The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Colorado St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Colorado St.

Conference:		MWC
Expected RPI:		113.5
Current RPI:		98
Expected SOS:		98
Current SOS:		112
Current Record:		13-9
Expected Record:		15-14
Current Conf Record:		5-4
Expected Conf Record:		7-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-0
Current OOC Record:		8-5
Expected OOC Record:		8-5
Expected OOC RPI:		112
Expected OOC SOS:		201

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
19-10	65.8	0.24%
18-11	75.4	2.39%
17-12	87.1	11.42%
16-13	101.2	27.65%
15-14	117.2	34.63%
14-15	136.3	19.64%
13-16	156.1	4.02%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Colorado St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	UC Davis (285.3)	BW	N	91-73	W	100%	0.0
11-14	Winston Salem St. (314.2)	ind	N	57-40	W	100%	0.0
11-15	Oregon (152.1)	P10	A	55-68	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Indiana St. (91.9)	MVC	A	60-65	L	0%	0.0
11-29	San Francisco (222.5)	WCC	H	91-75	W	100%	0.0
12-1	Northern Colorado (103.7)	BSky	A	63-70	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Denver (148.7)	SB	H	64-59	W	100%	0.0
12-10	Colorado (136.4)	B12	H	77-62	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Montana (102.5)	BSky	H	62-61	W	100%	0.0
12-20	Northern Arizona (204.1)	BSky	H	64-56	W	100%	0.0
12-22	UCLA (146.7)	P10	A	63-75	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Fresno St. (160.9)	WAC	A	50-73	L	0%	0.0
12-31	Yale (255.8)	Ivy	H	93-71	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Wyoming (206.5)	MWC	A	83-73	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Air Force (235.8)	MWC	H	70-48	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Brigham Young (15.9)	MWC	A	47-91	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Nevada Las Vegas (32.4)	MWC	H	72-80	L	0%	0.0
1-23	New Mexico (14.3)	MWC	A	64-82	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Texas Christian (174.6)	MWC	H	63-57	W	100%	0.0
1-30	San Diego St. (44.0)	MWC	H	52-64	L	0%	0.0
2-3	Utah (162.8)	MWC	A	65-50	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Wyoming (206.5)	MWC	H	80-64	W	100%	0.0
2-9	Air Force (235.8)	MWC	A	0-0		63%	3.6
2-17	Brigham Young (15.9)	MWC	H	0-0		16%	-11.0
2-20	Nevada Las Vegas (32.4)	MWC	A	0-0		9%	-14.3
2-23	New Mexico (14.3)	MWC	H	0-0		27%	-6.6
2-27	Texas Christian (174.6)	MWC	A	0-0		43%	-1.9
3-3	San Diego St. (44.0)	MWC	A	0-0		13%	-12.2
3-6	Utah (162.8)	MWC	H	0-0		61%	3.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Colorado St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Colorado St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Colorado St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Colorado St.	MWC	26.26	26.35	59.30	52.61	4.89	1.37
Wyoming	MWC	5.00	4.33	36.84	33.08	-1.32	-1.47
Air Force	MWC	2.90	4.36	36.84	31.55	-0.76	-1.61
Brigham Young	MWC	2.85	4.35	86.96	87.09	2.10	3.22
San Diego St.	MWC	2.84	4.34	65.00	65.77	0.85	1.37
New Mexico	MWC	2.81	4.32	86.96	83.32	2.07	2.88
Texas Christian	MWC	2.79	4.31	42.86	39.00	-0.40	-0.95
Northern Colorado	BSky	2.76	2.07	78.26	77.24	1.56	1.13
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	2.74	4.28	80.95	79.84	1.69	2.55
Utah	MWC	2.69	4.28	47.62	46.09	-0.13	-0.33
Northern Arizona	BSky	2.68	2.06	47.37	47.30	-0.14	-0.11
Montana	BSky	2.63	1.94	71.43	73.17	1.13	0.90
Fresno St.	WAC	2.54	1.94	45.45	47.28	-0.23	-0.11
Oregon	P10	2.50	1.88	52.38	47.04	0.12	-0.11
UC Davis	BW	2.50	1.88	36.84	34.44	-0.66	-0.58
Denver	SB	2.48	1.85	63.64	61.70	0.68	0.43
Winston Salem St.	ind	2.38	1.78	31.25	30.82	-0.89	-0.68
Colorado	B12	2.38	1.78	45.00	42.06	-0.24	-0.28
San Francisco	WCC	2.37	1.81	33.33	33.55	-0.79	-0.60
Yale	Ivy	2.33	1.75	38.10	39.43	-0.55	-0.37
UCLA	P10	2.32	1.78	45.45	41.85	-0.21	-0.29
Indiana St.	MVC	2.27	1.72	54.55	52.84	0.21	0.10
Arizona	P10	0.37	0.36	52.17	53.65	0.02	0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.36	0.26	47.62	48.65	-0.02	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.36	0.34	19.05	24.00	-0.22	-0.18
Weber St.	BSky	0.36	0.37	61.90	65.04	0.09	0.11
Pepperdine	WCC	0.31	0.24	27.27	25.31	-0.14	-0.12
Arizona St.	P10	0.31	0.32	66.67	67.74	0.10	0.11
Hawaii	WAC	0.29	0.26	36.36	33.80	-0.08	-0.08
UC Riverside	BW	0.27	0.25	33.33	36.45	-0.09	-0.07
Santa Clara	WCC	0.26	0.25	33.33	34.27	-0.09	-0.08
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.26	0.19	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.26	0.18	45.45	45.95	-0.02	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.26	0.15	91.30	88.21	0.21	0.12
Oregon St.	P10	0.26	0.17	45.45	40.28	-0.02	-0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.25	0.21	33.33	33.43	-0.08	-0.07
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.22	0.18	60.00	59.64	0.04	0.04
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.21	0.23	30.43	29.01	-0.08	-0.09
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.21	0.18	39.13	43.30	-0.05	-0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.21	0.15	86.96	84.62	0.15	0.11
Seattle	ind	0.21	0.18	45.83	48.87	-0.02	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.21	0.15	43.48	43.10	-0.03	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.20	0.18	69.57	68.86	0.08	0.07
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.20	0.25	18.18	19.18	-0.13	-0.15
Portland	WCC	0.20	0.15	61.90	65.68	0.05	0.05
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.20	0.15	54.55	54.05	0.02	0.01
California	P10	0.20	0.17	65.22	68.42	0.06	0.06
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.19	0.20	61.90	56.37	0.05	0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.17	0.09	36.36	36.06	-0.05	-0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.17	0.16	12.00	18.82	-0.13	-0.10
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.16	0.15	45.00	48.63	-0.02	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.16	0.15	68.18	68.10	0.06	0.05
