The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Boston University page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Boston University

Conference:		AE
Expected RPI:		152.4
Current RPI:		162
Expected SOS:		190
Current SOS:		200
Current Record:		13-11
Expected Record:		17-12
Current Conf Record:		8-4
Expected Conf Record:		11-5
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		3-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		13-1
Current OOC Record:		5-7
Expected OOC Record:		6-7
Expected OOC RPI:		172
Expected OOC SOS:		64

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
18-11	129.8	21.64%
17-12	147.9	40.13%
16-13	165.4	28.32%
15-14	181.5	8.82%
14-15	196.8	1.03%
13-16	210.6	0.05%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Boston University.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Iona (79.9)	MAAC	A	73-82	L	0%	0.0
11-17	George Washington (136.9)	A10	H	59-69	L	0%	0.0
11-19	Kansas St. (7.0)	B12	N	70-80	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Indiana (206.6)	B10	N	71-67	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Georgia Tech (25.2)	ACC	N	67-85	L	0%	0.0
11-25	Northeastern (49.2)	CAA	H	69-64	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Harvard (89.5)	Ivy	H	70-78	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Connecticut (54.2)	BE	A	64-92	L	0%	0.0
12-6	Bucknell (276.3)	Pat	H	63-53	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Marist (330.1)	MAAC	A	88-72	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Mount St. Mary's (186.5)	NEC	H	86-77	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Dayton (32.1)	A10	A	60-74	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Stony Brook (148.3)	AE	H	75-84	L	0%	0.0
1-7	New Hampshire (273.4)	AE	A	60-56	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Hartford (284.9)	AE	A	84-70	W	100%	0.0
1-12	MD Baltimore County (339.8)	AE	H	75-63	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Binghamton (237.3)	AE	A	63-55	W	100%	0.0
1-17	Vermont (145.4)	AE	A	58-78	L	0%	0.0
1-19	Albany (293.1)	AE	H	79-58	W	100%	0.0
1-24	MD Baltimore County (339.8)	AE	A	79-61	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Maine (154.9)	AE	A	54-56	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Stony Brook (148.3)	AE	A	55-71	L	0%	0.0
2-4	New Hampshire (273.4)	AE	H	69-47	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Albany (293.1)	AE	A	68-53	W	100%	0.0
2-9	Vermont (145.4)	AE	H	0-0		62%	3.5
2-13	Hartford (284.9)	AE	H	0-0		89%	13.2
2-17	Binghamton (237.3)	AE	H	0-0		87%	12.5
2-20	Delaware (226.0)	CAA	A	0-0		58%	2.2
2-27	Maine (154.9)	AE	H	0-0		77%	7.9

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Boston University's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Boston University's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Boston University.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Boston University	AE	26.47	26.33	57.02	58.29	3.72	4.37
Albany	AE	4.76	4.32	25.00	27.55	-2.38	-1.94
New Hampshire	AE	4.76	4.34	38.89	41.29	-1.06	-0.76
MD Baltimore County	AE	4.71	4.31	9.52	12.31	-3.82	-3.25
Stony Brook	AE	4.67	4.28	65.00	66.31	1.40	1.40
Vermont	AE	2.90	4.38	66.67	67.09	0.97	1.50
Hartford	AE	2.83	4.31	31.82	34.47	-1.03	-1.34
Binghamton	AE	2.80	4.34	40.91	41.02	-0.51	-0.78
Maine	AE	2.72	4.31	61.90	61.87	0.65	1.02
Marist	MAAC	2.45	2.05	4.35	4.90	-2.23	-1.85
Iona	MAAC	2.30	1.87	70.83	69.76	0.96	0.74
Harvard	Ivy	2.28	1.85	72.22	74.47	1.01	0.90
George Washington	A10	2.28	1.84	52.38	53.46	0.11	0.13
Connecticut	BE	2.23	1.85	59.09	55.04	0.40	0.19
Dayton	A10	2.23	1.81	71.43	70.94	0.95	0.76
Bucknell	Pat	2.17	1.84	39.13	40.58	-0.47	-0.35
Georgia Tech	ACC	2.13	1.75	71.43	66.99	0.91	0.60
Kansas St.	B12	2.13	1.75	80.95	78.87	1.32	1.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	2.12	1.78	40.91	49.35	-0.39	-0.02
Indiana	B10	2.08	1.72	42.86	36.04	-0.30	-0.48
Northeastern	CAA	2.08	1.78	69.57	70.46	0.82	0.73
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.40	0.38	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.34	0.27	15.79	17.64	-0.24	-0.18
Siena	MAAC	0.34	0.29	83.33	81.25	0.23	0.18
Colgate	Pat	0.33	0.27	27.27	31.08	-0.15	-0.10
Rider	MAAC	0.31	0.23	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.29	0.21	73.91	70.80	0.14	0.09
Holy Cross	Pat	0.28	0.21	26.09	31.05	-0.14	-0.08
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.27	0.21	39.13	41.19	-0.06	-0.04
Providence	BE	0.26	0.20	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
American	Pat	0.26	0.20	30.43	32.39	-0.10	-0.07
Columbia	Ivy	0.24	0.22	40.00	39.13	-0.05	-0.05
Fordham	A10	0.23	0.24	9.52	8.87	-0.19	-0.20
George Mason	CAA	0.23	0.23	62.50	57.74	0.06	0.04
