The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Weber St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Weber St.

Conference:		BSky
Expected RPI:		80.8
Current RPI:		84
Expected SOS:		145
Current SOS:		134
Current Record:		13-8
Expected Record:		17-9
Current Conf Record:		9-2
Expected Conf Record:		13-3
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		10-1
Current OOC Record:		4-6
Expected OOC Record:		4-6
Expected OOC RPI:		117
Expected OOC SOS:		18

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
18-8	67.1	28.09%
17-9	78.8	42.85%
16-10	92.9	22.91%
15-11	109.7	5.50%
14-12	130.0	0.63%
13-13	152.0	0.01%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Weber St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Utah St. (33.6)	WAC	H	60-66	L	0%	0.0
11-17	UC Santa Barbara (144.6)	BW	A	57-66	L	0%	0.0
11-22	Seattle (222.4)	ind	A	87-91	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Brigham Young (15.9)	MWC	A	70-87	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Utah (162.8)	MWC	H	83-76	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Sacramento St. (287.6)	BSky	A	80-65	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Southern Utah (316.8)	Sum	H	84-66	W	100%	0.0
12-17	Nevada Las Vegas (32.4)	MWC	A	63-72	L	0%	0.0
12-21	Cal St. Fullerton (212.6)	BW	N	82-71	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Morehead St. (95.2)	OVC	N	66-64	W	100%	0.0
12-23	Utah St. (33.6)	WAC	A	73-85	L	0%	0.0
12-31	Montana St. (192.5)	BSky	H	75-62	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Montana (102.5)	BSky	H	64-56	W	100%	0.0
1-7	Northern Colorado (103.7)	BSky	A	75-84	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Northern Arizona (204.1)	BSky	A	87-62	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Idaho St. (275.5)	BSky	A	95-93	W	100%	0.0
1-22	Portland St. (210.1)	BSky	H	86-83	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Eastern Washington (293.2)	BSky	H	89-67	W	100%	0.0
1-29	Sacramento St. (287.6)	BSky	H	81-59	W	100%	0.0
2-5	Montana (102.5)	BSky	A	61-75	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Montana St. (192.5)	BSky	A	75-71	W	100%	0.0
2-12	Northern Arizona (204.1)	BSky	H	0-0		89%	13.5
2-13	Northern Colorado (103.7)	BSky	H	0-0		66%	4.5
2-20	Idaho St. (275.5)	BSky	H	0-0		91%	14.7
2-26	Eastern Washington (293.2)	BSky	A	0-0		84%	10.8
2-28	Portland St. (210.1)	BSky	A	0-0		61%	3.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Weber St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Weber St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Weber St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Weber St.	BSky	26.57	26.53	67.82	69.61	9.47	10.41
Sacramento St.	BSky	5.48	4.91	33.33	31.24	-1.83	-1.84
Montana St.	BSky	5.48	4.87	52.63	52.71	0.29	0.26
Montana	BSky	5.42	4.84	70.00	72.05	2.17	2.13
Utah St.	WAC	5.09	4.09	71.43	75.00	2.18	2.04
Idaho St.	BSky	3.46	4.97	20.00	25.56	-2.08	-2.43
Northern Colorado	BSky	3.27	4.89	78.26	78.84	1.85	2.82
Eastern Washington	BSky	3.24	4.94	19.05	20.03	-2.00	-2.96
Northern Arizona	BSky	3.19	4.83	47.37	48.88	-0.17	-0.11
Portland St.	BSky	3.13	4.91	40.00	41.19	-0.63	-0.86
Brigham Young	MWC	2.76	2.26	86.96	87.00	2.04	1.67
Seattle	ind	2.70	2.37	43.48	47.17	-0.35	-0.13
Utah	MWC	2.69	2.22	47.62	45.85	-0.13	-0.18
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	2.60	2.10	47.37	50.50	-0.14	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	2.59	2.08	80.95	80.22	1.60	1.26
Southern Utah	Sum	2.59	2.09	20.00	21.34	-1.55	-1.20
UC Santa Barbara	BW	2.55	2.07	57.89	58.02	0.40	0.33
Morehead St.	OVC	2.54	2.02	71.43	70.39	1.09	0.82
UC Riverside	BW	0.57	0.40	33.33	36.45	-0.19	-0.11
Boise St.	WAC	0.49	0.48	45.45	45.95	-0.04	-0.04
Nevada	WAC	0.48	0.34	57.14	60.54	0.07	0.07
Idaho	WAC	0.47	0.36	45.00	48.32	-0.05	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.43	0.28	47.83	44.39	-0.02	-0.03
Colorado St.	MWC	0.38	0.41	59.09	52.85	0.07	0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.37	0.38	47.83	48.98	-0.02	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.34	0.32	36.36	36.06	-0.09	-0.09
San Diego St.	MWC	0.34	0.34	66.67	67.74	0.11	0.12
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.34	0.31	22.73	21.40	-0.18	-0.18
UC Davis	BW	0.33	0.28	35.00	33.21	-0.10	-0.09
Hawaii	WAC	0.31	0.29	36.36	33.80	-0.09	-0.10
Long Beach St.	BW	0.28	0.21	42.86	45.66	-0.04	-0.02
Pacific	BW	0.28	0.21	68.18	68.10	0.10	0.08
Oregon	P10	0.28	0.22	54.55	48.81	0.03	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.27	0.34	35.00	30.59	-0.08	-0.13
San Francisco	WCC	0.22	0.14	31.82	32.31	-0.08	-0.05
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.22	0.21	39.13	43.30	-0.05	-0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.22	0.27	87.50	83.52	0.16	0.18
Washington	P10	0.21	0.17	69.57	68.86	0.08	0.07
Southern California	P10	0.21	0.17	60.87	59.61	0.05	0.03
Denver	SB	0.21	0.17	60.87	59.58	0.05	0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.21	0.26	40.91	38.27	-0.04	-0.06
Wyoming	MWC	0.21	0.26	33.33	30.72	-0.07	-0.10
Santa Clara	WCC	0.17	0.15	33.33	34.27	-0.06	-0.05
