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Through games of Mar 12, 2017.


Prairie View A&M

Conference:SWAC
Expected RPI:307.0
Current RPI:307
Expected SOS:318
Current SOS:318
Current Record:11-20
Expected Record:11-20
Current Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Record:10-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-10
Current OOC Record:1-11
Expected OOC Record:1-11
Expected OOC RPI:241
Expected OOC SOS:39



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
11-20307.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Prairie View A&M.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Oregon St. (280.0)P12A78-58L0%0.0
11-14Fresno St. (76.0)MWCA78-84W100%0.0
11-16Saint Mary's (17.0)WCCA110-72L0%0.0
11-19UTSA (264.0)CUSAA69-59L0%0.0
11-25Lamar (232.0)SlndH83-91L0%0.0
11-27Wisconsin (35.0)B10A95-50L0%0.0
12-3Houston (54.0)AmerA105-61L0%0.0
12-6Kansas St. (57.0)B12A74-55L0%0.0
12-10Texas St. (179.0)SBA64-57L0%0.0
12-13Louisiana Tech (116.0)CUSAA65-52L0%0.0
12-17Utah (83.0)P12A92-60L0%0.0
12-22George Mason (103.0)A10A75-59L0%0.0
1-2Southern (320.0)SWACA59-57L0%0.0
1-4Alcorn St. (228.0)SWACA66-55L0%0.0
1-7Texas Southern (108.0)SWACH82-87L0%0.0
1-14Jackson St. (323.0)SWACH63-56W100%0.0
1-16Grambling St. (317.0)SWACH94-82W100%0.0
1-21Mississippi Valley St. (334.0)SWACA72-87W100%0.0
1-23Arkansas Pine Bluff (345.0)SWACA71-68L0%0.0
1-28Alabama A&M (351.0)SWACH70-65W100%0.0
1-30Alabama St. (342.0)SWACH72-52W100%0.0
2-4Texas Southern (108.0)SWACA74-61L0%0.0
2-11Jackson St. (323.0)SWACA78-69L0%0.0
2-13Grambling St. (317.0)SWACA61-58L0%0.0
2-18Mississippi Valley St. (334.0)SWACH82-69W100%0.0
2-20Arkansas Pine Bluff (345.0)SWACH73-55W100%0.0
2-25Alabama A&M (351.0)SWACA87-74L0%0.0
2-27Alabama St. (342.0)SWACA58-77W100%0.0
3-2Southern (320.0)SWACH70-64W100%0.0
3-4Alcorn St. (228.0)SWACH66-60W100%0.0
3-7Grambling St. (317.0)SWACH77-81L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Prairie View A&M's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Prairie View A&M's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Prairie View A&M.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
Prairie View A&MSWAC26.4126.4138.4638.46-6.09-6.09
Grambling St.SWAC5.765.7640.7440.74-1.07-1.07
Texas SouthernSWAC4.334.3365.6265.621.351.35
Alcorn St.SWAC4.314.3151.8551.850.160.16
SouthernSWAC4.244.2442.8642.86-0.61-0.61
Alabama St.SWAC4.204.2025.0025.00-2.10-2.10
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC4.194.1923.3323.33-2.24-2.24
Jackson St.SWAC4.184.1840.7440.74-0.77-0.77
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC4.134.1317.8617.86-2.66-2.66
Alabama A&MSWAC4.134.133.703.70-3.82-3.82
Louisiana TechCUSA1.851.8566.6766.670.620.62
UTSACUSA1.771.7736.6736.67-0.47-0.47
Oregon St.P121.751.7510.0010.00-1.40-1.40
Fresno St.MWC1.691.6962.0762.070.410.41
LamarSlnd1.691.6950.0050.000.000.00
UtahP121.661.6660.7160.710.360.36
George MasonA101.641.6458.0658.060.260.26
Texas St.SB1.641.6456.6756.670.220.22
HoustonAmer1.641.6466.6766.670.550.55
Kansas St.B121.611.6159.3859.380.300.30
Saint Mary'sWCC1.611.6187.1087.101.201.20
WisconsinB101.611.6172.7372.730.730.73
