The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Cal St. Bakersfield page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Cal St. Bakersfield

Conference:		ind
Expected RPI:		322.1
Current RPI:		333
Expected SOS:		272
Current SOS:		306
Current Record:		5-17
Expected Record:		6-23
Current Conf Record:		0-1
Expected Conf Record:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		5-13
Current OOC Record:		5-16
Expected OOC Record:		6-21
Expected OOC RPI:		311
Expected OOC SOS:		285

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
11-18	263.0	0.01%
10-19	270.3	0.15%
9-20	287.5	1.04%
8-21	303.1	7.50%
7-22	315.1	26.12%
6-23	324.7	40.09%
5-24	332.6	25.08%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Cal St. Bakersfield.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Santa Clara (221.0)	WCC	H	81-84	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Utah Valley (329.6)	GWC	H	58-51	W	100%	0.0
11-20	UCLA (144.8)	P10	A	64-75	L	0%	0.0
11-30	Cal St. Northridge (225.4)	BW	A	74-81	L	0%	0.0
12-2	UC Riverside (264.5)	BW	A	47-87	L	0%	0.0
12-6	Oregon St. (204.2)	P10	A	39-74	L	0%	0.0
12-9	San Jose St. (142.3)	WAC	A	80-84	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Utah St. (33.8)	WAC	H	51-68	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Loyola Marymount (205.8)	WCC	A	71-84	L	0%	0.0
12-23	San Francisco (222.6)	WCC	A	73-82	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Cal St. Fullerton (212.4)	BW	A	70-77	L	0%	0.0
12-31	Cal Poly (272.6)	BW	H	70-63	W	100%	0.0
1-3	Loyola Marymount (205.8)	WCC	H	73-81	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Cincinnati (61.6)	BE	A	58-87	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Longwood (277.1)	ind	H	81-82	L	0%	0.0
1-12	Southern Mississippi (111.6)	CUSA	A	65-81	L	0%	0.0
1-18	Montana St. (193.0)	BSky	H	71-61	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Utah Valley (329.6)	GWC	A	63-64	L	0%	0.0
1-26	Cal St. Fullerton (212.4)	BW	H	84-92	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Cal Poly (272.6)	BW	A	57-53	W	100%	0.0
2-3	UC Irvine (278.2)	BW	H	68-55	W	100%	0.0
2-6	UC Irvine (278.2)	BW	A	63-76	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Cal St. Northridge (225.4)	BW	H	0-0		40%	-2.6
2-13	Pacific (114.8)	BW	H	0-0		19%	-9.4
2-15	Idaho St. (275.5)	BSky	A	0-0		25%	-7.5
2-17	Boise St. (214.6)	WAC	A	0-0		12%	-12.8
2-23	Fresno St. (161.3)	WAC	A	0-0		7%	-16.1
2-27	Seattle (222.1)	ind	A	0-0		17%	-10.6
3-2	Gonzaga (36.1)	WCC	A	0-0		1%	-26.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Cal St. Bakersfield's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Cal St. Bakersfield's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Cal St. Bakersfield.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	26.70	26.24	21.11	21.05	-15.43	-15.20
UC Irvine	BW	5.07	4.07	35.00	39.33	-1.52	-0.87
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	5.01	3.98	38.89	44.53	-1.11	-0.44
Cal Poly	BW	4.97	4.02	40.00	38.72	-0.99	-0.91
Loyola Marymount	WCC	4.75	3.75	42.86	40.28	-0.68	-0.73
Utah Valley	GWC	4.65	3.56	35.29	38.08	-1.37	-0.85
UC Riverside	BW	2.86	2.29	30.00	34.01	-1.14	-0.73
San Jose St.	WAC	2.80	2.27	47.62	46.28	-0.13	-0.17
Cal St. Northridge	BW	2.70	3.99	36.36	40.78	-0.74	-0.74
San Francisco	WCC	2.63	2.08	28.57	29.71	-1.13	-0.85
Utah St.	WAC	2.56	2.06	72.73	75.87	1.16	1.07
Montana St.	BSky	2.49	1.97	50.00	50.60	0.00	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	2.47	2.08	30.43	31.92	-0.97	-0.75
UCLA	P10	2.44	1.85	45.45	41.88	-0.22	-0.30
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.33	1.76	52.94	54.08	0.14	0.14
Oregon St.	P10	2.32	1.84	42.86	38.21	-0.33	-0.43
Cincinnati	BE	2.27	1.75	59.09	53.94	0.41	0.14
Longwood	ind	2.27	1.72	23.81	28.79	-1.19	-0.73
Long Beach St.	BW	0.89	0.72	42.86	45.64	-0.13	-0.06
Pacific	BW	0.78	2.38	68.18	67.68	0.28	0.84
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.73	0.78	60.00	59.64	0.15	0.15
Seattle	ind	0.58	2.24	45.83	47.71	-0.05	-0.10
Pepperdine	WCC	0.55	0.51	27.27	25.31	-0.25	-0.25
UC Davis	BW	0.53	0.71	35.00	33.21	-0.16	-0.24
St. Mary's	WCC	0.50	0.45	86.96	84.64	0.37	0.31
San Diego	WCC	0.35	0.42	33.33	33.42	-0.12	-0.14
Weber St.	BSky	0.32	0.28	61.90	65.05	0.08	0.08
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.32	0.35	63.64	58.35	0.09	0.06
Montana	BSky	0.31	0.34	68.18	70.36	0.11	0.14
California	P10	0.27	0.21	65.22	68.43	0.08	0.08
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.26	0.33	30.43	29.01	-0.10	-0.14
Hawaii	WAC	0.26	0.35	36.36	33.80	-0.07	-0.11
Boise St.	WAC	0.25	2.02	45.45	44.49	-0.02	-0.22
Southern California	P10	0.25	0.24	60.87	59.64	0.06	0.05
Stanford	P10	0.25	0.17	43.48	43.05	-0.03	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.25	0.26	69.57	68.88	0.10	0.10
