The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Utah St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Utah St.

Conference:		WAC
Expected RPI:		33.6
Current RPI:		51
Expected SOS:		86
Current SOS:		108
Current Record:		17-6
Expected Record:		23-7
Current Conf Record:		8-2
Expected Conf Record:		13-3
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		6-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		7-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-0
Current OOC Record:		9-4
Expected OOC Record:		10-4
Expected OOC RPI:		52
Expected OOC SOS:		67

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
24-6	24.1	34.13%
23-7	33.3	39.91%
22-8	43.8	19.69%
21-9	54.1	5.48%
20-10	64.2	0.70%
19-11	72.2	0.08%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Utah St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Weber St. (80.8)	BSky	A	66-60	W	100%	0.0
11-18	Utah (162.8)	MWC	A	67-68	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Northeastern (49.2)	CAA	A	61-64	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Idaho St. (275.5)	BSky	H	77-44	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Southern Utah (316.8)	Sum	H	89-49	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Brigham Young (15.9)	MWC	H	71-61	W	100%	0.0
12-5	St. Mary's (42.1)	WCC	H	63-68	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Utah Valley (329.2)	GWC	H	87-56	W	100%	0.0
12-16	Cal St. Bakersfield (322.0)	ind	A	68-51	W	100%	0.0
12-18	Long Beach St. (139.7)	BW	A	62-75	L	0%	0.0
12-21	Morehead St. (95.2)	OVC	H	79-72	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Cal St. Fullerton (212.6)	BW	H	83-60	W	100%	0.0
12-23	Weber St. (80.8)	BSky	H	85-73	W	100%	0.0
1-2	New Mexico St. (82.7)	WAC	A	52-55	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Louisiana Tech (61.3)	WAC	A	60-82	L	0%	0.0
1-11	Hawaii (234.4)	WAC	H	98-54	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Nevada (64.6)	WAC	A	79-72	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Boise St. (214.0)	WAC	H	81-59	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Fresno St. (160.9)	WAC	A	69-43	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Idaho (149.2)	WAC	A	60-48	W	100%	0.0
1-30	San Jose St. (141.9)	WAC	H	77-58	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Idaho (149.2)	WAC	H	80-62	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Nevada (64.6)	WAC	H	76-65	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Boise St. (214.0)	WAC	A	0-0		83%	10.4
2-13	San Jose St. (141.9)	WAC	A	0-0		80%	9.3
2-17	Louisiana Tech (61.3)	WAC	H	0-0		84%	10.9
2-20	Wichita St. (46.3)	MVC	H	0-0		78%	8.4
2-25	Hawaii (234.4)	WAC	A	0-0		89%	13.5
3-1	Fresno St. (160.9)	WAC	H	0-0		92%	15.0
3-6	New Mexico St. (82.7)	WAC	H	0-0		93%	16.4

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Utah St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Utah St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Utah St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Utah St.	WAC	26.48	26.39	76.34	78.52	13.95	15.05
Idaho	WAC	4.84	4.18	50.00	52.03	0.00	0.17
Nevada	WAC	4.80	4.15	63.16	65.02	1.26	1.25
Weber St.	BSky	4.65	3.54	68.42	70.46	1.71	1.45
San Jose St.	WAC	2.93	4.22	52.38	50.98	0.14	0.08
Hawaii	WAC	2.87	4.21	38.10	35.91	-0.68	-1.19
Boise St.	WAC	2.84	4.19	47.62	48.62	-0.14	-0.12
New Mexico St.	WAC	2.78	4.18	60.00	56.60	0.56	0.55
Fresno St.	WAC	2.78	4.19	50.00	52.07	0.00	0.17
Louisiana Tech	WAC	2.68	4.16	81.82	76.45	1.71	2.20
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	2.58	1.93	47.37	50.50	-0.14	0.02
Brigham Young	MWC	2.58	1.99	91.30	90.33	2.13	1.60
Utah	MWC	2.48	1.87	42.86	42.40	-0.35	-0.28
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	2.45	1.99	23.81	22.17	-1.28	-1.11
Idaho St.	BSky	2.42	1.93	20.00	24.92	-1.45	-0.97
St. Mary's	WCC	2.37	1.87	86.36	84.05	1.72	1.27
Morehead St.	OVC	2.33	1.76	71.43	70.39	1.00	0.72
Southern Utah	Sum	2.33	1.79	20.00	21.34	-1.40	-1.02
Utah Valley	GWC	2.32	1.78	38.89	40.65	-0.52	-0.33
Long Beach St.	BW	2.28	1.79	40.00	43.65	-0.46	-0.23
Northeastern	CAA	2.22	1.75	65.22	67.01	0.68	0.60
Montana St.	BSky	0.51	0.39	47.62	48.65	-0.02	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.46	0.39	18.18	19.18	-0.29	-0.24
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.45	0.32	81.82	80.91	0.29	0.20
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.42	0.25	30.43	29.01	-0.16	-0.10
Montana	BSky	0.41	0.30	68.18	70.35	0.15	0.12
UC Irvine	BW	0.40	0.35	36.36	40.08	-0.11	-0.07
Portland	WCC	0.37	0.24	61.90	65.68	0.09	0.07
Seattle	ind	0.37	0.42	45.83	48.87	-0.03	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.32	0.24	33.33	33.96	-0.11	-0.08
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.32	0.24	39.13	43.30	-0.07	-0.03
UC Riverside	BW	0.31	0.24	33.33	36.45	-0.10	-0.06
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.31	0.34	79.17	78.03	0.18	0.19
Pacific	BW	0.30	0.41	68.18	68.10	0.11	0.15
New Mexico	MWC	0.29	0.34	87.50	83.52	0.22	0.22
Santa Clara	WCC	0.29	0.23	33.33	34.27	-0.10	-0.07
Cal Poly	BW	0.25	0.27	36.36	36.06	-0.07	-0.07
Portland St.	BSky	0.25	0.28	38.10	39.65	-0.06	-0.06
Pepperdine	WCC	0.25	0.23	27.27	25.31	-0.11	-0.11
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.25	0.20	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.02
San Diego St.	MWC	0.24	0.22	66.67	67.74	0.08	0.08
San Francisco	WCC	0.24	0.17	31.82	32.31	-0.09	-0.06
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.21	0.24	60.00	59.64	0.04	0.05
UCLA	P10	0.21	0.15	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.21	0.12	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.20	0.24	45.00	45.40	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.19	0.11	77.27	77.12	0.11	0.06
