The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated North Dakota page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

North Dakota

Conference:		GWC
Expected RPI:		339.0
Current RPI:		339
Expected SOS:		339
Current SOS:		339
Current Record:		6-22
Expected Record:		6-22
Current Conf Record:		5-8
Expected Conf Record:		5-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-14
Current OOC Record:		1-14
Expected OOC Record:		1-14
Expected OOC RPI:		330
Expected OOC SOS:		219

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
6-22		339.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for North Dakota.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Montana (97.0)	BSky	A	37-61	L	0%	0.0
11-14	Loyola Marymount (174.0)	WCC	N	60-83	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Boise St. (203.0)	WAC	N	60-75	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Missouri Kansas City (281.0)	Sum	H	63-70	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Northern Colorado (117.0)	BSky	H	63-70	L	0%	0.0
11-29	Wisconsin Green Bay (107.0)	Horz	H	41-67	L	0%	0.0
12-4	Texas Arlington (235.0)	Slnd	N	65-75	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Drake (179.0)	MVC	A	63-72	L	0%	0.0
12-12	IUPU Fort Wayne (225.0)	Sum	A	52-73	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Northern Iowa (17.0)	MVC	H	41-64	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Iowa St. (124.0)	B12	A	52-83	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Northern Illinois (261.0)	MAC	A	45-66	L	0%	0.0
1-5	Texas A&M (12.0)	B12	A	41-82	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Utah Valley (342.0)	GWC	A	67-62	W	100%	0.0
1-16	South Dakota (215.0)	GWC	A	64-74	L	0%	0.0
1-23	South Dakota (215.0)	GWC	H	64-82	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Texas Pan American (336.0)	GWC	A	78-74	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Houston Baptist (328.0)	GWC	A	65-75	L	0%	0.0
2-7	SIU Edwardsville (322.0)	OVC	A	57-50	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Chicago St. (345.0)	GWC	H	74-60	W	100%	0.0
2-18	SIU Edwardsville (322.0)	OVC	H	76-91	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Utah Valley (342.0)	GWC	H	74-58	W	100%	0.0
2-23	NJ Inst of Technology (341.0)	GWC	H	90-78	W	100%	0.0
2-25	Chicago St. (345.0)	GWC	A	61-71	L	0%	0.0
2-28	NJ Inst of Technology (341.0)	GWC	A	73-91	L	0%	0.0
3-4	Houston Baptist (328.0)	GWC	H	81-91	L	0%	0.0
3-6	Texas Pan American (336.0)	GWC	H	68-71	L	0%	0.0
3-10	NJ Inst of Technology (341.0)	GWC	N	57-70	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

North Dakota's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

North Dakota's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against North Dakota.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
North Dakota	GWC	26.42	26.42	22.06	22.06	-14.77	-14.77
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	6.02	6.02	20.00	20.00	-3.61	-3.61
Houston Baptist	GWC	4.65	4.65	32.26	32.26	-1.65	-1.65
South Dakota	GWC	4.52	4.52	64.00	64.00	1.26	1.26
Texas Pan American	GWC	4.40	4.40	16.13	16.13	-2.98	-2.98
Chicago St.	GWC	4.36	4.36	19.23	19.23	-2.68	-2.68
Utah Valley	GWC	4.33	4.33	33.33	33.33	-1.44	-1.44
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	3.86	3.86	8.33	8.33	-3.22	-3.22
Drake	MVC	2.03	2.03	40.62	40.62	-0.38	-0.38
Texas Arlington	Slnd	2.03	2.03	44.00	44.00	-0.24	-0.24
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	1.99	1.99	46.43	46.43	-0.14	-0.14
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	1.97	1.97	33.33	33.33	-0.66	-0.66
Montana	BSky	1.96	1.96	67.86	67.86	0.70	0.70
Iowa St.	B12	1.93	1.93	45.16	45.16	-0.19	-0.19
Northern Iowa	MVC	1.92	1.92	87.10	87.10	1.43	1.43
Boise St.	WAC	1.90	1.90	43.33	43.33	-0.25	-0.25
Northern Colorado	BSky	1.88	1.88	75.86	75.86	0.97	0.97
Northern Illinois	MAC	1.88	1.88	31.03	31.03	-0.71	-0.71
Loyola Marymount	WCC	1.88	1.88	51.61	51.61	0.06	0.06
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	1.84	1.84	60.00	60.00	0.37	0.37
Texas A&M	B12	1.81	1.81	70.00	70.00	0.73	0.73
Nebraska	B12	0.26	0.26	45.45	45.45	-0.02	-0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.26	0.26	16.13	16.13	-0.17	-0.17
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.25	0.25	33.33	33.33	-0.08	-0.08
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.25	0.25	25.00	25.00	-0.12	-0.12
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.24	0.24	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.22	0.22	24.14	24.14	-0.11	-0.11
Oakland	Sum	0.22	0.22	75.00	75.00	0.11	0.11
Idaho St.	BSky	0.21	0.21	18.52	18.52	-0.13	-0.13
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.21	0.21	46.15	46.15	-0.02	-0.02
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.20	0.20	25.00	25.00	-0.10	-0.10
Bradley	MVC	0.20	0.20	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.18	0.18	27.59	27.59	-0.08	-0.08
Evansville	MVC	0.18	0.18	27.59	27.59	-0.08	-0.08
Illinois St.	MVC	0.18	0.18	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.18	0.18	59.26	59.26	0.03	0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.18	0.18	60.61	60.61	0.04	0.04
Missouri	B12	0.17	0.17	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Wichita St.	MVC	0.17	0.17	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
Texas	B12	0.17	0.17	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.17	0.17	69.70	69.70	0.07	0.07