Gonzaga	WCC	0.25	2.00	81.82	83.05	0.16	1.32
Portland	WCC	0.25	0.36	61.90	65.68	0.06	0.11
Notre Dame	BE	0.25	0.18	70.83	63.36	0.10	0.05
Chicago St.	GWC	0.24	0.14	19.05	20.74	-0.15	-0.08
South Dakota	GWC	0.22	0.20	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.04
North Dakota	GWC	0.22	0.23	15.79	27.70	-0.15	-0.10
San Diego St.	MWC	0.22	0.18	66.67	67.74	0.07	0.06
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.21	0.22	45.00	45.40	-0.02	-0.02
Oregon	P10	0.21	0.18	54.55	48.80	0.02	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.20	0.29	57.14	60.54	0.03	0.06
Fresno St.	WAC	0.20	2.01	47.83	47.52	-0.01	-0.10
Idaho	WAC	0.20	0.34	45.00	48.32	-0.02	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.17	0.17	22.22	27.54	-0.10	-0.08
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.17	0.20	22.73	24.06	-0.09	-0.10
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.17	0.10	68.42	67.05	0.06	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.16	0.09	68.18	67.88	0.06	0.03
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.16	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.09
Idaho St.	BSky	0.16	1.85	19.05	22.02	-0.10	-1.03
Portland St.	BSky	0.16	0.27	38.10	39.63	-0.04	-0.06
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.15	0.09	32.00	31.25	-0.06	-0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.15	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.05
Colorado	B12	0.15	0.15	42.86	40.57	-0.02	-0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.15	0.23	79.17	73.38	0.09	0.11
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.13	0.07	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.12	0.07	0.00	4.36	-0.12	-0.06
Furman	SC	0.12	0.07	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.12	0.07	37.50	38.43	-0.03	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.12	0.07	63.64	64.63	0.03	0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.12	0.10	33.33	33.96	-0.04	-0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.12	0.07	47.06	43.54	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.12	0.14	12.00	18.83	-0.09	-0.09
Memphis	CUSA	0.12	0.13	69.57	70.01	0.05	0.05
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.11	0.06	21.05	24.99	-0.07	-0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.11	0.10	82.61	78.53	0.07	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.11	0.06	76.19	73.21	0.06	0.03
Southern Utah	Sum	0.10	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.06	-0.04
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.10	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.06	65.22	64.72	0.03	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.10	0.06	79.17	77.01	0.06	0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.10	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.09	78.26	78.94	0.06	0.05
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.11	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.10	0.12	87.50	87.42	0.08	0.09
Colorado St.	MWC	0.10	0.09	59.09	52.86	0.02	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.06	71.43	67.91	0.04	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.09	65.22	62.09	0.03	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.10	0.14	63.64	58.77	0.03	0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.09	77.27	70.95	0.05	0.04
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.09	33.33	30.71	-0.03	-0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.06	66.67	68.15	0.03	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.03	44.00	45.16	-0.01	-0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.06	0.07	20.00	21.93	-0.04	-0.04
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.03	47.62	50.86	-0.00	0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.03	66.67	65.51	0.02	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.06	0.03	73.91	72.54	0.03	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.06	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.06	0.03	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.06	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.03	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.07	77.27	75.68	0.03	0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.06	0.07	31.82	29.57	-0.02	-0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.24	18.18	19.17	-0.03	-0.15
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	53.77	0.00	0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.03	57.14	58.73	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.07	-0.02	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.03	40.00	39.17	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.88	-0.02	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.03	0.00	0.00
