The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Georgia Southern page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Georgia Southern

Conference:		SC
Expected RPI:		297.4
Current RPI:		290
Expected SOS:		163
Current SOS:		136
Current Record:		4-19
Expected Record:		6-23
Current Conf Record:		3-9
Expected Conf Record:		5-13
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		3-11
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		2-8
Current OOC Record:		1-10
Expected OOC Record:		1-10
Expected OOC RPI:		315
Expected OOC SOS:		150

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
10-19	235.0	0.02%
9-20	247.9	0.47%
8-21	262.9	4.63%
7-22	280.3	18.34%
6-23	296.7	36.79%
5-24	308.8	30.63%
4-25	317.1	9.11%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Georgia Southern.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-16	South Carolina (73.2)	SEC	A	66-90	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Florida (51.0)	SEC	A	49-69	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Jacksonville St. (265.8)	OVC	A	67-89	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Valparaiso (166.4)	Horz	H	89-97	L	0%	0.0
11-29	Troy (170.2)	SB	H	80-77	W	100%	0.0
12-3	College of Charleston (103.4)	SC	A	59-68	L	0%	0.0
12-5	The Citadel (194.9)	SC	A	43-68	L	0%	0.0
12-12	North Carolina St. (110.0)	ACC	A	57-75	L	0%	0.0
12-15	Coastal Carolina (129.4)	BSth	H	58-69	L	0%	0.0
12-17	Evansville (276.2)	MVC	A	58-75	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Georgia St. (232.4)	CAA	A	65-85	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Coastal Carolina (129.4)	BSth	A	64-76	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Auburn (163.2)	SEC	A	75-95	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Chattanooga (220.0)	SC	H	63-75	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Western Carolina (113.2)	SC	H	81-76	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Wofford (98.8)	SC	A	57-71	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Furman (266.2)	SC	A	45-69	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Appalachian St. (129.6)	SC	H	68-65	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Davidson (159.4)	SC	H	87-91	L	0%	0.0
1-28	The Citadel (194.9)	SC	H	61-58	W	100%	0.0
1-30	College of Charleston (103.4)	SC	H	72-90	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Western Carolina (113.2)	SC	A	68-83	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Davidson (159.4)	SC	A	74-84	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Appalachian St. (129.6)	SC	A	0-0		8%	-15.5
2-17	Furman (266.2)	SC	H	0-0		50%	-0.0
2-20	Wofford (98.8)	SC	H	0-0		15%	-11.1
2-22	Samford (256.7)	SC	A	0-0		21%	-8.7
2-25	Elon (273.3)	SC	H	0-0		60%	2.9
3-1	NC Greensboro (267.0)	SC	A	0-0		26%	-7.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Georgia Southern's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Georgia Southern's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Georgia Southern.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Georgia Southern	SC	26.61	26.37	13.48	16.88	-19.43	-17.47
College of Charleston	SC	5.14	4.31	60.87	60.07	1.12	0.87
The Citadel	SC	4.97	4.23	47.62	48.85	-0.24	-0.10
Davidson	SC	4.96	4.30	42.11	47.04	-0.78	-0.25
Western Carolina	SC	4.79	4.18	70.00	67.69	1.91	1.48
Coastal Carolina	BSth	4.43	3.54	78.95	80.64	2.57	2.17
Chattanooga	SC	2.78	2.61	45.45	44.22	-0.25	-0.30
Wofford	SC	2.76	4.27	65.22	66.24	0.84	1.39
Appalachian St.	SC	2.71	4.18	60.00	62.56	0.54	1.05
Furman	SC	2.70	4.26	40.00	38.33	-0.54	-0.99
South Carolina	SEC	2.37	1.93	57.14	52.87	0.34	0.11
Auburn	SEC	2.32	1.84	42.86	40.66	-0.33	-0.34
Florida	SEC	2.32	1.87	72.73	66.61	1.05	0.62
Troy	SB	2.32	1.81	50.00	52.38	0.00	0.09
North Carolina St.	ACC	2.32	1.87	56.52	52.79	0.30	0.10
Valparaiso	Horz	2.23	1.76	40.91	41.53	-0.40	-0.30
Jacksonville St.	OVC	2.22	1.75	35.00	39.03	-0.67	-0.38
Georgia St.	CAA	2.22	1.75	34.78	36.31	-0.68	-0.48
Evansville	MVC	2.17	1.72	19.05	19.70	-1.35	-1.04
Elon	SC	0.69	2.67	22.73	25.67	-0.37	-1.30
Samford	SC	0.67	2.57	28.57	29.27	-0.29	-1.07
NC Greensboro	SC	0.62	2.60	20.83	21.77	-0.36	-1.47
NC Asheville	BSth	0.40	0.31	33.33	37.71	-0.13	-0.08
Winthrop	BSth	0.39	0.27	52.38	54.78	0.02	0.03
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.33	0.28	40.00	40.10	-0.07	-0.05
Clemson	ACC	0.33	0.27	69.57	66.83	0.13	0.09
Presbyterian	BSth	0.31	0.25	12.50	15.32	-0.23	-0.17
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.31	0.22	20.00	23.49	-0.18	-0.12
Bradley	MVC	0.24	0.18	52.17	50.20	0.01	0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.24	0.15	66.67	64.66	0.08	0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.23	0.18	79.17	76.61	0.14	0.09
Tennessee	SEC	0.23	0.20	81.82	75.63	0.15	0.10
Indiana St.	MVC	0.20	0.13	56.52	54.46	0.03	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.20	0.13	54.17	56.01	0.02	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.20	0.15	84.00	84.05	0.14	0.10
Savannah St.	ind	0.20	0.13	30.00	31.19	-0.08	-0.05
South Alabama	SB	0.20	0.12	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.19	0.23	47.62	45.43	-0.01	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.19	0.11	73.91	69.55	0.09	0.04
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.19	0.15	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.18	0.14	56.52	51.91	0.02	0.01
High Point	BSth	0.15	0.16	42.86	44.37	-0.02	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.15	0.09	47.83	46.40	-0.01	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.15	0.09	65.22	62.09	0.05	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.15	0.09	65.22	64.72	0.05	0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.15	0.15	73.91	72.54	0.07	0.07
