The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Stephen F. Austin page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Stephen F. Austin

Conference:		Slnd
Expected RPI:		169.0
Current RPI:		163
Expected SOS:		321
Current SOS:		316
Current Record:		13-6
Expected Record:		17-9
Current Conf Record:		6-3
Expected Conf Record:		10-6
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		16-3
Current OOC Record:		7-3
Expected OOC Record:		7-3
Expected OOC RPI:		141
Expected OOC SOS:		283

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
20-6	118.8	3.19%
19-7	138.1	16.01%
18-8	158.6	30.62%
17-9	178.0	29.49%
16-10	197.6	15.45%
15-11	217.1	4.59%
14-12	234.4	0.62%
13-13	249.0	0.02%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Stephen F. Austin.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-16	Minnesota (61.0)	B10	A	42-82	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Jackson St. (242.9)	SWAC	H	62-61	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Texas Tech (54.7)	B12	H	61-63	L	0%	0.0
12-1	Jackson St. (242.9)	SWAC	A	79-68	W	100%	0.0
12-4	Southern (342.9)	SWAC	H	79-52	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Cal St. Fullerton (212.4)	BW	H	62-61	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Longwood (277.1)	ind	A	73-69	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Arkansas (127.2)	SEC	A	69-72	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Howard (315.4)	MEAC	N	73-50	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Binghamton (237.5)	AE	N	64-43	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Sam Houston St. (79.3)	Slnd	A	57-66	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Central Arkansas (318.2)	Slnd	H	64-49	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Nicholls St. (293.0)	Slnd	A	63-70	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Texas Arlington (264.4)	Slnd	H	72-65	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Southeastern Louisiana (205.1)	Slnd	H	62-51	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Northwestern St. (317.0)	Slnd	A	66-56	W	100%	0.0
1-31	McNeese St. (285.5)	Slnd	A	70-55	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Nicholls St. (293.0)	Slnd	H	68-67	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Lamar (241.3)	Slnd	A	46-49	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Northwestern St. (317.0)	Slnd	H	0-0		88%	12.7
2-13	McNeese St. (285.5)	Slnd	H	0-0		83%	10.4
2-20	Southeastern Louisiana (205.1)	Slnd	A	0-0		34%	-4.4
2-24	Texas St. (257.7)	Slnd	A	0-0		56%	1.7
2-27	Texas A&M Corpus Chris (145.6)	Slnd	H	0-0		56%	1.5
3-3	Central Arkansas (318.2)	Slnd	A	0-0		67%	4.7
3-6	Texas San Antonio (183.6)	Slnd	H	0-0		60%	2.6

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Stephen F. Austin's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Stephen F. Austin's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Stephen F. Austin.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	26.51	26.37	72.84	69.64	12.11	10.36
Nicholls St.	Slnd	5.63	4.67	18.75	24.46	-3.52	-2.38
Jackson St.	SWAC	5.46	3.99	55.00	53.20	0.55	0.26
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	3.31	4.76	52.94	57.31	0.19	0.70
Northwestern St.	Slnd	3.27	4.70	25.00	27.85	-1.64	-2.08
Central Arkansas	Slnd	3.26	4.74	22.22	25.68	-1.81	-2.31
McNeese St.	Slnd	3.12	4.71	27.78	33.34	-1.39	-1.57
Lamar	Slnd	3.06	2.70	45.00	42.64	-0.31	-0.40
Southern	SWAC	3.01	2.21	19.05	21.08	-1.87	-1.28
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	2.91	2.66	68.75	71.88	1.09	1.17
Texas Arlington	Slnd	2.85	2.66	50.00	45.36	0.00	-0.25
Texas Tech	B12	2.84	2.14	66.67	57.91	0.95	0.34
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	2.70	2.00	47.37	50.51	-0.14	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	2.63	1.92	50.00	46.70	0.00	-0.13
Binghamton	AE	2.63	1.92	40.91	40.04	-0.48	-0.38
Howard	MEAC	2.63	1.92	25.00	27.35	-1.32	-0.87
Longwood	ind	2.63	1.92	28.57	32.63	-1.13	-0.67
Minnesota	B10	2.63	1.92	61.90	63.41	0.63	0.52
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.57	2.70	47.37	52.87	-0.03	0.15
Texas St.	Slnd	0.51	2.67	36.84	36.53	-0.13	-0.72
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.51	2.67	55.56	59.04	0.06	0.48
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.37	0.36	39.13	35.39	-0.08	-0.11
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.36	0.23	0.00	4.36	-0.36	-0.21
Grambling	SWAC	0.32	0.28	27.78	26.81	-0.14	-0.13
Baylor	B12	0.31	0.23	76.19	72.74	0.16	0.11
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.29	0.23	79.17	73.38	0.17	0.11
North Texas	SB	0.27	0.18	61.90	63.68	0.06	0.05
Oklahoma	B12	0.26	0.17	59.09	51.14	0.05	0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.25	0.31	45.00	54.22	-0.03	0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.24	0.23	31.58	39.01	-0.09	-0.05
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.24	0.23	21.74	24.91	-0.13	-0.12
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.23	0.15	22.73	24.06	-0.13	-0.08
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.22	0.15	38.10	41.29	-0.05	-0.03
Hawaii	WAC	0.21	0.18	36.36	33.80	-0.06	-0.06
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.21	0.14	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.21	0.11	87.50	83.52	0.15	0.07
