90	63.69	0.04	0.05
Iowa St.	B12	0.16	0.26	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.16	0.12	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.16	0.09	11.11	20.93	-0.13	-0.05
Texas	B12	0.16	0.15	82.61	78.76	0.11	0.08
Utah	MWC	0.16	0.12	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.16	0.09	59.09	52.85	0.03	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.16	0.14	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.16	0.12	87.50	87.42	0.12	0.09
Chattanooga	SC	0.16	0.12	47.83	46.11	-0.01	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.16	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.10	0.06
Southern California	P10	0.16	0.14	60.87	59.61	0.03	0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.16	0.18	59.09	51.13	0.03	0.00
Stanford	P10	0.16	0.14	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.15	0.11	69.57	68.86	0.06	0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.13	0.13	60.87	55.54	0.03	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.12	0.10	35.00	30.59	-0.04	-0.04
Iowa	B10	0.12	0.13	33.33	30.82	-0.04	-0.05
Marquette	BE	0.12	0.10	65.22	66.09	0.04	0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.12	0.10	31.82	29.58	-0.04	-0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.11	0.09	79.17	78.03	0.06	0.05
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.11	0.09	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.11	0.12	79.17	77.30	0.06	0.06
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.09	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.06
Memphis	CUSA	0.11	0.09	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.04
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.11	0.06	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.11	0.09	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.11	0.12	22.73	22.86	-0.06	-0.06
Boston University	AE	0.11	0.06	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.11	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.05	0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.11	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.11	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.11	0.09	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.11	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.11	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.11	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.11	0.09	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Montana	BSky	0.11	0.06	68.18	70.35	0.04	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.11	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.11	0.12	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.05
Portland	WCC	0.11	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.03	0.02
California	P10	0.10	0.11	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.04
UCLA	P10	0.10	0.11	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.10	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.04	-0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.10	0.06	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.10	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.08	0.04
Seattle	ind	0.10	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.12	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.07	0.07	27.27	27.20	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.07	0.07	29.17	28.85	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.07	0.07	31.82	31.64	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	23.53	26.10	-0.04	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.07	0.07	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.07	0.07	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.07	0.07	22.73	22.60	-0.04	-0.04
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.07	0.07	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.06	0.06	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.06	18.18	19.18	-0.04	-0.04
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.06	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.04
Wagner	NEC	0.06	0.06	16.00	21.62	-0.04	-0.03
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.06	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.02	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.02
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.04	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.06	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.56	0.04	0.03
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.03
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Albany	AE	0.05	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.08	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.00
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.03	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.06	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.03	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.03	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.00	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.00	-0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.00	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.00	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.00	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.00	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.00	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.00	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.00	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.00	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.00	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.00	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.00	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	26.41	26.47	40.26	54.60	-5.14	2.44
Texas Southern	SWAC	3.16	4.54	42.11	53.41	-0.50	0.31
Alcorn St.	SWAC	3.10	4.52	0.00	5.27	-3.10	-4.04
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	3.10	4.51	23.81	28.99	-1.62	-1.90
Southern	SWAC	3.10	4.51	20.00	21.64	-1.86	-2.56
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	3.08	4.49	50.00	57.65	0.00	0.69
Jackson St.	SWAC	3.03	4.48	45.00	47.80	-0.30	-0.20
Alabama St.	SWAC	3.02	4.47	29.41	37.97	-1.25	-1.08
Grambling	SWAC	3.02	4.46	25.00	27.44	-1.51	-2.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	5.25	4.44	33.33	40.17	-1.75	-0.87
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.67	1.94	68.18	62.29	0.97	0.48
Colorado	B12	2.60	1.93	40.00	38.36	-0.52	-0.45
Missouri	B12	2.60	1.90	72.73	69.63	1.18	0.75
Kansas St.	B12	2.54	1.87	80.95	78.87	1.57	1.08
Oregon	P10	2.54	1.87	52.38	47.04	0.12	-0.11
Texas El Paso	CUSA	2.49	1.84	76.19	74.82	1.31	0.91
Arizona St.	P10	2.44	1.78	65.22	66.66	0.74	0.59
Akron	MAC	2.38	1.72	68.18	64.83	0.87	0.51
Denver	SB	2.38	1.72	59.09	58.13	0.43	0.28
Georgia Tech	ACC	2.38	1.72	71.43	66.99	1.02	0.59
Michigan	B10	2.38	1.72	42.86	42.00	-0.34	-0.28
Baylor	B12	0.33	0.29	76.19	72.73	0.17	0.13
Kansas	B12	0.27	0.29	95.65	91.32	0.25	0.24
Nebraska	B12	0.22	0.26	56.52	50.42	0.03	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.16	0.26	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.29	0.25	61.90	56.37	0.07	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.34	0.24	72.73	66.85	0.15	0.08
