The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Boise St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Boise St.

Conference:		WAC
Expected RPI:		214.6
Current RPI:		225
Expected SOS:		192
Current SOS:		229
Current Record:		10-12
Expected Record:		14-16
Current Conf Record:		2-8
Expected Conf Record:		4-12
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-7
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-3
Current OOC Record:		8-4
Expected OOC Record:		10-4
Expected OOC RPI:		175
Expected OOC SOS:		338

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
18-12	145.5	0.04%
17-13	163.2	0.54%
16-14	179.6	5.10%
15-15	195.5	19.58%
14-16	211.9	34.66%
13-17	227.1	28.37%
12-18	239.7	10.03%
11-19	251.1	1.51%
10-20	259.2	0.16%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Boise St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Loyola Marymount (205.8)	WCC	N	90-87	W	100%	0.0
11-14	Montana (102.0)	BSky	A	82-95	L	0%	0.0
11-15	North Dakota (331.4)	GWC	N	75-60	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Wyoming (206.8)	MWC	A	61-87	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Eastern Washington (292.9)	BSky	A	82-69	W	100%	0.0
11-28	North Texas (158.7)	SB	H	79-73	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Illinois (76.1)	B10	A	77-84	L	0%	0.0
12-9	Idaho St. (275.5)	BSky	A	79-67	W	100%	0.0
12-12	San Diego (226.5)	WCC	H	56-59	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Houston Baptist (342.6)	GWC	H	96-59	W	100%	0.0
12-21	Portland St. (210.0)	BSky	H	69-62	W	100%	0.0
12-23	Montana St. (193.0)	BSky	H	58-56	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Fresno St. (161.3)	WAC	A	68-71	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Hawaii (235.4)	WAC	A	68-76	L	0%	0.0
1-9	New Mexico St. (76.7)	WAC	H	85-88	L	0%	0.0
1-11	Louisiana Tech (65.6)	WAC	H	64-79	L	0%	0.0
1-14	San Jose St. (142.3)	WAC	A	74-76	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Utah St. (33.8)	WAC	A	59-81	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Nevada (64.4)	WAC	H	82-88	L	0%	0.0
1-25	Idaho (148.8)	WAC	A	77-67	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Fresno St. (161.3)	WAC	H	65-49	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Idaho (148.8)	WAC	H	55-79	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Utah St. (33.8)	WAC	H	0-0		17%	-10.4
2-13	Nevada (64.4)	WAC	A	0-0		12%	-12.7
2-17	Cal St. Bakersfield (322.1)	ind	H	0-0		88%	12.8
2-20	UC Davis (285.6)	BW	H	0-0		82%	10.2
2-25	Louisiana Tech (65.6)	WAC	A	0-0		15%	-11.3
2-27	New Mexico St. (76.7)	WAC	A	0-0		29%	-6.0
3-4	Hawaii (235.4)	WAC	H	0-0		74%	7.1
3-6	San Jose St. (142.3)	WAC	H	0-0		61%	2.9

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Boise St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Boise St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Boise St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Boise St.	WAC	26.36	26.32	45.10	44.03	-2.58	-3.14
Fresno St.	WAC	5.12	4.25	47.62	48.92	-0.24	-0.09
Idaho	WAC	5.05	4.15	44.44	48.19	-0.56	-0.15
Utah St.	WAC	2.96	4.19	72.73	75.62	1.35	2.15
Nevada	WAC	2.89	4.19	55.00	58.07	0.29	0.68
San Jose St.	WAC	2.89	4.18	47.62	46.53	-0.14	-0.29
Hawaii	WAC	2.89	4.12	33.33	31.65	-0.96	-1.51
Louisiana Tech	WAC	2.85	4.13	78.26	72.06	1.61	1.82
New Mexico St.	WAC	2.84	4.12	61.90	56.33	0.68	0.52
Montana	BSky	2.80	2.05	66.67	69.17	0.93	0.79
Eastern Washington	BSky	2.71	2.03	19.05	19.88	-1.68	-1.22
Idaho St.	BSky	2.64	2.00	20.00	24.92	-1.58	-1.00
Montana St.	BSky	2.59	2.06	50.00	50.60	0.00	0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	2.54	1.91	50.00	45.98	0.00	-0.15
Portland St.	BSky	2.54	1.92	40.00	41.10	-0.51	-0.34
North Dakota	GWC	2.43	1.78	16.67	28.76	-1.62	-0.76
San Diego	WCC	2.42	1.78	30.43	31.04	-0.95	-0.67
Houston Baptist	GWC	2.33	1.76	23.81	24.89	-1.22	-0.88
Wyoming	MWC	2.32	1.70	30.00	28.15	-0.93	-0.74
Illinois	B10	2.27	1.67	65.22	57.65	0.69	0.25
North Texas	SB	2.27	1.69	65.00	66.13	0.68	0.55
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.64	0.45	30.43	29.01	-0.25	-0.19
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.59	0.48	79.17	78.03	0.34	0.27
Portland	WCC	0.48	0.35	61.90	65.68	0.12	0.11
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.47	0.36	45.00	45.40	-0.05	-0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.47	0.42	61.90	65.05	0.11	0.13
Seattle	ind	0.42	0.47	45.83	48.87	-0.03	-0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.41	0.34	87.50	87.42	0.31	0.26
Pepperdine	WCC	0.40	0.29	27.27	25.31	-0.18	-0.14
St. Mary's	WCC	0.36	0.37	86.96	84.64	0.26	0.26
Santa Clara	WCC	0.35	0.28	33.33	34.27	-0.12	-0.09
Utah	MWC	0.32	0.23	45.45	44.33	-0.03	-0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.30	0.31	87.50	83.52	0.23	0.21