Duquesne	A10	0.20	0.11	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.20	0.10	18.18	19.17	-0.13	-0.06
Michigan St.	B10	0.20	0.10	79.17	76.61	0.11	0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.20	0.17	72.73	66.84	0.09	0.06
Nebraska	B12	0.19	0.18	56.52	50.48	0.03	0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.19	0.11	22.73	21.40	-0.10	-0.06
Indiana	B10	0.19	0.17	40.91	34.85	-0.03	-0.05
Memphis	CUSA	0.19	0.14	69.57	70.01	0.07	0.06
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.19	0.14	69.57	68.49	0.07	0.05
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.18	0.20	33.33	39.81	-0.06	-0.04
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.18	0.20	36.36	47.14	-0.05	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.18	0.13	69.57	63.54	0.07	0.04
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.18	0.20	47.06	53.81	-0.01	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.18	0.13	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.18	0.14	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.17	0.09	72.00	73.85	0.07	0.04
Houston	CUSA	0.15	0.15	47.62	50.86	-0.01	0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.15	0.08	43.48	47.69	-0.02	-0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.15	0.08	63.64	58.77	0.04	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.14	0.15	30.00	31.80	-0.06	-0.05
Utah Valley	GWC	0.14	0.07	36.84	39.04	-0.04	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.13	0.10	45.45	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.13	0.07	95.65	88.68	0.12	0.05
Rider	MAAC	0.13	0.07	53.85	51.13	0.01	0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.13	0.11	31.82	30.34	-0.05	-0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.13	0.11	31.82	29.57	-0.05	-0.04
Long Beach St.	BW	0.13	0.07	42.86	45.64	-0.02	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.13	0.07	33.33	36.46	-0.04	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.13	0.11	95.83	93.08	0.12	0.09
Samford	SC	0.13	0.10	28.57	31.10	-0.06	-0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.13	0.11	45.45	44.05	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.13	0.17	73.91	72.54	0.06	0.08
Marshall	CUSA	0.12	0.07	66.67	65.51	0.04	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.12	0.06	75.00	73.71	0.06	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.12	0.06	34.78	32.21	-0.04	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.12	0.07	77.27	70.95	0.07	0.03
Wagner	NEC	0.12	0.07	16.00	21.66	-0.08	-0.04
Texas	B12	0.12	0.17	79.17	77.01	0.07	0.09
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.12	0.07	52.17	54.93	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.12	0.10	23.81	30.79	-0.06	-0.04
Albany	AE	0.11	0.07	23.08	25.74	-0.06	-0.03
Maine	AE	0.11	0.07	65.22	63.02	0.03	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.11	0.10	52.38	53.77	0.01	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.11	0.07	47.83	44.79	-0.00	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.11	0.06	50.00	52.71	0.00	0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.11	0.06	86.96	84.64	0.08	0.04
Centenary	Sum	0.08	0.08	27.27	27.20	-0.04	-0.04
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.08	0.04	45.45	46.88	-0.01	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.08	0.04	24.00	23.72	-0.04	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.08	0.04	15.79	27.70	-0.05	-0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.08	0.04	54.17	58.54	0.01	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.08	0.07	8.70	9.55	-0.06	-0.06
Western Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.04	54.55	56.59	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.08	0.04	62.50	65.37	0.02	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.07	0.08	45.45	47.50	-0.01	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.07	0.07	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.07	0.07	79.17	78.03	0.04	0.04
Oakland	Sum	0.07	0.07	66.67	69.42	0.02	0.03
Southern Utah	Sum	0.07	0.07	19.05	20.55	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.07	0.07	5.00	8.59	-0.06	-0.06
Cal Poly	BW	0.07	0.07	36.36	36.05	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.07	0.11	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.07	0.04	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.07	0.04	63.64	58.35	0.02	0.01
Pacific	BW	0.07	0.07	68.18	68.11	0.02	0.03
San Diego St.	MWC	0.07	0.04	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.07	0.07	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.07	0.11	36.36	40.06	-0.02	-0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.07	0.07	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.07	0.04	47.83	43.81	-0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.07	0.04	73.91	76.68	0.03	0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.07	0.04	61.90	65.05	0.02	0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.06	0.03	57.14	57.09	0.01	0.00
Denver	SB	0.06	0.03	60.87	59.59	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.22	12.00	18.83	-0.05	-0.13
Brigham Young	MWC	0.06	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.06	0.03	23.81	27.30	-0.03	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.06	0.03	84.00	84.05	0.04	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.06	0.04	57.14	58.73	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.06	0.04	47.83	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.03	19.05	20.74	-0.04	-0.02
