


| Conference: | NEC |
| Expected RPI: | 303.2 |
| Current RPI: | 307 |
| Expected SOS: | 211 |
| Current SOS: | 230 |
| Current Record: | 5-18 |
| Expected Record: | 7-22 |
| Current Conf Record: | 4-8 |
| Expected Conf Record: | 6-12 |
| Probability of Auto Bid: | 0.01% |
| Expected Record vs RPI 1-25: | 0-0 |
| Expected Record vs RPI 26-50: | 0-0 |
| Expected Record vs RPI 51-100: | 0-6 |
| Expected Record vs RPI 101-200: | 2-7 |
| Expected Record vs RPI 200+: | 4-9 |
| Current OOC Record: | 1-10 |
| Expected OOC Record: | 1-10 |
| Expected OOC RPI: | 283 |
| Expected OOC SOS: | 44 |
| Final Record | Expected RPI | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10-19 | 262.1 | 0.24% |
| 9-20 | 278.2 | 2.64% |
| 8-21 | 290.6 | 12.87% |
| 7-22 | 300.0 | 34.59% |
| 6-23 | 308.7 | 39.42% |
| 5-24 | 316.2 | 10.23% |
| Date | Opponent (Expected RPI) | Conf | Loc | Score | Outcome | Prob(W) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-11 | Virginia Commonwealth (77.5) | CAA | A | 63-57 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 11-14 | Lafayette (209.9) | Pat | H | 81-84 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 11-19 | Bucknell (70.7) | Pat | A | 73-42 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 11-23 | Colgate (296.1) | Pat | A | 74-66 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 11-26 | Youngstown St. (154.7) | Horz | H | 59-60 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 11-28 | Niagara (213.6) | MAAC | H | 63-65 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 12-1 | Monmouth (274.7) | NEC | H | 71-49 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 12-3 | Fairleigh Dickinson (323.6) | NEC | H | 73-69 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 12-7 | Lehigh (110.6) | Pat | A | 71-50 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 12-10 | American (151.6) | Pat | H | 66-61 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 12-20 | Pittsburgh (68.6) | BE | A | 71-47 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 12-23 | St. Bonaventure (94.6) | A10 | A | 82-58 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 12-31 | Drexel (79.6) | CAA | A | 63-42 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-5 | Central Connecticut (234.8) | NEC | A | 69-58 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-7 | Bryant (334.5) | NEC | A | 59-56 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-12 | Sacred Heart (241.2) | NEC | H | 68-71 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-14 | Quinnipiac (174.4) | NEC | H | 74-71 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 1-19 | Monmouth (274.7) | NEC | A | 68-50 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-21 | Fairleigh Dickinson (323.6) | NEC | A | 63-69 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 1-26 | St. Francis NY (188.0) | NEC | H | 65-75 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-28 | Long Island (106.7) | NEC | H | 76-97 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 2-2 | Mount St. Mary's (289.3) | NEC | A | 64-51 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 2-4 | Wagner (83.3) | NEC | A | 72-54 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 2-8 | Robert Morris (110.5) | NEC | H | 0-0 | 17% | -10.5 | |
| 2-11 | Robert Morris (110.5) | NEC | A | 0-0 | 6% | -17.0 | |
| 2-16 | Bryant (334.5) | NEC | H | 0-0 | 72% | 6.5 | |
| 2-18 | Central Connecticut (234.8) | NEC | H | 0-0 | 34% | -4.6 | |
| 2-23 | Sacred Heart (241.2) | NEC | A | 0-0 | 20% | -9.1 | |
| 2-25 | Quinnipiac (174.4) | NEC | A | 0-0 | 11% | -13.4 |

| Team | Conf | Curr Wgt | Fut Wgt | Curr W/L | Exp W/L | Curr Impact | Exp Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Francis PA | NEC | 26.26 | 26.25 | 19.59 | 20.45 | -15.97 | -15.51 |