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.27	0.15	47.06	43.54	-0.02	-0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.27	0.15	63.64	58.77	0.07	0.03
Colorado St.	MWC	0.26	0.18	59.09	52.86	0.05	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.25	1.95	22.73	21.74	-0.14	-1.10
Pacific	BW	0.25	0.34	68.18	68.11	0.09	0.12
San Francisco	WCC	0.25	0.23	31.82	32.31	-0.09	-0.08
South Dakota	GWC	0.23	0.15	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.03
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.22	0.15	45.00	54.22	-0.02	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.21	0.29	36.84	39.04	-0.06	-0.06
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.21	0.14	33.33	33.96	-0.07	-0.05
Chicago St.	GWC	0.21	0.20	19.05	20.74	-0.13	-0.12
UC Irvine	BW	0.20	0.32	36.36	40.06	-0.06	-0.06
San Diego St.	MWC	0.20	0.14	66.67	67.74	0.07	0.05
Gonzaga	WCC	0.20	0.20	81.82	83.61	0.12	0.13
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.17	0.09	38.10	38.08	-0.04	-0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.16	0.17	81.82	80.91	0.10	0.11
Oregon	P10	0.16	0.12	54.55	48.80	0.01	-0.00
Washington	P10	0.16	0.12	69.57	68.88	0.06	0.05
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.15	0.22	12.00	18.83	-0.12	-0.14
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.15	0.14	23.53	26.11	-0.08	-0.07
UC Riverside	BW	0.15	0.21	33.33	36.46	-0.05	-0.06
Houston	CUSA	0.15	0.14	47.62	50.86	-0.01	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.11	0.06	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.11	0.06	91.30	88.20	0.09	0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.11	0.06	72.73	66.84	0.05	0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.11	0.18	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.11	0.06	60.87	57.67	0.02	0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.11	0.06	57.14	57.09	0.02	0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.11	0.24	36.36	36.05	-0.03	-0.07
Florida International	SB	0.11	0.06	24.00	23.72	-0.06	-0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.09	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.11	0.06	36.36	37.42	-0.03	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.11	0.09	8.70	9.55	-0.09	-0.07
Denver	SB	0.11	0.09	60.87	59.59	0.02	0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.06	50.00	49.53	0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.11	0.06	69.57	70.01	0.04	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.11	0.09	22.73	22.86	-0.06	-0.05
Rice	CUSA	0.11	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.04	-0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.11	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.10	0.06	70.83	63.36	0.04	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.10	0.06	60.87	59.64	0.02	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.09	77.27	70.95	0.06	0.04
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.10	0.17	60.00	59.64	0.02	0.03
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.11	77.27	75.68	0.06	0.06
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.10	0.12	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.05
Bradley	MVC	0.10	0.06	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.10	0.12	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.03
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.09	43.48	43.05	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.10	0.11	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.03
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.10	0.23	45.00	48.64	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.10	0.11	19.05	20.55	-0.06	-0.07
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.10	0.11	26.32	31.50	-0.05	-0.04
Long Beach St.	BW	0.10	0.20	42.86	45.64	-0.01	-0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.10	0.08	45.45	40.27	-0.01	-0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.10	1.72	35.00	33.79	-0.03	-0.56
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.05	40.91	34.85	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.09	0.05	33.33	30.81	-0.03	-0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.05	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.09	0.05	69.57	67.92	0.04	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.05	34.78	32.21	-0.03	-0.02
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.03	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.03	42.86	45.29	-0.01	-0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.09	35.00	30.57	-0.02	-0.03
