The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Morehead St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Morehead St.

Conference:		OVC
Expected RPI:		83.0
Current RPI:		83
Expected SOS:		160
Current SOS:		160
Current Record:		21-10
Expected Record:		21-10
Current Conf Record:		18-4
Expected Conf Record:		18-4
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		8-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		12-1
Current OOC Record:		3-6
Expected OOC Record:		3-6
Expected OOC RPI:		119
Expected OOC SOS:		6

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
21-10		83.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Morehead St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Kentucky (2.0)	SEC	A	59-75	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Louisiana Monroe (273.0)	SB	H	73-74	L	0%	0.0
11-29	Kent St. (47.0)	MAC	H	57-63	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Tennessee Martin (338.0)	OVC	A	74-66	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Murray St. (57.0)	OVC	A	56-86	L	0%	0.0
12-18	East Tennessee St. (122.0)	ASun	H	60-58	W	100%	0.0
12-21	Utah St. (30.0)	WAC	A	72-79	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Weber St. (85.0)	BSky	N	64-66	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Cal St. Fullerton (204.0)	BW	N	69-62	W	100%	0.0
12-28	South Dakota (215.0)	GWC	A	66-64	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Austin Peay (162.0)	OVC	H	68-65	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Tennessee St. (260.0)	OVC	H	72-66	W	100%	0.0
1-7	Tennessee Tech (196.0)	OVC	A	77-64	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Jacksonville St. (298.0)	OVC	A	78-71	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Southeast Missouri St. (312.0)	OVC	H	80-40	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Eastern Illinois (170.0)	OVC	H	73-51	W	100%	0.0
1-19	SIU Edwardsville (322.0)	OVC	H	66-46	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Eastern Kentucky (154.0)	OVC	A	69-53	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Tennessee St. (260.0)	OVC	A	65-50	W	100%	0.0
1-31	Austin Peay (162.0)	OVC	A	55-56	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Jacksonville St. (298.0)	OVC	H	94-75	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Tennessee Tech (196.0)	OVC	H	84-75	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Eastern Illinois (170.0)	OVC	A	75-76	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Southeast Missouri St. (312.0)	OVC	A	73-54	W	100%	0.0
2-17	Eastern Kentucky (154.0)	OVC	H	77-64	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Illinois St. (76.0)	MVC	A	62-71	L	0%	0.0
2-25	Murray St. (57.0)	OVC	H	70-65	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Tennessee Martin (338.0)	OVC	H	73-63	W	100%	0.0
3-2	Jacksonville St. (298.0)	OVC	H	87-54	W	100%	0.0
3-5	Tennessee Tech (196.0)	OVC	N	76-47	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Murray St. (57.0)	OVC	N	51-62	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Morehead St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Morehead St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Morehead St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Morehead St.	OVC	26.65	26.65	69.34	69.34	10.31	10.31
Murray St.	OVC	6.02	6.02	89.66	89.66	4.78	4.78
Tennessee Tech	OVC	5.87	5.87	48.15	48.15	-0.22	-0.22
Jacksonville St.	OVC	5.81	5.81	36.00	36.00	-1.63	-1.63
Eastern Illinois	OVC	4.39	4.39	59.26	59.26	0.81	0.81
Austin Peay	OVC	4.37	4.37	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	4.34	4.34	30.00	30.00	-1.74	-1.74
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	4.32	4.32	64.29	64.29	1.23	1.23
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	4.31	4.31	22.22	22.22	-2.40	-2.40
Tennessee Martin	OVC	4.28	4.28	8.00	8.00	-3.60	-3.60
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	1.99	1.99	12.00	12.00	-1.51	-1.51
Illinois St.	MVC	1.70	1.70	67.74	67.74	0.60	0.60
Utah St.	WAC	1.70	1.70	78.12	78.12	0.96	0.96
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	1.70	1.70	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Weber St.	BSky	1.69	1.69	62.96	62.96	0.44	0.44
East Tennessee St.	ASun	1.69	1.69	59.38	59.38	0.32	0.32
South Dakota	GWC	1.67	1.67	69.23	69.23	0.64	0.64
Kentucky	SEC	1.67	1.67	93.94	93.94	1.46	1.46
Kent St.	MAC	1.61	1.61	70.00	70.00	0.65	0.65
Louisiana Monroe	SB	1.61	1.61	32.14	32.14	-0.58	-0.58
Evansville	MVC	0.28	0.28	27.59	27.59	-0.12	-0.12
Chattanooga	SC	0.24	0.24	41.94	41.94	-0.04	-0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.21	0.21	58.82	58.82	0.04	0.04
Belmont	ASun	0.21	0.21	61.29	61.29	0.05	0.05
Ball St.	MAC	0.20	0.20	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.19	0.19	36.67	36.67	-0.05	-0.05
Lipscomb	ASun	0.19	0.19	55.17	55.17	0.02	0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.19	0.19	33.33	33.33	-0.06	-0.06
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.18	0.18	69.70	69.70	0.07	0.07
Chicago St.	GWC	0.17	0.17	21.43	21.43	-0.10	-0.10
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.17	0.17	23.08	23.08	-0.09	-0.09
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.17	0.17	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.17	0.17	42.42	42.42	-0.03	-0.03
Florida International	SB	0.16	0.16	19.35	19.35	-0.10	-0.10
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.15	0.15	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.08	0.08
Tennessee	SEC	0.15	0.15	75.76	75.76	0.08	0.08
Arkansas St.	SB	0.14	0.14	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.14	0.14	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Memphis	CUSA	0.14	0.14	71.88	71.88	0.06	0.06
Southern Utah	Sum	0.13	0.13	18.52	18.52	-0.08	-0.08
Georgia	SEC	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.13	0.13	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.13	0.13	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.12	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
