The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Northwestern St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Northwestern St.

Conference:		Slnd
Expected RPI:		316.9
Current RPI:		324
Expected SOS:		307
Current SOS:		323
Current Record:		4-13
Expected Record:		7-18
Current Conf Record:		2-6
Expected Conf Record:		5-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-10
Current OOC Record:		2-7
Expected OOC Record:		2-7
Expected OOC RPI:		316
Expected OOC SOS:		308

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
11-14	250.8	0.05%
10-15	265.0	0.62%
9-16	283.9	3.74%
8-17	300.8	14.36%
7-18	313.7	30.30%
6-19	323.3	32.10%
5-20	331.1	15.58%
4-21	336.3	3.24%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Northwestern St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-19	Texas Tech (54.4)	B12	A	75-94	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Houston Baptist (342.5)	GWC	H	92-61	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Indiana (206.6)	B10	A	72-90	L	0%	0.0
11-30	Centenary (292.2)	Sum	A	83-80	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Louisiana Tech (61.3)	WAC	A	70-98	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Louisiana St. (220.8)	SEC	A	62-73	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Grambling (338.6)	SWAC	H	62-63	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Hawaii (234.4)	WAC	A	62-81	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Texas A&M (23.3)	B12	A	63-89	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Nicholls St. (292.0)	Slnd	A	72-79	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Southeastern Louisiana (204.5)	Slnd	H	64-70	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Texas A&M Corpus Chris (145.1)	Slnd	A	83-98	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Nicholls St. (292.0)	Slnd	H	99-98	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Stephen F. Austin (170.0)	Slnd	H	56-66	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Central Arkansas (318.5)	Slnd	A	74-68	W	100%	0.0
2-3	McNeese St. (285.0)	Slnd	H	85-92	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Texas Arlington (264.4)	Slnd	A	80-81	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Stephen F. Austin (170.0)	Slnd	A	0-0		12%	-12.7
2-13	Central Arkansas (318.5)	Slnd	H	0-0		64%	4.0
2-17	McNeese St. (285.0)	Slnd	A	0-0		28%	-6.2
2-20	Lamar (239.8)	Slnd	H	0-0		56%	1.5
2-24	Texas San Antonio (183.0)	Slnd	A	0-0		10%	-14.1
2-27	Texas St. (256.5)	Slnd	H	0-0		53%	0.9
3-3	Sam Houston St. (79.9)	Slnd	H	0-0		18%	-10.2
3-6	Southeastern Louisiana (204.5)	Slnd	A	0-0		11%	-13.1

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Northwestern St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Northwestern St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Northwestern St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northwestern St.	Slnd	26.42	26.32	26.67	27.35	-12.33	-11.92
Nicholls St.	Slnd	6.48	4.91	18.75	24.47	-4.05	-2.51
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	3.66	4.89	66.67	64.80	1.22	1.45
McNeese St.	Slnd	3.60	4.99	22.22	27.17	-2.00	-2.28
Central Arkansas	Slnd	3.42	4.85	22.22	25.56	-1.90	-2.37
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	3.40	4.88	47.06	51.97	-0.20	0.19
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	3.34	2.81	44.44	50.72	-0.37	0.04
Louisiana Tech	WAC	3.32	2.26	81.82	74.43	2.11	1.10
Louisiana St.	SEC	3.26	2.23	36.36	33.15	-0.89	-0.75
Texas Tech	B12	3.24	2.29	66.67	57.89	1.08	0.36
Texas Arlington	Slnd	3.23	2.83	43.75	41.18	-0.40	-0.50
Houston Baptist	GWC	3.11	2.08	23.81	24.88	-1.63	-1.04
Centenary	Sum	3.09	2.07	28.57	28.24	-1.32	-0.90
Hawaii	WAC	3.08	2.17	33.33	31.44	-1.03	-0.81
Grambling	SWAC	3.01	2.04	18.75	22.80	-1.88	-1.11
Texas A&M	B12	3.01	2.07	71.43	65.66	1.29	0.65
Indiana	B10	2.94	2.00	38.10	32.59	-0.70	-0.70
Lamar	Slnd	0.61	2.84	47.62	44.74	-0.03	-0.30
Texas St.	Slnd	0.49	2.77	36.84	36.43	-0.13	-0.75
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.49	2.77	55.56	57.05	0.05	0.39
New Mexico	MWC	0.43	0.21	87.50	83.52	0.32	0.14
Southern	SWAC	0.41	0.31	19.05	20.58	-0.25	-0.18
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.40	2.77	70.59	72.59	0.16	1.25
Oklahoma	B12	0.36	0.25	59.09	51.13	0.07	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.35	0.25	73.91	72.52	0.17	0.11
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.32	0.31	47.62	49.36	-0.02	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.30	0.19	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.28	0.36	12.00	18.82	-0.21	-0.22
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.28	0.14	36.36	36.18	-0.08	-0.04
San Jose St.	WAC	0.26	0.13	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.25	0.16	38.10	41.29	-0.06	-0.03
North Texas	SB	0.24	0.19	61.90	63.69	0.06	0.05
Miami OH	MAC	0.23	0.11	43.48	47.68	-0.03	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.23	0.11	63.64	58.79	0.06	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.22	0.23	30.00	31.79	-0.09	-0.08
North Dakota	GWC	0.22	0.14	15.79	27.84	-0.15	-0.06
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.21	0.18	69.57	68.48	0.08	0.07
Minnesota	B10	0.21	0.18	63.64	64.66	0.06	0.05
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.21	0.18	38.10	38.08	-0.05	-0.04
Oakland	Sum	0.21	0.15	66.67	69.41	0.07	0.06
Samford	SC	0.21	0.14	28.57	31.03	-0.09	-0.05
South Dakota	GWC	0.21	0.14	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
Southern Utah	Sum	0.21	0.18	19.05	20.55	-0.13	-0.11
Texas	B12	0.21	0.21	82.61	78.76	0.14	0.12
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.21	0.22	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.21	0.18	31.82	30.34	-0.08	-0.07
Chicago St.	GWC	0.20	0.10	20.00	20.57	-0.12	-0.06
Michigan	B10	0.20	0.10	45.45	44.00	-0.02	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.20	0.17	69.57	63.55	0.08	0.05
Boise St.	WAC	0.20	0.17	45.45	45.95	-0.02	-0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.20	0.13	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.17	0.20	45.00	54.19	-0.02	0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.16	0.08	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.15	0.15	45.00	48.63	-0.02	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.15	0.18	76.19	72.73	0.08	0.08