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.84	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.50	-0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	34.78	43.27	-0.02	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.06	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.67	-0.01	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.06	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.54	0.02	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.03	50.00	55.35	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.06	55.56	55.84	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.63	0.03	0.02
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.37	-0.00	0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.06	77.27	77.14	0.03	0.03
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.06	16.00	21.66	-0.04	-0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	56.01	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.37	0.01	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	0.00	4.36	-0.05	-0.05
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	64.00	62.73	0.01	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	32.00	31.25	-0.02	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.45	44.04	-0.00	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.12	22.22	27.54	-0.03	-0.05
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.06	23.81	30.79	-0.03	-0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.81	-0.00	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.00
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.09	47.83	43.81	-0.00	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.11	66.67	68.15	0.02	0.04
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.05	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.83	0.02	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.49	0.02	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.59	0.02	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	86.96	85.51	0.03	0.04
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.14	0.01	0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.32	-0.04	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	86.36	81.79	0.03	0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.09	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.21	0.02	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.59	0.00	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.98	0.02	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.00	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.00	0.03	60.87	55.48	0.00	0.00
Longwood	ind	0.00	0.03	27.27	31.42	-0.00	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.00	0.03	63.64	64.63	0.00	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.00	0.06	66.67	64.66	0.00	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.00	0.05	75.00	73.71	0.00	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.06	79.17	77.29	0.00	0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.00	0.03	27.78	28.62	-0.00	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.05	78.26	78.94	0.00	0.03

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Boise St.	WAC	26.36	26.32	45.10	44.03	-2.58	-3.14
Fresno St.	WAC	5.12	4.25	47.62	48.92	-0.24	-0.09
Utah St.	WAC	2.96	4.19	72.73	75.62	1.35	2.15
Nevada	WAC	2.89	4.19	55.00	58.07	0.29	0.68
San Jose St.	WAC	2.89	4.18	47.62	46.53	-0.14	-0.29
Idaho	WAC	5.05	4.15	44.44	48.19	-0.56	-0.15
Louisiana Tech	WAC	2.85	4.13	78.26	72.06	1.61	1.82
Hawaii	WAC	2.89	4.12	33.33	31.65	-0.96	-1.51
New Mexico St.	WAC	2.84	4.12	61.90	56.33	0.68	0.52
Montana St.	BSky	2.59	2.06	50.00	50.60	0.00	0.02
Montana	BSky	2.80	2.05	66.67	69.17	0.93	0.79
Eastern Washington	BSky	2.71	2.03	19.05	19.88	-1.68	-1.22
Idaho St.	BSky	2.64	2.00	20.00	24.92	-1.58	-1.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.25	1.95	22.73	21.74	-0.14	-1.10
Portland St.	BSky	2.54	1.92	40.00	41.10	-0.51	-0.34
Loyola Marymount	WCC	2.54	1.91	50.00	45.98	0.00	-0.15
North Dakota	GWC	2.43	1.78	16.67	28.76	-1.62	-0.76
San Diego	WCC	2.42	1.78	30.43	31.04	-0.95	-0.67
Houston Baptist	GWC	2.33	1.76	23.81	24.89	-1.22	-0.88
UC Davis	BW	0.10	1.72	35.00	33.79	-0.03	-0.56
Wyoming	MWC	2.32	1.70	30.00	28.15	-0.93	-0.74
North Texas	SB	2.27	1.69	65.00	66.13	0.68	0.55
Illinois	B10	2.27	1.67	65.22	57.65	0.69	0.25
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.59	0.48	79.17	78.03	0.34	0.27
Seattle	ind	0.42	0.47	45.83	48.87	-0.03	-0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.64	0.45	30.43	29.01	-0.25	-0.19
Weber St.	BSky	0.47	0.42	61.90	65.05	0.11	0.13
St. Mary's	WCC	0.36	0.37	86.96	84.64	0.26	0.26
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.47	0.36	45.00	45.40	-0.05	-0.03
Portland	WCC	0.48	0.35	61.90	65.68	0.12	0.11
Brigham Young	MWC	0.41	0.34	87.50	87.42	0.31	0.26
Pacific	BW	0.25	0.34	68.18	68.11	0.09	0.12
UC Irvine	BW	0.20	0.32	36.36	40.06	-0.06	-0.06
New Mexico	MWC	0.30	0.31	87.50	83.52	0.23	0.21
Utah Valley	GWC	0.21	0.29	36.84	39.04	-0.06	-0.06
Pepperdine	WCC	0.40	0.29	27.27	25.31	-0.18	-0.14
