The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Air Force page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Air Force

Conference:		MWC
Expected RPI:		246.0
Current RPI:		246
Expected SOS:		104
Current SOS:		104
Current Record:		8-21
Expected Record:		8-21
Current Conf Record:		2-16
Expected Conf Record:		2-16
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-1
Current OOC Record:		6-5
Expected OOC Record:		6-5
Expected OOC RPI:		209
Expected OOC SOS:		244

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
8-21		246.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Air Force.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-21	Northern Colorado (117.0)	BSky	H	46-70	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Charleston Southern (285.0)	BSth	H	68-58	W	100%	0.0
12-2	North Carolina Central (347.0)	ind	H	61-49	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Missouri St. (90.0)	MVC	A	48-58	L	0%	0.0
12-8	Prairie View A&M (272.0)	SWAC	H	75-41	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Washington St. (163.0)	P10	N	68-75	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Northern Arizona (197.0)	BSky	H	52-60	L	0%	0.0
12-22	UC Davis (244.0)	BW	H	69-57	W	100%	0.0
12-28	Niagara (130.0)	MAAC	N	77-71	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Texas El Paso (38.0)	CUSA	A	47-58	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Texas Pan American (336.0)	GWC	H	72-65	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Texas Christian (188.0)	MWC	A	50-59	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Colorado St. (120.0)	MWC	A	48-70	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Brigham Young (23.0)	MWC	H	49-67	L	0%	0.0
1-20	New Mexico (10.0)	MWC	H	50-73	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Utah (157.0)	MWC	A	54-71	L	0%	0.0
1-26	Nevada Las Vegas (48.0)	MWC	A	50-60	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Wyoming (228.0)	MWC	H	70-63	W	100%	0.0
2-2	San Diego St. (18.0)	MWC	A	48-70	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Texas Christian (188.0)	MWC	H	51-65	L	0%	0.0
2-9	Colorado St. (120.0)	MWC	H	47-51	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Brigham Young (23.0)	MWC	A	48-91	L	0%	0.0
2-20	New Mexico (10.0)	MWC	A	56-59	L	0%	0.0
2-24	Utah (157.0)	MWC	H	43-54	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Nevada Las Vegas (48.0)	MWC	H	47-77	L	0%	0.0
3-2	Wyoming (228.0)	MWC	A	49-58	L	0%	0.0
3-6	San Diego St. (18.0)	MWC	H	42-61	L	0%	0.0
3-10	Wyoming (228.0)	MWC	N	59-40	W	100%	0.0
3-11	New Mexico (10.0)	MWC	N	69-75	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Air Force's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Air Force's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Air Force.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Air Force	MWC	26.49	26.49	21.37	21.37	-15.17	-15.17
New Mexico	MWC	6.10	6.10	86.67	86.67	4.48	4.48
Wyoming	MWC	6.02	6.02	26.92	26.92	-2.78	-2.78
San Diego St.	MWC	4.56	4.56	72.41	72.41	2.04	2.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	4.50	4.50	73.33	73.33	2.10	2.10
Brigham Young	MWC	4.48	4.48	83.87	83.87	3.04	3.04
Colorado St.	MWC	4.48	4.48	46.43	46.43	-0.32	-0.32
Texas Christian	MWC	4.44	4.44	32.14	32.14	-1.59	-1.59
Utah	MWC	4.39	4.39	41.38	41.38	-0.76	-0.76
Northern Arizona	BSky	2.00	2.00	44.00	44.00	-0.24	-0.24
Northern Colorado	BSky	1.99	1.99	75.86	75.86	1.03	1.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	1.81	1.81	18.75	18.75	-1.13	-1.13
UC Davis	BW	1.78	1.78	41.38	41.38	-0.31	-0.31
Texas El Paso	CUSA	1.78	1.78	80.65	80.65	1.09	1.09
Charleston Southern	BSth	1.72	1.72	36.00	36.00	-0.48	-0.48
Missouri St.	MVC	1.72	1.72	61.29	61.29	0.39	0.39
Niagara	MAAC	1.72	1.72	56.25	56.25	0.22	0.22
North Carolina Central	ind	1.72	1.72	12.50	12.50	-1.29	-1.29
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	1.72	1.72	48.00	48.00	-0.07	-0.07
Washington St.	P10	1.72	1.72	48.28	48.28	-0.06	-0.06
Weber St.	BSky	0.29	0.29	64.29	64.29	0.08	0.08
Arizona	P10	0.25	0.25	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.24	0.24	65.62	65.62	0.08	0.08
Montana	BSky	0.24	0.24	68.97	68.97	0.09	0.09
Idaho St.	BSky	0.23	0.23	18.52	18.52	-0.15	-0.15
Fresno St.	WAC	0.23	0.23	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
UC Riverside	BW	0.22	0.22	37.04	37.04	-0.06	-0.06
Arizona St.	P10	0.22	0.22	68.75	68.75	0.08	0.08
Hawaii	WAC	0.21	0.21	31.03	31.03	-0.08	-0.08
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.20	0.20	25.00	25.00	-0.10	-0.10
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.20	0.20	41.38	41.38	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.19	0.19	69.70	69.70	0.07	0.07
