The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Mount St. Mary's page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Mount St. Mary's

Conference:		NEC
Expected RPI:		172.0
Current RPI:		172
Expected SOS:		201
Current SOS:		201
Current Record:		16-15
Expected Record:		16-15
Current Conf Record:		12-7
Expected Conf Record:		12-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		14-4
Current OOC Record:		4-8
Expected OOC Record:		4-8
Expected OOC RPI:		194
Expected OOC SOS:		68

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
16-15		172.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Mount St. Mary's.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	Oklahoma (118.0)	B12	A	71-95	L	0%	0.0
11-18	American (295.0)	Pat	A	73-62	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Loyola MD (214.0)	MAAC	H	63-44	W	100%	0.0
11-25	Niagara (130.0)	MAAC	H	64-74	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Navy (265.0)	Pat	A	65-56	W	100%	0.0
11-30	Georgetown (7.0)	BE	A	62-83	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Robert Morris (129.0)	NEC	A	57-63	L	0%	0.0
12-5	St. Francis PA (287.0)	NEC	A	66-73	L	0%	0.0
12-8	Old Dominion (27.0)	CAA	A	38-64	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Pittsburgh (15.0)	BE	A	48-66	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Boston University (140.0)	AE	A	77-86	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Vermont (119.0)	AE	H	69-71	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Siena (31.0)	MAAC	A	76-79	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Quinnipiac (147.0)	NEC	A	63-64	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Sacred Heart (263.0)	NEC	A	69-65	W	100%	0.0
1-14	St. Francis NY (294.0)	NEC	H	58-61	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Long Island (240.0)	NEC	H	86-67	W	100%	0.0
1-21	St. Francis NY (294.0)	NEC	A	60-63	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Long Island (240.0)	NEC	A	58-67	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Sacred Heart (263.0)	NEC	H	64-52	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Quinnipiac (147.0)	NEC	H	61-56	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Wagner (332.0)	NEC	H	69-44	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Wagner (332.0)	NEC	A	66-50	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Monmouth (289.0)	NEC	A	69-42	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Fairleigh Dickinson (270.0)	NEC	A	77-67	W	100%	0.0
2-18	Central Connecticut (309.0)	NEC	H	85-58	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Bryant (346.0)	ind	H	74-45	W	100%	0.0
2-25	St. Francis PA (287.0)	NEC	H	67-51	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Robert Morris (129.0)	NEC	H	63-61	W	100%	0.0
3-4	St. Francis PA (287.0)	NEC	H	65-50	W	100%	0.0
3-7	Robert Morris (129.0)	NEC	A	62-80	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Mount St. Mary's's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Mount St. Mary's's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Mount St. Mary's.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	26.37	26.37	55.81	55.81	3.07	3.07
Robert Morris	NEC	5.68	5.68	67.74	67.74	2.02	2.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	5.59	5.59	37.04	37.04	-1.45	-1.45
Long Island	NEC	4.11	4.11	44.83	44.83	-0.43	-0.43
Quinnipiac	NEC	4.11	4.11	73.33	73.33	1.92	1.92
Wagner	NEC	4.06	4.06	17.24	17.24	-2.66	-2.66
St. Francis NY	NEC	4.00	4.00	33.33	33.33	-1.33	-1.33
Sacred Heart	NEC	3.90	3.90	51.85	51.85	0.14	0.14
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	2.50	2.50	35.48	35.48	-0.73	-0.73
Monmouth	NEC	2.50	2.50	40.00	40.00	-0.50	-0.50
Central Connecticut	NEC	2.47	2.47	41.38	41.38	-0.43	-0.43
Bryant	ind	2.40	2.40	3.45	3.45	-2.23	-2.23
American	Pat	1.80	1.80	36.67	36.67	-0.48	-0.48
Navy	Pat	1.79	1.79	44.83	44.83	-0.19	-0.19
Vermont	AE	1.77	1.77	72.73	72.73	0.80	0.80
Loyola MD	MAAC	1.73	1.73	44.83	44.83	-0.18	-0.18
Niagara	MAAC	1.72	1.72	53.12	53.12	0.11	0.11
Siena	MAAC	1.72	1.72	81.25	81.25	1.07	1.07
Pittsburgh	BE	1.71	1.71	74.19	74.19	0.83	0.83
Georgetown	BE	1.69	1.69	68.75	68.75	0.63	0.63
Boston University	AE	1.68	1.68	58.06	58.06	0.27	0.27
Old Dominion	CAA	1.64	1.64	75.76	75.76	0.84	0.84
Oklahoma	B12	1.61	1.61	40.00	40.00	-0.32	-0.32
Lafayette	Pat	0.45	0.45	59.38	59.38	0.08	0.08
Fairfield	MAAC	0.39	0.39	68.75	68.75	0.15	0.15
Hartford	AE	0.37	0.37	26.67	26.67	-0.17	-0.17
