The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Mount St. Mary's page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Mount St. Mary's

Conference:		NEC
Expected RPI:		186.5
Current RPI:		193
Expected SOS:		197
Current SOS:		162
Current Record:		9-14
Expected Record:		14-15
Current Conf Record:		6-6
Expected Conf Record:		10-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		11-5
Current OOC Record:		3-8
Expected OOC Record:		4-8
Expected OOC RPI:		194
Expected OOC SOS:		77

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
15-14	166.3	24.43%
14-15	183.6	42.94%
13-16	200.9	24.91%
12-17	218.7	6.82%
11-18	234.8	0.86%
10-19	248.7	0.03%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Mount St. Mary's.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	Oklahoma (79.8)	B12	A	71-95	L	0%	0.0
11-18	American (306.9)	Pat	A	73-62	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Loyola MD (179.5)	MAAC	H	63-44	W	100%	0.0
11-25	Niagara (157.5)	MAAC	H	64-74	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Navy (269.1)	Pat	A	65-56	W	100%	0.0
11-30	Georgetown (8.9)	BE	A	62-83	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Robert Morris (153.8)	NEC	A	57-63	L	0%	0.0
12-5	St. Francis PA (312.5)	NEC	A	66-73	L	0%	0.0
12-8	Old Dominion (35.4)	CAA	A	38-64	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Pittsburgh (26.0)	BE	A	48-66	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Boston University (152.4)	AE	A	77-86	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Vermont (145.4)	AE	H	69-71	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Siena (34.4)	MAAC	A	76-79	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Quinnipiac (138.6)	NEC	A	63-64	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Sacred Heart (240.9)	NEC	A	69-65	W	100%	0.0
1-14	St. Francis NY (275.6)	NEC	H	58-61	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Long Island (258.2)	NEC	H	86-67	W	100%	0.0
1-21	St. Francis NY (275.6)	NEC	A	60-63	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Long Island (258.2)	NEC	A	58-67	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Sacred Heart (240.9)	NEC	H	64-52	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Quinnipiac (138.6)	NEC	H	61-56	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Wagner (323.2)	NEC	H	69-44	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Wagner (323.2)	NEC	A	66-50	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Monmouth (277.8)	NEC	A	0-0		57%	2.0
2-13	Fairleigh Dickinson (278.3)	NEC	A	0-0		76%	7.7
2-18	Central Connecticut (307.7)	NEC	H	0-0		88%	12.8
2-20	Bryant (344.6)	ind	H	0-0		98%	22.6
2-25	St. Francis PA (312.5)	NEC	H	0-0		93%	16.4
2-27	Robert Morris (153.8)	NEC	H	0-0		69%	5.4

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Mount St. Mary's's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Mount St. Mary's's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Mount St. Mary's.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	26.53	26.25	44.33	51.30	-3.01	0.68
Wagner	NEC	5.20	4.27	17.39	23.12	-3.39	-2.30
Long Island	NEC	4.94	4.23	38.10	40.90	-1.18	-0.77
St. Francis NY	NEC	4.90	4.20	38.10	39.62	-1.17	-0.87
Quinnipiac	NEC	4.80	4.20	71.43	73.40	2.06	1.97
Sacred Heart	NEC	4.71	4.14	57.14	57.83	0.67	0.65
St. Francis PA	NEC	2.78	4.23	27.27	28.56	-1.26	-1.81
Robert Morris	NEC	2.73	4.23	65.22	63.92	0.83	1.18
Navy	Pat	2.41	1.90	50.00	46.33	0.00	-0.14
Loyola MD	MAAC	2.39	1.87	52.17	53.40	0.10	0.13
Vermont	AE	2.36	1.87	66.67	66.10	0.79	0.60
American	Pat	2.32	1.87	31.82	33.54	-0.84	-0.62
Georgetown	BE	2.31	1.81	76.19	72.41	1.21	0.81
Niagara	MAAC	2.31	1.84	50.00	50.23	0.00	0.01
Siena	MAAC	2.31	1.84	82.61	80.60	1.51	1.13
Old Dominion	CAA	2.22	1.75	70.83	72.66	0.93	0.79
Pittsburgh	BE	2.22	1.81	72.73	69.83	1.01	0.72
Boston University	AE	2.22	1.78	52.17	56.19	0.10	0.22
Oklahoma	B12	2.17	1.72	57.14	49.45	0.31	-0.02
Bryant	ind	0.57	2.54	0.00	4.26	-0.57	-2.33
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.57	2.54	39.13	42.23	-0.12	-0.39
Lafayette	Pat	0.56	0.47	60.87	59.16	0.12	0.09
Brown	Ivy	0.46	0.32	23.81	27.31	-0.24	-0.15
Hartford	AE	0.42	0.35	30.43	32.48	-0.16	-0.12
Columbia	Ivy	0.42	0.29	40.00	39.13	-0.08	-0.06
Fairfield	MAAC	0.42	0.38	69.57	64.51	0.16	0.11
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.40	0.34	58.33	58.93	0.07	0.06
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.37	2.54	33.33	33.30	-0.12	-0.85
Monmouth	NEC	0.37	2.54	41.67	42.69	-0.06	-0.37
Bucknell	Pat	0.37	0.32	37.50	39.23	-0.09	-0.07
Iona	MAAC	0.36	0.29	72.00	70.73	0.16	0.12
Manhattan	MAAC	0.32	0.26	33.33	35.33	-0.11	-0.08
Stony Brook	AE	0.32	0.23	68.18	68.72	0.11	0.09
Albany	AE	0.32	0.26	23.08	25.77	-0.17	-0.13
Seton Hall	BE	0.29	0.20	57.14	57.47	0.04	0.03
Lehigh	Pat	0.28	0.27	65.22	65.74	0.09	0.08
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.28	0.18	15.79	17.64	-0.19	-0.11
Canisius	MAAC	0.27	0.23	44.00	45.15	-0.03	-0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.27	0.20	8.70	11.46	-0.22	-0.16
Marist	MAAC	0.27	0.23	4.17	4.73	-0.25	-0.21
St. John's	BE	0.24	0.20	54.55	49.24	0.02	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.24	0.20	95.83	91.37	0.22	0.17
Yale	Ivy	0.23	0.18	36.36	38.12	-0.06	-0.04
Maine	AE	0.23	0.17	63.64	61.86	0.06	0.04
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.22	0.14	22.22	27.56	-0.12	-0.06
Army	Pat	0.19	0.23	57.14	59.04	0.03	0.04
Colgate	Pat	0.19	0.21	27.27	31.08	-0.09	-0.08
Holy Cross	Pat	0.19	0.21	26.09	31.05	-0.09	-0.08
Massachusetts	A10	0.19	0.12	31.82	31.64	-0.07	-0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.19	0.14	34.78	32.23	-0.06	-0.05
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.19	0.14	70.83	73.80	0.08	0.07
Howard	MEAC	0.18	0.12	25.00	26.64	-0.09	-0.05
Duquesne	A10	0.18	0.17	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.18	0.20	35.00	38.23	-0.05	-0.05
Rider	MAAC	0.18	0.20	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.18	0.14	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.18	0.14	26.09	26.91	-0.08	-0.07
