The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Virginia Military Inst page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Virginia Military Inst

Conference:		BSth
Expected RPI:		316.7
Current RPI:		321
Expected SOS:		263
Current SOS:		270
Current Record:		4-15
Expected Record:		5-19
Current Conf Record:		3-10
Expected Conf Record:		4-14
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		5-9
Current OOC Record:		1-5
Expected OOC Record:		1-5
Expected OOC RPI:		251
Expected OOC SOS:		36

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
9-15	251.5	0.02%
8-16	274.0	1.24%
7-17	294.0	9.87%
6-18	310.2	31.06%
5-19	322.0	40.36%
4-20	331.9	17.44%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Virginia Military Inst.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Army (204.0)	Pat	H	93-86	W	100%	0.0
11-16	Richmond (38.1)	A10	A	59-103	L	0%	0.0
11-24	NC Wilmington (217.4)	CAA	A	95-115	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Coastal Carolina (129.1)	BSth	H	97-111	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Charleston Southern (268.6)	BSth	H	103-91	W	100%	0.0
12-9	Virginia Tech (62.2)	ACC	A	73-98	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Seton Hall (72.6)	BE	A	107-134	L	0%	0.0
12-22	George Mason (132.8)	CAA	A	86-89	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Liberty (252.2)	BSth	H	102-110	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Winthrop (181.1)	BSth	A	63-96	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Presbyterian (326.0)	BSth	A	75-89	L	0%	0.0
1-14	NC Asheville (246.7)	BSth	H	84-97	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Gardner Webb (308.9)	BSth	H	84-92	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Radford (173.0)	BSth	A	91-109	L	0%	0.0
1-23	High Point (269.4)	BSth	A	94-91	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Liberty (252.2)	BSth	A	73-91	L	0%	0.0
2-2	Radford (173.0)	BSth	H	84-111	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Presbyterian (326.0)	BSth	H	97-78	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Winthrop (181.1)	BSth	H	83-87	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Gardner Webb (308.9)	BSth	A	0-0		40%	-2.7
2-13	NC Asheville (246.7)	BSth	A	0-0		26%	-7.2
2-16	High Point (269.4)	BSth	H	0-0		48%	-0.5
2-25	Charleston Southern (268.6)	BSth	A	0-0		22%	-8.5
2-27	Coastal Carolina (129.1)	BSth	A	0-0		2%	-21.5

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Virginia Military Inst's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Virginia Military Inst's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Virginia Military Inst.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	26.64	26.61	18.82	22.47	-16.61	-14.65
Liberty	BSth	6.23	5.44	36.84	36.83	-1.64	-1.43
Presbyterian	BSth	6.21	5.43	9.09	12.84	-5.08	-4.03
Winthrop	BSth	6.20	5.41	47.37	51.19	-0.33	0.13
Radford	BSth	6.19	5.48	47.37	52.73	-0.33	0.30
Charleston Southern	BSth	3.79	5.43	42.11	40.18	-0.60	-1.07
Coastal Carolina	BSth	3.74	5.41	80.00	80.74	2.24	3.33
NC Asheville	BSth	3.69	5.40	30.00	33.59	-1.48	-1.77
Gardner Webb	BSth	3.69	5.40	15.79	18.88	-2.52	-3.36
High Point	BSth	3.63	5.41	45.00	45.86	-0.36	-0.45
George Mason	CAA	3.00	2.31	60.87	56.28	0.65	0.29
NC Wilmington	CAA	2.80	2.26	27.27	29.91	-1.27	-0.91
Virginia Tech	ACC	2.76	2.20	80.95	71.63	1.71	0.95
Seton Hall	BE	2.69	2.12	55.00	55.95	0.27	0.25
Richmond	A10	2.69	2.12	73.91	70.27	1.29	0.86
Army	Pat	2.63	2.08	60.00	61.31	0.53	0.47
Clemson	ACC	0.42	0.26	69.57	66.88	0.16	0.09
James Madison	CAA	0.36	0.26	43.48	39.98	-0.05	-0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.31	0.30	78.26	71.72	0.17	0.13
North Carolina	ACC	0.30	0.22	56.52	51.96	0.04	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.29	0.22	72.00	73.54	0.13	0.10
College of Charleston	SC	0.25	0.27	66.67	65.62	0.08	0.09
Duke	ACC	0.25	0.27	82.61	82.33	0.17	0.17
Navy	Pat	0.25	0.19	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.25	0.15	18.18	21.04	-0.16	-0.09
William & Mary	CAA	0.24	0.22	68.18	66.65	0.09	0.07
Georgia St.	CAA	0.22	0.14	37.50	38.45	-0.06	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.19	0.12	55.00	52.00	0.02	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.19	0.11	60.87	55.54	0.04	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.19	0.11	65.22	62.07	0.06	0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.19	0.27	4.76	9.78	-0.17	-0.21
Penn St.	B10	0.18	0.15	34.78	32.23	-0.06	-0.05
Appalachian St.	SC	0.18	0.11	55.00	60.15	0.02	0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.18	0.11	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.18	0.15	57.14	58.76	0.03	0.03
Longwood	ind	0.18	0.15	23.81	29.40	-0.09	-0.06
