The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Southern Illinois page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Southern Illinois

Conference:		MVC
Expected RPI:		133.6
Current RPI:		134
Expected SOS:		127
Current SOS:		121
Current Record:		12-10
Expected Record:		15-13
Current Conf Record:		5-8
Expected Conf Record:		7-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-0
Current OOC Record:		7-2
Expected OOC Record:		8-2
Expected OOC RPI:		116
Expected OOC SOS:		312

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
18-10	89.1	0.97%
17-11	101.5	8.72%
16-12	116.8	26.42%
15-13	135.8	36.75%
14-14	154.9	21.09%
13-15	172.9	5.59%
12-16	188.2	0.45%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Southern Illinois.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	Tennessee Martin (335.4)	OVC	H	91-63	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Nevada Las Vegas (32.4)	MWC	A	69-78	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Illinois Chicago (293.2)	Horz	H	74-64	W	100%	0.0
12-5	St. Louis (124.0)	A10	A	61-71	L	0%	0.0
12-9	Southeast Missouri St. (298.6)	OVC	A	86-65	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Alabama St. (302.5)	SWAC	H	82-63	W	100%	0.0
12-19	San Diego (225.4)	WCC	N	70-68	W	100%	0.0
12-20	San Francisco (222.5)	WCC	N	67-66	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Indiana St. (91.9)	MVC	H	70-52	W	100%	0.0
1-1	Bradley (115.5)	MVC	A	86-81	W	100%	0.0
1-3	Illinois St. (108.0)	MVC	A	61-68	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Northern Iowa (19.0)	MVC	H	49-61	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Drake (179.5)	MVC	H	65-70	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Creighton (123.3)	MVC	A	69-71	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Evansville (276.1)	MVC	A	65-57	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Bradley (115.5)	MVC	H	55-57	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Illinois St. (108.0)	MVC	H	81-80	W	100%	0.0
1-25	Western Kentucky (159.1)	SB	H	68-63	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Indiana St. (91.9)	MVC	A	65-68	L	0%	0.0
1-31	Wichita St. (46.3)	MVC	H	54-55	L	0%	0.0
2-3	Missouri St. (85.5)	MVC	H	73-67	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Northern Iowa (19.0)	MVC	A	52-55	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Missouri St. (85.5)	MVC	A	0-0		26%	-7.1
2-13	Evansville (276.1)	MVC	H	0-0		89%	13.2
2-16	Drake (179.5)	MVC	A	0-0		50%	0.1
2-20	Western Michigan (121.6)	MAC	H	0-0		65%	4.1
2-23	Creighton (123.3)	MVC	H	0-0		66%	4.5
2-27	Wichita St. (46.3)	MVC	A	0-0		18%	-9.9

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Southern Illinois's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Southern Illinois's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Southern Illinois.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Southern Illinois	MVC	26.50	26.40	53.06	52.99	1.62	1.58
Illinois St.	MVC	5.33	4.60	68.18	64.42	1.94	1.33
Indiana St.	MVC	5.32	4.57	57.14	54.79	0.76	0.44
Northern Iowa	MVC	5.27	4.54	90.48	87.33	4.27	3.39
Bradley	MVC	5.22	4.54	52.38	50.23	0.25	0.02
Evansville	MVC	3.36	4.66	23.81	23.90	-1.76	-2.43
Missouri St.	MVC	3.26	4.60	69.57	66.58	1.28	1.53
Wichita St.	MVC	3.19	4.54	78.26	76.33	1.80	2.39
Drake	MVC	3.15	4.54	41.67	41.02	-0.52	-0.82
Creighton	MVC	3.05	4.54	47.83	49.52	-0.13	-0.04
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	2.48	1.94	28.57	26.75	-1.06	-0.90
Tennessee Martin	OVC	2.42	1.97	5.26	8.93	-2.17	-1.62
Western Kentucky	SB	2.42	1.91	56.52	57.86	0.32	0.30
San Diego	WCC	2.38	1.85	34.78	34.62	-0.72	-0.57
St. Louis	A10	2.37	1.88	60.00	54.56	0.47	0.17
Illinois Chicago	Horz	2.37	1.91	23.81	23.41	-1.24	-1.02
San Francisco	WCC	2.37	1.85	33.33	33.55	-0.79	-0.61
Alabama St.	SWAC	2.32	1.85	35.29	40.96	-0.68	-0.33
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	2.27	1.79	80.95	80.22	1.41	1.08
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.30	0.25	36.36	37.37	-0.08	-0.06
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.30	0.24	8.70	9.54	-0.25	-0.20
Iowa St.	B12	0.30	0.21	56.52	50.47	0.04	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.26	0.25	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.25	0.24	57.14	57.10	0.04	0.03
Brigham Young	MWC	0.25	0.16	87.50	87.42	0.19	0.12
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.21	0.19	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.21	0.13	34.78	33.89	-0.07	-0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.21	0.16	86.96	85.47	0.16	0.11
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.21	0.19	45.45	44.03	-0.02	-0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.20	0.16	59.09	52.85	0.04	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.20	0.25	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.20	0.12	40.00	42.64	-0.04	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.20	0.16	33.33	34.27	-0.07	-0.05
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.20	0.15	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.19	0.18	33.33	30.82	-0.06	-0.07
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.18	0.10	22.73	27.28	-0.10	-0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.17	0.13	20.00	24.04	-0.10	-0.07
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.16	0.13	38.10	41.29	-0.04	-0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.16	0.13	23.53	25.88	-0.08	-0.06
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.15	0.12	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.15	0.13	86.96	84.62	0.11	0.09
Toledo	MAC	0.15	0.16	8.70	10.09	-0.12	-0.12
Wyoming	MWC	0.15	0.12	33.33	30.72	-0.05	-0.05
Central Michigan	MAC	0.15	0.15	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.15	0.15	87.50	83.52	0.11	0.10