Rhode Island	A10	0.23	0.15	86.36	81.50	0.17	0.09
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.23	0.18	52.17	53.84	0.01	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.23	0.18	65.22	65.74	0.07	0.06
Towson	CAA	0.23	0.21	22.73	23.47	-0.12	-0.11
Wagner	NEC	0.23	0.15	16.00	21.62	-0.16	-0.08
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.23	0.21	16.67	19.94	-0.15	-0.13
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.22	0.24	69.57	71.78	0.09	0.10
Army	Pat	0.20	0.15	57.14	59.04	0.03	0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.20	0.12	33.33	34.27	-0.07	-0.04
Princeton	Ivy	0.19	0.18	70.59	70.98	0.08	0.08
Hofstra	CAA	0.19	0.21	45.83	47.77	-0.02	-0.01
Xavier	A10	0.19	0.12	69.57	71.43	0.07	0.05
La Salle	A10	0.18	0.24	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.18	0.18	58.33	58.93	0.03	0.03
Navy	Pat	0.18	0.12	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.17	0.14	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.17	1.87	26.09	26.38	-0.08	-0.88
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.17	0.12	70.83	73.80	0.07	0.05
Yale	Ivy	0.17	0.23	36.36	38.12	-0.05	-0.06
Maryland	ACC	0.15	0.12	71.43	67.85	0.06	0.04
Bryant	ind	0.15	0.12	0.00	4.18	-0.15	-0.11
Georgetown	BE	0.15	0.09	77.27	73.36	0.08	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.09	0.06
Duquesne	A10	0.14	0.15	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.14	0.09	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.14	0.12	40.00	42.64	-0.03	-0.02
St. John's	BE	0.14	0.09	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.14	0.15	85.71	85.57	0.10	0.11
Kentucky	SEC	0.14	0.12	95.65	88.67	0.13	0.09
Penn St.	B10	0.14	0.09	34.78	32.23	-0.04	-0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.14	0.09	73.91	69.49	0.07	0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.14	0.12	22.22	27.56	-0.08	-0.05
Old Dominion	CAA	0.14	0.15	72.00	73.54	0.06	0.07
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.14	0.12	43.48	43.78	-0.02	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.13	0.12	76.19	72.73	0.07	0.05
James Madison	CAA	0.13	0.12	43.48	39.98	-0.02	-0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.13	0.15	30.43	30.27	-0.05	-0.06
Long Island	NEC	0.13	0.09	39.13	41.53	-0.03	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.13	0.12	8.70	10.09	-0.11	-0.09
Drexel	CAA	0.13	0.17	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.13	0.17	69.57	64.51	0.05	0.05
Manhattan	MAAC	0.13	0.12	33.33	35.33	-0.04	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.13	0.09	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.13	0.12	56.52	51.96	0.02	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.13	0.15	95.83	91.37	0.12	0.12
Canisius	MAAC	0.13	0.12	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.13	0.08	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.13	0.12	66.67	64.02	0.04	0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.12	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.10	0.20	68.18	66.65	0.04	0.07
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.09	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.12	78.26	71.72	0.05	0.05
Howard	MEAC	0.09	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.03
Illinois	B10	0.09	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.09	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.09	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.04	-0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.09	0.06	73.91	72.52	0.05	0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.09	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.02
Texas	B12	0.09	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.03
Mercer	ASun	0.09	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.09	0.09	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.03
Richmond	A10	0.09	0.12	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.05
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.09	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.07	-0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.09	0.09	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.12	81.82	72.57	0.06	0.05
Creighton	MVC	0.09	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	23.81	27.28	-0.05	-0.04
Lafayette	Pat	0.09	0.15	60.87	59.16	0.02	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.08	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.09	0.09	86.96	84.62	0.07	0.06
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.09	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.05
Rutgers	BE	0.09	0.11	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.08	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.08	-0.05
