The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Cal St. Bakersfield page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Cal St. Bakersfield

Conference:		ind
Expected RPI:		317.0
Current RPI:		317
Expected SOS:		288
Current SOS:		288
Current Record:		7-22
Expected Record:		7-22
Current Conf Record:		0-2
Expected Conf Record:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-10
Current OOC Record:		7-20
Expected OOC Record:		7-20
Expected OOC RPI:		298
Expected OOC SOS:		285

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
7-22		317.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Cal St. Bakersfield.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Santa Clara (233.0)	WCC	H	81-84	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Utah Valley (342.0)	GWC	H	58-51	W	100%	0.0
11-20	UCLA (137.0)	P10	A	64-75	L	0%	0.0
11-30	Cal St. Northridge (251.0)	BW	A	74-81	L	0%	0.0
12-2	UC Riverside (255.0)	BW	A	47-87	L	0%	0.0
12-6	Oregon St. (185.0)	P10	A	39-74	L	0%	0.0
12-9	San Jose St. (177.0)	WAC	A	80-84	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Utah St. (30.0)	WAC	H	51-68	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Loyola Marymount (174.0)	WCC	A	71-84	L	0%	0.0
12-23	San Francisco (205.0)	WCC	A	73-82	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Cal St. Fullerton (204.0)	BW	A	70-77	L	0%	0.0
12-31	Cal Poly (256.0)	BW	H	70-63	W	100%	0.0
1-3	Loyola Marymount (174.0)	WCC	H	73-81	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Cincinnati (65.0)	BE	A	58-87	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Longwood (286.0)	ind	H	81-82	L	0%	0.0
1-12	Southern Mississippi (114.0)	CUSA	A	65-81	L	0%	0.0
1-18	Montana St. (200.0)	BSky	H	71-61	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Utah Valley (342.0)	GWC	A	63-64	L	0%	0.0
1-26	Cal St. Fullerton (204.0)	BW	H	84-92	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Cal Poly (256.0)	BW	A	57-53	W	100%	0.0
2-3	UC Irvine (276.0)	BW	H	68-55	W	100%	0.0
2-6	UC Irvine (276.0)	BW	A	63-76	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Cal St. Northridge (251.0)	BW	H	59-57	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Pacific (128.0)	BW	H	44-71	L	0%	0.0
2-15	Idaho St. (305.0)	BSky	A	82-79	W	100%	0.0
2-17	Boise St. (203.0)	WAC	A	62-81	L	0%	0.0
2-23	Fresno St. (190.0)	WAC	A	68-79	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Seattle (192.0)	ind	A	72-76	L	0%	0.0
3-2	Gonzaga (36.0)	WCC	A	59-78	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Cal St. Bakersfield's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Cal St. Bakersfield's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Cal St. Bakersfield.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	26.18	26.18	24.37	24.37	-13.42	-13.42
UC Irvine	BW	4.10	4.10	39.29	39.29	-0.88	-0.88
Cal Poly	BW	4.06	4.06	41.38	41.38	-0.70	-0.70
Cal St. Northridge	BW	4.03	4.03	33.33	33.33	-1.34	-1.34
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	4.01	4.01	44.44	44.44	-0.45	-0.45
Loyola Marymount	WCC	3.79	3.79	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	3.56	3.56	29.17	29.17	-1.48	-1.48
Pacific	BW	2.35	2.35	63.33	63.33	0.63	0.63
UC Riverside	BW	2.26	2.26	34.62	34.62	-0.70	-0.70
San Jose St.	WAC	2.25	2.25	41.38	41.38	-0.39	-0.39
Seattle	ind	2.21	2.21	53.33	53.33	0.15	0.15
San Francisco	WCC	2.12	2.12	33.33	33.33	-0.71	-0.71
Utah St.	WAC	2.08	2.08	78.12	78.12	1.17	1.17
Santa Clara	WCC	2.06	2.06	27.59	27.59	-0.92	-0.92
Boise St.	WAC	2.03	2.03	43.33	43.33	-0.27	-0.27
Gonzaga	WCC	2.03	2.03	80.00	80.00	1.22	1.22
Fresno St.	WAC	2.00	2.00	41.94	41.94	-0.32	-0.32
Montana St.	BSky	1.96	1.96	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	1.84	1.84	19.23	19.23	-1.13	-1.13
UCLA	P10	1.84	1.84	41.94	41.94	-0.30	-0.30
Oregon St.	P10	1.83	1.83	43.33	43.33	-0.24	-0.24
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	1.76	1.76	53.57	53.57	0.13	0.13
Cincinnati	BE	1.75	1.75	53.12	53.12	0.11	0.11
Longwood	ind	1.72	1.72	26.92	26.92	-0.80	-0.80
