The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Missouri Kansas City page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Missouri Kansas City

Conference:		Sum
Expected RPI:		279.4
Current RPI:		293
Expected SOS:		310
Current SOS:		332
Current Record:		8-13
Expected Record:		10-17
Current Conf Record:		4-8
Expected Conf Record:		6-12
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		10-6
Current OOC Record:		4-5
Expected OOC Record:		4-5
Expected OOC RPI:		250
Expected OOC SOS:		330

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
14-13	229.4	0.07%
13-14	242.6	1.50%
12-15	255.7	10.70%
11-16	269.6	28.38%
10-17	283.4	36.08%
9-18	296.7	19.76%
8-19	307.2	3.50%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Missouri Kansas City.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-21	North Dakota (331.1)	GWC	A	70-63	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Nebraska (127.1)	B12	A	48-70	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Idaho St. (275.5)	BSky	H	65-68	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Oral Roberts (122.0)	Sum	A	57-68	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Centenary (292.2)	Sum	A	84-83	W	100%	0.0
12-9	Wichita St. (46.3)	MVC	H	52-73	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Houston Baptist (342.5)	GWC	A	102-87	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Central Arkansas (318.5)	Slnd	H	78-67	W	100%	0.0
12-22	St. Louis (124.0)	A10	A	54-61	L	0%	0.0
12-28	SIU Edwardsville (329.0)	OVC	A	63-54	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Missouri (39.0)	B12	A	57-91	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Southern Utah (316.8)	Sum	H	53-50	W	100%	0.0
1-7	South Dakota St. (204.6)	Sum	H	69-74	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Oakland (72.6)	Sum	A	73-87	L	0%	0.0
1-16	IUPU Fort Wayne (241.9)	Sum	A	69-78	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Western Illinois (307.7)	Sum	H	61-57	W	100%	0.0
1-23	IUPUI (106.7)	Sum	H	64-65	L	0%	0.0
1-26	North Dakota St. (269.1)	Sum	H	69-73	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Southern Utah (316.8)	Sum	A	56-69	L	0%	0.0
2-4	North Dakota St. (269.1)	Sum	A	58-56	W	100%	0.0
2-6	South Dakota St. (204.6)	Sum	A	57-78	L	0%	0.0
2-11	IUPU Fort Wayne (241.9)	Sum	H	0-0		55%	1.4
2-13	Oakland (72.6)	Sum	H	0-0		26%	-7.1
2-18	IUPUI (106.7)	Sum	A	0-0		7%	-16.4
2-20	Western Illinois (307.7)	Sum	A	0-0		39%	-3.0
2-25	Centenary (292.2)	Sum	H	0-0		76%	7.8
2-27	Oral Roberts (122.0)	Sum	H	0-0		25%	-7.2

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Missouri Kansas City's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Missouri Kansas City's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Missouri Kansas City.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	26.49	26.51	42.72	40.04	-3.86	-5.28
Southern Utah	Sum	5.58	4.81	15.79	18.20	-3.82	-3.06
North Dakota St.	Sum	5.57	4.80	31.58	32.62	-2.05	-1.67
South Dakota St.	Sum	5.53	4.78	45.00	46.99	-0.55	-0.29
Oral Roberts	Sum	3.37	4.82	52.17	56.50	0.15	0.63
Centenary	Sum	3.31	4.78	28.57	28.42	-1.42	-2.06
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	3.31	4.88	40.00	43.14	-0.66	-0.67
Oakland	Sum	3.27	4.82	65.22	68.09	0.99	1.75
Western Illinois	Sum	3.26	4.84	31.58	31.90	-1.20	-1.75
IUPUI	Sum	3.15	4.79	63.64	64.80	0.86	1.42
Nebraska	B12	2.60	2.01	54.55	48.77	0.24	-0.05
Central Arkansas	Slnd	2.55	2.06	22.22	25.96	-1.42	-0.99
North Dakota	GWC	2.54	2.05	16.67	28.91	-1.70	-0.87
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	2.50	2.06	9.09	9.93	-2.05	-1.65
Wichita St.	MVC	2.49	1.92	78.26	76.52	1.41	1.02
Missouri	B12	2.48	1.97	72.73	69.63	1.13	0.77
Houston Baptist	GWC	2.44	1.92	23.81	24.88	-1.28	-0.96
St. Louis	A10	2.43	1.88	60.00	54.56	0.49	0.17
Idaho St.	BSky	2.38	1.85	15.00	21.07	-1.67	-1.07
Iowa St.	B12	0.34	0.29	56.52	50.47	0.04	0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.28	0.20	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.04
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.28	0.20	60.87	57.71	0.06	0.03
Kansas	B12	0.27	0.22	95.65	91.32	0.24	0.18
Drake	MVC	0.27	0.20	44.00	43.20	-0.03	-0.03
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.23	0.17	79.17	78.03	0.14	0.10
Utah Valley	GWC	0.23	0.20	36.84	39.02	-0.06	-0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.23	0.17	45.45	44.03	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.22	0.17	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.22	0.19	69.57	69.99	0.09	0.08
Kansas St.	B12	0.21	0.25	81.82	79.60	0.14	0.15
Creighton	MVC	0.21	0.12	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.20	0.19	56.52	54.46	0.03	0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.18	0.14	26.32	31.51	-0.08	-0.05
Montana	BSky	0.18	0.10	68.18	70.35	0.06	0.04
Boise St.	WAC	0.17	0.10	45.45	45.95	-0.02	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.17	0.17	23.53	26.10	-0.09	-0.08
Savannah St.	ind	0.17	0.17	30.00	31.19	-0.07	-0.06
Utah St.	WAC	0.17	0.13	73.91	76.66	0.08	0.07
Weber St.	BSky	0.17	0.14	61.90	65.04	0.04	0.04
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.17	0.17	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.17	0.10	30.43	29.01	-0.07	-0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.17	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.08	0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.17	0.19	12.00	18.82	-0.13	-0.12
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.17	0.10	5.00	8.59	-0.15	-0.08
Notre Dame	BE	0.17	0.13	70.83	63.39	0.07	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.17	0.09	75.00	71.23	0.08	0.04
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.17	0.11	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.16	0.10	91.30	88.21	0.13	0.07
Chicago St.	GWC	0.16	0.16	20.00	20.57	-0.10	-0.09
Purdue	B10	0.16	0.10	86.36	81.80	0.12	0.07
Oregon	P10	0.16	0.13	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.16	0.13	59.09	51.13	0.03	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.16	0.09	33.33	33.00	-0.05	-0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.15	0.10	66.67	63.46	0.05	0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.11	0.10	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.11	0.07	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.11	0.07	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.11	0.07	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.11	0.07	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.11	0.07	81.82	80.91	0.07	0.04