Washington St.	P10	0.16	0.18	63.64	58.79	0.04	0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.16	0.09	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.16	0.19	38.10	39.65	-0.04	-0.04
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.16	0.09	33.33	46.80	-0.05	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.15	0.18	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.15	0.17	60.87	59.61	0.03	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.15	0.12	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.06
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.15	0.17	82.61	75.26	0.10	0.09
Nevada	WAC	0.15	0.17	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.04
San Jose St.	WAC	0.15	0.12	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.15	0.17	73.91	76.66	0.07	0.09
Arkansas St.	SB	0.15	0.09	57.14	57.10	0.02	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.15	0.09	36.36	36.18	-0.04	-0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.12	0.10	11.11	20.93	-0.09	-0.06
Charlotte	A10	0.12	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.07	0.03
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.12	0.06	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.11	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.09	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.11	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.11	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.07	0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.11	0.06	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.11	0.09	42.86	45.66	-0.02	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.12	66.67	64.62	0.04	0.04
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.04	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.09	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.06
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.12	81.82	79.60	0.07	0.07
Missouri	B12	0.11	0.09	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.09	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.12	77.27	75.69	0.06	0.06
Drake	MVC	0.10	0.12	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.09	95.65	91.32	0.09	0.07
Brown	Ivy	0.10	0.06	23.81	27.31	-0.05	-0.03
Colgate	Pat	0.10	0.09	27.27	31.08	-0.05	-0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.10	0.12	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.10	0.09	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.03
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.10	0.09	22.73	21.40	-0.06	-0.05
Idaho	WAC	0.10	0.11	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.10	0.12	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.10	0.09	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.07	-0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.12	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.11	19.05	20.58	-0.06	-0.07
Southern Utah	Sum	0.10	0.09	19.05	20.55	-0.06	-0.05
Texas Tech	B12	0.10	0.15	68.18	59.30	0.04	0.03
Evansville	MVC	0.10	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.10	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.10	0.12	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.12	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.09	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.07	0.07	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.07	0.07	19.05	22.94	-0.04	-0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.03	72.73	68.13	0.03	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.07	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.03	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.07	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.03	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	70.83	73.80	0.03	0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	23.81	27.28	-0.04	-0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.07	0.07	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.07	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.04	0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.10	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.08
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.06	0.06	36.36	40.08	-0.02	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.04	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.01
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.05	-0.03
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.06	40.00	39.13	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.06	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.04
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.02
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.06	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.02
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.78	0.02	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.02
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.03	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.03
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.02	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.06	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.03
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.00	0.06	15.79	17.64	-0.00	-0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.00	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.00	0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.00	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.00	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.00	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.00	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.00	0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Colorado St.	MWC	26.26	26.35	59.30	52.61	4.89	1.37
Air Force	MWC	2.90	4.36	36.84	31.55	-0.76	-1.61
Brigham Young	MWC	2.85	4.35	86.96	87.09	2.10	3.22
San Diego St.	MWC	2.84	4.34	65.00	65.77	0.85	1.37
Wyoming	MWC	5.00	4.33	36.84	33.08	-1.32	-1.47
New Mexico	MWC	2.81	4.32	86.96	83.32	2.07	2.88
Texas Christian	MWC	2.79	4.31	42.86	39.00	-0.40	-0.95