Long Beach St.	BW	0.76	0.76	48.39	48.39	-0.02	-0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.74	0.74	67.86	67.86	0.27	0.27
UC Davis	BW	0.74	0.74	40.00	40.00	-0.15	-0.15
Pepperdine	WCC	0.53	0.53	20.69	20.69	-0.31	-0.31
St. Mary's	WCC	0.45	0.45	83.33	83.33	0.30	0.30
San Diego	WCC	0.43	0.43	32.26	32.26	-0.15	-0.15
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.39	0.39	65.62	65.62	0.12	0.12
Portland	WCC	0.34	0.34	65.52	65.52	0.10	0.10
Hawaii	WAC	0.33	0.33	31.03	31.03	-0.13	-0.13
Idaho	WAC	0.33	0.33	44.83	44.83	-0.03	-0.03
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.32	0.32	25.00	25.00	-0.16	-0.16
Montana	BSky	0.32	0.32	68.97	68.97	0.12	0.12
Portland St.	BSky	0.30	0.30	36.67	36.67	-0.08	-0.08
Nevada	WAC	0.28	0.28	61.29	61.29	0.06	0.06
Washington	P10	0.28	0.28	72.73	72.73	0.13	0.13
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.27	0.27	69.70	69.70	0.11	0.11
Weber St.	BSky	0.27	0.27	64.29	64.29	0.08	0.08
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.24	0.24	25.00	25.00	-0.12	-0.12
California	P10	0.23	0.23	69.70	69.70	0.09	0.09
Southern California	P10	0.23	0.23	53.33	53.33	0.02	0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.22	0.22	46.15	46.15	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.21	0.21	21.43	21.43	-0.12	-0.12
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.20	0.20	18.18	18.18	-0.13	-0.13
South Dakota	GWC	0.19	0.19	66.67	66.67	0.06	0.06
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.19	0.19	36.36	36.36	-0.05	-0.05
San Diego St.	MWC	0.17	0.17	74.19	74.19	0.08	0.08
Oregon	P10	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Stanford	P10	0.17	0.17	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.16	0.16	67.65	67.65	0.06	0.06
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.16	0.16	25.00	25.00	-0.08	-0.08
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.16	76.67	76.67	0.08	0.08
Colorado	B12	0.14	0.14	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.14	0.14	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Washington St.	P10	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Arizona	P10	0.14	0.14	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.13	0.13	21.43	21.43	-0.08	-0.08
Memphis	CUSA	0.12	0.12	71.88	71.88	0.05	0.05
Brigham Young	MWC	0.12	0.12	84.85	84.85	0.08	0.08
UAB	CUSA	0.12	0.12	74.19	74.19	0.06	0.06
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.09	0.09	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.09	0.09	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.09	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.09	0.09	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Utah	MWC	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Colorado St.	MWC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.08	0.08	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
South Florida	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Denver	SB	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	6.45	6.45	-0.06	-0.06
Furman	SC	0.07	0.07	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.07	0.07	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.07	0.07	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.06	12.00	12.00	-0.05	-0.05
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.06	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
East Carolina	CUSA	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.05	-0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.06	81.25	81.25	0.04	0.04
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Southern Utah	Sum	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.06	0.06	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Texas	B12	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.06	0.06	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois	B10	0.06	0.06	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.03	0.03	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