Temple	A10	0.18	0.10	79.17	77.57	0.10	0.06
Miami FL	ACC	0.18	0.11	68.18	62.73	0.06	0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.17	0.18	76.19	71.14	0.09	0.08
Furman	SC	0.17	0.15	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.17	0.14	77.27	77.12	0.09	0.08
George Washington	A10	0.17	0.14	54.55	55.07	0.02	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.17	0.14	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.16	0.14	72.73	71.91	0.07	0.06
Florida	SEC	0.16	0.10	73.91	67.72	0.08	0.04
Auburn	SEC	0.13	0.16	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.13	0.16	71.43	69.51	0.06	0.06
Central Florida	CUSA	0.13	0.08	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.13	0.08	27.27	31.08	-0.06	-0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.13	0.15	17.39	20.11	-0.08	-0.09
Kansas	B12	0.13	0.08	95.65	91.32	0.11	0.06
Long Island	NEC	0.13	0.07	39.13	41.53	-0.03	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.13	0.08	22.73	27.28	-0.07	-0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.13	0.15	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.13	0.08	69.57	67.93	0.05	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.13	0.11	70.83	63.39	0.05	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.13	0.07	73.91	70.80	0.06	0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.13	0.15	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.13	0.08	20.00	24.04	-0.08	-0.04
Brown	Ivy	0.12	0.07	23.81	27.31	-0.06	-0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.12	0.11	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.12	0.19	19.05	23.26	-0.07	-0.10
South Florida	BE	0.12	0.07	65.22	62.18	0.04	0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.12	0.11	37.50	39.23	-0.03	-0.02
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.12	0.07	15.79	17.64	-0.08	-0.05
Lehigh	Pat	0.12	0.11	65.22	65.74	0.04	0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.12	0.07	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.03
Villanova	BE	0.12	0.07	90.91	82.52	0.10	0.05
Virginia	ACC	0.12	0.11	66.67	57.29	0.04	0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.11	0.10	26.09	26.91	-0.05	-0.05
NC Greensboro	SC	0.11	0.07	21.74	24.84	-0.06	-0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.11	0.14	66.67	68.11	0.04	0.05
Towson	CAA	0.11	0.11	22.73	23.47	-0.06	-0.06
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.07	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.11	0.07	66.67	59.01	0.04	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.11	0.11	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.11	0.07	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.03
Seattle	ind	0.11	0.07	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.07	19.05	20.58	-0.07	-0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.11	0.07	61.90	56.12	0.03	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.07	0.08	35.00	30.59	-0.02	-0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.12	71.43	67.85	0.03	0.04
Stetson	ASun	0.07	0.08	14.29	15.65	-0.05	-0.06
Texas	B12	0.07	0.08	82.61	78.76	0.04	0.05
The Citadel	SC	0.07	0.08	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
American	Pat	0.06	0.08	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.03
Bryant	ind	0.06	0.04	0.00	4.18	-0.06	-0.04
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.06	0.08	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.04	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.06	0.04	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.04	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.06	0.04	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.02
Hartford	AE	0.06	0.04	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.06	0.04	73.68	75.41	0.03	0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.06	0.08	26.09	31.05	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.06	0.08	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.06	0.08	95.65	88.67	0.06	0.06
Lafayette	Pat	0.06	0.08	60.87	59.16	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.08	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.06	0.04	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.06	0.04	35.00	38.23	-0.02	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.04	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.02
Portland	WCC	0.06	0.04	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.04	70.59	70.98	0.03	0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.08	30.00	31.19	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.04	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.06	0.04	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.06	0.04	95.83	91.37	0.06	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.06	0.08	81.82	75.66	0.04	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.07	86.36	82.20	0.05	0.05