Missouri	B12	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.11	0.11	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.11	0.11	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
IUPUI	Sum	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
UC Irvine	BW	0.11	0.11	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.11	0.11	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.11	0.11	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.10	0.10	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.10	0.10	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.10	0.10	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.09	0.09	36.36	36.36	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.09	0.09	18.18	18.18	-0.06	-0.06
Georgia Southern	SC	0.09	0.09	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
Montana	BSky	0.09	0.09	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.09	0.09	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Portland St.	BSky	0.09	0.09	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.09	0.09	13.33	13.33	-0.06	-0.06
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.09	0.09	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.09	0.09	76.67	76.67	0.05	0.05
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.08	0.08	67.86	67.86	0.03	0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.08	0.08	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.08	0.08	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.08	0.08	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
UC Davis	BW	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.08	0.08	9.68	9.68	-0.07	-0.07
Western Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.08	0.08	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
Minnesota	B10	0.08	0.08	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.08	0.08	24.14	24.14	-0.04	-0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Niagara	MAAC	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Utah	MWC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
California	P10	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.08	0.08	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.08	0.08	12.00	12.00	-0.06	-0.06
North Florida	ASun	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.07	0.07	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.06	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Cal Poly	BW	0.06	0.06	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Denver	SB	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Pacific	BW	0.06	0.06	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Troy	SB	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.05	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.05	84.85	84.85	0.04	0.04
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	84.38	84.38	0.02	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.03	0.03	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.02	0.02
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	6.45	6.45	-0.02	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.03	0.03	22.22	22.22	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
San Diego St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Robert Morris	NEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.02	0.02	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.02	0.02	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Hartford	AE	0.02	0.02	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.02	0.02	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.02	0.02	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Morehead St.	OVC	26.65	26.65	69.34	69.34	10.31	10.31
Murray St.	OVC	6.02	6.02	89.66	89.66	4.78	4.78
Tennessee Tech	OVC	5.87	5.87	48.15	48.15	-0.22	-0.22
Jacksonville St.	OVC	5.81	5.81	36.00	36.00	-1.63	-1.63
Eastern Illinois	OVC	4.39	4.39	59.26	59.26	0.81	0.81
Austin Peay	OVC	4.37	4.37	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	4.34	4.34	30.00	30.00	-1.74	-1.74
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	4.32	4.32	64.29	64.29	1.23	1.23
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	4.31	4.31	22.22	22.22	-2.40	-2.40
Tennessee Martin	OVC	4.28	4.28	8.00	8.00	-3.60	-3.60
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	1.99	1.99	12.00	12.00	-1.51	-1.51
Illinois St.	MVC	1.70	1.70	67.74	67.74	0.60	0.60
Utah St.	WAC	1.70	1.70	78.12	78.12	0.96	0.96
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	1.70	1.70	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Weber St.	BSky	1.69	1.69	62.96	62.96	0.44	0.44
East Tennessee St.	ASun	1.69	1.69	59.38	59.38	0.32	0.32
South Dakota	GWC	1.67	1.67	69.23	69.23	0.64	0.64
Kentucky	SEC	1.67	1.67	93.94	93.94	1.46	1.46
Kent St.	MAC	1.61	1.61	70.00	70.00	0.65	0.65
Louisiana Monroe	SB	1.61	1.61	32.14	32.14	-0.58	-0.58
Evansville	MVC	0.28	0.28	27.59	27.59	-0.12	-0.12
Chattanooga	SC	0.24	0.24	41.94	41.94	-0.04	-0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.21	0.21	58.82	58.82	0.04	0.04
Belmont	ASun	0.21	0.21	61.29	61.29	0.05	0.05
Ball St.	MAC	0.20	0.20	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.19	0.19	36.67	36.67	-0.05	-0.05
Lipscomb	ASun	0.19	0.19	55.17	55.17	0.02	0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.19	0.19	33.33	33.33	-0.06	-0.06
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.18	0.18	69.70	69.70	0.07	0.07
Chicago St.	GWC	0.17	0.17	21.43	21.43	-0.10	-0.10
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.17	0.17	23.08	23.08	-0.09	-0.09
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.17	0.17	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.17	0.17	42.42	42.42	-0.03	-0.03
Florida International	SB	0.16	0.16	19.35	19.35	-0.10	-0.10
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.15	0.15	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.08	0.08
Tennessee	SEC	0.15	0.15	75.76	75.76	0.08	0.08
Arkansas St.	SB	0.14	0.14	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.14	0.14	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Memphis	CUSA	0.14	0.14	71.88	71.88	0.06	0.06