| Robert Morris | NEC | 0.83 | 4.32 | 68.00 | 68.77 | 0.30 | 1.62 |
| Quinnipiac | NEC | 2.91 | 4.32 | 59.09 | 58.07 | 0.53 | 0.70 |
| Sacred Heart | NEC | 2.78 | 4.24 | 41.67 | 42.85 | -0.46 | -0.61 |
| Bryant | NEC | 2.78 | 4.23 | 4.35 | 7.05 | -2.54 | -3.64 |
| Central Connecticut | NEC | 2.76 | 4.22 | 42.86 | 42.80 | -0.39 | -0.61 |
| Fairleigh Dickinson | NEC | 4.81 | 4.20 | 9.52 | 13.03 | -3.90 | -3.11 |
| Monmouth | NEC | 4.77 | 4.18 | 26.09 | 27.42 | -2.28 | -1.89 |
| Wagner | NEC | 2.87 | 2.63 | 81.82 | 84.03 | 1.82 | 1.79 |
| St. Francis NY | NEC | 2.82 | 2.59 | 54.55 | 54.40 | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| Mount St. Mary's | NEC | 2.77 | 2.57 | 22.73 | 26.06 | -1.51 | -1.23 |
| Long Island | NEC | 2.78 | 2.57 | 69.57 | 70.06 | 1.09 | 1.03 |
| Lafayette | Pat | 2.73 | 2.22 | 40.91 | 40.94 | -0.50 | -0.40 |
| Lehigh | Pat | 2.60 | 2.17 | 72.73 | 74.05 | 1.18 | 1.04 |
| American | Pat | 2.50 | 2.05 | 68.18 | 66.06 | 0.91 | 0.66 |
| Colgate | Pat | 2.50 | 2.05 | 27.27 | 26.97 | -1.14 | -0.94 |
| Bucknell | Pat | 2.36 | 1.96 | 72.73 | 74.14 | 1.07 | 0.95 |
| Niagara | MAAC | 2.37 | 1.90 | 33.33 | 38.38 | -0.79 | -0.44 |
| Pittsburgh | BE | 2.22 | 1.81 | 60.87 | 58.17 | 0.48 | 0.30 |
| Drexel | CAA | 2.26 | 1.78 | 78.26 | 77.29 | 1.28 | 0.97 |
| Youngstown St. | Horz | 2.17 | 1.78 | 50.00 | 51.49 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| Virginia Commonwealth | CAA | 2.22 | 1.75 | 79.17 | 77.35 | 1.29 | 0.96 |
| St. Bonaventure | A10 | 2.22 | 1.75 | 57.89 | 57.58 | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| Army | Pat | 0.43 | 0.45 | 40.91 | 41.68 | -0.08 | -0.07 |
| Navy | Pat | 0.47 | 0.44 | 9.52 | 13.17 | -0.38 | -0.33 |
| Holy Cross | Pat | 0.33 | 0.35 | 40.91 | 42.03 | -0.06 | -0.06 |
| Brown | Ivy | 0.32 | 0.29 | 27.27 | 23.78 | -0.15 | -0.15 |
| La Salle | A10 | 0.19 | 0.24 | 70.83 | 68.83 | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| Hartford | AE | 0.23 | 0.23 | 20.83 | 22.81 | -0.13 | -0.13 |
| Yale | Ivy | 0.19 | 0.23 | 72.22 | 63.23 | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| Albany | AE | 0.37 | 0.23 | 57.69 | 58.54 | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| Hofstra | CAA | 0.32 | 0.23 | 32.00 | 35.39 | -0.11 | -0.07 |
| St. Peter's | MAAC | 0.23 | 0.23 | 20.83 | 23.73 | -0.13 | -0.12 |
| Rider | MAAC | 0.22 | 0.22 | 40.00 | 39.70 | -0.04 | -0.05 |
| Cleveland St. | Horz | 0.16 | 0.18 | 82.61 | 81.41 | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Columbia | Ivy | 0.28 | 0.18 | 55.00 | 54.81 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| NJ Inst of Technology | GWC | 0.28 | 0.18 | 33.33 | 38.39 | -0.09 | -0.04 |
| Fordham | A10 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 40.91 | 34.45 | -0.04 | -0.05 |
| Vermont | AE | 0.19 | 0.18 | 61.54 | 63.84 | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| Richmond | A10 | 0.24 | 0.17 | 50.00 | 48.48 | 0.00 | -0.01 |
| George Mason | CAA | 0.18 | 0.17 | 76.00 | 72.48 | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| Massachusetts | A10 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 73.91 | 68.65 | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| Loyola MD | MAAC | 0.24 | 0.15 | 78.26 | 74.29 | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| Duquesne | A10 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 59.09 | 56.38 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Providence | BE | 0.19 | 0.14 | 52.00 | 48.78 | 0.01 | -0.00 |
| Fairfield | MAAC | 0.18 | 0.14 | 56.52 | 54.88 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Pennsylvania | Ivy | 0.14 | 0.14 | 54.55 | 56.80 | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| William & Mary | CAA | 0.18 | 0.14 | 12.50 | 13.42 | -0.13 | -0.10 |
