The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Fresno St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 13, 2010.

Fresno St.

Conference:		WAC
Expected RPI:		189.6
Current RPI:		190
Expected SOS:		121
Current SOS:		121
Current Record:		14-18
Expected Record:		14-18
Current Conf Record:		7-10
Expected Conf Record:		7-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		3-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-2
Current OOC Record:		7-8
Expected OOC Record:		7-8
Expected OOC RPI:		210
Expected OOC SOS:		194

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
14-18		189.6		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Fresno St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-17	Northern Arizona (197.0)	BSky	A	65-59	W	100%	0.0
11-19	Seattle (192.0)	ind	A	84-85	L	0%	0.0
11-23	San Diego St. (18.4)	MWC	H	58-62	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Santa Clara (233.4)	WCC	A	67-74	L	0%	0.0
12-1	Pacific (127.9)	BW	H	58-70	L	0%	0.0
12-6	San Diego (230.0)	WCC	H	69-37	W	100%	0.0
12-8	Pepperdine (303.0)	WCC	A	80-72	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Brigham Young (23.0)	MWC	H	67-72	L	0%	0.0
12-17	UC Davis (243.6)	BW	H	68-57	W	100%	0.0
12-19	North Dakota St. (268.0)	Sum	H	68-54	W	100%	0.0
12-21	Montana (97.1)	BSky	A	56-59	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Oregon St. (185.0)	P10	A	65-73	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Colorado St. (120.0)	MWC	H	73-50	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Boise St. (203.0)	WAC	H	71-68	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Hawaii (253.0)	WAC	H	78-64	W	100%	0.0
1-11	San Jose St. (177.0)	WAC	H	80-70	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Louisiana Tech (78.0)	WAC	A	73-81	L	0%	0.0
1-16	New Mexico St. (51.6)	WAC	A	77-86	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Utah St. (30.2)	WAC	H	43-69	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Nevada (73.0)	WAC	H	87-77	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Idaho (173.0)	WAC	A	59-74	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Boise St. (203.0)	WAC	A	49-65	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Hawaii (253.0)	WAC	A	61-51	W	100%	0.0
2-11	New Mexico St. (51.6)	WAC	H	83-64	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Idaho (173.0)	WAC	H	59-68	L	0%	0.0
2-17	Nevada (73.0)	WAC	A	70-74	L	0%	0.0
2-20	UC Santa Barbara (94.2)	BW	H	60-64	L	0%	0.0
2-23	Cal St. Bakersfield (317.0)	ind	H	79-68	W	100%	0.0
2-27	San Jose St. (177.0)	WAC	A	45-72	L	0%	0.0
3-1	Utah St. (30.2)	WAC	A	39-76	L	0%	0.0
3-4	Louisiana Tech (78.0)	WAC	H	66-59	W	100%	0.0
3-11	Louisiana Tech (78.0)	WAC	N	66-74	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Fresno St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Fresno St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Fresno St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Fresno St.	WAC	26.32	26.32	40.30	40.30	-5.11	-5.11
Louisiana Tech	WAC	5.45	5.45	70.00	70.00	2.18	2.18
Utah St.	WAC	4.11	4.11	77.42	77.42	2.25	2.25
New Mexico St.	WAC	4.09	4.09	66.67	66.67	1.36	1.36
Boise St.	WAC	4.03	4.03	44.83	44.83	-0.42	-0.42
Nevada	WAC	4.03	4.03	62.07	62.07	0.97	0.97
San Jose St.	WAC	4.03	4.03	42.86	42.86	-0.58	-0.58
Idaho	WAC	4.00	4.00	40.74	40.74	-0.74	-0.74
Hawaii	WAC	3.90	3.90	33.33	33.33	-1.30	-1.30
Pacific	BW	1.98	1.98	63.33	63.33	0.53	0.53
Santa Clara	WCC	1.90	1.90	27.59	27.59	-0.85	-0.85
UC Davis	BW	1.85	1.85	41.38	41.38	-0.32	-0.32
Seattle	ind	1.83	1.83	53.33	53.33	0.12	0.12
San Diego St.	MWC	1.82	1.82	73.33	73.33	0.85	0.85
