The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Arkansas St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Arkansas St.

Conference:		SB
Expected RPI:		167.5
Current RPI:		157
Expected SOS:		222
Current SOS:		225
Current Record:		12-9
Expected Record:		15-12
Current Conf Record:		9-3
Expected Conf Record:		12-6
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		10-3
Current OOC Record:		3-6
Expected OOC Record:		3-6
Expected OOC RPI:		247
Expected OOC SOS:		189

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
18-9	119.2	1.70%
17-10	137.9	12.95%
16-11	156.7	32.56%
15-12	175.4	33.52%
14-13	193.1	16.16%
13-14	210.8	2.96%
12-15	227.3	0.14%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Arkansas St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-18	Southeast Missouri St. (298.6)	OVC	A	73-49	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Texas El Paso (53.5)	CUSA	A	56-82	L	0%	0.0
11-25	Tennessee Martin (335.4)	OVC	H	80-66	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Indiana St. (91.9)	MVC	H	72-77	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Mississippi (42.6)	SEC	H	57-79	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Memphis (65.5)	CUSA	A	55-74	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Missouri St. (85.5)	MVC	H	64-75	L	0%	0.0
12-20	Arkansas Little Rock (266.4)	SB	H	69-61	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Mississippi Valley St. (319.2)	SWAC	N	71-64	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Denver (148.7)	SB	A	55-64	L	0%	0.0
1-2	North Texas (158.4)	SB	H	71-56	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Lamar (239.8)	Slnd	A	68-87	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Middle Tennessee (188.1)	SB	H	69-67	W	100%	0.0
1-9	South Alabama (221.2)	SB	A	69-63	W	100%	0.0
1-16	North Texas (158.4)	SB	A	83-70	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Florida International (286.4)	SB	A	76-61	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Florida Atlantic (201.1)	SB	A	63-78	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Louisiana Lafayette (203.7)	SB	H	62-60	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Denver (148.7)	SB	H	73-62	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Arkansas Little Rock (266.4)	SB	A	77-79	L	0%	0.0
2-6	New Orleans (324.6)	SB	A	66-52	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Western Kentucky (159.1)	SB	A	0-0		25%	-7.5
2-15	Louisiana Monroe (269.6)	SB	H	0-0		83%	10.3
2-18	Louisiana Lafayette (203.7)	SB	A	0-0		32%	-5.1
2-20	Western Kentucky (159.1)	SB	H	0-0		52%	0.5
2-25	New Orleans (324.6)	SB	H	0-0		89%	13.4
2-27	Troy (170.2)	SB	H	0-0		61%	3.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Arkansas St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Arkansas St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Arkansas St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Arkansas St.	SB	26.46	26.28	59.79	57.86	5.18	4.13
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	5.50	4.63	21.05	26.65	-3.19	-2.16
North Texas	SB	5.24	4.50	68.42	68.78	1.93	1.69
Denver	SB	5.20	4.54	61.90	60.29	1.24	0.93
Florida International	SB	3.09	2.68	25.00	24.55	-1.55	-1.36
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	3.09	4.54	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	3.02	2.68	42.86	45.46	-0.43	-0.24
New Orleans	SB	3.02	4.50	23.81	24.25	-1.58	-2.32
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.98	2.71	54.55	56.91	0.27	0.37
South Alabama	SB	2.97	2.67	50.00	49.31	0.00	-0.04
Missouri St.	MVC	2.61	2.02	65.22	63.40	0.79	0.54
Memphis	CUSA	2.60	1.98	68.18	68.99	0.95	0.75
Lamar	Slnd	2.59	2.02	45.00	42.68	-0.26	-0.30
Mississippi	SEC	2.55	1.95	72.73	71.58	1.16	0.84
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	2.49	1.95	28.57	26.75	-1.07	-0.91
Tennessee Martin	OVC	2.48	1.95	5.26	8.93	-2.22	-1.60
Texas El Paso	CUSA	2.48	1.91	76.19	74.82	1.30	0.95
Indiana St.	MVC	2.43	1.97	54.55	52.84	0.22	0.11
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	2.38	1.85	23.81	28.23	-1.25	-0.81
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.75	2.79	36.36	36.91	-0.20	-0.73
Western Kentucky	SB	0.64	4.44	54.17	55.60	0.05	0.50
Troy	SB	0.58	2.64	47.62	50.84	-0.03	0.04
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.38	0.39	55.56	55.85	0.04	0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.32	0.29	77.27	70.93	0.17	0.12
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.31	0.19	91.30	88.21	0.25	0.14
Rice	CUSA	0.27	0.20	31.82	30.34	-0.10	-0.08
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.27	0.25	54.55	54.05	0.02	0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.26	0.19	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.26	0.22	22.73	22.60	-0.14	-0.12
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.22	0.14	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.22	0.16	45.00	54.19	-0.02	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.22	0.29	31.82	29.58	-0.08	-0.12
Murray St.	OVC	0.22	0.22	86.96	85.47	0.16	0.16
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.22	0.16	38.10	41.29	-0.05	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.22	0.16	45.45	44.03	-0.02	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.22	0.16	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.21	0.16	33.33	46.80	-0.07	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.21	0.22	82.61	78.56	0.14	0.13
Arkansas	SEC	0.21	0.16	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.17	0.13	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.17	0.13	20.00	24.04	-0.10	-0.07
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.17	0.13	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.17	0.10	21.05	24.96	-0.10	-0.05
