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Through games of Mar 15, 2015.


Southeastern Louisiana

Conference:Slnd
Expected RPI:329.0
Current RPI:329
Expected SOS:335
Current SOS:335
Current Record:8-23
Expected Record:8-23
Current Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Record:6-13
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-15
Current OOC Record:2-10
Expected OOC Record:2-10
Expected OOC RPI:310
Expected OOC SOS:224



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
8-23329.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Southeastern Louisiana.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Oklahoma St. (49.0)B12A83-55L0%0.0
11-16Oklahoma (18.0)B12A78-53L0%0.0
11-22Western Illinois (328.0)SumA60-57L0%0.0
11-24Tennessee Tech (290.0)OVCA81-62L0%0.0
11-26Tennessee Tech (290.0)OVCH86-68W100%0.0
11-28Tulane (214.0)AmerA71-61L0%0.0
12-2Gonzaga (8.0)WCCA76-57L0%0.0
12-6Southeast Missouri St. (289.0)OVCA63-59L0%0.0
12-16UTEP (78.0)CUSAA80-62L0%0.0
12-19Winthrop (210.0)BSthH81-71W100%0.0
12-22UCF (257.0)AmerA70-65L0%0.0
12-23South Florida (273.0)AmerA78-63L0%0.0
1-5Stephen F. Austin (33.0)SlndA81-66L0%0.0
1-10Houston Baptist (285.0)SlndH87-67W100%0.0
1-12Sam Houston St. (82.0)SlndH59-72L0%0.0
1-17Incarnate Word (160.0)SlndA98-108W100%0.0
1-19Lamar (230.0)SlndA57-50L0%0.0
1-26Texas A&M Corpus Chris (209.0)SlndH61-70L0%0.0
1-31Northwestern St. (161.0)SlndH73-88L0%0.0
2-2McNeese St. (279.0)SlndH60-73L0%0.0
2-7Abilene Christian (324.0)SlndA52-65W100%0.0
2-10Central Arkansas (349.0)SlndH83-58W100%0.0
2-14Nicholls St. (321.0)SlndA59-65W100%0.0
2-16McNeese St. (279.0)SlndA74-69L0%0.0
2-21Abilene Christian (324.0)SlndH55-54W100%0.0
2-23New Orleans (326.0)SlndH73-74L0%0.0
2-28Central Arkansas (349.0)SlndA74-72L0%0.0
3-2Northwestern St. (161.0)SlndA92-79L0%0.0
3-5New Orleans (326.0)SlndA85-79L0%0.0
3-7Nicholls St. (321.0)SlndH69-75L0%0.0
3-11McNeese St. (279.0)SlndN62-60L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Southeastern Louisiana's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Southeastern Louisiana's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Southeastern Louisiana.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd26.4326.4327.4827.48-11.90-11.90
McNeese St.Slnd5.655.6533.3333.33-1.88-1.88
Northwestern St.Slnd4.174.1752.0052.000.170.17
New OrleansSlnd4.114.1125.0025.00-2.06-2.06
Nicholls St.Slnd4.094.0925.0025.00-2.05-2.05
Central ArkansasSlnd4.074.073.703.70-3.77-3.77
Abilene ChristianSlnd3.893.8926.9226.92-1.79-1.79
Tennessee TechOVC3.283.2834.6234.62-1.01-1.01
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd2.482.4855.1755.170.260.26
Stephen F. AustinSlnd2.452.4586.2186.211.781.78
Sam Houston St.Slnd2.442.4471.4371.431.041.04
LamarSlnd2.422.4240.0040.00-0.48-0.48
Incarnate WordSlnd2.412.4160.8760.870.520.52
Houston BaptistSlnd2.352.3534.7834.78-0.72-0.72
TulaneAmer1.781.7844.8344.83-0.18-0.18
OklahomaB121.751.7567.7467.740.620.62
Southeast Missouri St.OVC1.731.7337.0437.04-0.45-0.45
South FloridaAmer1.721.7223.3323.33-0.92-0.92
UCFAmer1.721.7235.7135.71-0.49-0.49
Oklahoma St.B121.691.6955.1755.170.170.17
UTEPCUSA1.651.6567.7467.740.580.58
GonzagaWCC1.611.6193.7593.751.411.41
Western IllinoisSum1.611.6120.0020.00-0.97-0.97
WinthropBSth1.611.6157.1457.140.230.23
HoustonAmer0.280.2840.6240.62-0.05-0.05
TulsaAmer0.280.2870.9770.970.120.12
TCUB120.260.2654.5554.550.020.02
MemphisAmer0.240.2456.2556.250.030.03
Morehead St.OVC0.230.2346.8846.88-0.01-0.01
BaylorB120.220.2271.8871.880.100.10
SMUAmer0.190.1981.2581.250.120.12
DenverSum0.180.1840.0040.00-0.04-0.04
Louisiana TechCUSA0.170.1775.0075.000.090.09
