The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated MD Baltimore County page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

MD Baltimore County

Conference:		AE
Expected RPI:		339.8
Current RPI:		340
Expected SOS:		312
Current SOS:		314
Current Record:		2-21
Expected Record:		3-26
Current Conf Record:		1-9
Expected Conf Record:		2-14
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-10
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		2-14
Current OOC Record:		1-12
Expected OOC Record:		1-12
Expected OOC RPI:		344
Expected OOC SOS:		340

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
8-21	314.0	0.01%
7-22	323.0	0.19%
6-23	328.9	2.10%
5-24	335.5	10.32%
4-25	338.9	27.51%
3-26	340.9	38.69%
2-27	342.4	21.17%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for MD Baltimore County.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	Morgan St. (106.3)	MEAC	H	57-72	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Loyola MD (179.5)	MAAC	H	66-69	L	0%	0.0
11-21	George Washington (136.9)	A10	A	51-94	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Coppin St. (332.1)	MEAC	H	66-77	L	0%	0.0
11-28	James Madison (244.2)	CAA	A	51-53	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Towson (292.1)	CAA	A	77-82	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Toledo (323.0)	MAC	A	67-76	L	0%	0.0
12-8	Penn St. (209.9)	B10	A	42-58	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Rider (159.5)	MAAC	H	67-79	L	0%	0.0
12-20	American (306.9)	Pat	A	59-57	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Virginia Tech (62.2)	ACC	A	34-71	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Central Connecticut (307.7)	NEC	A	86-89	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Vermont (145.4)	AE	A	58-73	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Pennsylvania (297.7)	Ivy	H	71-82	L	0%	0.0
1-12	Boston University (152.4)	AE	A	63-75	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Hartford (284.9)	AE	H	68-74	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Albany (293.1)	AE	A	69-76	L	0%	0.0
1-18	Stony Brook (148.3)	AE	A	69-81	L	0%	0.0
1-21	New Hampshire (273.4)	AE	H	58-62	L	0%	0.0
1-24	Boston University (152.4)	AE	H	61-79	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Binghamton (237.3)	AE	H	63-80	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Maine (154.9)	AE	A	56-55	W	100%	0.0
2-5	Vermont (145.4)	AE	H	60-79	L	0%	0.0
2-8	Maine (154.9)	AE	H	0-0		25%	-7.3
2-11	Hartford (284.9)	AE	A	0-0		18%	-10.1
2-13	Albany (293.1)	AE	H	0-0		44%	-1.8
2-16	Stony Brook (148.3)	AE	H	0-0		17%	-10.3
2-21	Binghamton (237.3)	AE	A	0-0		16%	-10.8
2-24	New Hampshire (273.4)	AE	A	0-0		13%	-12.4

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

MD Baltimore County's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

MD Baltimore County's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against MD Baltimore County.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
MD Baltimore County	AE	26.28	26.34	11.97	13.64	-19.99	-19.15
Boston University	AE	4.92	4.31	50.00	54.57	0.00	0.39
Vermont	AE	4.91	4.35	65.22	64.93	1.49	1.30
Albany	AE	3.02	4.41	20.00	22.16	-1.81	-2.45
New Hampshire	AE	2.77	4.33	31.58	33.80	-1.02	-1.40
Stony Brook	AE	2.73	4.28	66.67	66.98	0.91	1.45
Binghamton	AE	2.73	4.31	36.36	34.68	-0.74	-1.32
Maine	AE	2.73	4.28	66.67	63.73	0.91	1.17
Hartford	AE	2.70	4.28	27.27	28.13	-1.23	-1.87
Loyola MD	MAAC	2.45	1.96	47.83	49.83	-0.11	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	2.37	1.91	69.57	72.98	0.93	0.88
Penn St.	B10	2.33	1.81	31.82	29.89	-0.85	-0.73
Towson	CAA	2.32	1.81	19.05	20.63	-1.43	-1.06
George Washington	A10	2.31	1.81	52.38	53.46	0.11	0.13
Rider	MAAC	2.31	1.84	50.00	47.65	0.00	-0.09
Central Connecticut	NEC	2.27	1.84	36.36	39.09	-0.62	-0.40
Coppin St.	MEAC	2.26	1.81	5.88	17.77	-2.00	-1.16
American	Pat	2.26	1.81	31.82	33.54	-0.82	-0.60
Pennsylvania	Ivy	2.26	1.81	11.76	16.98	-1.73	-1.19
Toledo	MAC	2.26	1.78	4.55	6.99	-2.06	-1.53
James Madison	CAA	2.22	1.75	40.91	37.91	-0.40	-0.42
Virginia Tech	ACC	2.22	1.75	80.95	71.63	1.38	0.76
Marist	MAAC	0.50	0.41	4.17	4.73	-0.46	-0.37
Drexel	CAA	0.34	0.23	56.00	55.91	0.04	0.03
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.29	0.27	15.79	17.64	-0.20	-0.17
Delaware	CAA	0.29	0.26	26.09	26.91	-0.14	-0.12
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.28	0.24	69.57	71.78	0.11	0.10
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.27	0.20	39.13	47.65	-0.06	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.27	0.18	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.26	0.23	72.00	70.73	0.12	0.10
Harvard	Ivy	0.25	0.21	73.68	75.41	0.12	0.11
La Salle	A10	0.25	0.24	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.02
Colgate	Pat	0.25	0.28	27.27	31.08	-0.11	-0.10
Howard	MEAC	0.25	0.15	25.00	26.64	-0.12	-0.07
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.24	0.21	52.17	53.84	0.01	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.24	0.23	36.36	38.12	-0.06	-0.06
Bucknell	Pat	0.23	0.21	37.50	39.23	-0.06	-0.04
Fairfield	MAAC	0.23	0.23	69.57	64.51	0.09	0.07
Manhattan	MAAC	0.22	0.20	33.33	35.33	-0.07	-0.06
Brown	Ivy	0.21	0.18	23.81	27.31	-0.11	-0.08
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.20	0.21	23.81	27.28	-0.11	-0.09
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.20	0.21	27.27	29.40	-0.09	-0.09
Hofstra	CAA	0.20	0.18	45.83	47.77	-0.02	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.20	0.12	41.67	42.69	-0.03	-0.02
Fordham	A10	0.19	0.24	9.52	8.87	-0.16	-0.20
George Mason	CAA	0.19	0.12	62.50	57.74	0.05	0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.19	0.18	26.09	31.05	-0.09	-0.07
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.19	0.15	30.43	32.32	-0.08	-0.05
Dayton	A10	0.19	0.12	72.73	71.91	0.09	0.05
Lehigh	Pat	0.19	0.15	65.22	65.74	0.06	0.05
Northeastern	CAA	0.19	0.12	66.67	68.11	0.06	0.04
