The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Youngstown St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Youngstown St.

Conference:		Horz
Expected RPI:		257.4
Current RPI:		250
Expected SOS:		153
Current SOS:		169
Current Record:		6-15
Expected Record:		7-20
Current Conf Record:		2-11
Expected Conf Record:		3-15
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		3-11
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		5-2
Current OOC Record:		4-4
Expected OOC Record:		4-5
Expected OOC RPI:		164
Expected OOC SOS:		174

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
12-15	187.0	0.01%
11-16	203.2	0.23%
10-17	221.2	2.47%
9-18	237.2	12.49%
8-19	250.7	30.89%
7-20	263.8	37.67%
6-21	277.4	16.23%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Youngstown St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Xavier (26.6)	A10	A	57-83	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Kent St. (57.5)	MAC	H	61-70	L	0%	0.0
11-21	St. Peter's (145.2)	MAAC	A	68-56	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Pittsburgh (26.0)	BE	A	56-72	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Detroit (162.9)	Horz	A	71-82	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Wright St. (82.9)	Horz	A	54-67	L	0%	0.0
12-16	St. Francis PA (312.5)	NEC	A	74-65	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Wisconsin Green Bay (120.9)	Horz	A	67-75	L	0%	0.0
12-22	High Point (269.4)	BSth	H	82-69	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Robert Morris (153.8)	NEC	H	67-72	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Cleveland St. (144.7)	Horz	H	48-70	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Illinois Chicago (293.2)	Horz	H	76-67	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Loyola Chicago (184.8)	Horz	H	71-67	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Valparaiso (167.6)	Horz	A	66-70	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Butler (17.9)	Horz	A	61-91	L	0%	0.0
1-22	Wisconsin Milwaukee (160.4)	Horz	H	59-69	L	0%	0.0
1-24	Wisconsin Green Bay (120.9)	Horz	H	55-69	L	0%	0.0
1-27	North Carolina Central (345.5)	ind	H	70-57	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Cleveland St. (144.7)	Horz	A	69-77	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Loyola Chicago (184.8)	Horz	A	85-92	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Illinois Chicago (293.2)	Horz	A	68-74	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Butler (17.9)	Horz	H	0-0		9%	-14.8
2-13	Valparaiso (167.6)	Horz	H	0-0		44%	-1.6
2-15	Wisconsin Milwaukee (160.4)	Horz	A	0-0		15%	-11.3
2-20	UC Riverside (264.2)	BW	A	0-0		32%	-5.2
2-25	Wright St. (82.9)	Horz	H	0-0		16%	-10.6
2-27	Detroit (162.9)	Horz	H	0-0		33%	-4.9

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Youngstown St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Youngstown St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Youngstown St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Youngstown St.	Horz	26.55	26.44	28.57	26.32	-11.38	-12.52
Cleveland St.	Horz	5.62	4.76	40.00	42.87	-1.12	-0.68
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	5.56	4.76	57.14	54.58	0.79	0.44
Illinois Chicago	Horz	5.56	4.73	20.00	20.46	-3.33	-2.79
Loyola Chicago	Horz	5.55	4.72	52.63	49.25	0.29	-0.07
Detroit	Horz	3.40	4.77	54.55	56.62	0.31	0.63
Wright St.	Horz	3.35	4.74	60.87	63.44	0.73	1.27
Butler	Horz	3.33	4.77	82.61	83.07	2.17	3.15
Valparaiso	Horz	3.28	4.73	38.10	40.71	-0.78	-0.88
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	3.23	4.73	47.62	47.92	-0.15	-0.20
Robert Morris	NEC	2.70	2.10	65.22	62.82	0.82	0.54
Kent St.	MAC	2.64	2.01	68.18	69.27	0.96	0.77
High Point	BSth	2.49	1.92	45.00	46.08	-0.25	-0.15
North Carolina Central	ind	2.49	1.92	5.00	10.17	-2.24	-1.53
Xavier	A10	2.48	1.94	68.18	70.45	0.90	0.80
St. Francis PA	NEC	2.48	1.91	31.82	31.35	-0.90	-0.71
Pittsburgh	BE	2.43	1.91	72.73	69.83	1.11	0.76
St. Peter's	MAAC	2.38	1.85	60.87	61.04	0.52	0.41
Kansas St.	B12	0.27	0.16	81.82	79.60	0.17	0.10
Akron	MAC	0.27	0.23	69.57	66.00	0.10	0.07
Wisconsin	B10	0.27	0.19	78.26	78.92	0.15	0.11
Toledo	MAC	0.26	0.29	8.70	10.09	-0.22	-0.23
Central Michigan	MAC	0.26	0.22	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.25	0.16	33.33	33.00	-0.08	-0.05
Long Island	NEC	0.25	0.16	39.13	41.53	-0.05	-0.03
Monmouth	NEC	0.25	0.16	41.67	42.69	-0.04	-0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.22	0.16	54.55	56.62	0.02	0.02
Albany	AE	0.21	0.16	23.08	25.77	-0.12	-0.08
Canisius	MAAC	0.21	0.13	44.00	45.15	-0.03	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.21	0.16	34.78	33.89	-0.06	-0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.21	0.16	75.00	73.72	0.10	0.07
Bowling Green	MAC	0.21	0.28	47.62	45.68	-0.01	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.21	0.22	43.48	47.68	-0.03	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.20	0.16	82.61	78.56	0.13	0.09
Duquesne	A10	0.20	0.12	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.20	0.12	43.48	43.78	-0.03	-0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.17	0.13	8.70	9.54	-0.14	-0.11
Ball St.	MAC	0.16	0.19	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.16	0.10	36.36	37.37	-0.04	-0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.16	0.12	86.36	82.20	0.12	0.08
Wichita St.	MVC	0.16	0.09	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.05
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.16	0.13	70.59	72.98	0.06	0.06
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.16	0.13	33.33	33.96	-0.05	-0.04
Buffalo	MAC	0.16	0.16	55.00	52.00	0.02	0.01
Samford	SC	0.16	0.09	28.57	31.03	-0.07	-0.04
Seton Hall	BE	0.15	0.09	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.15	0.15	39.13	47.65	-0.03	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.15	0.18	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.15	0.16	16.00	21.62	-0.10	-0.09
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.07	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.11	0.07	20.00	23.58	-0.07	-0.04
Holy Cross	Pat	0.11	0.07	26.09	31.05	-0.05	-0.03
NC Asheville	BSth	0.11	0.07	33.33	37.71	-0.04	-0.02
Radford	BSth	0.11	0.07	52.38	56.23	0.01	0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.11	0.07	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.11	0.07	30.00	31.19	-0.05	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.11	0.07	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.11	0.10	27.27	31.08	-0.05	-0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.11	0.10	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.11	0.07	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.11	0.07	76.19	71.14	0.06	0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.11	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.07	-0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.11	0.07	66.67	63.46	0.04	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.11	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.10	0.05