Santa Clara	WCC	0.35	0.28	33.33	34.27	-0.12	-0.09
Cal Poly	BW	0.11	0.24	36.36	36.05	-0.03	-0.07
San Francisco	WCC	0.25	0.23	31.82	32.31	-0.09	-0.08
Utah	MWC	0.32	0.23	45.45	44.33	-0.03	-0.03
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.10	0.23	45.00	48.64	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.15	0.22	12.00	18.83	-0.12	-0.14
UC Riverside	BW	0.15	0.21	33.33	36.46	-0.05	-0.06
Chicago St.	GWC	0.21	0.20	19.05	20.74	-0.13	-0.12
Long Beach St.	BW	0.10	0.20	42.86	45.64	-0.01	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.20	0.20	81.82	83.61	0.12	0.13
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.11	0.18	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.26	0.18	59.09	52.86	0.05	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.16	0.17	81.82	80.91	0.10	0.11
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.10	0.17	60.00	59.64	0.02	0.03
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.22	0.15	45.00	54.22	-0.02	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.27	0.15	63.64	58.77	0.07	0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.23	0.15	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.27	0.15	47.06	43.54	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.21	0.14	33.33	33.96	-0.07	-0.05
San Diego St.	MWC	0.20	0.14	66.67	67.74	0.07	0.05
Houston	CUSA	0.15	0.14	47.62	50.86	-0.01	0.00
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.15	0.14	23.53	26.11	-0.08	-0.07
Oregon	P10	0.16	0.12	54.55	48.80	0.01	-0.00
Washington	P10	0.16	0.12	69.57	68.88	0.06	0.05
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.12	22.22	27.54	-0.03	-0.05
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.10	0.12	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.05
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.10	0.12	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.03
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.11	77.27	75.68	0.06	0.06
Texas Christian	MWC	0.10	0.11	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.03
Southern Utah	Sum	0.10	0.11	19.05	20.55	-0.06	-0.07
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.10	0.11	26.32	31.50	-0.05	-0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.11	66.67	68.15	0.02	0.04
Denver	SB	0.11	0.09	60.87	59.59	0.02	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.17	0.09	38.10	38.08	-0.04	-0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.11	0.09	22.73	22.86	-0.06	-0.05
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.09	35.00	30.57	-0.02	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.11	0.09	8.70	9.55	-0.09	-0.07
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.09	43.48	43.05	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.09	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.09	77.27	70.95	0.06	0.04
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.09	47.83	43.81	-0.00	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.10	0.08	45.45	40.27	-0.01	-0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.11	0.06	57.14	57.09	0.02	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.11	0.06	24.00	23.72	-0.06	-0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.11	0.06	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.11	0.06	72.73	66.84	0.05	0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.06	55.56	55.84	0.01	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.06	50.00	49.53	0.00	-0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.11	0.06	91.30	88.20	0.09	0.05
Memphis	CUSA	0.11	0.06	69.57	70.01	0.04	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.10	0.06	70.83	63.36	0.04	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.10	0.06	60.87	59.64	0.02	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.06	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.11	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.04	-0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.11	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.11	0.06	60.87	57.67	0.02	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.10	0.06	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.11	0.06	36.36	37.42	-0.03	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	0.00	4.36	-0.05	-0.05
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	64.00	62.73	0.01	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.00	0.06	66.67	64.66	0.00	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.06	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.06	23.81	30.79	-0.03	-0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.81	-0.00	0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.06	77.27	77.14	0.03	0.03
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.06	16.00	21.66	-0.04	-0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.06	79.17	77.29	0.00	0.03