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.17	0.14	38.10	38.08	-0.04	-0.03
UC Irvine	BW	0.17	0.18	36.36	40.08	-0.05	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.16	0.10	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.16	0.14	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.16	0.16	61.90	56.37	0.04	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.16	0.17	61.90	65.68	0.04	0.05
St. Mary's	WCC	0.16	0.13	86.96	84.62	0.12	0.09
North Dakota	GWC	0.16	0.14	15.79	27.84	-0.11	-0.06
Oregon St.	P10	0.15	0.10	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.15	0.30	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.15	0.13	36.84	39.02	-0.04	-0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.11	0.07	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.03
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.07	33.33	33.96	-0.04	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.07	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.11	0.07	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.11	0.10	27.27	25.31	-0.05	-0.05
Washington St.	P10	0.11	0.14	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.11	0.07	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.11	0.07	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.11	0.07	38.10	41.29	-0.03	-0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.11	0.07	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.04
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.10	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.11	0.10	26.32	31.51	-0.05	-0.04
Nebraska	B12	0.11	0.07	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.11	0.10	66.67	69.41	0.04	0.04
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.10	0.10	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.10	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.06	19.05	20.58	-0.06	-0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.10	0.07	22.73	24.05	-0.06	-0.04
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.13	82.61	75.26	0.07	0.06
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.07	31.82	30.34	-0.04	-0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.07	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
California	P10	0.06	0.04	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.04	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.02
Furman	SC	0.06	0.04	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.04	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.08	12.00	18.82	-0.05	-0.05
UCLA	P10	0.06	0.04	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.07	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.07	27.27	27.20	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.07	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.07	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.07	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.07	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.07	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.06	0.07	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.07	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.07	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.07	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.04
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.07	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.07	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.07	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.05
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.03	26.09	31.05	-0.03	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.07	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.07	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.05
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.07	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.06
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.07	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.07	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.06
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.07	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.07	45.00	54.19	-0.00	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.02
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.00	0.04

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Weber St.	BSky	26.57	26.53	67.82	69.61	9.47	10.41
Idaho St.	BSky	3.46	4.97	20.00	25.56	-2.08	-2.43
Eastern Washington	BSky	3.24	4.94	19.05	20.03	-2.00	-2.96
Portland St.	BSky	3.13	4.91	40.00	41.19	-0.63	-0.86
Sacramento St.	BSky	5.48	4.91	33.33	31.24	-1.83	-1.84
Northern Colorado	BSky	3.27	4.89	78.26	78.84	1.85	2.82
Montana St.	BSky	5.48	4.87	52.63	52.71	0.29	0.26
Montana	BSky	5.42	4.84	70.00	72.05	2.17	2.13
Northern Arizona	BSky	3.19	4.83	47.37	48.88	-0.17	-0.11
Utah St.	WAC	5.09	4.09	71.43	75.00	2.18	2.04
Seattle	ind	2.70	2.37	43.48	47.17	-0.35	-0.13
Brigham Young	MWC	2.76	2.26	86.96	87.00	2.04	1.67
Utah	MWC	2.69	2.22	47.62	45.85	-0.13	-0.18
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	2.60	2.10	47.37	50.50	-0.14	0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	2.59	2.09	20.00	21.34	-1.55	-1.20
