The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Arkansas Little Rock page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Arkansas Little Rock

Conference:		SB
Expected RPI:		266.4
Current RPI:		262
Expected SOS:		154
Current SOS:		141
Current Record:		5-16
Expected Record:		8-19
Current Conf Record:		3-9
Expected Conf Record:		6-12
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		3-6
Current OOC Record:		2-7
Expected OOC Record:		2-7
Expected OOC RPI:		209
Expected OOC SOS:		11

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
11-16	205.1	0.38%
10-17	227.7	4.21%
9-18	246.0	17.12%
8-19	261.8	34.28%
7-20	277.3	30.56%
6-21	291.9	12.09%
5-22	303.9	1.35%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Arkansas Little Rock.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Mississippi (42.6)	SEC	A	64-92	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Tulsa (63.1)	CUSA	A	45-59	L	0%	0.0
11-22	Creighton (123.3)	MVC	A	65-80	L	0%	0.0
11-25	Louisiana Tech (61.3)	WAC	A	66-86	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Cal Poly (272.8)	BW	H	71-62	W	100%	0.0
11-30	Oral Roberts (122.0)	Sum	H	73-68	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Missouri St. (85.5)	MVC	H	62-75	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Memphis (65.5)	CUSA	N	71-83	L	0%	0.0
12-16	South Alabama (221.2)	SB	A	71-74	L	0%	0.0
12-20	Arkansas St. (167.5)	SB	A	61-69	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Wright St. (82.9)	Horz	A	47-69	L	0%	0.0
12-31	North Texas (158.4)	SB	H	78-83	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Louisiana Monroe (269.6)	SB	A	64-68	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Middle Tennessee (188.1)	SB	H	52-66	L	0%	0.0
1-14	New Orleans (324.6)	SB	A	66-67	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Louisiana Lafayette (203.7)	SB	H	76-69	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Florida Atlantic (201.1)	SB	A	74-77	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Florida International (286.4)	SB	A	81-96	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Denver (148.7)	SB	H	69-57	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Arkansas St. (167.5)	SB	H	79-77	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Louisiana Lafayette (203.7)	SB	A	51-77	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Louisiana Monroe (269.6)	SB	H	0-0		70%	5.6
2-13	Western Kentucky (159.1)	SB	H	0-0		35%	-4.2
2-18	Denver (148.7)	SB	A	0-0		19%	-9.4
2-20	North Texas (158.4)	SB	A	0-0		20%	-9.1
2-25	Troy (170.2)	SB	H	0-0		44%	-1.7
2-27	New Orleans (324.6)	SB	H	0-0		79%	8.6

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Arkansas Little Rock's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Arkansas Little Rock's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Arkansas Little Rock.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	26.34	26.29	19.48	23.74	-16.08	-13.81
Arkansas St.	SB	5.50	4.63	57.89	57.67	0.87	0.71
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	5.25	4.54	47.37	48.49	-0.28	-0.14
Florida International	SB	3.09	2.69	20.83	21.11	-1.80	-1.55
North Texas	SB	3.08	4.54	60.00	61.59	0.62	1.05
Denver	SB	3.04	4.55	63.64	61.01	0.83	1.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	3.03	2.65	42.86	45.46	-0.43	-0.24
New Orleans	SB	3.03	4.54	19.05	19.83	-1.87	-2.74
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.98	2.65	50.00	53.33	0.00	0.18
South Alabama	SB	2.97	2.68	45.45	45.61	-0.27	-0.24
Louisiana Monroe	SB	2.97	4.57	33.33	33.86	-0.99	-1.48
Missouri St.	MVC	2.65	2.01	65.22	63.40	0.81	0.54
Tulsa	CUSA	2.58	2.04	76.19	69.92	1.35	0.81
Memphis	CUSA	2.49	1.98	68.18	68.99	0.91	0.75
Mississippi	SEC	2.49	1.92	72.73	71.58	1.13	0.83
Creighton	MVC	2.48	1.91	47.83	48.98	-0.11	-0.04
Louisiana Tech	WAC	2.44	1.92	81.82	74.43	1.55	0.94
Oral Roberts	Sum	2.44	1.88	56.52	60.57	0.32	0.40
Cal Poly	BW	2.38	1.85	38.10	37.34	-0.57	-0.47
Wright St.	Horz	2.38	1.85	60.87	64.13	0.52	0.52
Troy	SB	0.64	2.65	47.62	50.15	-0.03	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.59	2.66	54.17	55.69	0.05	0.30
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.44	0.36	55.56	55.85	0.05	0.04
Lamar	Slnd	0.33	0.23	47.62	44.73	-0.02	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.32	0.26	27.27	27.20	-0.15	-0.12
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.27	0.19	77.27	75.69	0.15	0.10
Indiana St.	MVC	0.26	0.25	56.52	54.46	0.03	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.26	0.16	70.59	72.98	0.11	0.07
Tulane	CUSA	0.22	0.23	31.82	29.58	-0.08	-0.09
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.22	0.23	39.13	35.38	-0.05	-0.07
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.22	0.13	26.32	31.51	-0.10	-0.05
Rice	CUSA	0.21	0.16	31.82	30.34	-0.08	-0.06
UAB	CUSA	0.21	0.19	82.61	78.56	0.14	0.11
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.21	0.26	22.73	24.05	-0.11	-0.14
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.21	0.16	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.20	0.19	91.30	88.21	0.17	0.14
Evansville	MVC	0.20	0.15	22.73	22.60	-0.11	-0.08
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.17	0.10	27.27	25.82	-0.08	-0.05
Louisville	BE	0.16	0.13	65.22	62.07	0.05	0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.16	0.10	5.00	8.59	-0.15	-0.08
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.16	0.13	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.16	0.12	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.16	0.13	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.16	0.19	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.16	0.19	66.67	65.54	0.05	0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.16	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.10	0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.15	0.13	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.15	0.09	87.50	83.52	0.11	0.06
Oakland	Sum	0.15	0.09	66.67	69.41	0.05	0.04
Bradley	MVC	0.15	0.12	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.15	0.12	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.15	0.12	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.07
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.15	0.09	19.05	22.94	-0.09	-0.05
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.11	0.07	22.73	27.28	-0.06	-0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.10	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.11	0.10	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.13	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.11	0.06	22.73	21.40	-0.06	-0.04
Pacific	BW	0.11	0.06	68.18	68.10	0.04	0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.11	0.06	35.00	33.21	-0.03	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.13	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.11	0.10	0.00	5.15	-0.11	-0.09