Denver	SB	0.18	0.18	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Southern	SWAC	0.17	0.17	17.24	17.24	-0.11	-0.11
Oregon	P10	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.17	0.17	66.67	66.67	0.06	0.06
Texas Tech	B12	0.16	0.16	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.16	0.16	32.26	32.26	-0.06	-0.06
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.16	0.16	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.15	0.15	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.15	0.15	25.00	25.00	-0.08	-0.08
Pepperdine	WCC	0.14	0.14	20.69	20.69	-0.08	-0.08
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.14	0.14	87.50	87.50	0.11	0.11
Santa Clara	WCC	0.14	0.14	30.00	30.00	-0.06	-0.06
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.14	0.14	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.14	0.14	67.86	67.86	0.05	0.05
Houston	CUSA	0.14	0.14	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.14	0.14	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
California	P10	0.14	0.14	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Nebraska	B12	0.14	0.14	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.14	0.14	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
High Point	BSth	0.14	0.14	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.13	0.13	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.13	0.13	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.12	0.12	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.12	0.12	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.11	0.11	34.38	34.38	-0.04	-0.04
UCLA	P10	0.11	0.11	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.11	0.11	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Seattle	ind	0.11	0.11	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.11	0.11	70.97	70.97	0.05	0.05
Indiana St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.11	0.11	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.11	0.11	35.71	35.71	-0.03	-0.03
Drake	MVC	0.11	0.11	42.42	42.42	-0.02	-0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.11	0.11	59.26	59.26	0.02	0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.11	0.11	78.79	78.79	0.06	0.06
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.11	0.11	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.11	0.11	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.11	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.10	0.10	80.00	80.00	0.06	0.06
Radford	BSth	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.09	0.09	6.45	6.45	-0.08	-0.08
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.09	0.09	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.09	0.09	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.09	0.09	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.09	0.09	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.09	0.09	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.09	0.09	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.09	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.09	0.09	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.09	0.09	32.00	32.00	-0.03	-0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.08	0.08	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
Idaho	WAC	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.08	0.08	78.12	78.12	0.05	0.05
Southern Utah	Sum	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
North Dakota	GWC	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Evansville	MVC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.08	0.08	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Longwood	ind	0.07	0.07	29.63	29.63	-0.03	-0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.07	0.07	31.82	31.82	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.07	0.07	31.25	31.25	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.07	0.07	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.07	0.07	19.23	19.23	-0.04	-0.04
Grambling	SWAC	0.07	0.07	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.07	0.07	13.33	13.33	-0.05	-0.05
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.07	0.07	24.00	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.07	0.07	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.06	0.06	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.06	0.06	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Yale	Ivy	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.06	0.06	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.06	83.33	83.33	0.04	0.04
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.05	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.05	16.13	16.13	-0.04	-0.04