Bucknell	Pat	0.32	0.32	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.31	0.31	53.33	53.33	0.02	0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.29	0.29	31.03	31.03	-0.11	-0.11
Lehigh	Pat	0.29	0.29	68.75	68.75	0.11	0.11
Manhattan	MAAC	0.28	0.28	35.48	35.48	-0.08	-0.08
Iona	MAAC	0.28	0.28	67.74	67.74	0.10	0.10
Columbia	Ivy	0.27	0.27	39.29	39.29	-0.06	-0.06
Albany	AE	0.25	0.25	21.88	21.88	-0.14	-0.14
Stony Brook	AE	0.23	0.23	70.00	70.00	0.09	0.09
Syracuse	BE	0.23	0.23	87.50	87.50	0.17	0.17
Army	Pat	0.21	0.21	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.21	0.21	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.20	0.20	51.52	51.52	0.01	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.20	0.20	13.33	13.33	-0.15	-0.15
Duquesne	A10	0.20	0.20	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.20	0.20	41.38	41.38	-0.03	-0.03
Marist	MAAC	0.20	0.20	3.33	3.33	-0.19	-0.19
Colgate	Pat	0.19	0.19	34.48	34.48	-0.06	-0.06
Holy Cross	Pat	0.19	0.19	29.03	29.03	-0.08	-0.08
Seton Hall	BE	0.18	0.18	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
St. John's	BE	0.18	0.18	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.18	0.18	21.43	21.43	-0.10	-0.10
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.16	0.16	14.81	14.81	-0.11	-0.11
Yale	Ivy	0.16	0.16	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.16	0.16	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.15	0.15	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.15	0.15	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.08	0.08
Maine	AE	0.15	0.15	62.07	62.07	0.04	0.04
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.13	0.13	25.00	25.00	-0.06	-0.06
West Virginia	BE	0.13	0.13	81.82	81.82	0.08	0.08
Rutgers	BE	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.12	0.12	37.93	37.93	-0.03	-0.03
Delaware	CAA	0.12	0.12	22.58	22.58	-0.07	-0.07
Massachusetts	A10	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Akron	MAC	0.11	0.11	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Savannah St.	ind	0.11	0.11	31.82	31.82	-0.04	-0.04
Howard	MEAC	0.10	0.10	21.88	21.88	-0.06	-0.06
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Providence	BE	0.10	0.10	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Villanova	BE	0.10	0.10	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Towson	CAA	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Kent St.	MAC	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.10	0.10	58.82	58.82	0.02	0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.08	0.08	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.08	0.08	70.37	70.37	0.03	0.03
Texas	B12	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.08	0.08	74.07	74.07	0.04	0.04
Longwood	ind	0.08	0.08	29.63	29.63	-0.03	-0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Buffalo	MAC	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Marquette	BE	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	6.45	6.45	-0.06	-0.06
Appalachian St.	SC	0.07	0.07	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.07	0.07	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Fordham	A10	0.06	0.06	7.14	7.14	-0.05	-0.05
Xavier	A10	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.05	84.85	84.85	0.04	0.04
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	86.21	86.21	0.04	0.04
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.03	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.03	0.03	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.03	0.03	19.35	19.35	-0.02	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.65	0.02	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.01	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.03	0.03	81.25	81.25	0.02	0.02
Utah	MWC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	59.26	59.26	0.00	0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.02	0.02	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.02	0.02	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.02	0.02	28.12	28.12	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.02	0.02	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.02	0.02	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.02	0.02	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.02	0.02	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.02	0.02	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.02	0.02	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.02	0.02	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.02	0.02	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	26.37	26.37	55.81	55.81	3.07	3.07
