The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Eastern Michigan page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Eastern Michigan

Conference:		MAC
Expected RPI:		213.6
Current RPI:		216
Expected SOS:		248
Current SOS:		251
Current Record:		10-11
Expected Record:		13-15
Current Conf Record:		4-6
Expected Conf Record:		7-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-5
Current OOC Record:		6-5
Expected OOC Record:		6-6
Expected OOC RPI:		192
Expected OOC SOS:		279

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
17-11	148.7	0.20%
16-12	164.8	2.25%
15-13	181.6	10.07%
14-14	198.1	23.33%
13-15	215.9	32.60%
12-16	232.6	23.24%
11-17	247.0	7.57%
10-18	260.7	0.73%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Eastern Michigan.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	Oakland (72.6)	Sum	A	81-77	W	100%	0.0
11-20	The Citadel (209.3)	SC	N	56-63	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Maryland Eastern Shore (313.8)	MEAC	N	76-51	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Missouri St. (85.5)	MVC	A	61-75	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Southeast Missouri St. (298.6)	OVC	A	86-76	W	100%	0.0
11-30	Canisius (202.7)	MAAC	H	75-58	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Ohio St. (38.1)	B10	A	60-111	L	0%	0.0
12-12	James Madison (244.2)	CAA	H	75-64	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Georgia St. (231.8)	CAA	A	65-66	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Samford (257.2)	SC	H	56-58	L	0%	0.0
1-3	Chicago St. (342.9)	GWC	H	59-47	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Western Michigan (121.6)	MAC	A	47-61	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Toledo (323.0)	MAC	H	74-59	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Northern Illinois (250.0)	MAC	A	69-77	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Central Michigan (186.3)	MAC	A	63-71	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Ball St. (210.1)	MAC	H	57-53	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Bowling Green (197.1)	MAC	H	61-64	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Miami OH (135.6)	MAC	A	51-61	L	0%	0.0
2-1	Akron (113.3)	MAC	A	62-59	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Kent St. (57.5)	MAC	H	68-75	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Ohio (147.7)	MAC	H	70-61	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Buffalo (134.2)	MAC	A	0-0		31%	-5.2
2-14	Western Michigan (121.6)	MAC	H	0-0		43%	-1.9
2-17	Toledo (323.0)	MAC	A	0-0		72%	6.5
2-20	Detroit (162.9)	Horz	A	0-0		18%	-10.0
2-24	Ball St. (210.1)	MAC	A	0-0		39%	-3.0
2-27	Northern Illinois (250.0)	MAC	H	0-0		75%	7.5
3-4	Central Michigan (186.3)	MAC	A	0-0		31%	-5.5

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Eastern Michigan's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Eastern Michigan's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Eastern Michigan.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Eastern Michigan	MAC	26.12	26.17	48.35	49.60	-0.86	-0.21
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.98	4.35	33.33	35.53	-0.99	-1.26
Kent St.	MAC	2.87	2.44	68.18	69.27	1.04	0.94
Ball St.	MAC	2.87	4.28	55.00	53.26	0.29	0.28
Bowling Green	MAC	2.86	2.46	45.00	43.67	-0.29	-0.31
Miami OH	MAC	2.82	2.44	40.91	45.88	-0.51	-0.20
Toledo	MAC	2.82	4.26	9.09	9.82	-2.31	-3.42
Central Michigan	MAC	2.82	4.31	47.37	49.80	-0.15	-0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	2.82	4.28	52.38	55.01	0.13	0.43
Akron	MAC	2.81	2.40	72.73	68.28	1.28	0.88
Ohio	MAC	2.76	2.40	52.38	52.72	0.13	0.13
Samford	SC	2.60	1.91	25.00	28.38	-1.30	-0.83
The Citadel	SC	2.60	1.91	42.86	43.80	-0.37	-0.24
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	2.60	1.97	28.57	30.41	-1.11	-0.77
Chicago St.	GWC	2.55	1.97	21.05	21.36	-1.48	-1.13
Missouri St.	MVC	2.49	1.85	65.22	63.40	0.76	0.50
James Madison	CAA	2.48	1.90	45.45	41.36	-0.23	-0.33
Canisius	MAAC	2.44	1.88	45.83	46.71	-0.20	-0.12
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	2.44	1.88	28.57	26.75	-1.04	-0.87
Georgia St.	CAA	2.43	1.85	34.78	36.32	-0.74	-0.50
Ohio St.	B10	2.43	1.82	73.91	72.85	1.16	0.83
Oakland	Sum	2.38	1.79	69.57	71.89	0.93	0.78
Buffalo	MAC	0.59	2.43	55.00	51.36	0.06	0.07
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.27	0.28	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.27	0.25	79.17	77.57	0.16	0.14
College of Charleston	SC	0.22	0.19	66.67	65.62	0.07	0.06
Illinois St.	MVC	0.22	0.18	66.67	63.46	0.07	0.05
Wright St.	Horz	0.22	0.27	62.50	65.32	0.05	0.08
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.22	0.27	22.73	22.57	-0.12	-0.15
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.21	0.16	45.45	44.03	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.21	0.12	23.81	27.28	-0.11	-0.05
Towson	CAA	0.21	0.18	22.73	23.47	-0.11	-0.10
Northeastern	CAA	0.21	0.18	66.67	68.11	0.07	0.07
Howard	MEAC	0.20	0.15	25.00	26.64	-0.10	-0.07
IUPUI	Sum	0.20	0.12	65.22	67.00	0.06	0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.20	0.12	62.50	57.74	0.05	0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.17	1.98	56.52	57.62	0.02	0.30
Utah Valley	GWC	0.17	0.10	36.84	39.02	-0.04	-0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.17	0.12	65.22	64.71	0.05	0.04
Elon	SC	0.17	0.13	19.05	23.26	-0.10	-0.07
Purdue	B10	0.17	0.22	86.36	81.80	0.12	0.14
NC Greensboro	SC	0.17	0.13	21.74	24.84	-0.09	-0.06
Davidson	SC	0.16	0.10	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.16	0.09	77.27	70.93	0.09	0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.16	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.07	0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.16	0.09	61.90	56.12	0.04	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.16	0.09	69.57	71.43	0.06	0.04
