The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Loyola MD page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Loyola MD

Conference:		MAAC
Expected RPI:		180.7
Current RPI:		184
Expected SOS:		209
Current SOS:		231
Current Record:		12-12
Expected Record:		15-14
Current Conf Record:		5-9
Expected Conf Record:		7-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		10-2
Current OOC Record:		7-3
Expected OOC Record:		8-3
Expected OOC RPI:		120
Expected OOC SOS:		319

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
17-12	146.9	3.88%
16-13	163.7	25.91%
15-14	179.9	38.97%
14-15	195.8	23.73%
13-16	211.9	6.80%
12-17	225.1	0.70%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Loyola MD.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Vermont (145.2)	AE	H	79-66	W	100%	0.0
11-15	West Virginia (5.3)	BE	A	60-83	L	0%	0.0
11-18	MD Baltimore County (340.4)	AE	A	69-66	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Mount St. Mary's (187.9)	NEC	A	44-63	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Dartmouth (323.6)	Ivy	A	58-41	W	100%	0.0
12-1	Morgan St. (104.2)	MEAC	H	78-66	W	100%	0.0
12-4	Canisius (203.7)	MAAC	A	65-70	L	0%	0.0
12-6	Niagara (167.2)	MAAC	A	57-77	L	0%	0.0
12-9	Coppin St. (329.8)	MEAC	A	58-63	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Howard (315.4)	MEAC	H	85-51	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Indiana (207.1)	B10	A	72-67	W	100%	0.0
12-28	Bucknell (275.4)	Pat	A	55-49	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Rider (151.8)	MAAC	H	68-66	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Siena (32.8)	MAAC	H	56-76	L	0%	0.0
1-8	Fairfield (109.0)	MAAC	A	60-65	L	0%	0.0
1-11	Iona (80.5)	MAAC	H	50-59	L	0%	0.0
1-15	Marist (330.2)	MAAC	H	68-61	W	100%	0.0
1-17	St. Peter's (146.1)	MAAC	A	43-48	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Siena (32.8)	MAAC	A	61-67	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Marist (330.2)	MAAC	A	80-64	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Fairfield (109.0)	MAAC	H	69-73	L	0%	0.0
1-31	Niagara (167.2)	MAAC	H	77-86	L	0%	0.0
2-5	Rider (151.8)	MAAC	A	80-73	W	100%	0.0
2-7	Manhattan (239.8)	MAAC	A	62-56	W	100%	0.0
2-12	St. Peter's (146.1)	MAAC	H	0-0		60%	2.9
2-14	Iona (80.5)	MAAC	A	0-0		17%	-10.3
2-20	New Hampshire (273.5)	AE	H	0-0		81%	9.4
2-26	Canisius (203.7)	MAAC	H	0-0		68%	5.1
2-28	Manhattan (239.8)	MAAC	H	0-0		69%	5.3

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Loyola MD's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Loyola MD's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Loyola MD.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Loyola MD	MAAC	26.46	26.36	55.17	53.84	2.74	2.02
Marist	MAAC	5.00	4.46	4.55	5.10	-4.55	-4.00
Rider	MAAC	4.97	4.41	58.33	54.65	0.83	0.41
Niagara	MAAC	4.97	4.43	45.83	46.56	-0.41	-0.30
Fairfield	MAAC	4.96	4.42	63.64	61.71	1.35	1.04
Siena	MAAC	4.93	4.40	82.61	80.25	3.22	2.66
Manhattan	MAAC	3.00	4.39	34.78	36.76	-0.91	-1.16
Iona	MAAC	3.00	4.38	70.83	69.24	1.25	1.68
Canisius	MAAC	2.97	4.40	41.67	43.67	-0.49	-0.56
St. Peter's	MAAC	2.96	4.37	56.52	58.09	0.39	0.71
Howard	MEAC	2.44	1.98	25.00	27.35	-1.22	-0.90
Vermont	AE	2.36	2.03	70.83	69.39	0.98	0.79
MD Baltimore County	AE	2.34	1.96	8.70	10.79	-1.94	-1.54
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	2.29	1.87	36.36	45.81	-0.62	-0.16
Morgan St.	MEAC	2.27	1.91	75.00	76.16	1.13	1.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	2.26	1.86	11.11	19.82	-1.75	-1.12
Bucknell	Pat	2.22	1.82	39.13	40.59	-0.48	-0.34
Dartmouth	Ivy	2.17	1.81	16.67	18.31	-1.45	-1.15
West Virginia	BE	2.14	1.76	81.82	78.75	1.36	1.01
Indiana	B10	2.12	1.75	42.86	36.05	-0.30	-0.49
Boston University	AE	0.39	0.38	54.17	57.60	0.03	0.06
American	Pat	0.30	0.26	30.43	32.38	-0.12	-0.09
Rutgers	BE	0.30	0.23	47.83	42.88	-0.01	-0.03
Binghamton	AE	0.30	0.32	39.13	38.66	-0.06	-0.07
Albany	AE	0.29	0.32	23.08	25.74	-0.16	-0.15
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.27	0.21	43.48	43.79	-0.04	-0.03
Lehigh	Pat	0.27	0.20	65.22	65.74	0.08	0.06
Long Island	NEC	0.26	0.26	39.13	41.52	-0.06	-0.04
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.26	0.29	22.73	25.50	-0.14	-0.14
Navy	Pat	0.23	0.15	47.83	44.79	-0.01	-0.02
Hartford	AE	0.23	0.27	30.43	32.48	-0.09	-0.09
New Hampshire	AE	0.23	1.93	35.00	38.92	-0.07	-0.43
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.22	0.17	18.18	21.04	-0.14	-0.10
Holy Cross	Pat	0.22	0.18	26.09	31.04	-0.10	-0.07
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.19	0.12	69.57	71.85	0.07	0.05
Princeton	Ivy	0.19	0.18	70.59	70.97	0.08	0.08
Hampton	MEAC	0.18	0.17	34.78	43.27	-0.05	-0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.18	0.12	52.17	53.91	0.01	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.18	0.15	16.00	21.66	-0.12	-0.08
Maine	AE	0.17	0.18	65.22	63.02	0.05	0.05
Delaware	CAA	0.17	0.11	29.17	29.51	-0.07	-0.05
Buffalo	MAC	0.16	0.20	55.00	51.98	0.02	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.16	0.11	39.13	36.58	-0.04	-0.03
