The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Cal St. Fullerton page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Cal St. Fullerton

Conference:		BW
Expected RPI:		212.6
Current RPI:		208
Expected SOS:		249
Current SOS:		230
Current Record:		9-11
Expected Record:		13-14
Current Conf Record:		5-5
Expected Conf Record:		8-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-6
Current OOC Record:		4-6
Expected OOC Record:		5-6
Expected OOC RPI:		207
Expected OOC SOS:		225

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
16-11	163.7	1.88%
15-12	180.3	10.90%
14-13	197.9	25.81%
13-14	215.6	31.97%
12-15	232.5	20.66%
11-16	246.6	7.73%
10-17	260.4	1.01%
9-18	266.0	0.03%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Cal St. Fullerton.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-16	UCLA (146.7)	P10	A	68-65	W	100%	0.0
11-24	New Mexico St. (82.7)	WAC	H	84-73	W	100%	0.0
12-4	Central Arkansas (318.5)	Slnd	N	49-69	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Stephen F. Austin (170.0)	Slnd	A	61-62	L	0%	0.0
12-9	San Diego St. (44.0)	MWC	A	68-82	L	0%	0.0
12-21	Weber St. (80.8)	BSky	N	71-82	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Utah St. (33.6)	WAC	A	60-83	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Morehead St. (95.2)	OVC	N	62-69	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Cal St. Bakersfield (322.0)	ind	H	77-70	W	100%	0.0
1-2	UC Davis (285.3)	BW	A	63-67	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Long Beach St. (139.7)	BW	H	85-75	W	100%	0.0
1-9	UC Riverside (264.2)	BW	A	69-56	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Cal Poly (272.8)	BW	H	68-54	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Cal St. Northridge (225.5)	BW	H	72-78	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Pacific (115.6)	BW	A	73-80	L	0%	0.0
1-23	UC Santa Barbara (144.6)	BW	A	80-85	L	0%	0.0
1-26	Cal St. Bakersfield (322.0)	ind	A	92-84	W	100%	0.0
1-30	UC Irvine (277.0)	BW	H	74-68	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Long Beach St. (139.7)	BW	A	81-75	W	100%	0.0
2-6	UC Riverside (264.2)	BW	H	59-76	L	0%	0.0
2-10	UC Irvine (277.0)	BW	A	0-0		47%	-0.8
2-13	Cal St. Northridge (225.5)	BW	A	0-0		38%	-3.2
2-17	UC Santa Barbara (144.6)	BW	H	0-0		56%	1.5
2-20	SIU Edwardsville (329.0)	OVC	H	0-0		96%	18.8
2-24	Cal Poly (272.8)	BW	A	0-0		54%	1.1
3-4	Pacific (115.6)	BW	H	0-0		43%	-1.9
3-6	UC Davis (285.3)	BW	H	0-0		79%	8.8

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Cal St. Fullerton's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Cal St. Fullerton's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Cal St. Fullerton.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	26.53	26.47	47.78	50.12	-1.18	0.07
UC Riverside	BW	5.76	4.71	31.58	35.36	-2.12	-1.38
Long Beach St.	BW	5.63	4.68	47.37	49.17	-0.30	-0.08
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	5.51	4.27	25.00	22.99	-2.75	-2.31
UC Irvine	BW	3.43	4.75	38.10	41.09	-0.82	-0.85
Cal St. Northridge	BW	3.39	4.75	36.36	40.71	-0.92	-0.88
UC Santa Barbara	BW	3.38	4.67	57.89	58.59	0.53	0.80
Cal Poly	BW	3.38	4.75	38.10	37.03	-0.80	-1.23
Pacific	BW	3.15	4.75	66.67	67.36	1.05	1.65
UC Davis	BW	3.14	4.61	31.58	31.11	-1.16	-1.74
Utah St.	WAC	2.97	2.15	72.73	75.86	1.35	1.11
UCLA	P10	2.79	2.01	50.00	45.30	0.00	-0.19
San Diego St.	MWC	2.74	2.05	65.00	66.55	0.82	0.68
Weber St.	BSky	2.73	2.02	60.00	63.65	0.55	0.55
Morehead St.	OVC	2.61	1.95	66.67	66.69	0.87	0.65
New Mexico St.	WAC	2.61	2.01	65.00	58.39	0.78	0.34
Central Arkansas	Slnd	2.57	1.92	16.67	21.96	-1.71	-1.08
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	2.57	1.92	66.67	65.72	0.86	0.60
San Jose St.	WAC	0.58	0.45	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.47	0.33	47.83	44.39	-0.02	-0.04
Pepperdine	WCC	0.40	0.32	27.27	25.31	-0.18	-0.16
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.36	0.27	30.43	29.01	-0.14	-0.11
New Mexico	MWC	0.36	0.20	87.50	83.52	0.27	0.13
Montana St.	BSky	0.35	0.27	47.62	48.65	-0.02	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.35	0.29	33.33	34.27	-0.12	-0.09
Seattle	ind	0.34	0.48	45.83	48.87	-0.03	-0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.29	0.42	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.29	0.22	86.96	84.62	0.21	0.15
Utah Valley	GWC	0.28	0.16	36.84	39.02	-0.07	-0.03
Montana	BSky	0.24	0.14	68.18	70.35	0.09	0.06
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.24	0.17	45.00	45.40	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.24	0.16	33.33	33.43	-0.08	-0.05
San Francisco	WCC	0.23	0.20	31.82	32.31	-0.08	-0.07
Southern Utah	Sum	0.23	0.14	19.05	20.55	-0.14	-0.08
California	P10	0.23	0.19	65.22	68.42	0.07	0.07
Stanford	P10	0.23	0.19	43.48	43.10	-0.03	-0.03
Nevada	WAC	0.23	0.19	57.14	60.54	0.03	0.04
Idaho	WAC	0.22	0.25	45.00	48.32	-0.02	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.20	0.14	22.22	26.51	-0.11	-0.07
Longwood	ind	0.18	0.10	23.81	29.40	-0.09	-0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.18	0.10	45.45	44.03	-0.02	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.18	0.17	66.67	67.74	0.06	0.06
Colorado St.	MWC	0.18	0.16	59.09	52.85	0.03	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.18	0.10	95.65	88.67	0.16	0.08
Texas	B12	0.18	0.13	82.61	78.76	0.11	0.07
Brigham Young	MWC	0.17	0.13	87.50	87.42	0.13	0.10
Notre Dame	BE	0.17	0.10	70.83	63.39	0.07	0.03
Southern California	P10	0.17	0.13	60.87	59.61	0.04	0.03
Utah	MWC	0.17	0.13	45.45	44.32	-0.02	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.17	0.25	36.36	33.80	-0.05	-0.08
Oregon St.	P10	0.17	0.13	45.45	40.28	-0.02	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.13	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.13	0.07	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.13	0.14	26.32	31.51	-0.06	-0.05
