The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Louisiana Monroe page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Louisiana Monroe

Conference:		SB
Expected RPI:		269.6
Current RPI:		255
Expected SOS:		259
Current SOS:		253
Current Record:		8-14
Expected Record:		10-17
Current Conf Record:		5-8
Expected Conf Record:		7-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		3-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-6
Current OOC Record:		3-6
Expected OOC Record:		3-6
Expected OOC RPI:		255
Expected OOC SOS:		255

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
13-14	214.6	0.17%
12-15	233.4	3.36%
11-16	249.6	17.45%
10-17	265.7	37.80%
9-18	282.2	33.42%
8-19	297.1	7.79%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Louisiana Monroe.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Louisiana St. (220.8)	SEC	A	62-82	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Alcorn St. (345.0)	SWAC	H	82-66	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Oklahoma (79.8)	B12	A	61-72	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Morehead St. (95.2)	OVC	A	74-73	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Grambling (338.6)	SWAC	H	76-66	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Centenary (292.2)	Sum	A	84-94	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Louisiana Tech (61.3)	WAC	H	73-76	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Alabama (106.5)	SEC	A	46-74	L	0%	0.0
12-13	North Texas (158.4)	SB	A	62-79	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Northern Colorado (103.7)	BSky	A	84-95	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Denver (148.7)	SB	A	65-87	L	0%	0.0
12-31	Troy (170.2)	SB	H	82-83	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Arkansas Little Rock (266.4)	SB	H	68-64	W	100%	0.0
1-7	Florida International (286.4)	SB	A	56-62	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Florida Atlantic (201.1)	SB	A	61-74	L	0%	0.0
1-14	South Alabama (221.2)	SB	H	61-58	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Denver (148.7)	SB	H	64-53	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Middle Tennessee (188.1)	SB	H	60-69	L	0%	0.0
1-23	New Orleans (324.6)	SB	A	48-47	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Troy (170.2)	SB	A	56-75	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Louisiana Lafayette (203.7)	SB	H	67-72	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Western Kentucky (159.1)	SB	H	67-66	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Arkansas Little Rock (266.4)	SB	A	0-0		30%	-5.6
2-15	Arkansas St. (167.5)	SB	A	0-0		17%	-10.3
2-18	New Orleans (324.6)	SB	H	0-0		74%	7.1
2-20	Louisiana Lafayette (203.7)	SB	A	0-0		15%	-11.4
2-27	North Texas (158.4)	SB	H	0-0		40%	-2.7

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Louisiana Monroe's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Louisiana Monroe's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Louisiana Monroe.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Louisiana Monroe	SB	26.34	26.30	35.56	35.89	-7.61	-7.42
Troy	SB	5.14	4.40	42.11	46.25	-0.81	-0.33
Denver	SB	5.05	4.55	61.90	60.29	1.20	0.94
South Alabama	SB	3.04	2.71	50.00	49.31	0.00	-0.04
Western Kentucky	SB	3.04	2.69	56.52	57.86	0.40	0.42
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	2.99	4.57	45.00	45.09	-0.30	-0.45
Florida International	SB	2.95	2.69	20.83	21.11	-1.72	-1.56
Florida Atlantic	SB	2.93	2.69	42.86	45.46	-0.42	-0.24
New Orleans	SB	2.93	4.51	23.81	23.65	-1.54	-2.37
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.89	2.69	50.00	53.33	0.00	0.18
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	2.83	4.57	25.00	27.87	-1.42	-2.02
North Texas	SB	2.83	4.51	60.00	62.40	0.57	1.12
Centenary	Sum	2.49	2.02	23.81	24.40	-1.31	-1.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.47	2.01	36.36	33.15	-0.67	-0.68
Northern Colorado	BSky	2.42	1.95	78.26	77.24	1.37	1.06
Alcorn St.	SWAC	2.39	1.96	0.00	5.32	-2.39	-1.75
Louisiana Tech	WAC	2.38	1.95	81.82	74.43	1.51	0.96
Grambling	SWAC	2.37	1.95	25.00	26.96	-1.19	-0.90
Oklahoma	B12	2.37	1.92	57.14	49.45	0.34	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	2.37	1.91	54.55	52.55	0.22	0.10
Morehead St.	OVC	2.27	1.85	71.43	70.39	0.97	0.76
Arkansas St.	SB	0.72	2.79	57.14	56.11	0.10	0.34
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.27	0.23	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.27	0.17	66.67	65.54	0.09	0.05
Florida	SEC	0.26	0.17	73.91	67.72	0.12	0.06
Southern	SWAC	0.23	0.20	19.05	20.58	-0.15	-0.12
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.22	0.23	45.00	54.19	-0.02	0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.22	0.13	23.53	26.10	-0.12	-0.06
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.22	0.20	33.33	46.80	-0.07	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.21	0.16	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.21	0.24	55.56	55.85	0.02	0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.21	0.19	45.45	42.62	-0.02	-0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.21	0.14	82.61	78.56	0.14	0.08
Mississippi	SEC	0.20	0.26	73.91	72.52	0.10	0.12
Lamar	Slnd	0.20	0.20	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.20	0.13	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.20	0.16	26.32	31.51	-0.09	-0.06
Arkansas	SEC	0.20	0.22	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.20	0.19	69.57	68.48	0.08	0.07
Murray St.	OVC	0.19	0.16	86.96	85.47	0.14	0.11
Montana	BSky	0.19	0.13	68.18	70.35	0.07	0.05
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.16	0.13	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.15	0.17	31.82	29.58	-0.06	-0.07
Rice	CUSA	0.15	0.13	31.82	30.34	-0.06	-0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.15	0.10	20.00	24.04	-0.09	-0.05