UC Davis	BW	0.11	0.07	35.00	33.21	-0.03	-0.02
UC Riverside	BW	0.11	0.07	33.33	36.45	-0.04	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.11	0.10	70.59	72.98	0.05	0.04
Brigham Young	MWC	0.11	0.06	87.50	87.42	0.08	0.05
Duquesne	A10	0.11	0.13	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.11	0.07	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.11	0.07	27.27	25.82	-0.05	-0.03
Southern California	P10	0.11	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.02	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.11	0.07	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.11	0.07	36.36	36.06	-0.03	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.07	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.11	0.07	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.11	0.07	20.00	21.94	-0.06	-0.04
Minnesota	B10	0.11	0.07	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.11	0.07	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.11	0.07	33.33	30.72	-0.04	-0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.10	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.13	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.07
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.09	66.67	64.62	0.04	0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.11	0.09	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.11	0.13	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.08
Austin Peay	OVC	0.10	0.16	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.10	0.12	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.07	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.10	0.07	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.07	86.96	85.47	0.08	0.05
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.10	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.10	0.09	68.18	59.30	0.04	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.09	77.27	70.93	0.06	0.04
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.06	0.07	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.04	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.03	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.06	0.07	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.06	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.04	19.05	20.58	-0.04	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.07	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.04	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.06	0.04	36.84	36.82	-0.02	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.07	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.07	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.06
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.06	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.06	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.07	18.18	19.18	-0.04	-0.04
Fordham	A10	0.06	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.05	-0.03
George Washington	A10	0.06	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.06	0.07	81.82	83.61	0.04	0.05
La Salle	A10	0.06	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.06	0.07	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.06	0.07	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.06	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.07	8.70	10.09	-0.05	-0.05
Utah	MWC	0.06	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.06	0.07	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.06	0.07	63.64	58.79	0.02	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.07	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.07	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.07	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.07	82.61	75.26	0.04	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.07	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.07	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.07	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.03
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.13	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.06
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.06	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.04	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.10	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.05
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.04	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.07	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.04	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.05
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	54.19	-0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.03
Baylor	B12	0.00	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.00	0.03
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.00	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.00	-0.02
Dayton	A10	0.00	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.00	0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.00	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.00	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.00	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.00	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.00	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.00	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.00	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.00	0.02
Texas	B12	0.00	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.00	0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.00	0.04	55.56	58.32	0.00	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	26.49	26.51	42.72	40.04	-3.86	-5.28
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	3.31	4.88	40.00	43.14	-0.66	-0.67
Western Illinois	Sum	3.26	4.84	31.58	31.90	-1.20	-1.75
Oakland	Sum	3.27	4.82	65.22	68.09	0.99	1.75
Oral Roberts	Sum	3.37	4.82	52.17	56.50	0.15	0.63
Southern Utah	Sum	5.58	4.81	15.79	18.20	-3.82	-3.06
North Dakota St.	Sum	5.57	4.80	31.58	32.62	-2.05	-1.67
IUPUI	Sum	3.15	4.79	63.64	64.80	0.86	1.42
Centenary	Sum	3.31	4.78	28.57	28.42	-1.42	-2.06
South Dakota St.	Sum	5.53	4.78	45.00	46.99	-0.55	-0.29
Central Arkansas	Slnd	2.55	2.06	22.22	25.96	-1.42	-0.99
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	2.50	2.06	9.09	9.93	-2.05	-1.65
North Dakota	GWC	2.54	2.05	16.67	28.91	-1.70	-0.87
Nebraska	B12	2.60	2.01	54.55	48.77	0.24	-0.05
Missouri	B12	2.48	1.97	72.73	69.63	1.13	0.77