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.13	0.14	23.53	26.10	-0.07	-0.07
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.13	0.07	70.59	72.98	0.05	0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.13	0.14	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.13	0.07	19.05	20.58	-0.08	-0.04
Western Illinois	Sum	0.13	0.07	30.00	31.79	-0.05	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.12	0.14	5.00	8.59	-0.11	-0.11
Air Force	MWC	0.12	0.13	35.00	30.59	-0.04	-0.05
Kansas	B12	0.12	0.07	95.65	91.32	0.11	0.05
Texas St.	Slnd	0.12	0.13	36.84	36.82	-0.03	-0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.12	0.07	69.57	66.88	0.05	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.12	0.07	82.61	82.33	0.08	0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.12	0.10	81.82	80.91	0.08	0.06
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.12	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.06	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.12	0.07	86.36	82.20	0.09	0.04
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.12	0.07	60.87	57.71	0.03	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.12	0.13	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.12	0.14	38.10	39.65	-0.03	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.11	0.09	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.26	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.11	0.17	19.05	24.00	-0.07	-0.09
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.11	0.13	82.61	75.26	0.07	0.06
Texas Christian	MWC	0.11	0.13	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.11	0.07	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.11	0.13	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.04
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.11	0.07	38.10	41.29	-0.03	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.11	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.11	0.07	20.00	24.04	-0.07	-0.03
Washington	P10	0.11	0.12	69.57	68.86	0.04	0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.07	0.04	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.07	0.04	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.07	0.04	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.07	0.04	69.57	69.99	0.03	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.07	0.04	63.64	64.66	0.02	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.07	0.07	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.07	0.04	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.07	0.07	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.07	0.11	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.07	0.04	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.10	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Furman	SC	0.06	0.07	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.07	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.07	29.41	29.63	-0.03	-0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.03	0.00	5.15	-0.06	-0.03
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.13	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.02
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.07	18.18	19.18	-0.04	-0.04
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.06	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.06	0.07	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.04
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.03	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.03	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.06	0.07	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.03
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.06	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.06	0.07	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.06	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.02	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.14	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.10
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	1.88	8.70	9.76	-0.05	-1.52
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.10	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.10	27.27	25.82	-0.03	-0.05
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.14	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.06	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.04
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.04	0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.04
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.06	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.10	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.06
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.06	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.00	0.04	22.73	22.60	-0.00	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.00	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.00	0.04
Illinois	B10	0.00	0.04	66.67	59.01	0.00	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.00	0.07	66.67	63.46	0.00	0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.00	0.07	42.86	45.31	-0.00	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.00	0.04	43.48	39.42	-0.00	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.00	0.07	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.00	0.04	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.00	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.00	-0.06