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.45	44.04	-0.00	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.05	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.05	40.91	34.85	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.09	0.05	33.33	30.81	-0.03	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.05	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	86.96	85.51	0.03	0.04
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.09	0.05	69.57	67.92	0.04	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.00	0.05	75.00	73.71	0.00	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.05	34.78	32.21	-0.03	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	86.36	81.79	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.05	78.26	78.94	0.00	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.03	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.50	-0.00	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.03	42.86	45.29	-0.01	-0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.54	0.02	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.03	50.00	55.35	0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.37	-0.00	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	56.01	0.00	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.00	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.84	0.01	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	34.78	43.27	-0.02	-0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.67	-0.01	-0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.63	0.03	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.00	0.03	27.78	28.62	-0.00	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.37	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.00	0.03	60.87	55.48	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
Longwood	ind	0.00	0.03	27.27	31.42	-0.00	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.49	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.14	0.01	0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.09	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	32.00	31.25	-0.02	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.83	0.02	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.00	0.03	63.64	64.63	0.00	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.59	0.02	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.32	-0.04	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.21	0.02	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.59	0.00	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.98	0.02	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Louisiana Tech	WAC	2.85	4.13	78.26	72.06	1.61	1.82
Utah St.	WAC	2.96	4.19	72.73	75.62	1.35	2.15
Montana	BSky	2.80	2.05	66.67	69.17	0.93	0.79
Illinois	B10	2.27	1.67	65.22	57.65	0.69	0.25
North Texas	SB	2.27	1.69	65.00	66.13	0.68	0.55
New Mexico St.	WAC	2.84	4.12	61.90	56.33	0.68	0.52
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.59	0.48	79.17	78.03	0.34	0.27
Brigham Young	MWC	0.41	0.34	87.50	87.42	0.31	0.26
Nevada	WAC	2.89	4.19	55.00	58.07	0.29	0.68
St. Mary's	WCC	0.36	0.37	86.96	84.64	0.26	0.26
New Mexico	MWC	0.30	0.31	87.50	83.52	0.23	0.21
Gonzaga	WCC	0.20	0.20	81.82	83.61	0.12	0.13
Portland	WCC	0.48	0.35	61.90	65.68	0.12	0.11
Weber St.	BSky	0.47	0.42	61.90	65.05	0.11	0.13
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.16	0.17	81.82	80.91	0.10	0.11
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.11	0.06	91.30	88.20	0.09	0.05
Pacific	BW	0.25	0.34	68.18	68.11	0.09	0.12
Washington St.	P10	0.27	0.15	63.64	58.77	0.07	0.03
San Diego St.	MWC	0.20	0.14	66.67	67.74	0.07	0.05
Washington	P10	0.16	0.12	69.57	68.88	0.06	0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.09	77.27	70.95	0.06	0.04
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.11	77.27	75.68	0.06	0.06
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.05	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.11	0.06	72.73	66.84	0.05	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.26	0.18	59.09	52.86	0.05	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.10	0.06	70.83	63.36	0.04	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.11	0.06	69.57	70.01	0.04	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.09	0.05	69.57	67.92	0.04	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	86.96	85.51	0.03	0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.63	0.03	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	86.36	81.79	0.03	0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.06	77.27	77.14	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.21	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.11	0.06	60.87	57.67	0.02	0.01