Robert Morris	NEC	5.68	5.68	67.74	67.74	2.02	2.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	5.59	5.59	37.04	37.04	-1.45	-1.45
Long Island	NEC	4.11	4.11	44.83	44.83	-0.43	-0.43
Quinnipiac	NEC	4.11	4.11	73.33	73.33	1.92	1.92
Wagner	NEC	4.06	4.06	17.24	17.24	-2.66	-2.66
St. Francis NY	NEC	4.00	4.00	33.33	33.33	-1.33	-1.33
Sacred Heart	NEC	3.90	3.90	51.85	51.85	0.14	0.14
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	2.50	2.50	35.48	35.48	-0.73	-0.73
Monmouth	NEC	2.50	2.50	40.00	40.00	-0.50	-0.50
Central Connecticut	NEC	2.47	2.47	41.38	41.38	-0.43	-0.43
Bryant	ind	2.40	2.40	3.45	3.45	-2.23	-2.23
American	Pat	1.80	1.80	36.67	36.67	-0.48	-0.48
Navy	Pat	1.79	1.79	44.83	44.83	-0.19	-0.19
Vermont	AE	1.77	1.77	72.73	72.73	0.80	0.80
Loyola MD	MAAC	1.73	1.73	44.83	44.83	-0.18	-0.18
Niagara	MAAC	1.72	1.72	53.12	53.12	0.11	0.11
Siena	MAAC	1.72	1.72	81.25	81.25	1.07	1.07
Pittsburgh	BE	1.71	1.71	74.19	74.19	0.83	0.83
Georgetown	BE	1.69	1.69	68.75	68.75	0.63	0.63
Boston University	AE	1.68	1.68	58.06	58.06	0.27	0.27
Old Dominion	CAA	1.64	1.64	75.76	75.76	0.84	0.84
Oklahoma	B12	1.61	1.61	40.00	40.00	-0.32	-0.32
Lafayette	Pat	0.45	0.45	59.38	59.38	0.08	0.08
Fairfield	MAAC	0.39	0.39	68.75	68.75	0.15	0.15
Hartford	AE	0.37	0.37	26.67	26.67	-0.17	-0.17
Bucknell	Pat	0.32	0.32	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.31	0.31	53.33	53.33	0.02	0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.29	0.29	31.03	31.03	-0.11	-0.11
Lehigh	Pat	0.29	0.29	68.75	68.75	0.11	0.11
Manhattan	MAAC	0.28	0.28	35.48	35.48	-0.08	-0.08
Iona	MAAC	0.28	0.28	67.74	67.74	0.10	0.10
Columbia	Ivy	0.27	0.27	39.29	39.29	-0.06	-0.06
Albany	AE	0.25	0.25	21.88	21.88	-0.14	-0.14
Stony Brook	AE	0.23	0.23	70.00	70.00	0.09	0.09
Syracuse	BE	0.23	0.23	87.50	87.50	0.17	0.17
Army	Pat	0.21	0.21	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.21	0.21	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.20	0.20	51.52	51.52	0.01	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.20	0.20	13.33	13.33	-0.15	-0.15
Duquesne	A10	0.20	0.20	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.20	0.20	41.38	41.38	-0.03	-0.03
Marist	MAAC	0.20	0.20	3.33	3.33	-0.19	-0.19
Colgate	Pat	0.19	0.19	34.48	34.48	-0.06	-0.06
Holy Cross	Pat	0.19	0.19	29.03	29.03	-0.08	-0.08
Seton Hall	BE	0.18	0.18	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
St. John's	BE	0.18	0.18	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.18	0.18	21.43	21.43	-0.10	-0.10
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.16	0.16	14.81	14.81	-0.11	-0.11
Yale	Ivy	0.16	0.16	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.16	0.16	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.15	0.15	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.15	0.15	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.08	0.08
Maine	AE	0.15	0.15	62.07	62.07	0.04	0.04
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.13	0.13	25.00	25.00	-0.06	-0.06
West Virginia	BE	0.13	0.13	81.82	81.82	0.08	0.08
Rutgers	BE	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.12	0.12	37.93	37.93	-0.03	-0.03
Delaware	CAA	0.12	0.12	22.58	22.58	-0.07	-0.07
Massachusetts	A10	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Akron	MAC	0.11	0.11	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Savannah St.	ind	0.11	0.11	31.82	31.82	-0.04	-0.04
Howard	MEAC	0.10	0.10	21.88	21.88	-0.06	-0.06
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Providence	BE	0.10	0.10	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Villanova	BE	0.10	0.10	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Towson	CAA	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Kent St.	MAC	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.10	0.10	58.82	58.82	0.02	0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.08	0.08	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.08	0.08	70.37	70.37	0.03	0.03
Texas	B12	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.08	0.08	74.07	74.07	0.04	0.04
Longwood	ind	0.08	0.08	29.63	29.63	-0.03	-0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Buffalo	MAC	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Marquette	BE	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	6.45	6.45	-0.06	-0.06