Oregon St.	P10	0.11	0.07	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.11	0.07	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.11	0.09	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.11	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.04	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.11	0.12	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.05	0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.10	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.06	-0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.10	0.13	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.07	-0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.10	0.09	0.00	5.15	-0.10	-0.08
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.09	77.27	73.36	0.06	0.04
Lafayette	Pat	0.10	0.06	60.87	59.16	0.02	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.09	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.10	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.05
Fairfield	MAAC	0.10	0.06	69.57	64.51	0.04	0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.10	0.06	33.33	35.33	-0.03	-0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.13	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.13	83.33	81.25	0.07	0.08
Air Force	MWC	0.06	0.04	35.00	30.59	-0.02	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.06	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.07	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.10	80.95	82.07	0.04	0.07
East Carolina	CUSA	0.06	0.04	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.04	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.02
Florida International	SB	0.06	0.04	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.06	0.04	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.06	0.04	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.06	0.07	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.11	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.04
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.06	0.04	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.04	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.04	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.07	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.05
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.04	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.00
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.06	0.07	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.04
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.04	81.82	72.57	0.04	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.04	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.06	0.07	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.07	17.39	20.11	-0.04	-0.04
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.13	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.07	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.07	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.04
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.07	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.04
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.02
Troy	SB	0.05	0.07	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
California	P10	0.05	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.10	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.09	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.06	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.05
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.03	35.00	38.23	-0.02	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.09	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.03
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.13	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.07
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.03
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.05	-0.06
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.10	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.04
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.03	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.06	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.72	0.02	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.06	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.02
Bryant	ind	0.00	0.06	0.00	4.18	-0.00	-0.06
Cal Poly	BW	0.00	0.07	36.36	36.06	-0.00	-0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.00	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.00	-0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.00	0.07	45.00	48.63	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.00	0.07	39.13	43.30	-0.00	-0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.00	0.06	39.13	41.19	-0.00	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.00	-0.04
Florida	SEC	0.00	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.00	0.01
Montana	BSky	0.00	0.03	68.18	70.35	0.00	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.00	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.00	0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.00	0.03	45.00	45.40	-0.00	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.00	0.07	68.18	68.10	0.00	0.02
Providence	BE	0.00	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.00	0.06	69.57	71.78	0.00	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.00	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.00	0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.00	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.00	-0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.00	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.00	0.03	33.33	33.43	-0.00	-0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.00	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.00	0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.00	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.00	0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.00	0.03	19.05	20.55	-0.00	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.00	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.00	0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.00	0.07	35.00	33.21	-0.00	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.00	0.07	36.36	40.08	-0.00	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.00	1.85	33.33	35.22	-0.00	-0.55