Seattle	ind	0.17	0.17	54.84	54.84	0.02	0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.16	0.16	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Longwood	ind	0.16	0.16	29.63	29.63	-0.07	-0.07
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.16	0.16	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.16	0.16	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.16	0.16	18.52	18.52	-0.10	-0.10
Utah St.	WAC	0.16	0.16	78.79	78.79	0.09	0.09
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.15	0.15	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.15	0.15	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Weber St.	BSky	0.15	0.15	64.29	64.29	0.04	0.04
Texas Tech	B12	0.15	0.15	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.15	0.15	31.03	31.03	-0.06	-0.06
Kansas St.	B12	0.15	0.15	78.12	78.12	0.08	0.08
Detroit	Horz	0.15	0.15	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Montana St.	BSky	0.15	0.15	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.15	0.15	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Virginia	ACC	0.15	0.15	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
North Texas	SB	0.15	0.15	73.33	73.33	0.07	0.07
Indiana St.	MVC	0.14	0.14	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.14	0.14	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.14	0.14	87.50	87.50	0.10	0.10
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.14	0.14	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.13	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Ball St.	MAC	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.13	0.13	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.13	0.13	61.76	61.76	0.03	0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.13	0.13	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.13	0.13	22.22	22.22	-0.07	-0.07
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.13	0.13	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.13	0.13	37.04	37.04	-0.03	-0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.12	0.12	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.12	0.12	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.12	0.12	35.71	35.71	-0.04	-0.04
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.12	0.12	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.12	0.12	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.12	0.12	28.57	28.57	-0.05	-0.05
Baylor	B12	0.12	0.12	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.12	0.12	28.00	28.00	-0.05	-0.05
Oklahoma	B12	0.12	0.12	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.11	80.65	80.65	0.07	0.07
Kansas	B12	0.11	0.11	94.12	94.12	0.10	0.10
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.11	0.11	30.00	30.00	-0.04	-0.04
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
California	P10	0.10	0.10	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Georgia St.	CAA	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Lafayette	Pat	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Manhattan	MAAC	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.10	0.10	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.10	0.10	70.00	70.00	0.04	0.04
Vermont	AE	0.10	0.10	73.53	73.53	0.05	0.05
Yale	Ivy	0.10	0.10	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.09	0.09	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.09	0.09	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.09	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.09	0.09	9.68	9.68	-0.07	-0.07
Denver	SB	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.09	0.09	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.09	0.09	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.09	0.09	24.14	24.14	-0.05	-0.05
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.09	0.09	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.09	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Colorado	B12	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.08	0.08	20.69	20.69	-0.05	-0.05
San Francisco	WCC	0.08	0.08	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.08	0.08	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.08	0.08	31.25	31.25	-0.03	-0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	6.45	6.45	-0.06	-0.06
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.07	0.07	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.07	0.07	84.38	84.38	0.05	0.05
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.07	0.07	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.07	0.07	7.41	7.41	-0.06	-0.06
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.07	0.07	23.08	23.08	-0.04	-0.04
Cornell	Ivy	0.07	0.07	86.21	86.21	0.05	0.05
Marquette	BE	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	17.24	17.24	-0.04	-0.04
Colorado St.	MWC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Washington	P10	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Butler	Horz	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.06	0.06	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Portland	WCC	0.06	0.06	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.06	83.33	83.33	0.04	0.04
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	55.56	55.56	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
UC Riverside	BW	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Temple	A10	0.03	0.03	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.03	0.03	87.88	87.88	0.02	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.03	0.03	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.03	0.03	67.86	67.86	0.01	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
