The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Utah Valley page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Utah Valley

Conference:		GWC
Expected RPI:		342.0
Current RPI:		342
Expected SOS:		347
Current SOS:		347
Current Record:		8-18
Expected Record:		8-18
Current Conf Record:		5-8
Expected Conf Record:		5-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-12
Current OOC Record:		3-10
Expected OOC Record:		3-10
Expected OOC RPI:		329
Expected OOC SOS:		299

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
8-18		342.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Utah Valley.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	North Dakota St. (268.0)	Sum	H	80-72	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Cal St. Bakersfield (317.0)	ind	A	51-58	L	0%	0.0
11-19	Minnesota (62.0)	B10	A	51-76	L	0%	0.0
11-25	Georgia St. (248.0)	CAA	N	52-59	L	0%	0.0
11-26	Alcorn St. (344.0)	SWAC	N	68-53	W	100%	0.0
12-5	San Jose St. (177.0)	WAC	H	74-82	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Utah St. (30.0)	WAC	A	56-87	L	0%	0.0
12-28	California (20.0)	P10	A	51-85	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Furman (278.0)	SC	N	69-77	L	0%	0.0
1-5	Texas Arlington (235.0)	Slnd	A	85-90	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Chicago St. (345.0)	GWC	H	48-43	W	100%	0.0
1-14	North Dakota (339.0)	GWC	H	62-67	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Seattle (192.0)	ind	A	63-66	L	0%	0.0
1-21	South Dakota (215.0)	GWC	H	86-68	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Cal St. Bakersfield (317.0)	ind	H	64-63	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Chicago St. (345.0)	GWC	A	41-43	L	0%	0.0
1-30	NJ Inst of Technology (341.0)	GWC	A	46-71	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Texas Pan American (336.0)	GWC	H	67-53	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Houston Baptist (328.0)	GWC	H	72-66	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Texas Pan American (336.0)	GWC	A	61-74	L	0%	0.0
2-18	South Dakota (215.0)	GWC	A	55-59	L	0%	0.0
2-20	North Dakota (339.0)	GWC	A	58-74	L	0%	0.0
2-25	Houston Baptist (328.0)	GWC	A	48-61	L	0%	0.0
3-4	NJ Inst of Technology (341.0)	GWC	H	65-57	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Seattle (192.0)	ind	H	64-74	L	0%	0.0
3-10	Texas Pan American (336.0)	GWC	H	53-56	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Utah Valley's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Utah Valley's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Utah Valley.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Utah Valley	GWC	26.48	26.48	26.00	26.00	-12.71	-12.71
Texas Pan American	GWC	6.51	6.51	13.33	13.33	-4.78	-4.78
Houston Baptist	GWC	4.86	4.86	35.48	35.48	-1.41	-1.41
South Dakota	GWC	4.70	4.70	68.00	68.00	1.69	1.69
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	4.68	4.68	23.08	23.08	-2.52	-2.52
North Dakota	GWC	4.66	4.66	15.38	15.38	-3.23	-3.23
Chicago St.	GWC	4.61	4.61	19.23	19.23	-2.84	-2.84
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	3.97	3.97	22.22	22.22	-2.21	-2.21
Seattle	ind	3.94	3.94	51.72	51.72	0.14	0.14
San Jose St.	WAC	2.11	2.11	41.38	41.38	-0.36	-0.36
Texas Arlington	Slnd	2.11	2.11	44.00	44.00	-0.25	-0.25
Utah St.	WAC	2.05	2.05	78.12	78.12	1.16	1.16
Alcorn St.	SWAC	1.92	1.92	6.67	6.67	-1.67	-1.67
California	P10	1.92	1.92	68.75	68.75	0.72	0.72
Furman	SC	1.92	1.92	37.04	37.04	-0.50	-0.50
Georgia St.	CAA	1.92	1.92	33.33	33.33	-0.64	-0.64
Minnesota	B10	1.92	1.92	60.61	60.61	0.41	0.41
North Dakota St.	Sum	1.92	1.92	34.62	34.62	-0.59	-0.59
Boise St.	WAC	0.34	0.34	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.33	0.33	69.70	69.70	0.13	0.13
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.32	0.32	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.32	0.32	11.54	11.54	-0.24	-0.24
Fresno St.	WAC	0.29	0.29	43.75	43.75	-0.04	-0.04
Idaho	WAC	0.28	0.28	44.83	44.83	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.26	0.26	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.26	0.26	40.00	40.00	-0.05	-0.05
Oregon St.	P10	0.26	0.26	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.26	0.26	34.38	34.38	-0.08	-0.08
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.25	0.25	59.26	59.26	0.05	0.05
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.23	0.23	25.00	25.00	-0.11	-0.11
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.21	0.21	65.62	65.62	0.07	0.07
Northwestern	B10	0.21	0.21	60.61	60.61	0.05	0.05
Longwood	ind	0.21	0.21	29.63	29.63	-0.08	-0.08
Wagner	NEC	0.21	0.21	16.13	16.13	-0.14	-0.14
Iowa St.	B12	0.20	0.20	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.20	0.20	35.71	35.71	-0.06	-0.06
Cal Poly	BW	0.19	0.19	38.71	38.71	-0.04	-0.04
Hawaii	WAC	0.19	0.19	31.03	31.03	-0.07	-0.07
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.18	0.18	25.00	25.00	-0.09	-0.09
Washington	P10	0.18	0.18	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
Drake	MVC	0.17	0.17	42.42	42.42	-0.03	-0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.17	0.17	33.33	33.33	-0.06	-0.06
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.16	0.16	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.16	0.16	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.16	0.16	35.71	35.71	-0.05	-0.05
Texas St.	Slnd	0.16	0.16	40.74	40.74	-0.03	-0.03
UC Davis	BW	0.16	0.16	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.16	0.16	30.00	30.00	-0.06	-0.06
