The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated UC Santa Barbara page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

UC Santa Barbara

Conference:		BW
Expected RPI:		94.0
Current RPI:		94
Expected SOS:		194
Current SOS:		194
Current Record:		19-9
Expected Record:		19-9
Current Conf Record:		14-4
Expected Conf Record:		14-4
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		12-4
Current OOC Record:		5-5
Expected OOC Record:		5-5
Expected OOC RPI:		144
Expected OOC SOS:		92

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
19-9		94.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UC Santa Barbara.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-17	Weber St. (85.0)	BSky	H	66-57	W	100%	0.0
11-23	San Francisco (205.0)	WCC	H	76-65	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Loyola Marymount (174.0)	WCC	A	89-84	W	100%	0.0
12-1	Santa Clara (233.0)	WCC	H	68-79	L	0%	0.0
12-5	San Diego St. (18.0)	MWC	H	61-69	L	0%	0.0
12-18	Montana St. (200.0)	BSky	A	64-76	L	0%	0.0
12-21	Arizona St. (63.0)	P10	A	42-69	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Furman (278.0)	SC	N	72-60	W	100%	0.0
12-29	California (20.0)	P10	A	66-87	L	0%	0.0
1-2	UC Irvine (276.0)	BW	A	55-57	L	0%	0.0
1-4	UC Riverside (255.0)	BW	A	57-53	W	100%	0.0
1-8	UC Davis (244.0)	BW	H	68-47	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Pacific (128.0)	BW	H	68-67	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Long Beach St. (112.0)	BW	A	47-67	L	0%	0.0
1-16	UC Riverside (255.0)	BW	H	63-56	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Cal St. Fullerton (204.0)	BW	H	85-80	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Cal Poly (256.0)	BW	H	80-57	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Cal St. Northridge (251.0)	BW	A	69-76	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Pacific (128.0)	BW	A	61-48	W	100%	0.0
2-6	UC Davis (244.0)	BW	A	81-77	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Long Beach St. (112.0)	BW	H	64-62	W	100%	0.0
2-17	Cal St. Fullerton (204.0)	BW	A	73-65	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Fresno St. (190.0)	WAC	A	64-60	W	100%	0.0
2-24	Cal St. Northridge (251.0)	BW	H	74-69	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Cal Poly (256.0)	BW	A	57-60	L	0%	0.0
3-3	UC Irvine (276.0)	BW	H	77-74	W	100%	0.0
3-12	UC Davis (244.0)	BW	N	76-62	W	100%	0.0
3-13	Long Beach St. (112.0)	BW	N	69-64	W	100%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

UC Santa Barbara's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

UC Santa Barbara's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against UC Santa Barbara.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UC Santa Barbara	BW	26.54	26.54	71.31	71.31	11.31	11.31
Long Beach St.	BW	6.40	6.40	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
UC Davis	BW	6.34	6.34	44.44	44.44	-0.70	-0.70
Pacific	BW	4.75	4.75	68.97	68.97	1.80	1.80
Cal Poly	BW	4.73	4.73	37.93	37.93	-1.14	-1.14
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	4.72	4.72	51.85	51.85	0.17	0.17
UC Irvine	BW	4.61	4.61	39.29	39.29	-0.99	-0.99
Cal St. Northridge	BW	4.59	4.59	33.33	33.33	-1.53	-1.53
UC Riverside	BW	4.54	4.54	40.00	40.00	-0.91	-0.91
Loyola Marymount	WCC	2.09	2.09	54.84	54.84	0.20	0.20
Santa Clara	WCC	2.08	2.08	27.59	27.59	-0.93	-0.93
San Diego St.	MWC	2.06	2.06	73.33	73.33	0.96	0.96
San Francisco	WCC	2.05	2.05	37.04	37.04	-0.53	-0.53
Fresno St.	WAC	1.99	1.99	45.16	45.16	-0.19	-0.19
Montana St.	BSky	1.94	1.94	46.15	46.15	-0.15	-0.15
Weber St.	BSky	1.91	1.91	66.67	66.67	0.64	0.64
Arizona St.	P10	1.90	1.90	67.74	67.74	0.67	0.67
California	P10	1.90	1.90	68.75	68.75	0.71	0.71
Furman	SC	1.79	1.79	40.74	40.74	-0.33	-0.33
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.77	0.77	24.14	24.14	-0.40	-0.40
Pepperdine	WCC	0.50	0.50	20.69	20.69	-0.29	-0.29
Seattle	ind	0.49	0.49	54.84	54.84	0.05	0.05
San Jose St.	WAC	0.39	0.39	43.33	43.33	-0.05	-0.05
San Diego	WCC	0.39	0.39	32.26	32.26	-0.14	-0.14
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.37	0.37	25.00	25.00	-0.19	-0.19
St. Mary's	WCC	0.32	0.32	83.33	83.33	0.22	0.22
Montana	BSky	0.31	0.31	68.97	68.97	0.12	0.12
UCLA	P10	0.28	0.28	43.75	43.75	-0.04	-0.04
Stanford	P10	0.28	0.28	43.75	43.75	-0.04	-0.04
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.28	0.28	46.15	46.15	-0.02	-0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.27	0.27	78.79	78.79	0.15	0.15
Oregon	P10	0.26	0.26	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.25	0.25	36.67	36.67	-0.07	-0.07