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	21.74	22.22	-0.03	-0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.91	-0.03	-0.03
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.79	-0.00	-0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.48	0.01	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.57	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.22	0.03	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.44	0.01	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.56	-0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.32	0.02	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.28	0.02	0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	81.82	72.56	0.03	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.03	68.18	66.69	0.02	0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	84.00	84.05	0.03	0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.04
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	56.52	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.71	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.05	0.08	60.87	59.59	0.01	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.06	56.00	55.95	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.83	93.08	0.05	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.03	52.17	56.49	0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.02	0.02	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.49	0.02	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	75.00	70.94	0.02	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.81	-0.00	0.00
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.79	0.04	0.04
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.50	0.01	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.03	54.55	49.23	0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.32	0.05	0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	54.22	-0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	36.84	36.81	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.07	-0.04	-0.02
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.09	45.45	44.33	-0.00	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.06	54.17	56.01	0.00	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.78	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.44	0.02	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.03	35.00	38.20	-0.01	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.02
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.98	0.02	0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.00	0.03	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.00	0.03	47.62	44.50	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.00	0.03	34.78	33.90	-0.00	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.00	0.06	44.00	43.19	-0.00	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.03	82.61	82.34	0.00	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.00	0.03	77.27	73.45	0.00	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.00	0.03	34.78	43.27	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.00	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.00	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.00	0.03	56.52	50.43	0.00	0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.00	0.03	42.86	45.29	-0.00	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.00	0.03	41.67	38.60	-0.00	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.00	0.06	4.17	4.75	-0.00	-0.05
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	66.14	0.00	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.00	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.00	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.00	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.00	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.00	0.06	4.76	9.60	-0.00	-0.05
North Texas	SB	0.00	0.03	61.90	63.68	0.00	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.00	0.03	66.67	69.42	0.00	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.00	0.03	59.09	51.14	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.00	0.06	69.57	63.54	0.00	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.00	0.03	12.50	15.32	-0.00	-0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.00	0.06	8.70	9.55	-0.00	-0.05
Villanova	BE	0.00	0.03	91.30	85.32	0.00	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.00	0.03	76.19	71.16	0.00	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.00	0.03	82.61	79.46	0.00	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.03	79.17	77.29	0.00	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.00	0.03	28.57	27.82	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	26.70	26.24	21.11	21.05	-15.43	-15.20