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.15	0.09	23.81	27.28	-0.08	-0.04
Utah	MWC	0.15	0.12	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Denver	SB	0.15	0.09	60.87	59.58	0.03	0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.15	0.09	39.13	35.38	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego St.	MWC	0.14	0.15	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.05
IUPUI	Sum	0.14	0.12	65.22	67.00	0.04	0.04
North Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.12	15.79	27.84	-0.10	-0.05
Belmont	ASun	0.12	0.07	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.11	0.13	0.00	5.15	-0.11	-0.11
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.09	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.11	0.09	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.13	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.11	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.04	-0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.11	0.13	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.04
Morehead St.	OVC	0.11	0.19	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.07
Richmond	A10	0.11	0.06	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.10	0.13	83.33	83.91	0.07	0.09
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.09	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.10	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.10	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.04	-0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.09	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.09	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.10	0.12	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.05
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.15	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.13	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.09
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.10	0.13	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.10	0.13	27.27	25.31	-0.05	-0.06
Portland	WCC	0.10	0.13	61.90	65.68	0.02	0.04
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.09	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.05
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.10	0.12	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.10	0.16	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.06	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.10	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.06	0.04
East Carolina	CUSA	0.10	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.06	-0.03
Idaho St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	19.05	24.00	-0.06	-0.03
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.10	0.06	12.50	15.31	-0.07	-0.04
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.06	83.33	81.25	0.07	0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.10	0.12	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.04
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.09	0.15	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.06
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.09	19.05	22.94	-0.06	-0.05
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.09	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.09	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.09	0.06	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.09	0.09	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.03
Troy	SB	0.09	0.06	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.07	28.57	36.52	-0.03	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.07	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.06	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.07	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.07	19.05	20.58	-0.04	-0.04
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.06	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.03	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.06	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.03
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.04
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.13	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.09	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.03	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.03	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.13	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.95	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.09	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.12	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.05
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.06	24.00	23.74	-0.02	-0.03
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.02
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.06	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.02
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.03	33.33	36.45	-0.02	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.09	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.04
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.00	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.00	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.00	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.00	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.00	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.00	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.00	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.00	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.00	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.00	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.00	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.00	0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.00	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.00	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.00	0.01