Denver	SB	0.11	0.09	60.87	59.59	0.02	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.59	0.02	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.10	0.06	60.87	59.64	0.02	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.54	0.02	0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.10	0.17	60.00	59.64	0.02	0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.83	0.02	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.49	0.02	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.11	66.67	68.15	0.02	0.04
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.98	0.02	0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.11	0.06	57.14	57.09	0.02	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.11	0.06	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.16	0.12	54.55	48.80	0.01	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	64.00	62.73	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.09	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.37	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.84	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.14	0.01	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.06	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.06	55.56	55.84	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	56.01	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.10	0.06	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.59	0.00	0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.06	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.00	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.00	0.03	60.87	55.48	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.06	50.00	49.53	0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.00	0.03	27.27	31.42	-0.00	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	2.54	1.91	50.00	45.98	0.00	-0.15
Minnesota	B10	0.00	0.03	63.64	64.63	0.00	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.00	0.06	66.67	64.66	0.00	0.02
Montana St.	BSky	2.59	2.06	50.00	50.60	0.00	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.00	0.05	75.00	73.71	0.00	0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.23	0.15	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.09	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.03	50.00	55.35	0.00	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.06	79.17	77.29	0.00	0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.00	0.03	27.78	28.62	-0.00	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.05	78.26	78.94	0.00	0.03
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.09	47.83	43.81	-0.00	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.37	-0.00	0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.81	-0.00	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.11	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.45	44.04	-0.00	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.50	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.15	0.14	47.62	50.86	-0.01	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.03	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.03	42.86	45.29	-0.01	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.10	0.08	45.45	40.27	-0.01	-0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.67	-0.01	-0.00
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.10	0.23	45.00	48.64	-0.01	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.09	43.48	43.05	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.10	0.20	42.86	45.64	-0.01	-0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.27	0.15	47.06	43.54	-0.02	-0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.09	35.00	30.57	-0.02	-0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	34.78	43.27	-0.02	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.05	40.91	34.85	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.10	0.11	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	32.00	31.25	-0.02	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.05	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.22	0.15	45.00	54.22	-0.02	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.11	0.18	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.06	23.81	30.79	-0.03	-0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.10	0.12	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.12	22.22	27.54	-0.03	-0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.05	34.78	32.21	-0.03	-0.02
Utah	MWC	0.32	0.23	45.45	44.33	-0.03	-0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.11	0.06	36.36	37.42	-0.03	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.11	0.24	36.36	36.05	-0.03	-0.07
UC Davis	BW	0.10	1.72	35.00	33.79	-0.03	-0.56
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.09	0.05	33.33	30.81	-0.03	-0.02