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.00	0.07	60.00	59.64	0.00	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.00	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.00	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.00	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.00	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.00	0.04	29.41	29.63	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Youngstown St.	Horz	26.55	26.44	28.57	26.32	-11.38	-12.52
Butler	Horz	3.33	4.77	82.61	83.07	2.17	3.15
Detroit	Horz	3.40	4.77	54.55	56.62	0.31	0.63
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	5.56	4.76	57.14	54.58	0.79	0.44
Cleveland St.	Horz	5.62	4.76	40.00	42.87	-1.12	-0.68
Wright St.	Horz	3.35	4.74	60.87	63.44	0.73	1.27
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	3.23	4.73	47.62	47.92	-0.15	-0.20
Valparaiso	Horz	3.28	4.73	38.10	40.71	-0.78	-0.88
Illinois Chicago	Horz	5.56	4.73	20.00	20.46	-3.33	-2.79
Loyola Chicago	Horz	5.55	4.72	52.63	49.25	0.29	-0.07
Robert Morris	NEC	2.70	2.10	65.22	62.82	0.82	0.54
Kent St.	MAC	2.64	2.01	68.18	69.27	0.96	0.77
Xavier	A10	2.48	1.94	68.18	70.45	0.90	0.80
High Point	BSth	2.49	1.92	45.00	46.08	-0.25	-0.15
North Carolina Central	ind	2.49	1.92	5.00	10.17	-2.24	-1.53
Pittsburgh	BE	2.43	1.91	72.73	69.83	1.11	0.76
St. Francis PA	NEC	2.48	1.91	31.82	31.35	-0.90	-0.71
St. Peter's	MAAC	2.38	1.85	60.87	61.04	0.52	0.41
UC Riverside	BW	0.00	1.85	33.33	35.22	-0.00	-0.55
Toledo	MAC	0.26	0.29	8.70	10.09	-0.22	-0.23
Bowling Green	MAC	0.21	0.28	47.62	45.68	-0.01	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.27	0.23	69.57	66.00	0.10	0.07
Central Michigan	MAC	0.26	0.22	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.21	0.22	43.48	47.68	-0.03	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.16	0.19	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.27	0.19	78.26	78.92	0.15	0.11
Ohio	MAC	0.15	0.18	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.27	0.16	81.82	79.60	0.17	0.10
Western Michigan	MAC	0.22	0.16	54.55	56.62	0.02	0.02
Albany	AE	0.21	0.16	23.08	25.77	-0.12	-0.08
DePaul	BE	0.21	0.16	34.78	33.89	-0.06	-0.05
Buffalo	MAC	0.16	0.16	55.00	52.00	0.02	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.21	0.16	75.00	73.72	0.10	0.07
UAB	CUSA	0.20	0.16	82.61	78.56	0.13	0.09
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.25	0.16	33.33	33.00	-0.08	-0.05
Long Island	NEC	0.25	0.16	39.13	41.53	-0.05	-0.03
Monmouth	NEC	0.25	0.16	41.67	42.69	-0.04	-0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.15	0.16	16.00	21.62	-0.10	-0.09
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.15	0.15	39.13	47.65	-0.03	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.21	0.13	44.00	45.15	-0.03	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.10	0.13	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.17	0.13	8.70	9.54	-0.14	-0.11
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.13	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.07
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.13	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.13	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.16	0.13	33.33	33.96	-0.05	-0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.16	0.13	70.59	72.98	0.06	0.06
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.13	83.33	81.25	0.07	0.08
Marquette	BE	0.11	0.12	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.04
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.20	0.12	43.48	43.78	-0.03	-0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.16	0.12	86.36	82.20	0.12	0.08
Duquesne	A10	0.20	0.12	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.11	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.04
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.10	80.95	82.07	0.04	0.07
North Carolina	ACC	0.11	0.10	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.11	0.10	27.27	31.08	-0.05	-0.04
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.10	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.10	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.04
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.16	0.10	36.36	37.37	-0.04	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.16	0.09	28.57	31.03	-0.07	-0.04
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.11	0.09	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.16	0.09	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.05
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.09	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.09	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.09	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.15	0.09	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.10	0.09	0.00	5.15	-0.10	-0.08
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.09	77.27	73.36	0.06	0.04
Savannah St.	ind	0.11	0.07	30.00	31.19	-0.05	-0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.07	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.00	0.07	36.36	36.06	-0.00	-0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.00	0.07	45.00	48.63	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.00	0.07	39.13	43.30	-0.00	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.07	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.11	0.07	20.00	23.58	-0.07	-0.04
Holy Cross	Pat	0.11	0.07	26.09	31.05	-0.05	-0.03
Liberty	BSth	0.06	0.07	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.11	0.07	33.33	37.71	-0.04	-0.02
Pacific	BW	0.00	0.07	68.18	68.10	0.00	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.07	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.05
Radford	BSth	0.11	0.07	52.38	56.23	0.01	0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.11	0.07	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.11	0.07	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.00	0.07	35.00	33.21	-0.00	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.00	0.07	36.36	40.08	-0.00	-0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.00	0.07	60.00	59.64	0.00	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.06	0.07	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.04
Winthrop	BSth	0.06	0.07	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.07	17.39	20.11	-0.04	-0.04