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	2.59	2.08	80.95	80.22	1.60	1.26
UC Santa Barbara	BW	2.55	2.07	57.89	58.02	0.40	0.33
Morehead St.	OVC	2.54	2.02	71.43	70.39	1.09	0.82
Boise St.	WAC	0.49	0.48	45.45	45.95	-0.04	-0.04
Colorado St.	MWC	0.38	0.41	59.09	52.85	0.07	0.02
UC Riverside	BW	0.57	0.40	33.33	36.45	-0.19	-0.11
Fresno St.	WAC	0.37	0.38	47.83	48.98	-0.02	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.47	0.36	45.00	48.32	-0.05	-0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.34	0.34	66.67	67.74	0.11	0.12
Air Force	MWC	0.27	0.34	35.00	30.59	-0.08	-0.13
Nevada	WAC	0.48	0.34	57.14	60.54	0.07	0.07
Cal Poly	BW	0.34	0.32	36.36	36.06	-0.09	-0.09
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.34	0.31	22.73	21.40	-0.18	-0.18
San Jose St.	WAC	0.15	0.30	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.31	0.29	36.36	33.80	-0.09	-0.10
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.43	0.28	47.83	44.39	-0.02	-0.03
UC Davis	BW	0.33	0.28	35.00	33.21	-0.10	-0.09
New Mexico	MWC	0.22	0.27	87.50	83.52	0.16	0.18
Texas Christian	MWC	0.21	0.26	40.91	38.27	-0.04	-0.06
Wyoming	MWC	0.21	0.26	33.33	30.72	-0.07	-0.10
Oregon	P10	0.28	0.22	54.55	48.81	0.03	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.28	0.21	68.18	68.10	0.10	0.08
Long Beach St.	BW	0.28	0.21	42.86	45.66	-0.04	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.22	0.21	39.13	43.30	-0.05	-0.03
UC Irvine	BW	0.17	0.18	36.36	40.08	-0.05	-0.03
Washington	P10	0.21	0.17	69.57	68.86	0.08	0.07
Southern California	P10	0.21	0.17	60.87	59.61	0.05	0.03
Denver	SB	0.21	0.17	60.87	59.58	0.05	0.03
Portland	WCC	0.16	0.17	61.90	65.68	0.04	0.05
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.16	0.16	61.90	56.37	0.04	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.17	0.15	33.33	34.27	-0.06	-0.05
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.17	0.14	38.10	38.08	-0.04	-0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.22	0.14	31.82	32.31	-0.08	-0.05
Arizona	P10	0.16	0.14	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.16	0.14	15.79	27.84	-0.11	-0.06
Washington St.	P10	0.11	0.14	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.16	0.13	86.96	84.62	0.12	0.09
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.13	82.61	75.26	0.07	0.06
Utah Valley	GWC	0.15	0.13	36.84	39.02	-0.04	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.16	0.10	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.10	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.11	0.10	66.67	69.41	0.04	0.04
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.11	0.10	26.32	31.51	-0.05	-0.04
Pepperdine	WCC	0.11	0.10	27.27	25.31	-0.05	-0.05
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.10	0.10	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.03
Oregon St.	P10	0.15	0.10	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.10	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.08	12.00	18.82	-0.05	-0.05
Memphis	CUSA	0.11	0.07	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.11	0.07	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.07	27.27	27.20	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.07	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.07	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.07	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.07	33.33	33.96	-0.04	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.07	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.07	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.07	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.07	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.07	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.06
Austin Peay	OVC	0.11	0.07	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.07	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.07	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.04
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.07	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.07	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.07	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.05
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.10	0.07	22.73	24.05	-0.06	-0.04
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.11	0.07	38.10	41.29	-0.03	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.07	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.05
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.07	31.82	30.34	-0.04	-0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.07	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.07	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.03
Stanford	P10	0.06	0.07	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.07	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.06
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.11	0.07	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.04