UABCUSA0.270.2750.0050.000.000.00
CaliforniaP120.240.2463.6463.640.070.07
BaylorB120.230.2377.4277.420.130.13
Southern MissCUSA0.220.2224.1424.14-0.11-0.11
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.190.1946.6746.67-0.01-0.01
TroySB0.190.1958.8258.820.030.03
Kent St.MAC0.180.1861.7661.760.040.04
Tennessee TechOVC0.160.1633.3333.33-0.05-0.05
San FranciscoWCC0.160.1661.2961.290.040.04
UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.160.1624.1424.14-0.08-0.08
Grand CanyonWAC0.160.1668.9768.970.060.06
Louisiana MonroeSB0.160.1622.5822.58-0.09-0.09
Western KentuckyCUSA0.160.1646.8846.88-0.01-0.01
UT ArlingtonSB0.150.1574.1974.190.070.07
TCUB120.150.1554.5554.550.010.01
OregonP120.130.1384.8584.850.090.09
New MexicoMWC0.130.1354.8454.840.010.01
Colorado St.MWC0.130.1365.6265.620.040.04
MarshallCUSA0.130.1355.8855.880.020.02
DrakeMVC0.130.1320.6920.69-0.08-0.08
StanfordP120.130.1343.3343.33-0.02-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.130.1360.7160.710.030.03
East CarolinaAmer0.130.1345.4545.45-0.01-0.01
NevadaMWC0.130.1382.3582.350.090.09
TulaneAmer0.130.1319.3519.35-0.08-0.08
GonzagaWCC0.130.1396.9796.970.120.12
RiceCUSA0.130.1364.5264.520.040.04
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.130.1361.2961.290.030.03
West VirginiaB120.120.1276.4776.470.070.07
IndianaB100.120.1254.5554.550.010.01
Georgia TechACC0.110.1151.6151.610.000.00
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.110.1156.6756.670.010.01
ColoradoP120.110.1156.2556.250.010.01
MemphisAmer0.110.1159.3859.380.020.02
HawaiiBW0.110.1144.8344.83-0.01-0.01
San Diego St.MWC0.110.1156.2556.250.010.01
Savannah St.MEAC0.110.1140.7440.74-0.02-0.02
Washington St.P120.110.1140.0040.00-0.02-0.02
LibertyBSth0.100.1055.1755.170.010.01
George WashingtonA100.100.1057.5857.580.020.02
SeattleWAC0.100.1037.0437.04-0.03-0.03
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.100.1028.5728.57-0.04-0.04
TulsaAmer0.100.1046.8846.88-0.01-0.01
UTEPCUSA0.100.1045.1645.16-0.01-0.01
NebraskaB100.100.1036.6736.67-0.03-0.03
Ohio St.B100.100.1053.1253.120.010.01
Oklahoma St.B120.100.1061.2961.290.020.02
PortlandWCC0.100.1029.0329.03-0.04-0.04
ArizonaP120.100.1088.2488.240.080.08
CincinnatiAmer0.100.1085.2985.290.070.07
Iowa St.B120.100.1069.7069.700.040.04
NorthwesternB100.100.1067.6567.650.030.03
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.080.0851.7251.720.000.00
Georgia St.SB0.080.0860.0060.000.020.02
McNeese St.Slnd0.080.0819.2319.23-0.05-0.05
WashingtonP120.080.0829.0329.03-0.03-0.03
DuquesneA100.080.0831.2531.25-0.03-0.03
Miami OHMAC0.080.0830.0030.00-0.03-0.03
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.080.083.333.33-0.08-0.08
ProvidenceBE0.080.0862.5062.500.020.02
VirginiaACC0.080.0868.7568.750.030.03
UCLAP120.080.0887.8887.880.060.06
USCP120.080.0872.7372.730.040.04
Utah ValleyWAC0.080.0842.8642.86-0.01-0.01
Little RockSB0.080.0843.3343.33-0.01-0.01
San Jose St.MWC0.080.0842.8642.86-0.01-0.01
CharlotteCUSA0.080.0841.3841.38-0.01-0.01
ConnecticutAmer0.080.0846.8846.88-0.00-0.00
FIUCUSA0.080.0817.2417.24-0.05-0.05
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.080.0887.8887.880.060.06
