The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Loyola Chicago page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Loyola Chicago

Conference:		Horz
Expected RPI:		184.8
Current RPI:		188
Expected SOS:		186
Current SOS:		227
Current Record:		11-10
Expected Record:		13-14
Current Conf Record:		4-9
Expected Conf Record:		6-12
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-1
Current OOC Record:		7-1
Expected OOC Record:		7-2
Expected OOC RPI:		74
Expected OOC SOS:		270

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
17-10	119.5	0.02%
16-11	135.9	1.39%
15-12	155.0	10.45%
14-13	173.1	30.05%
13-14	190.5	36.85%
12-15	207.4	18.60%
11-16	223.9	2.63%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Loyola Chicago.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Kansas St. (7.0)	B12	A	54-92	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Canisius (202.7)	MAAC	H	89-69	W	100%	0.0
11-20	Holy Cross (269.0)	Pat	A	76-73	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Western Michigan (121.6)	MAC	H	60-58	W	100%	0.0
12-3	Wisconsin Green Bay (120.9)	Horz	A	69-90	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Wisconsin Milwaukee (160.4)	Horz	A	69-64	W	100%	0.0
12-12	San Francisco (222.5)	WCC	H	66-63	W	100%	0.0
12-16	Bradley (115.5)	MVC	A	68-65	W	100%	0.0
12-20	SIU Edwardsville (329.0)	OVC	A	79-61	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Albany (293.1)	AE	H	68-56	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Wright St. (82.9)	Horz	H	53-52	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Detroit (162.9)	Horz	H	42-59	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Cleveland St. (144.7)	Horz	A	57-62	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Youngstown St. (257.4)	Horz	A	67-71	L	0%	0.0
1-15	Illinois Chicago (293.2)	Horz	A	55-50	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Butler (17.9)	Horz	H	47-48	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Valparaiso (167.6)	Horz	H	67-86	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Detroit (162.9)	Horz	A	63-83	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Wright St. (82.9)	Horz	A	48-66	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Youngstown St. (257.4)	Horz	H	92-85	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Cleveland St. (144.7)	Horz	H	56-59	L	0%	0.0
2-8	Butler (17.9)	Horz	A	0-0		3%	-19.9
2-13	Illinois Chicago (293.2)	Horz	H	0-0		80%	9.0
2-17	Valparaiso (167.6)	Horz	A	0-0		27%	-6.7
2-20	Creighton (123.3)	MVC	A	0-0		19%	-9.4
2-25	Wisconsin Milwaukee (160.4)	Horz	H	0-0		49%	-0.3
2-27	Wisconsin Green Bay (120.9)	Horz	H	0-0		53%	0.8

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Loyola Chicago's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Loyola Chicago's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Loyola Chicago.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Loyola Chicago	Horz	26.52	26.44	53.54	50.05	1.88	0.03
Detroit	Horz	5.60	4.80	52.38	55.46	0.27	0.52
Cleveland St.	Horz	5.56	4.76	40.00	42.87	-1.11	-0.68
Youngstown St.	Horz	5.55	4.72	26.32	25.94	-2.63	-2.27
Wright St.	Horz	5.51	4.74	63.64	66.42	1.50	1.56
Illinois Chicago	Horz	3.44	4.73	23.81	23.52	-1.80	-2.50
Butler	Horz	3.33	4.74	82.61	82.88	2.17	3.11
Valparaiso	Horz	3.32	4.73	38.10	40.06	-0.79	-0.94
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	3.29	4.73	59.09	56.54	0.60	0.62
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	3.22	4.77	52.38	52.88	0.15	0.27
Western Michigan	MAC	2.54	1.95	57.14	58.64	0.36	0.34
Kansas St.	B12	2.49	1.92	80.95	78.87	1.54	1.11
Albany	AE	2.48	1.91	24.00	26.63	-1.29	-0.89
Holy Cross	Pat	2.44	1.88	27.27	32.15	-1.11	-0.67
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	2.44	1.92	9.09	9.93	-1.99	-1.54
Bradley	MVC	2.38	1.91	54.55	52.01	0.22	0.08
Canisius	MAAC	2.38	1.85	45.83	46.71	-0.20	-0.12
San Francisco	WCC	2.38	1.85	33.33	33.55	-0.79	-0.61
Robert Morris	NEC	0.37	0.22	66.67	64.02	0.12	0.06
Central Michigan	MAC	0.31	0.25	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.26	0.16	70.59	72.98	0.11	0.07
Toledo	MAC	0.26	0.32	8.70	10.09	-0.22	-0.26
Bowling Green	MAC	0.26	0.25	47.62	45.68	-0.01	-0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.22	0.16	69.57	70.29	0.09	0.07
Xavier	A10	0.22	0.19	69.57	71.43	0.08	0.08
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.21	0.26	54.55	54.05	0.02	0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.21	0.23	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.21	0.13	58.33	58.93	0.03	0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.21	0.16	43.48	47.68	-0.03	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.20	0.29	22.73	22.60	-0.11	-0.16
Akron	MAC	0.16	0.16	69.57	66.00	0.06	0.05
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.16	0.16	36.36	37.37	-0.04	-0.04
Wichita St.	MVC	0.16	0.19	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.10
Wisconsin	B10	0.16	0.19	78.26	78.92	0.09	0.11
Ohio St.	B10	0.16	0.13	75.00	73.72	0.08	0.06
DePaul	BE	0.16	0.13	34.78	33.89	-0.05	-0.04
Illinois	B10	0.16	0.10	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.16	0.23	66.67	63.46	0.05	0.06
South Dakota	GWC	0.16	0.10	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.16	0.09	40.00	42.64	-0.03	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.16	0.16	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.15	0.13	55.00	52.00	0.02	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.15	0.09	66.67	68.11	0.05	0.03
Washington	P10	0.15	0.10	69.57	68.86	0.06	0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.15	0.09	0.00	5.15	-0.15	-0.08
Fairfield	MAAC	0.15	0.09	69.57	64.51	0.06	0.03
Boston University	AE	0.15	0.09	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.14	0.12	72.00	70.73	0.06	0.05
High Point	BSth	0.11	0.07	42.86	44.37	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.11	0.07	4.76	9.78	-0.10	-0.06