Valparaiso	Horz	0.16	0.24	40.91	43.37	-0.03	-0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.16	0.12	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.16	0.18	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.16	0.19	60.87	57.71	0.03	0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.16	0.13	17.39	20.11	-0.10	-0.08
Iowa	B10	0.16	0.09	33.33	30.82	-0.05	-0.03
Delaware	CAA	0.16	0.09	26.09	26.91	-0.07	-0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.16	0.15	79.17	76.61	0.09	0.08
Bradley	MVC	0.15	0.12	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.15	0.12	63.64	64.66	0.04	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.15	0.12	91.30	88.21	0.13	0.09
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.15	0.21	77.27	77.12	0.08	0.11
William & Mary	CAA	0.15	0.09	68.18	66.65	0.06	0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.15	0.15	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.02
Drake	MVC	0.15	0.12	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.15	0.09	22.73	22.60	-0.08	-0.05
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.15	0.09	30.43	32.32	-0.06	-0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.15	0.09	78.26	78.92	0.08	0.05
Niagara	MAAC	0.15	0.12	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.12	0.07	22.73	24.05	-0.06	-0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.12	0.07	12.00	18.82	-0.09	-0.04
Nebraska	B12	0.11	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.09	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.11	0.10	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.02
Furman	SC	0.11	0.10	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.11	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.11	0.09	8.70	9.54	-0.09	-0.08
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.11	0.12	0.00	5.15	-0.11	-0.11
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.13	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.09	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.11	0.09	72.73	71.91	0.05	0.04
Florida International	SB	0.11	0.06	24.00	23.74	-0.06	-0.03
Fordham	A10	0.11	0.06	9.52	8.87	-0.09	-0.05
North Carolina Central	ind	0.11	0.12	4.76	9.78	-0.10	-0.10
UAB	CUSA	0.11	0.06	82.61	78.56	0.07	0.04
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.11	0.12	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.11	0.13	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.11	0.18	66.67	59.01	0.04	0.03
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.11	0.06	38.10	41.29	-0.03	-0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.11	0.22	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.11
Butler	Horz	0.11	0.15	83.33	83.91	0.07	0.10
Morehead St.	OVC	0.11	0.09	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.11	0.09	86.96	85.47	0.08	0.06
Pittsburgh	BE	0.11	0.06	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.11	0.09	66.67	64.02	0.04	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.11	0.13	66.67	67.94	0.04	0.05
Arkansas St.	SB	0.10	0.06	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.10	0.09	19.05	22.94	-0.06	-0.05
Memphis	CUSA	0.10	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.10	0.12	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.04
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.10	0.15	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.10	0.16	5.00	8.59	-0.09	-0.13
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.08	0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.09	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.10	0.09	8.70	11.46	-0.09	-0.07
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.15	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.10	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.10	0.12	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.12	72.00	73.54	0.04	0.06
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.10	0.06	30.43	30.27	-0.04	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.10	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.05	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.10	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.04	-0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.10	0.06	69.57	64.51	0.04	0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.10	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.10	0.06	33.33	35.33	-0.03	-0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.10	0.09	58.33	58.93	0.02	0.02
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.03	18.18	19.18	-0.04	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.06	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.02	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.07	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.03
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.03	19.05	20.58	-0.04	-0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.06	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.04	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.03	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.06	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.06	0.06	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.13	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.05
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.03	-0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.03
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.13	15.79	27.84	-0.04	-0.06
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.72	0.02	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.03	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.06	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.04
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.02
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.09	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.03