High Point	BSth	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.03	0.03	87.88	87.88	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.02	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.03	0.03	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Providence	BE	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	26.18	26.18	24.37	24.37	-13.42	-13.42
UC Irvine	BW	4.10	4.10	39.29	39.29	-0.88	-0.88
Cal Poly	BW	4.06	4.06	41.38	41.38	-0.70	-0.70
Cal St. Northridge	BW	4.03	4.03	33.33	33.33	-1.34	-1.34
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	4.01	4.01	44.44	44.44	-0.45	-0.45
Loyola Marymount	WCC	3.79	3.79	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	3.56	3.56	29.17	29.17	-1.48	-1.48
Pacific	BW	2.35	2.35	63.33	63.33	0.63	0.63
UC Riverside	BW	2.26	2.26	34.62	34.62	-0.70	-0.70
San Jose St.	WAC	2.25	2.25	41.38	41.38	-0.39	-0.39
Seattle	ind	2.21	2.21	53.33	53.33	0.15	0.15
San Francisco	WCC	2.12	2.12	33.33	33.33	-0.71	-0.71
Utah St.	WAC	2.08	2.08	78.12	78.12	1.17	1.17
Santa Clara	WCC	2.06	2.06	27.59	27.59	-0.92	-0.92
Boise St.	WAC	2.03	2.03	43.33	43.33	-0.27	-0.27
Gonzaga	WCC	2.03	2.03	80.00	80.00	1.22	1.22
Fresno St.	WAC	2.00	2.00	41.94	41.94	-0.32	-0.32
Montana St.	BSky	1.96	1.96	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	1.84	1.84	19.23	19.23	-1.13	-1.13
UCLA	P10	1.84	1.84	41.94	41.94	-0.30	-0.30
Oregon St.	P10	1.83	1.83	43.33	43.33	-0.24	-0.24
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	1.76	1.76	53.57	53.57	0.13	0.13
Cincinnati	BE	1.75	1.75	53.12	53.12	0.11	0.11
Longwood	ind	1.72	1.72	26.92	26.92	-0.80	-0.80
Long Beach St.	BW	0.76	0.76	48.39	48.39	-0.02	-0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.74	0.74	67.86	67.86	0.27	0.27
UC Davis	BW	0.74	0.74	40.00	40.00	-0.15	-0.15
Pepperdine	WCC	0.53	0.53	20.69	20.69	-0.31	-0.31
St. Mary's	WCC	0.45	0.45	83.33	83.33	0.30	0.30
San Diego	WCC	0.43	0.43	32.26	32.26	-0.15	-0.15
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.39	0.39	65.62	65.62	0.12	0.12
Portland	WCC	0.34	0.34	65.52	65.52	0.10	0.10
Hawaii	WAC	0.33	0.33	31.03	31.03	-0.13	-0.13
Idaho	WAC	0.33	0.33	44.83	44.83	-0.03	-0.03
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.32	0.32	25.00	25.00	-0.16	-0.16
Montana	BSky	0.32	0.32	68.97	68.97	0.12	0.12
Portland St.	BSky	0.30	0.30	36.67	36.67	-0.08	-0.08
Nevada	WAC	0.28	0.28	61.29	61.29	0.06	0.06
Washington	P10	0.28	0.28	72.73	72.73	0.13	0.13
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.27	0.27	69.70	69.70	0.11	0.11
Weber St.	BSky	0.27	0.27	64.29	64.29	0.08	0.08
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.24	0.24	25.00	25.00	-0.12	-0.12
California	P10	0.23	0.23	69.70	69.70	0.09	0.09
Southern California	P10	0.23	0.23	53.33	53.33	0.02	0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.22	0.22	46.15	46.15	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.21	0.21	21.43	21.43	-0.12	-0.12
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.20	0.20	18.18	18.18	-0.13	-0.13
South Dakota	GWC	0.19	0.19	66.67	66.67	0.06	0.06
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.19	0.19	36.36	36.36	-0.05	-0.05
San Diego St.	MWC	0.17	0.17	74.19	74.19	0.08	0.08
Oregon	P10	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Stanford	P10	0.17	0.17	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.16	0.16	67.65	67.65	0.06	0.06
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.16	0.16	25.00	25.00	-0.08	-0.08
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.16	76.67	76.67	0.08	0.08
Colorado	B12	0.14	0.14	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.14	0.14	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Washington St.	P10	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Arizona	P10	0.14	0.14	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.13	0.13	21.43	21.43	-0.08	-0.08
Memphis	CUSA	0.12	0.12	71.88	71.88	0.05	0.05
Brigham Young	MWC	0.12	0.12	84.85	84.85	0.08	0.08
UAB	CUSA	0.12	0.12	74.19	74.19	0.06	0.06