Buffalo	MAC	0.18	0.12	55.00	52.00	0.02	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.18	0.12	40.91	34.84	-0.03	-0.04
Siena	MAAC	0.18	0.17	83.33	81.25	0.12	0.11
Temple	A10	0.16	0.12	79.17	77.57	0.09	0.07
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.16	0.18	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.16	0.09	31.82	42.24	-0.06	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.15	0.15	60.87	59.16	0.03	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.15	0.12	39.13	36.57	-0.03	-0.03
Columbia	Ivy	0.15	0.21	40.00	39.13	-0.03	-0.05
Savannah St.	ind	0.14	0.09	30.00	31.19	-0.06	-0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.14	0.11	56.52	51.96	0.02	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.14	0.11	66.67	57.29	0.05	0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.14	0.12	60.87	56.49	0.03	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.14	0.08	63.64	64.66	0.04	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.14	0.18	58.33	58.93	0.02	0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.14	0.12	22.22	27.56	-0.08	-0.05
Providence	BE	0.14	0.09	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.13	0.14	66.67	64.02	0.04	0.04
Cornell	Ivy	0.13	0.15	85.71	85.57	0.10	0.10
Niagara	MAAC	0.13	0.12	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.13	0.08	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.11	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Michigan	B10	0.11	0.09	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.11	0.12	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.11	0.12	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.11	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.08	0.04
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.11	0.12	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.05
Army	Pat	0.10	0.12	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.12	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.05
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.12	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.10	0.15	70.59	70.98	0.04	0.06
Rhode Island	A10	0.10	0.09	86.36	81.50	0.07	0.06
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.06	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.09	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.10	0.12	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.10	0.06	33.33	30.82	-0.03	-0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.10	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.09	-0.05
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.12	72.00	73.54	0.04	0.06
Seton Hall	BE	0.10	0.09	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.10	0.09	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.09	0.06	0.00	4.18	-0.09	-0.05
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.09	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.03	-0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.09	0.06	20.00	23.58	-0.06	-0.03
Illinois	B10	0.09	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.09	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.04
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.09	0.12	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.09	0.12	30.43	30.27	-0.04	-0.05
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.09	68.18	66.65	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.03
Baylor	B12	0.09	0.09	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.04
Long Island	NEC	0.09	0.09	39.13	41.53	-0.02	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.12	95.83	91.37	0.08	0.10
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.08	0.07
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.09	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.09	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.04
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.09	0.09	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.14	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.09	19.05	22.94	-0.05	-0.05
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.06	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Colorado	B12	0.06	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.06	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.04	0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.06	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.06	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.05	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.09	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.03	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.06	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.06	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.03
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.09	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.05
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.03	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.09	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.05
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.06	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.02	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.09	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.05
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	86.96	85.47	0.03	0.04
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.06	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.09	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.04
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.03	0.04
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.04	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.04	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.04	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.04	-0.05
