The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Long Beach St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Long Beach St.

Conference:		BW
Expected RPI:		112.0
Current RPI:		112
Expected SOS:		109
Current SOS:		109
Current Record:		15-16
Expected Record:		15-16
Current Conf Record:		10-9
Expected Conf Record:		10-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-5
Current OOC Record:		5-7
Expected OOC Record:		5-7
Expected OOC RPI:		51
Expected OOC SOS:		2

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
15-16		112.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Long Beach St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-17	Pepperdine (303.0)	WCC	A	67-58	W	100%	0.0
11-19	Notre Dame (49.0)	BE	A	62-82	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Wisconsin Green Bay (107.0)	Horz	A	81-69	W	100%	0.0
11-26	West Virginia (4.0)	BE	N	62-85	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Clemson (34.0)	ACC	N	79-87	L	0%	0.0
11-29	UCLA (137.0)	P10	N	79-68	W	100%	0.0
12-7	Texas (29.0)	B12	A	74-107	L	0%	0.0
12-18	Utah St. (30.0)	WAC	H	75-62	W	100%	0.0
12-21	Loyola Marymount (174.0)	WCC	A	80-85	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Kentucky (2.0)	SEC	A	73-86	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Duke (3.0)	ACC	A	63-84	L	0%	0.0
1-2	UC Riverside (255.0)	BW	A	67-69	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Cal St. Fullerton (204.0)	BW	A	75-85	L	0%	0.0
1-9	UC Irvine (276.0)	BW	H	55-53	W	100%	0.0
1-14	UC Santa Barbara (94.0)	BW	H	67-47	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Cal Poly (256.0)	BW	H	79-90	L	0%	0.0
1-21	UC Irvine (276.0)	BW	A	60-71	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Cal St. Northridge (251.0)	BW	A	69-68	W	100%	0.0
1-30	UC Davis (244.0)	BW	H	80-58	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Cal St. Fullerton (204.0)	BW	H	75-81	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Cal St. Northridge (251.0)	BW	H	65-51	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Cal Poly (256.0)	BW	A	78-72	W	100%	0.0
2-13	UC Santa Barbara (94.0)	BW	A	62-64	L	0%	0.0
2-17	Pacific (128.0)	BW	H	52-74	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Idaho (173.0)	WAC	A	77-66	W	100%	0.0
2-25	UC Davis (244.0)	BW	A	68-65	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Pacific (128.0)	BW	A	51-61	L	0%	0.0
3-5	UC Riverside (255.0)	BW	H	76-74	W	100%	0.0
3-11	Cal Poly (256.0)	BW	N	79-69	W	100%	0.0
3-12	Pacific (128.0)	BW	N	66-61	W	100%	0.0
3-13	UC Santa Barbara (94.0)	BW	N	64-69	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Long Beach St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Long Beach St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Long Beach St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Long Beach St.	BW	26.58	26.58	53.19	53.19	1.70	1.70
Cal Poly	BW	5.80	5.80	39.29	39.29	-1.24	-1.24
UC Santa Barbara	BW	5.78	5.78	68.00	68.00	2.08	2.08
Pacific	BW	5.74	5.74	64.29	64.29	1.64	1.64
UC Irvine	BW	4.31	4.31	39.29	39.29	-0.92	-0.92
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	4.30	4.30	44.44	44.44	-0.48	-0.48
UC Davis	BW	4.29	4.29	42.86	42.86	-0.61	-0.61
Cal St. Northridge	BW	4.24	4.24	36.67	36.67	-1.13	-1.13
UC Riverside	BW	4.14	4.14	36.00	36.00	-1.16	-1.16
Pepperdine	WCC	1.92	1.92	21.43	21.43	-1.10	-1.10
Loyola Marymount	WCC	1.86	1.86	51.61	51.61	0.06	0.06
Utah St.	WAC	1.72	1.72	81.25	81.25	1.08	1.08
UCLA	P10	1.72	1.72	45.16	45.16	-0.17	-0.17
Idaho	WAC	1.71	1.71	46.43	46.43	-0.12	-0.12
Notre Dame	BE	1.71	1.71	66.67	66.67	0.57	0.57
Texas	B12	1.67	1.67	71.88	71.88	0.73	0.73
Duke	ACC	1.66	1.66	84.85	84.85	1.16	1.16
Clemson	ACC	1.66	1.66	66.67	66.67	0.55	0.55
West Virginia	BE	1.66	1.66	81.25	81.25	1.04	1.04
Kentucky	SEC	1.61	1.61	93.94	93.94	1.42	1.42
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	1.61	1.61	63.33	63.33	0.43	0.43
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.71	0.71	24.14	24.14	-0.37	-0.37
Seattle	ind	0.42	0.42	54.84	54.84	0.04	0.04
Fresno St.	WAC	0.35	0.35	43.75	43.75	-0.04	-0.04
San Jose St.	WAC	0.35	0.35	43.33	43.33	-0.05	-0.05
Santa Clara	WCC	0.35	0.35	30.00	30.00	-0.14	-0.14
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.32	0.32	65.62	65.62	0.10	0.10
San Francisco	WCC	0.30	0.30	35.71	35.71	-0.08	-0.08
St. Mary's	WCC	0.29	0.29	83.33	83.33	0.19	0.19
San Diego St.	MWC	0.28	0.28	74.19	74.19	0.14	0.14
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.24	0.24	25.00	25.00	-0.12	-0.12
San Diego	WCC	0.24	0.24	32.26	32.26	-0.09	-0.09
California	P10	0.24	0.24	69.70	69.70	0.09	0.09
Hawaii	WAC	0.24	0.24	31.03	31.03	-0.09	-0.09
Portland	WCC	0.21	0.21	65.52	65.52	0.07	0.07
Nevada	WAC	0.21	0.21	61.29	61.29	0.05	0.05
Boise St.	WAC	0.21	0.21	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Stanford	P10	0.21	0.21	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.19	0.19	64.29	64.29	0.05	0.05
Montana St.	BSky	0.16	0.16	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.16	0.16	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Southern California	P10	0.16	0.16	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.15	0.15	80.65	80.65	0.09	0.09
Connecticut	BE	0.14	0.14	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.14	0.14	21.43	21.43	-0.08	-0.08
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.13	0.13	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin	B10	0.13	0.13	74.19	74.19	0.06	0.06