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.09	0.09	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.09	0.09	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.09	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.09	0.09	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Utah	MWC	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Colorado St.	MWC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.08	0.08	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
South Florida	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Denver	SB	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	6.45	6.45	-0.06	-0.06
Furman	SC	0.07	0.07	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.07	0.07	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.07	0.07	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.06	12.00	12.00	-0.05	-0.05
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.06	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
East Carolina	CUSA	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.05	-0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.06	81.25	81.25	0.04	0.04
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Southern Utah	Sum	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.06	0.06	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Texas	B12	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.06	0.06	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois	B10	0.06	0.06	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.03	0.03	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
High Point	BSth	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.03	0.03	87.88	87.88	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.02	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.03	0.03	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Providence	BE	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Gonzaga	WCC	2.03	2.03	80.00	80.00	1.22	1.22
Utah St.	WAC	2.08	2.08	78.12	78.12	1.17	1.17
Pacific	BW	2.35	2.35	63.33	63.33	0.63	0.63
St. Mary's	WCC	0.45	0.45	83.33	83.33	0.30	0.30
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.74	0.74	67.86	67.86	0.27	0.27
Seattle	ind	2.21	2.21	53.33	53.33	0.15	0.15
Washington	P10	0.28	0.28	72.73	72.73	0.13	0.13
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	1.76	1.76	53.57	53.57	0.13	0.13
Montana	BSky	0.32	0.32	68.97	68.97	0.12	0.12
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.39	0.39	65.62	65.62	0.12	0.12
Cincinnati	BE	1.75	1.75	53.12	53.12	0.11	0.11
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.27	0.27	69.70	69.70	0.11	0.11
Portland	WCC	0.34	0.34	65.52	65.52	0.10	0.10
California	P10	0.23	0.23	69.70	69.70	0.09	0.09
San Diego St.	MWC	0.17	0.17	74.19	74.19	0.08	0.08
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.16	76.67	76.67	0.08	0.08
Brigham Young	MWC	0.12	0.12	84.85	84.85	0.08	0.08
Weber St.	BSky	0.27	0.27	64.29	64.29	0.08	0.08
South Dakota	GWC	0.19	0.19	66.67	66.67	0.06	0.06
Nevada	WAC	0.28	0.28	61.29	61.29	0.06	0.06
Notre Dame	BE	0.16	0.16	67.65	67.65	0.06	0.06
UAB	CUSA	0.12	0.12	74.19	74.19	0.06	0.06
Arizona St.	P10	0.14	0.14	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Memphis	CUSA	0.12	0.12	71.88	71.88	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin	B10	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.06	81.25	81.25	0.04	0.04
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.09	0.09	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.08	0.08	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.06	0.06	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Texas	B12	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.03	0.03	87.88	87.88	0.02	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.03	0.03	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.07	0.07	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Denver	SB	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.23	0.23	53.33	53.33	0.02	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01