Michigan	B10	0.15	0.09	45.45	44.04	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.14	0.12	85.71	85.58	0.10	0.09
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.14	0.11	52.38	53.77	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.14	0.15	50.00	52.71	0.00	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.14	0.17	30.43	32.84	-0.05	-0.06
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.14	0.17	23.81	30.79	-0.07	-0.07
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.14	0.15	55.56	56.61	0.02	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.14	0.15	27.78	28.62	-0.06	-0.06
Pittsburgh	BE	0.14	0.15	75.00	70.94	0.07	0.06
Maryland	ACC	0.13	0.12	71.43	67.91	0.06	0.04
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.13	0.15	39.13	41.23	-0.03	-0.03
Fordham	A10	0.13	0.12	9.52	8.90	-0.11	-0.10
Hofstra	CAA	0.13	0.21	45.83	47.79	-0.01	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.13	0.09	54.55	49.23	0.01	-0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.13	0.15	22.22	27.54	-0.07	-0.07
Stony Brook	AE	0.13	0.24	68.18	68.74	0.05	0.09
Kentucky	SEC	0.13	0.08	95.65	88.68	0.12	0.07
Providence	BE	0.13	0.14	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.12	0.08	47.83	46.40	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.12	0.14	41.67	42.67	-0.02	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.12	0.08	69.57	66.00	0.05	0.03
Central Florida	CUSA	0.12	0.08	47.62	44.50	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.12	0.08	56.00	55.95	0.01	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.12	0.11	40.00	42.60	-0.02	-0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.11	0.10	73.68	75.41	0.05	0.05
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.06	62.50	57.77	0.03	0.01
Army	Pat	0.10	0.12	57.14	59.01	0.01	0.02
Colgate	Pat	0.10	0.12	27.27	31.07	-0.04	-0.05
Columbia	Ivy	0.10	0.09	40.00	39.17	-0.02	-0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.10	0.09	16.67	19.93	-0.07	-0.06
Illinois	B10	0.09	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.09	0.06	73.91	72.54	0.04	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.09	75.00	73.71	0.05	0.04
Purdue	B10	0.09	0.09	86.36	81.79	0.07	0.05
Bryant	ind	0.09	0.09	0.00	4.21	-0.09	-0.08
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.06	34.78	32.21	-0.03	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.09	0.08	63.64	64.63	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.06	70.83	63.36	0.04	0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.09	0.12	57.14	57.50	0.01	0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.09	0.09	30.43	30.24	-0.03	-0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.09	0.09	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.09	0.05	65.22	62.02	0.03	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.09	0.09	64.00	63.77	0.02	0.02
Lafayette	Pat	0.09	0.12	60.87	59.15	0.02	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.06	86.36	81.53	0.06	0.04
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.14	32.00	31.25	-0.03	-0.05
George Washington	A10	0.09	0.06	54.55	55.03	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.09	0.06	8.70	10.07	-0.07	-0.05
Towson	CAA	0.09	0.12	26.09	26.14	-0.04	-0.06
Baylor	B12	0.08	0.08	76.19	72.74	0.04	0.04
Brown	Ivy	0.08	0.12	23.81	27.30	-0.04	-0.06
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.06	72.73	68.10	0.04	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.08	0.06	66.67	68.15	0.03	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.08	0.06	91.30	88.20	0.07	0.04
Temple	A10	0.08	0.06	79.17	77.60	0.05	0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.08	0.06	20.00	24.03	-0.05	-0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.08	0.06	35.00	30.57	-0.02	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.08	0.06	45.45	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.08	0.06	52.17	55.03	0.00	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.08	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.08	0.06	69.57	68.49	0.03	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.08	0.06	70.59	73.00	0.03	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.08	0.06	66.67	57.28	0.03	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.57	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.54	0.02	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.64	0.01	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.81	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.60	-0.04	-0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.92	0.02	0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.11	-0.03	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.03	17.39	20.22	-0.03	-0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.90	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.45	0.02	0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.64	-0.01	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.14	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.51	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.14	0.01	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.57	0.02	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.09	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.32	0.04	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.84	0.02	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	48.93	-0.00	-0.00
