The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Cal Poly page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Cal Poly

Conference:		BW
Expected RPI:		272.8
Current RPI:		259
Expected SOS:		275
Current SOS:		286
Current Record:		8-14
Expected Record:		10-19
Current Conf Record:		5-5
Expected Conf Record:		7-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-10
Current OOC Record:		3-9
Expected OOC Record:		3-10
Expected OOC RPI:		313
Expected OOC SOS:		314

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
15-14	196.0	0.03%
14-15	220.9	0.56%
13-16	236.8	4.07%
12-17	250.5	14.90%
11-18	264.4	26.92%
10-19	279.4	30.79%
9-20	293.7	18.08%
8-21	305.9	4.64%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Cal Poly.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	San Francisco (222.5)	WCC	A	62-73	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Stanford (173.0)	P10	A	53-70	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Portland St. (210.1)	BSky	A	83-92	L	0%	0.0
11-23	St. Mary's (42.1)	WCC	A	67-92	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Arkansas Little Rock (266.4)	SB	A	62-71	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Seattle (222.4)	ind	H	85-74	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Pepperdine (283.4)	WCC	H	83-77	W	100%	0.0
12-15	South Dakota St. (204.6)	Sum	A	73-66	W	100%	0.0
12-16	Wisconsin (12.3)	B10	A	42-90	L	0%	0.0
12-21	Montana St. (192.5)	BSky	H	72-76	L	0%	0.0
12-31	Cal St. Bakersfield (322.0)	ind	A	63-70	L	0%	0.0
1-4	UC Irvine (277.0)	BW	A	95-81	W	100%	0.0
1-8	Pacific (115.6)	BW	H	63-73	L	0%	0.0
1-10	UC Davis (285.3)	BW	H	72-69	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Cal St. Fullerton (212.6)	BW	A	54-68	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Long Beach St. (139.7)	BW	A	90-79	W	100%	0.0
1-21	UC Riverside (264.2)	BW	H	67-65	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Cal St. Northridge (225.5)	BW	H	73-72	W	100%	0.0
1-28	UC Santa Barbara (144.6)	BW	A	57-80	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Cal St. Bakersfield (322.0)	ind	H	53-57	L	0%	0.0
2-4	UC Davis (285.3)	BW	A	63-83	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Pacific (115.6)	BW	A	61-67	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Long Beach St. (139.7)	BW	H	0-0		32%	-5.2
2-13	UC Riverside (264.2)	BW	A	0-0		26%	-6.8
2-17	Cal St. Northridge (225.5)	BW	A	0-0		22%	-8.3
2-20	Hawaii (234.4)	WAC	A	0-0		25%	-7.4
2-24	Cal St. Fullerton (212.6)	BW	H	0-0		46%	-1.1
2-27	UC Santa Barbara (144.6)	BW	H	0-0		37%	-3.6
3-6	UC Irvine (277.0)	BW	H	0-0		57%	2.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Cal Poly's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Cal Poly's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Cal Poly.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Cal Poly	BW	26.48	26.43	40.00	37.63	-5.30	-6.54
Pacific	BW	5.14	4.43	65.00	65.83	1.54	1.40
UC Davis	BW	5.13	4.39	33.33	31.91	-1.71	-1.59
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	4.97	4.02	15.00	15.58	-3.48	-2.77
UC Irvine	BW	3.22	4.52	38.10	41.47	-0.77	-0.77
UC Santa Barbara	BW	3.13	4.36	57.89	57.82	0.49	0.68
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	3.07	4.42	42.11	46.35	-0.48	-0.32
Cal St. Northridge	BW	3.07	4.49	40.91	43.60	-0.56	-0.57
UC Riverside	BW	3.02	4.36	35.00	36.42	-0.91	-1.18
Long Beach St.	BW	2.86	4.34	45.00	46.55	-0.29	-0.30
San Francisco	WCC	2.64	2.01	28.57	29.71	-1.13	-0.81
Pepperdine	WCC	2.64	2.06	28.57	26.24	-1.13	-0.98
Seattle	ind	2.59	2.14	47.83	50.50	-0.11	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	2.59	1.97	86.36	84.05	1.88	1.34
Montana St.	BSky	2.54	1.94	45.00	46.60	-0.25	-0.13
Portland St.	BSky	2.52	1.94	35.00	37.41	-0.76	-0.49
Stanford	P10	2.44	1.82	40.91	41.13	-0.44	-0.32
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	2.27	1.72	20.00	25.63	-1.36	-0.84
South Dakota St.	Sum	2.27	1.72	52.38	52.87	0.11	0.10
Wisconsin	B10	2.27	1.72	77.27	78.19	1.24	0.97
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.62	0.52	47.83	44.39	-0.03	-0.06
Santa Clara	WCC	0.57	0.43	33.33	34.27	-0.19	-0.13
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.48	0.37	30.43	29.01	-0.19	-0.15
San Jose St.	WAC	0.47	0.48	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.41	0.34	33.33	33.43	-0.14	-0.11
UCLA	P10	0.36	0.27	47.83	43.79	-0.02	-0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.32	0.29	61.90	65.04	0.08	0.09
San Diego St.	MWC	0.32	0.28	66.67	67.74	0.11	0.10
Fresno St.	WAC	0.32	0.36	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon	P10	0.27	0.18	54.55	48.81	0.02	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.26	0.28	73.91	76.66	0.13	0.15
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.26	0.18	18.18	19.18	-0.16	-0.11
Portland	WCC	0.25	0.25	61.90	65.68	0.06	0.08
Utah Valley	GWC	0.25	0.17	36.84	39.02	-0.07	-0.04
Washington	P10	0.25	0.20	69.57	68.86	0.10	0.08
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.22	0.19	45.00	45.40	-0.02	-0.02
California	P10	0.21	0.18	65.22	68.42	0.06	0.07
Nevada	WAC	0.21	0.18	57.14	60.54	0.03	0.04
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.21	0.12	54.17	58.55	0.02	0.02
Denver	SB	0.20	0.18	60.87	59.58	0.04	0.03