Marquette	BE	0.15	0.08	65.22	66.09	0.05	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.15	0.11	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.15	0.11	36.84	39.02	-0.04	-0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.15	0.15	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.14	0.11	25.00	26.64	-0.07	-0.05
Kansas	B12	0.14	0.14	95.65	91.32	0.13	0.12
Memphis	CUSA	0.14	0.11	69.57	69.99	0.06	0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.14	0.11	79.17	78.03	0.08	0.06
Oregon St.	P10	0.14	0.07	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.13	0.07	66.67	59.01	0.04	0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.13	0.07	42.86	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.13	0.07	73.91	70.60	0.06	0.03
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.13	0.07	33.33	33.96	-0.04	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.13	0.07	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.13	0.14	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.13	0.07	69.57	68.86	0.05	0.03
Idaho	WAC	0.13	0.13	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.13	0.11	95.65	88.67	0.12	0.08
Nevada	WAC	0.13	0.13	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.13	0.13	61.90	56.37	0.03	0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.13	0.10	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.13	0.13	73.91	76.66	0.06	0.07
Alabama	SEC	0.13	0.07	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.09	0.08	28.57	36.52	-0.04	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.09	0.08	33.33	39.38	-0.03	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.09	0.08	0.00	5.15	-0.09	-0.07
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.09	0.08	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.09	0.04	18.18	19.18	-0.06	-0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.09	0.04	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.09	0.04	31.82	31.64	-0.03	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.07	79.17	76.61	0.05	0.04
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.09	0.08	22.73	27.28	-0.05	-0.04
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.09	0.04	8.70	9.54	-0.07	-0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.11	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.06
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.08	0.08	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.08	0.14	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.08	0.08	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.08	0.04	73.91	69.49	0.04	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.08	0.04	69.57	70.29	0.03	0.02
Longwood	ind	0.08	0.08	23.81	29.40	-0.04	-0.03
Monmouth	NEC	0.08	0.04	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.08	0.08	5.00	8.59	-0.07	-0.06
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.08	0.08	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.08	0.11	31.82	29.58	-0.03	-0.04
Akron	MAC	0.07	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.03	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.07	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.07	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.05	0.03
Bryant	ind	0.07	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.07	-0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.07	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.03	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.07	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.07	0.07	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.07	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.07	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.02	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.07	0.11	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.04
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.07	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.07	0.07	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.07	0.07	81.82	79.60	0.04	0.04
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.07	0.03	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.03	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.07	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.04	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.07	0.07	22.73	22.86	-0.04	-0.04
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.07	0.07	22.22	27.56	-0.04	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.07	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.06	-0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.07	0.07	69.57	67.93	0.03	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.07	0.07	75.00	73.72	0.03	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.07	0.11	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.07	0.03	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.07	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.03	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.07	0.07	86.36	81.80	0.05	0.04
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.07	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.03	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.07	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.07	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.07	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.04	-0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.07	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.05	0.02
Stanford	P10	0.07	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.07	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.04	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.07	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.07	0.07	36.36	40.08	-0.02	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.05	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.07	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.04	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.07	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.06	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.07	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.06	0.11	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.03	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.03	86.96	85.47	0.05	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.06	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.06	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.04	0.02