Wichita St.	MVC	2.49	1.92	78.26	76.52	1.41	1.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	2.44	1.92	23.81	24.88	-1.28	-0.96
St. Louis	A10	2.43	1.88	60.00	54.56	0.49	0.17
Idaho St.	BSky	2.38	1.85	15.00	21.07	-1.67	-1.07
Iowa St.	B12	0.34	0.29	56.52	50.47	0.04	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.21	0.25	81.82	79.60	0.14	0.15
Kansas	B12	0.27	0.22	95.65	91.32	0.24	0.18
South Dakota	GWC	0.28	0.20	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.23	0.20	36.84	39.02	-0.06	-0.04
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.28	0.20	60.87	57.71	0.06	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.27	0.20	44.00	43.20	-0.03	-0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.22	0.19	69.57	69.99	0.09	0.08
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.17	0.19	12.00	18.82	-0.13	-0.12
Indiana St.	MVC	0.20	0.19	56.52	54.46	0.03	0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.17	0.17	30.00	31.19	-0.07	-0.06
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.23	0.17	79.17	78.03	0.14	0.10
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.17	0.17	23.53	26.10	-0.09	-0.08
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.23	0.17	45.45	44.03	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.22	0.17	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.17	0.17	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.16	0.16	20.00	20.57	-0.10	-0.09
Austin Peay	OVC	0.10	0.16	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.18	0.14	26.32	31.51	-0.08	-0.05
Weber St.	BSky	0.17	0.14	61.90	65.04	0.04	0.04
Utah St.	WAC	0.17	0.13	73.91	76.66	0.08	0.07
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.13	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.07
Wisconsin	B10	0.11	0.13	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.08
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.13	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.06
Notre Dame	BE	0.17	0.13	70.83	63.39	0.07	0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.16	0.13	59.09	51.13	0.03	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.16	0.13	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.11	0.13	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.21	0.12	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Colorado	B12	0.10	0.12	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.17	0.11	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Purdue	B10	0.16	0.10	86.36	81.80	0.12	0.07
Montana	BSky	0.18	0.10	68.18	70.35	0.06	0.04
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.11	0.10	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.17	0.10	5.00	8.59	-0.15	-0.08
Boise St.	WAC	0.17	0.10	45.45	45.95	-0.02	-0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.17	0.10	30.43	29.01	-0.07	-0.04
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.10	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.05
Illinois St.	MVC	0.15	0.10	66.67	63.46	0.05	0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.11	0.10	70.59	72.98	0.05	0.04
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.10	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.16	0.10	91.30	88.21	0.13	0.07
Texas A&M	B12	0.17	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.08	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.17	0.09	75.00	71.23	0.08	0.04
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.09	66.67	64.62	0.04	0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.11	0.09	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.16	0.09	33.33	33.00	-0.05	-0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.09	77.27	70.93	0.06	0.04
Texas Tech	B12	0.10	0.09	68.18	59.30	0.04	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.07	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.03
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.06	0.07	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
Fresno St.	WAC	0.11	0.07	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho	WAC	0.11	0.07	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.10	0.07	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.07	86.96	85.47	0.08	0.05
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.06	0.07	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.07	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.06
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.07	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.11	0.07	35.00	33.21	-0.03	-0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.11	0.07	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.11	0.07	36.36	36.06	-0.03	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.07	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.11	0.07	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.11	0.07	20.00	21.94	-0.06	-0.04
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.07	18.18	19.18	-0.04	-0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.06	0.07	81.82	83.61	0.04	0.05
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.07	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.03
Hawaii	WAC	0.11	0.07	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.07	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.07	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.07	82.61	75.26	0.04	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.07	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.11	0.07	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.07	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.07	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.11	0.07	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.11	0.07	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.11	0.07	81.82	80.91	0.07	0.04
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.06	0.07	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.06	0.07	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.07	8.70	10.09	-0.05	-0.05
UC Riverside	BW	0.11	0.07	33.33	36.45	-0.04	-0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.06	0.07	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.06	0.07	63.64	58.79	0.02	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.11	0.07	33.33	30.72	-0.04	-0.03
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.11	0.07	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.11	0.07	27.27	25.82	-0.05	-0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.07	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.07	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.11	0.06	87.50	87.42	0.08	0.05