Jacksonville St.OVC0.170.1734.4834.48-0.05-0.05
North TexasCUSA0.170.1741.3841.38-0.03-0.03
Texas TechB120.160.1640.6240.62-0.03-0.03
East CarolinaAmer0.160.1638.7138.71-0.04-0.04
TempleAmer0.160.1669.7069.700.060.06
Iowa St.B120.160.1675.7675.760.080.08
ConnecticutAmer0.160.1658.8258.820.030.03
Texas A&MSEC0.150.1564.5264.520.040.04
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.150.1556.6756.670.020.02
BelmontOVC0.140.1467.7467.740.050.05
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.140.1460.7160.710.030.03
Tennessee St.OVC0.140.1410.3410.34-0.11-0.11
Austin PeayOVC0.140.1421.4321.43-0.08-0.08
San DiegoWCC0.140.1446.6746.67-0.01-0.01
CincinnatiAmer0.140.1468.7568.750.050.05
Nebraska OmahaSum0.120.1239.2939.29-0.03-0.03
TroySB0.120.1229.6329.63-0.05-0.05
LSUSEC0.120.1268.7568.750.040.04
Mississippi St.SEC0.120.1238.7138.71-0.03-0.03
Eastern IllinoisOVC0.120.1251.7251.720.000.00
Murray St.OVC0.120.1283.3383.330.080.08
North FloridaASun0.120.1264.5264.520.030.03
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.120.1238.4638.46-0.03-0.03
Tennessee MartinOVC0.120.1257.1457.140.020.02
RiceCUSA0.120.1234.4834.48-0.04-0.04
UCLAP120.110.1160.6160.610.020.02
Coastal CarolinaBSth0.110.1168.9768.970.040.04
RadfordBSth0.110.1162.0762.070.030.03
San FranciscoWCC0.110.1141.9441.94-0.02-0.02
KansasB120.100.1076.4776.470.060.06
Kansas St.B120.100.1046.8846.88-0.01-0.01
TexasB120.100.1060.6160.610.020.02
West VirginiaB120.100.1071.8871.880.050.05
IndianaB100.090.0960.6160.610.020.02
South Dakota St.Sum0.090.0967.7467.740.030.03
Grand CanyonWAC0.090.0951.7251.720.000.00
UC RiversideBW0.090.0941.3841.38-0.02-0.02
UMKCWAC0.090.0938.7138.71-0.02-0.02
Southern IllinoisMVC0.090.0934.3834.38-0.03-0.03
South DakotaSum0.090.0948.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Central MichiganMAC0.090.0971.4371.430.040.04
ToledoMAC0.090.0960.6160.610.020.02
NebraskaB100.090.0941.9441.94-0.01-0.01
Wake ForestACC0.090.0940.6240.62-0.02-0.02
ArkansasSEC0.090.0976.4776.470.050.05
Oral RobertsSum0.090.0953.3353.330.010.01
WisconsinB100.090.0991.1891.180.070.07
Arkansas St.SB0.090.0935.7135.71-0.02-0.02
East Tennessee St.SC0.090.0950.0050.000.000.00
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.080.0856.6756.670.010.01
AlabamaSEC0.080.0854.8454.840.010.01
Charleston SouthernBSth0.080.0859.2659.260.020.02
LongwoodBSth0.080.0828.1228.12-0.04-0.04
Savannah St.MEAC0.080.0824.1424.14-0.04-0.04
Sacramento St.BSky0.080.0862.0762.070.020.02
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.080.0843.7543.75-0.01-0.01
MissouriSEC0.080.0825.8125.81-0.04-0.04
CreightonBE0.080.0842.4242.42-0.01-0.01
PacificWCC0.080.0832.1432.14-0.03-0.03
Loyola MarymountWCC0.080.0823.3323.33-0.04-0.04
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.080.0852.9452.940.000.00
UTSACUSA0.080.0842.8642.86-0.01-0.01
WashingtonP120.080.0851.6151.610.000.00
BYUWCC0.070.0771.8871.880.030.03
PepperdineWCC0.070.0756.6756.670.010.01
IPFWSum0.060.0648.1548.15-0.00-0.00
IUPUISum0.060.0632.2632.26-0.02-0.02
MichiganB100.060.0648.3948.39-0.00-0.00
North Dakota St.Sum0.060.0670.0070.000.020.02
Louisiana MonroeSB0.060.0658.6258.620.010.01
Illinois ChicagoHorz0.060.0625.0025.00-0.03-0.03
Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.060.0625.0025.00-0.03-0.03
PrincetonIvy0.060.0651.7251.720.000.00
Texas St.SB0.060.0639.2939.29-0.01-0.01
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.060.0637.5037.50-0.01-0.01
Boise St.MWC0.060.0674.1974.190.030.03
ChattanoogaSC0.060.0666.6766.670.020.02
DuquesneA100.060.0636.6736.67-0.02-0.02
LipscombASun0.060.0639.2939.29-0.01-0.01