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.00	0.04	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.07	15.79	27.84	-0.00	-0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.00	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.00	0.04	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.00	0.07	28.57	27.72	-0.00	-0.03

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	26.53	26.47	47.78	50.12	-1.18	0.07
Cal St. Northridge	BW	3.39	4.75	36.36	40.71	-0.92	-0.88
Pacific	BW	3.15	4.75	66.67	67.36	1.05	1.65
Cal Poly	BW	3.38	4.75	38.10	37.03	-0.80	-1.23
UC Irvine	BW	3.43	4.75	38.10	41.09	-0.82	-0.85
UC Riverside	BW	5.76	4.71	31.58	35.36	-2.12	-1.38
Long Beach St.	BW	5.63	4.68	47.37	49.17	-0.30	-0.08
UC Santa Barbara	BW	3.38	4.67	57.89	58.59	0.53	0.80
UC Davis	BW	3.14	4.61	31.58	31.11	-1.16	-1.74
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	5.51	4.27	25.00	22.99	-2.75	-2.31
Utah St.	WAC	2.97	2.15	72.73	75.86	1.35	1.11
San Diego St.	MWC	2.74	2.05	65.00	66.55	0.82	0.68
Weber St.	BSky	2.73	2.02	60.00	63.65	0.55	0.55
UCLA	P10	2.79	2.01	50.00	45.30	0.00	-0.19
New Mexico St.	WAC	2.61	2.01	65.00	58.39	0.78	0.34
Morehead St.	OVC	2.61	1.95	66.67	66.69	0.87	0.65
Central Arkansas	Slnd	2.57	1.92	16.67	21.96	-1.71	-1.08
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	2.57	1.92	66.67	65.72	0.86	0.60
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	1.88	8.70	9.76	-0.05	-1.52
Seattle	ind	0.34	0.48	45.83	48.87	-0.03	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.58	0.45	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.29	0.42	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.47	0.33	47.83	44.39	-0.02	-0.04
Pepperdine	WCC	0.40	0.32	27.27	25.31	-0.18	-0.16
Santa Clara	WCC	0.35	0.29	33.33	34.27	-0.12	-0.09
Montana St.	BSky	0.35	0.27	47.62	48.65	-0.02	-0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.36	0.27	30.43	29.01	-0.14	-0.11
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.26	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.17	0.25	36.36	33.80	-0.05	-0.08
Idaho	WAC	0.22	0.25	45.00	48.32	-0.02	-0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.29	0.22	86.96	84.62	0.21	0.15
San Francisco	WCC	0.23	0.20	31.82	32.31	-0.08	-0.07
New Mexico	MWC	0.36	0.20	87.50	83.52	0.27	0.13
California	P10	0.23	0.19	65.22	68.42	0.07	0.07
Stanford	P10	0.23	0.19	43.48	43.10	-0.03	-0.03
Nevada	WAC	0.23	0.19	57.14	60.54	0.03	0.04
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.24	0.17	45.00	45.40	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.18	0.17	66.67	67.74	0.06	0.06
Idaho St.	BSky	0.11	0.17	19.05	24.00	-0.07	-0.09
San Diego	WCC	0.24	0.16	33.33	33.43	-0.08	-0.05
Colorado St.	MWC	0.18	0.16	59.09	52.85	0.03	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.28	0.16	36.84	39.02	-0.07	-0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.13	0.14	26.32	31.51	-0.06	-0.05
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.20	0.14	22.22	26.51	-0.11	-0.07
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.13	0.14	23.53	26.10	-0.07	-0.07
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.13	0.14	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.02
Montana	BSky	0.24	0.14	68.18	70.35	0.09	0.06
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.14	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.10
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.12	0.14	5.00	8.59	-0.11	-0.11
Portland St.	BSky	0.12	0.14	38.10	39.65	-0.03	-0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.14	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.23	0.14	19.05	20.55	-0.14	-0.08
Brigham Young	MWC	0.17	0.13	87.50	87.42	0.13	0.10
Utah	MWC	0.17	0.13	45.45	44.32	-0.02	-0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.12	0.13	35.00	30.59	-0.04	-0.05
Texas St.	Slnd	0.12	0.13	36.84	36.82	-0.03	-0.03
Southern California	P10	0.17	0.13	60.87	59.61	0.04	0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.11	0.13	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.04
Texas	B12	0.18	0.13	82.61	78.76	0.11	0.07
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.13	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.02
Oregon	P10	0.12	0.13	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.11	0.13	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.11	0.13	82.61	75.26	0.07	0.06
Oregon St.	P10	0.17	0.13	45.45	40.28	-0.02	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.11	0.12	69.57	68.86	0.04	0.05
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.07	0.11	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.10	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.10	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.12	0.10	81.82	80.91	0.08	0.06
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.10	27.27	25.82	-0.03	-0.05
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.18	0.10	45.45	44.03	-0.02	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.18	0.10	23.81	29.40	-0.09	-0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.18	0.10	95.65	88.67	0.16	0.08
Notre Dame	BE	0.17	0.10	70.83	63.39	0.07	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.10	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.06
Arizona	P10	0.11	0.09	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.07	18.18	19.18	-0.04	-0.04
Furman	SC	0.06	0.07	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.00	0.07	42.86	45.31	-0.00	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.13	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.13	0.07	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.00	0.07	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.07	0.07	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.07	15.79	27.84	-0.00	-0.03