Utah	MWC	0.06	0.07	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.06	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.03	0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.00	0.04	57.14	57.10	0.00	0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.00	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.00	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.00	0.04	39.13	43.30	-0.00	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.00	0.04	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Denver	SB	0.00	0.04	60.87	59.58	0.00	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.00	0.04	34.78	33.89	-0.00	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.00	0.04	65.22	64.71	0.00	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.00	0.04	24.00	23.74	-0.00	-0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.00	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.00	0.04	66.67	65.54	0.00	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.00	0.07	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.00	0.04	25.00	34.68	-0.00	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.00	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.00	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.00	0.04	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.00	0.04	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.00	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.00	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.04	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.00	0.04	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.00	0.04	62.50	65.32	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northwestern St.	Slnd	26.42	26.32	26.67	27.35	-12.33	-11.92
McNeese St.	Slnd	3.60	4.99	22.22	27.17	-2.00	-2.28
Nicholls St.	Slnd	6.48	4.91	18.75	24.47	-4.05	-2.51
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	3.66	4.89	66.67	64.80	1.22	1.45
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	3.40	4.88	47.06	51.97	-0.20	0.19
Central Arkansas	Slnd	3.42	4.85	22.22	25.56	-1.90	-2.37
Lamar	Slnd	0.61	2.84	47.62	44.74	-0.03	-0.30
Texas Arlington	Slnd	3.23	2.83	43.75	41.18	-0.40	-0.50
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	3.34	2.81	44.44	50.72	-0.37	0.04
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.49	2.77	55.56	57.05	0.05	0.39
Texas St.	Slnd	0.49	2.77	36.84	36.43	-0.13	-0.75
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.40	2.77	70.59	72.59	0.16	1.25
Texas Tech	B12	3.24	2.29	66.67	57.89	1.08	0.36
Louisiana Tech	WAC	3.32	2.26	81.82	74.43	2.11	1.10
Louisiana St.	SEC	3.26	2.23	36.36	33.15	-0.89	-0.75
Hawaii	WAC	3.08	2.17	33.33	31.44	-1.03	-0.81
Houston Baptist	GWC	3.11	2.08	23.81	24.88	-1.63	-1.04
Centenary	Sum	3.09	2.07	28.57	28.24	-1.32	-0.90
Texas A&M	B12	3.01	2.07	71.43	65.66	1.29	0.65
Grambling	SWAC	3.01	2.04	18.75	22.80	-1.88	-1.11
Indiana	B10	2.94	2.00	38.10	32.59	-0.70	-0.70
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.28	0.36	12.00	18.82	-0.21	-0.22
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.32	0.31	47.62	49.36	-0.02	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.41	0.31	19.05	20.58	-0.25	-0.18
Oklahoma	B12	0.36	0.25	59.09	51.13	0.07	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.35	0.25	73.91	72.52	0.17	0.11
Western Illinois	Sum	0.22	0.23	30.00	31.79	-0.09	-0.08
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.21	0.22	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.43	0.21	87.50	83.52	0.32	0.14
Texas	B12	0.21	0.21	82.61	78.76	0.14	0.12
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.17	0.20	45.00	54.19	-0.02	0.02
North Texas	SB	0.24	0.19	61.90	63.69	0.06	0.05
Houston	CUSA	0.30	0.19	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.21	0.18	38.10	38.08	-0.05	-0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.21	0.18	69.57	68.48	0.08	0.07
Southern Utah	Sum	0.21	0.18	19.05	20.55	-0.13	-0.11
Minnesota	B10	0.21	0.18	63.64	64.66	0.06	0.05
Rice	CUSA	0.21	0.18	31.82	30.34	-0.08	-0.07
Baylor	B12	0.15	0.18	76.19	72.73	0.08	0.08
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.20	0.17	69.57	63.55	0.08	0.05
Boise St.	WAC	0.20	0.17	45.45	45.95	-0.02	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.25	0.16	38.10	41.29	-0.06	-0.03
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.15	0.15	45.00	48.63	-0.02	-0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.21	0.15	66.67	69.41	0.07	0.06
Nebraska	B12	0.15	0.15	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.14	0.14	95.65	91.32	0.13	0.12
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.13	0.14	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.08	0.14	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.28	0.14	36.36	36.18	-0.08	-0.04
Samford	SC	0.21	0.14	28.57	31.03	-0.09	-0.05
North Dakota	GWC	0.22	0.14	15.79	27.84	-0.15	-0.06
South Dakota	GWC	0.21	0.14	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
Fresno St.	WAC	0.20	0.13	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.00
Idaho	WAC	0.13	0.13	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.13	0.13	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.13	0.13	61.90	56.37	0.03	0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.26	0.13	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.13	0.13	73.91	76.66	0.06	0.07
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.15	0.11	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.07	0.11	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.23	0.11	63.64	58.79	0.06	0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.23	0.11	43.48	47.68	-0.03	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.14	0.11	25.00	26.64	-0.07	-0.05
Memphis	CUSA	0.14	0.11	69.57	69.99	0.06	0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.08	0.11	31.82	29.58	-0.03	-0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.14	0.11	79.17	78.03	0.08	0.06
Auburn	SEC	0.06	0.11	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.13	0.11	95.65	88.67	0.12	0.08
Utah Valley	GWC	0.15	0.11	36.84	39.02	-0.04	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.11	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.06
Iowa	B10	0.07	0.11	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.13	0.10	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.20	0.10	20.00	20.57	-0.12	-0.06