DePaul	BE	0.14	0.09	34.78	33.89	-0.04	-0.03
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.14	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.07	-0.04
Connecticut	BE	0.14	0.09	60.87	56.49	0.03	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.14	0.14	28.57	27.72	-0.06	-0.06
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.14	0.09	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.14	0.12	40.91	34.84	-0.03	-0.04
Binghamton	AE	0.14	0.14	39.13	38.63	-0.03	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.13	0.09	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.13	0.09	66.67	68.11	0.04	0.03
Villanova	BE	0.10	0.12	90.91	82.52	0.08	0.07
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.01
Texas	B12	0.10	0.09	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.05
Harvard	Ivy	0.09	0.09	73.68	75.41	0.04	0.04
Temple	A10	0.09	0.06	79.17	77.57	0.06	0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.09	0.09	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.09	0.06	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Fordham	A10	0.09	0.06	9.52	8.87	-0.08	-0.05
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.07	0.04
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.09	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.09	0.08	73.91	70.60	0.04	0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.09	0.14	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.08	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.05
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.09	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.07	-0.03
George Washington	A10	0.09	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.08	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.09	0.08	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.12	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.07
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.09	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.03
Longwood	ind	0.09	0.09	23.81	29.40	-0.05	-0.04
Towson	CAA	0.09	0.09	22.73	23.47	-0.05	-0.05
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.09	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.03
Brigham Young	MWC	0.09	0.06	87.50	87.42	0.07	0.04
Chicago St.	GWC	0.09	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.05	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.09	0.06	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.09	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.09	0.08	70.59	70.98	0.04	0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.06	68.18	66.65	0.03	0.02
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.04
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.03	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.03	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.12	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.02
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.12	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.03
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.06	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.04
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.06	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.04	0.03	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.04	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.04	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.04	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.04	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.02	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.04	0.06	85.71	85.57	0.03	0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.04	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.04	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.04	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.04	0.03	66.67	63.46	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.04	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.04	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.04	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.04	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.04	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.04	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.02	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.04	0.11	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.04	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.04	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.04	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Colorado	B12	0.00	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.00	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.00	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.00	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.00	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.00	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.00	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.00	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.00	0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.00	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.00	-0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.00	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.00	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.00	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.00	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.00	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.00	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.00	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.00	0.03	36.36	40.08	-0.00	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.00	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	26.53	26.25	44.33	51.30	-3.01	0.68
Wagner	NEC	5.20	4.27	17.39	23.12	-3.39	-2.30
Robert Morris	NEC	2.73	4.23	65.22	63.92	0.83	1.18
Long Island	NEC	4.94	4.23	38.10	40.90	-1.18	-0.77
