The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Montana St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Montana St.

Conference:		BSky
Expected RPI:		200.0
Current RPI:		200
Expected SOS:		232
Current SOS:		232
Current Record:		13-14
Expected Record:		13-14
Current Conf Record:		10-7
Expected Conf Record:		10-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-5
Current OOC Record:		3-7
Expected OOC Record:		3-7
Expected OOC RPI:		232
Expected OOC SOS:		182

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
13-14		200.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Montana St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	Nevada (73.0)	WAC	A	61-75	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Southern Mississippi (114.0)	CUSA	H	62-66	L	0%	0.0
11-25	San Francisco (205.0)	WCC	A	70-66	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Oregon (138.0)	P10	A	66-89	L	0%	0.0
12-4	Northern Colorado (117.0)	BSky	H	87-63	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Northern Arizona (197.0)	BSky	H	62-50	W	100%	0.0
12-9	Memphis (58.0)	CUSA	A	51-76	L	0%	0.0
12-18	UC Santa Barbara (94.0)	BW	H	76-64	W	100%	0.0
12-21	Cal Poly (256.0)	BW	A	76-72	W	100%	0.0
12-23	Boise St. (203.0)	WAC	A	56-58	L	0%	0.0
12-31	Weber St. (85.0)	BSky	A	62-75	L	0%	0.0
1-3	Idaho St. (305.0)	BSky	A	70-63	W	100%	0.0
1-8	Portland St. (221.0)	BSky	H	77-71	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Eastern Washington (279.0)	BSky	H	73-75	L	0%	0.0
1-17	Sacramento St. (297.0)	BSky	A	58-53	W	100%	0.0
1-18	Cal St. Bakersfield (317.0)	ind	A	61-71	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Montana (97.0)	BSky	H	61-52	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Northern Arizona (197.0)	BSky	A	58-71	L	0%	0.0
1-31	Northern Colorado (117.0)	BSky	A	68-74	L	0%	0.0
2-5	Idaho St. (305.0)	BSky	H	63-60	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Weber St. (85.0)	BSky	H	71-75	L	0%	0.0
2-12	Eastern Washington (279.0)	BSky	A	69-74	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Portland St. (221.0)	BSky	A	79-71	W	100%	0.0
2-18	Sacramento St. (297.0)	BSky	H	80-74	W	100%	0.0
2-20	San Jose St. (177.0)	WAC	H	66-77	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Montana (97.0)	BSky	A	73-67	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Portland St. (221.0)	BSky	H	65-68	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Montana St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Montana St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Montana St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Montana St.	BSky	26.51	26.51	50.40	50.40	0.21	0.21
Portland St.	BSky	6.61	6.61	37.04	37.04	-1.71	-1.71
Montana	BSky	4.95	4.95	74.07	74.07	2.38	2.38
Weber St.	BSky	4.87	4.87	61.54	61.54	1.12	1.12
Northern Colorado	BSky	4.79	4.79	78.57	78.57	2.74	2.74
Idaho St.	BSky	4.77	4.77	20.00	20.00	-2.86	-2.86
Eastern Washington	BSky	4.74	4.74	19.23	19.23	-2.92	-2.92
Northern Arizona	BSky	4.74	4.74	45.83	45.83	-0.39	-0.39
Sacramento St.	BSky	4.68	4.68	26.92	26.92	-2.16	-2.16
Boise St.	WAC	2.30	2.30	43.33	43.33	-0.31	-0.31
Cal Poly	BW	2.11	2.11	40.00	40.00	-0.42	-0.42
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	2.11	2.11	21.43	21.43	-1.20	-1.20
San Jose St.	WAC	2.10	2.10	41.38	41.38	-0.36	-0.36
Nevada	WAC	2.04	2.04	60.00	60.00	0.41	0.41
UC Santa Barbara	BW	2.01	2.01	70.37	70.37	0.82	0.82
Oregon	P10	1.98	1.98	48.39	48.39	-0.06	-0.06
San Francisco	WCC	1.98	1.98	37.04	37.04	-0.51	-0.51
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	1.94	1.94	53.57	53.57	0.14	0.14
Memphis	CUSA	1.92	1.92	70.97	70.97	0.80	0.80
Seattle	ind	0.61	0.61	54.84	54.84	0.06	0.06
Utah St.	WAC	0.44	0.44	78.79	78.79	0.26	0.26
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.42	0.42	53.12	53.12	0.03	0.03
UC Riverside	BW	0.39	0.39	37.04	37.04	-0.10	-0.10
Fresno St.	WAC	0.38	0.38	43.75	43.75	-0.05	-0.05
Idaho	WAC	0.34	0.34	44.83	44.83	-0.04	-0.04
Pacific	BW	0.28	0.28	64.52	64.52	0.08	0.08
UC Davis	BW	0.28	0.28	40.00	40.00	-0.06	-0.06
Portland	WCC	0.28	0.28	65.52	65.52	0.09	0.09
UC Irvine	BW	0.28	0.28	40.00	40.00	-0.06	-0.06
Washington	P10	0.28	0.28	72.73	72.73	0.13	0.13
Hawaii	WAC	0.27	0.27	31.03	31.03	-0.10	-0.10
Brigham Young	MWC	0.26	0.26	84.85	84.85	0.18	0.18
Colorado St.	MWC	0.26	0.26	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.26	0.26	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.25	0.25	83.33	83.33	0.17	0.17
Washington St.	P10	0.25	0.25	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.24	0.24	65.62	65.62	0.08	0.08
Santa Clara	WCC	0.23	0.23	30.00	30.00	-0.09	-0.09