Pittsburgh	BE	0.11	0.07	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.03
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.11	0.07	30.43	30.27	-0.04	-0.03
Colorado	B12	0.11	0.10	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.11	0.09	19.05	22.94	-0.07	-0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.11	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.10	0.05
San Diego	WCC	0.11	0.07	33.33	33.43	-0.04	-0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.11	0.07	86.96	84.62	0.08	0.05
Virginia	ACC	0.11	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.04	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.11	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.08	0.04
Brigham Young	MWC	0.11	0.07	87.50	87.42	0.08	0.05
Colgate	Pat	0.11	0.13	27.27	31.08	-0.05	-0.05
Indiana St.	MVC	0.11	0.25	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.11	0.10	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.11	0.14	42.86	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.11	0.07	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.11	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.07	0.04
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.13	33.33	33.96	-0.04	-0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.11	0.10	86.36	81.80	0.08	0.06
California	P10	0.10	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.02
Lafayette	Pat	0.10	0.06	60.87	59.16	0.02	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.10	0.07	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.09	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.13	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.07	86.96	85.47	0.08	0.05
North Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.14	15.79	27.84	-0.07	-0.06
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.03
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.16	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.13	82.61	78.56	0.07	0.07
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.10	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.10	0.09	4.17	4.73	-0.09	-0.08
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.10	0.09	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.04
Belmont	ASun	0.10	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.02	-0.01
American	Pat	0.10	0.09	30.43	32.39	-0.04	-0.03
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.10	0.06	39.13	41.19	-0.02	-0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.10	0.09	68.18	68.72	0.04	0.03
Manhattan	MAAC	0.10	0.06	33.33	35.33	-0.03	-0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.13	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.09	0.15	83.33	81.25	0.06	0.10
Binghamton	AE	0.09	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.01
Vermont	AE	0.09	0.06	68.00	67.20	0.03	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.03
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.07	17.39	20.11	-0.04	-0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.07	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.05
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.05
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.07	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.07	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.04
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.06	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.09	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.07	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.07	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.03
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.07	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.07	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.04	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.02
Troy	SB	0.05	0.07	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.03	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Army	Pat	0.05	0.06	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.31	-0.03	-0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.06	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.05	1.92	50.00	49.65	0.00	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.09	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.05
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.06	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.04	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.04	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.04	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.13	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.10
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.05	0.06	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.04	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.04	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.04	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.06	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.05	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.06	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.05
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.06	35.00	38.23	-0.01	-0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.04	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.00	0.04	45.00	48.63	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.00	-0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.00	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.00	0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.00	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.00	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.00	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.00	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.00	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.00	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.00	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.00	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.00	0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.00	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.00	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.00	0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.00	0.07	33.33	36.45	-0.00	-0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Loyola Chicago	Horz	26.52	26.44	53.54	50.05	1.88	0.03
