The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated UC Irvine page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

UC Irvine

Conference:		BW
Expected RPI:		276.0
Current RPI:		276
Expected SOS:		301
Current SOS:		301
Current Record:		12-18
Expected Record:		12-18
Current Conf Record:		6-11
Expected Conf Record:		6-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-8
Current OOC Record:		6-7
Expected OOC Record:		6-7
Expected OOC RPI:		264
Expected OOC SOS:		330

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
12-18		276.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UC Irvine.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	Texas (29.0)	B12	A	42-89	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Loyola Marymount (174.0)	WCC	A	84-78	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Texas San Antonio (187.0)	Slnd	N	56-66	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Eastern Kentucky (154.0)	OVC	A	57-67	L	0%	0.0
11-25	Fairleigh Dickinson (270.0)	NEC	N	75-54	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Hawaii (253.0)	WAC	H	80-70	W	100%	0.0
12-15	Seattle (192.0)	ind	A	81-82	L	0%	0.0
12-18	San Jose St. (177.0)	WAC	H	56-69	L	0%	0.0
12-21	Pepperdine (303.0)	WCC	H	74-61	W	100%	0.0
12-28	San Jose St. (177.0)	WAC	A	68-78	L	0%	0.0
1-2	UC Santa Barbara (94.0)	BW	H	57-55	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Cal Poly (256.0)	BW	H	81-95	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Cal St. Northridge (251.0)	BW	A	65-62	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Long Beach St. (112.0)	BW	A	53-55	L	0%	0.0
1-14	UC Davis (244.0)	BW	A	77-79	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Pacific (128.0)	BW	A	51-64	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Long Beach St. (112.0)	BW	H	71-60	W	100%	0.0
1-23	UC Riverside (255.0)	BW	H	56-65	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Pacific (128.0)	BW	H	50-61	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Cal St. Fullerton (204.0)	BW	A	68-74	L	0%	0.0
2-3	Cal St. Bakersfield (317.0)	ind	A	55-68	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Cal St. Bakersfield (317.0)	ind	H	76-63	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Cal St. Fullerton (204.0)	BW	H	61-72	L	0%	0.0
2-13	UC Davis (244.0)	BW	H	69-67	W	100%	0.0
2-17	UC Riverside (255.0)	BW	A	57-74	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Marist (334.0)	MAAC	H	66-65	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Cal St. Northridge (251.0)	BW	H	79-74	W	100%	0.0
3-3	UC Santa Barbara (94.0)	BW	A	74-77	L	0%	0.0
3-6	Cal Poly (256.0)	BW	A	91-84	W	100%	0.0
3-10	Cal Poly (256.0)	BW	N	69-73	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