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.07	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.07	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.11	0.07	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.11	0.07	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.07	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.07	45.00	54.19	-0.00	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.00	0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.06	19.05	20.58	-0.06	-0.04
California	P10	0.06	0.04	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.01
Furman	SC	0.06	0.04	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.04	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.04	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.06	0.04	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.03	26.09	31.05	-0.03	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.02
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Weber St.	BSky	26.57	26.53	67.82	69.61	9.47	10.41
Utah St.	WAC	5.09	4.09	71.43	75.00	2.18	2.04
Montana	BSky	5.42	4.84	70.00	72.05	2.17	2.13
Brigham Young	MWC	2.76	2.26	86.96	87.00	2.04	1.67
Northern Colorado	BSky	3.27	4.89	78.26	78.84	1.85	2.82
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	2.59	2.08	80.95	80.22	1.60	1.26
Morehead St.	OVC	2.54	2.02	71.43	70.39	1.09	0.82
UC Santa Barbara	BW	2.55	2.07	57.89	58.02	0.40	0.33
Montana St.	BSky	5.48	4.87	52.63	52.71	0.29	0.26
New Mexico	MWC	0.22	0.27	87.50	83.52	0.16	0.18
St. Mary's	WCC	0.16	0.13	86.96	84.62	0.12	0.09
San Diego St.	MWC	0.34	0.34	66.67	67.74	0.11	0.12
Pacific	BW	0.28	0.21	68.18	68.10	0.10	0.08
Washington	P10	0.21	0.17	69.57	68.86	0.08	0.07
Nevada	WAC	0.48	0.34	57.14	60.54	0.07	0.07
Colorado St.	MWC	0.38	0.41	59.09	52.85	0.07	0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.13	82.61	75.26	0.07	0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.03
Southern California	P10	0.21	0.17	60.87	59.61	0.05	0.03
Denver	SB	0.21	0.17	60.87	59.58	0.05	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.11	0.07	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.07	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.05
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.16	0.16	61.90	56.37	0.04	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.16	0.17	61.90	65.68	0.04	0.05
Arizona St.	P10	0.11	0.07	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.11	0.10	66.67	69.41	0.04	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.07	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.11	0.14	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.02
Oregon	P10	0.28	0.22	54.55	48.81	0.03	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.07	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.04	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.10	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
California	P10	0.06	0.04	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.07	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.07	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.07	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.07	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.11	0.07	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.11	0.07	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.07	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.07	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Arizona	P10	0.16	0.14	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.07	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.11	0.07	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.10	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
San Jose St.	WAC	0.15	0.30	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.07	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.00	0.04
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.07	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
UCLA	P10	0.06	0.04	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.07	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.07	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.07	45.00	54.19	-0.00	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.06	0.07	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.07	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.06	0.04	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.15	0.10	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.16	0.10	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.37	0.38	47.83	48.98	-0.02	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.43	0.28	47.83	44.39	-0.02	-0.03
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.07	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.07	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.07	27.27	27.20	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.11	0.07	38.10	41.29	-0.03	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.03	26.09	31.05	-0.03	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.10	0.10	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.07	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.04