Nebraska	B12	0.16	0.16	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.16	0.16	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.15	0.15	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.14	0.14	79.41	79.41	0.09	0.09
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.14	0.14	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Southern	SWAC	0.13	0.13	17.24	17.24	-0.09	-0.09
Wofford	SC	0.13	0.13	75.76	75.76	0.07	0.07
Detroit	Horz	0.13	0.13	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Pacific	BW	0.13	0.13	64.52	64.52	0.04	0.04
Portland St.	BSky	0.12	0.12	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Nevada	WAC	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.12	0.12	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Chattanooga	SC	0.12	0.12	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Weber St.	BSky	0.12	0.12	64.29	64.29	0.03	0.03
Michigan	B10	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.11	0.11	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
Samford	SC	0.10	0.10	28.57	28.57	-0.04	-0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.10	0.10	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.10	0.10	76.67	76.67	0.05	0.05
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Southern Utah	Sum	0.10	0.10	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.06
Central Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.10	0.10	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.10	0.10	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
San Francisco	WCC	0.10	0.10	35.71	35.71	-0.03	-0.03
UC Riverside	BW	0.10	0.10	37.04	37.04	-0.03	-0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Presbyterian	BSth	0.10	0.10	13.33	13.33	-0.07	-0.07
Wichita St.	MVC	0.10	0.10	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
Idaho St.	BSky	0.10	0.10	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.06
North Texas	SB	0.10	0.10	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	28.00	28.00	-0.04	-0.04
Rice	CUSA	0.09	0.09	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Utah	MWC	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.09	0.09	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.09	0.09	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.09	0.09	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.09	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.09	0.09	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon	P10	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.09	0.09	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.09	0.09	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.08	0.08	84.38	84.38	0.06	0.06
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Binghamton	AE	0.07	0.07	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.07	0.07	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
Cornell	Ivy	0.07	0.07	86.21	86.21	0.05	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.07	0.07	78.12	78.12	0.04	0.04
Marquette	BE	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.07	0.07	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.07	0.07	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.07	0.07	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.07	0.07	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Elon	SC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Lafayette	Pat	0.07	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Manhattan	MAAC	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Montana	BSky	0.07	0.07	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Rutgers	BE	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.07	0.07	70.00	70.00	0.03	0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Vermont	AE	0.07	0.07	73.53	73.53	0.03	0.03
Yale	Ivy	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.07	0.07	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.07	0.07	80.65	80.65	0.04	0.04
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.07	0.07	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.06	0.06	67.86	67.86	0.02	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.06	0.06	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.06	0.06	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.06	0.06	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.06	0.06	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.06	0.06	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.06	83.33	83.33	0.04	0.04
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.06	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Arizona	P10	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.06	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.06	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Southern California	P10	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.06	0.06	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.06	0.06	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.06	0.06	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Baylor	B12	0.04	0.04	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.04	0.04	23.08	23.08	-0.02	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.04	0.04	25.93	25.93	-0.02	-0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.04	0.04	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.04	0.04	55.56	55.56	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.04	0.04	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Albany	AE	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.03	0.03	22.58	22.58	-0.02	-0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	55.88	55.88	0.00	0.00