Utah	MWC	2.69	4.28	47.62	46.09	-0.13	-0.33
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	2.74	4.28	80.95	79.84	1.69	2.55
Northern Colorado	BSky	2.76	2.07	78.26	77.24	1.56	1.13
Northern Arizona	BSky	2.68	2.06	47.37	47.30	-0.14	-0.11
Fresno St.	WAC	2.54	1.94	45.45	47.28	-0.23	-0.11
Montana	BSky	2.63	1.94	71.43	73.17	1.13	0.90
Oregon	P10	2.50	1.88	52.38	47.04	0.12	-0.11
UC Davis	BW	2.50	1.88	36.84	34.44	-0.66	-0.58
Denver	SB	2.48	1.85	63.64	61.70	0.68	0.43
San Francisco	WCC	2.37	1.81	33.33	33.55	-0.79	-0.60
Colorado	B12	2.38	1.78	45.00	42.06	-0.24	-0.28
Winston Salem St.	ind	2.38	1.78	31.25	30.82	-0.89	-0.68
UCLA	P10	2.32	1.78	45.45	41.85	-0.21	-0.29
Yale	Ivy	2.33	1.75	38.10	39.43	-0.55	-0.37
Indiana St.	MVC	2.27	1.72	54.55	52.84	0.21	0.10
Weber St.	BSky	0.36	0.37	61.90	65.04	0.09	0.11
Arizona	P10	0.37	0.36	52.17	53.65	0.02	0.03
Idaho St.	BSky	0.36	0.34	19.05	24.00	-0.22	-0.18
Arizona St.	P10	0.31	0.32	66.67	67.74	0.10	0.11
Hawaii	WAC	0.29	0.26	36.36	33.80	-0.08	-0.08
Montana St.	BSky	0.36	0.26	47.62	48.65	-0.02	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.20	0.25	18.18	19.18	-0.13	-0.15
Santa Clara	WCC	0.26	0.25	33.33	34.27	-0.09	-0.08
UC Riverside	BW	0.27	0.25	33.33	36.45	-0.09	-0.07
Pepperdine	WCC	0.31	0.24	27.27	25.31	-0.14	-0.12
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.21	0.23	30.43	29.01	-0.08	-0.09
San Diego	WCC	0.25	0.21	33.33	33.43	-0.08	-0.07
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.19	0.20	61.90	56.37	0.05	0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.16	0.19	38.10	39.65	-0.04	-0.04
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.26	0.19	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.22	0.18	60.00	59.64	0.04	0.04
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.21	0.18	39.13	43.30	-0.05	-0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.26	0.18	45.45	45.95	-0.02	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.20	0.18	69.57	68.86	0.08	0.07
Washington St.	P10	0.16	0.18	63.64	58.79	0.04	0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.15	0.18	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
Seattle	ind	0.21	0.18	45.83	48.87	-0.02	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.15	0.17	60.87	59.61	0.03	0.03
Oregon St.	P10	0.26	0.17	45.45	40.28	-0.02	-0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.15	0.17	82.61	75.26	0.10	0.09
Nevada	WAC	0.15	0.17	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.04
California	P10	0.20	0.17	65.22	68.42	0.06	0.06
Utah St.	WAC	0.15	0.17	73.91	76.66	0.07	0.09
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.17	0.16	12.00	18.82	-0.13	-0.10
St. Mary's	WCC	0.21	0.15	86.96	84.62	0.15	0.11
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.16	0.15	45.00	48.63	-0.02	-0.00
Portland	WCC	0.20	0.15	61.90	65.68	0.05	0.05
Pacific	BW	0.16	0.15	68.18	68.10	0.06	0.05
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.20	0.15	54.55	54.05	0.02	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.26	0.15	91.30	88.21	0.21	0.12
Texas Tech	B12	0.10	0.15	68.18	59.30	0.04	0.03
Stanford	P10	0.21	0.15	43.48	43.10	-0.03	-0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.12	66.67	64.62	0.04	0.04
Drake	MVC	0.10	0.12	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.12	81.82	79.60	0.07	0.07
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.12	77.27	75.69	0.06	0.06
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.10	0.12	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.15	0.12	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.06
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.12	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
San Jose St.	WAC	0.15	0.12	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.10	0.12	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.10	0.12	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.12	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Idaho	WAC	0.10	0.11	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.11	19.05	20.58	-0.06	-0.07
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.12	0.10	11.11	20.93	-0.09	-0.06
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.10	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.08
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.09	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.09	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.06
Cal Poly	BW	0.17	0.09	36.36	36.06	-0.05	-0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.16	0.09	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.09	95.65	91.32	0.09	0.07
Long Beach St.	BW	0.11	0.09	42.86	45.66	-0.02	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.11	0.09	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.04
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.16	0.09	33.33	46.80	-0.05	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.15	0.09	57.14	57.10	0.02	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.15	0.09	36.36	36.18	-0.04	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.10	0.09	19.05	20.55	-0.06	-0.05
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.10	0.09	22.73	21.40	-0.06	-0.05
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.09	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Colgate	Pat	0.10	0.09	27.27	31.08	-0.05	-0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.10	0.09	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.10	0.09	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.09	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.07	0.07	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.07	0.07	19.05	22.94	-0.04	-0.04
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	70.83	73.80	0.03	0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	23.81	27.28	-0.04	-0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.07	0.07	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.07	-0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.12	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.07	0.03