Detroit	Horz	0.08	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.08	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.13	23.81	27.31	-0.02	-0.06
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.06	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.09	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.05
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.06	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.06	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.09	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.09	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.06
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.03
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.03	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.06	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.04	0.09	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.04	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.04	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.04	0.03	73.91	76.66	0.02	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.04	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.04	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.04	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.04	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.01	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.04	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.00	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.00	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.00	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.00	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.00	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.00	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.00	0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.00	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.00	-0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.00	0.01
Temple	A10	0.00	0.09	79.17	77.57	0.00	0.05
Texas Tech	B12	0.00	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.00	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.00	0.03	36.36	40.08	-0.00	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.00	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.00	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.00	0.03

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Boston University	AE	26.47	26.33	57.02	58.29	3.72	4.37
Vermont	AE	2.90	4.38	66.67	67.09	0.97	1.50
Binghamton	AE	2.80	4.34	40.91	41.02	-0.51	-0.78
New Hampshire	AE	4.76	4.34	38.89	41.29	-1.06	-0.76
Albany	AE	4.76	4.32	25.00	27.55	-2.38	-1.94
Hartford	AE	2.83	4.31	31.82	34.47	-1.03	-1.34
MD Baltimore County	AE	4.71	4.31	9.52	12.31	-3.82	-3.25
Maine	AE	2.72	4.31	61.90	61.87	0.65	1.02
Stony Brook	AE	4.67	4.28	65.00	66.31	1.40	1.40
Marist	MAAC	2.45	2.05	4.35	4.90	-2.23	-1.85
Iona	MAAC	2.30	1.87	70.83	69.76	0.96	0.74
Delaware	CAA	0.17	1.87	26.09	26.38	-0.08	-0.88
Harvard	Ivy	2.28	1.85	72.22	74.47	1.01	0.90
Connecticut	BE	2.23	1.85	59.09	55.04	0.40	0.19
George Washington	A10	2.28	1.84	52.38	53.46	0.11	0.13
Bucknell	Pat	2.17	1.84	39.13	40.58	-0.47	-0.35
Dayton	A10	2.23	1.81	71.43	70.94	0.95	0.76
Northeastern	CAA	2.08	1.78	69.57	70.46	0.82	0.73
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	2.12	1.78	40.91	49.35	-0.39	-0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	2.13	1.75	71.43	66.99	0.91	0.60
Kansas St.	B12	2.13	1.75	80.95	78.87	1.32	1.01
Indiana	B10	2.08	1.72	42.86	36.04	-0.30	-0.48
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.40	0.38	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.34	0.29	83.33	81.25	0.23	0.18
Colgate	Pat	0.33	0.27	27.27	31.08	-0.15	-0.10
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.34	0.27	15.79	17.64	-0.24	-0.18
Fordham	A10	0.23	0.24	9.52	8.87	-0.19	-0.20
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.22	0.24	69.57	71.78	0.09	0.10
La Salle	A10	0.18	0.24	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.17	0.23	36.36	38.12	-0.05	-0.06
Rider	MAAC	0.31	0.23	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.23	0.23	62.50	57.74	0.06	0.04
Columbia	Ivy	0.24	0.22	40.00	39.13	-0.05	-0.05
Holy Cross	Pat	0.28	0.21	26.09	31.05	-0.14	-0.08
Pittsburgh	BE	0.29	0.21	73.91	70.80	0.14	0.09
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.27	0.21	39.13	41.19	-0.06	-0.04
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.23	0.21	16.67	19.94	-0.15	-0.13
Hofstra	CAA	0.19	0.21	45.83	47.77	-0.02	-0.01
Towson	CAA	0.23	0.21	22.73	23.47	-0.12	-0.11
William & Mary	CAA	0.10	0.20	68.18	66.65	0.04	0.07
American	Pat	0.26	0.20	30.43	32.39	-0.10	-0.07