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.13	0.13	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.12	0.12	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.12	0.12	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Furman	SC	0.11	0.11	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Montana	BSky	0.11	0.11	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.11	33.33	33.33	-0.04	-0.04
Portland St.	BSky	0.11	0.11	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Oregon	P10	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Butler	Horz	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.08	0.08
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Washington	P10	0.10	0.10	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.10	73.33	73.33	0.05	0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.10	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.10	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Seton Hall	BE	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Utah	MWC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.08	0.08	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.07	0.07	84.38	84.38	0.05	0.05
Texas St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.07	0.07	80.00	80.00	0.04	0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.07	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Villanova	BE	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Louisville	BE	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
St. John's	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.07	0.07	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
New Mexico	MWC	0.06	0.06	87.88	87.88	0.05	0.05
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.04	-0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.05	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.04	0.04
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.05	19.23	19.23	-0.03	-0.03
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Providence	BE	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.02	0.02	84.85	84.85	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.02	0.02	31.25	31.25	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.02	0.02	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.02	0.02	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.02	0.02	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.02	0.02	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.02	0.02	79.41	79.41	0.01	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.02	0.02	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.02	0.02	18.18	18.18	-0.02	-0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.02	0.02	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.02	0.02	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.02	0.02	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.02	0.02	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.02	0.02	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.02	0.02	40.00	40.00	-0.00	-0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.02	0.02	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.02	0.02	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.02	0.02	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.02	0.02	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Long Beach St.	BW	26.58	26.58	53.19	53.19	1.70	1.70
Cal Poly	BW	5.80	5.80	39.29	39.29	-1.24	-1.24
UC Santa Barbara	BW	5.78	5.78	68.00	68.00	2.08	2.08
Pacific	BW	5.74	5.74	64.29	64.29	1.64	1.64
UC Irvine	BW	4.31	4.31	39.29	39.29	-0.92	-0.92
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	4.30	4.30	44.44	44.44	-0.48	-0.48
UC Davis	BW	4.29	4.29	42.86	42.86	-0.61	-0.61
Cal St. Northridge	BW	4.24	4.24	36.67	36.67	-1.13	-1.13
UC Riverside	BW	4.14	4.14	36.00	36.00	-1.16	-1.16
Pepperdine	WCC	1.92	1.92	21.43	21.43	-1.10	-1.10
Loyola Marymount	WCC	1.86	1.86	51.61	51.61	0.06	0.06
Utah St.	WAC	1.72	1.72	81.25	81.25	1.08	1.08
UCLA	P10	1.72	1.72	45.16	45.16	-0.17	-0.17
Idaho	WAC	1.71	1.71	46.43	46.43	-0.12	-0.12
Notre Dame	BE	1.71	1.71	66.67	66.67	0.57	0.57
Texas	B12	1.67	1.67	71.88	71.88	0.73	0.73
Duke	ACC	1.66	1.66	84.85	84.85	1.16	1.16
Clemson	ACC	1.66	1.66	66.67	66.67	0.55	0.55
West Virginia	BE	1.66	1.66	81.25	81.25	1.04	1.04
Kentucky	SEC	1.61	1.61	93.94	93.94	1.42	1.42
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	1.61	1.61	63.33	63.33	0.43	0.43
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.71	0.71	24.14	24.14	-0.37	-0.37
Seattle	ind	0.42	0.42	54.84	54.84	0.04	0.04
Fresno St.	WAC	0.35	0.35	43.75	43.75	-0.04	-0.04
San Jose St.	WAC	0.35	0.35	43.33	43.33	-0.05	-0.05
Santa Clara	WCC	0.35	0.35	30.00	30.00	-0.14	-0.14
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.32	0.32	65.62	65.62	0.10	0.10
San Francisco	WCC	0.30	0.30	35.71	35.71	-0.08	-0.08
St. Mary's	WCC	0.29	0.29	83.33	83.33	0.19	0.19
San Diego St.	MWC	0.28	0.28	74.19	74.19	0.14	0.14
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.24	0.24	25.00	25.00	-0.12	-0.12
San Diego	WCC	0.24	0.24	32.26	32.26	-0.09	-0.09
California	P10	0.24	0.24	69.70	69.70	0.09	0.09
Hawaii	WAC	0.24	0.24	31.03	31.03	-0.09	-0.09
Portland	WCC	0.21	0.21	65.52	65.52	0.07	0.07
Nevada	WAC	0.21	0.21	61.29	61.29	0.05	0.05
Boise St.	WAC	0.21	0.21	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Stanford	P10	0.21	0.21	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.19	0.19	64.29	64.29	0.05	0.05
Montana St.	BSky	0.16	0.16	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.16	0.16	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Southern California	P10	0.16	0.16	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.15	0.15	80.65	80.65	0.09	0.09
Connecticut	BE	0.14	0.14	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.14	0.14	21.43	21.43	-0.08	-0.08