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.06	91.30	85.32	0.04	0.04
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.04	0.06	45.45	47.50	-0.00	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.04	0.09	41.67	38.60	-0.01	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.04	0.03	45.45	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Richmond	A10	0.04	0.03	75.00	71.22	0.02	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.04	0.06	76.19	73.21	0.02	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.04	0.03	81.82	72.56	0.03	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.04	0.17	68.18	66.69	0.02	0.06
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.04	0.06	28.57	27.82	-0.02	-0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.04	0.03	57.14	61.39	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.04	0.03	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.04	0.06	47.62	45.72	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.04	0.08	60.87	56.52	0.01	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.04	0.06	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.04	0.03	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.04	0.03	65.22	64.72	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.04	0.06	47.62	46.89	-0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.04	0.06	73.91	69.55	0.02	0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.04	0.03	37.50	38.43	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.04	0.06	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.04	0.03	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.04	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.02	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.04	0.06	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.04	0.06	55.56	55.84	0.00	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.04	0.03	86.96	84.64	0.03	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.04	0.03	68.42	67.05	0.02	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.04	0.09	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.02
Butler	Horz	0.00	0.06	84.00	84.05	0.00	0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.00	0.03	60.87	55.48	0.00	0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.00	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.00	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.00	0.03	86.96	85.51	0.00	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.00	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.00	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.00	0.06	36.36	40.06	-0.00	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.06	78.26	78.94	0.00	0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.00	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Loyola MD	MAAC	26.46	26.36	55.17	53.84	2.74	2.02
Marist	MAAC	5.00	4.46	4.55	5.10	-4.55	-4.00
Niagara	MAAC	4.97	4.43	45.83	46.56	-0.41	-0.30
Fairfield	MAAC	4.96	4.42	63.64	61.71	1.35	1.04
Rider	MAAC	4.97	4.41	58.33	54.65	0.83	0.41
Siena	MAAC	4.93	4.40	82.61	80.25	3.22	2.66
Canisius	MAAC	2.97	4.40	41.67	43.67	-0.49	-0.56
Manhattan	MAAC	3.00	4.39	34.78	36.76	-0.91	-1.16
Iona	MAAC	3.00	4.38	70.83	69.24	1.25	1.68
St. Peter's	MAAC	2.96	4.37	56.52	58.09	0.39	0.71
Vermont	AE	2.36	2.03	70.83	69.39	0.98	0.79
Howard	MEAC	2.44	1.98	25.00	27.35	-1.22	-0.90
MD Baltimore County	AE	2.34	1.96	8.70	10.79	-1.94	-1.54
New Hampshire	AE	0.23	1.93	35.00	38.92	-0.07	-0.43
Morgan St.	MEAC	2.27	1.91	75.00	76.16	1.13	1.00
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	2.29	1.87	36.36	45.81	-0.62	-0.16
Coppin St.	MEAC	2.26	1.86	11.11	19.82	-1.75	-1.12
Bucknell	Pat	2.22	1.82	39.13	40.59	-0.48	-0.34
Dartmouth	Ivy	2.17	1.81	16.67	18.31	-1.45	-1.15
West Virginia	BE	2.14	1.76	81.82	78.75	1.36	1.01
Indiana	B10	2.12	1.75	42.86	36.05	-0.30	-0.49
Boston University	AE	0.39	0.38	54.17	57.60	0.03	0.06
Binghamton	AE	0.30	0.32	39.13	38.66	-0.06	-0.07
Albany	AE	0.29	0.32	23.08	25.74	-0.16	-0.15
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.26	0.29	22.73	25.50	-0.14	-0.14
Hartford	AE	0.23	0.27	30.43	32.48	-0.09	-0.09
American	Pat	0.30	0.26	30.43	32.38	-0.12	-0.09
Long Island	NEC	0.26	0.26	39.13	41.52	-0.06	-0.04
Stony Brook	AE	0.13	0.24	68.18	68.74	0.05	0.09
Rutgers	BE	0.30	0.23	47.83	42.88	-0.01	-0.03
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.27	0.21	43.48	43.79	-0.04	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.13	0.21	45.83	47.79	-0.01	-0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.27	0.20	65.22	65.74	0.08	0.06
Buffalo	MAC	0.16	0.20	55.00	51.98	0.02	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.19	0.18	70.59	70.97	0.08	0.08
Maine	AE	0.17	0.18	65.22	63.02	0.05	0.05
Holy Cross	Pat	0.22	0.18	26.09	31.04	-0.10	-0.07