Providence	BE	0.26	0.20	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.19	0.18	70.59	70.98	0.08	0.08
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.23	0.18	52.17	53.84	0.01	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.23	0.18	65.22	65.74	0.07	0.06
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.18	0.18	58.33	58.93	0.03	0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.13	0.17	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.13	0.17	69.57	64.51	0.05	0.05
Army	Pat	0.20	0.15	57.14	59.04	0.03	0.03
Wagner	NEC	0.23	0.15	16.00	21.62	-0.16	-0.08
Rhode Island	A10	0.23	0.15	86.36	81.50	0.17	0.09
Cornell	Ivy	0.14	0.15	85.71	85.57	0.10	0.11
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.13	0.15	30.43	30.27	-0.05	-0.06
Duquesne	A10	0.14	0.15	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Lafayette	Pat	0.09	0.15	60.87	59.16	0.02	0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.14	0.15	72.00	73.54	0.06	0.07
Syracuse	BE	0.13	0.15	95.83	91.37	0.12	0.12
Niagara	MAAC	0.17	0.14	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.13	23.81	27.31	-0.02	-0.06
Santa Clara	WCC	0.20	0.12	33.33	34.27	-0.07	-0.04
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.12	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.15	0.12	71.43	67.85	0.06	0.04
Bryant	ind	0.15	0.12	0.00	4.18	-0.15	-0.11
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.14	0.12	43.48	43.78	-0.02	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.12	81.82	72.57	0.06	0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.12	78.26	71.72	0.05	0.05
James Madison	CAA	0.13	0.12	43.48	39.98	-0.02	-0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.14	0.12	40.00	42.64	-0.03	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.14	0.12	22.22	27.56	-0.08	-0.05
Baylor	B12	0.13	0.12	76.19	72.73	0.07	0.05
Navy	Pat	0.18	0.12	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.09	0.12	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.05
Xavier	A10	0.19	0.12	69.57	71.43	0.07	0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.14	0.12	95.65	88.67	0.13	0.09
Canisius	MAAC	0.13	0.12	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.13	0.12	33.33	35.33	-0.04	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.17	0.12	70.83	73.80	0.07	0.05
North Carolina	ACC	0.13	0.12	56.52	51.96	0.02	0.00
Robert Morris	NEC	0.13	0.12	66.67	64.02	0.04	0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.13	0.12	8.70	10.09	-0.11	-0.09
Rutgers	BE	0.09	0.11	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.09	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.09	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.15	0.09	77.27	73.36	0.08	0.04
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	23.81	27.28	-0.05	-0.04
St. John's	BE	0.14	0.09	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.09	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.14	0.09	34.78	32.23	-0.04	-0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.09	0.09	86.96	84.62	0.07	0.06
Temple	A10	0.00	0.09	79.17	77.57	0.00	0.05
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.09	0.06
Florida St.	ACC	0.14	0.09	73.91	69.49	0.07	0.03
Long Island	NEC	0.13	0.09	39.13	41.53	-0.03	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.09	0.09	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.04	0.09	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.09	0.09	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.09	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.09	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.05
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.09	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.06
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.13	0.09	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.14	0.09	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.08	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.13	0.08	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.09	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.04	-0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.09	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.06	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.09	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.07	-0.03
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.05