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.08	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.03
Yale	Ivy	0.06	0.04	36.36	38.12	-0.02	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.08	28.57	27.72	-0.03	-0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.06	0.07	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.06	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.03	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.06	0.03	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.06	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.05	-0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.07	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.07	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.03
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.00	0.04	34.78	33.89	-0.00	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.00	0.08	65.22	64.71	0.00	0.02
Fordham	A10	0.00	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.00	-0.03
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.00	0.07	38.10	41.29	-0.00	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.00	0.04	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.00	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.00	0.07	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.00	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.00	-0.00
St. John's	BE	0.00	0.04	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Xavier	A10	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	26.64	26.61	18.82	22.47	-16.61	-14.65
Radford	BSth	6.19	5.48	47.37	52.73	-0.33	0.30
Liberty	BSth	6.23	5.44	36.84	36.83	-1.64	-1.43
Charleston Southern	BSth	3.79	5.43	42.11	40.18	-0.60	-1.07
Presbyterian	BSth	6.21	5.43	9.09	12.84	-5.08	-4.03
Coastal Carolina	BSth	3.74	5.41	80.00	80.74	2.24	3.33
High Point	BSth	3.63	5.41	45.00	45.86	-0.36	-0.45
Winthrop	BSth	6.20	5.41	47.37	51.19	-0.33	0.13
Gardner Webb	BSth	3.69	5.40	15.79	18.88	-2.52	-3.36
NC Asheville	BSth	3.69	5.40	30.00	33.59	-1.48	-1.77
George Mason	CAA	3.00	2.31	60.87	56.28	0.65	0.29
NC Wilmington	CAA	2.80	2.26	27.27	29.91	-1.27	-0.91
Virginia Tech	ACC	2.76	2.20	80.95	71.63	1.71	0.95
Richmond	A10	2.69	2.12	73.91	70.27	1.29	0.86
Seton Hall	BE	2.69	2.12	55.00	55.95	0.27	0.25
Army	Pat	2.63	2.08	60.00	61.31	0.53	0.47
Charlotte	A10	0.31	0.30	78.26	71.72	0.17	0.13
College of Charleston	SC	0.25	0.27	66.67	65.62	0.08	0.09
Duke	ACC	0.25	0.27	82.61	82.33	0.17	0.17
North Carolina Central	ind	0.19	0.27	4.76	9.78	-0.17	-0.21
James Madison	CAA	0.36	0.26	43.48	39.98	-0.05	-0.05
Clemson	ACC	0.42	0.26	69.57	66.88	0.16	0.09
North Carolina	ACC	0.30	0.22	56.52	51.96	0.04	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.24	0.22	68.18	66.65	0.09	0.07
Old Dominion	CAA	0.29	0.22	72.00	73.54	0.13	0.10
Elon	SC	0.12	0.19	19.05	23.26	-0.07	-0.10
Navy	Pat	0.25	0.19	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.17	0.18	76.19	71.14	0.09	0.08
Auburn	SEC	0.13	0.16	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.13	0.16	71.43	69.51	0.06	0.06
Georgia Southern	SC	0.13	0.15	17.39	20.11	-0.08	-0.09
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.13	0.15	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.25	0.15	18.18	21.04	-0.16	-0.09
Campbell	ASun	0.18	0.15	57.14	58.76	0.03	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.18	0.15	34.78	32.23	-0.06	-0.05
Furman	SC	0.17	0.15	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.13	0.15	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Longwood	ind	0.18	0.15	23.81	29.40	-0.09	-0.06
Georgia St.	CAA	0.22	0.14	37.50	38.45	-0.06	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.17	0.14	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.11	0.14	66.67	68.11	0.04	0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.17	0.14	77.27	77.12	0.09	0.08
George Washington	A10	0.17	0.14	54.55	55.07	0.02	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.16	0.14	72.73	71.91	0.07	0.06
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.12	71.43	67.85	0.03	0.04
Buffalo	MAC	0.19	0.12	55.00	52.00	0.02	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.12	0.11	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.18	0.11	55.00	60.15	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.19	0.11	60.87	55.54	0.04	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.19	0.11	65.22	62.07	0.06	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.13	0.11	70.83	63.39	0.05	0.03
