The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated UC Santa Barbara page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 10, 2010.

UC Santa Barbara

Conference:		BW
Expected RPI:		101.0
Current RPI:		101
Expected SOS:		194
Current SOS:		194
Current Record:		17-9
Expected Record:		17-9
Current Conf Record:		12-4
Expected Conf Record:		12-4
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		10-5
Current OOC Record:		5-5
Expected OOC Record:		5-5
Expected OOC RPI:		144
Expected OOC SOS:		92

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
17-9		101.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UC Santa Barbara.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-17	Weber St. (85.6)	BSky	H	66-57	W	100%	0.0
11-23	San Francisco (206.6)	WCC	H	76-65	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Loyola Marymount (176.2)	WCC	A	89-84	W	100%	0.0
12-1	Santa Clara (233.6)	WCC	H	68-79	L	0%	0.0
12-5	San Diego St. (33.5)	MWC	H	61-69	L	0%	0.0
12-18	Montana St. (201.6)	BSky	A	64-76	L	0%	0.0
12-21	Arizona St. (55.3)	P10	A	42-69	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Furman (278.8)	SC	N	72-60	W	100%	0.0
12-29	California (20.5)	P10	A	66-87	L	0%	0.0
1-2	UC Irvine (273.6)	BW	A	55-57	L	0%	0.0
1-4	UC Riverside (255.3)	BW	A	57-53	W	100%	0.0
1-8	UC Davis (250.5)	BW	H	68-47	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Pacific (117.3)	BW	H	68-67	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Long Beach St. (121.9)	BW	A	47-67	L	0%	0.0
1-16	UC Riverside (255.3)	BW	H	63-56	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Cal St. Fullerton (201.2)	BW	H	85-80	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Cal Poly (254.1)	BW	H	80-57	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Cal St. Northridge (251.8)	BW	A	69-76	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Pacific (117.3)	BW	A	61-48	W	100%	0.0
2-6	UC Davis (250.5)	BW	A	81-77	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Long Beach St. (121.9)	BW	H	64-62	W	100%	0.0
2-17	Cal St. Fullerton (201.2)	BW	A	73-65	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Fresno St. (184.7)	WAC	A	64-60	W	100%	0.0
2-24	Cal St. Northridge (251.8)	BW	H	74-69	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Cal Poly (254.1)	BW	A	57-60	L	0%	0.0
3-3	UC Irvine (273.6)	BW	H	77-74	W	100%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