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.06	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.06	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.09	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.00	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.00	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.09	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.09	0.06	73.91	72.52	0.05	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.06	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.04	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.01	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.04	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.09	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.09	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.00	0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.09	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.08	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.08	-0.05
Buffalo	MAC	0.04	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.08	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.08	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.01	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.00	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.00	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.00	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.00	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.00	0.03	36.36	40.08	-0.00	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.03	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.04	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.00	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.00	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.00	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.00	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.04	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.04	0.03	73.91	76.66	0.02	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.04	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.04	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.00	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.00	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.00	0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Boston University	AE	26.47	26.33	57.02	58.29	3.72	4.37
Stony Brook	AE	4.67	4.28	65.00	66.31	1.40	1.40
Kansas St.	B12	2.13	1.75	80.95	78.87	1.32	1.01
Harvard	Ivy	2.28	1.85	72.22	74.47	1.01	0.90
Vermont	AE	2.90	4.38	66.67	67.09	0.97	1.50
Iona	MAAC	2.30	1.87	70.83	69.76	0.96	0.74
Dayton	A10	2.23	1.81	71.43	70.94	0.95	0.76
Georgia Tech	ACC	2.13	1.75	71.43	66.99	0.91	0.60
Northeastern	CAA	2.08	1.78	69.57	70.46	0.82	0.73
Maine	AE	2.72	4.31	61.90	61.87	0.65	1.02
Connecticut	BE	2.23	1.85	59.09	55.04	0.40	0.19
Siena	MAAC	0.34	0.29	83.33	81.25	0.23	0.18
Rhode Island	A10	0.23	0.15	86.36	81.50	0.17	0.09
Pittsburgh	BE	0.29	0.21	73.91	70.80	0.14	0.09
Kentucky	SEC	0.14	0.12	95.65	88.67	0.13	0.09
Syracuse	BE	0.13	0.15	95.83	91.37	0.12	0.12
George Washington	A10	2.28	1.84	52.38	53.46	0.11	0.13
Cornell	Ivy	0.14	0.15	85.71	85.57	0.10	0.11
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.09	0.06
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.22	0.24	69.57	71.78	0.09	0.10
Princeton	Ivy	0.19	0.18	70.59	70.98	0.08	0.08
Georgetown	BE	0.15	0.09	77.27	73.36	0.08	0.04
Xavier	A10	0.19	0.12	69.57	71.43	0.07	0.05
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.17	0.12	70.83	73.80	0.07	0.05
Baylor	B12	0.13	0.12	76.19	72.73	0.07	0.05
Lehigh	Pat	0.23	0.18	65.22	65.74	0.07	0.06
St. Mary's	WCC	0.09	0.09	86.96	84.62	0.07	0.06
Florida St.	ACC	0.14	0.09	73.91	69.49	0.07	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.15	0.12	71.43	67.85	0.06	0.04
Texas	B12	0.09	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.14	0.15	72.00	73.54	0.06	0.07
George Mason	CAA	0.23	0.23	62.50	57.74	0.06	0.04
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.12	81.82	72.57	0.06	0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.12	78.26	71.72	0.05	0.05
Fairfield	MAAC	0.13	0.17	69.57	64.51	0.05	0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.09	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.05
Richmond	A10	0.09	0.12	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.05
Mississippi	SEC	0.09	0.06	73.91	72.52	0.05	0.03
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.05
Robert Morris	NEC	0.13	0.12	66.67	64.02	0.04	0.03
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.09	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.06
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.08	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.10	0.20	68.18	66.65	0.04	0.07
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.04
Illinois	B10	0.09	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.18	0.18	58.33	58.93	0.03	0.03
Army	Pat	0.20	0.15	57.14	59.04	0.03	0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.03