Colorado St.	MWC	0.24	0.24	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Washington	P10	0.22	0.22	72.73	72.73	0.10	0.10
Gonzaga	WCC	0.21	0.21	80.65	80.65	0.13	0.13
Boise St.	WAC	0.21	0.21	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Southern California	P10	0.20	0.20	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.20	0.20	44.83	44.83	-0.02	-0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.18	0.18	87.88	87.88	0.14	0.14
Portland	WCC	0.18	0.18	65.52	65.52	0.06	0.06
Brigham Young	MWC	0.18	0.18	84.85	84.85	0.12	0.12
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.17	0.17	65.62	65.62	0.05	0.05
Hawaii	WAC	0.17	0.17	31.03	31.03	-0.07	-0.07
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Air Force	MWC	0.15	0.15	27.59	27.59	-0.07	-0.07
Nevada	WAC	0.15	0.15	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Texas	B12	0.15	0.15	72.73	72.73	0.07	0.07
Texas Christian	MWC	0.14	0.14	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Arizona	P10	0.14	0.14	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.14	0.14	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.13	0.13	25.00	25.00	-0.06	-0.06
Idaho St.	BSky	0.13	0.13	18.52	18.52	-0.08	-0.08
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.13	0.13	76.67	76.67	0.07	0.07
Clemson	ACC	0.12	0.12	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.12	0.12	33.33	33.33	-0.04	-0.04
Duke	ACC	0.11	0.11	85.29	85.29	0.08	0.08
Notre Dame	BE	0.11	0.11	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Washington St.	P10	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.10	0.10	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.06
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.09	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Utah	MWC	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.09	0.09	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.09	0.09	32.00	32.00	-0.03	-0.03
Colorado	B12	0.09	0.09	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.09	94.12	94.12	0.08	0.08
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.09	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.09	0.09	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Drake	MVC	0.08	0.08	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
College of Charleston	SC	0.06	0.06	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.06	0.06	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.06	0.06	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.05	-0.05
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.06	0.06	3.33	3.33	-0.06	-0.06
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.06	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Denver	SB	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.06	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	79.41	79.41	0.02	0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UC Santa Barbara	BW	26.54	26.54	71.31	71.31	11.31	11.31
Long Beach St.	BW	6.40	6.40	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
UC Davis	BW	6.34	6.34	44.44	44.44	-0.70	-0.70
Pacific	BW	4.75	4.75	68.97	68.97	1.80	1.80
Cal Poly	BW	4.73	4.73	37.93	37.93	-1.14	-1.14
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	4.72	4.72	51.85	51.85	0.17	0.17
UC Irvine	BW	4.61	4.61	39.29	39.29	-0.99	-0.99
Cal St. Northridge	BW	4.59	4.59	33.33	33.33	-1.53	-1.53
UC Riverside	BW	4.54	4.54	40.00	40.00	-0.91	-0.91
Loyola Marymount	WCC	2.09	2.09	54.84	54.84	0.20	0.20
Santa Clara	WCC	2.08	2.08	27.59	27.59	-0.93	-0.93
San Diego St.	MWC	2.06	2.06	73.33	73.33	0.96	0.96
San Francisco	WCC	2.05	2.05	37.04	37.04	-0.53	-0.53
Fresno St.	WAC	1.99	1.99	45.16	45.16	-0.19	-0.19
Montana St.	BSky	1.94	1.94	46.15	46.15	-0.15	-0.15
Weber St.	BSky	1.91	1.91	66.67	66.67	0.64	0.64
Arizona St.	P10	1.90	1.90	67.74	67.74	0.67	0.67
California	P10	1.90	1.90	68.75	68.75	0.71	0.71
Furman	SC	1.79	1.79	40.74	40.74	-0.33	-0.33
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.77	0.77	24.14	24.14	-0.40	-0.40
Pepperdine	WCC	0.50	0.50	20.69	20.69	-0.29	-0.29
Seattle	ind	0.49	0.49	54.84	54.84	0.05	0.05
San Jose St.	WAC	0.39	0.39	43.33	43.33	-0.05	-0.05
San Diego	WCC	0.39	0.39	32.26	32.26	-0.14	-0.14
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.37	0.37	25.00	25.00	-0.19	-0.19
St. Mary's	WCC	0.32	0.32	83.33	83.33	0.22	0.22
Montana	BSky	0.31	0.31	68.97	68.97	0.12	0.12
UCLA	P10	0.28	0.28	43.75	43.75	-0.04	-0.04
Stanford	P10	0.28	0.28	43.75	43.75	-0.04	-0.04
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.28	0.28	46.15	46.15	-0.02	-0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.27	0.27	78.79	78.79	0.15	0.15