Detroit	Horz	5.60	4.80	52.38	55.46	0.27	0.52
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	3.22	4.77	52.38	52.88	0.15	0.27
Cleveland St.	Horz	5.56	4.76	40.00	42.87	-1.11	-0.68
Butler	Horz	3.33	4.74	82.61	82.88	2.17	3.11
Wright St.	Horz	5.51	4.74	63.64	66.42	1.50	1.56
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	3.29	4.73	59.09	56.54	0.60	0.62
Valparaiso	Horz	3.32	4.73	38.10	40.06	-0.79	-0.94
Illinois Chicago	Horz	3.44	4.73	23.81	23.52	-1.80	-2.50
Youngstown St.	Horz	5.55	4.72	26.32	25.94	-2.63	-2.27
Western Michigan	MAC	2.54	1.95	57.14	58.64	0.36	0.34
Creighton	MVC	0.05	1.92	50.00	49.65	0.00	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	2.49	1.92	80.95	78.87	1.54	1.11
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	2.44	1.92	9.09	9.93	-1.99	-1.54
Albany	AE	2.48	1.91	24.00	26.63	-1.29	-0.89
Bradley	MVC	2.38	1.91	54.55	52.01	0.22	0.08
Holy Cross	Pat	2.44	1.88	27.27	32.15	-1.11	-0.67
Canisius	MAAC	2.38	1.85	45.83	46.71	-0.20	-0.12
San Francisco	WCC	2.38	1.85	33.33	33.55	-0.79	-0.61
Toledo	MAC	0.26	0.32	8.70	10.09	-0.22	-0.26
Evansville	MVC	0.20	0.29	22.73	22.60	-0.11	-0.16
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.21	0.26	54.55	54.05	0.02	0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.26	0.25	47.62	45.68	-0.01	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.31	0.25	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.11	0.25	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.16	0.23	66.67	63.46	0.05	0.06
Ball St.	MAC	0.21	0.23	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.37	0.22	66.67	64.02	0.12	0.06
Wisconsin	B10	0.16	0.19	78.26	78.92	0.09	0.11
Xavier	A10	0.22	0.19	69.57	71.43	0.08	0.08
Wichita St.	MVC	0.16	0.19	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.10
Kent St.	MAC	0.22	0.16	69.57	70.29	0.09	0.07
Akron	MAC	0.16	0.16	69.57	66.00	0.06	0.05
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.16	0.16	36.36	37.37	-0.04	-0.04
Drake	MVC	0.16	0.16	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.21	0.16	43.48	47.68	-0.03	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.26	0.16	70.59	72.98	0.11	0.07
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.16	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.09	0.15	83.33	81.25	0.06	0.10
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.11	0.14	42.86	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.14	15.79	27.84	-0.07	-0.06
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.21	0.13	58.33	58.93	0.03	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.16	0.13	34.78	33.89	-0.05	-0.04
Colgate	Pat	0.11	0.13	27.27	31.08	-0.05	-0.05
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.13	33.33	33.96	-0.04	-0.04
Buffalo	MAC	0.15	0.13	55.00	52.00	0.02	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.13	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.04
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.13	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.13	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.10
Ohio St.	B10	0.16	0.13	75.00	73.72	0.08	0.06
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.13	82.61	78.56	0.07	0.07
Iona	MAAC	0.14	0.12	72.00	70.73	0.06	0.05
South Dakota	GWC	0.16	0.10	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.11	0.10	86.36	81.80	0.08	0.06
Illinois	B10	0.16	0.10	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.11	0.10	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.15	0.10	69.57	68.86	0.06	0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.10	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.11	0.10	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.11	0.09	19.05	22.94	-0.07	-0.05
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.09	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.05
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.09	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.16	0.09	40.00	42.64	-0.03	-0.01
American	Pat	0.10	0.09	30.43	32.39	-0.04	-0.03
Fairfield	MAAC	0.15	0.09	69.57	64.51	0.06	0.03
Marist	MAAC	0.10	0.09	4.17	4.73	-0.09	-0.08
Northeastern	CAA	0.15	0.09	66.67	68.11	0.05	0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.00	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.10	0.09	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.04
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.09	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.15	0.09	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.10	0.09	68.18	68.72	0.04	0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.15	0.09	0.00	5.15	-0.15	-0.08
Lipscomb	ASun	0.10	0.07	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.07	86.96	85.47	0.08	0.05
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.07	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.05
High Point	BSth	0.11	0.07	42.86	44.37	-0.02	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.07	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.11	0.07	4.76	9.78	-0.10	-0.06
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.07	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.11	0.07	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.03
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.07	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.11	0.07	33.33	33.43	-0.04	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.07	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.11	0.07	30.43	30.27	-0.04	-0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.11	0.07	86.96	84.62	0.08	0.05