Temple	A10	0.00	0.06	79.17	77.57	0.00	0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.00	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.00	0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.00	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.00	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.00	1.79	54.55	57.37	0.00	0.26

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Southern Illinois	MVC	26.50	26.40	53.06	52.99	1.62	1.58
Evansville	MVC	3.36	4.66	23.81	23.90	-1.76	-2.43
Missouri St.	MVC	3.26	4.60	69.57	66.58	1.28	1.53
Illinois St.	MVC	5.33	4.60	68.18	64.42	1.94	1.33
Indiana St.	MVC	5.32	4.57	57.14	54.79	0.76	0.44
Drake	MVC	3.15	4.54	41.67	41.02	-0.52	-0.82
Creighton	MVC	3.05	4.54	47.83	49.52	-0.13	-0.04
Wichita St.	MVC	3.19	4.54	78.26	76.33	1.80	2.39
Bradley	MVC	5.22	4.54	52.38	50.23	0.25	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	5.27	4.54	90.48	87.33	4.27	3.39
Tennessee Martin	OVC	2.42	1.97	5.26	8.93	-2.17	-1.62
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	2.48	1.94	28.57	26.75	-1.06	-0.90
Western Kentucky	SB	2.42	1.91	56.52	57.86	0.32	0.30
Illinois Chicago	Horz	2.37	1.91	23.81	23.41	-1.24	-1.02
St. Louis	A10	2.37	1.88	60.00	54.56	0.47	0.17
San Diego	WCC	2.38	1.85	34.78	34.62	-0.72	-0.57
Alabama St.	SWAC	2.32	1.85	35.29	40.96	-0.68	-0.33
San Francisco	WCC	2.37	1.85	33.33	33.55	-0.79	-0.61
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	2.27	1.79	80.95	80.22	1.41	1.08
Western Michigan	MAC	0.00	1.79	54.55	57.37	0.00	0.26
Austin Peay	OVC	0.26	0.25	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.20	0.25	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.30	0.25	36.36	37.37	-0.08	-0.06
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.30	0.24	8.70	9.54	-0.25	-0.20
Arkansas St.	SB	0.25	0.24	57.14	57.10	0.04	0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.30	0.21	56.52	50.47	0.04	0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.21	0.19	45.45	44.03	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.21	0.19	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.11	0.19	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.07
Iowa	B10	0.19	0.18	33.33	30.82	-0.06	-0.07
Santa Clara	WCC	0.20	0.16	33.33	34.27	-0.07	-0.05
Murray St.	OVC	0.21	0.16	86.96	85.47	0.16	0.11
Ball St.	MAC	0.10	0.16	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.25	0.16	87.50	87.42	0.19	0.12
Colorado St.	MWC	0.20	0.16	59.09	52.85	0.04	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.15	0.16	8.70	10.09	-0.12	-0.12
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.20	0.15	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.15	0.15	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.15	0.15	87.50	83.52	0.11	0.10
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.15	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.14	0.15	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.05
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.09	0.15	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.06
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.11	0.13	0.00	5.15	-0.11	-0.11
Grambling	SWAC	0.16	0.13	23.53	25.88	-0.08	-0.06
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.13	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.21	0.13	34.78	33.89	-0.07	-0.04
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.11	0.13	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.13	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.09
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.16	0.13	38.10	41.29	-0.04	-0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.10	0.13	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.10	0.13	27.27	25.31	-0.05	-0.06
Portland	WCC	0.10	0.13	61.90	65.68	0.02	0.04
St. Mary's	WCC	0.15	0.13	86.96	84.62	0.11	0.09
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.17	0.13	20.00	24.04	-0.10	-0.07
Butler	Horz	0.10	0.13	83.33	83.91	0.07	0.09
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.13	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.13	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.15	0.12	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.15	0.12	33.33	30.72	-0.05	-0.05
Air Force	MWC	0.10	0.12	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.05
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.12	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.05
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.20	0.12	40.00	42.64	-0.04	-0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.10	0.12	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.03
Utah	MWC	0.15	0.12	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.10	0.12	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.04
IUPUI	Sum	0.14	0.12	65.22	67.00	0.04	0.04
North Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.12	15.79	27.84	-0.10	-0.05
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.18	0.10	22.73	27.28	-0.10	-0.05
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.09	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.09	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.11	0.09	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.02
Denver	SB	0.15	0.09	60.87	59.58	0.03	0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.15	0.09	39.13	35.38	-0.03	-0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.09	19.05	22.94	-0.06	-0.05
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.09	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.09	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.09	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.15	0.09	23.81	27.28	-0.08	-0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.09	0.09	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.03