UC Irvine's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

UC Irvine's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against UC Irvine.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UC Irvine	BW	26.50	26.50	39.06	39.06	-5.80	-5.80
Cal Poly	BW	6.04	6.04	35.71	35.71	-1.73	-1.73
Long Beach St.	BW	4.45	4.45	48.28	48.28	-0.15	-0.15
Cal St. Northridge	BW	4.40	4.40	36.67	36.67	-1.17	-1.17
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	4.39	4.39	44.44	44.44	-0.49	-0.49
Pacific	BW	4.37	4.37	62.07	62.07	1.05	1.05
UC Davis	BW	4.34	4.34	39.29	39.29	-0.93	-0.93
UC Santa Barbara	BW	4.30	4.30	69.23	69.23	1.65	1.65
UC Riverside	BW	4.27	4.27	32.00	32.00	-1.54	-1.54
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	3.96	3.96	22.22	22.22	-2.20	-2.20
San Jose St.	WAC	3.59	3.59	39.29	39.29	-0.77	-0.77
Seattle	ind	2.10	2.10	53.33	53.33	0.14	0.14
Loyola Marymount	WCC	2.01	2.01	54.84	54.84	0.19	0.19
Pepperdine	WCC	1.93	1.93	21.43	21.43	-1.10	-1.10
Hawaii	WAC	1.86	1.86	32.14	32.14	-0.66	-0.66
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	1.73	1.73	35.48	35.48	-0.50	-0.50
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	1.72	1.72	58.62	58.62	0.30	0.30
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	1.72	1.72	57.69	57.69	0.26	0.26
Texas	B12	1.72	1.72	71.88	71.88	0.75	0.75
Marist	MAAC	1.67	1.67	3.45	3.45	-1.55	-1.55
Fresno St.	WAC	0.45	0.45	43.75	43.75	-0.06	-0.06
Santa Clara	WCC	0.39	0.39	30.00	30.00	-0.16	-0.16
San Francisco	WCC	0.39	0.39	35.71	35.71	-0.11	-0.11
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.36	0.36	65.62	65.62	0.11	0.11
Utah St.	WAC	0.34	0.34	78.79	78.79	0.19	0.19
St. Mary's	WCC	0.33	0.33	83.33	83.33	0.22	0.22
Idaho	WAC	0.33	0.33	44.83	44.83	-0.03	-0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.31	0.31	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.25	0.25	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.25	0.25	25.00	25.00	-0.13	-0.13
San Diego St.	MWC	0.23	0.23	74.19	74.19	0.11	0.11
San Diego	WCC	0.23	0.23	32.26	32.26	-0.08	-0.08
Utah Valley	GWC	0.22	0.22	30.77	30.77	-0.09	-0.09
Nevada	WAC	0.22	0.22	61.29	61.29	0.05	0.05
UCLA	P10	0.20	0.20	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.19	0.19	80.65	80.65	0.12	0.12
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.17	0.17	69.70	69.70	0.07	0.07
Portland St.	BSky	0.16	0.16	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.16	0.16	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Weber St.	BSky	0.14	0.14	64.29	64.29	0.04	0.04
Texas St.	Slnd	0.14	0.14	40.74	40.74	-0.03	-0.03
Portland	WCC	0.14	0.14	65.52	65.52	0.04	0.04
Stanford	P10	0.14	0.14	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.13	0.13	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.12	0.12	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Montana	BSky	0.11	0.11	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
California	P10	0.11	0.11	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Morehead St.	OVC	0.11	0.11	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Southern California	P10	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.09	0.09	35.71	35.71	-0.03	-0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.09	0.09	87.88	87.88	0.07	0.07
Southern Utah	Sum	0.09	0.09	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.06
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.09	0.09	23.08	23.08	-0.05	-0.05
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.09	0.09	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.09	0.09	18.18	18.18	-0.06	-0.06
Utah	MWC	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.08	0.08	76.67	76.67	0.04	0.04
Longwood	ind	0.08	0.08	29.63	29.63	-0.03	-0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.08	0.08	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.08	0.08	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.08	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Denver	SB	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	28.00	28.00	-0.03	-0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Furman	SC	0.06	0.06	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.04	-0.04
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.06	0.06	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.06	0.06	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Oregon	P10	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.06	0.06	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.06	0.06	81.82	81.82	0.04	0.04
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.06	0.06	7.41	7.41	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	28.12	28.12	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.06	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	55.56	55.56	0.00	0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.03	0.03	84.85	84.85	0.02	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.03	0.03	19.35	19.35	-0.02	-0.02
Hartford	AE	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.82	58.82	0.00	0.00
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Vermont	AE	0.03	0.03	73.53	73.53	0.01	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Army	Pat	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.03	0.03	16.13	16.13	-0.02	-0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.03	0.03	19.23	19.23	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UC Irvine	BW	26.50	26.50	39.06	39.06	-5.80	-5.80
Cal Poly	BW	6.04	6.04	35.71	35.71	-1.73	-1.73
Long Beach St.	BW	4.45	4.45	48.28	48.28	-0.15	-0.15
Cal St. Northridge	BW	4.40	4.40	36.67	36.67	-1.17	-1.17
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	4.39	4.39	44.44	44.44	-0.49	-0.49
Pacific	BW	4.37	4.37	62.07	62.07	1.05	1.05
UC Davis	BW	4.34	4.34	39.29	39.29	-0.93	-0.93
UC Santa Barbara	BW	4.30	4.30	69.23	69.23	1.65	1.65
UC Riverside	BW	4.27	4.27	32.00	32.00	-1.54	-1.54
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	3.96	3.96	22.22	22.22	-2.20	-2.20
San Jose St.	WAC	3.59	3.59	39.29	39.29	-0.77	-0.77
Seattle	ind	2.10	2.10	53.33	53.33	0.14	0.14
Loyola Marymount	WCC	2.01	2.01	54.84	54.84	0.19	0.19
Pepperdine	WCC	1.93	1.93	21.43	21.43	-1.10	-1.10
Hawaii	WAC	1.86	1.86	32.14	32.14	-0.66	-0.66
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	1.73	1.73	35.48	35.48	-0.50	-0.50