Bucknell	Pat	0.12	0.11	37.50	39.23	-0.03	-0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.18	0.11	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Lehigh	Pat	0.12	0.11	65.22	65.74	0.04	0.03
Towson	CAA	0.11	0.11	22.73	23.47	-0.06	-0.06
Marquette	BE	0.11	0.11	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.03
Miami FL	ACC	0.18	0.11	68.18	62.73	0.06	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.12	0.11	66.67	57.29	0.04	0.02
Temple	A10	0.18	0.10	79.17	77.57	0.10	0.06
Delaware	CAA	0.11	0.10	26.09	26.91	-0.05	-0.05
Florida	SEC	0.16	0.10	73.91	67.72	0.08	0.04
Air Force	MWC	0.07	0.08	35.00	30.59	-0.02	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.07	0.08	14.29	15.65	-0.05	-0.06
The Citadel	SC	0.07	0.08	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.06	0.08	95.65	88.67	0.06	0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.06	0.08	81.82	75.66	0.04	0.04
Texas	B12	0.07	0.08	82.61	78.76	0.04	0.05
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.08	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.03
American	Pat	0.06	0.08	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.06	0.08	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.13	0.08	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.13	0.08	27.27	31.08	-0.06	-0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.00	0.08	65.22	64.71	0.00	0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.06	0.08	26.09	31.05	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.06	0.08	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.13	0.08	95.65	91.32	0.11	0.06
Lafayette	Pat	0.06	0.08	60.87	59.16	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.08	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.13	0.08	22.73	27.28	-0.07	-0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.13	0.08	69.57	67.93	0.05	0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.08	30.00	31.19	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.13	0.08	20.00	24.04	-0.08	-0.04
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.08	28.57	27.72	-0.03	-0.03
Long Island	NEC	0.13	0.07	39.13	41.53	-0.03	-0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.12	0.07	23.81	27.31	-0.06	-0.03
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.12	0.07	15.79	17.64	-0.08	-0.05
Pittsburgh	BE	0.13	0.07	73.91	70.80	0.06	0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.00	0.07	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.12	0.07	65.22	62.18	0.04	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.07	86.36	82.20	0.05	0.05
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.07	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.12	0.07	90.91	82.52	0.10	0.05
Massachusetts	A10	0.12	0.07	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.06	0.07	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.07	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.07	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.11	0.07	66.67	59.01	0.04	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.00	0.07	38.10	41.29	-0.00	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.11	0.07	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.03
Seattle	ind	0.11	0.07	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.07	19.05	20.58	-0.07	-0.04
NC Greensboro	SC	0.11	0.07	21.74	24.84	-0.06	-0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.11	0.07	61.90	56.12	0.03	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.06	0.04	0.00	4.18	-0.06	-0.04
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.04	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.06	0.04	73.68	75.41	0.03	0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.06	0.04	35.00	38.23	-0.02	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.06	0.04	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.04	70.59	70.98	0.03	0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.04	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.06	0.04	36.36	38.12	-0.02	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.04	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.06	0.04	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.03
DePaul	BE	0.00	0.04	34.78	33.89	-0.00	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.06	0.04	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.02
Hartford	AE	0.06	0.04	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.06	0.04	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.04	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.00	0.04	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