| Hampton | MEAC | 0.09 | 0.14 | 34.78 | 37.18 | -0.03 | -0.04 |
| James Madison | CAA | 0.04 | 0.14 | 40.00 | 40.17 | -0.01 | -0.03 |
| Notre Dame | BE | 0.13 | 0.14 | 65.22 | 62.67 | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| Rutgers | BE | 0.18 | 0.14 | 50.00 | 46.87 | 0.00 | -0.01 |
| Penn St. | B10 | 0.19 | 0.12 | 41.67 | 38.63 | -0.03 | -0.03 |
| Cornell | Ivy | 0.20 | 0.12 | 36.84 | 41.47 | -0.05 | -0.02 |
| MD Baltimore County | AE | 0.14 | 0.12 | 13.04 | 14.47 | -0.10 | -0.08 |
| Princeton | Ivy | 0.19 | 0.12 | 47.37 | 52.90 | -0.01 | 0.01 |
| Dartmouth | Ivy | 0.14 | 0.12 | 14.29 | 17.12 | -0.10 | -0.08 |
| Siena | MAAC | 0.15 | 0.12 | 43.48 | 45.03 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| Louisville | BE | 0.14 | 0.12 | 79.17 | 74.20 | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| Marist | MAAC | 0.14 | 0.12 | 34.78 | 33.44 | -0.04 | -0.04 |
| Stony Brook | AE | 0.14 | 0.12 | 68.18 | 68.98 | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| Vanderbilt | SEC | 0.18 | 0.12 | 69.57 | 65.88 | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| Delaware | CAA | 0.18 | 0.12 | 47.83 | 50.66 | -0.01 | 0.00 |
| Villanova | BE | 0.18 | 0.11 | 45.83 | 45.52 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Boston College | ACC | 0.09 | 0.11 | 30.43 | 26.42 | -0.03 | -0.05 |
| Georgia St. | CAA | 0.18 | 0.11 | 66.67 | 69.71 | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| Old Dominion | CAA | 0.09 | 0.11 | 60.00 | 58.30 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Towson | CAA | 0.13 | 0.11 | 4.00 | 5.27 | -0.12 | -0.10 |
| Michigan St. | B10 | 0.10 | 0.09 | 77.27 | 73.50 | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| Buffalo | MAC | 0.15 | 0.09 | 68.42 | 66.51 | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| Saint Joseph's | A10 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 62.50 | 62.42 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Boston University | AE | 0.09 | 0.09 | 50.00 | 53.83 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Binghamton | AE | 0.14 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 4.04 | -0.14 | -0.08 |
| St. John's | BE | 0.09 | 0.09 | 43.48 | 40.24 | -0.01 | -0.02 |
| Syracuse | BE | 0.14 | 0.09 | 95.83 | 92.00 | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| Norfolk St. | MEAC | 0.14 | 0.09 | 69.57 | 70.42 | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| Canisius | MAAC | 0.10 | 0.09 | 17.39 | 19.76 | -0.06 | -0.05 |
| Virginia Tech | ACC | 0.14 | 0.09 | 56.52 | 55.22 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Seton Hall | BE | 0.09 | 0.09 | 65.22 | 63.65 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| New Hampshire | AE | 0.09 | 0.09 | 33.33 | 37.75 | -0.03 | -0.02 |
| Northeastern | CAA | 0.13 | 0.09 | 47.83 | 48.56 | -0.01 | -0.00 |
| Iona | MAAC | 0.13 | 0.08 | 79.17 | 80.14 | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| NC Wilmington | CAA | 0.09 | 0.08 | 39.13 | 36.12 | -0.02 | -0.02 |
| South Florida | BE | 0.04 | 0.08 | 54.55 | 48.54 | 0.00 | -0.00 |
| Butler | Horz | 0.05 | 0.06 | 50.00 | 50.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Detroit | Horz | 0.05 | 0.06 | 47.83 | 48.88 | -0.00 | -0.00 |
| Illinois Chicago | Horz | 0.10 | 0.06 | 28.57 | 29.05 | -0.04 | -0.03 |
| Loyola Chicago | Horz | 0.10 | 0.06 | 18.18 | 19.91 | -0.07 | -0.04 |
| Valparaiso | Horz | 0.05 | 0.06 | 65.22 | 63.55 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Wisconsin Green Bay | Horz | 0.05 | 0.06 | 35.00 | 39.40 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| Wisconsin Milwaukee | Horz | 0.10 | 0.06 | 56.52 | 57.81 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Wright St. | Horz | 0.05 | 0.06 | 41.67 | 40.47 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Northwestern | B10 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 63.64 | 57.79 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Rhode Island | A10 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 20.83 | 20.61 | -0.03 | -0.04 |