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.06	0.07	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.13	0.07	70.59	72.98	0.05	0.03
Southern	SWAC	0.13	0.07	19.05	20.58	-0.08	-0.04
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.07	0.07	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.13	0.07	30.00	31.79	-0.05	-0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.00	0.07	66.67	63.46	0.00	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.00	0.07	28.57	27.72	-0.00	-0.03
Kansas	B12	0.12	0.07	95.65	91.32	0.11	0.05
Austin Peay	OVC	0.11	0.07	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.12	0.07	69.57	66.88	0.05	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.12	0.07	82.61	82.33	0.08	0.04
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.06	0.07	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.11	0.07	38.10	41.29	-0.03	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.07	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.11	0.07	20.00	24.04	-0.07	-0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.12	0.07	86.36	82.20	0.09	0.04
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.07	29.41	29.63	-0.03	-0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.12	0.07	60.87	57.71	0.03	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.06	0.07	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.00	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.00	0.04
Marist	MAAC	0.00	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.00	-0.06
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.11	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.12	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.06	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.06	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.06	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.04
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.06	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Denver	SB	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.07	0.04	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.07	0.04	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.00	0.04	22.73	22.60	-0.00	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.07	0.04	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.00	0.04	66.67	59.01	0.00	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.00	0.04	43.48	39.42	-0.00	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.00	0.04	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.07	0.04	69.57	69.99	0.03	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.00	0.04	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.07	0.04	63.64	64.66	0.02	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.07	0.04	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.07	0.04	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.00	0.04	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.06	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.06	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.02	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.03	0.00	5.15	-0.06	-0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.06	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.03	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.03	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.04	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.00	0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Utah St.	WAC	2.97	2.15	72.73	75.86	1.35	1.11
Pacific	BW	3.15	4.75	66.67	67.36	1.05	1.65
Morehead St.	OVC	2.61	1.95	66.67	66.69	0.87	0.65
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	2.57	1.92	66.67	65.72	0.86	0.60
San Diego St.	MWC	2.74	2.05	65.00	66.55	0.82	0.68
New Mexico St.	WAC	2.61	2.01	65.00	58.39	0.78	0.34
Weber St.	BSky	2.73	2.02	60.00	63.65	0.55	0.55
UC Santa Barbara	BW	3.38	4.67	57.89	58.59	0.53	0.80
New Mexico	MWC	0.36	0.20	87.50	83.52	0.27	0.13
St. Mary's	WCC	0.29	0.22	86.96	84.62	0.21	0.15
Kentucky	SEC	0.18	0.10	95.65	88.67	0.16	0.08
Brigham Young	MWC	0.17	0.13	87.50	87.42	0.13	0.10
Texas	B12	0.18	0.13	82.61	78.76	0.11	0.07
Kansas	B12	0.12	0.07	95.65	91.32	0.11	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.12	0.07	86.36	82.20	0.09	0.04
Montana	BSky	0.24	0.14	68.18	70.35	0.09	0.06
Duke	ACC	0.12	0.07	82.61	82.33	0.08	0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.12	0.10	81.82	80.91	0.08	0.06
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.11	0.13	82.61	75.26	0.07	0.06
Notre Dame	BE	0.17	0.10	70.83	63.39	0.07	0.03
California	P10	0.23	0.19	65.22	68.42	0.07	0.07
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.12	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.06	0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.18	0.17	66.67	67.74	0.06	0.06
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.13	0.07	70.59	72.98	0.05	0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.12	0.07	69.57	66.88	0.05	0.02
Washington	P10	0.11	0.12	69.57	68.86	0.04	0.05
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.14	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.10
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.10	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.06
Southern California	P10	0.17	0.13	60.87	59.61	0.04	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.04	0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.06	0.07	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.04
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.11	0.13	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.04
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.04
Nevada	WAC	0.23	0.19	57.14	60.54	0.03	0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.06	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.04