Illinois St.	MVC	0.11	0.07	66.67	63.46	0.04	0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.07	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.07	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.04
Oregon St.	P10	0.11	0.07	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.07	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.04
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.11	0.07	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Troy	SB	0.05	0.07	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.11	0.07	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.11	0.07	76.19	71.14	0.06	0.03
Fairfield	MAAC	0.10	0.06	69.57	64.51	0.04	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.11	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.07	-0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.10	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.06	-0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.11	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.10	0.05
Lafayette	Pat	0.10	0.06	60.87	59.16	0.02	0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.10	0.06	33.33	35.33	-0.03	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.05	-0.06
North Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.07	-0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.11	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.04	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.00	0.06	0.00	4.18	-0.00	-0.06
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.00	0.06	39.13	41.19	-0.00	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.00	0.06	69.57	71.78	0.00	0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.06	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
California	P10	0.05	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.00	-0.04
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.05	0.03
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.06	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.05
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.03
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.06	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.02
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.10	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.05
Air Force	MWC	0.06	0.04	35.00	30.59	-0.02	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.06	0.04	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.04	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.02
Florida International	SB	0.06	0.04	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.06	0.04	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.06	0.04	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.06	0.04	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.04	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.04	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.04	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.04	81.82	72.57	0.04	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.04	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.00	0.04	29.41	29.63	-0.00	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.06	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.00	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.00	-0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.01
Montana	BSky	0.00	0.03	68.18	70.35	0.00	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.00	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.00	0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.00	0.03	45.00	45.40	-0.00	-0.00
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.00	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.00	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.00	0.03	33.33	33.43	-0.00	-0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.00	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.00	0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.00	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.00	0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.00	0.03	19.05	20.55	-0.00	-0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.00
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.72	0.02	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.00	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.00	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.00	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.00	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.00	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.00	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.00	0.00
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.00	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.00	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.03	35.00	38.23	-0.02	-0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.03	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.00	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.00	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.00	0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Butler	Horz	3.33	4.77	82.61	83.07	2.17	3.15
Pittsburgh	BE	2.43	1.91	72.73	69.83	1.11	0.76
Kent St.	MAC	2.64	2.01	68.18	69.27	0.96	0.77
Xavier	A10	2.48	1.94	68.18	70.45	0.90	0.80
Robert Morris	NEC	2.70	2.10	65.22	62.82	0.82	0.54
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	5.56	4.76	57.14	54.58	0.79	0.44
Wright St.	Horz	3.35	4.74	60.87	63.44	0.73	1.27
St. Peter's	MAAC	2.38	1.85	60.87	61.04	0.52	0.41
Detroit	Horz	3.40	4.77	54.55	56.62	0.31	0.63
Loyola Chicago	Horz	5.55	4.72	52.63	49.25	0.29	-0.07
Kansas St.	B12	0.27	0.16	81.82	79.60	0.17	0.10
Wisconsin	B10	0.27	0.19	78.26	78.92	0.15	0.11
UAB	CUSA	0.20	0.16	82.61	78.56	0.13	0.09
West Virginia	BE	0.16	0.12	86.36	82.20	0.12	0.08
Ohio St.	B10	0.21	0.16	75.00	73.72	0.10	0.07
Akron	MAC	0.27	0.23	69.57	66.00	0.10	0.07
Kentucky	SEC	0.11	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.10	0.05
Wichita St.	MVC	0.16	0.09	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.05
Syracuse	BE	0.10	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.05
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.13	83.33	81.25	0.07	0.08
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.16	0.13	70.59	72.98	0.06	0.06
Wake Forest	ACC	0.11	0.07	76.19	71.14	0.06	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.09	77.27	73.36	0.06	0.04
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.05	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.04	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.07	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.04
Fairfield	MAAC	0.10	0.06	69.57	64.51	0.04	0.02