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.15	0.09	22.22	26.51	-0.08	-0.04
Tulsa	CUSA	0.15	0.13	77.27	70.93	0.08	0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.15	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.09	0.05
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.15	0.09	39.13	43.30	-0.03	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.15	0.10	59.09	52.85	0.03	0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.15	0.09	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.15	0.12	76.19	73.20	0.08	0.06
Wyoming	MWC	0.15	0.10	33.33	30.72	-0.05	-0.04
Marquette	BE	0.12	0.07	65.22	66.09	0.04	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.12	0.13	28.57	36.52	-0.05	-0.04
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.12	0.13	33.33	39.38	-0.04	-0.03
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.12	0.17	22.73	27.28	-0.06	-0.08
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.12	0.13	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.11	0.07	17.39	20.11	-0.07	-0.04
Valparaiso	Horz	0.11	0.07	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.13	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.04
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.11	0.14	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.11	0.13	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.04
Boise St.	WAC	0.10	0.13	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.10	0.07	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.16	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.10	0.07	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.10	0.07	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.07	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.07	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.10	0.07	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.10	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.02
Albany	AE	0.10	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.05	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.09	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.10	0.20	22.73	24.05	-0.06	-0.10
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
North Florida	ASun	0.10	0.10	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.10	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.08	-0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.10	77.27	75.69	0.06	0.05
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.06	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.09	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.05
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	70.59	72.98	0.04	0.05
Southern Utah	Sum	0.10	0.10	19.05	20.55	-0.06	-0.06
Weber St.	BSky	0.10	0.10	61.90	65.04	0.02	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.10	0.09	61.90	56.37	0.02	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.10	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.08	0.05
Portland	WCC	0.10	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.02	0.02
Seattle	ind	0.10	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.10	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.08	-0.04
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.10	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.03
Hawaii	WAC	0.10	0.09	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.10	0.10	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.10	0.10	30.43	29.01	-0.04	-0.04
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.09	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.10	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.05	0.02
Montana St.	BSky	0.09	0.06	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.09	0.06	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.07	0.04	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.07	0.04	78.26	78.92	0.04	0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.07	36.36	36.06	-0.01	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.07	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.10	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.04
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.10	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.07	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.07	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.05	0.03	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.07	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.07	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.07	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.07	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.02
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.07	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.10	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.05
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.10	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.08
Texas	B12	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.04
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.07	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.07	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	48.32	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.04
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.02	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.01
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.01
Samford	SC	0.05	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.03	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.03	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.06	18.18	19.18	-0.03	-0.04
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	15.79	27.84	-0.03	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.00	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.00	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.00	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Louisiana Monroe	SB	26.34	26.30	35.56	35.89	-7.61	-7.42