Southern California	P10	0.20	0.15	60.87	59.61	0.04	0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.20	0.28	81.82	83.61	0.13	0.18
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.20	0.11	69.57	63.55	0.08	0.03
Oregon St.	P10	0.20	0.14	45.45	40.28	-0.02	-0.03
Purdue	B10	0.20	0.15	86.36	81.80	0.15	0.09
Colorado St.	MWC	0.17	0.09	59.09	52.85	0.03	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.17	0.13	33.33	33.96	-0.06	-0.04
Idaho St.	BSky	0.16	0.19	19.05	24.00	-0.10	-0.10
Montana	BSky	0.16	0.19	68.18	70.35	0.06	0.08
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.16	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.09
Arizona St.	P10	0.16	0.16	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.06
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.16	0.24	61.90	56.37	0.04	0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.16	0.09	55.56	55.85	0.02	0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.16	0.16	19.05	20.55	-0.10	-0.09
Oakland	Sum	0.15	0.12	66.67	69.41	0.05	0.05
Air Force	MWC	0.11	0.06	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.11	0.06	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.11	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.05	-0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.11	0.06	57.14	57.10	0.02	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.24	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.11	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.11	0.07	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.11	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.02
Texas	B12	0.11	0.12	82.61	78.76	0.07	0.07
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.07	0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
Washington St.	P10	0.10	0.09	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.10	0.09	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.10	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Longwood	ind	0.10	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.05	-0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.10	0.09	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.10	1.81	36.36	32.33	-0.03	-0.64
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.10	0.09	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.06	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.09	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.10	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.10	0.09	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.10	0.23	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.03
Furman	SC	0.06	0.07	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.09	82.61	75.26	0.04	0.05
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.09	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.06
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.03
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.06	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.04
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.05
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.03	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.09	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.00	-0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.00	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.00	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.00	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.00	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.00	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.00	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.00	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.00	0.03	33.33	30.82	-0.00	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.00	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.00	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.00	-0.05
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.00	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.00	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.00	0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.00	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.00	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.00	-0.05
Troy	SB	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.00	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.00	-0.03

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Cal Poly	BW	26.48	26.43	40.00	37.63	-5.30	-6.54
UC Irvine	BW	3.22	4.52	38.10	41.47	-0.77	-0.77
Cal St. Northridge	BW	3.07	4.49	40.91	43.60	-0.56	-0.57
Pacific	BW	5.14	4.43	65.00	65.83	1.54	1.40
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	3.07	4.42	42.11	46.35	-0.48	-0.32
UC Davis	BW	5.13	4.39	33.33	31.91	-1.71	-1.59
UC Santa Barbara	BW	3.13	4.36	57.89	57.82	0.49	0.68
UC Riverside	BW	3.02	4.36	35.00	36.42	-0.91	-1.18
Long Beach St.	BW	2.86	4.34	45.00	46.55	-0.29	-0.30
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	4.97	4.02	15.00	15.58	-3.48	-2.77
Seattle	ind	2.59	2.14	47.83	50.50	-0.11	0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	2.64	2.06	28.57	26.24	-1.13	-0.98
San Francisco	WCC	2.64	2.01	28.57	29.71	-1.13	-0.81
St. Mary's	WCC	2.59	1.97	86.36	84.05	1.88	1.34
Montana St.	BSky	2.54	1.94	45.00	46.60	-0.25	-0.13