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.17	0.13	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.17	0.10	8.70	9.54	-0.14	-0.08
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.17	0.13	26.32	31.51	-0.08	-0.05
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.17	0.10	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.16	0.10	25.00	34.68	-0.08	-0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.16	0.16	65.22	64.71	0.05	0.05
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.16	0.17	70.59	72.98	0.07	0.08
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.16	0.26	39.13	35.38	-0.03	-0.07
Marshall	CUSA	0.16	0.20	66.67	65.54	0.05	0.06
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.16	0.09	33.33	39.38	-0.05	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.16	0.16	0.00	5.15	-0.16	-0.14
Georgia	SEC	0.16	0.13	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.16	0.22	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.16	0.09	61.90	56.12	0.04	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.16	0.23	22.73	24.05	-0.09	-0.12
Illinois St.	MVC	0.16	0.16	66.67	63.46	0.05	0.04
Colorado St.	MWC	0.16	0.10	59.09	52.85	0.03	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.16	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.10	0.05
Wichita St.	MVC	0.15	0.13	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.07
Bradley	MVC	0.15	0.13	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.11	0.17	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.06
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.07	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.11	0.07	36.36	36.06	-0.03	-0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.11	0.10	82.61	75.26	0.07	0.05
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.07	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.11	0.07	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.11	0.07	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.11	0.13	36.84	36.82	-0.03	-0.04
Texas Tech	B12	0.11	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.04	0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.11	0.13	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.06
Ohio	MAC	0.11	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.11	0.10	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	61.90	56.37	0.03	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.11	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.06	-0.03
Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.13	19.05	20.58	-0.07	-0.08
Florida St.	ACC	0.11	0.07	73.91	69.49	0.05	0.03
Central Florida	CUSA	0.11	0.09	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.11	0.15	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.06
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.11	0.12	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.10	0.06	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.10	0.12	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.02
Montana	BSky	0.10	0.06	68.18	70.35	0.04	0.03
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.10	0.10	79.17	78.03	0.06	0.06
Portland	WCC	0.10	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.02	0.02
Seattle	ind	0.10	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.13	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Drake	MVC	0.10	0.13	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.02
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.06	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.02	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.06	0.13	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.07	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.07	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.10	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.05
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.07	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.07	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.07	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.10	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.07	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.10	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.04
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.02	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.09	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.12	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.06
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.09	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.00	0.04	17.39	20.11	-0.00	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.00	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.00	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.00	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.00	-0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.00	-0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.00	0.04	40.91	43.37	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.00	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.00	0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Arkansas St.	SB	26.46	26.28	59.79	57.86	5.18	4.13
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	5.50	4.63	21.05	26.65	-3.19	-2.16
Denver	SB	5.20	4.54	61.90	60.29	1.24	0.93
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	3.09	4.54	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.02
North Texas	SB	5.24	4.50	68.42	68.78	1.93	1.69
New Orleans	SB	3.02	4.50	23.81	24.25	-1.58	-2.32
Western Kentucky	SB	0.64	4.44	54.17	55.60	0.05	0.50
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.75	2.79	36.36	36.91	-0.20	-0.73
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.98	2.71	54.55	56.91	0.27	0.37
Florida International	SB	3.09	2.68	25.00	24.55	-1.55	-1.36
Florida Atlantic	SB	3.02	2.68	42.86	45.46	-0.43	-0.24