Brigham Young	MWC	1.82	1.82	84.38	84.38	1.25	1.25
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	1.81	1.81	25.00	25.00	-0.91	-0.91
San Diego	WCC	1.80	1.80	33.33	33.33	-0.60	-0.60
Colorado St.	MWC	1.77	1.77	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
UC Santa Barbara	BW	1.74	1.74	66.67	66.67	0.58	0.58
Pepperdine	WCC	1.74	1.74	21.43	21.43	-0.99	-0.99
Montana	BSky	1.73	1.73	67.86	67.86	0.62	0.62
Northern Arizona	BSky	1.72	1.72	48.00	48.00	-0.07	-0.07
North Dakota St.	Sum	1.64	1.64	34.62	34.62	-0.51	-0.51
Oregon St.	P10	1.61	1.61	43.33	43.33	-0.22	-0.22
New Mexico	MWC	0.45	0.45	87.88	87.88	0.34	0.34
UC Irvine	BW	0.42	0.42	40.00	40.00	-0.08	-0.08
St. Mary's	WCC	0.41	0.41	83.33	83.33	0.27	0.27
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.39	0.39	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.36	0.36	65.52	65.52	0.11	0.11
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.36	0.36	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.34	0.34	37.04	37.04	-0.09	-0.09
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.34	0.34	25.00	25.00	-0.17	-0.17
Long Beach St.	BW	0.34	0.34	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.33	0.33	75.00	75.00	0.16	0.16
Montana St.	BSky	0.32	0.32	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.32	0.32	38.71	38.71	-0.07	-0.07
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.32	0.32	34.38	34.38	-0.10	-0.10
San Francisco	WCC	0.31	0.31	35.71	35.71	-0.09	-0.09
Weber St.	BSky	0.31	0.31	64.29	64.29	0.09	0.09
Utah	MWC	0.30	0.30	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.29	0.29	25.00	25.00	-0.15	-0.15
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.27	0.27	76.67	76.67	0.15	0.15
Idaho St.	BSky	0.26	0.26	18.52	18.52	-0.17	-0.17
Texas Christian	MWC	0.24	0.24	36.67	36.67	-0.07	-0.07
Portland St.	BSky	0.24	0.24	36.67	36.67	-0.06	-0.06
Utah Valley	GWC	0.23	0.23	30.77	30.77	-0.09	-0.09
Wyoming	MWC	0.23	0.23	27.59	27.59	-0.10	-0.10
Air Force	MWC	0.21	0.21	27.59	27.59	-0.09	-0.09
Arizona	P10	0.20	0.20	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.18	0.18	80.65	80.65	0.11	0.11
Washington	P10	0.18	0.18	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
UCLA	P10	0.18	0.18	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.17	0.17	18.18	18.18	-0.11	-0.11
Southern Utah	Sum	0.16	0.16	18.52	18.52	-0.10	-0.10
Houston	CUSA	0.15	0.15	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.14	0.14	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Washington St.	P10	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.13	0.13	22.22	22.22	-0.07	-0.07
Arizona St.	P10	0.13	0.13	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.12	0.12	25.93	25.93	-0.06	-0.06
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.12	0.12	28.00	28.00	-0.05	-0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.12	0.12	81.25	81.25	0.08	0.08
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.11	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
California	P10	0.10	0.10	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.10	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Denver	SB	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.08	0.08	36.36	36.36	-0.02	-0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Wagner	NEC	0.07	0.07	16.13	16.13	-0.05	-0.05
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.07	0.07	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	74.07	74.07	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.05	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	6.45	6.45	-0.04	-0.04