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.09	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.04
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.03	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.00
California	P10	0.05	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.15	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.03
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.03	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.00
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.09	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.02
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.04
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.04	-0.05
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.06	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.04
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.00
Albany	AE	0.00	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.00	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.00	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.00	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.00	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.00	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.00	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.00	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.00	0.03	23.81	29.40	-0.00	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.00	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.00	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.07	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Eastern Michigan	MAC	26.12	26.17	48.35	49.60	-0.86	-0.21
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.98	4.35	33.33	35.53	-0.99	-1.26
Central Michigan	MAC	2.82	4.31	47.37	49.80	-0.15	-0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	2.82	4.28	52.38	55.01	0.13	0.43
Ball St.	MAC	2.87	4.28	55.00	53.26	0.29	0.28
Toledo	MAC	2.82	4.26	9.09	9.82	-2.31	-3.42
Bowling Green	MAC	2.86	2.46	45.00	43.67	-0.29	-0.31
Kent St.	MAC	2.87	2.44	68.18	69.27	1.04	0.94
Miami OH	MAC	2.82	2.44	40.91	45.88	-0.51	-0.20
Buffalo	MAC	0.59	2.43	55.00	51.36	0.06	0.07
Akron	MAC	2.81	2.40	72.73	68.28	1.28	0.88
Ohio	MAC	2.76	2.40	52.38	52.72	0.13	0.13
Detroit	Horz	0.17	1.98	56.52	57.62	0.02	0.30
Chicago St.	GWC	2.55	1.97	21.05	21.36	-1.48	-1.13
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	2.60	1.97	28.57	30.41	-1.11	-0.77
Samford	SC	2.60	1.91	25.00	28.38	-1.30	-0.83
The Citadel	SC	2.60	1.91	42.86	43.80	-0.37	-0.24
James Madison	CAA	2.48	1.90	45.45	41.36	-0.23	-0.33
Canisius	MAAC	2.44	1.88	45.83	46.71	-0.20	-0.12
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	2.44	1.88	28.57	26.75	-1.04	-0.87
Missouri St.	MVC	2.49	1.85	65.22	63.40	0.76	0.50
Georgia St.	CAA	2.43	1.85	34.78	36.32	-0.74	-0.50
Ohio St.	B10	2.43	1.82	73.91	72.85	1.16	0.83
Oakland	Sum	2.38	1.79	69.57	71.89	0.93	0.78
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.27	0.28	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.22	0.27	22.73	22.57	-0.12	-0.15
Wright St.	Horz	0.22	0.27	62.50	65.32	0.05	0.08
Temple	A10	0.27	0.25	79.17	77.57	0.16	0.14
Valparaiso	Horz	0.16	0.24	40.91	43.37	-0.03	-0.03
Purdue	B10	0.17	0.22	86.36	81.80	0.12	0.14
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.11	0.22	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.11
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.15	0.21	77.27	77.12	0.08	0.11
College of Charleston	SC	0.22	0.19	66.67	65.62	0.07	0.06
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.16	0.19	60.87	57.71	0.03	0.03
Towson	CAA	0.21	0.18	22.73	23.47	-0.11	-0.10
Illinois St.	MVC	0.22	0.18	66.67	63.46	0.07	0.05
Indiana St.	MVC	0.16	0.18	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.11	0.18	66.67	59.01	0.04	0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.21	0.18	66.67	68.11	0.07	0.07
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.21	0.16	45.45	44.03	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.10	0.16	5.00	8.59	-0.09	-0.13
Butler	Horz	0.11	0.15	83.33	83.91	0.07	0.10
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.10	0.15	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.16	0.15	79.17	76.61	0.09	0.08
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.15	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.15	0.15	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.20	0.15	25.00	26.64	-0.10	-0.07
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.15	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.11	0.13	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.17	0.13	19.05	23.26	-0.10	-0.07
NC Greensboro	SC	0.17	0.13	21.74	24.84	-0.09	-0.06
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.13	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.05
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.13	15.79	27.84	-0.04	-0.06
Georgia Southern	SC	0.16	0.13	17.39	20.11	-0.10	-0.08
Wofford	SC	0.11	0.13	66.67	67.94	0.04	0.05
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.13	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.17	0.12	65.22	64.71	0.05	0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.10	0.12	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.04
North Carolina Central	ind	0.11	0.12	4.76	9.78	-0.10	-0.10
Niagara	MAAC	0.15	0.12	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.11	0.12	0.00	5.15	-0.11	-0.11
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.11	0.12	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.16	0.12	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.15	0.12	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.10	0.12	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.20	0.12	65.22	67.00	0.06	0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.15	0.12	91.30	88.21	0.13	0.09
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.21	0.12	23.81	27.28	-0.11	-0.05