Appalachian St.	SC	0.07	0.07	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.07	0.07	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Fordham	A10	0.06	0.06	7.14	7.14	-0.05	-0.05
Xavier	A10	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.05	84.85	84.85	0.04	0.04
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	86.21	86.21	0.04	0.04
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.03	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.03	0.03	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.03	0.03	19.35	19.35	-0.02	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.65	0.02	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.01	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.03	0.03	81.25	81.25	0.02	0.02
Utah	MWC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	59.26	59.26	0.00	0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.02	0.02	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.02	0.02	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.02	0.02	28.12	28.12	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.02	0.02	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.02	0.02	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.02	0.02	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.02	0.02	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.02	0.02	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.02	0.02	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.02	0.02	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.02	0.02	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	26.37	26.37	55.81	55.81	3.07	3.07
Robert Morris	NEC	5.68	5.68	67.74	67.74	2.02	2.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	4.11	4.11	73.33	73.33	1.92	1.92
Siena	MAAC	1.72	1.72	81.25	81.25	1.07	1.07
Old Dominion	CAA	1.64	1.64	75.76	75.76	0.84	0.84
Pittsburgh	BE	1.71	1.71	74.19	74.19	0.83	0.83
Vermont	AE	1.77	1.77	72.73	72.73	0.80	0.80
Georgetown	BE	1.69	1.69	68.75	68.75	0.63	0.63
Boston University	AE	1.68	1.68	58.06	58.06	0.27	0.27
Syracuse	BE	0.23	0.23	87.50	87.50	0.17	0.17
Fairfield	MAAC	0.39	0.39	68.75	68.75	0.15	0.15
Sacred Heart	NEC	3.90	3.90	51.85	51.85	0.14	0.14
Lehigh	Pat	0.29	0.29	68.75	68.75	0.11	0.11
Niagara	MAAC	1.72	1.72	53.12	53.12	0.11	0.11
Iona	MAAC	0.28	0.28	67.74	67.74	0.10	0.10
Stony Brook	AE	0.23	0.23	70.00	70.00	0.09	0.09
Lafayette	Pat	0.45	0.45	59.38	59.38	0.08	0.08
West Virginia	BE	0.13	0.13	81.82	81.82	0.08	0.08
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.08	0.08
Notre Dame	BE	0.16	0.16	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Villanova	BE	0.10	0.10	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
Akron	MAC	0.11	0.11	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Seton Hall	BE	0.18	0.18	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Kent St.	MAC	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.08	0.08	74.07	74.07	0.04	0.04
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	86.21	86.21	0.04	0.04
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.05	84.85	84.85	0.04	0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Maine	AE	0.15	0.15	62.07	62.07	0.04	0.04
Texas	B12	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.03	0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.08	0.08	70.37	70.37	0.03	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Xavier	A10	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.07	0.07	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.31	0.31	53.33	53.33	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.02	0.02	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.10	0.10	58.82	58.82	0.02	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.03	0.03	81.25	81.25	0.02	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.65	0.02	0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.01	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.02	0.02	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.18	0.18	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Washington	P10	0.02	0.02	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.07	0.07	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.02	0.02	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.20	0.20	51.52	51.52	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	59.26	59.26	0.00	0.00
Radford	BSth	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00