South Carolina St.MEAC0.060.0629.0329.03-0.02-0.02
TennesseeSEC0.060.0650.0050.000.000.00
USCP120.060.0637.5037.50-0.01-0.01
Arkansas Little RockSB0.060.0640.0040.00-0.01-0.01
CampbellBSth0.060.0624.1424.14-0.03-0.03
Gardner WebbBSth0.060.0653.3353.330.000.00
High PointBSth0.060.0667.8667.860.020.02
LibertyBSth0.060.0614.2914.29-0.04-0.04
New MexicoMWC0.060.0648.3948.39-0.00-0.00
PresbyterianBSth0.060.0621.4321.43-0.03-0.03
UNC AshevilleBSth0.060.0642.8642.86-0.01-0.01
Texas SouthernSWAC0.060.0664.7164.710.020.02
Bowling GreenMAC0.050.0566.6766.670.020.02
MarylandB100.050.0581.8281.820.030.03
DetroitHorz0.050.0541.9441.94-0.01-0.01
Florida St.ACC0.050.0551.5251.520.000.00
Georgia SouthernSB0.050.0567.8667.860.020.02
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.050.0522.5822.58-0.03-0.03
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.050.0518.7518.75-0.03-0.03
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.050.0525.9325.93-0.03-0.03
Jackson St.SWAC0.050.0534.3834.38-0.02-0.02
XavierBE0.050.0561.7661.760.010.01
St. John'sBE0.050.0564.5264.520.010.01
UABCUSA0.050.0554.5554.550.000.00
FIUCUSA0.050.0545.1645.16-0.00-0.00
New Mexico St.WAC0.050.0567.7467.740.020.02
Southern MissCUSA0.050.0525.9325.93-0.02-0.02
ArizonaP120.050.0591.1891.180.040.04
Washington St.P120.050.0541.9441.94-0.01-0.01
PortlandWCC0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
Saint Mary'sWCC0.050.0568.9768.970.020.02
Santa ClaraWCC0.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
NorthwesternB100.030.0346.8846.88-0.00-0.00
UT ArlingtonSB0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
AkronMAC0.030.0358.8258.820.010.01
Alabama St.SWAC0.030.0362.9662.960.010.01
Cleveland St.Horz0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
IdahoBSky0.030.0339.2939.29-0.01-0.01
William & MaryCAA0.030.0360.0060.000.010.01
Alabama A&MSWAC0.030.0328.5728.57-0.01-0.01
MississippiSEC0.030.0362.5062.500.010.01
Missouri St.MVC0.030.0331.0331.03-0.01-0.01
AuburnSEC0.030.0341.1841.18-0.00-0.00
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.030.0330.0030.00-0.01-0.01
ClemsonACC0.030.0351.6151.610.000.00
DavidsonA100.030.0376.6776.670.010.01
Eastern WashingtonBSky0.030.0374.1974.190.010.01
FairfieldMAAC0.030.0322.5822.58-0.02-0.02
StetsonASun0.030.0321.4321.43-0.02-0.02
UNLVMWC0.030.0353.1253.120.000.00
USC UpstateASun0.030.0363.3363.330.010.01
WoffordSC0.030.0381.2581.250.020.02
BradleyMVC0.030.0325.0025.00-0.01-0.01
Cal St. FullertonBW0.030.0324.1424.14-0.01-0.01
GeorgetownBE0.030.0367.7467.740.010.01
Long Beach St.BW0.030.0345.1645.16-0.00-0.00
MilwaukeeHorz0.030.0342.8642.86-0.00-0.00
Northern IowaMVC0.030.0390.9190.910.020.02
Oregon St.P120.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
Saint LouisA100.030.0332.2632.26-0.01-0.01
South CarolinaSEC0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
SouthernSWAC0.030.0346.8846.88-0.00-0.00
HofstraCAA0.030.0360.6160.610.010.01
JacksonvilleASun0.030.0324.1424.14-0.01-0.01
North Carolina St.ACC0.030.0360.6160.610.010.01
Seton HallBE0.030.0351.6151.610.000.00
Alcorn St.SWAC0.030.0316.6716.67-0.02-0.02
ButlerBE0.030.0368.7568.750.010.01
CharlotteCUSA0.030.0343.7543.75-0.00-0.00
Colorado St.MWC0.030.0381.2581.250.020.02
George MasonA100.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
Kent St.MAC0.030.0364.5264.520.010.01
MarshallCUSA0.030.0330.0030.00-0.01-0.01
Old DominionCUSA0.030.0377.4277.420.010.01
Weber St.BSky0.030.0339.2939.29-0.01-0.01
Western KentuckyCUSA0.030.0360.0060.000.010.01
Cal PolyBW0.020.0240.7440.74-0.00-0.00
GeorgiaSEC0.020.0265.6265.620.010.01
Saint Joseph'sA100.020.0241.9441.94-0.00-0.00