Minnesota	B10	0.15	0.12	63.64	64.66	0.04	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.15	0.12	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.20	0.12	62.50	57.74	0.05	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.12	72.00	73.54	0.04	0.06
Appalachian St.	SC	0.11	0.10	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.16	0.10	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Furman	SC	0.11	0.10	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.17	0.10	36.84	39.02	-0.04	-0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.16	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.07	0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.11	0.09	8.70	9.54	-0.09	-0.08
Dayton	A10	0.11	0.09	72.73	71.91	0.05	0.04
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.09	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.09	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.10	0.09	58.33	58.93	0.02	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.16	0.09	77.27	70.93	0.09	0.04
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.09	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.16	0.09	61.90	56.12	0.04	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.16	0.09	69.57	71.43	0.06	0.04
Morehead St.	OVC	0.11	0.09	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.11	0.09	86.96	85.47	0.08	0.06
Iowa	B10	0.16	0.09	33.33	30.82	-0.05	-0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.09	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.16	0.09	26.09	26.91	-0.07	-0.04
Evansville	MVC	0.15	0.09	22.73	22.60	-0.08	-0.05
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.10	0.09	19.05	22.94	-0.06	-0.05
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.10	0.09	8.70	11.46	-0.09	-0.07
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.15	0.09	30.43	32.32	-0.06	-0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.11	0.09	66.67	64.02	0.04	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.15	0.09	68.18	66.65	0.06	0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.09	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.15	0.09	78.26	78.92	0.08	0.05
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.09	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.12	0.07	22.73	24.05	-0.06	-0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.07	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.07	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.12	0.07	12.00	18.82	-0.09	-0.04
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.11	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.06	0.06	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.11	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.11	0.06	82.61	78.56	0.07	0.04
Florida International	SB	0.11	0.06	24.00	23.74	-0.06	-0.03
Fordham	A10	0.11	0.06	9.52	8.87	-0.09	-0.05
Centenary	Sum	0.10	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.03
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.03	-0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.11	0.06	38.10	41.29	-0.03	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.10	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.03
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.10	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.04	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.08	0.04
Arkansas St.	SB	0.10	0.06	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.10	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.06	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.04
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.10	0.06	69.57	64.51	0.04	0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.10	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.10	0.06	33.33	35.33	-0.03	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.04	-0.05
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.11	0.06	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.06	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
California	P10	0.05	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.05	0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.10	0.06	30.43	30.27	-0.04	-0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.02
Army	Pat	0.00	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.00	0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.03	18.18	19.18	-0.04	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.06	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.02	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.00	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.00	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.03	-0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.03	19.05	20.58	-0.04	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.06	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.06	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.04	-0.02
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.03
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.03	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.00	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.00	-0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.00	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.00	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.00	0.03	23.81	29.40	-0.00	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.00	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.00	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.72	0.02	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.03	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.03	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Akron	MAC	2.81	2.40	72.73	68.28	1.28	0.88
Ohio St.	B10	2.43	1.82	73.91	72.85	1.16	0.83
Kent St.	MAC	2.87	2.44	68.18	69.27	1.04	0.94