Chicago St.	GWC	0.16	0.12	20.00	20.57	-0.10	-0.07
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.16	0.14	45.00	54.19	-0.02	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.16	0.12	38.10	38.08	-0.04	-0.03
UC Davis	BW	0.15	0.23	35.00	33.21	-0.05	-0.08
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.15	0.17	12.00	18.82	-0.12	-0.11
Houston	CUSA	0.15	0.11	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.15	0.09	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.15	0.14	77.27	75.69	0.08	0.07
Wagner	NEC	0.15	0.08	16.00	21.62	-0.10	-0.05
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.15	0.14	26.32	31.51	-0.07	-0.05
Wyoming	MWC	0.14	0.16	33.33	30.72	-0.05	-0.06
San Diego	WCC	0.14	0.17	33.33	33.43	-0.05	-0.06
Colorado St.	MWC	0.14	0.16	59.09	52.85	0.03	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.14	0.19	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.11	0.12	0.00	5.15	-0.11	-0.11
Washington St.	P10	0.11	0.06	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.11	0.12	22.73	24.05	-0.06	-0.06
North Dakota	GWC	0.11	0.12	15.79	27.84	-0.07	-0.05
South Dakota	GWC	0.11	0.10	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.10	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.06	0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.10	0.09	37.50	38.45	-0.03	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.05
Centenary	Sum	0.10	0.12	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.05
Oregon	P10	0.10	0.06	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.10	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.02	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.10	0.06	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.08	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.10	0.11	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.10	0.08	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.11	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.08
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.10	0.11	23.53	26.10	-0.05	-0.05
Oregon St.	P10	0.10	0.08	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.09	0.11	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.04
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.06	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.09	0.05	19.05	20.58	-0.06	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.09	0.08	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.09	0.06	26.09	26.91	-0.04	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.09	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.06	0.03	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.01
Furman	SC	0.06	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.02	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.07	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.06	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.11	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.03	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.06	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.05
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.04	-0.05
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.00
Washington	P10	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.05	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.09	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.06
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.03	22.73	23.47	-0.02	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.00	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.00	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.00	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.00	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.00	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.00	-0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.00	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.00	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.00	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.00	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.00	0.03	33.33	30.82	-0.00	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.00	0.11	66.67	64.62	0.00	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.00	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.00	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.00	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.00	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.00	-0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.00	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.00	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.00	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	1.67	79.17	79.21	0.00	0.97
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Utah St.	WAC	26.48	26.39	76.34	78.52	13.95	15.05
San Jose St.	WAC	2.93	4.22	52.38	50.98	0.14	0.08
Hawaii	WAC	2.87	4.21	38.10	35.91	-0.68	-1.19
Boise St.	WAC	2.84	4.19	47.62	48.62	-0.14	-0.12
Fresno St.	WAC	2.78	4.19	50.00	52.07	0.00	0.17
New Mexico St.	WAC	2.78	4.18	60.00	56.60	0.56	0.55
Idaho	WAC	4.84	4.18	50.00	52.03	0.00	0.17
Louisiana Tech	WAC	2.68	4.16	81.82	76.45	1.71	2.20
Nevada	WAC	4.80	4.15	63.16	65.02	1.26	1.25
Weber St.	BSky	4.65	3.54	68.42	70.46	1.71	1.45
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	2.45	1.99	23.81	22.17	-1.28	-1.11
Brigham Young	MWC	2.58	1.99	91.30	90.33	2.13	1.60
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	2.58	1.93	47.37	50.50	-0.14	0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	2.42	1.93	20.00	24.92	-1.45	-0.97