St. Francis PA	NEC	2.78	4.23	27.27	28.56	-1.26	-1.81
St. Francis NY	NEC	4.90	4.20	38.10	39.62	-1.17	-0.87
Quinnipiac	NEC	4.80	4.20	71.43	73.40	2.06	1.97
Sacred Heart	NEC	4.71	4.14	57.14	57.83	0.67	0.65
Bryant	ind	0.57	2.54	0.00	4.26	-0.57	-2.33
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.57	2.54	39.13	42.23	-0.12	-0.39
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.37	2.54	33.33	33.30	-0.12	-0.85
Monmouth	NEC	0.37	2.54	41.67	42.69	-0.06	-0.37
Navy	Pat	2.41	1.90	50.00	46.33	0.00	-0.14
American	Pat	2.32	1.87	31.82	33.54	-0.84	-0.62
Vermont	AE	2.36	1.87	66.67	66.10	0.79	0.60
Loyola MD	MAAC	2.39	1.87	52.17	53.40	0.10	0.13
Niagara	MAAC	2.31	1.84	50.00	50.23	0.00	0.01
Siena	MAAC	2.31	1.84	82.61	80.60	1.51	1.13
Georgetown	BE	2.31	1.81	76.19	72.41	1.21	0.81
Pittsburgh	BE	2.22	1.81	72.73	69.83	1.01	0.72
Boston University	AE	2.22	1.78	52.17	56.19	0.10	0.22
Old Dominion	CAA	2.22	1.75	70.83	72.66	0.93	0.79
Oklahoma	B12	2.17	1.72	57.14	49.45	0.31	-0.02
Lafayette	Pat	0.56	0.47	60.87	59.16	0.12	0.09
Fairfield	MAAC	0.42	0.38	69.57	64.51	0.16	0.11
Hartford	AE	0.42	0.35	30.43	32.48	-0.16	-0.12
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.40	0.34	58.33	58.93	0.07	0.06
Bucknell	Pat	0.37	0.32	37.50	39.23	-0.09	-0.07
Brown	Ivy	0.46	0.32	23.81	27.31	-0.24	-0.15
Columbia	Ivy	0.42	0.29	40.00	39.13	-0.08	-0.06
Iona	MAAC	0.36	0.29	72.00	70.73	0.16	0.12
Lehigh	Pat	0.28	0.27	65.22	65.74	0.09	0.08
Manhattan	MAAC	0.32	0.26	33.33	35.33	-0.11	-0.08
Albany	AE	0.32	0.26	23.08	25.77	-0.17	-0.13
Army	Pat	0.19	0.23	57.14	59.04	0.03	0.04
Canisius	MAAC	0.27	0.23	44.00	45.15	-0.03	-0.02
Stony Brook	AE	0.32	0.23	68.18	68.72	0.11	0.09
Marist	MAAC	0.27	0.23	4.17	4.73	-0.25	-0.21
Colgate	Pat	0.19	0.21	27.27	31.08	-0.09	-0.08
Holy Cross	Pat	0.19	0.21	26.09	31.05	-0.09	-0.08
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.27	0.20	8.70	11.46	-0.22	-0.16
Seton Hall	BE	0.29	0.20	57.14	57.47	0.04	0.03
New Hampshire	AE	0.18	0.20	35.00	38.23	-0.05	-0.05
Syracuse	BE	0.24	0.20	95.83	91.37	0.22	0.17
St. John's	BE	0.24	0.20	54.55	49.24	0.02	-0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.18	0.20	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.28	0.18	15.79	17.64	-0.19	-0.11
Yale	Ivy	0.23	0.18	36.36	38.12	-0.06	-0.04
Maine	AE	0.23	0.17	63.64	61.86	0.06	0.04
Duquesne	A10	0.18	0.17	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.19	0.14	70.83	73.80	0.08	0.07
Penn St.	B10	0.19	0.14	34.78	32.23	-0.06	-0.05
Rutgers	BE	0.09	0.14	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.14	0.14	39.13	38.63	-0.03	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.18	0.14	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.14	0.14	28.57	27.72	-0.06	-0.06
Delaware	CAA	0.18	0.14	26.09	26.91	-0.08	-0.07
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.22	0.14	22.22	27.56	-0.12	-0.06
Massachusetts	A10	0.19	0.12	31.82	31.64	-0.07	-0.04
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.12	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.04
Howard	MEAC	0.18	0.12	25.00	26.64	-0.09	-0.05
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.12	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.03
Indiana	B10	0.14	0.12	40.91	34.84	-0.03	-0.04
Villanova	BE	0.10	0.12	90.91	82.52	0.08	0.07
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.12	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.07
Providence	BE	0.04	0.11	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.09	0.09	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.09	0.09	73.68	75.41	0.04	0.04
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.14	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.07	-0.04
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.09	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.14	0.09	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.14	0.09	60.87	56.49	0.03	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.14	0.09	34.78	33.89	-0.04	-0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.13	0.09	66.67	68.11	0.04	0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.13	0.09	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Longwood	ind	0.09	0.09	23.81	29.40	-0.05	-0.04
Towson	CAA	0.09	0.09	22.73	23.47	-0.05	-0.05
Texas	B12	0.10	0.09	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.05
Missouri	B12	0.09	0.08	73.91	70.60	0.04	0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.09	0.08	70.59	70.98	0.04	0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.08	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.05
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.08	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.09	0.08	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.09	0.06	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.09	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.07	-0.03
Fordham	A10	0.09	0.06	9.52	8.87	-0.08	-0.05
George Washington	A10	0.09	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.07	0.04
Xavier	A10	0.09	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.03
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.06	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.04
Temple	A10	0.09	0.06	79.17	77.57	0.06	0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.09	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.04	0.06	85.71	85.57	0.03	0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.06	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.09	0.06	87.50	87.42	0.07	0.04
Chicago St.	GWC	0.09	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.05	-0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.04	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.04	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.09	0.06	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.04	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.09	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.06	68.18	66.65	0.03	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.02