Oregon	P10	0.26	0.26	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.25	0.25	36.67	36.67	-0.07	-0.07
Colorado St.	MWC	0.24	0.24	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Washington	P10	0.22	0.22	72.73	72.73	0.10	0.10
Gonzaga	WCC	0.21	0.21	80.65	80.65	0.13	0.13
Boise St.	WAC	0.21	0.21	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Southern California	P10	0.20	0.20	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.20	0.20	44.83	44.83	-0.02	-0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.18	0.18	87.88	87.88	0.14	0.14
Portland	WCC	0.18	0.18	65.52	65.52	0.06	0.06
Brigham Young	MWC	0.18	0.18	84.85	84.85	0.12	0.12
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.17	0.17	65.62	65.62	0.05	0.05
Hawaii	WAC	0.17	0.17	31.03	31.03	-0.07	-0.07
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Air Force	MWC	0.15	0.15	27.59	27.59	-0.07	-0.07
Nevada	WAC	0.15	0.15	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Texas	B12	0.15	0.15	72.73	72.73	0.07	0.07
Texas Christian	MWC	0.14	0.14	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Arizona	P10	0.14	0.14	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.14	0.14	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.13	0.13	25.00	25.00	-0.06	-0.06
Idaho St.	BSky	0.13	0.13	18.52	18.52	-0.08	-0.08
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.13	0.13	76.67	76.67	0.07	0.07
Clemson	ACC	0.12	0.12	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.12	0.12	33.33	33.33	-0.04	-0.04
Duke	ACC	0.11	0.11	85.29	85.29	0.08	0.08
Notre Dame	BE	0.11	0.11	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Washington St.	P10	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.10	0.10	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.06
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.09	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Utah	MWC	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.09	0.09	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.09	0.09	32.00	32.00	-0.03	-0.03
Colorado	B12	0.09	0.09	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.09	94.12	94.12	0.08	0.08
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.09	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.09	0.09	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Drake	MVC	0.08	0.08	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
College of Charleston	SC	0.06	0.06	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.06	0.06	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.06	0.06	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.05	-0.05
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.06	0.06	3.33	3.33	-0.06	-0.06
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.06	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Denver	SB	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.06	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	79.41	79.41	0.02	0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UC Santa Barbara	BW	26.54	26.54	71.31	71.31	11.31	11.31
Pacific	BW	4.75	4.75	68.97	68.97	1.80	1.80
San Diego St.	MWC	2.06	2.06	73.33	73.33	0.96	0.96
California	P10	1.90	1.90	68.75	68.75	0.71	0.71
Arizona St.	P10	1.90	1.90	67.74	67.74	0.67	0.67
Weber St.	BSky	1.91	1.91	66.67	66.67	0.64	0.64
St. Mary's	WCC	0.32	0.32	83.33	83.33	0.22	0.22
Loyola Marymount	WCC	2.09	2.09	54.84	54.84	0.20	0.20
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	4.72	4.72	51.85	51.85	0.17	0.17
Utah St.	WAC	0.27	0.27	78.79	78.79	0.15	0.15
New Mexico	MWC	0.18	0.18	87.88	87.88	0.14	0.14
Gonzaga	WCC	0.21	0.21	80.65	80.65	0.13	0.13
Brigham Young	MWC	0.18	0.18	84.85	84.85	0.12	0.12
Montana	BSky	0.31	0.31	68.97	68.97	0.12	0.12
Washington	P10	0.22	0.22	72.73	72.73	0.10	0.10
Duke	ACC	0.11	0.11	85.29	85.29	0.08	0.08
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.09	94.12	94.12	0.08	0.08
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.13	0.13	76.67	76.67	0.07	0.07
Texas	B12	0.15	0.15	72.73	72.73	0.07	0.07
Portland	WCC	0.18	0.18	65.52	65.52	0.06	0.06
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.09	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.17	0.17	65.62	65.62	0.05	0.05
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.09	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Seattle	ind	0.49	0.49	54.84	54.84	0.05	0.05