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	2.99	4.57	45.00	45.09	-0.30	-0.45
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	2.83	4.57	25.00	27.87	-1.42	-2.02
Denver	SB	5.05	4.55	61.90	60.29	1.20	0.94
North Texas	SB	2.83	4.51	60.00	62.40	0.57	1.12
New Orleans	SB	2.93	4.51	23.81	23.65	-1.54	-2.37
Troy	SB	5.14	4.40	42.11	46.25	-0.81	-0.33
Arkansas St.	SB	0.72	2.79	57.14	56.11	0.10	0.34
South Alabama	SB	3.04	2.71	50.00	49.31	0.00	-0.04
Florida International	SB	2.95	2.69	20.83	21.11	-1.72	-1.56
Western Kentucky	SB	3.04	2.69	56.52	57.86	0.40	0.42
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.89	2.69	50.00	53.33	0.00	0.18
Florida Atlantic	SB	2.93	2.69	42.86	45.46	-0.42	-0.24
Centenary	Sum	2.49	2.02	23.81	24.40	-1.31	-1.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.47	2.01	36.36	33.15	-0.67	-0.68
Alcorn St.	SWAC	2.39	1.96	0.00	5.32	-2.39	-1.75
Louisiana Tech	WAC	2.38	1.95	81.82	74.43	1.51	0.96
Northern Colorado	BSky	2.42	1.95	78.26	77.24	1.37	1.06
Grambling	SWAC	2.37	1.95	25.00	26.96	-1.19	-0.90
Oklahoma	B12	2.37	1.92	57.14	49.45	0.34	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	2.37	1.91	54.55	52.55	0.22	0.10
Morehead St.	OVC	2.27	1.85	71.43	70.39	0.97	0.76
Mississippi	SEC	0.20	0.26	73.91	72.52	0.10	0.12
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.21	0.24	55.56	55.85	0.02	0.03
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.22	0.23	45.00	54.19	-0.02	0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.27	0.23	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.20	0.22	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.23	0.20	19.05	20.58	-0.15	-0.12
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.10	0.20	22.73	24.05	-0.06	-0.10
Lamar	Slnd	0.20	0.20	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.22	0.20	33.33	46.80	-0.07	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.21	0.19	45.45	42.62	-0.02	-0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.20	0.19	69.57	68.48	0.08	0.07
Marshall	CUSA	0.27	0.17	66.67	65.54	0.09	0.05
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.12	0.17	22.73	27.28	-0.06	-0.08
Tulane	CUSA	0.15	0.17	31.82	29.58	-0.06	-0.07
Florida	SEC	0.26	0.17	73.91	67.72	0.12	0.06
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.16	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.21	0.16	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.20	0.16	26.32	31.51	-0.09	-0.06
Murray St.	OVC	0.19	0.16	86.96	85.47	0.14	0.11
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.11	0.14	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.21	0.14	82.61	78.56	0.14	0.08
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.12	0.13	28.57	36.52	-0.05	-0.04
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.12	0.13	33.33	39.38	-0.04	-0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.12	0.13	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.16	0.13	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.15	0.13	31.82	30.34	-0.06	-0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.15	0.13	77.27	70.93	0.08	0.06
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.20	0.13	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.22	0.13	23.53	26.10	-0.12	-0.06
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.13	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.11	0.13	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.04
Boise St.	WAC	0.10	0.13	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Montana	BSky	0.19	0.13	68.18	70.35	0.07	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.15	0.12	76.19	73.20	0.08	0.06
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.10	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.04
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.10	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.03
Southern Utah	Sum	0.10	0.10	19.05	20.55	-0.06	-0.06
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.10	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.05
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.10	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.08
North Florida	ASun	0.10	0.10	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	70.59	72.98	0.04	0.05
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.10	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.10	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.15	0.10	20.00	24.04	-0.09	-0.05
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.10	0.10	30.43	29.01	-0.04	-0.04
Weber St.	BSky	0.10	0.10	61.90	65.04	0.02	0.03
Colorado St.	MWC	0.15	0.10	59.09	52.85	0.03	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.15	0.10	33.33	30.72	-0.05	-0.04
Indiana St.	MVC	0.10	0.10	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.10	77.27	75.69	0.06	0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.15	0.09	39.13	43.30	-0.03	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.15	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.09	0.05
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.09	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.05
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.09	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.04
Hawaii	WAC	0.10	0.09	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.03
San Jose St.	WAC	0.15	0.09	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.15	0.09	22.22	26.51	-0.08	-0.04
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.09	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.10	0.09	61.90	56.37	0.02	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.12	0.07	65.22	66.09	0.04	0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.11	0.07	17.39	20.11	-0.07	-0.04