| Akron | MAC | 0.10 | 0.06 | 68.18 | 67.98 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| Howard | MEAC | 0.09 | 0.06 | 21.74 | 25.63 | -0.05 | -0.03 |
| Longwood | ind | 0.09 | 0.06 | 28.57 | 25.79 | -0.04 | -0.03 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore | MEAC | 0.09 | 0.06 | 19.05 | 19.39 | -0.06 | -0.04 |
| Minnesota | B10 | 0.09 | 0.06 | 70.83 | 62.75 | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| George Washington | A10 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 34.78 | 32.05 | -0.03 | -0.02 |
| Connecticut | BE | 0.05 | 0.06 | 65.22 | 62.35 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Georgetown | BE | 0.09 | 0.06 | 80.95 | 77.45 | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| Marquette | BE | 0.09 | 0.06 | 80.00 | 76.67 | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| Arizona | P12 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 66.67 | 68.55 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| San Diego St. | MWC | 0.05 | 0.06 | 85.71 | 78.11 | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| Southern Utah | Sum | 0.05 | 0.06 | 45.45 | 44.27 | -0.00 | -0.01 |
| UC Davis | BW | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 5.31 | -0.05 | -0.05 |
| Harvard | Ivy | 0.09 | 0.06 | 90.48 | 87.91 | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| Lipscomb | ASun | 0.04 | 0.06 | 43.48 | 43.89 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Louisiana Lafayette | SB | 0.00 | 0.06 | 54.17 | 54.76 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Manhattan | MAAC | 0.09 | 0.06 | 68.00 | 69.08 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| Memphis | CUSA | 0.00 | 0.06 | 69.57 | 71.58 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| North Carolina | ACC | 0.09 | 0.06 | 86.96 | 83.30 | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| Ohio | MAC | 0.00 | 0.06 | 81.82 | 77.18 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| West Virginia | BE | 0.05 | 0.06 | 66.67 | 65.98 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Western Kentucky | SB | 0.09 | 0.06 | 34.78 | 34.46 | -0.03 | -0.02 |
| Austin Peay | OVC | 0.00 | 0.03 | 32.00 | 35.39 | -0.00 | -0.01 |
| Samford | SC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 33.33 | 35.20 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| Toledo | MAC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 38.10 | 40.84 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| UC Riverside | BW | 0.05 | 0.03 | 42.86 | 39.66 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Arkansas St. | SB | 0.05 | 0.03 | 37.50 | 38.36 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Charlotte | A10 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 50.00 | 49.46 | 0.00 | -0.00 |
| Dayton | A10 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 60.87 | 60.96 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Illinois | B10 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 69.57 | 61.84 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| North Carolina St. | ACC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 70.83 | 64.53 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| St. Louis | A10 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 77.27 | 77.70 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| Temple | A10 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 77.27 | 75.07 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Xavier | A10 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 65.22 | 63.69 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Air Force | MWC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 47.37 | 42.13 | -0.00 | -0.00 |