Clemson	ACC	0.12	0.12	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.11	0.11	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.06	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Nevada	WAC	0.15	0.15	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.06	0.06	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	79.41	79.41	0.02	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.20	0.20	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.14	0.14	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.24	0.24	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	6.40	6.40	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.26	0.26	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.09	0.09	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.06	0.06	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.09	0.09	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.08	0.08	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.14	0.14	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.21	0.21	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.20	0.20	44.83	44.83	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.28	0.28	46.15	46.15	-0.02	-0.02
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.06	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Elon	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.09	0.09	32.00	32.00	-0.03	-0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.06	0.06	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Stanford	P10	0.28	0.28	43.75	43.75	-0.04	-0.04
UCLA	P10	0.28	0.28	43.75	43.75	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.14	0.14	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Wyoming	MWC	0.09	0.09	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.12	0.12	33.33	33.33	-0.04	-0.04
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.05	-0.05
San Jose St.	WAC	0.39	0.39	43.33	43.33	-0.05	-0.05
Marist	MAAC	0.06	0.06	3.33	3.33	-0.06	-0.06
Southern Utah	Sum	0.10	0.10	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.06
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.13	0.13	25.00	25.00	-0.06	-0.06
Hawaii	WAC	0.17	0.17	31.03	31.03	-0.07	-0.07
Air Force	MWC	0.15	0.15	27.59	27.59	-0.07	-0.07
Portland St.	BSky	0.25	0.25	36.67	36.67	-0.07	-0.07
Idaho St.	BSky	0.13	0.13	18.52	18.52	-0.08	-0.08
San Diego	WCC	0.39	0.39	32.26	32.26	-0.14	-0.14
Montana St.	BSky	1.94	1.94	46.15	46.15	-0.15	-0.15
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.37	0.37	25.00	25.00	-0.19	-0.19
Fresno St.	WAC	1.99	1.99	45.16	45.16	-0.19	-0.19
Pepperdine	WCC	0.50	0.50	20.69	20.69	-0.29	-0.29
Furman	SC	1.79	1.79	40.74	40.74	-0.33	-0.33
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.77	0.77	24.14	24.14	-0.40	-0.40
San Francisco	WCC	2.05	2.05	37.04	37.04	-0.53	-0.53
UC Davis	BW	6.34	6.34	44.44	44.44	-0.70	-0.70
UC Riverside	BW	4.54	4.54	40.00	40.00	-0.91	-0.91
Santa Clara	WCC	2.08	2.08	27.59	27.59	-0.93	-0.93
UC Irvine	BW	4.61	4.61	39.29	39.29	-0.99	-0.99
Cal Poly	BW	4.73	4.73	37.93	37.93	-1.14	-1.14
Cal St. Northridge	BW	4.59	4.59	33.33	33.33	-1.53	-1.53

BY EXPECTED (END-OF-SEASON) HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UC Santa Barbara	BW	26.54	26.54	71.31	71.31	11.31	11.31
Pacific	BW	4.75	4.75	68.97	68.97	1.80	1.80
San Diego St.	MWC	2.06	2.06	73.33	73.33	0.96	0.96
California	P10	1.90	1.90	68.75	68.75	0.71	0.71
Arizona St.	P10	1.90	1.90	67.74	67.74	0.67	0.67
Weber St.	BSky	1.91	1.91	66.67	66.67	0.64	0.64
St. Mary's	WCC	0.32	0.32	83.33	83.33	0.22	0.22
Loyola Marymount	WCC	2.09	2.09	54.84	54.84	0.20	0.20
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	4.72	4.72	51.85	51.85	0.17	0.17
Utah St.	WAC	0.27	0.27	78.79	78.79	0.15	0.15
New Mexico	MWC	0.18	0.18	87.88	87.88	0.14	0.14
Gonzaga	WCC	0.21	0.21	80.65	80.65	0.13	0.13
Brigham Young	MWC	0.18	0.18	84.85	84.85	0.12	0.12
Montana	BSky	0.31	0.31	68.97	68.97	0.12	0.12
Washington	P10	0.22	0.22	72.73	72.73	0.10	0.10
Duke	ACC	0.11	0.11	85.29	85.29	0.08	0.08
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.09	94.12	94.12	0.08	0.08
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.13	0.13	76.67	76.67	0.07	0.07
Texas	B12	0.15	0.15	72.73	72.73	0.07	0.07
Portland	WCC	0.18	0.18	65.52	65.52	0.06	0.06
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.09	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.17	0.17	65.62	65.62	0.05	0.05
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.09	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Seattle	ind	0.49	0.49	54.84	54.84	0.05	0.05
Clemson	ACC	0.12	0.12	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.11	0.11	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.06	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03