Florida International	SB	0.03	0.03	19.35	19.35	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.03	0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	55.88	55.88	0.00	0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.65	0.02	0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.02	-0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Air Force	MWC	26.49	26.49	21.37	21.37	-15.17	-15.17
New Mexico	MWC	6.10	6.10	86.67	86.67	4.48	4.48
Wyoming	MWC	6.02	6.02	26.92	26.92	-2.78	-2.78
San Diego St.	MWC	4.56	4.56	72.41	72.41	2.04	2.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	4.50	4.50	73.33	73.33	2.10	2.10
Brigham Young	MWC	4.48	4.48	83.87	83.87	3.04	3.04
Colorado St.	MWC	4.48	4.48	46.43	46.43	-0.32	-0.32
Texas Christian	MWC	4.44	4.44	32.14	32.14	-1.59	-1.59
Utah	MWC	4.39	4.39	41.38	41.38	-0.76	-0.76
Northern Arizona	BSky	2.00	2.00	44.00	44.00	-0.24	-0.24
Northern Colorado	BSky	1.99	1.99	75.86	75.86	1.03	1.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	1.81	1.81	18.75	18.75	-1.13	-1.13
UC Davis	BW	1.78	1.78	41.38	41.38	-0.31	-0.31
Texas El Paso	CUSA	1.78	1.78	80.65	80.65	1.09	1.09
Charleston Southern	BSth	1.72	1.72	36.00	36.00	-0.48	-0.48
Missouri St.	MVC	1.72	1.72	61.29	61.29	0.39	0.39
Niagara	MAAC	1.72	1.72	56.25	56.25	0.22	0.22
North Carolina Central	ind	1.72	1.72	12.50	12.50	-1.29	-1.29
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	1.72	1.72	48.00	48.00	-0.07	-0.07
Washington St.	P10	1.72	1.72	48.28	48.28	-0.06	-0.06
Weber St.	BSky	0.29	0.29	64.29	64.29	0.08	0.08
Arizona	P10	0.25	0.25	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.24	0.24	65.62	65.62	0.08	0.08
Montana	BSky	0.24	0.24	68.97	68.97	0.09	0.09
Idaho St.	BSky	0.23	0.23	18.52	18.52	-0.15	-0.15
Fresno St.	WAC	0.23	0.23	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
UC Riverside	BW	0.22	0.22	37.04	37.04	-0.06	-0.06
Arizona St.	P10	0.22	0.22	68.75	68.75	0.08	0.08
Hawaii	WAC	0.21	0.21	31.03	31.03	-0.08	-0.08
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.20	0.20	25.00	25.00	-0.10	-0.10
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.20	0.20	41.38	41.38	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.19	0.19	69.70	69.70	0.07	0.07
Denver	SB	0.18	0.18	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Southern	SWAC	0.17	0.17	17.24	17.24	-0.11	-0.11
Oregon	P10	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.17	0.17	66.67	66.67	0.06	0.06
Texas Tech	B12	0.16	0.16	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.16	0.16	32.26	32.26	-0.06	-0.06
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.16	0.16	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.15	0.15	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.15	0.15	25.00	25.00	-0.08	-0.08
Pepperdine	WCC	0.14	0.14	20.69	20.69	-0.08	-0.08
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.14	0.14	87.50	87.50	0.11	0.11
Santa Clara	WCC	0.14	0.14	30.00	30.00	-0.06	-0.06
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.14	0.14	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.14	0.14	67.86	67.86	0.05	0.05
Houston	CUSA	0.14	0.14	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.14	0.14	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
California	P10	0.14	0.14	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Nebraska	B12	0.14	0.14	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.14	0.14	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
High Point	BSth	0.14	0.14	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.13	0.13	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.13	0.13	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.12	0.12	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.12	0.12	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.11	0.11	34.38	34.38	-0.04	-0.04
UCLA	P10	0.11	0.11	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.11	0.11	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Seattle	ind	0.11	0.11	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.11	0.11	70.97	70.97	0.05	0.05
Indiana St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.11	0.11	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.11	0.11	35.71	35.71	-0.03	-0.03
Drake	MVC	0.11	0.11	42.42	42.42	-0.02	-0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.11	0.11	59.26	59.26	0.02	0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.11	0.11	78.79	78.79	0.06	0.06
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.11	0.11	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.11	0.11	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.11	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.10	0.10	80.00	80.00	0.06	0.06
Radford	BSth	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.09	0.09	6.45	6.45	-0.08	-0.08