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.13	0.13	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin	B10	0.13	0.13	74.19	74.19	0.06	0.06
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.13	0.13	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.12	0.12	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.12	0.12	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Furman	SC	0.11	0.11	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Montana	BSky	0.11	0.11	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.11	33.33	33.33	-0.04	-0.04
Portland St.	BSky	0.11	0.11	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Oregon	P10	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Butler	Horz	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.08	0.08
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Washington	P10	0.10	0.10	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.10	73.33	73.33	0.05	0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.10	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.10	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Seton Hall	BE	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Utah	MWC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.08	0.08	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.07	0.07	84.38	84.38	0.05	0.05
Texas St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.07	0.07	80.00	80.00	0.04	0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.07	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Villanova	BE	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Louisville	BE	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
St. John's	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.07	0.07	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
New Mexico	MWC	0.06	0.06	87.88	87.88	0.05	0.05
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.04	-0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.05	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.04	0.04
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.05	19.23	19.23	-0.03	-0.03
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Providence	BE	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.02	0.02	84.85	84.85	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.02	0.02	31.25	31.25	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.02	0.02	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.02	0.02	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.02	0.02	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.02	0.02	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.02	0.02	79.41	79.41	0.01	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.02	0.02	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.02	0.02	18.18	18.18	-0.02	-0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.02	0.02	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.02	0.02	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.02	0.02	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.02	0.02	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.02	0.02	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.02	0.02	40.00	40.00	-0.00	-0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.02	0.02	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.02	0.02	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.02	0.02	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.02	0.02	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UC Santa Barbara	BW	5.78	5.78	68.00	68.00	2.08	2.08
Long Beach St.	BW	26.58	26.58	53.19	53.19	1.70	1.70
Pacific	BW	5.74	5.74	64.29	64.29	1.64	1.64
Kentucky	SEC	1.61	1.61	93.94	93.94	1.42	1.42
Duke	ACC	1.66	1.66	84.85	84.85	1.16	1.16
Utah St.	WAC	1.72	1.72	81.25	81.25	1.08	1.08
West Virginia	BE	1.66	1.66	81.25	81.25	1.04	1.04
Texas	B12	1.67	1.67	71.88	71.88	0.73	0.73
Notre Dame	BE	1.71	1.71	66.67	66.67	0.57	0.57
Clemson	ACC	1.66	1.66	66.67	66.67	0.55	0.55
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	1.61	1.61	63.33	63.33	0.43	0.43
St. Mary's	WCC	0.29	0.29	83.33	83.33	0.19	0.19
San Diego St.	MWC	0.28	0.28	74.19	74.19	0.14	0.14
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.32	0.32	65.62	65.62	0.10	0.10
Gonzaga	WCC	0.15	0.15	80.65	80.65	0.09	0.09
California	P10	0.24	0.24	69.70	69.70	0.09	0.09
Butler	Horz	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.08	0.08
Portland	WCC	0.21	0.21	65.52	65.52	0.07	0.07
Wisconsin	B10	0.13	0.13	74.19	74.19	0.06	0.06
Pittsburgh	BE	0.12	0.12	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Arizona St.	P10	0.16	0.16	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Loyola Marymount	WCC	1.86	1.86	51.61	51.61	0.06	0.06
Weber St.	BSky	0.19	0.19	64.29	64.29	0.05	0.05
Purdue	B10	0.07	0.07	84.38	84.38	0.05	0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.13	0.13	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.13	0.13	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Nevada	WAC	0.21	0.21	61.29	61.29	0.05	0.05
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.10	73.33	73.33	0.05	0.05
Washington	P10	0.10	0.10	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
New Mexico	MWC	0.06	0.06	87.88	87.88	0.05	0.05
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.07	0.07	80.00	80.00	0.04	0.04
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.04	0.04
Montana	BSky	0.11	0.11	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Seattle	ind	0.42	0.42	54.84	54.84	0.04	0.04
Baylor	B12	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Villanova	BE	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04