UC Irvine	BW	5.07	4.07	35.00	39.33	-1.52	-0.87
Cal Poly	BW	4.97	4.02	40.00	38.72	-0.99	-0.91
Cal St. Northridge	BW	2.70	3.99	36.36	40.78	-0.74	-0.74
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	5.01	3.98	38.89	44.53	-1.11	-0.44
Loyola Marymount	WCC	4.75	3.75	42.86	40.28	-0.68	-0.73
Utah Valley	GWC	4.65	3.56	35.29	38.08	-1.37	-0.85
Pacific	BW	0.78	2.38	68.18	67.68	0.28	0.84
UC Riverside	BW	2.86	2.29	30.00	34.01	-1.14	-0.73
San Jose St.	WAC	2.80	2.27	47.62	46.28	-0.13	-0.17
Seattle	ind	0.58	2.24	45.83	47.71	-0.05	-0.10
San Francisco	WCC	2.63	2.08	28.57	29.71	-1.13	-0.85
Santa Clara	WCC	2.47	2.08	30.43	31.92	-0.97	-0.75
Utah St.	WAC	2.56	2.06	72.73	75.87	1.16	1.07
Boise St.	WAC	0.25	2.02	45.45	44.49	-0.02	-0.22
Fresno St.	WAC	0.20	2.01	47.83	47.52	-0.01	-0.10
Gonzaga	WCC	0.25	2.00	81.82	83.05	0.16	1.32
Montana St.	BSky	2.49	1.97	50.00	50.60	0.00	0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.16	1.85	19.05	22.02	-0.10	-1.03
UCLA	P10	2.44	1.85	45.45	41.88	-0.22	-0.30
Oregon St.	P10	2.32	1.84	42.86	38.21	-0.33	-0.43
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.33	1.76	52.94	54.08	0.14	0.14
Cincinnati	BE	2.27	1.75	59.09	53.94	0.41	0.14
Longwood	ind	2.27	1.72	23.81	28.79	-1.19	-0.73
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.73	0.78	60.00	59.64	0.15	0.15
Long Beach St.	BW	0.89	0.72	42.86	45.64	-0.13	-0.06
UC Davis	BW	0.53	0.71	35.00	33.21	-0.16	-0.24
Pepperdine	WCC	0.55	0.51	27.27	25.31	-0.25	-0.25
St. Mary's	WCC	0.50	0.45	86.96	84.64	0.37	0.31
San Diego	WCC	0.35	0.42	33.33	33.42	-0.12	-0.14
Portland	WCC	0.25	0.36	61.90	65.68	0.06	0.11
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.32	0.35	63.64	58.35	0.09	0.06
Hawaii	WAC	0.26	0.35	36.36	33.80	-0.07	-0.11
Idaho	WAC	0.20	0.34	45.00	48.32	-0.02	-0.01
Montana	BSky	0.31	0.34	68.18	70.36	0.11	0.14
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.26	0.33	30.43	29.01	-0.10	-0.14
Nevada	WAC	0.20	0.29	57.14	60.54	0.03	0.06
Weber St.	BSky	0.32	0.28	61.90	65.05	0.08	0.08
Portland St.	BSky	0.16	0.27	38.10	39.63	-0.04	-0.06
Washington	P10	0.25	0.26	69.57	68.88	0.10	0.10
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.24	18.18	19.17	-0.03	-0.15
Southern California	P10	0.25	0.24	60.87	59.64	0.06	0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.15	0.23	79.17	73.38	0.09	0.11
North Dakota	GWC	0.22	0.23	15.79	27.70	-0.15	-0.10
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.21	0.22	45.00	45.40	-0.02	-0.02
California	P10	0.27	0.21	65.22	68.43	0.08	0.08
South Dakota	GWC	0.22	0.20	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.17	0.20	22.73	24.06	-0.09	-0.10
San Diego St.	MWC	0.22	0.18	66.67	67.74	0.07	0.06
Oregon	P10	0.21	0.18	54.55	48.80	0.02	-0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.25	0.18	70.83	63.36	0.10	0.05
Stanford	P10	0.25	0.17	43.48	43.05	-0.03	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.17	0.17	22.22	27.54	-0.10	-0.08
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.16	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.09
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.15	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.05
Colorado	B12	0.15	0.15	42.86	40.57	-0.02	-0.03
Washington St.	P10	0.10	0.14	63.64	58.77	0.03	0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.24	0.14	19.05	20.74	-0.15	-0.08
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.12	0.14	12.00	18.83	-0.09	-0.09
Memphis	CUSA	0.12	0.13	69.57	70.01	0.05	0.05
Brigham Young	MWC	0.10	0.12	87.50	87.42	0.08	0.09
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.11	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.12	0.10	33.33	33.96	-0.04	-0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.17	0.10	68.42	67.05	0.06	0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.11	0.10	82.61	78.53	0.07	0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.09	77.27	70.95	0.05	0.04
Morehead St.	OVC	0.16	0.09	68.18	67.88	0.06	0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.15	0.09	32.00	31.25	-0.06	-0.03
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.09	65.22	62.09	0.03	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.09	78.26	78.94	0.06	0.05
Colorado St.	MWC	0.10	0.09	59.09	52.86	0.02	0.01
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.09	45.45	44.33	-0.00	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.09	33.33	30.71	-0.03	-0.03
Denver	SB	0.05	0.08	60.87	59.59	0.01	0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.12	0.07	0.00	4.36	-0.12	-0.06