UC Riverside	BW	0.00	0.07	33.33	36.45	-0.00	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.11	0.07	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.11	0.07	87.50	87.42	0.08	0.05
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.07	17.39	20.11	-0.04	-0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.07	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.04
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.07	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Troy	SB	0.05	0.07	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Army	Pat	0.05	0.06	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.06	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.11	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.10	0.05
Lafayette	Pat	0.10	0.06	60.87	59.16	0.02	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.06	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.06	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.03
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.11	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.07	0.04
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Samford	SC	0.05	0.06	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.11	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.04	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.11	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.08	0.04
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.03
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.10	0.06	39.13	41.19	-0.02	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.10	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
California	P10	0.10	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.00	-0.04
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.10	0.06	33.33	35.33	-0.03	-0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.02	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.03
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.06	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.09	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.05	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.06	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.05
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.06	35.00	38.23	-0.01	-0.01
Vermont	AE	0.09	0.06	68.00	67.20	0.03	0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.00	0.04	45.00	48.63	-0.00	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.04	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.04	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.04	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.04	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.04	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.04	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.03	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.31	-0.03	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.00	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.00	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.00	0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.04	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.00	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.00	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.01
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.00	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.00	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.00	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.00	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.00	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.00	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.00	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.04	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Butler	Horz	3.33	4.74	82.61	82.88	2.17	3.11
Loyola Chicago	Horz	26.52	26.44	53.54	50.05	1.88	0.03
Kansas St.	B12	2.49	1.92	80.95	78.87	1.54	1.11
Wright St.	Horz	5.51	4.74	63.64	66.42	1.50	1.56
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	3.29	4.73	59.09	56.54	0.60	0.62
Western Michigan	MAC	2.54	1.95	57.14	58.64	0.36	0.34
Detroit	Horz	5.60	4.80	52.38	55.46	0.27	0.52
Bradley	MVC	2.38	1.91	54.55	52.01	0.22	0.08
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	3.22	4.77	52.38	52.88	0.15	0.27
Robert Morris	NEC	0.37	0.22	66.67	64.02	0.12	0.06
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.26	0.16	70.59	72.98	0.11	0.07
Kentucky	SEC	0.11	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.10	0.05
Wichita St.	MVC	0.16	0.19	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.10
Wisconsin	B10	0.16	0.19	78.26	78.92	0.09	0.11
Kent St.	MAC	0.22	0.16	69.57	70.29	0.09	0.07
Xavier	A10	0.22	0.19	69.57	71.43	0.08	0.08
St. Mary's	WCC	0.11	0.07	86.96	84.62	0.08	0.05
Brigham Young	MWC	0.11	0.07	87.50	87.42	0.08	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.16	0.13	75.00	73.72	0.08	0.06
West Virginia	BE	0.11	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.08	0.04
Purdue	B10	0.11	0.10	86.36	81.80	0.08	0.06
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.07	86.96	85.47	0.08	0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.11	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.07	0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.13	82.61	78.56	0.07	0.07
Akron	MAC	0.16	0.16	69.57	66.00	0.06	0.05
Siena	MAAC	0.09	0.15	83.33	81.25	0.06	0.10
Iona	MAAC	0.14	0.12	72.00	70.73	0.06	0.05
Washington	P10	0.15	0.10	69.57	68.86	0.06	0.04
Fairfield	MAAC	0.15	0.09	69.57	64.51	0.06	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.11	0.07	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.16	0.10	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.16	0.23	66.67	63.46	0.05	0.06
Northeastern	CAA	0.15	0.09	66.67	68.11	0.05	0.03