Valparaiso	Horz	0.11	0.07	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.07	36.36	36.06	-0.01	-0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.07	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.07	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.10	0.07	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.07	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.07	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.07	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.07	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.07	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.07	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.07	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.07	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.07	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.10	0.07	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.07	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.10	0.07	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.10	0.07	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.10	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.08	-0.05
Albany	AE	0.10	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.05	-0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.06	18.18	19.18	-0.03	-0.04
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.09	0.06	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.09	0.06	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.10	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.08	0.05
Portland	WCC	0.10	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.02	0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.10	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.10	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.05	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.04
Texas	B12	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.04
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.06	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.05
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	48.32	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.10	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.08	-0.04
Massachusetts	A10	0.07	0.04	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.07	0.04	78.26	78.92	0.04	0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.05	0.03	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.03	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.02	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	15.79	27.84	-0.03	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.00	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.00	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Samford	SC	0.05	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.00	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.00	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.03	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Louisiana Tech	WAC	2.38	1.95	81.82	74.43	1.51	0.96
Northern Colorado	BSky	2.42	1.95	78.26	77.24	1.37	1.06
Denver	SB	5.05	4.55	61.90	60.29	1.20	0.94
Morehead St.	OVC	2.27	1.85	71.43	70.39	0.97	0.76
North Texas	SB	2.83	4.51	60.00	62.40	0.57	1.12
Western Kentucky	SB	3.04	2.69	56.52	57.86	0.40	0.42
Oklahoma	B12	2.37	1.92	57.14	49.45	0.34	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	2.37	1.91	54.55	52.55	0.22	0.10
Murray St.	OVC	0.19	0.16	86.96	85.47	0.14	0.11
UAB	CUSA	0.21	0.14	82.61	78.56	0.14	0.08
Florida	SEC	0.26	0.17	73.91	67.72	0.12	0.06
Arkansas St.	SB	0.72	2.79	57.14	56.11	0.10	0.34
Mississippi	SEC	0.20	0.26	73.91	72.52	0.10	0.12
Tennessee	SEC	0.15	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.09	0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
Marshall	CUSA	0.27	0.17	66.67	65.54	0.09	0.05
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.10	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.08	0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.15	0.13	77.27	70.93	0.08	0.06
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.20	0.19	69.57	68.48	0.08	0.07
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.15	0.12	76.19	73.20	0.08	0.06
Montana	BSky	0.19	0.13	68.18	70.35	0.07	0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.10	77.27	75.69	0.06	0.05
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.09	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.04
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.09	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.11	0.13	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.04
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.05	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.05
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.13	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	70.59	72.98	0.04	0.05
Wisconsin	B10	0.07	0.04	78.26	78.92	0.04	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.12	0.07	65.22	66.09	0.04	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.07	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.03
Texas	B12	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.04
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.10	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.10	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.15	0.10	59.09	52.85	0.03	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.10	0.10	61.90	65.04	0.02	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.10	0.09	61.90	56.37	0.02	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.10	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.02	0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.21	0.24	55.56	55.85	0.02	0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.10	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.04
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01