Colgate	Pat	0.06	0.04	27.27	31.07	-0.03	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.06	0.04	40.00	39.17	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.07	32.00	31.25	-0.02	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.04	29.17	28.88	-0.02	-0.02
High Point	BSth	0.06	0.04	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.00
Iowa	B10	0.06	0.10	33.33	30.81	-0.02	-0.04
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.03	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Lehigh	Pat	0.06	0.04	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.06	0.04	71.43	67.91	0.03	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.06	0.03	68.18	62.71	0.02	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.03	73.91	70.59	0.03	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.06	0.07	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.04
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.04	22.22	27.54	-0.03	-0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.06	0.03	36.36	37.42	-0.02	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.06	69.57	67.92	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.06	0.04	72.00	73.57	0.03	0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.07	45.45	40.27	-0.01	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.06	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.03	12.50	15.32	-0.04	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.06	86.36	81.79	0.04	0.04
Richmond	A10	0.06	0.04	75.00	71.22	0.03	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.06	0.03	39.13	36.58	-0.01	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.07	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.06	0.07	59.09	54.44	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.03	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Stanford	P10	0.06	0.03	43.48	43.05	-0.01	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.06	0.07	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.03	77.27	75.68	0.03	0.02
Utah	MWC	0.06	0.07	45.45	44.33	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.04	66.67	57.28	0.02	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.04	81.82	72.56	0.04	0.02
Washington	P10	0.06	0.03	69.57	68.88	0.02	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	79.17	77.29	0.03	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.06	0.04	68.18	66.69	0.02	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.03	66.67	67.98	0.02	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.06	0.03	57.14	61.39	0.01	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.06	0.07	54.17	57.60	0.00	0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.06	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.03	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.06	0.03	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.03	73.91	67.69	0.03	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.06	0.03	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.00
Hartford	AE	0.06	0.07	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.06	0.03	47.83	46.40	-0.00	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.06	0.03	65.22	62.02	0.02	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.06	0.03	4.17	4.75	-0.05	-0.03
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.06	0.07	8.33	10.42	-0.05	-0.05
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	66.67	64.66	0.02	0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.06	0.07	35.00	38.20	-0.02	-0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.06	0.03	75.00	70.94	0.03	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.06	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.06	0.03	40.00	42.60	-0.01	-0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.06	0.07	68.18	68.74	0.02	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.03	82.61	78.53	0.04	0.02
Vermont	AE	0.06	0.07	68.00	67.16	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.03	68.18	66.42	0.02	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.38	-0.02	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.03	44.00	45.16	-0.01	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.50	-0.00	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	15.79	22.91	-0.04	-0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.35	0.02	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.04