Campbell	ASun	0.15	0.12	57.14	58.73	0.02	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.15	0.12	65.22	62.02	0.05	0.03
Duke	ACC	0.15	0.12	82.61	82.34	0.10	0.08
Arkansas	SEC	0.15	0.18	52.17	48.42	0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.15	0.12	52.17	55.03	0.01	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.15	0.09	47.62	50.86	-0.01	0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.15	0.14	95.65	88.68	0.13	0.11
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.15	0.11	39.13	35.39	-0.03	-0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.15	0.14	76.19	73.21	0.08	0.07
Richmond	A10	0.14	0.12	75.00	71.22	0.07	0.05
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.14	0.15	29.17	31.02	-0.06	-0.06
Jacksonville	ASun	0.14	0.09	56.52	59.88	0.02	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.14	0.08	66.67	57.28	0.05	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.14	0.12	47.62	46.89	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.14	0.15	55.56	56.61	0.02	0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.10	0.06	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.10	0.06	85.71	85.58	0.07	0.04
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.10	0.06	47.62	49.07	-0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.04
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.12	45.83	47.79	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.10	0.13	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.10	0.07	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.10	0.07	66.67	65.51	0.03	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.06	34.78	32.21	-0.03	-0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.10	0.06	16.67	19.93	-0.07	-0.04
Radford	BSth	0.10	0.13	52.38	56.28	0.00	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.10	0.06	86.36	81.53	0.08	0.04
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.05	-0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.10	82.61	78.53	0.07	0.06
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.10	0.13	21.05	22.44	-0.06	-0.07
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.10	0.09	5.00	8.59	-0.09	-0.08
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.10	0.16	45.45	44.05	-0.01	-0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.09	86.96	85.51	0.07	0.07
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.06	33.33	39.81	-0.03	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.10	0.06	31.58	39.01	-0.04	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.10	0.06	39.13	38.66	-0.02	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.06	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.10	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.02
Texas	B12	0.10	0.06	79.17	77.01	0.06	0.03
New Orleans	SB	0.10	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.10	0.09	36.84	39.04	-0.03	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.15	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Longwood	ind	0.10	0.06	27.27	31.42	-0.04	-0.02
Drake	MVC	0.09	0.09	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.09	0.06	65.22	67.02	0.03	0.02
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.09	0.06	39.13	41.23	-0.02	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.06	58.33	58.25	0.02	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.09	0.09	21.74	22.22	-0.05	-0.05
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.09	0.06	30.43	32.84	-0.04	-0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.09	0.09	72.73	66.84	0.04	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.06	82.61	79.46	0.06	0.04
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.09	0.09	60.87	57.67	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.09	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.06	62.50	65.37	0.02	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.09	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.06	72.73	68.10	0.04	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.11	62.50	57.77	0.02	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.06	77.27	77.14	0.05	0.03
Hawaii	WAC	0.09	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.09	0.06	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.06	54.55	56.59	0.01	0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.06	15.79	17.63	-0.04	-0.04
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.06	72.73	71.93	0.02	0.03
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.59	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.07	45.45	47.50	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.07	24.00	23.72	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.07	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	72.00	73.85	0.02	0.03
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	25.50	-0.03	-0.02
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.68	0.01	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.06	64.00	63.77	0.01	0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.03	50.00	55.35	0.00	0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	20.00	24.03	-0.03	-0.03
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.06	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.74	0.03	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.50	-0.00	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.06	68.18	62.71	0.02	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.20	0.04	0.05
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	73.00	0.02	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.03	8.70	9.55	-0.04	-0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.06	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.38	-0.02	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.29	-0.01	-0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.52	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.11	69.57	68.49	0.02	0.04