Central Florida	CUSA	0.04	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.04	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.04	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.00	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.00	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.00	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.00	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.00	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
MD Baltimore County	AE	26.28	26.34	11.97	13.64	-19.99	-19.15
Albany	AE	3.02	4.41	20.00	22.16	-1.81	-2.45
Vermont	AE	4.91	4.35	65.22	64.93	1.49	1.30
New Hampshire	AE	2.77	4.33	31.58	33.80	-1.02	-1.40
Boston University	AE	4.92	4.31	50.00	54.57	0.00	0.39
Binghamton	AE	2.73	4.31	36.36	34.68	-0.74	-1.32
Hartford	AE	2.70	4.28	27.27	28.13	-1.23	-1.87
Maine	AE	2.73	4.28	66.67	63.73	0.91	1.17
Stony Brook	AE	2.73	4.28	66.67	66.98	0.91	1.45
Loyola MD	MAAC	2.45	1.96	47.83	49.83	-0.11	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	2.37	1.91	69.57	72.98	0.93	0.88
Central Connecticut	NEC	2.27	1.84	36.36	39.09	-0.62	-0.40
Rider	MAAC	2.31	1.84	50.00	47.65	0.00	-0.09
George Washington	A10	2.31	1.81	52.38	53.46	0.11	0.13
Penn St.	B10	2.33	1.81	31.82	29.89	-0.85	-0.73
Towson	CAA	2.32	1.81	19.05	20.63	-1.43	-1.06
American	Pat	2.26	1.81	31.82	33.54	-0.82	-0.60
Pennsylvania	Ivy	2.26	1.81	11.76	16.98	-1.73	-1.19
Coppin St.	MEAC	2.26	1.81	5.88	17.77	-2.00	-1.16
Toledo	MAC	2.26	1.78	4.55	6.99	-2.06	-1.53
James Madison	CAA	2.22	1.75	40.91	37.91	-0.40	-0.42
Virginia Tech	ACC	2.22	1.75	80.95	71.63	1.38	0.76
Marist	MAAC	0.50	0.41	4.17	4.73	-0.46	-0.37
Colgate	Pat	0.25	0.28	27.27	31.08	-0.11	-0.10
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.29	0.27	15.79	17.64	-0.20	-0.17
Delaware	CAA	0.29	0.26	26.09	26.91	-0.14	-0.12
Fordham	A10	0.19	0.24	9.52	8.87	-0.16	-0.20
La Salle	A10	0.25	0.24	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.28	0.24	69.57	71.78	0.11	0.10
Drexel	CAA	0.34	0.23	56.00	55.91	0.04	0.03
Yale	Ivy	0.24	0.23	36.36	38.12	-0.06	-0.06
Fairfield	MAAC	0.23	0.23	69.57	64.51	0.09	0.07
Iona	MAAC	0.26	0.23	72.00	70.73	0.12	0.10
Harvard	Ivy	0.25	0.21	73.68	75.41	0.12	0.11
Columbia	Ivy	0.15	0.21	40.00	39.13	-0.03	-0.05
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.20	0.21	27.27	29.40	-0.09	-0.09
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.24	0.21	52.17	53.84	0.01	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.20	0.21	23.81	27.28	-0.11	-0.09
Bucknell	Pat	0.23	0.21	37.50	39.23	-0.06	-0.04
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.27	0.20	39.13	47.65	-0.06	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.22	0.20	33.33	35.33	-0.07	-0.06
Navy	Pat	0.27	0.18	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.20	0.18	45.83	47.77	-0.02	-0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.21	0.18	23.81	27.31	-0.11	-0.08
Holy Cross	Pat	0.19	0.18	26.09	31.05	-0.09	-0.07
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.16	0.18	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.14	0.18	58.33	58.93	0.02	0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.18	0.17	83.33	81.25	0.12	0.11
Princeton	Ivy	0.10	0.15	70.59	70.98	0.04	0.06
Lafayette	Pat	0.15	0.15	60.87	59.16	0.03	0.03
Lehigh	Pat	0.19	0.15	65.22	65.74	0.06	0.05
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.19	0.15	30.43	32.32	-0.08	-0.05
Howard	MEAC	0.25	0.15	25.00	26.64	-0.12	-0.07
Cornell	Ivy	0.13	0.15	85.71	85.57	0.10	0.10
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.14	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.13	0.14	66.67	64.02	0.04	0.04
Army	Pat	0.10	0.12	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.12	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.05
Connecticut	BE	0.14	0.12	60.87	56.49	0.03	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.19	0.12	72.73	71.91	0.09	0.05
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.15	0.12	39.13	36.57	-0.03	-0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.12	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.10	0.12	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.12	72.00	73.54	0.04	0.06
Northeastern	CAA	0.19	0.12	66.67	68.11	0.06	0.04
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.09	0.12	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.09	0.12	30.43	30.27	-0.04	-0.05
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.11	0.12	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.11	0.12	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.11	0.12	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.05
Monmouth	NEC	0.20	0.12	41.67	42.69	-0.03	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.19	0.12	62.50	57.74	0.05	0.02
Temple	A10	0.16	0.12	79.17	77.57	0.09	0.07
Indiana	B10	0.18	0.12	40.91	34.84	-0.03	-0.04
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.14	0.12	22.22	27.56	-0.08	-0.05
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.12	95.83	91.37	0.08	0.10
Buffalo	MAC	0.18	0.12	55.00	52.00	0.02	0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.13	0.12	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.14	0.11	66.67	57.29	0.05	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.14	0.11	56.52	51.96	0.02	0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.09	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.10	0.09	86.36	81.50	0.07	0.06
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.09	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.05
Michigan	B10	0.11	0.09	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.16	0.09	31.82	42.24	-0.06	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.09	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.14	0.09	30.00	31.19	-0.06	-0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.10	0.09	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.09	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.05
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.09	68.18	66.65	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.09	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.10	0.09	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.08	0.07