Furman	SC	0.12	0.07	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.12	0.07	37.50	38.43	-0.03	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.12	0.07	63.64	64.63	0.03	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.12	0.07	47.06	43.54	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.06	0.07	20.00	21.93	-0.04	-0.04
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.13	0.07	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.07	77.27	75.68	0.03	0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.06	0.07	31.82	29.57	-0.02	-0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.11	0.06	21.05	24.99	-0.07	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.00	0.06	4.76	9.60	-0.00	-0.05
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.00	0.06	8.70	9.55	-0.00	-0.05
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.11	0.06	76.19	73.21	0.06	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.06	71.43	67.91	0.04	0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.10	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.06	-0.04
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.10	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.06	65.22	64.72	0.03	0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.00	0.06	4.17	4.75	-0.00	-0.05
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.10	0.06	79.17	77.01	0.06	0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.10	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.00	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.00	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.91	-0.03	-0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.06	66.67	68.15	0.03	0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.98	0.02	0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	56.52	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.00	0.06	69.57	63.54	0.00	0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.04
Drake	MVC	0.00	0.06	44.00	43.19	-0.00	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.06	56.00	55.95	0.01	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.79	0.04	0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	36.84	36.81	-0.01	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.06	54.17	56.01	0.00	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.03	44.00	45.16	-0.01	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.00	0.03	47.62	44.50	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.03	47.62	50.86	-0.00	0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.03	66.67	65.51	0.02	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.06	0.03	73.91	72.54	0.03	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.06	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.06	0.03	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.06	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.03	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	53.77	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.00	0.03	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.03	57.14	58.73	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.07	-0.02	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.03	40.00	39.17	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.88	-0.02	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.00	0.03	34.78	43.27	-0.00	-0.00
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.00	0.03	56.52	50.43	0.00	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.00	0.03	41.67	38.60	-0.00	-0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.00	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.00	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.79	-0.00	-0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.57	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.22	0.03	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.44	0.01	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.28	0.02	0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	81.82	72.56	0.03	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.03	68.18	66.69	0.02	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.00	0.03	28.57	27.82	-0.00	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.03	82.61	82.34	0.00	0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.00	0.03	42.86	45.29	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.00	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.00	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.03	35.00	38.20	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.00	0.03	59.09	51.14	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.00	0.03	76.19	71.16	0.00	0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	84.00	84.05	0.03	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.71	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.00	0.03	34.78	33.90	-0.00	