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	21.74	24.91	-0.03	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.59	0.02	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.79	0.03	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.03	14.29	15.66	-0.03	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.32	0.04	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.83	-0.04	-0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.07	-0.04	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	28.57	27.82	-0.02	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.03	29.17	29.51	-0.02	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.95	0.01	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.03	26.09	31.04	-0.02	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	24.00	26.47	-0.02	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	41.67	38.60	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.15	69.57	70.34	0.02	0.06
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.14	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.09	71.43	67.91	0.02	0.03
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.09	47.83	44.79	-0.00	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.09	4.76	9.60	-0.04	-0.07
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.15	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.92	0.02	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.06	72.00	73.57	0.02	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.06	75.00	70.94	0.02	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	18.18	20.35	-0.03	-0.03
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.06	26.09	26.14	-0.02	-0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.12	76.19	71.16	0.02	0.05
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.03	68.18	66.69	0.02	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.00	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.00	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.09	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.00	0.03	47.62	45.72	-0.00	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.00	0.03	78.26	71.74	0.00	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.03	19.05	20.74	-0.00	-0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.00	0.03	20.00	21.93	-0.00	-0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.00	0.03	52.17	56.49	0.00	0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	26.32	31.50	-0.00	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Princeton	Ivy	0.00	0.03	70.59	70.97	0.00	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.00	0.03	17.39	20.22	-0.00	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.00	0.03	68.18	59.32	0.00	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.09	81.82	72.56	0.00	0.04
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.06	79.17	77.29	0.00	0.03
Xavier	A10	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.44	0.00	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.00	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Georgia Southern	SC	26.61	26.37	13.48	16.88	-19.43	-17.47
College of Charleston	SC	5.14	4.31	60.87	60.07	1.12	0.87
Davidson	SC	4.96	4.30	42.11	47.04	-0.78	-0.25
Wofford	SC	2.76	4.27	65.22	66.24	0.84	1.39
Furman	SC	2.70	4.26	40.00	38.33	-0.54	-0.99
The Citadel	SC	4.97	4.23	47.62	48.85	-0.24	-0.10
Appalachian St.	SC	2.71	4.18	60.00	62.56	0.54	1.05
Western Carolina	SC	4.79	4.18	70.00	67.69	1.91	1.48
Coastal Carolina	BSth	4.43	3.54	78.95	80.64	2.57	2.17
Elon	SC	0.69	2.67	22.73	25.67	-0.37	-1.30
Chattanooga	SC	2.78	2.61	45.45	44.22	-0.25	-0.30
NC Greensboro	SC	0.62	2.60	20.83	21.77	-0.36	-1.47
Samford	SC	0.67	2.57	28.57	29.27	-0.29	-1.07
South Carolina	SEC	2.37	1.93	57.14	52.87	0.34	0.11
Florida	SEC	2.32	1.87	72.73	66.61	1.05	0.62
North Carolina St.	ACC	2.32	1.87	56.52	52.79	0.30	0.10
Auburn	SEC	2.32	1.84	42.86	40.66	-0.33	-0.34
Troy	SB	2.32	1.81	50.00	52.38	0.00	0.09
Valparaiso	Horz	2.23	1.76	40.91	41.53	-0.40	-0.30
Jacksonville St.	OVC	2.22	1.75	35.00	39.03	-0.67	-0.38
Georgia St.	CAA	2.22	1.75	34.78	36.31	-0.68	-0.48
Evansville	MVC	2.17	1.72	19.05	19.70	-1.35	-1.04
NC Asheville	BSth	0.40	0.31	33.33	37.71	-0.13	-0.08
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.33	0.28	40.00	40.10	-0.07	-0.05
Winthrop	BSth	0.39	0.27	52.38	54.78	0.02	0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.33	0.27	69.57	66.83	0.13	0.09
Presbyterian	BSth	0.31	0.25	12.50	15.32	-0.23	-0.17
Georgia	SEC	0.19	0.23	47.62	45.43	-0.01	-0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.31	0.22	20.00	23.49	-0.18	-0.12
Tennessee	SEC	0.23	0.20	81.82	75.63	0.15	0.10
Bradley	MVC	0.24	0.18	52.17	50.20	0.01	0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.23	0.18	79.17	76.61	0.14	0.09
Arkansas	SEC	0.15	0.18	52.17	48.42	0.01	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.15	0.16	42.86	44.37	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.10	0.16	45.45	44.05	-0.01	-0.02
Butler	Horz	0.20	0.15	84.00	84.05	0.14	0.10
Missouri St.	MVC	0.24	0.15	66.67	64.66	0.08	0.04
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.15	69.57	70.34	0.02	0.06
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.14	0.15	55.56	56.61	0.02	0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.19	0.15	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.14	0.15	29.17	31.02	-0.06	-0.06
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.15	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.15	0.15	73.91	72.54	0.07	0.07