North TexasCUSA0.080.0821.4321.43-0.04-0.04
Florida A&MMEAC0.080.0817.8617.86-0.05-0.05
PacificWCC0.080.0831.2531.25-0.03-0.03
BYUWCC0.080.0866.6766.670.030.03
VCUA100.080.0876.4776.470.040.04
Texas TechB120.070.0756.2556.250.010.01
Saint LouisA100.070.0736.3636.36-0.02-0.02
Michigan St.B100.070.0757.5857.580.010.01
LSUSEC0.070.0732.2632.26-0.03-0.03
James MadisonCAA0.070.0728.1228.12-0.03-0.03
La SalleA100.070.0750.0050.000.000.00
OklahomaB120.070.0735.4835.48-0.02-0.02
MichiganB100.070.0768.5768.570.030.03
Bowling GreenMAC0.060.0638.7138.71-0.01-0.01
EvansvilleMVC0.060.0645.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Houston BaptistSlnd0.060.0650.0050.000.000.00
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.060.0653.3353.330.000.00
MissouriSEC0.060.0625.0025.00-0.03-0.03
Missouri St.MVC0.060.0650.0050.000.000.00
Murray St.OVC0.060.0645.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Nicholls St.Slnd0.060.0637.0437.04-0.01-0.01
North Carolina CentralMEAC0.060.0673.3373.330.030.03
Northwestern St.Slnd0.060.0636.0036.00-0.02-0.02
Western CarolinaSC0.060.0623.3323.33-0.03-0.03
Western MichiganMAC0.060.0648.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Arizona St.P120.050.0545.4545.45-0.00-0.00
Air ForceMWC0.050.0532.2632.26-0.02-0.02
Ball St.MAC0.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
Boise St.MWC0.050.0562.0762.070.010.01
Cal St. FullertonBW0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
Central MichiganMAC0.050.0546.6746.67-0.00-0.00
DenverSum0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
Jacksonville St.OVC0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
Kennesaw St.ASun0.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Northern ArizonaBSky0.050.0525.8125.81-0.03-0.03
OhioMAC0.050.0563.3363.330.010.01
SienaMAAC0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
Tennessee MartinOVC0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
Tennessee St.OVC0.050.0553.5753.570.000.00
WyomingMWC0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
Cal PolyBW0.050.0531.0331.03-0.02-0.02
Appalachian St.SB0.050.0525.0025.00-0.03-0.03
Coastal CarolinaSB0.050.0545.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Old DominionCUSA0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
SMUAmer0.050.0588.2488.240.040.04
South AlabamaSB0.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
UCFAmer0.050.0565.6265.620.020.02
Central ArkansasSlnd0.050.0525.0025.00-0.03-0.03
Idaho St.BSky0.050.0513.3313.33-0.04-0.04
Rhode IslandA100.050.0572.7372.730.020.02
MarquetteBE0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
DaytonA100.050.0576.6776.670.030.03
FordhamA100.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Fort WayneSum0.050.0557.1457.140.010.01
Loyola MarymountWCC0.050.0548.2848.28-0.00-0.00
MassachusettsA100.050.0545.4545.45-0.00-0.00
PepperdineWCC0.050.0526.6726.67-0.02-0.02
RichmondA100.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
San DiegoWCC0.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Santa ClaraWCC0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