Gonzaga	WCC	0.19	0.19	80.65	80.65	0.12	0.12
Southern California	P10	0.19	0.19	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.19	0.19	34.38	34.38	-0.06	-0.06
Long Beach St.	BW	0.19	0.19	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.19	0.19	20.69	20.69	-0.11	-0.11
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.18	0.18	69.70	69.70	0.07	0.07
Houston	CUSA	0.18	0.18	54.55	54.55	0.02	0.02
Stanford	P10	0.18	0.18	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.16	0.16	21.43	21.43	-0.09	-0.09
UAB	CUSA	0.15	0.15	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Utah	MWC	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.13	0.13	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
Arizona	P10	0.13	0.13	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.13	0.13	18.52	18.52	-0.08	-0.08
Rice	CUSA	0.13	0.13	23.33	23.33	-0.07	-0.07
Denver	SB	0.13	0.13	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.12	0.12	36.36	36.36	-0.03	-0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.12	0.12	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
Arizona St.	P10	0.12	0.12	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
California	P10	0.12	0.12	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.12	0.12	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
San Diego St.	MWC	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.09	0.09	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
East Carolina	CUSA	0.09	0.09	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.09	0.09	81.25	81.25	0.06	0.06
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.09	0.09	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.09	0.09	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
UCLA	P10	0.09	0.09	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.07	0.07	87.88	87.88	0.05	0.05
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.07	0.07	18.18	18.18	-0.05	-0.05
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.07	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.07	0.07	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Morehead St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.07	0.07	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.06	0.06	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.06	0.06	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.03	0.03	16.13	16.13	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.03	0.03	23.08	23.08	-0.02	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.03	0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.03	0.03	32.00	32.00	-0.01	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Montana St.	BSky	26.51	26.51	50.40	50.40	0.21	0.21
Portland St.	BSky	6.61	6.61	37.04	37.04	-1.71	-1.71
Montana	BSky	4.95	4.95	74.07	74.07	2.38	2.38
Weber St.	BSky	4.87	4.87	61.54	61.54	1.12	1.12
Northern Colorado	BSky	4.79	4.79	78.57	78.57	2.74	2.74
Idaho St.	BSky	4.77	4.77	20.00	20.00	-2.86	-2.86
Eastern Washington	BSky	4.74	4.74	19.23	19.23	-2.92	-2.92
Northern Arizona	BSky	4.74	4.74	45.83	45.83	-0.39	-0.39
Sacramento St.	BSky	4.68	4.68	26.92	26.92	-2.16	-2.16
Boise St.	WAC	2.30	2.30	43.33	43.33	-0.31	-0.31
Cal Poly	BW	2.11	2.11	40.00	40.00	-0.42	-0.42
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	2.11	2.11	21.43	21.43	-1.20	-1.20
San Jose St.	WAC	2.10	2.10	41.38	41.38	-0.36	-0.36
Nevada	WAC	2.04	2.04	60.00	60.00	0.41	0.41
UC Santa Barbara	BW	2.01	2.01	70.37	70.37	0.82	0.82
Oregon	P10	1.98	1.98	48.39	48.39	-0.06	-0.06
San Francisco	WCC	1.98	1.98	37.04	37.04	-0.51	-0.51
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	1.94	1.94	53.57	53.57	0.14	0.14
Memphis	CUSA	1.92	1.92	70.97	70.97	0.80	0.80
Seattle	ind	0.61	0.61	54.84	54.84	0.06	0.06
Utah St.	WAC	0.44	0.44	78.79	78.79	0.26	0.26
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.42	0.42	53.12	53.12	0.03	0.03
UC Riverside	BW	0.39	0.39	37.04	37.04	-0.10	-0.10
Fresno St.	WAC	0.38	0.38	43.75	43.75	-0.05	-0.05
Idaho	WAC	0.34	0.34	44.83	44.83	-0.04	-0.04
Pacific	BW	0.28	0.28	64.52	64.52	0.08	0.08
UC Davis	BW	0.28	0.28	40.00	40.00	-0.06	-0.06
Portland	WCC	0.28	0.28	65.52	65.52	0.09	0.09
UC Irvine	BW	0.28	0.28	40.00	40.00	-0.06	-0.06
Washington	P10	0.28	0.28	72.73	72.73	0.13	0.13
Hawaii	WAC	0.27	0.27	31.03	31.03	-0.10	-0.10
Brigham Young	MWC	0.26	0.26	84.85	84.85	0.18	0.18
Colorado St.	MWC	0.26	0.26	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.26	0.26	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.25	0.25	83.33	83.33	0.17	0.17
Washington St.	P10	0.25	0.25	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.24	0.24	65.62	65.62	0.08	0.08