| Delaware St. | MEAC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 38.89 | 41.49 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Eastern Kentucky | OVC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 50.00 | 51.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Eastern Michigan | MAC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 40.91 | 38.38 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Florida Atlantic | SB | 0.05 | 0.03 | 36.36 | 39.73 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Iowa St. | B12 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 70.83 | 66.50 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Liberty | BSth | 0.05 | 0.03 | 27.27 | 27.33 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| Maryland | ACC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 60.87 | 53.44 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Morehead St. | OVC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 45.45 | 47.09 | -0.00 | -0.00 |
| North Carolina Central | MEAC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 42.11 | 45.89 | -0.01 | -0.00 |
| Santa Clara | WCC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 28.57 | 26.31 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| Savannah St. | MEAC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 54.55 | 58.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Wisconsin | B10 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 75.00 | 74.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Bradley | MVC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 24.00 | 24.86 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| Radford | BSth | 0.05 | 0.03 | 8.70 | 13.12 | -0.04 | -0.02 |
| Texas St. | Slnd | 0.05 | 0.03 | 22.22 | 27.56 | -0.03 | -0.01 |
| Virginia | ACC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 81.82 | 76.80 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| Winthrop | BSth | 0.05 | 0.03 | 34.78 | 34.75 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Alabama | SEC | 0.04 | 0.03 | 69.57 | 70.16 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Cincinnati | BE | 0.05 | 0.03 | 69.57 | 65.37 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| DePaul | BE | 0.05 | 0.03 | 47.83 | 42.19 | -0.00 | -0.00 |
| Georgia Tech | ACC | 0.04 | 0.03 | 39.13 | 42.16 | -0.01 | -0.00 |
| Long Beach St. | BW | 0.05 | 0.03 | 71.43 | 73.45 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Mercer | ASun | 0.04 | 0.03 | 72.00 | 72.22 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Missouri | B12 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 91.67 | 87.92 | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| NC Greensboro | SC | 0.04 | 0.03 | 34.78 | 33.38 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Northern Iowa | MVC | 0.00 | 0.03 | 62.50 | 61.43 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Oklahoma St. | B12 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 47.83 | 42.67 | -0.00 | -0.00 |
| Sam Houston St. | Slnd | 0.04 | 0.03 | 26.32 | 29.85 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| South Carolina St. | MEAC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 14.29 | 16.80 | -0.03 | -0.02 |
| South Dakota St. | Sum | 0.04 | 0.03 | 73.91 | 75.47 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Tennessee | SEC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 45.45 | 44.56 | -0.00 | -0.00 |
| UAB | CUSA | 0.04 | 0.03 | 40.91 | 39.81 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Virginia Military Inst | BSth | 0.05 | 0.03 | 45.00 | 44.18 | -0.00 | -0.00 |