Southern California	P10	0.11	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.02	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.06	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.00	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.00	0.03
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.05
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.04
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.03
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.10	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.00	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.00	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.02
Texas	B12	0.00	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.00	0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.04	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.04	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.04	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.04	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.04	19.05	20.58	-0.04	-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.04	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.00	0.04	55.56	58.32	0.00	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.06	0.04	36.84	36.82	-0.02	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.00	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.00	-0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.03	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.06	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.06	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.06	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.06	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.06	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.05	-0.03
George Washington	A10	0.06	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.06	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.00	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.00	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.00	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.00	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.06	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.00	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.00	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.00	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
North Texas	SB	0.00	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.00	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	54.19	-0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Wichita St.	MVC	2.49	1.92	78.26	76.52	1.41	1.02
Missouri	B12	2.48	1.97	72.73	69.63	1.13	0.77
Oakland	Sum	3.27	4.82	65.22	68.09	0.99	1.75
IUPUI	Sum	3.15	4.79	63.64	64.80	0.86	1.42
St. Louis	A10	2.43	1.88	60.00	54.56	0.49	0.17
Kansas	B12	0.27	0.22	95.65	91.32	0.24	0.18
Nebraska	B12	2.60	2.01	54.55	48.77	0.24	-0.05
Oral Roberts	Sum	3.37	4.82	52.17	56.50	0.15	0.63
Kansas St.	B12	0.21	0.25	81.82	79.60	0.14	0.15
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.23	0.17	79.17	78.03	0.14	0.10
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.16	0.10	91.30	88.21	0.13	0.07
Purdue	B10	0.16	0.10	86.36	81.80	0.12	0.07
Memphis	CUSA	0.22	0.19	69.57	69.99	0.09	0.08
Richmond	A10	0.17	0.09	75.00	71.23	0.08	0.04
Brigham Young	MWC	0.11	0.06	87.50	87.42	0.08	0.05
Utah St.	WAC	0.17	0.13	73.91	76.66	0.08	0.07
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.07	86.96	85.47	0.08	0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.17	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.08	0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.11	0.07	81.82	80.91	0.07	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.17	0.13	70.83	63.39	0.07	0.03
Montana	BSky	0.18	0.10	68.18	70.35	0.06	0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.13	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.07
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.28	0.20	60.87	57.71	0.06	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.11	0.13	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.08
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.09	77.27	70.93	0.06	0.04
Illinois St.	MVC	0.15	0.10	66.67	63.46	0.05	0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.11	0.10	70.59	72.98	0.05	0.04
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.05
Iowa St.	B12	0.34	0.29	56.52	50.47	0.04	0.00
Weber St.	BSky	0.17	0.14	61.90	65.04	0.04	0.04
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.04
Texas Tech	B12	0.10	0.09	68.18	59.30	0.04	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.06	0.07	81.82	83.61	0.04	0.05
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.09	66.67	64.62	0.04	0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.07	82.61	75.26	0.04	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.07	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.06	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.11	0.07	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.16	0.13	59.09	51.13	0.03	0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.20	0.19	56.52	54.46	0.03	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.07	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.11	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.02	0.01
Denver	SB	0.11	0.07	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.07	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.07	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.07	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.04	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.07	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.06	0.07	63.64	58.79	0.02	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.11	0.07	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.16	0.13	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.11	0.09	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.06	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.11	0.07	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.10	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.10	0.16	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.10	0.07	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.04	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.04	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.0