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	1.72	1.72	58.62	58.62	0.30	0.30
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	1.72	1.72	57.69	57.69	0.26	0.26
Texas	B12	1.72	1.72	71.88	71.88	0.75	0.75
Marist	MAAC	1.67	1.67	3.45	3.45	-1.55	-1.55
Fresno St.	WAC	0.45	0.45	43.75	43.75	-0.06	-0.06
Santa Clara	WCC	0.39	0.39	30.00	30.00	-0.16	-0.16
San Francisco	WCC	0.39	0.39	35.71	35.71	-0.11	-0.11
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.36	0.36	65.62	65.62	0.11	0.11
Utah St.	WAC	0.34	0.34	78.79	78.79	0.19	0.19
St. Mary's	WCC	0.33	0.33	83.33	83.33	0.22	0.22
Idaho	WAC	0.33	0.33	44.83	44.83	-0.03	-0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.31	0.31	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.25	0.25	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.25	0.25	25.00	25.00	-0.13	-0.13
San Diego St.	MWC	0.23	0.23	74.19	74.19	0.11	0.11
San Diego	WCC	0.23	0.23	32.26	32.26	-0.08	-0.08
Utah Valley	GWC	0.22	0.22	30.77	30.77	-0.09	-0.09
Nevada	WAC	0.22	0.22	61.29	61.29	0.05	0.05
UCLA	P10	0.20	0.20	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.19	0.19	80.65	80.65	0.12	0.12
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.17	0.17	69.70	69.70	0.07	0.07
Portland St.	BSky	0.16	0.16	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.16	0.16	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Weber St.	BSky	0.14	0.14	64.29	64.29	0.04	0.04
Texas St.	Slnd	0.14	0.14	40.74	40.74	-0.03	-0.03
Portland	WCC	0.14	0.14	65.52	65.52	0.04	0.04
Stanford	P10	0.14	0.14	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.13	0.13	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.12	0.12	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Montana	BSky	0.11	0.11	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
California	P10	0.11	0.11	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Morehead St.	OVC	0.11	0.11	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Southern California	P10	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.09	0.09	35.71	35.71	-0.03	-0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.09	0.09	87.88	87.88	0.07	0.07
Southern Utah	Sum	0.09	0.09	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.06
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.09	0.09	23.08	23.08	-0.05	-0.05
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.09	0.09	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.09	0.09	18.18	18.18	-0.06	-0.06
Utah	MWC	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.08	0.08	76.67	76.67	0.04	0.04
Longwood	ind	0.08	0.08	29.63	29.63	-0.03	-0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.08	0.08	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.08	0.08	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.08	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Denver	SB	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	28.00	28.00	-0.03	-0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Furman	SC	0.06	0.06	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.04	-0.04
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.06	0.06	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.06	0.06	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Oregon	P10	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.06	0.06	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.06	0.06	81.82	81.82	0.04	0.04
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.06	0.06	7.41	7.41	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	28.12	28.12	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.06	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	55.56	55.56	0.00	0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.03	0.03	84.85	84.85	0.02	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.03	0.03	19.35	19.35	-0.02	-0.02
Hartford	AE	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.82	58.82	0.00	0.00
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Vermont	AE	0.03	0.03	73.53	73.53	0.01	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Army	Pat	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.03	0.03	16.13	16.13	-0.02	-0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.03	0.03	19.23	19.23	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UC Santa Barbara	BW	4.30	4.30	69.23	69.23	1.65	1.65
Pacific	BW	4.37	4.37	62.07	62.07	1.05	1.05
Texas	B12	1.72	1.72	71.88	71.88	0.75	0.75
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	1.72	1.72	58.62	58.62	0.30	0.30
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	1.72	1.72	57.69	57.69	0.26	0.26
St. Mary's	WCC	0.33	0.33	83.33	83.33	0.22	0.22
Loyola Marymount	WCC	2.01	2.01	54.84	54.84	0.19	0.19
Utah St.	WAC	0.34	0.34	78.79	78.79	0.19	0.19
Seattle	ind	2.10	2.10	53.33	53.33	0.14	0.14
Gonzaga	WCC	0.19	0.19	80.65	80.65	0.12	0.12
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.36	0.36	65.62	65.62	0.11	0.11
San Diego St.	MWC	0.23	0.23	74.19	74.19	0.11	0.11
New Mexico	MWC	0.09	0.09	87.88	87.88	0.07	0.07
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.17	0.17	69.70	69.70	0.07	0.07
Washington	P10	0.13	0.13	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.16	0.16	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Nevada	WAC	0.22	0.22	61.29	61.29	0.05	0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.08	0.08	76.67	76.67	0.04	0.04
California	P10	0.11	0.11	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Montana	BSky	0.11	0.11	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Portland	WCC	0.14	0.14	65.52	65.52	0.04	0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Baylor	B12	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Weber St.	BSky	0.14	0.14	64.29	64.29	0.04	0.04
Morehead St.	OVC	0.11	0.11	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
Siena	MAAC	0.06	0.06	81.82	81.82	0.04	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.09	0.09	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.08	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Brigham Young	MWC	0.03	0.03	84.85	84.85	0.02	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Denver	SB	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Vermont	AE	0.03	0.03	73.53	73.53	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.06	0.06	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01