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	69.70	68.35	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.03	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.02	0.02	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.02	0.02	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Fresno St.	WAC	26.32	26.32	40.30	40.30	-5.11	-5.11
Louisiana Tech	WAC	5.45	5.45	70.00	70.00	2.18	2.18
Utah St.	WAC	4.11	4.11	77.42	77.42	2.25	2.25
New Mexico St.	WAC	4.09	4.09	66.67	66.67	1.36	1.36
Boise St.	WAC	4.03	4.03	44.83	44.83	-0.42	-0.42
Nevada	WAC	4.03	4.03	62.07	62.07	0.97	0.97
San Jose St.	WAC	4.03	4.03	42.86	42.86	-0.58	-0.58
Idaho	WAC	4.00	4.00	40.74	40.74	-0.74	-0.74
Hawaii	WAC	3.90	3.90	33.33	33.33	-1.30	-1.30
Pacific	BW	1.98	1.98	63.33	63.33	0.53	0.53
Santa Clara	WCC	1.90	1.90	27.59	27.59	-0.85	-0.85
UC Davis	BW	1.85	1.85	41.38	41.38	-0.32	-0.32
Seattle	ind	1.83	1.83	53.33	53.33	0.12	0.12
San Diego St.	MWC	1.82	1.82	73.33	73.33	0.85	0.85
Brigham Young	MWC	1.82	1.82	84.38	84.38	1.25	1.25
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	1.81	1.81	25.00	25.00	-0.91	-0.91
San Diego	WCC	1.80	1.80	33.33	33.33	-0.60	-0.60
Colorado St.	MWC	1.77	1.77	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
UC Santa Barbara	BW	1.74	1.74	66.67	66.67	0.58	0.58
Pepperdine	WCC	1.74	1.74	21.43	21.43	-0.99	-0.99
Montana	BSky	1.73	1.73	67.86	67.86	0.62	0.62
Northern Arizona	BSky	1.72	1.72	48.00	48.00	-0.07	-0.07
North Dakota St.	Sum	1.64	1.64	34.62	34.62	-0.51	-0.51
Oregon St.	P10	1.61	1.61	43.33	43.33	-0.22	-0.22
New Mexico	MWC	0.45	0.45	87.88	87.88	0.34	0.34
UC Irvine	BW	0.42	0.42	40.00	40.00	-0.08	-0.08
St. Mary's	WCC	0.41	0.41	83.33	83.33	0.27	0.27
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.39	0.39	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.36	0.36	65.52	65.52	0.11	0.11
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.36	0.36	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.34	0.34	37.04	37.04	-0.09	-0.09
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.34	0.34	25.00	25.00	-0.17	-0.17
Long Beach St.	BW	0.34	0.34	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.33	0.33	75.00	75.00	0.16	0.16
Montana St.	BSky	0.32	0.32	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.32	0.32	38.71	38.71	-0.07	-0.07
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.32	0.32	34.38	34.38	-0.10	-0.10
San Francisco	WCC	0.31	0.31	35.71	35.71	-0.09	-0.09
Weber St.	BSky	0.31	0.31	64.29	64.29	0.09	0.09
Utah	MWC	0.30	0.30	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.29	0.29	25.00	25.00	-0.15	-0.15
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.27	0.27	76.67	76.67	0.15	0.15
Idaho St.	BSky	0.26	0.26	18.52	18.52	-0.17	-0.17
Texas Christian	MWC	0.24	0.24	36.67	36.67	-0.07	-0.07
Portland St.	BSky	0.24	0.24	36.67	36.67	-0.06	-0.06
Utah Valley	GWC	0.23	0.23	30.77	30.77	-0.09	-0.09
Wyoming	MWC	0.23	0.23	27.59	27.59	-0.10	-0.10
Air Force	MWC	0.21	0.21	27.59	27.59	-0.09	-0.09
Arizona	P10	0.20	0.20	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.18	0.18	80.65	80.65	0.11	0.11
Washington	P10	0.18	0.18	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
UCLA	P10	0.18	0.18	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.17	0.17	18.18	18.18	-0.11	-0.11
Southern Utah	Sum	0.16	0.16	18.52	18.52	-0.10	-0.10
Houston	CUSA	0.15	0.15	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.14	0.14	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Washington St.	P10	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.13	0.13	22.22	22.22	-0.07	-0.07
Arizona St.	P10	0.13	0.13	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.12	0.12	25.93	25.93	-0.06	-0.06