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.14	0.17	30.43	32.84	-0.05	-0.06
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.14	0.17	23.81	30.79	-0.07	-0.07
William & Mary	CAA	0.04	0.17	68.18	66.69	0.02	0.06
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.22	0.17	18.18	21.04	-0.14	-0.10
Hampton	MEAC	0.18	0.17	34.78	43.27	-0.05	-0.02
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.13	0.15	39.13	41.23	-0.03	-0.03
Navy	Pat	0.23	0.15	47.83	44.79	-0.01	-0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.14	0.15	75.00	70.94	0.07	0.06
Wagner	NEC	0.18	0.15	16.00	21.66	-0.12	-0.08
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.13	0.15	22.22	27.54	-0.07	-0.07
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.14	0.15	50.00	52.71	0.00	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.14	0.15	55.56	56.61	0.02	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.14	0.15	27.78	28.62	-0.06	-0.06
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.14	32.00	31.25	-0.03	-0.05
Monmouth	NEC	0.12	0.14	41.67	42.67	-0.02	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.13	0.14	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.10	0.12	57.14	59.01	0.01	0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.08	0.12	23.81	27.30	-0.04	-0.06
Colgate	Pat	0.10	0.12	27.27	31.07	-0.04	-0.05
Cornell	Ivy	0.14	0.12	85.71	85.58	0.10	0.09
Maryland	ACC	0.13	0.12	71.43	67.91	0.06	0.04
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.19	0.12	69.57	71.85	0.07	0.05
Fordham	A10	0.13	0.12	9.52	8.90	-0.11	-0.10
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.18	0.12	52.17	53.91	0.01	0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.09	0.12	60.87	59.15	0.02	0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.09	0.12	57.14	57.50	0.01	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.09	0.12	26.09	26.14	-0.04	-0.06
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.14	0.11	52.38	53.77	0.01	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.17	0.11	29.17	29.51	-0.07	-0.05
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.16	0.11	39.13	36.58	-0.04	-0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.12	0.11	40.00	42.60	-0.02	-0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.11	0.10	73.68	75.41	0.05	0.05
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.10	0.09	16.67	19.93	-0.07	-0.06
Columbia	Ivy	0.10	0.09	40.00	39.17	-0.02	-0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.04	0.09	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.15	0.09	45.45	44.04	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.09	0.09	30.43	30.24	-0.03	-0.03
Bryant	ind	0.09	0.09	0.00	4.21	-0.09	-0.08
James Madison	CAA	0.04	0.09	41.67	38.60	-0.01	-0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.09	0.09	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.09	75.00	73.71	0.05	0.04
Purdue	B10	0.09	0.09	86.36	81.79	0.07	0.05
St. John's	BE	0.13	0.09	54.55	49.23	0.01	-0.00
Robert Morris	NEC	0.09	0.09	64.00	63.77	0.02	0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.04	0.08	60.87	56.52	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.13	0.08	95.65	88.68	0.12	0.07
La Salle	A10	0.12	0.08	47.83	46.40	-0.01	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.09	0.08	63.64	64.63	0.02	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.12	0.08	69.57	66.00	0.05	0.03
Central Florida	CUSA	0.12	0.08	47.62	44.50	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.12	0.08	56.00	55.95	0.01	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.08	0.08	76.19	72.74	0.04	0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.06	62.50	57.77	0.03	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.04	0.06	45.45	47.50	-0.00	-0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.06	86.36	81.53	0.06	0.04
UC Irvine	BW	0.00	0.06	36.36	40.06	-0.00	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.04	0.06	76.19	73.21	0.02	0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.04	0.06	28.57	27.82	-0.02	-0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.45	0.02	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.06	34.78	32.21	-0.03	-0.02
George Washington	A10	0.09	0.06	54.55	55.03	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.09	0.06	8.70	10.07	-0.07	-0.05
Bowling Green	MAC	0.04	0.06	47.62	45.72	-0.00	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.00	0.06	84.00	84.05	0.00	0.04
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.04	0.06	47.62	46.89	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.06	72.73	68.10	0.04	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.09	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.81	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.04	0.06	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.09	0.06	73.91	72.54	0.04	0.03