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.11	0.16	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.02
Montana St.	BSky	0.11	0.06	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.11	0.12	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.03
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.11	0.13	79.17	78.03	0.06	0.07
Ohio	MAC	0.11	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Seattle	ind	0.11	0.10	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.11	0.12	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.02	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.10	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.08	-0.04
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.13	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.10	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.09	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.10	0.06	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.12	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.05
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.09	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.06
Butler	Horz	0.10	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.07	0.04
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.06	22.73	22.57	-0.05	-0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.10	0.12	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.10	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.09	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.03
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.10	0.15	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.10	0.10	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.07	72.73	66.85	0.03	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.07	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.07	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.05	0.06	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.07	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.07	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.07	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.07	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.07	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.03	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.07	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.04
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.07	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.06	36.36	40.08	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.06	33.33	36.45	-0.02	-0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.06	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.03	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.06	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.10	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.04
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.09	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.03
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.06	68.18	70.35	0.02	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.02
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.02	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.03	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.02	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.09	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.04
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.03	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.03	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.01
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.09	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.03
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.00	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.00	0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.00	0.04	17.39	20.11	-0.00	-0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	26.34	26.29	19.48	23.74	-16.08	-13.81
Arkansas St.	SB	5.50	4.63	57.89	57.67	0.87	0.71
Louisiana Monroe	SB	2.97	4.57	33.33	33.86	-0.99	-1.48
Denver	SB	3.04	4.55	63.64	61.01	0.83	1.00
North Texas	SB	3.08	4.54	60.00	61.59	0.62	1.05
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	5.25	4.54	47.37	48.49	-0.28	-0.14
New Orleans	SB	3.03	4.54	19.05	19.83	-1.87	-2.74
Florida International	SB	3.09	2.69	20.83	21.11	-1.80	-1.55
South Alabama	SB	2.97	2.68	45.45	45.61	-0.27	-0.24
Western Kentucky	SB	0.59	2.66	54.17	55.69	0.05	0.30
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.98	2.65	50.00	53.33	0.00	0.18
Florida Atlantic	SB	3.03	2.65	42.86	45.46	-0.43	-0.24
Troy	SB	0.64	2.65	47.62	50.15	-0.03	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	2.58	2.04	76.19	69.92	1.35	0.81
Missouri St.	MVC	2.65	2.01	65.22	63.40	0.81	0.54
Memphis	CUSA	2.49	1.98	68.18	68.99	0.91	0.75
Louisiana Tech	WAC	2.44	1.92	81.82	74.43	1.55	0.94
Mississippi	SEC	2.49	1.92	72.73	71.58	1.13	0.83
Creighton	MVC	2.48	1.91	47.83	48.98	-0.11	-0.04
Oral Roberts	Sum	2.44	1.88	56.52	60.57	0.32	0.40
Cal Poly	BW	2.38	1.85	38.10	37.34	-0.57	-0.47
Wright St.	Horz	2.38	1.85	60.87	64.13	0.52	0.52
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.44	0.36	55.56	55.85	0.05	0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.21	0.26	22.73	24.05	-0.11	-0.14
Centenary	Sum	0.32	0.26	27.27	27.20	-0.15	-0.12
Indiana St.	MVC	0.26	0.25	56.52	54.46	0.03	0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.33	0.23	47.62	44.73	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.22	0.23	39.13	35.38	-0.05	-0.07
Tulane	CUSA	0.22	0.23	31.82	29.58	-0.08	-0.09
Marshall	CUSA	0.16	0.19	66.67	65.54	0.05	0.06
UAB	CUSA	0.21	0.19	82.61	78.56	0.14	0.11
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.27	0.19	77.27	75.69	0.15	0.10
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.20	0.19	91.30	88.21	0.17	0.14
Houston	CUSA	0.16	0.19	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.21	0.16	31.82	30.34	-0.08	-0.06
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.26	0.16	70.59	72.98	0.11	0.07
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.11	0.16	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.21	0.16	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.20	0.15	22.73	22.60	-0.11	-0.08
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.10	0.15	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.16	0.13	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.11	0.13	79.17	78.03	0.06	0.07
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.13	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.16	0.13	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.16	0.13	65.22	62.07	0.05	0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.22	0.13	26.32	31.51	-0.10	-0.05