Santa Clara	WCC	0.23	0.23	30.00	30.00	-0.09	-0.09
Gonzaga	WCC	0.19	0.19	80.65	80.65	0.12	0.12
Southern California	P10	0.19	0.19	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.19	0.19	34.38	34.38	-0.06	-0.06
Long Beach St.	BW	0.19	0.19	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.19	0.19	20.69	20.69	-0.11	-0.11
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.18	0.18	69.70	69.70	0.07	0.07
Houston	CUSA	0.18	0.18	54.55	54.55	0.02	0.02
Stanford	P10	0.18	0.18	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.16	0.16	21.43	21.43	-0.09	-0.09
UAB	CUSA	0.15	0.15	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Utah	MWC	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.13	0.13	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
Arizona	P10	0.13	0.13	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.13	0.13	18.52	18.52	-0.08	-0.08
Rice	CUSA	0.13	0.13	23.33	23.33	-0.07	-0.07
Denver	SB	0.13	0.13	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.12	0.12	36.36	36.36	-0.03	-0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.12	0.12	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
Arizona St.	P10	0.12	0.12	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
California	P10	0.12	0.12	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.12	0.12	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
San Diego St.	MWC	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.09	0.09	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
East Carolina	CUSA	0.09	0.09	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.09	0.09	81.25	81.25	0.06	0.06
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.09	0.09	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.09	0.09	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
UCLA	P10	0.09	0.09	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.07	0.07	87.88	87.88	0.05	0.05
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.07	0.07	18.18	18.18	-0.05	-0.05
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.07	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.07	0.07	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Morehead St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.07	0.07	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.06	0.06	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.06	0.06	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.03	0.03	16.13	16.13	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.03	0.03	23.08	23.08	-0.02	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.03	0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.03	0.03	32.00	32.00	-0.01	-0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northern Colorado	BSky	4.79	4.79	78.57	78.57	2.74	2.74
Montana	BSky	4.95	4.95	74.07	74.07	2.38	2.38
Weber St.	BSky	4.87	4.87	61.54	61.54	1.12	1.12
UC Santa Barbara	BW	2.01	2.01	70.37	70.37	0.82	0.82
Memphis	CUSA	1.92	1.92	70.97	70.97	0.80	0.80
Nevada	WAC	2.04	2.04	60.00	60.00	0.41	0.41
Utah St.	WAC	0.44	0.44	78.79	78.79	0.26	0.26
Montana St.	BSky	26.51	26.51	50.40	50.40	0.21	0.21
Brigham Young	MWC	0.26	0.26	84.85	84.85	0.18	0.18
St. Mary's	WCC	0.25	0.25	83.33	83.33	0.17	0.17
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	1.94	1.94	53.57	53.57	0.14	0.14
Washington	P10	0.28	0.28	72.73	72.73	0.13	0.13
Gonzaga	WCC	0.19	0.19	80.65	80.65	0.12	0.12
Portland	WCC	0.28	0.28	65.52	65.52	0.09	0.09
Pacific	BW	0.28	0.28	64.52	64.52	0.08	0.08
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.24	0.24	65.62	65.62	0.08	0.08
UAB	CUSA	0.15	0.15	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.18	0.18	69.70	69.70	0.07	0.07
Seattle	ind	0.61	0.61	54.84	54.84	0.06	0.06
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.09	0.09	81.25	81.25	0.06	0.06
New Mexico	MWC	0.07	0.07	87.88	87.88	0.05	0.05
San Diego St.	MWC	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
California	P10	0.12	0.12	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Arizona St.	P10	0.12	0.12	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.12	0.12	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.42	0.42	53.12	53.12	0.03	0.03