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.09	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.09	19.05	22.94	-0.05	-0.05
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.09	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.09	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.09	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.04
Baylor	B12	0.09	0.09	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.04
Long Island	NEC	0.09	0.09	39.13	41.53	-0.02	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.09	0.09	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Providence	BE	0.14	0.09	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.14	0.08	63.64	64.66	0.04	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.13	0.08	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.11	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.08	0.04
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.06	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.11	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.06	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.04	0.04
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.06	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Bryant	ind	0.09	0.06	0.00	4.18	-0.09	-0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.03	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.09	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.04
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.06	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.03	0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.06	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.06	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.09	0.06	20.00	23.58	-0.06	-0.03
Illinois	B10	0.09	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.10	0.06	33.33	30.82	-0.03	-0.02
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.10	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.09	-0.05
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.00	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.06	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.04
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.04	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.04	-0.05
Central Florida	CUSA	0.04	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.04	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.04	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	86.96	85.47	0.03	0.04
Colorado	B12	0.06	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.06	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.06	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.05	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.00	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.00	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.03	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.00	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.02	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.03	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.00	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.00	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.04	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.04	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Vermont	AE	4.91	4.35	65.22	64.93	1.49	1.30
Virginia Tech	ACC	2.22	1.75	80.95	71.63	1.38	0.76
Morgan St.	MEAC	2.37	1.91	69.57	72.98	0.93	0.88
Stony Brook	AE	2.73	4.28	66.67	66.98	0.91	1.45
Maine	AE	2.73	4.28	66.67	63.73	0.91	1.17
Harvard	Ivy	0.25	0.21	73.68	75.41	0.12	0.11
Siena	MAAC	0.18	0.17	83.33	81.25	0.12	0.11
Iona	MAAC	0.26	0.23	72.00	70.73	0.12	0.10
George Washington	A10	2.31	1.81	52.38	53.46	0.11	0.13
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.28	0.24	69.57	71.78	0.11	0.10
Cornell	Ivy	0.13	0.15	85.71	85.57	0.10	0.10
Temple	A10	0.16	0.12	79.17	77.57	0.09	0.07
Fairfield	MAAC	0.23	0.23	69.57	64.51	0.09	0.07
Dayton	A10	0.19	0.12	72.73	71.91	0.09	0.05
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.12	95.83	91.37	0.08	0.10
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.08	0.07
West Virginia	BE	0.11	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.08	0.04
Rhode Island	A10	0.10	0.09	86.36	81.50	0.07	0.06
Northeastern	CAA	0.19	0.12	66.67	68.11	0.06	0.04
Kansas St.	B12	0.09	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.04
Lehigh	Pat	0.19	0.15	65.22	65.74	0.06	0.05
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.03
Villanova	BE	0.06	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.05	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.12	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.05
Baylor	B12	0.09	0.09	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.19	0.12	62.50	57.74	0.05	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.09	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.04
Virginia	ACC	0.14	0.11	66.67	57.29	0.05	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.13	0.14	66.67	64.02	0.04	0.04
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.12	72.00	73.54	0.04	0.06
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.09	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.34	0.23	56.00	55.91	0.04	0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.10	0.15	70.59	70.98	0.04	0.06
Duke	ACC	0.06	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.04	0.04
Minnesota	B10	0.14	0.08	63.64	64.66	0.04	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	86.96	85.47	0.03	0.04
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.03	0.04
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.09	68.18	66.65	0.03	0.03
Lafayette	Pat	0.15	0.15	60.87	59.16	0.03	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.09	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.14	0.12	60.87	56.49	0.03	0.02