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.00	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.00	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.00	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.03	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.00	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.00	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.00	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.00	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.00	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.00	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.00	0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.00	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.00	-0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.03	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.00	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.00	-0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.00	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.01
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.00	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.00	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.04	0.03	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.04	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.04	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.04	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.04	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.02	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.04	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.00	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.00	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.04	0.03	66.67	63.46	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.04	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.04	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.04	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.04	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.04	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.02	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.04	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.04	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.00	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.04	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.00	0.03	36.36	40.08	-0.00	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Quinnipiac	NEC	4.80	4.20	71.43	73.40	2.06	1.97
Siena	MAAC	2.31	1.84	82.61	80.60	1.51	1.13
Georgetown	BE	2.31	1.81	76.19	72.41	1.21	0.81
Pittsburgh	BE	2.22	1.81	72.73	69.83	1.01	0.72
Old Dominion	CAA	2.22	1.75	70.83	72.66	0.93	0.79
Robert Morris	NEC	2.73	4.23	65.22	63.92	0.83	1.18
Vermont	AE	2.36	1.87	66.67	66.10	0.79	0.60
Sacred Heart	NEC	4.71	4.14	57.14	57.83	0.67	0.65
Oklahoma	B12	2.17	1.72	57.14	49.45	0.31	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.24	0.20	95.83	91.37	0.22	0.17
Fairfield	MAAC	0.42	0.38	69.57	64.51	0.16	0.11
Iona	MAAC	0.36	0.29	72.00	70.73	0.16	0.12
Lafayette	Pat	0.56	0.47	60.87	59.16	0.12	0.09
Stony Brook	AE	0.32	0.23	68.18	68.72	0.11	0.09
Loyola MD	MAAC	2.39	1.87	52.17	53.40	0.10	0.13
Boston University	AE	2.22	1.78	52.17	56.19	0.10	0.22
Lehigh	Pat	0.28	0.27	65.22	65.74	0.09	0.08
Villanova	BE	0.10	0.12	90.91	82.52	0.08	0.07
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.19	0.14	70.83	73.80	0.08	0.07
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.07	0.04
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.40	0.34	58.33	58.93	0.07	0.06
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.12	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.07
Brigham Young	MWC	0.09	0.06	87.50	87.42	0.07	0.04
Texas	B12	0.10	0.09	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.05
Maine	AE	0.23	0.17	63.64	61.86	0.06	0.04
Temple	A10	0.09	0.06	79.17	77.57	0.06	0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.08	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.05
Harvard	Ivy	0.09	0.09	73.68	75.41	0.04	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.13	0.09	66.67	68.11	0.04	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.09	0.08	73.91	70.60	0.04	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.29	0.20	57.14	57.47	0.04	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.09	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.04
Xavier	A10	0.09	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.08	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.09	0.08	70.59	70.98	0.04	0.04
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.09	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.06	68.18	66.65	0.03	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.04	0.06	85.71	85.57	0.03	0.04
Connecticut	BE	0.14	0.09	60.87	56.49	0.03	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.03
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.03	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
Army	Pat	0.19	0.23	57.14	59.04	0.03	0.04
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.04	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.02	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.03
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.04	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.24	0.20	54.55	49.24	0.02	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.18	0.14	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.12	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.02
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.04	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.04	0.03	66.67	63.46	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.04	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.14	0.09	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.13	0.09	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.09	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.04	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.01