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.04	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.07	31.82	30.34	-0.04	-0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.21	0.26	40.91	38.27	-0.04	-0.06
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.07	33.33	33.96	-0.04	-0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.15	0.13	36.84	39.02	-0.04	-0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.28	0.21	42.86	45.66	-0.04	-0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.17	0.14	38.10	38.08	-0.04	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.07	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.06
Boise St.	WAC	0.49	0.48	45.45	45.95	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.08	12.00	18.82	-0.05	-0.05
UC Irvine	BW	0.17	0.18	36.36	40.08	-0.05	-0.03
Idaho	WAC	0.47	0.36	45.00	48.32	-0.05	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.22	0.21	39.13	43.30	-0.05	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.07	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.06
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.11	0.10	26.32	31.51	-0.05	-0.04
Pepperdine	WCC	0.11	0.10	27.27	25.31	-0.05	-0.05
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.10	0.07	22.73	24.05	-0.06	-0.04
Santa Clara	WCC	0.17	0.15	33.33	34.27	-0.06	-0.05
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.06	19.05	20.58	-0.06	-0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.11	0.07	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.04
Wyoming	MWC	0.21	0.26	33.33	30.72	-0.07	-0.10
Air Force	MWC	0.27	0.34	35.00	30.59	-0.08	-0.13
San Francisco	WCC	0.22	0.14	31.82	32.31	-0.08	-0.05
Hawaii	WAC	0.31	0.29	36.36	33.80	-0.09	-0.10
Cal Poly	BW	0.34	0.32	36.36	36.06	-0.09	-0.09
UC Davis	BW	0.33	0.28	35.00	33.21	-0.10	-0.09
North Dakota	GWC	0.16	0.14	15.79	27.84	-0.11	-0.06
Utah	MWC	2.69	2.22	47.62	45.85	-0.13	-0.18
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	2.60	2.10	47.37	50.50	-0.14	0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	3.19	4.83	47.37	48.88	-0.17	-0.11
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.34	0.31	22.73	21.40	-0.18	-0.18
UC Riverside	BW	0.57	0.40	33.33	36.45	-0.19	-0.11
Seattle	ind	2.70	2.37	43.48	47.17	-0.35	-0.13
Portland St.	BSky	3.13	4.91	40.00	41.19	-0.63	-0.86
Southern Utah	Sum	2.59	2.09	20.00	21.34	-1.55	-1.20
Sacramento St.	BSky	5.48	4.91	33.33	31.24	-1.83	-1.84
Eastern Washington	BSky	3.24	4.94	19.05	20.03	-2.00	-2.96
Idaho St.	BSky	3.46	4.97	20.00	25.56	-2.08	-2.43

BY EXPECTED (END-OF-SEASON) HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Weber St.	BSky	26.57	26.53	67.82	69.61	9.47	10.41
Northern Colorado	BSky	3.27	4.89	78.26	78.84	1.85	2.82
Montana	BSky	5.42	4.84	70.00	72.05	2.17	2.13
Utah St.	WAC	5.09	4.09	71.43	75.00	2.18	2.04
Brigham Young	MWC	2.76	2.26	86.96	87.00	2.04	1.67
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	2.59	2.08	80.95	80.22	1.60	1.26
Morehead St.	OVC	2.54	2.02	71.43	70.39	1.09	0.82
UC Santa Barbara	BW	2.55	2.07	57.89	58.02	0.40	0.33
Montana St.	BSky	5.48	4.87	52.63	52.71	0.29	0.26
New Mexico	MWC	0.22	0.27	87.50	83.52	0.16	0.18
San Diego St.	MWC	0.34	0.34	66.67	67.74	0.11	0.12
St. Mary's	WCC	0.16	0.13	86.96	84.62	0.12	0.09
Pacific	BW	0.28	0.21	68.18	68.10	0.10	0.08
Nevada	WAC	0.48	0.34	57.14	60.54	0.07	0.07
Washington	P10	0.21	0.17	69.57	68.86	0.08	0.07
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.13	82.61	75.26	0.07	0.06
Portland	WCC	0.16	0.17	61.90	65.68	0.04	0.05
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.07	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.05
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.07	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.05
Oakland	Sum	0.11	0.10	66.67	69.41	0.04	0.04
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.00	0.04
Southern California	P10	0.21	0.17	60.87	59.61	0.05	0.03
Denver	SB	0.21	0.17	60.87	59.58	0.05	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.11	0.07	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.07	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.11	0.14	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.11	0.07	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.38	0.41	59.09	52.85	0.07	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.07	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	2.60	2.10	47.37	50.50	-0.14	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.16	0.16	61.90	56.37	0.04	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.07	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.07	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.07	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.07	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
California	P10	0.06	0.04	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.07	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.04	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.16	0.14	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.11	0.07	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.11	0.07	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.07	45.00	54.19	-0.00	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00