New Orleans	SB	0.04	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.02	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.04	0.06	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.08	0.06	66.67	68.15	0.03	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.08	0.06	91.30	88.20	0.07	0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.92	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.06	70.83	63.36	0.04	0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.04	0.06	55.56	55.84	0.00	0.01
Temple	A10	0.08	0.06	79.17	77.60	0.05	0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.08	0.06	20.00	24.03	-0.05	-0.03
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.06	91.30	85.32	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.06	78.26	78.94	0.00	0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.08	0.06	35.00	30.57	-0.02	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.08	0.06	45.45	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.08	0.06	52.17	55.03	0.00	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.04	0.06	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.04	0.06	73.91	69.55	0.02	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.08	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.08	0.06	69.57	68.49	0.03	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.08	0.06	70.59	73.00	0.03	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.08	0.06	66.67	57.28	0.03	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.00	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.09	0.05	65.22	62.02	0.03	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.57	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.54	0.02	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.64	0.01	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.00	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.00	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.14	0.01	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.57	0.02	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.04	0.03	81.82	72.56	0.03	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.00	0.03	60.87	55.48	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.90	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.64	-0.01	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.14	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.51	0.02	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.04	0.03	45.45	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.00	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.00	0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.60	-0.04	-0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.11	-0.03	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.04	0.03	75.00	71.22	0.02	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.03	17.39	20.22	-0.03	-0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.09	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.32	0.04	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.84	0.02	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	48.93	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.04	0.03	37.50	38.43	-0.01	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.04	0.03	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.04	0.03	86.96	84.64	0.03	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.04	0.03	68.42	67.05	0.02	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.04	0.03	57.14	61.39	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.04	0.03	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.04	0.03	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.04	0.03	65.22	64.72	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.00	0.03	86.96	85.51	0.00	0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Siena	MAAC	4.93	4.40	82.61	80.25	3.22	2.66
Loyola MD	MAAC	26.46	26.36	55.17	53.84	2.74	2.02
West Virginia	BE	2.14	1.76	81.82	78.75	1.36	1.01
Fairfield	MAAC	4.96	4.42	63.64	61.71	1.35	1.04
Iona	MAAC	3.00	4.38	70.83	69.24	1.25	1.68
Morgan St.	MEAC	2.27	1.91	75.00	76.16	1.13	1.00
Vermont	AE	2.36	2.03	70.83	69.39	0.98	0.79
Rider	MAAC	4.97	4.41	58.33	54.65	0.83	0.41
St. Peter's	MAAC	2.96	4.37	56.52	58.09	0.39	0.71
Kentucky	SEC	0.13	0.08	95.65	88.68	0.12	0.07
Cornell	Ivy	0.14	0.12	85.71	85.58	0.10	0.09
Lehigh	Pat	0.27	0.20	65.22	65.74	0.08	0.06
Princeton	Ivy	0.19	0.18	70.59	70.97	0.08	0.08
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.19	0.12	69.57	71.85	0.07	0.05
Pittsburgh	BE	0.14	0.15	75.00	70.94	0.07	0.06
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.08	0.06	91.30	88.20	0.07	0.04
Purdue	B10	0.09	0.09	86.36	81.79	0.07	0.05
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.06	86.36	81.53	0.06	0.04
Maryland	ACC	0.13	0.12	71.43	67.91	0.06	0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.11	0.10	73.68	75.41	0.05	0.05
Maine	AE	0.17	0.18	65.22	63.02	0.05	0.05
Temple	A10	0.08	0.06	79.17	77.60	0.05	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.12	0.08	69.57	66.00	0.05	0.03
Stony Brook	AE	0.13	0.24	68.18	68.74	0.05	0.09
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.09	75.00	73.71	0.05	0.04
Mississippi	SEC	0.09	0.06	73.91	72.54	0.04	0.03