Portland St.	BSky	2.52	1.94	35.00	37.41	-0.76	-0.49
Stanford	P10	2.44	1.82	40.91	41.13	-0.44	-0.32
Hawaii	WAC	0.10	1.81	36.36	32.33	-0.03	-0.64
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	2.27	1.72	20.00	25.63	-1.36	-0.84
South Dakota St.	Sum	2.27	1.72	52.38	52.87	0.11	0.10
Wisconsin	B10	2.27	1.72	77.27	78.19	1.24	0.97
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.62	0.52	47.83	44.39	-0.03	-0.06
San Jose St.	WAC	0.47	0.48	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.57	0.43	33.33	34.27	-0.19	-0.13
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.48	0.37	30.43	29.01	-0.19	-0.15
Fresno St.	WAC	0.32	0.36	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.41	0.34	33.33	33.43	-0.14	-0.11
Weber St.	BSky	0.32	0.29	61.90	65.04	0.08	0.09
San Diego St.	MWC	0.32	0.28	66.67	67.74	0.11	0.10
Gonzaga	WCC	0.20	0.28	81.82	83.61	0.13	0.18
Utah St.	WAC	0.26	0.28	73.91	76.66	0.13	0.15
UCLA	P10	0.36	0.27	47.83	43.79	-0.02	-0.03
Portland	WCC	0.25	0.25	61.90	65.68	0.06	0.08
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.24	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.16	0.24	61.90	56.37	0.04	0.03
Idaho	WAC	0.10	0.23	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.25	0.20	69.57	68.86	0.10	0.08
Montana	BSky	0.16	0.19	68.18	70.35	0.06	0.08
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.22	0.19	45.00	45.40	-0.02	-0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.16	0.19	19.05	24.00	-0.10	-0.10
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.26	0.18	18.18	19.18	-0.16	-0.11
Oregon	P10	0.27	0.18	54.55	48.81	0.02	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.21	0.18	57.14	60.54	0.03	0.04
California	P10	0.21	0.18	65.22	68.42	0.06	0.07
Denver	SB	0.20	0.18	60.87	59.58	0.04	0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.25	0.17	36.84	39.02	-0.07	-0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.16	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.09
Southern Utah	Sum	0.16	0.16	19.05	20.55	-0.10	-0.09
Arizona St.	P10	0.16	0.16	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.06
Southern California	P10	0.20	0.15	60.87	59.61	0.04	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.20	0.15	86.36	81.80	0.15	0.09
Oregon St.	P10	0.20	0.14	45.45	40.28	-0.02	-0.03
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.17	0.13	33.33	33.96	-0.06	-0.04
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.21	0.12	54.17	58.55	0.02	0.02
Texas	B12	0.11	0.12	82.61	78.76	0.07	0.07
Oakland	Sum	0.15	0.12	66.67	69.41	0.05	0.05
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.20	0.11	69.57	63.55	0.08	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.09	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.06
Colorado St.	MWC	0.17	0.09	59.09	52.85	0.03	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.16	0.09	55.56	55.85	0.02	0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.10	0.09	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.09	82.61	75.26	0.04	0.05
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.07	0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.10	0.09	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.10	0.09	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.10	0.09	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.09	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.09	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.10	0.09	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.03
Furman	SC	0.06	0.07	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.11	0.07	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.11	0.06	57.14	57.10	0.02	0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.10	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.11	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.03
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.06	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.00	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.00	-0.05
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.00	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.00	-0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.11	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.02
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.05
Air Force	MWC	0.11	0.06	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.11	0.06	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.04
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.11	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.05	-0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Longwood	ind	0.10	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.05	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.00	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.00	-0.05
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.06	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.00	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.00	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.00	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.00	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.10	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.04