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.03	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.00	0.03	77.27	73.45	0.00	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	21.74	22.22	-0.03	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.83	93.08	0.05	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.03	52.17	56.49	0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.02	0.02	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	66.14	0.00	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.49	0.02	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.48	0.01	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.00	0.03	61.90	63.68	0.00	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	75.00	70.94	0.02	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.81	-0.00	0.00
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.50	0.01	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.03	54.55	49.23	0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.32	0.05	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.56	-0.00	0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	54.22	-0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.32	0.02	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.07	-0.04	-0.02
Villanova	BE	0.00	0.03	91.30	85.32	0.00	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.00	0.03	82.61	79.46	0.00	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.03	79.17	77.29	0.00	0.02
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.78	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.44	0.02	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.00	0.03	66.67	69.42	0.00	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.00	0.03	12.50	15.32	-0.00	-0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Utah St.	WAC	2.56	2.06	72.73	75.87	1.16	1.07
Cincinnati	BE	2.27	1.75	59.09	53.94	0.41	0.14
St. Mary's	WCC	0.50	0.45	86.96	84.64	0.37	0.31
Pacific	BW	0.78	2.38	68.18	67.68	0.28	0.84
Gonzaga	WCC	0.25	2.00	81.82	83.05	0.16	1.32
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.73	0.78	60.00	59.64	0.15	0.15
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.33	1.76	52.94	54.08	0.14	0.14
Montana	BSky	0.31	0.34	68.18	70.36	0.11	0.14
Notre Dame	BE	0.25	0.18	70.83	63.36	0.10	0.05
Washington	P10	0.25	0.26	69.57	68.88	0.10	0.10
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.16	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.09
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.15	0.23	79.17	73.38	0.09	0.11
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.32	0.35	63.64	58.35	0.09	0.06
California	P10	0.27	0.21	65.22	68.43	0.08	0.08
Weber St.	BSky	0.32	0.28	61.90	65.05	0.08	0.08
Brigham Young	MWC	0.10	0.12	87.50	87.42	0.08	0.09
UAB	CUSA	0.11	0.10	82.61	78.53	0.07	0.05
San Diego St.	MWC	0.22	0.18	66.67	67.74	0.07	0.06
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.17	0.10	68.42	67.05	0.06	0.03
Texas	B12	0.10	0.06	79.17	77.01	0.06	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.16	0.09	68.18	67.88	0.06	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.11	0.06	76.19	73.21	0.06	0.03
Portland	WCC	0.25	0.36	61.90	65.68	0.06	0.11
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.09	78.26	78.94	0.06	0.05
Southern California	P10	0.25	0.24	60.87	59.64	0.06	0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.09	77.27	70.95	0.05	0.04
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.15	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.05
Memphis	CUSA	0.12	0.13	69.57	70.01	0.05	0.05
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.83	93.08	0.05	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.32	0.05	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.06	71.43	67.91	0.04	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.79	0.04	0.04
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.07	77.27	75.68	0.03	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	84.00	84.05	0.03	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	81.82	72.56	0.03	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.12	0.07	63.64	64.63	0.03	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.06	66.67	68.15	0.03	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.06	65.22	64.72	0.03	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.09	65.22	62.09	0.03	0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.04
Mississippi	SEC	0.06	0.03	73.91	72.54	0.03	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.20	0.29	57.14	60.54	0.03	0.06
Washington St.	P10	0.10	0.14	63.64	58.77	0.03	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.22	0.03	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	75.00	70.94	0.02	0.01