Baylor	B12	0.08	0.08	76.19	72.74	0.04	0.04
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.32	0.04	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.06	72.73	68.10	0.04	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.06	91.30	85.32	0.04	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.06	70.83	63.36	0.04	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.08	0.06	70.59	73.00	0.03	0.03
Boston University	AE	0.39	0.38	54.17	57.60	0.03	0.06
Illinois	B10	0.09	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.08	0.06	69.57	68.49	0.03	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.04	0.03	86.96	84.64	0.03	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.08	0.06	66.67	68.15	0.03	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.04	0.03	81.82	72.56	0.03	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.08	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.08	0.06	66.67	57.28	0.03	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.09	0.05	65.22	62.02	0.03	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.06	62.50	57.77	0.03	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.45	0.02	0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.09	0.09	64.00	63.77	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.09	0.08	63.64	64.63	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.04	0.06	76.19	73.21	0.02	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.04	0.03	75.00	71.22	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.54	0.02	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.84	0.02	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.57	0.02	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.04	0.06	73.91	69.55	0.02	0.02
Lafayette	Pat	0.09	0.12	60.87	59.15	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.92	0.02	0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.16	0.20	55.00	51.98	0.02	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.04	0.17	68.18	66.69	0.02	0.06
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.14	0.15	55.56	56.61	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.04	0.03	68.42	67.05	0.02	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.51	0.02	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.12	0.08	56.00	55.95	0.01	0.01
Army	Pat	0.10	0.12	57.14	59.01	0.01	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.14	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.09	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.04	0.03	65.22	64.72	0.01	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.09	0.12	57.14	57.50	0.01	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.64	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.13	0.09	54.55	49.23	0.01	-0.00
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.04	0.08	60.87	56.52	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.14	0.01	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.09	0.06	54.55	55.03	0.01	0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.18	0.12	52.17	53.91	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.14	0.11	52.38	53.77	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.04	0.03	57.14	61.39	0.01	0.01
Providence	BE	0.13	0.14	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.04	0.06	55.56	55.84	0.00	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.08	0.06	52.17	55.03	0.00	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.04	0.03	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.04	0.03	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.00	0.06	84.00	84.05	0.00	0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.00	0.03	60.87	55.48	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.04	0.06	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.14	0.15	50.00	52.71	0.00	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.09	0.09	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.04	0.03	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.04	0.06	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.00	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.00	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.00	0.03	86.96	85.51	0.00	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.00	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.00	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.00	0.06	36.36	40.06	-0.00	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.06	78.26	78.94	0.00	0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.00	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	48.93	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.04	0.06	47.62	45.72	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.04	0.06	47.62	46.89	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.04	0.06	45.45	47.50	-0.00	-0.00
Mercer	ASun	0.04	0.03	45.45	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
La Salle	A10	0.12	0.08	47.83	46.40	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.04	0.06	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.12	0.08	47.62	44.50	-0.01	-0.01