South Alabama	SB	2.97	2.67	50.00	49.31	0.00	-0.04
Troy	SB	0.58	2.64	47.62	50.84	-0.03	0.04
Missouri St.	MVC	2.61	2.02	65.22	63.40	0.79	0.54
Lamar	Slnd	2.59	2.02	45.00	42.68	-0.26	-0.30
Memphis	CUSA	2.60	1.98	68.18	68.99	0.95	0.75
Indiana St.	MVC	2.43	1.97	54.55	52.84	0.22	0.11
Mississippi	SEC	2.55	1.95	72.73	71.58	1.16	0.84
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	2.49	1.95	28.57	26.75	-1.07	-0.91
Tennessee Martin	OVC	2.48	1.95	5.26	8.93	-2.22	-1.60
Texas El Paso	CUSA	2.48	1.91	76.19	74.82	1.30	0.95
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	2.38	1.85	23.81	28.23	-1.25	-0.81
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.38	0.39	55.56	55.85	0.04	0.05
Tulane	CUSA	0.22	0.29	31.82	29.58	-0.08	-0.12
Tulsa	CUSA	0.32	0.29	77.27	70.93	0.17	0.12
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.16	0.26	39.13	35.38	-0.03	-0.07
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.27	0.25	54.55	54.05	0.02	0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.16	0.23	22.73	24.05	-0.09	-0.12
UAB	CUSA	0.21	0.22	82.61	78.56	0.14	0.13
Murray St.	OVC	0.22	0.22	86.96	85.47	0.16	0.16
Evansville	MVC	0.26	0.22	22.73	22.60	-0.14	-0.12
Houston	CUSA	0.16	0.22	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.16	0.20	66.67	65.54	0.05	0.06
Rice	CUSA	0.27	0.20	31.82	30.34	-0.10	-0.08
Creighton	MVC	0.26	0.19	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.31	0.19	91.30	88.21	0.25	0.14
Morehead St.	OVC	0.11	0.17	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.06
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.16	0.17	70.59	72.98	0.07	0.08
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.16	0.16	65.22	64.71	0.05	0.05
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.22	0.16	38.10	41.29	-0.05	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.22	0.16	45.45	44.03	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.22	0.16	45.00	54.19	-0.02	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.16	0.16	0.00	5.15	-0.16	-0.14
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.22	0.16	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.21	0.16	33.33	46.80	-0.07	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.16	0.16	66.67	63.46	0.05	0.04
Arkansas	SEC	0.21	0.16	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.11	0.15	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.06
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.22	0.14	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.17	0.13	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.11	0.13	36.84	36.82	-0.03	-0.04
Georgia	SEC	0.16	0.13	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.11	0.13	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.06
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.17	0.13	26.32	31.51	-0.08	-0.05
Austin Peay	OVC	0.17	0.13	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.17	0.13	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.17	0.13	20.00	24.04	-0.10	-0.07
Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.13	19.05	20.58	-0.07	-0.08
Louisville	BE	0.06	0.13	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.13	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.15	0.13	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.10	0.13	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.15	0.13	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.07
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.10	0.12	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.11	0.12	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.12	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.06
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.11	0.10	82.61	75.26	0.07	0.05
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.17	0.10	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.10	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.10	0.10	79.17	78.03	0.06	0.06
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.17	0.10	8.70	9.54	-0.14	-0.08
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.17	0.10	21.05	24.96	-0.10	-0.05
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.11	0.10	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.16	0.10	25.00	34.68	-0.08	-0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.10	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.10	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.05
Colorado St.	MWC	0.16	0.10	59.09	52.85	0.03	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.16	0.09	61.90	56.12	0.04	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.11	0.09	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.16	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.10	0.05
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.16	0.09	33.33	39.38	-0.05	-0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.09	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.09	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.07	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.11	0.07	36.36	36.06	-0.03	-0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.07	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.07	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.07	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.07	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.11	0.07	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.11	0.07	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.07	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.07	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.07	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.11	0.07	73.91	69.49	0.05	0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.11	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.11	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.04	0.01