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.03	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.03	37.50	38.43	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.10	34.78	43.27	-0.02	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	51.55	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.84	-0.02	-0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	22.73	25.50	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	55.56	56.61	0.01	0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.03	27.78	28.62	-0.02	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.00	0.04	66.67	67.74	0.00	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.00	0.03	42.86	40.57	-0.00	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.00	0.04	34.78	33.90	-0.00	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.00	0.04	65.22	64.72	0.00	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.00	0.04	73.91	69.55	0.00	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.00	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.00	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.00	0.04	41.67	38.60	-0.00	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.00	0.03	81.82	79.55	0.00	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.00	0.04	69.57	70.34	0.00	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.00	0.06	45.45	44.04	-0.00	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.00	0.04	41.67	42.67	-0.00	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.00	0.07	4.76	9.60	-0.00	-0.06
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.00	0.07	45.00	43.94	-0.00	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.00	0.03	81.82	75.63	0.00	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.00	0.03	76.19	73.21	0.00	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.03	78.26	78.94	0.00	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.00	0.04	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	26.51	26.37	72.84	69.64	12.11	10.36
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	3.31	4.76	52.94	57.31	0.19	0.70
Central Arkansas	Slnd	3.26	4.74	22.22	25.68	-1.81	-2.31
McNeese St.	Slnd	3.12	4.71	27.78	33.34	-1.39	-1.57
Northwestern St.	Slnd	3.27	4.70	25.00	27.85	-1.64	-2.08
Nicholls St.	Slnd	5.63	4.67	18.75	24.46	-3.52	-2.38
Jackson St.	SWAC	5.46	3.99	55.00	53.20	0.55	0.26
Lamar	Slnd	3.06	2.70	45.00	42.64	-0.31	-0.40
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.57	2.70	47.37	52.87	-0.03	0.15
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.51	2.67	55.56	59.04	0.06	0.48
Texas St.	Slnd	0.51	2.67	36.84	36.53	-0.13	-0.72
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	2.91	2.66	68.75	71.88	1.09	1.17
Texas Arlington	Slnd	2.85	2.66	50.00	45.36	0.00	-0.25
Southern	SWAC	3.01	2.21	19.05	21.08	-1.87	-1.28
Texas Tech	B12	2.84	2.14	66.67	57.91	0.95	0.34
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	2.70	2.00	47.37	50.51	-0.14	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	2.63	1.92	50.00	46.70	0.00	-0.13
Binghamton	AE	2.63	1.92	40.91	40.04	-0.48	-0.38
Howard	MEAC	2.63	1.92	25.00	27.35	-1.32	-0.87
Longwood	ind	2.63	1.92	28.57	32.63	-1.13	-0.67
Minnesota	B10	2.63	1.92	61.90	63.41	0.63	0.52
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.37	0.36	39.13	35.39	-0.08	-0.11
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.25	0.31	45.00	54.22	-0.03	0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.32	0.28	27.78	26.81	-0.14	-0.13
Baylor	B12	0.31	0.23	76.19	72.74	0.16	0.11
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.24	0.23	31.58	39.01	-0.09	-0.05
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.36	0.23	0.00	4.36	-0.36	-0.21
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.24	0.23	21.74	24.91	-0.13	-0.12
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.29	0.23	79.17	73.38	0.17	0.11
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.22	12.00	18.83	-0.05	-0.13
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.18	0.20	33.33	39.81	-0.06	-0.04
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.18	0.20	36.36	47.14	-0.05	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.18	0.20	47.06	53.81	-0.01	0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.21	0.18	36.36	33.80	-0.06	-0.06
North Texas	SB	0.27	0.18	61.90	63.68	0.06	0.05
Nebraska	B12	0.19	0.18	56.52	50.48	0.03	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.20	0.17	72.73	66.84	0.09	0.06
Indiana	B10	0.19	0.17	40.91	34.85	-0.03	-0.05
Oklahoma	B12	0.26	0.17	59.09	51.14	0.05	0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.13	0.17	73.91	72.54	0.06	0.08
Texas	B12	0.12	0.17	79.17	77.01	0.07	0.09
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.23	0.15	22.73	24.06	-0.13	-0.08
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.22	0.15	38.10	41.29	-0.05	-0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.15	0.15	47.62	50.86	-0.01	0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.14	0.15	30.00	31.80	-0.06	-0.05
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.21	0.14	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.19	0.14	69.57	70.01	0.07	0.06
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.19	0.14	69.57	68.49	0.07	0.05
South Dakota	GWC	0.18	0.14	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.18	0.13	69.57	63.54	0.07	0.04
Alabama	SEC	0.18	0.13	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.20	0.11	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.21	0.11	87.50	83.52	0.15	0.07
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.07	0.11	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.07	0.11	36.36	40.06	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.19	0.11	22.73	21.40	-0.10	-0.06
Kansas	B12	0.13	0.11	95.83	93.08	0.12	0.09
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.13	0.11	45.45	44.05	-0.01	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.13	0.11	31.82	30.34	-0.05	-0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.13	0.11	31.82	29.57	-0.05	-0.04