Oregon St.	P10	0.27	0.20	45.45	40.28	-0.02	-0.04
Washington St.	P10	0.26	0.20	63.64	58.79	0.07	0.04
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.23	0.18	36.36	36.18	-0.06	-0.05
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.17	0.18	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.02
North Texas	SB	0.17	0.18	61.90	63.69	0.04	0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.17	0.18	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.22	0.18	77.27	70.93	0.12	0.07
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.17	0.18	68.42	67.04	0.06	0.06
Oklahoma	B12	0.16	0.18	59.09	51.13	0.03	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.21	0.18	68.18	59.30	0.08	0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.21	0.15	57.14	57.10	0.03	0.02
Texas	B12	0.16	0.15	82.61	78.76	0.11	0.08
Auburn	SEC	0.24	0.14	45.45	42.62	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.16	0.14	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.16	0.14	60.87	59.61	0.03	0.03
Stanford	P10	0.16	0.14	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.28	0.14	73.91	69.49	0.13	0.05
Cincinnati	BE	0.13	0.13	60.87	55.54	0.03	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.12	0.13	33.33	30.82	-0.04	-0.05
Wisconsin	B10	0.18	0.13	78.26	78.92	0.10	0.07
Mississippi	SEC	0.17	0.13	73.91	72.52	0.08	0.06
Alabama	SEC	0.16	0.12	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.11	0.12	22.73	22.86	-0.06	-0.06
Utah	MWC	0.16	0.12	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.11	0.12	79.17	77.30	0.06	0.06
Brigham Young	MWC	0.16	0.12	87.50	87.42	0.12	0.09
Ohio St.	B10	0.11	0.12	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.05
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.12	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.16	0.12	47.83	46.11	-0.01	-0.01
California	P10	0.10	0.11	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.04
UCLA	P10	0.10	0.11	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.15	0.11	69.57	68.86	0.06	0.04
Air Force	MWC	0.12	0.10	35.00	30.59	-0.04	-0.04
Marquette	BE	0.12	0.10	65.22	66.09	0.04	0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.12	0.10	31.82	29.58	-0.04	-0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.11	0.09	79.17	78.03	0.06	0.05
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.11	0.09	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.16	0.09	59.09	52.85	0.03	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.16	0.09	11.11	20.93	-0.13	-0.05
Memphis	CUSA	0.11	0.09	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.09	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.06
Miami OH	MAC	0.11	0.09	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.16	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.10	0.06
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.11	0.09	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.11	0.09	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.08	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.17	0.08	59.09	54.41	0.03	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.17	0.08	20.00	24.04	-0.10	-0.04
Centenary	Sum	0.07	0.07	27.27	27.20	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.07	0.07	29.17	28.85	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.07	0.07	31.82	31.64	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	23.53	26.10	-0.04	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.07	0.07	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.07	0.07	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.07	0.07	22.73	22.60	-0.04	-0.04
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.07	0.07	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.06	0.06	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.11	0.06	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Boston University	AE	0.11	0.06	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.11	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.05	0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.06	18.18	19.18	-0.04	-0.04
Houston	CUSA	0.11	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.11	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.00	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.00	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.11	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.06	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.04
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.06	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.56	0.04	0.03
Wagner	NEC	0.06	0.06	16.00	21.62	-0.04	-0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.11	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.02
Montana	BSky	0.11	0.06	68.18	70.35	0.04	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.11	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.11	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.03	0.02
Seattle	ind	0.10	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.11	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.10	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.04	-0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.10	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.08	0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.10	0.06	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Albany	AE	0.05	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.06	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.06	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.02	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.00	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.00	-0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.00	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.00	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.00	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.00	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.00	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.00	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.00	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.04	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.00	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.03	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.00	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.00	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.00
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.03	0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.03	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Kansas St.	B12	2.54	1.87	80.95	78.87	1.57	1.08
Texas El Paso	CUSA	2.49	1.84	76.19	74.82	1.31	0.91
Missouri	B12	2.60	1.90	72.73	69.63	1.18	0.75
Georgia Tech	ACC	2.38	1.72	71.43	66.99	1.02	0.59
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.67	1.94	68.18	62.29	0.97	0.48
Akron	MAC	2.38	1.72	68.18	64.83	0.87	0.51
Arizona St.	P10	2.44	1.78	65.22	66.66	0.74	0.59
Denver	SB	2.38	1.72	59.09	58.13	0.43	0.28
Kansas	B12	0.27	0.29	95.65	91.32	0.25	0.24
Baylor	B12	0.33	0.29	76.19	72.73	0.17	0.13
Texas A&M	B12	0.34	0.24	72.73	66.85	0.15	0.08