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.13	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.13	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.15	0.13	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.15	0.12	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.15	0.12	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.10	0.12	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.15	0.12	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.07
Central Florida	CUSA	0.16	0.12	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.12	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.05
Nevada	WAC	0.11	0.12	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.11	0.12	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.11	0.10	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.11	0.10	0.00	5.15	-0.11	-0.09
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.10	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.10	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.16	0.10	5.00	8.59	-0.15	-0.08
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.17	0.10	27.27	25.82	-0.08	-0.05
Valparaiso	Horz	0.10	0.10	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.11	0.10	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.11	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.16	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.10	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.09	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.04
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.15	0.09	19.05	22.94	-0.09	-0.05
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.09	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.09	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.09	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.15	0.09	87.50	83.52	0.11	0.06
Oakland	Sum	0.15	0.09	66.67	69.41	0.05	0.04
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.09	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.09	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.06
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.07	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.07	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.03
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.11	0.07	22.73	27.28	-0.06	-0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.07	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.07	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.07	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.07	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.07	72.73	66.85	0.03	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.07	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.07	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.07	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.11	0.06	22.73	21.40	-0.06	-0.04
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.05	0.06	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.06	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.01
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.06	68.18	70.35	0.02	0.03
Pacific	BW	0.11	0.06	68.18	68.10	0.04	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.11	0.06	35.00	33.21	-0.03	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.06	36.36	40.08	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.06	33.33	36.45	-0.02	-0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.06	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.10	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.02	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.11	0.06	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.10	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.07	0.04
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.06	22.73	22.57	-0.05	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.10	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.04
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.03
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.10	0.06	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.10	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.08	-0.04
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.02	0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.00	0.04	17.39	20.11	-0.00	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.02	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.03	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.03	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.03	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.03	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.00	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.00	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.03	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.01
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Louisiana Tech	WAC	2.44	1.92	81.82	74.43	1.55	0.94
Tulsa	CUSA	2.58	2.04	76.19	69.92	1.35	0.81
Mississippi	SEC	2.49	1.92	72.73	71.58	1.13	0.83
Memphis	CUSA	2.49	1.98	68.18	68.99	0.91	0.75
Arkansas St.	SB	5.50	4.63	57.89	57.67	0.87	0.71
Denver	SB	3.04	4.55	63.64	61.01	0.83	1.00
Missouri St.	MVC	2.65	2.01	65.22	63.40	0.81	0.54
North Texas	SB	3.08	4.54	60.00	61.59	0.62	1.05
Wright St.	Horz	2.38	1.85	60.87	64.13	0.52	0.52
Oral Roberts	Sum	2.44	1.88	56.52	60.57	0.32	0.40
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.20	0.19	91.30	88.21	0.17	0.14
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.27	0.19	77.27	75.69	0.15	0.10
UAB	CUSA	0.21	0.19	82.61	78.56	0.14	0.11
New Mexico	MWC	0.15	0.09	87.50	83.52	0.11	0.06
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.26	0.16	70.59	72.98	0.11	0.07
Tennessee	SEC	0.16	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.10	0.05
Wichita St.	MVC	0.15	0.12	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.07
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.09	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.06
Butler	Horz	0.10	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.07	0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.11	0.13	79.17	78.03	0.06	0.07
Marshall	CUSA	0.16	0.19	66.67	65.54	0.05	0.06
Oakland	Sum	0.15	0.09	66.67	69.41	0.05	0.04
Louisville	BE	0.16	0.13	65.22	62.07	0.05	0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.59	2.66	54.17	55.69	0.05	0.30
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.44	0.36	55.56	55.85	0.05	0.04
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.10	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.03
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.