Michigan	B10	0.20	0.10	45.45	44.00	-0.02	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.09	0.08	28.57	36.52	-0.04	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.09	0.08	33.33	39.38	-0.03	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.09	0.08	0.00	5.15	-0.09	-0.07
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.09	0.08	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.16	0.08	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.08	0.08	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.09	0.08	22.73	27.28	-0.05	-0.04
Marquette	BE	0.15	0.08	65.22	66.09	0.05	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.08	0.08	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.02
Longwood	ind	0.08	0.08	23.81	29.40	-0.04	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.08	0.08	5.00	8.59	-0.07	-0.06
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.08	0.08	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.13	0.07	42.86	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.07	0.07	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.03
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.13	0.07	33.33	33.96	-0.04	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.13	0.07	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.07	79.17	76.61	0.05	0.04
UC Irvine	BW	0.07	0.07	36.36	40.08	-0.02	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.07	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.07	0.07	22.73	22.86	-0.04	-0.04
Utah	MWC	0.06	0.07	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.14	0.07	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.00	0.07	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.07	0.07	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.07	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.07	0.07	81.82	79.60	0.04	0.04
Missouri	B12	0.13	0.07	73.91	70.60	0.06	0.03
Washington	P10	0.13	0.07	69.57	68.86	0.05	0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.13	0.07	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.13	0.07	66.67	59.01	0.04	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.07	0.07	22.22	27.56	-0.04	-0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.07	0.07	69.57	67.93	0.03	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.07	0.07	75.00	73.72	0.03	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.07	0.07	86.36	81.80	0.05	0.04
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.00	0.04	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.09	0.04	18.18	19.18	-0.06	-0.02
Florida International	SB	0.00	0.04	24.00	23.74	-0.00	-0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.09	0.04	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.09	0.04	31.82	31.64	-0.03	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.00	0.04	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.09	0.04	8.70	9.54	-0.07	-0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.04	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.00	0.04	62.50	65.32	0.00	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.00	0.04	39.13	43.30	-0.00	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.00	0.04	34.78	33.89	-0.00	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.00	0.04	65.22	64.71	0.00	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.00	0.04	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.08	0.04	73.91	69.49	0.04	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.08	0.04	69.57	70.29	0.03	0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.08	0.04	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.00	0.04	57.14	57.10	0.00	0.01
Denver	SB	0.00	0.04	60.87	59.58	0.00	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.00	0.04	66.67	65.54	0.00	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.00	0.04	25.00	34.68	-0.00	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.00	0.04	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.07	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.03	0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.07	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.05	0.03
Cal Poly	BW	0.00	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.00	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.07	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.03	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.07	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.07	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.04	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.07	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.05	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.07	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.05	0.02
Boston University	AE	0.07	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.07	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.07	-0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.07	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.03	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.07	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.02	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.00	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.07	0.03	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.03	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.07	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.06	-0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.07	0.03	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.07	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.03	0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.07	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.03	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.07	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.07	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.06	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.07	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.04	-0.02
Stanford	P10	0.07	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.06	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.04	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.07	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.04	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.00	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.00	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.07	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.04	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.07	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.06	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.03	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.06	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.03	86.96	85.47	0.05	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.00	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.00	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Louisiana Tech	WAC	3.32	2.26	81.82	74.43	2.11	1.10