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.12	0.12	28.00	28.00	-0.05	-0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.12	0.12	81.25	81.25	0.08	0.08
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.11	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
California	P10	0.10	0.10	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.10	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Denver	SB	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.08	0.08	36.36	36.36	-0.02	-0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Wagner	NEC	0.07	0.07	16.13	16.13	-0.05	-0.05
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.07	0.07	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	74.07	74.07	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.05	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	6.45	6.45	-0.04	-0.04
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	69.70	68.35	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.03	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.02	0.02	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.02	0.02	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Utah St.	WAC	4.11	4.11	77.42	77.42	2.25	2.25
Louisiana Tech	WAC	5.45	5.45	70.00	70.00	2.18	2.18
New Mexico St.	WAC	4.09	4.09	66.67	66.67	1.36	1.36
Brigham Young	MWC	1.82	1.82	84.38	84.38	1.25	1.25
Nevada	WAC	4.03	4.03	62.07	62.07	0.97	0.97
San Diego St.	MWC	1.82	1.82	73.33	73.33	0.85	0.85
Montana	BSky	1.73	1.73	67.86	67.86	0.62	0.62
UC Santa Barbara	BW	1.74	1.74	66.67	66.67	0.58	0.58
Pacific	BW	1.98	1.98	63.33	63.33	0.53	0.53
New Mexico	MWC	0.45	0.45	87.88	87.88	0.34	0.34
St. Mary's	WCC	0.41	0.41	83.33	83.33	0.27	0.27
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.33	0.33	75.00	75.00	0.16	0.16
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.27	0.27	76.67	76.67	0.15	0.15
Seattle	ind	1.83	1.83	53.33	53.33	0.12	0.12
Portland	WCC	0.36	0.36	65.52	65.52	0.11	0.11
Gonzaga	WCC	0.18	0.18	80.65	80.65	0.11	0.11
Weber St.	BSky	0.31	0.31	64.29	64.29	0.09	0.09
Washington	P10	0.18	0.18	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.12	0.12	81.25	81.25	0.08	0.08
Colorado St.	MWC	1.77	1.77	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Murray St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Arizona St.	P10	0.13	0.13	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Oakland	Sum	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
California	P10	0.10	0.10	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.14	0.14	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Wichita St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	74.07	74.07	0.02	0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.39	0.39	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Denver	SB	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.15	0.15	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	69.70	68.35	0.01	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.20	0.20	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.02	0.02	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.05	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.03	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.34	0.34	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.32	0.32	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.36	0.36	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.10	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.11	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.02	0.02	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.08	0.08	36.36	36.36	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.07	0.07	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