Drake	MVC	0.00	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.00	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.00	-0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.00	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.00	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.00	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.00	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.00	0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.00	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.03	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.00	0.03	33.33	30.82	-0.00	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
St. Mary's	WCC	2.59	1.97	86.36	84.05	1.88	1.34
Pacific	BW	5.14	4.43	65.00	65.83	1.54	1.40
Wisconsin	B10	2.27	1.72	77.27	78.19	1.24	0.97
UC Santa Barbara	BW	3.13	4.36	57.89	57.82	0.49	0.68
Purdue	B10	0.20	0.15	86.36	81.80	0.15	0.09
Gonzaga	WCC	0.20	0.28	81.82	83.61	0.13	0.18
Utah St.	WAC	0.26	0.28	73.91	76.66	0.13	0.15
South Dakota St.	Sum	2.27	1.72	52.38	52.87	0.11	0.10
San Diego St.	MWC	0.32	0.28	66.67	67.74	0.11	0.10
Washington	P10	0.25	0.20	69.57	68.86	0.10	0.08
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.16	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.09
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.20	0.11	69.57	63.55	0.08	0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.32	0.29	61.90	65.04	0.08	0.09
Texas	B12	0.11	0.12	82.61	78.76	0.07	0.07
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.07	0.06
California	P10	0.21	0.18	65.22	68.42	0.06	0.07
Portland	WCC	0.25	0.25	61.90	65.68	0.06	0.08
Montana	BSky	0.16	0.19	68.18	70.35	0.06	0.08
Michigan St.	B10	0.10	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.16	0.16	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.06
Oakland	Sum	0.15	0.12	66.67	69.41	0.05	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.03
Denver	SB	0.20	0.18	60.87	59.58	0.04	0.03
Southern California	P10	0.20	0.15	60.87	59.61	0.04	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.11	0.07	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.09	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.06
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.04
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.10	0.09	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.16	0.24	61.90	56.37	0.04	0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.09	82.61	75.26	0.04	0.05
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.04
Colorado St.	MWC	0.17	0.09	59.09	52.85	0.03	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.21	0.18	57.14	60.54	0.03	0.04
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.10	0.09	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.11	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.27	0.18	54.55	48.81	0.02	-0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.10	0.09	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.16	0.09	55.56	55.85	0.02	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.21	0.12	54.17	58.55	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.11	0.06	57.14	57.10	0.02	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.06	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.11	0.06	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.09	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.09	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.00	-0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.00	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.00	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.00	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.00	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.00	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.00	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.00	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.00	0.03	33.33	30.82	-0.00	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.00	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.00	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.00	-0.05
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.00	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.00	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.00	0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.00	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.47	0.48	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.00	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.00	-0.05
Troy	SB	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.00	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.00	-0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.11	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.06	0.07	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.06	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.10	0.23	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.24	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.32	0.36	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.10	0.09	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.10	0.09	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.02
UCLA	P10	0.36	0.27	47.83	43.79	-0.02	-0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.20	0.14	45.45	40.28	-0.02	-0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00