St. John's	BE	0.00	0.04	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.06	0.04	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.06	0.04	95.83	91.37	0.06	0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.06	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.03	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.06	0.03	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.06	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.05	-0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Fordham	A10	0.00	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.00	-0.03
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.00	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.00	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.00	-0.00
Xavier	A10	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.00	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Coastal Carolina	BSth	3.74	5.41	80.00	80.74	2.24	3.33
Virginia Tech	ACC	2.76	2.20	80.95	71.63	1.71	0.95
Richmond	A10	2.69	2.12	73.91	70.27	1.29	0.86
George Mason	CAA	3.00	2.31	60.87	56.28	0.65	0.29
Army	Pat	2.63	2.08	60.00	61.31	0.53	0.47
Seton Hall	BE	2.69	2.12	55.00	55.95	0.27	0.25
Charlotte	A10	0.31	0.30	78.26	71.72	0.17	0.13
Duke	ACC	0.25	0.27	82.61	82.33	0.17	0.17
Clemson	ACC	0.42	0.26	69.57	66.88	0.16	0.09
Old Dominion	CAA	0.29	0.22	72.00	73.54	0.13	0.10
Kansas	B12	0.13	0.08	95.65	91.32	0.11	0.06
Temple	A10	0.18	0.10	79.17	77.57	0.10	0.06
Villanova	BE	0.12	0.07	90.91	82.52	0.10	0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.17	0.14	77.27	77.12	0.09	0.08
Wake Forest	ACC	0.17	0.18	76.19	71.14	0.09	0.08
William & Mary	CAA	0.24	0.22	68.18	66.65	0.09	0.07
College of Charleston	SC	0.25	0.27	66.67	65.62	0.08	0.09
Florida	SEC	0.16	0.10	73.91	67.72	0.08	0.04
Dayton	A10	0.16	0.14	72.73	71.91	0.07	0.06
Miami FL	ACC	0.18	0.11	68.18	62.73	0.06	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.13	0.07	73.91	70.80	0.06	0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.06	0.04	95.83	91.37	0.06	0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.06	0.08	95.65	88.67	0.06	0.06
Louisville	BE	0.19	0.11	65.22	62.07	0.06	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.13	0.16	71.43	69.51	0.06	0.06
Ohio St.	B10	0.11	0.07	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.13	0.11	70.83	63.39	0.05	0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.13	0.08	69.57	67.93	0.05	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.07	86.36	82.20	0.05	0.05
Cornell	Ivy	0.06	0.04	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.03
Texas	B12	0.07	0.08	82.61	78.76	0.04	0.05
Cincinnati	BE	0.19	0.11	60.87	55.54	0.04	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.06	0.08	81.82	75.66	0.04	0.04
Virginia	ACC	0.12	0.11	66.67	57.29	0.04	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.30	0.22	56.52	51.96	0.04	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.11	0.14	66.67	68.11	0.04	0.05
Illinois	B10	0.11	0.07	66.67	59.01	0.04	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.12	0.07	65.22	62.18	0.04	0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.12	0.11	65.22	65.74	0.04	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.06	0.04	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.11	0.11	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.06	0.04	73.68	75.41	0.03	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.06	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.03	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.12	71.43	67.85	0.03	0.04
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.11	0.07	61.90	56.12	0.03	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.04	70.59	70.98	0.03	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.18	0.15	57.14	58.76	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.07	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.13	0.15	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.08	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.08	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.19	0.12	55.00	52.00	0.02	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.18	0.11	55.00	60.15	0.02	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.17	0.14	54.55	55.07	0.02	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.06	0.04	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.04	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Lafayette	Pat	0.06	0.08	60.87	59.16	0.01	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.06	0.04	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.06	0.08	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.13	0.15	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.07	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.07	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.06	0.07	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.00	0.04	34.78	33.89	-0.00	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.18	0.11	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.00	0.08	65.22	64.71	0.00	0.02