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.03	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Denver	SB	0.13	0.13	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.18	0.18	54.55	54.55	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.19	0.19	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Arizona	P10	0.13	0.13	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.26	0.26	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.25	0.25	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.07	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.07	0.07	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.19	0.19	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.26	0.26	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.06	0.06	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.03	0.03	32.00	32.00	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.09	0.09	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.09	0.09	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.03	0.03	23.08	23.08	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.06	0.06	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.07	0.07	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.03	0.03	16.13	16.13	-0.02	-0.02
Stanford	P10	0.18	0.18	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.12	0.12	36.36	36.36	-0.03	-0.03
Idaho	WAC	0.34	0.34	44.83	44.83	-0.04	-0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.09	0.09	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
Chicago St.	GWC	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Wyoming	MWC	0.09	0.09	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.07	0.07	18.18	18.18	-0.05	-0.05
East Carolina	CUSA	0.09	0.09	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Fresno St.	WAC	0.38	0.38	43.75	43.75	-0.05	-0.05
UC Irvine	BW	0.28	0.28	40.00	40.00	-0.06	-0.06
UC Davis	BW	0.28	0.28	40.00	40.00	-0.06	-0.06
Tulane	CUSA	0.12	0.12	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.19	0.19	34.38	34.38	-0.06	-0.06
Air Force	MWC	0.13	0.13	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
Oregon	P10	1.98	1.98	48.39	48.39	-0.06	-0.06
Rice	CUSA	0.13	0.13	23.33	23.33	-0.07	-0.07
Southern Utah	Sum	0.13	0.13	18.52	18.52	-0.08	-0.08
North Dakota	GWC	0.16	0.16	21.43	21.43	-0.09	-0.09
Santa Clara	WCC	0.23	0.23	30.00	30.00	-0.09	-0.09
UC Riverside	BW	0.39	0.39	37.04	37.04	-0.10	-0.10
Hawaii	WAC	0.27	0.27	31.03	31.03	-0.10	-0.10
Pepperdine	WCC	0.19	0.19	20.69	20.69	-0.11	-0.11
Boise St.	WAC	2.30	2.30	43.33	43.33	-0.31	-0.31
San Jose St.	WAC	2.10	2.10	41.38	41.38	-0.36	-0.36
Northern Arizona	BSky	4.74	4.74	45.83	45.83	-0.39	-0.39
Cal Poly	BW	2.11	2.11	40.00	40.00	-0.42	-0.42
San Francisco	WCC	1.98	1.98	37.04	37.04	-0.51	-0.51
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	2.11	2.11	21.43	21.43	-1.20	-1.20
Portland St.	BSky	6.61	6.61	37.04	37.04	-1.71	-1.71
Sacramento St.	BSky	4.68	4.68	26.92	26.92	-2.16	-2.16
Idaho St.	BSky	4.77	4.77	20.00	20.00	-2.86	-2.86
Eastern Washington	BSky	4.74	4.74	19.23	19.23	-2.92	-2.92

BY EXPECTED (END-OF-SEASON) HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northern Colorado	BSky	4.79	4.79	78.57	78.57	2.74	2.74
Montana	BSky	4.95	4.95	74.07	74.07	2.38	2.38
Weber St.	BSky	4.87	4.87	61.54	61.54	1.12	1.12
UC Santa Barbara	BW	2.01	2.01	70.37	70.37	0.82	0.82
Memphis	CUSA	1.92	1.92	70.97	70.97	0.80	0.80
Nevada	WAC	2.04	2.04	60.00	60.00	0.41	0.41
Utah St.	WAC	0.44	0.44	78.79	78.79	0.26	0.26
Montana St.	BSky	26.51	26.51	50.40	50.40	0.21	0.21
Brigham Young	MWC	0.26	0.26	84.85	84.85	0.18	0.18
St. Mary's	WCC	0.25	0.25	83.33	83.33	0.17	0.17
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	1.94	1.94	53.57	53.57	0.14	0.14
Washington	P10	0.28	0.28	72.73	72.73	0.13	0.13
Gonzaga	WCC	0.19	0.19	80.65	80.65	0.12	0.12
Portland	WCC	0.28	0.28	65.52	65.52	0.09	0.09
Pacific	BW	0.28	0.28	64.52	64.52	0.08	0.08
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.24	0.24	65.62	65.62	0.08	0.08
UAB	CUSA	0.15	0.15	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.18	0.18	69.70	69.70	0.07	0.07
Seattle	ind	0.61	0.61	54.84	54.84	0.06	0.06
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.09	0.09	81.25	81.25	0.06	0.06
New Mexico	MWC	0.07	0.07	87.88	87.88	0.05	0.05
San Diego St.	MWC	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
California	P10	0.12	0.12	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Arizona St.	P10	0.12	0.12	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.12	0.12	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.42	0.42	53.12	53.12	0.03	0.03
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.03	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Denver	SB	0.13	0.13	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.18	0.18	54.55	54.55	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.19	0.19	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Arizona	P10	0.13	0.13	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.26	0.26	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00