Southern Utah	Sum	0.13	0.13	18.52	18.52	-0.08	-0.08
Georgia	SEC	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.13	0.13	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.13	0.13	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.12	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
Missouri	B12	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.11	0.11	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.11	0.11	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
IUPUI	Sum	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
UC Irvine	BW	0.11	0.11	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.11	0.11	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.11	0.11	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.10	0.10	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.10	0.10	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.10	0.10	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.09	0.09	36.36	36.36	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.09	0.09	18.18	18.18	-0.06	-0.06
Georgia Southern	SC	0.09	0.09	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
Montana	BSky	0.09	0.09	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.09	0.09	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Portland St.	BSky	0.09	0.09	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.09	0.09	13.33	13.33	-0.06	-0.06
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.09	0.09	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.09	0.09	76.67	76.67	0.05	0.05
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.08	0.08	67.86	67.86	0.03	0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.08	0.08	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.08	0.08	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.08	0.08	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
UC Davis	BW	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.08	0.08	9.68	9.68	-0.07	-0.07
Western Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.08	0.08	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
Minnesota	B10	0.08	0.08	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.08	0.08	24.14	24.14	-0.04	-0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Niagara	MAAC	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Utah	MWC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
California	P10	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.08	0.08	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.08	0.08	12.00	12.00	-0.06	-0.06
North Florida	ASun	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.07	0.07	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.06	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Cal Poly	BW	0.06	0.06	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Denver	SB	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Pacific	BW	0.06	0.06	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Troy	SB	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.05	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.05	84.85	84.85	0.04	0.04
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	84.38	84.38	0.02	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.03	0.03	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.02	0.02
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	6.45	6.45	-0.02	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.03	0.03	22.22	22.22	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
San Diego St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Robert Morris	NEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.02	0.02	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.02	0.02	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Hartford	AE	0.02	0.02	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.02	0.02	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.02	0.02	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Morehead St.	OVC	26.65	26.65	69.34	69.34	10.31	10.31
Murray St.	OVC	6.02	6.02	89.66	89.66	4.78	4.78
Kentucky	SEC	1.67	1.67	93.94	93.94	1.46	1.46
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	4.32	4.32	64.29	64.29	1.23	1.23
Utah St.	WAC	1.70	1.70	78.12	78.12	0.96	0.96
Eastern Illinois	OVC	4.39	4.39	59.26	59.26	0.81	0.81
Kent St.	MAC	1.61	1.61	70.00	70.00	0.65	0.65
South Dakota	GWC	1.67	1.67	69.23	69.23	0.64	0.64
Illinois St.	MVC	1.70	1.70	67.74	67.74	0.60	0.60
Weber St.	BSky	1.69	1.69	62.96	62.96	0.44	0.44
East Tennessee St.	ASun	1.69	1.69	59.38	59.38	0.32	0.32
Tennessee	SEC	0.15	0.15	75.76	75.76	0.08	0.08
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.08	0.08
Kansas	B12	0.08	0.08	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.18	0.18	69.70	69.70	0.07	0.07
UAB	CUSA	0.14	0.14	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Memphis	CUSA	0.14	0.14	71.88	71.88	0.06	0.06
Belmont	ASun	0.21	0.21	61.29	61.29	0.05	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.09	0.09	76.67	76.67	0.05	0.05
Wichita St.	MVC	0.10	0.10	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
Missouri	B12	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Akron	MAC	0.11	0.11	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
IUPUI	Sum	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Oakland	Sum	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Mississippi	SEC	0.11	0.11	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
North Texas	SB	0.08	0.08	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.21	0.21	58.82	58.82	0.04	0.04
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.05	84.85	84.85	0.04	0.04
Montana	BSky	0.09	0.09	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.10	0.10	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.11	0.11	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.08	0.08	67.86	67.86	0.03	0.03
California	P10	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.11	0.11	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.10	0.10	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02