Fordham	A10	0.00	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.00	-0.03
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.00	0.07	38.10	41.29	-0.00	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.00	0.04	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.00	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.00	0.07	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.00	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.00	-0.00
St. John's	BE	0.00	0.04	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Xavier	A10	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.00	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.12	0.11	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.13	0.08	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.07	0.08	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.04	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.00
Seattle	ind	0.11	0.07	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.06	0.04	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.25	0.19	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.13	0.16	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.06	0.08	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.17	0.14	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.06	0.04	36.36	38.12	-0.02	-0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.06	0.04	35.00	38.23	-0.02	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.07	0.08	35.00	30.59	-0.02	-0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.06	0.03	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.04	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
American	Pat	0.06	0.08	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.03
Hartford	AE	0.06	0.04	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.17	0.15	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.08	30.00	31.19	-0.03	-0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.08	28.57	27.72	-0.03	-0.03
Long Island	NEC	0.13	0.07	39.13	41.53	-0.03	-0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.12	0.11	37.50	39.23	-0.03	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.06	0.08	26.09	31.05	-0.03	-0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.04	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.12	0.07	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.36	0.26	43.48	39.98	-0.05	-0.05
Stetson	ASun	0.07	0.08	14.29	15.65	-0.05	-0.06
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.06	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.05	-0.03
Delaware	CAA	0.11	0.10	26.09	26.91	-0.05	-0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.18	0.15	34.78	32.23	-0.06	-0.05
Georgia St.	CAA	0.22	0.14	37.50	38.45	-0.06	-0.03
Colgate	Pat	0.13	0.08	27.27	31.08	-0.06	-0.03
Towson	CAA	0.11	0.11	22.73	23.47	-0.06	-0.06
Bryant	ind	0.06	0.04	0.00	4.18	-0.06	-0.04
Brown	Ivy	0.12	0.07	23.81	27.31	-0.06	-0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.11	0.07	21.74	24.84	-0.06	-0.03
Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.07	19.05	20.58	-0.07	-0.04
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.13	0.08	22.73	27.28	-0.07	-0.04
Elon	SC	0.12	0.19	19.05	23.26	-0.07	-0.10
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.13	0.08	20.00	24.04	-0.08	-0.04
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.12	0.07	15.79	17.64	-0.08	-0.05
Georgia Southern	SC	0.13	0.15	17.39	20.11	-0.08	-0.09
Longwood	ind	0.18	0.15	23.81	29.40	-0.09	-0.06
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.25	0.15	18.18	21.04	-0.16	-0.09
North Carolina Central	ind	0.19	0.27	4.76	9.78	-0.17	-0.21
Radford	BSth	6.19	5.48	47.37	52.73	-0.33	0.30
Winthrop	BSth	6.20	5.41	47.37	51.19	-0.33	0.13
High Point	BSth	3.63	5.41	45.00	45.86	-0.36	-0.45
Charleston Southern	BSth	3.79	5.43	42.11	40.18	-0.60	-1.07
NC Wilmington	CAA	2.80	2.26	27.27	29.91	-1.27	-0.91
NC Asheville	BSth	3.69	5.40	30.00	33.59	-1.48	-1.77
Liberty	BSth	6.23	5.44	36.84	36.83	-1.64	-1.43
Gardner Webb	BSth	3.69	5.40	15.79	18.88	-2.52	-3.36
Presbyterian	BSth	6.21	5.43	9.09	12.84	-5.08	-4.03
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	26.64	26.61	18.82	22.47	-16.61	-14.65

BY EXPECTED (END-OF-SEASON) HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Coastal Carolina	BSth	3.74	5.41	80.00	80.74	2.24	3.33
Virginia Tech	ACC	2.76	2.20	80.95	71.63	1.71	0.95