North Carolina	ACC	0.18	0.14	56.52	51.91	0.02	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.15	0.14	95.65	88.68	0.13	0.11
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.15	0.14	76.19	73.21	0.08	0.07
Liberty	BSth	0.10	0.13	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.02
Radford	BSth	0.10	0.13	52.38	56.28	0.00	0.02
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.10	0.13	21.05	22.44	-0.06	-0.07
Western Kentucky	SB	0.20	0.13	54.17	56.01	0.02	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.20	0.13	56.52	54.46	0.03	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.20	0.13	30.00	31.19	-0.08	-0.05
Campbell	ASun	0.15	0.12	57.14	58.73	0.02	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.15	0.12	65.22	62.02	0.05	0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.20	0.12	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.15	0.12	52.17	55.03	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.14	0.12	47.62	46.89	-0.01	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.15	0.12	82.61	82.34	0.10	0.08
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.12	45.83	47.79	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.14	0.12	75.00	71.22	0.07	0.05
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.12	76.19	71.16	0.02	0.05
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.11	62.50	57.77	0.02	0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.15	0.11	39.13	35.39	-0.03	-0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.11	69.57	68.49	0.02	0.04
Florida St.	ACC	0.19	0.11	73.91	69.55	0.09	0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.10	82.61	78.53	0.07	0.06
Houston	CUSA	0.15	0.09	47.62	50.86	-0.01	0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.10	0.09	5.00	8.59	-0.09	-0.08
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.15	0.09	65.22	64.72	0.05	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.09	86.96	85.51	0.07	0.07
Texas A&M	B12	0.09	0.09	72.73	66.84	0.04	0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.09	0.09	60.87	57.67	0.02	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.10	0.09	36.84	39.04	-0.03	-0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.09	0.09	21.74	22.22	-0.05	-0.05
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.09	4.76	9.60	-0.04	-0.07
Drake	MVC	0.09	0.09	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.15	0.09	47.83	46.40	-0.01	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.15	0.09	65.22	62.09	0.05	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.09	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.03
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.09	47.83	44.79	-0.00	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.09	71.43	67.91	0.02	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.09	81.82	72.56	0.00	0.04
Jacksonville	ASun	0.14	0.09	56.52	59.88	0.02	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.14	0.08	66.67	57.28	0.05	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.07	45.45	47.50	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.07	24.00	23.72	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.10	0.07	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.10	0.07	66.67	65.51	0.03	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.07	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.10	0.06	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.06	15.79	17.63	-0.04	-0.04
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.10	0.06	47.62	49.07	-0.00	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.05	-0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	20.00	24.03	-0.03	-0.03
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.06	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.10	0.06	39.13	38.66	-0.02	-0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.09	0.06	39.13	41.23	-0.02	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.10	0.06	85.71	85.58	0.07	0.04
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.06	72.73	71.93	0.02	0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.06	58.33	58.25	0.02	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.06	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.04
Illinois St.	MVC	0.10	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.09	0.06	30.43	32.84	-0.04	-0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	72.00	73.85	0.02	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.20	0.04	0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.06	34.78	32.21	-0.03	-0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.10	0.06	16.67	19.93	-0.07	-0.04
Rhode Island	A10	0.10	0.06	86.36	81.53	0.08	0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.06	64.00	63.77	0.01	0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.06	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.01
Texas	B12	0.10	0.06	79.17	77.01	0.06	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.06	82.61	79.46	0.06	0.04
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.06	79.17	77.29	0.00	0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.09	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.06	62.50	65.37	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	28.57	27.82	-0.02	-0.03