Texas A&M	B12	3.01	2.07	71.43	65.66	1.29	0.65
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	3.66	4.89	66.67	64.80	1.22	1.45
Texas Tech	B12	3.24	2.29	66.67	57.89	1.08	0.36
New Mexico	MWC	0.43	0.21	87.50	83.52	0.32	0.14
Mississippi	SEC	0.35	0.25	73.91	72.52	0.17	0.11
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.40	2.77	70.59	72.59	0.16	1.25
Texas	B12	0.21	0.21	82.61	78.76	0.14	0.12
Kansas	B12	0.14	0.14	95.65	91.32	0.13	0.12
Kentucky	SEC	0.13	0.11	95.65	88.67	0.12	0.08
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.14	0.11	79.17	78.03	0.08	0.06
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.21	0.18	69.57	68.48	0.08	0.07
Baylor	B12	0.15	0.18	76.19	72.73	0.08	0.08
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.20	0.17	69.57	63.55	0.08	0.05
Oakland	Sum	0.21	0.15	66.67	69.41	0.07	0.06
Oklahoma	B12	0.36	0.25	59.09	51.13	0.07	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.13	0.07	73.91	70.60	0.06	0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.13	0.13	73.91	76.66	0.06	0.07
Washington St.	P10	0.23	0.11	63.64	58.79	0.06	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.21	0.18	63.64	64.66	0.06	0.05
Memphis	CUSA	0.14	0.11	69.57	69.99	0.06	0.04
North Texas	SB	0.24	0.19	61.90	63.69	0.06	0.05
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.49	2.77	55.56	57.05	0.05	0.39
Washington	P10	0.13	0.07	69.57	68.86	0.05	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.07	79.17	76.61	0.05	0.04
Brigham Young	MWC	0.07	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.05	0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.07	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.05	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.11	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.06
Purdue	B10	0.07	0.07	86.36	81.80	0.05	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.05	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.03	86.96	85.47	0.05	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.15	0.08	65.22	66.09	0.05	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.13	0.07	66.67	59.01	0.04	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.07	0.07	81.82	79.60	0.04	0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.07	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.04	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.06	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.04	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.07	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.04	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.08	0.04	73.91	69.49	0.04	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.07	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.04	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.07	0.07	75.00	73.72	0.03	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.07	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.03	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.13	0.13	61.90	56.37	0.03	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.03	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.08	0.04	69.57	70.29	0.03	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.09	0.04	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.03	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.07	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.03	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.07	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.03	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.07	0.07	69.57	67.93	0.03	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.06	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.03	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.07	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.07	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.07	0.07	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.15	0.15	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.13	0.13	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.07	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.02	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.13	0.07	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.07	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.06	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.07	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Boston University	AE	0.07	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.07	0.11	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.08	0.14	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Arizona	P10	0.06	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.00	0.04	57.14	57.10	0.00	0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.00	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.00	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.00	0.04	39.13	43.30	-0.00	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.00	0.04	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.07	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.00	0.04	60.87	59.58	0.00	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.00	0.04	34.78	33.89	-0.00	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.16	0.08	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.00	0.04	65.22	64.71	0.00	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.00	0.04	24.00	23.74	-0.00	-0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.00	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.07	0.03	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.00	0.04	66.67	65.54	0.00	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.00	0.07	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.00	0.04	25.00	34.68	-0.00	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.00	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.00	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.00	0.04	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00