Robert Morris	NEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.03	0.03	81.25	81.25	0.02	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.03	0.03	84.85	84.85	0.02	0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.03	0.03	87.88	87.88	0.02	0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Utah Valley	GWC	26.48	26.48	26.00	26.00	-12.71	-12.71
Texas Pan American	GWC	6.51	6.51	13.33	13.33	-4.78	-4.78
Houston Baptist	GWC	4.86	4.86	35.48	35.48	-1.41	-1.41
South Dakota	GWC	4.70	4.70	68.00	68.00	1.69	1.69
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	4.68	4.68	23.08	23.08	-2.52	-2.52
North Dakota	GWC	4.66	4.66	15.38	15.38	-3.23	-3.23
Chicago St.	GWC	4.61	4.61	19.23	19.23	-2.84	-2.84
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	3.97	3.97	22.22	22.22	-2.21	-2.21
Seattle	ind	3.94	3.94	51.72	51.72	0.14	0.14
San Jose St.	WAC	2.11	2.11	41.38	41.38	-0.36	-0.36
Texas Arlington	Slnd	2.11	2.11	44.00	44.00	-0.25	-0.25
Utah St.	WAC	2.05	2.05	78.12	78.12	1.16	1.16
Alcorn St.	SWAC	1.92	1.92	6.67	6.67	-1.67	-1.67
California	P10	1.92	1.92	68.75	68.75	0.72	0.72
Furman	SC	1.92	1.92	37.04	37.04	-0.50	-0.50
Georgia St.	CAA	1.92	1.92	33.33	33.33	-0.64	-0.64
Minnesota	B10	1.92	1.92	60.61	60.61	0.41	0.41
North Dakota St.	Sum	1.92	1.92	34.62	34.62	-0.59	-0.59
Boise St.	WAC	0.34	0.34	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.33	0.33	69.70	69.70	0.13	0.13
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.32	0.32	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.32	0.32	11.54	11.54	-0.24	-0.24
Fresno St.	WAC	0.29	0.29	43.75	43.75	-0.04	-0.04
Idaho	WAC	0.28	0.28	44.83	44.83	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.26	0.26	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.26	0.26	40.00	40.00	-0.05	-0.05
Oregon St.	P10	0.26	0.26	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.26	0.26	34.38	34.38	-0.08	-0.08
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.25	0.25	59.26	59.26	0.05	0.05
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.23	0.23	25.00	25.00	-0.11	-0.11
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.21	0.21	65.62	65.62	0.07	0.07
Northwestern	B10	0.21	0.21	60.61	60.61	0.05	0.05
Longwood	ind	0.21	0.21	29.63	29.63	-0.08	-0.08
Wagner	NEC	0.21	0.21	16.13	16.13	-0.14	-0.14
Iowa St.	B12	0.20	0.20	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.20	0.20	35.71	35.71	-0.06	-0.06
Cal Poly	BW	0.19	0.19	38.71	38.71	-0.04	-0.04
Hawaii	WAC	0.19	0.19	31.03	31.03	-0.07	-0.07
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.18	0.18	25.00	25.00	-0.09	-0.09
Washington	P10	0.18	0.18	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
Drake	MVC	0.17	0.17	42.42	42.42	-0.03	-0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.17	0.17	33.33	33.33	-0.06	-0.06
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.16	0.16	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.16	0.16	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.16	0.16	35.71	35.71	-0.05	-0.05
Texas St.	Slnd	0.16	0.16	40.74	40.74	-0.03	-0.03
UC Davis	BW	0.16	0.16	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.16	0.16	30.00	30.00	-0.06	-0.06
Nebraska	B12	0.16	0.16	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.16	0.16	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.15	0.15	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.14	0.14	79.41	79.41	0.09	0.09
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.14	0.14	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Southern	SWAC	0.13	0.13	17.24	17.24	-0.09	-0.09
Wofford	SC	0.13	0.13	75.76	75.76	0.07	0.07
Detroit	Horz	0.13	0.13	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Pacific	BW	0.13	0.13	64.52	64.52	0.04	0.04
Portland St.	BSky	0.12	0.12	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Nevada	WAC	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.12	0.12	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Chattanooga	SC	0.12	0.12	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Weber St.	BSky	0.12	0.12	64.29	64.29	0.03	0.03
Michigan	B10	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.11	0.11	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
Samford	SC	0.10	0.10	28.57	28.57	-0.04	-0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.10	0.10	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.10	0.10	76.67	76.67	0.05	0.05
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Southern Utah	Sum	0.10	0.10	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.06
Central Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.10	0.10	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.10	0.10	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
San Francisco	WCC	0.10	0.10	35.71	35.71	-0.03	-0.03
UC Riverside	BW	0.10	0.10	37.04	37.04	-0.03	-0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Presbyterian	BSth	0.10	0.10	13.33	13.33	-0.07	-0.07
Wichita St.	MVC	0.10	0.10	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
Idaho St.	BSky	0.10	0.10	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.06
North Texas	SB	0.10	0.10	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	28.00	28.00	-0.04	-0.04