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.09	0.09	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.09	0.09	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.09	0.09	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.09	0.09	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.09	0.09	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.09	0.09	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.09	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.09	0.09	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.09	0.09	32.00	32.00	-0.03	-0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.08	0.08	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
Idaho	WAC	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.08	0.08	78.12	78.12	0.05	0.05
Southern Utah	Sum	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
North Dakota	GWC	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Evansville	MVC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.08	0.08	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Longwood	ind	0.07	0.07	29.63	29.63	-0.03	-0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.07	0.07	31.82	31.82	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.07	0.07	31.25	31.25	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.07	0.07	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.07	0.07	19.23	19.23	-0.04	-0.04
Grambling	SWAC	0.07	0.07	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.07	0.07	13.33	13.33	-0.05	-0.05
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.07	0.07	24.00	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.07	0.07	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.06	0.06	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.06	0.06	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Yale	Ivy	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.06	0.06	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.06	83.33	83.33	0.04	0.04
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.05	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.05	16.13	16.13	-0.04	-0.04
Florida International	SB	0.03	0.03	19.35	19.35	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.03	0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	55.88	55.88	0.00	0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.65	0.02	0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.02	-0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
New Mexico	MWC	6.10	6.10	86.67	86.67	4.48	4.48
Brigham Young	MWC	4.48	4.48	83.87	83.87	3.04	3.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	4.50	4.50	73.33	73.33	2.10	2.10
San Diego St.	MWC	4.56	4.56	72.41	72.41	2.04	2.04
Texas El Paso	CUSA	1.78	1.78	80.65	80.65	1.09	1.09
Northern Colorado	BSky	1.99	1.99	75.86	75.86	1.03	1.03
Missouri St.	MVC	1.72	1.72	61.29	61.29	0.39	0.39
Niagara	MAAC	1.72	1.72	56.25	56.25	0.22	0.22
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.14	0.14	87.50	87.50	0.11	0.11
Montana	BSky	0.24	0.24	68.97	68.97	0.09	0.09
Arizona St.	P10	0.22	0.22	68.75	68.75	0.08	0.08
Weber St.	BSky	0.29	0.29	64.29	64.29	0.08	0.08
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.24	0.24	65.62	65.62	0.08	0.08
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.19	0.19	69.70	69.70	0.07	0.07
Wichita St.	MVC	0.14	0.14	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
Utah St.	WAC	0.11	0.11	78.79	78.79	0.06	0.06
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.10	0.10	80.00	80.00	0.06	0.06
South Dakota	GWC	0.17	0.17	66.67	66.67	0.06	0.06
California	P10	0.14	0.14	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Illinois St.	MVC	0.14	0.14	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.14	0.14	67.86	67.86	0.05	0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.11	0.11	70.97	70.97	0.05	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.08	0.08	78.12	78.12	0.05	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.09	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Akron	MAC	0.12	0.12	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
St. Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.06	83.33	83.33	0.04	0.04
Tulsa	CUSA	0.11	0.11	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Denver	SB	0.18	0.18	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Pacific	BW	0.11	0.11	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Nevada	WAC	0.13	0.13	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Fairfield	MAAC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Washington	P10	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.03	0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.11	0.11	59.26	59.26	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.65	0.02	0.02
Radford	BSth	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01