San Diego St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
North Dakota	GWC	26.42	26.42	22.06	22.06	-14.77	-14.77
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	6.02	6.02	20.00	20.00	-3.61	-3.61
Houston Baptist	GWC	4.65	4.65	32.26	32.26	-1.65	-1.65
South Dakota	GWC	4.52	4.52	64.00	64.00	1.26	1.26
Texas Pan American	GWC	4.40	4.40	16.13	16.13	-2.98	-2.98
Chicago St.	GWC	4.36	4.36	19.23	19.23	-2.68	-2.68
Utah Valley	GWC	4.33	4.33	33.33	33.33	-1.44	-1.44
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	3.86	3.86	8.33	8.33	-3.22	-3.22
Drake	MVC	2.03	2.03	40.62	40.62	-0.38	-0.38
Texas Arlington	Slnd	2.03	2.03	44.00	44.00	-0.24	-0.24
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	1.99	1.99	46.43	46.43	-0.14	-0.14
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	1.97	1.97	33.33	33.33	-0.66	-0.66
Montana	BSky	1.96	1.96	67.86	67.86	0.70	0.70
Iowa St.	B12	1.93	1.93	45.16	45.16	-0.19	-0.19
Northern Iowa	MVC	1.92	1.92	87.10	87.10	1.43	1.43
Boise St.	WAC	1.90	1.90	43.33	43.33	-0.25	-0.25
Northern Colorado	BSky	1.88	1.88	75.86	75.86	0.97	0.97
Northern Illinois	MAC	1.88	1.88	31.03	31.03	-0.71	-0.71
Loyola Marymount	WCC	1.88	1.88	51.61	51.61	0.06	0.06
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	1.84	1.84	60.00	60.00	0.37	0.37
Texas A&M	B12	1.81	1.81	70.00	70.00	0.73	0.73
Nebraska	B12	0.26	0.26	45.45	45.45	-0.02	-0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.26	0.26	16.13	16.13	-0.17	-0.17
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.25	0.25	33.33	33.33	-0.08	-0.08
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.25	0.25	25.00	25.00	-0.12	-0.12
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.24	0.24	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.22	0.22	24.14	24.14	-0.11	-0.11
Oakland	Sum	0.22	0.22	75.00	75.00	0.11	0.11
Idaho St.	BSky	0.21	0.21	18.52	18.52	-0.13	-0.13
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.21	0.21	46.15	46.15	-0.02	-0.02
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.20	0.20	25.00	25.00	-0.10	-0.10
Bradley	MVC	0.20	0.20	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.18	0.18	27.59	27.59	-0.08	-0.08
Evansville	MVC	0.18	0.18	27.59	27.59	-0.08	-0.08
Illinois St.	MVC	0.18	0.18	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.18	0.18	59.26	59.26	0.03	0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.18	0.18	60.61	60.61	0.04	0.04
Missouri	B12	0.17	0.17	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Wichita St.	MVC	0.17	0.17	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
Texas	B12	0.17	0.17	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.17	0.17	69.70	69.70	0.07	0.07
Seattle	ind	0.17	0.17	54.84	54.84	0.02	0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.16	0.16	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Longwood	ind	0.16	0.16	29.63	29.63	-0.07	-0.07
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.16	0.16	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.16	0.16	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.16	0.16	18.52	18.52	-0.10	-0.10
Utah St.	WAC	0.16	0.16	78.79	78.79	0.09	0.09
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.15	0.15	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.15	0.15	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Weber St.	BSky	0.15	0.15	64.29	64.29	0.04	0.04
Texas Tech	B12	0.15	0.15	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.15	0.15	31.03	31.03	-0.06	-0.06
Kansas St.	B12	0.15	0.15	78.12	78.12	0.08	0.08
Detroit	Horz	0.15	0.15	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Montana St.	BSky	0.15	0.15	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.15	0.15	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Virginia	ACC	0.15	0.15	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
North Texas	SB	0.15	0.15	73.33	73.33	0.07	0.07
Indiana St.	MVC	0.14	0.14	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.14	0.14	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.14	0.14	87.50	87.50	0.10	0.10
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.14	0.14	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.13	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Ball St.	MAC	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.13	0.13	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.13	0.13	61.76	61.76	0.03	0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.13	0.13	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.13	0.13	22.22	22.22	-0.07	-0.07
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.13	0.13	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.13	0.13	37.04	37.04	-0.03	-0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.12	0.12	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.12	0.12	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.12	0.12	35.71	35.71	-0.04	-0.04
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.12	0.12	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.12	0.12	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.12	0.12	28.57	28.57	-0.05	-0.05
Baylor	B12	0.12	0.12	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.12	0.12	28.00	28.00	-0.05	-0.05
Oklahoma	B12	0.12	0.12	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.11	80.65	80.65	0.07	0.07