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.09	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.05
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.09	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.04
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.09	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.07	28.57	36.52	-0.03	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.07	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.07	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.07	19.05	20.58	-0.04	-0.04
Belmont	ASun	0.12	0.07	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.04
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.10	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.10	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.04	-0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.11	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.04	-0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.06	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.10	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.06	0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.00	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.00	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.06	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.10	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.06	-0.03
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	19.05	24.00	-0.06	-0.03
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.00	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.00	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.10	0.06	12.50	15.31	-0.07	-0.04
Richmond	A10	0.11	0.06	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.06	83.33	81.25	0.07	0.04
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Temple	A10	0.00	0.06	79.17	77.57	0.00	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.09	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.09	0.06	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.06	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.00	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.00	0.03
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.06	24.00	23.74	-0.02	-0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.09	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Troy	SB	0.09	0.06	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.06	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.06	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.03	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.03	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.03	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.02
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.95	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.00	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.00	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.03
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.00	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.00	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.00	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.00	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.00	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.00	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.00	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.00	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.00	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.02
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.03	33.33	36.45	-0.02	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.00	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.00	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northern Iowa	MVC	5.27	4.54	90.48	87.33	4.27	3.39
Illinois St.	MVC	5.33	4.60	68.18	64.42	1.94	1.33
Wichita St.	MVC	3.19	4.54	78.26	76.33	1.80	2.39
Southern Illinois	MVC	26.50	26.40	53.06	52.99	1.62	1.58
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	2.27	1.79	80.95	80.22	1.41	1.08
Missouri St.	MVC	3.26	4.60	69.57	66.58	1.28	1.53
Indiana St.	MVC	5.32	4.57	57.14	54.79	0.76	0.44
St. Louis	A10	2.37	1.88	60.00	54.56	0.47	0.17
Western Kentucky	SB	2.42	1.91	56.52	57.86	0.32	0.30
Bradley	MVC	5.22	4.54	52.38	50.23	0.25	0.02
Brigham Young	MWC	0.25	0.16	87.50	87.42	0.19	0.12
Murray St.	OVC	0.21	0.16	86.96	85.47	0.16	0.11
St. Mary's	WCC	0.15	0.13	86.96	84.62	0.11	0.09
New Mexico	MWC	0.15	0.15	87.50	83.52	0.11	0.10
Butler	Horz	0.10	0.13	83.33	83.91	0.07	0.09
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.06	83.33	81.25	0.07	0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.13	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.09
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.10	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.06	0.04
Richmond	A10	0.11	0.06	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.03
San Diego St.	MWC	0.14	0.15	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.05
IUPUI	Sum	0.14	0.12	65.22	67.00	0.04	0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.11	0.19	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.07
Iowa St.	B12	0.30	0.21	56.52	50.47	0.04	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.10	0.12	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.20	0.16	59.09	52.85	0.04	0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.25	0.24	57.14	57.10	0.04	0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.11	0.13	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.04
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Denver	SB	0.15	0.09	60.87	59.58	0.03	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.06	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.02