UMass LowellAE0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
Penn St.B100.050.0545.4545.45-0.00-0.00
KansasB120.050.0587.5087.500.040.04
TexasB120.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
Green BayHorz0.050.0555.1755.170.000.00
MarylandB100.050.0574.1974.190.020.02
TennesseeSEC0.050.0548.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Delaware St.MEAC0.050.0526.6726.67-0.02-0.02
LouisvilleACC0.050.0575.0075.000.020.02
MinnesotaB100.050.0572.7372.730.020.02
RutgersB100.050.0543.7543.75-0.01-0.01
Southern IllinoisMVC0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
Abilene ChristianSlnd0.030.0336.0036.00-0.01-0.01
ButlerBE0.030.0374.1974.190.010.01
Coppin St.MEAC0.030.0323.3323.33-0.01-0.01
DePaulBE0.030.0328.1228.12-0.01-0.01
Incarnate WordSlnd0.030.0332.0032.00-0.01-0.01
Montana St.BSky0.030.0346.6746.67-0.00-0.00
New OrleansSlnd0.030.0360.7160.710.010.01
UC RiversideBW0.030.0322.2222.22-0.02-0.02
XavierBE0.030.0361.7661.760.010.01
Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.030.0367.8667.860.010.01
UNLVMWC0.030.0334.3834.38-0.01-0.01
Utah St.MWC0.030.0343.3343.33-0.00-0.00
ArkansasSEC0.030.0373.5373.530.010.01
Arkansas St.SB0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
CornellIvy0.030.0325.0025.00-0.01-0.01
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.030.0376.6776.670.010.01
Georgia SouthernSB0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
HarvardIvy0.030.0361.5461.540.010.01
Illinois ChicagoHorz0.030.0341.9441.94-0.00-0.00
Long Beach St.BW0.030.0340.6240.62-0.00-0.00
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.030.0337.5037.50-0.01-0.01
Mississippi St.SEC0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
Morgan St.MEAC0.030.0344.8344.83-0.00-0.00
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.030.0317.8617.86-0.02-0.02
South CarolinaSEC0.030.0367.7467.740.010.01
South DakotaSum0.030.0364.5264.520.010.01
South FloridaAmer0.030.0323.3323.33-0.01-0.01
TempleAmer0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
VermontAE0.030.0384.8584.850.020.02
BradleyMVC0.030.0337.5037.50-0.01-0.01
DavidsonA100.030.0353.1253.120.000.00
LongwoodBSth0.030.0314.2914.29-0.02-0.02
MercerSC0.030.0343.3343.33-0.00-0.00
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.030.0355.8855.880.000.00
Northern IowaMVC0.030.0344.8344.83-0.00-0.00
PennIvy0.030.0346.4346.43-0.00-0.00
Saint Joseph'sA100.030.0335.4835.48-0.01-0.01
South Carolina St.MEAC0.030.0331.0331.03-0.01-0.01
St. BonaventureA100.030.0362.5062.500.010.01
TowsonCAA0.030.0359.3859.380.000.00
UC IrvineBW0.030.0357.5857.580.000.00
Boston CollegeACC0.020.0228.1228.12-0.01-0.01
Gardner WebbBSth0.020.0253.3353.330.000.00
HamptonMEAC0.020.0242.8642.86-0.00-0.00
Nebraska OmahaSum0.020.0254.8454.840.000.00
Robert MorrisNEC0.020.0242.4242.42-0.00-0.00
Western IllinoisSum0.020.0223.0823.08-0.01-0.01
Chicago St.WAC0.020.0210.3410.34-0.02-0.02
CreightonBE0.020.0272.7372.730.010.01
GeorgetownBE0.020.0243.7543.75-0.00-0.00
IllinoisB100.020.0254.8454.840.000.00
IowaB100.020.0256.2556.250.000.00
North CarolinaACC0.020.0278.7978.790.010.01
PurdueB100.020.0278.1278.120.010.01
SyracuseACC0.020.0256.2556.250.000.00