UCLA	P10	0.18	0.18	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Utah	MWC	0.30	0.30	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	6.45	6.45	-0.04	-0.04
North Dakota	GWC	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Wagner	NEC	0.07	0.07	16.13	16.13	-0.05	-0.05
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.12	0.12	28.00	28.00	-0.05	-0.05
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.12	0.12	25.93	25.93	-0.06	-0.06
Portland St.	BSky	0.24	0.24	36.67	36.67	-0.06	-0.06
Texas Christian	MWC	0.24	0.24	36.67	36.67	-0.07	-0.07
Northern Arizona	BSky	1.72	1.72	48.00	48.00	-0.07	-0.07
Centenary	Sum	0.13	0.13	22.22	22.22	-0.07	-0.07
Cal Poly	BW	0.32	0.32	38.71	38.71	-0.07	-0.07
UC Irvine	BW	0.42	0.42	40.00	40.00	-0.08	-0.08
UC Riverside	BW	0.34	0.34	37.04	37.04	-0.09	-0.09
San Francisco	WCC	0.31	0.31	35.71	35.71	-0.09	-0.09
Utah Valley	GWC	0.23	0.23	30.77	30.77	-0.09	-0.09
Air Force	MWC	0.21	0.21	27.59	27.59	-0.09	-0.09
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.32	0.32	34.38	34.38	-0.10	-0.10
Southern Utah	Sum	0.16	0.16	18.52	18.52	-0.10	-0.10
Wyoming	MWC	0.23	0.23	27.59	27.59	-0.10	-0.10
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.17	0.17	18.18	18.18	-0.11	-0.11
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.29	0.29	25.00	25.00	-0.15	-0.15
Idaho St.	BSky	0.26	0.26	18.52	18.52	-0.17	-0.17
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.34	0.34	25.00	25.00	-0.17	-0.17
Oregon St.	P10	1.61	1.61	43.33	43.33	-0.22	-0.22
UC Davis	BW	1.85	1.85	41.38	41.38	-0.32	-0.32
Boise St.	WAC	4.03	4.03	44.83	44.83	-0.42	-0.42
North Dakota St.	Sum	1.64	1.64	34.62	34.62	-0.51	-0.51
San Jose St.	WAC	4.03	4.03	42.86	42.86	-0.58	-0.58
San Diego	WCC	1.80	1.80	33.33	33.33	-0.60	-0.60
Idaho	WAC	4.00	4.00	40.74	40.74	-0.74	-0.74
Santa Clara	WCC	1.90	1.90	27.59	27.59	-0.85	-0.85
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	1.81	1.81	25.00	25.00	-0.91	-0.91
Pepperdine	WCC	1.74	1.74	21.43	21.43	-0.99	-0.99
Hawaii	WAC	3.90	3.90	33.33	33.33	-1.30	-1.30
Fresno St.	WAC	26.32	26.32	40.30	40.30	-5.11	-5.11

BY EXPECTED (END-OF-SEASON) HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Utah St.	WAC	4.11	4.11	77.42	77.42	2.25	2.25
Louisiana Tech	WAC	5.45	5.45	70.00	70.00	2.18	2.18
New Mexico St.	WAC	4.09	4.09	66.67	66.67	1.36	1.36
Brigham Young	MWC	1.82	1.82	84.38	84.38	1.25	1.25
Nevada	WAC	4.03	4.03	62.07	62.07	0.97	0.97
San Diego St.	MWC	1.82	1.82	73.33	73.33	0.85	0.85
Montana	BSky	1.73	1.73	67.86	67.86	0.62	0.62
UC Santa Barbara	BW	1.74	1.74	66.67	66.67	0.58	0.58
Pacific	BW	1.98	1.98	63.33	63.33	0.53	0.53
New Mexico	MWC	0.45	0.45	87.88	87.88	0.34	0.34
St. Mary's	WCC	0.41	0.41	83.33	83.33	0.27	0.27
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.33	0.33	75.00	75.00	0.16	0.16
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.27	0.27	76.67	76.67	0.15	0.15
Seattle	ind	1.83	1.83	53.33	53.33	0.12	0.12
Portland	WCC	0.36	0.36	65.52	65.52	0.11	0.11
Gonzaga	WCC	0.18	0.18	80.65	80.65	0.11	0.11
Weber St.	BSky	0.31	0.31	64.29	64.29	0.09	0.09
Washington	P10	0.18	0.18	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.12	0.12	81.25	81.25	0.08	0.08
Colorado St.	MWC	1.77	1.77	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Murray St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Arizona St.	P10	0.13	0.13	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Oakland	Sum	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
California	P10	0.10	0.10	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04