New Orleans	SB	0.10	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.10	0.06	31.58	39.01	-0.04	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.10	0.06	27.27	31.42	-0.04	-0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.06	72.73	68.10	0.04	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.06	33.33	39.81	-0.03	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.09	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.09	0.06	65.22	67.02	0.03	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	41.67	38.60	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.15	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.06	72.00	73.57	0.02	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.06	75.00	70.94	0.02	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	18.18	20.35	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.09	0.06	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.01
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.06	26.09	26.14	-0.02	-0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.06	77.27	77.14	0.05	0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.06	54.55	56.59	0.01	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.03
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.06	68.18	62.71	0.02	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.00	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.00	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.09	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.59	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.68	0.01	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.03	19.05	20.74	-0.00	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	26.32	31.50	-0.00	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	25.50	-0.03	-0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.03	50.00	55.35	0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.00	0.03	68.18	59.32	0.00	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.00	0.03	47.62	45.72	-0.00	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.29	-0.01	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.79	0.03	0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.03	8.70	9.55	-0.04	-0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.07	-0.04	-0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.00	0.03	78.26	71.74	0.00	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.00	0.03	20.00	21.93	-0.00	-0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.00	0.03	52.17	56.49	0.00	0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.52	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	21.74	24.91	-0.03	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.59	0.02	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Princeton	Ivy	0.00	0.03	70.59	70.97	0.00	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.00	0.03	17.39	20.22	-0.00	-0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.83	-0.04	-0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.00	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.00	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.74	0.03	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.50	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.03	29.17	29.51	-0.02	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.95	0.01	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	24.00	26.47	-0.02	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	73.00	0.02	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.03	68.18	66.69	0.02	0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.38	-0.02	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.03	26.09	31.04	-0.02	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.14	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.92	0.02	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.03	14.29	15.66	-0.03	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.32	0.04	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.44	0.00	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Coastal Carolina	BSth	4.43	3.54	78.95	80.64	2.57	2.17
Western Carolina	SC	4.79	4.18	70.00	67.69	1.91	1.48
College of Charleston	SC	5.14	4.31	60.87	60.07	1.12	0.87
Florida	SEC	2.32	1.87	72.73	66.61	1.05	0.62
Wofford	SC	2.76	4.27	65.22	66.24	0.84	1.39
Appalachian St.	SC	2.71	4.18	60.00	62.56	0.54	1.05
South Carolina	SEC	2.37	1.93	57.14	52.87	0.34	0.11
North Carolina St.	ACC	2.32	1.87	56.52	52.79	0.30	0.10
Tennessee	SEC	0.23	0.20	81.82	75.63	0.15	0.10
Michigan St.	B10	0.23	0.18	79.17	76.61	0.14	0.09
Butler	Horz	0.20	0.15	84.00	84.05	0.14	0.10
Kentucky	SEC	0.15	0.14	95.65	88.68	0.13	0.11
Clemson	ACC	0.33	0.27	69.57	66.83	0.13	0.09
Duke	ACC	0.15	0.12	82.61	82.34	0.10	0.08
Florida St.	ACC	0.19	0.11	73.91	69.55	0.09	0.04
Missouri St.	MVC	0.24	0.15	66.67	64.66	0.08	0.04
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.15	0.14	76.19	73.21	0.08	0.07
Rhode Island	A10	0.10	0.06	86.36	81.53	0.08	0.04
Cornell	Ivy	0.10	0.06	85.71	85.58	0.07	0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.09	86.96	85.51	0.07	0.07
Mississippi	SEC	0.15	0.15	73.91	72.54	0.07	0.07
Richmond	A10	0.14	0.12	75.00	71.22	0.07	0.05
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.10	82.61	78.53	0.07	0.06
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.06	82.61	79.46	0.06	0.04
Texas	B12	0.10	0.06	79.17	77.01	0.06	0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.06	77.27	77.14	0.05	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.14	0.08	66.67	57.28	0.05	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.15	0.09	65.22	62.09	0.05	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.15	0.09	65.22	64.72	0.05	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.15	0.12	65.22	62.02	0.05	0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.32	0.04	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.09	0.09	72.73	66.84	0.04	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.06	72.73	68.10	0.04	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.20	0.04	0.05
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.09	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.03