Montana	BSky	0.10	0.06	68.18	70.35	0.04	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	61.90	56.37	0.03	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.11	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.06	-0.03
Portland	WCC	0.10	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.02	0.02
Seattle	ind	0.10	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.10	0.06	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.04
Georgia Southern	SC	0.00	0.04	17.39	20.11	-0.00	-0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.00	0.04	40.91	43.37	-0.00	-0.00
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.06	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.02	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.00	-0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.00	-0.02
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.02	-0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.00	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.00	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.00	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.00	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.02
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Arkansas St.	SB	26.46	26.28	59.79	57.86	5.18	4.13
North Texas	SB	5.24	4.50	68.42	68.78	1.93	1.69
Texas El Paso	CUSA	2.48	1.91	76.19	74.82	1.30	0.95
Denver	SB	5.20	4.54	61.90	60.29	1.24	0.93
Mississippi	SEC	2.55	1.95	72.73	71.58	1.16	0.84
Memphis	CUSA	2.60	1.98	68.18	68.99	0.95	0.75
Missouri St.	MVC	2.61	2.02	65.22	63.40	0.79	0.54
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.98	2.71	54.55	56.91	0.27	0.37
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.31	0.19	91.30	88.21	0.25	0.14
Indiana St.	MVC	2.43	1.97	54.55	52.84	0.22	0.11
Tulsa	CUSA	0.32	0.29	77.27	70.93	0.17	0.12
Murray St.	OVC	0.22	0.22	86.96	85.47	0.16	0.16
UAB	CUSA	0.21	0.22	82.61	78.56	0.14	0.13
Tennessee	SEC	0.16	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.10	0.05
Wichita St.	MVC	0.15	0.13	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.07
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.11	0.10	82.61	75.26	0.07	0.05
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.16	0.17	70.59	72.98	0.07	0.08
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.10	0.10	79.17	78.03	0.06	0.06
Marshall	CUSA	0.16	0.20	66.67	65.54	0.05	0.06
Western Kentucky	SB	0.64	4.44	54.17	55.60	0.05	0.50
Illinois St.	MVC	0.16	0.16	66.67	63.46	0.05	0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.11	0.07	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.11	0.07	73.91	69.49	0.05	0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.16	0.16	65.22	64.71	0.05	0.05
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.07	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.38	0.39	55.56	55.85	0.04	0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.11	0.15	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.06
Morehead St.	OVC	0.11	0.17	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.06
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.11	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.04	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Montana	BSky	0.10	0.06	68.18	70.35	0.04	0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.16	0.09	61.90	56.12	0.04	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.11	0.07	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.16	0.10	59.09	52.85	0.03	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.12	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.06
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	61.90	56.37	0.03	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.10	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.04
Portland	WCC	0.10	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.02	0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.27	0.25	54.55	54.05	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.06	0.13	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.17	0.10	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.07	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.09	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.07	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.21	0.16	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.17	0.13	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.10	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.15	0.13	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.07	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.07	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.26	0.19	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.00	0.04	17.39	20.11	-0.00	-0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	3.09	4.54	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.00	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.00	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.00	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.00	-0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.00	-0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.11	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
South Alabama	SB	2.97	2.67	50.00	49.31	0.00	-0.04
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.22	0.14	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.00	0.04	40.91	43.37	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.00	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.09	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.11	0.09	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.11	0.10	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.07	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.07	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01