Rice	CUSA	0.09	0.09	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Utah	MWC	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.09	0.09	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.09	0.09	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.09	0.09	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.09	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.09	0.09	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon	P10	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.09	0.09	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.09	0.09	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.08	0.08	84.38	84.38	0.06	0.06
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Binghamton	AE	0.07	0.07	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.07	0.07	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
Cornell	Ivy	0.07	0.07	86.21	86.21	0.05	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.07	0.07	78.12	78.12	0.04	0.04
Marquette	BE	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.07	0.07	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.07	0.07	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.07	0.07	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.07	0.07	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Elon	SC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Lafayette	Pat	0.07	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Manhattan	MAAC	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Montana	BSky	0.07	0.07	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Rutgers	BE	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.07	0.07	70.00	70.00	0.03	0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Vermont	AE	0.07	0.07	73.53	73.53	0.03	0.03
Yale	Ivy	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.07	0.07	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.07	0.07	80.65	80.65	0.04	0.04
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.07	0.07	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.06	0.06	67.86	67.86	0.02	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.06	0.06	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.06	0.06	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.06	0.06	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.06	0.06	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.06	0.06	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.06	83.33	83.33	0.04	0.04
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.06	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Arizona	P10	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.06	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.06	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Southern California	P10	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.06	0.06	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.06	0.06	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.06	0.06	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Baylor	B12	0.04	0.04	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.04	0.04	23.08	23.08	-0.02	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.04	0.04	25.93	25.93	-0.02	-0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.04	0.04	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.04	0.04	55.56	55.56	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.04	0.04	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Albany	AE	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.03	0.03	22.58	22.58	-0.02	-0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	55.88	55.88	0.00	0.00
Robert Morris	NEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.03	0.03	81.25	81.25	0.02	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.03	0.03	84.85	84.85	0.02	0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.03	0.03	87.88	87.88	0.02	0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
South Dakota	GWC	4.70	4.70	68.00	68.00	1.69	1.69
Utah St.	WAC	2.05	2.05	78.12	78.12	1.16	1.16
California	P10	1.92	1.92	68.75	68.75	0.72	0.72
Minnesota	B10	1.92	1.92	60.61	60.61	0.41	0.41
Seattle	ind	3.94	3.94	51.72	51.72	0.14	0.14
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.33	0.33	69.70	69.70	0.13	0.13
Ohio St.	B10	0.14	0.14	79.41	79.41	0.09	0.09
Washington	P10	0.18	0.18	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
Wofford	SC	0.13	0.13	75.76	75.76	0.07	0.07
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.21	0.21	65.62	65.62	0.07	0.07
Oakland	Sum	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Michigan St.	B10	0.12	0.12	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Purdue	B10	0.08	0.08	84.38	84.38	0.06	0.06
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.10	0.10	76.67	76.67	0.05	0.05
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.06	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Cornell	Ivy	0.07	0.07	86.21	86.21	0.05	0.05
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.25	0.25	59.26	59.26	0.05	0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.21	0.21	60.61	60.61	0.05	0.05
North Texas	SB	0.10	0.10	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Wichita St.	MVC	0.10	0.10	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
St. Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.06	83.33	83.33	0.04	0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.07	0.07	80.65	80.65	0.04	0.04