Colorado St.	MWC	0.18	0.16	59.09	52.85	0.03	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.12	0.07	60.87	57.71	0.03	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.07	0.04	69.57	69.99	0.03	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.07	0.04	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.07	0.04	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.07	0.04	63.64	64.66	0.02	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.06	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.11	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.12	0.13	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.14	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.02
Arizona	P10	0.11	0.09	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.11	0.07	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.10	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.07	0.04	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.06	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.00	0.04	22.73	22.60	-0.00	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.00	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.00	0.04
Illinois	B10	0.00	0.04	66.67	59.01	0.00	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.00	0.07	66.67	63.46	0.00	0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.00	0.07	42.86	45.31	-0.00	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.00	0.04	43.48	39.42	-0.00	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.00	0.07	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.00	0.04	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.00	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.00	-0.06
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.00	0.04	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.07	15.79	27.84	-0.00	-0.03
San Jose St.	WAC	0.58	0.45	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.10	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.13	0.14	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.02
UCLA	P10	2.79	2.01	50.00	45.30	0.00	-0.19
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.00	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.00	0.04	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.00	0.07	28.57	27.72	-0.00	-0.03
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.06	0.07	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.07	0.07	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.03	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.07	0.11	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.03	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.13	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.13	0.07	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.13	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.06	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.06	0.07	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.26	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.29	0.42	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.07	0.04	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.17	0.13	45.45	40.28	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.06	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.02	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.07	0.07	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.02
Utah	MWC	0.17	0.13	45.45	44.32	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.18	0.10	45.45	44.03	-0.02	-0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.35	0.27	47.62	48.65	-0.02	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.06	0.07	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.03
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.47	0.33	47.83	44.39	-0.02	-0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.11	0.13	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.03
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.07	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.22	0.25	45.00	48.32	-0.02	-0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.24	0.17	45.00	45.40	-0.02	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.07	29.41	29.63	-0.03	-0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.10	27.27	25.82	-0.03	-0.05
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.11	0.07	38.10	41.29	-0.03	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.12	0.14	38.10	39.65	-0.03	-0.03
Seattle	ind	0.34	0.48	45.83	48.87	-0.03	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.23	0.19	43.48	43.10	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.06	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.12	0.13	36.84	36.82	-0.03	-0.03
Howard	MEAC	0.07	0.04	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.12	0.13	35.00	30.59	-0.04	-0.05
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.07	18.18	19.18	-0.04	-0.04
Hawaii	WAC	0.17	0.25	36.36	33.80	-0.05	-0.08
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	1.88	8.70	9.76	-0.05	-1.52
Western Illinois	Sum	0.13	0.07	30.00	31.79	-0.05	-0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.03	0.00	5.15	-0.06	-0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.13	0.14	26.32	31.51	-0.06	-0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.11	0.07	20.00	24.04	-0.07	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.13	0.14	23.53	26.10	-0.07	-0.07
Idaho St.	BSky	0.11	0.17	19.05	24.00	-0.07	-0.09
Utah Valley	GWC	0.28	0.16	36.84	39.02	-0.07	-0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.24	0.16	33.33	33.43	-0.08	-0.05
Southern	SWAC	0.13	0.07	19.05	20.58	-0.08	-0.04