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.20	0.10	18.18	19.17	-0.13	-0.06
Samford	SC	0.13	0.10	28.57	31.10	-0.06	-0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.20	0.10	79.17	76.61	0.11	0.05
Iowa	B10	0.06	0.10	33.33	30.81	-0.02	-0.04
Auburn	SEC	0.13	0.10	45.45	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.11	0.10	52.38	53.77	0.01	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.10	34.78	43.27	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.12	0.10	23.81	30.79	-0.06	-0.04
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.17	0.09	72.00	73.85	0.07	0.04
Centenary	Sum	0.08	0.08	27.27	27.20	-0.04	-0.04
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.07	0.08	45.45	47.50	-0.01	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.15	0.08	43.48	47.69	-0.02	-0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.15	0.08	63.64	58.77	0.04	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.08	0.07	8.70	9.55	-0.06	-0.06
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.07	0.07	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.07	0.07	66.67	69.42	0.02	0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.00	0.07	45.00	43.94	-0.00	-0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.07	0.07	5.00	8.59	-0.06	-0.06
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.07	32.00	31.25	-0.02	-0.03
Rider	MAAC	0.13	0.07	53.85	51.13	0.01	0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.07	0.07	36.36	36.05	-0.02	-0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.13	0.07	42.86	45.64	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.00	0.07	4.76	9.60	-0.00	-0.06
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.07	0.07	79.17	78.03	0.04	0.04
Pacific	BW	0.07	0.07	68.18	68.11	0.02	0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.07	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.03
Southern Utah	Sum	0.07	0.07	19.05	20.55	-0.04	-0.04
UC Davis	BW	0.07	0.07	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.02
UC Riverside	BW	0.13	0.07	33.33	36.46	-0.04	-0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.07	0.07	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.14	0.07	36.84	39.04	-0.04	-0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.06	0.07	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.04
Utah	MWC	0.06	0.07	45.45	44.33	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.13	0.07	95.65	88.68	0.12	0.05
Texas Christian	MWC	0.06	0.07	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.07	45.45	40.27	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.12	0.07	66.67	65.51	0.04	0.02
Navy	Pat	0.11	0.07	47.83	44.79	-0.00	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.06	0.07	59.09	54.44	0.01	0.01
Albany	AE	0.11	0.07	23.08	25.74	-0.06	-0.03
Boston University	AE	0.06	0.07	54.17	57.60	0.00	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.06	0.07	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.11	0.07	65.22	63.02	0.03	0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.06	0.07	8.33	10.42	-0.05	-0.05
New Hampshire	AE	0.06	0.07	35.00	38.20	-0.02	-0.02
Stony Brook	AE	0.06	0.07	68.18	68.74	0.02	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.12	0.07	77.27	70.95	0.07	0.03
Vermont	AE	0.06	0.07	68.00	67.16	0.02	0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.12	0.07	16.00	21.66	-0.08	-0.04
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.12	0.07	52.17	54.93	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.11	0.06	86.96	84.64	0.08	0.04
Michigan	B10	0.00	0.06	45.45	44.04	-0.00	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.06	69.57	67.92	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.12	0.06	75.00	73.71	0.06	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.12	0.06	34.78	32.21	-0.04	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.06	86.36	81.79	0.04	0.04
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.11	0.06	50.00	52.71	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.04
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.84	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	22.73	25.50	-0.03	-0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.08	0.04	45.45	46.88	-0.01	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.08	0.04	24.00	23.72	-0.04	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.08	0.04	15.79	27.70	-0.05	-0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.08	0.04	54.17	58.54	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.04	54.55	56.59	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.08	0.04	62.50	65.37	0.02	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.00	0.04	66.67	67.74	0.00	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.00	0.04	34.78	33.90	-0.00	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.00	0.04	65.22	64.72	0.00	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.00	0.04	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.06	0.04	57.14	58.73	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.06	0.04	47.83	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.06	0.04	27.27	31.07	-0.03	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.06	0.04	40.00	39.17	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.04	29.17	28.88	-0.02	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.00	0.04	73.91	69.55	0.00	0.01