Utah	MWC	2.48	1.87	42.86	42.40	-0.35	-0.28
St. Mary's	WCC	2.37	1.87	86.36	84.05	1.72	1.27
Southern Utah	Sum	2.33	1.79	20.00	21.34	-1.40	-1.02
Long Beach St.	BW	2.28	1.79	40.00	43.65	-0.46	-0.23
Utah Valley	GWC	2.32	1.78	38.89	40.65	-0.52	-0.33
Morehead St.	OVC	2.33	1.76	71.43	70.39	1.00	0.72
Northeastern	CAA	2.22	1.75	65.22	67.01	0.68	0.60
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	1.67	79.17	79.21	0.00	0.97
Seattle	ind	0.37	0.42	45.83	48.87	-0.03	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.30	0.41	68.18	68.10	0.11	0.15
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.46	0.39	18.18	19.18	-0.29	-0.24
Montana St.	BSky	0.51	0.39	47.62	48.65	-0.02	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.40	0.35	36.36	40.08	-0.11	-0.07
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.31	0.34	79.17	78.03	0.18	0.19
New Mexico	MWC	0.29	0.34	87.50	83.52	0.22	0.22
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.45	0.32	81.82	80.91	0.29	0.20
Montana	BSky	0.41	0.30	68.18	70.35	0.15	0.12
Portland St.	BSky	0.25	0.28	38.10	39.65	-0.06	-0.06
Cal Poly	BW	0.25	0.27	36.36	36.06	-0.07	-0.07
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.42	0.25	30.43	29.01	-0.16	-0.10
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.20	0.24	45.00	45.40	-0.02	-0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.21	0.24	60.00	59.64	0.04	0.05
UC Riverside	BW	0.31	0.24	33.33	36.45	-0.10	-0.06
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.32	0.24	39.13	43.30	-0.07	-0.03
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.32	0.24	33.33	33.96	-0.11	-0.08
Portland	WCC	0.37	0.24	61.90	65.68	0.09	0.07
UC Davis	BW	0.15	0.23	35.00	33.21	-0.05	-0.08
Pepperdine	WCC	0.25	0.23	27.27	25.31	-0.11	-0.11
Santa Clara	WCC	0.29	0.23	33.33	34.27	-0.10	-0.07
San Diego St.	MWC	0.24	0.22	66.67	67.74	0.08	0.08
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.25	0.20	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.14	0.19	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.04
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.15	0.17	12.00	18.82	-0.12	-0.11
San Francisco	WCC	0.24	0.17	31.82	32.31	-0.09	-0.06
San Diego	WCC	0.14	0.17	33.33	33.43	-0.05	-0.06
Wyoming	MWC	0.14	0.16	33.33	30.72	-0.05	-0.06
Colorado St.	MWC	0.14	0.16	59.09	52.85	0.03	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.21	0.15	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.16	0.14	45.00	54.19	-0.02	0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.15	0.14	26.32	31.51	-0.07	-0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.15	0.14	77.27	75.69	0.08	0.07
Chicago St.	GWC	0.16	0.12	20.00	20.57	-0.10	-0.07
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.11	0.12	22.73	24.05	-0.06	-0.06
North Dakota	GWC	0.11	0.12	15.79	27.84	-0.07	-0.05
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.16	0.12	38.10	38.08	-0.04	-0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.21	0.12	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.11	0.12	0.00	5.15	-0.11	-0.11
Centenary	Sum	0.10	0.12	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.05
Bradley	MVC	0.10	0.11	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.11	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.08
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.11	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.00	0.11	66.67	64.62	0.00	0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.19	0.11	77.27	77.12	0.11	0.06
Houston	CUSA	0.15	0.11	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.10	0.11	23.53	26.10	-0.05	-0.05
Air Force	MWC	0.09	0.11	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.11	0.10	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.15	0.09	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.10	0.09	37.50	38.45	-0.03	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.09	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.06
Wagner	NEC	0.15	0.08	16.00	21.62	-0.10	-0.05
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.10	0.08	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.08	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.10	0.08	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.09	0.08	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.07	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.10	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.02
Oregon	P10	0.10	0.06	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.05
Southern California	P10	0.10	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.02	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.10	0.06	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.06	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.05
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.04	-0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.03
Washington St.	P10	0.11	0.06	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.06	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.06	0.02
Washington	P10	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.00	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.09	0.06	26.09	26.91	-0.04	-0.03
Drake	MVC	0.00	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.00	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.09	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.00	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.00	-0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.00	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.00	0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.02