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.12	0.06	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.11	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.11	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.11	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.07	0.03
UC Irvine	BW	0.06	0.06	36.36	40.08	-0.02	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.11	0.06	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.03
Evansville	MVC	0.10	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.03
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.10	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.04	-0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.10	0.06	23.81	27.31	-0.05	-0.03
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.06	40.00	39.13	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.06	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.04
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.00	0.06	15.79	17.64	-0.00	-0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.00	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.00	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.06	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.06	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.03	72.73	68.13	0.03	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.07	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.03	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.07	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.03	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.07	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.04	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.04	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.02	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.00	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.00	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.00	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.00	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.05	-0.03
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.02
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.02
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.78	0.02	0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.03	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Colorado St.	MWC	26.26	26.35	59.30	52.61	4.89	1.37
Brigham Young	MWC	2.85	4.35	86.96	87.09	2.10	3.22
New Mexico	MWC	2.81	4.32	86.96	83.32	2.07	2.88
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	2.74	4.28	80.95	79.84	1.69	2.55
Northern Colorado	BSky	2.76	2.07	78.26	77.24	1.56	1.13
Montana	BSky	2.63	1.94	71.43	73.17	1.13	0.90
San Diego St.	MWC	2.84	4.34	65.00	65.77	0.85	1.37
Denver	SB	2.48	1.85	63.64	61.70	0.68	0.43
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.26	0.15	91.30	88.21	0.21	0.12
Indiana St.	MVC	2.27	1.72	54.55	52.84	0.21	0.10
St. Mary's	WCC	0.21	0.15	86.96	84.62	0.15	0.11
Oregon	P10	2.50	1.88	52.38	47.04	0.12	-0.11
Arizona St.	P10	0.31	0.32	66.67	67.74	0.10	0.11
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.15	0.17	82.61	75.26	0.10	0.09
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.09	95.65	91.32	0.09	0.07
Wichita St.	MVC	0.15	0.12	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.06
Weber St.	BSky	0.36	0.37	61.90	65.04	0.09	0.11
Washington	P10	0.20	0.18	69.57	68.86	0.08	0.07
Utah St.	WAC	0.15	0.17	73.91	76.66	0.07	0.09
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.07	0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.09	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.06
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.12	81.82	79.60	0.07	0.07
Charlotte	A10	0.12	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.07	0.03
California	P10	0.20	0.17	65.22	68.42	0.06	0.06
Pacific	BW	0.16	0.15	68.18	68.10	0.06	0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.12	77.27	75.69	0.06	0.06
Missouri	B12	0.11	0.09	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.04
Portland	WCC	0.20	0.15	61.90	65.68	0.05	0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.19	0.20	61.90	56.37	0.05	0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.22	0.18	60.00	59.64	0.04	0.04
Washington St.	P10	0.16	0.18	63.64	58.79	0.04	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.11	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.09	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.06	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.04
Texas Tech	B12	0.10	0.15	68.18	59.30	0.04	0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.12	66.67	64.62	0.04	0.04
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.04	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.07	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.04	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.10	0.12	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.03
Southern California	P10	0.15	0.17	60.87	59.61	0.03	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.03	72.73	68.13	0.03	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.03	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	70.83	73.80	0.03	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.15	0.17	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.04
Arkansas St.	SB	0.15	0.09	57.14	57.10	0.02	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.78	0.02	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.15	0.18	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.03	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.20	0.15	54.55	54.05	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.12	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.37	0.36	52.17	53.65	0.02	0.03
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.10	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.09	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00