Kansas	B12	0.11	0.11	94.12	94.12	0.10	0.10
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.11	0.11	30.00	30.00	-0.04	-0.04
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
California	P10	0.10	0.10	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Georgia St.	CAA	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Lafayette	Pat	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Manhattan	MAAC	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.10	0.10	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.10	0.10	70.00	70.00	0.04	0.04
Vermont	AE	0.10	0.10	73.53	73.53	0.05	0.05
Yale	Ivy	0.10	0.10	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.09	0.09	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.09	0.09	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.09	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.09	0.09	9.68	9.68	-0.07	-0.07
Denver	SB	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.09	0.09	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.09	0.09	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.09	0.09	24.14	24.14	-0.05	-0.05
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.09	0.09	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.09	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Colorado	B12	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.08	0.08	20.69	20.69	-0.05	-0.05
San Francisco	WCC	0.08	0.08	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.08	0.08	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.08	0.08	31.25	31.25	-0.03	-0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	6.45	6.45	-0.06	-0.06
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.07	0.07	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.07	0.07	84.38	84.38	0.05	0.05
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.07	0.07	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.07	0.07	7.41	7.41	-0.06	-0.06
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.07	0.07	23.08	23.08	-0.04	-0.04
Cornell	Ivy	0.07	0.07	86.21	86.21	0.05	0.05
Marquette	BE	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	17.24	17.24	-0.04	-0.04
Colorado St.	MWC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Washington	P10	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Butler	Horz	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.06	0.06	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Portland	WCC	0.06	0.06	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.06	83.33	83.33	0.04	0.04
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	55.56	55.56	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
UC Riverside	BW	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Temple	A10	0.03	0.03	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.03	0.03	87.88	87.88	0.02	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.03	0.03	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.03	0.03	67.86	67.86	0.01	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
San Diego St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northern Iowa	MVC	1.92	1.92	87.10	87.10	1.43	1.43
South Dakota	GWC	4.52	4.52	64.00	64.00	1.26	1.26
Northern Colorado	BSky	1.88	1.88	75.86	75.86	0.97	0.97
Texas A&M	B12	1.81	1.81	70.00	70.00	0.73	0.73
Montana	BSky	1.96	1.96	67.86	67.86	0.70	0.70
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	1.84	1.84	60.00	60.00	0.37	0.37
Oakland	Sum	0.22	0.22	75.00	75.00	0.11	0.11
Murray St.	OVC	0.14	0.14	87.50	87.50	0.10	0.10
Kansas	B12	0.11	0.11	94.12	94.12	0.10	0.10
Utah St.	WAC	0.16	0.16	78.79	78.79	0.09	0.09
Kansas St.	B12	0.15	0.15	78.12	78.12	0.08	0.08
Wichita St.	MVC	0.17	0.17	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
Texas	B12	0.17	0.17	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.11	80.65	80.65	0.07	0.07
North Texas	SB	0.15	0.15	73.33	73.33	0.07	0.07
Illinois St.	MVC	0.18	0.18	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Baylor	B12	0.12	0.12	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.17	0.17	69.70	69.70	0.07	0.07
Missouri	B12	0.17	0.17	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Loyola Marymount	WCC	1.88	1.88	51.61	51.61	0.06	0.06
IUPUI	Sum	0.15	0.15	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Cornell	Ivy	0.07	0.07	86.21	86.21	0.05	0.05
Morehead St.	OVC	0.13	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Purdue	B10	0.07	0.07	84.38	84.38	0.05	0.05
Vermont	AE	0.10	0.10	73.53	73.53	0.05	0.05
Weber St.	BSky	0.15	0.15	64.29	64.29	0.04	0.04
Butler	Horz	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Stony Brook	AE	0.10	0.10	70.00	70.00	0.04	0.04
California	P10	0.10	0.10	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.18	0.18	60.61	60.61	0.04	0.04
St. Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.06	83.33	83.33	0.04	0.04
Lehigh	Pat	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.09	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.18	0.18	59.26	59.26	0.03	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.09	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.13	0.13	61.76	61.76	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Washington	P10	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.07	0.07	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.13	0.13	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.15	0.15	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02