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.06	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.00	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.00	0.04
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.00	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.09	0.05	19.05	20.58	-0.06	-0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.05	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
California	P10	0.06	0.03	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.01
Furman	SC	0.06	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.02	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.03	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.00	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.00	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.00	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.00	0.03	33.33	30.82	-0.00	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.00	0.01
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.00	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.00	-0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.00	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.00	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.03	22.73	23.47	-0.02	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.00	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Utah St.	WAC	26.48	26.39	76.34	78.52	13.95	15.05
Brigham Young	MWC	2.58	1.99	91.30	90.33	2.13	1.60
St. Mary's	WCC	2.37	1.87	86.36	84.05	1.72	1.27
Weber St.	BSky	4.65	3.54	68.42	70.46	1.71	1.45
Louisiana Tech	WAC	2.68	4.16	81.82	76.45	1.71	2.20
Nevada	WAC	4.80	4.15	63.16	65.02	1.26	1.25
Morehead St.	OVC	2.33	1.76	71.43	70.39	1.00	0.72
Northeastern	CAA	2.22	1.75	65.22	67.01	0.68	0.60
New Mexico St.	WAC	2.78	4.18	60.00	56.60	0.56	0.55
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.45	0.32	81.82	80.91	0.29	0.20
New Mexico	MWC	0.29	0.34	87.50	83.52	0.22	0.22
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.31	0.34	79.17	78.03	0.18	0.19
Montana	BSky	0.41	0.30	68.18	70.35	0.15	0.12
San Jose St.	WAC	2.93	4.22	52.38	50.98	0.14	0.08
Pacific	BW	0.30	0.41	68.18	68.10	0.11	0.15
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.19	0.11	77.27	77.12	0.11	0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.05
Portland	WCC	0.37	0.24	61.90	65.68	0.09	0.07
San Diego St.	MWC	0.24	0.22	66.67	67.74	0.08	0.08
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.15	0.14	77.27	75.69	0.08	0.07
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.11	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.08
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.06	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.10	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.21	0.24	60.00	59.64	0.04	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.06	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.02
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.08	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.09	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.06
Washington St.	P10	0.11	0.06	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.14	0.16	59.09	52.85	0.03	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.10	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.02	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Washington	P10	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.02
California	P10	0.06	0.03	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.11	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.02	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.06	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.09	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.10	0.06	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.10	0.06	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.10	0.11	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
Arizona	P10	0.09	0.08	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.00	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.00	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.00	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.00	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.00	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.00	-0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.00	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.00	-0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	2.78	4.19	50.00	52.07	0.00	0.17
Idaho	WAC	4.84	4.18	50.00	52.03	0.00	0.17
Indiana St.	MVC	0.00	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.00	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.00	0.03	33.33	30.82	-0.00	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.00	0.11	66.67	64.62	0.00	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.00	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.00	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.00	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.00	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.00	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.11	0.10	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.21	0.12	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.00	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.00	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.00	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	1.67	79.17	79.21	0.00	0.97
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.00	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.06	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.15	0.11	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00