High Point	BSth	0.06	0.04	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.00	0.04	41.67	38.60	-0.00	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.00	0.04	69.57	70.34	0.00	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.06	0.04	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.06	0.04	71.43	67.91	0.03	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.00	0.04	41.67	42.67	-0.00	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.07	0.04	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.07	0.04	63.64	58.35	0.02	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.04	22.22	27.54	-0.03	-0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.06	0.04	72.00	73.57	0.03	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.06	0.04	75.00	71.22	0.03	0.02
San Diego St.	MWC	0.07	0.04	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.07	0.04	47.83	43.81	-0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.07	0.04	73.91	76.68	0.03	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.04	66.67	57.28	0.02	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.04	81.82	72.56	0.04	0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.07	0.04	61.90	65.05	0.02	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.06	0.04	68.18	66.69	0.02	0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.06	0.03	57.14	57.09	0.01	0.00
Denver	SB	0.06	0.03	60.87	59.59	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.06	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.06	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.03	19.05	20.74	-0.04	-0.02
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.03	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.00
La Salle	A10	0.06	0.03	47.83	46.40	-0.00	-0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.06	0.03	4.17	4.75	-0.05	-0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.06	0.03	75.00	70.94	0.03	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.03	12.50	15.32	-0.04	-0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.06	0.03	40.00	42.60	-0.01	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.03	68.18	66.42	0.02	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.03	66.67	67.98	0.02	0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.06	0.03	23.81	27.30	-0.03	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.06	0.03	84.00	84.05	0.04	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.00	0.03	42.86	40.57	-0.00	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.00	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.00	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.03	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.00	0.03	81.82	79.55	0.00	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.06	0.03	68.18	62.71	0.02	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.03	73.91	70.59	0.03	0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.06	0.03	36.36	37.42	-0.02	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.06	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.06	0.03	39.13	36.58	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.03	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Stanford	P10	0.06	0.03	43.48	43.05	-0.01	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.03	77.27	75.68	0.03	0.02
Washington	P10	0.06	0.03	69.57	68.88	0.02	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	79.17	77.29	0.03	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.03	78.26	78.94	0.00	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.38	-0.02	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.06	0.03	57.14	61.39	0.01	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.03	44.00	45.16	-0.01	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.50	-0.00	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	15.79	22.91	-0.04	-0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.06	0.03	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.35	0.02	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.03	73.91	67.69	0.03	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.03	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.06	0.03	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.03	37.50	38.43	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.06	0.03	65.22	62.02	0.02	0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	51.55	0.00	0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	66.67	64.66	0.02	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.06	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	55.56	56.61	0.01	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.00	0.03	81.82	75.63	0.00	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.03	82.61	78.53	0.04	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.00	0.03	76.19	73.21	0.00	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.03	27.78	28.62	-0.02	-0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	26.51	26.37	72.84	69.64	12.11	10.36
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	2.91	2.66	68.75	71.88	1.09	1.17
Texas Tech	B12	2.84	2.14	66.67	57.91	0.95	0.34
Minnesota	B10	2.63	1.92	61.90	63.41	0.63	0.52
Jackson St.	SWAC	5.46	3.99	55.00	53.20	0.55	0.26