UC Santa Barbara's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

UC Santa Barbara's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against UC Santa Barbara.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UC Santa Barbara	BW	26.39	26.37	68.75	68.75	9.90	9.89
Pacific	BW	4.94	4.92	71.43	71.43	2.12	2.11
Cal Poly	BW	4.91	4.96	39.29	38.67	-1.05	-1.12
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	4.90	4.95	53.85	54.08	0.38	0.40
UC Irvine	BW	4.87	4.85	39.29	39.29	-1.04	-1.04
Cal St. Northridge	BW	4.85	4.83	33.33	33.33	-1.62	-1.61
UC Davis	BW	4.80	4.85	42.31	42.22	-0.74	-0.75
Long Beach St.	BW	4.80	4.85	46.15	47.35	-0.37	-0.26
UC Riverside	BW	4.80	4.78	40.00	40.00	-0.96	-0.96
Santa Clara	WCC	2.25	2.24	27.59	27.59	-1.01	-1.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	2.22	2.22	54.84	54.84	0.22	0.21
San Diego St.	MWC	2.22	2.22	70.37	70.93	0.90	0.93
San Francisco	WCC	2.21	2.21	37.04	37.04	-0.57	-0.57
Fresno St.	WAC	2.12	2.12	46.67	46.18	-0.14	-0.16
Montana St.	BSky	2.09	2.09	46.15	46.15	-0.16	-0.16
Weber St.	BSky	2.06	2.06	66.67	66.67	0.69	0.69
Arizona St.	P10	2.06	2.05	70.00	70.38	0.82	0.84
California	P10	2.05	2.05	68.97	69.67	0.78	0.81
Furman	SC	1.92	1.92	40.74	40.74	-0.36	-0.36
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.84	0.83	24.14	24.14	-0.44	-0.43
Pepperdine	WCC	0.51	0.51	20.69	20.69	-0.30	-0.30
Seattle	ind	0.48	0.47	54.84	54.84	0.05	0.05
San Jose St.	WAC	0.43	0.43	44.83	44.75	-0.04	-0.04
San Diego	WCC	0.43	0.42	32.26	32.26	-0.15	-0.15
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.37	0.37	25.00	25.00	-0.19	-0.19
St. Mary's	WCC	0.36	0.35	83.33	83.33	0.24	0.23
Montana	BSky	0.34	0.34	68.97	68.97	0.13	0.13
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.31	0.31	46.15	46.15	-0.02	-0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.27	0.27	36.67	36.67	-0.07	-0.07
Utah St.	WAC	0.27	0.26	80.00	80.37	0.16	0.16
UCLA	P10	0.26	0.25	43.33	43.10	-0.04	-0.04
Stanford	P10	0.26	0.28	43.33	42.53	-0.03	-0.04
Oregon	P10	0.23	0.26	51.61	50.31	0.01	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.23	0.22	53.33	53.33	0.02	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.22	0.22	80.65	80.65	0.14	0.14
Washington	P10	0.22	0.22	70.00	70.58	0.09	0.09
Colorado St.	MWC	0.20	0.23	51.72	50.46	0.01	0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.20	0.20	87.10	87.43	0.15	0.15
Boise St.	WAC	0.20	0.19	46.67	45.44	-0.01	-0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.19	0.19	62.07	61.92	0.05	0.05
Portland	WCC	0.19	0.19	65.52	65.52	0.06	0.06
Idaho	WAC	0.19	0.19	46.43	45.44	-0.01	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.19	0.19	31.03	31.03	-0.07	-0.07
New Mexico	MWC	0.17	0.17	90.32	90.55	0.14	0.14
Nevada	WAC	0.16	0.16	62.07	62.74	0.04	0.04
Arizona	P10	0.16	0.16	53.33	53.68	0.01	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.16	0.16	37.93	36.74	-0.04	-0.04
Oregon St.	P10	0.16	0.15	46.67	45.55	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.14	0.14	25.00	25.00	-0.07	-0.07
Idaho St.	BSky	0.14	0.14	18.52	18.52	-0.09	-0.09
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.14	0.14	76.67	76.67	0.07	0.07
Air Force	MWC	0.14	0.13	28.57	27.67	-0.06	-0.06
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.14	0.13	75.86	76.36	0.07	0.07
Texas	B12	0.13	0.13	75.00	74.46	0.07	0.06
Washington St.	P10	0.13	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.11	0.11	18.52	18.52	-0.07	-0.07
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.10	70.00	70.31	0.04	0.04
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.10	46.67	45.46	-0.01	-0.01
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.10	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.10	83.87	83.87	0.07	0.07
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.10	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.10	0.10	68.75	67.91	0.04	0.03
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.10	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Colorado	B12	0.09	0.09	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.09	0.09	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.09	0.09	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Ball St.	MAC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.07	0.07	23.08	23.08	-0.04	-0.04
College of Charleston	SC	0.07	0.07	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.07	0.07	23.33	23.33	-0.04	-0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.07	0.07	93.55	93.55	0.06	0.06
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.07	0.07	11.54	11.54	-0.05	-0.05
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.07	0.07	70.37	69.63	0.03	0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	80.00	80.10	0.04	0.04
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.07	0.07	32.00	33.42	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.07	0.07	23.33	23.33	-0.04	-0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.07	0.07	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.06	0.06	3.33	3.33	-0.06	-0.06
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.06	70.97	69.60	0.03	0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.80	0.03	0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.06	0.09	70.97	70.89	0.03	0.04
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.04	0.04
Denver	SB	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.06	86.67	86.67	0.04	0.04
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.04	0.04	74.19	74.20	0.02	0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.04	0.04	55.56	54.66	0.00	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.03	-0.03
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.79	0.00	-0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	51.01	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.02	0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	35.48	36.20	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	93.55	93.61	0.03	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	90.32	89.58	0.03	0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	79.31	78.09	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	56.00	56.08	0.00	0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	35.65	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.07	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UC Santa Barbara	BW	26.39	26.37	68.75	68.75	9.90	9.89
Cal Poly	BW	4.91	4.96	39.29	38.67	-1.05	-1.12
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	4.90	4.95	53.85	54.08	0.38	0.40
Pacific	BW	4.94	4.92	71.43	71.43	2.12	2.11
UC Irvine	BW	4.87	4.85	39.29	39.29	-1.04	-1.04
UC Davis	BW	4.80	4.85	42.31	42.22	-0.74	-0.75
Long Beach St.	BW	4.80	4.85	46.15	47.35	-0.37	-0.26
Cal St. Northridge	BW	4.85	4.83	33.33	33.33	-1.62	-1.61
UC Riverside	BW	4.80	4.78	40.00	40.00	-0.96	-0.96
Santa Clara	WCC	2.25	2.24	27.59	27.59	-1.01	-1.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	2.22	2.22	54.84	54.84	0.22	0.21
San Diego St.	MWC	2.22	2.22	70.37	70.93	0.90	0.93
San Francisco	WCC	2.21	2.21	37.04	37.04	-0.57	-0.57
Fresno St.	WAC	2.12	2.12	46.67	46.18	-0.14	-0.16
Montana St.	BSky	2.09	2.09	46.15	46.15	-0.16	-0.16
Weber St.	BSky	2.06	2.06	66.67	66.67	0.69	0.69
Arizona St.	P10	2.06	2.05	70.00	70.38	0.82	0.84
California	P10	2.05	2.05	68.97	69.67	0.78	0.81
Furman	SC	1.92	1.92	40.74	40.74	-0.36	-0.36
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.84	0.83	24.14	24.14	-0.44	-0.43
Pepperdine	WCC	0.51	0.51	20.69	20.69	-0.30	-0.30
Seattle	ind	0.48	0.47	54.84	54.84	0.05	0.05
San Jose St.	WAC	0.43	0.43	44.83	44.75	-0.04	-0.04
San Diego	WCC	0.43	0.42	32.26	32.26	-0.15	-0.15
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.37	0.37	25.00	25.00	-0.19	-0.19
St. Mary's	WCC	0.36	0.35	83.33	83.33	0.24	0.23
Montana	BSky	0.34	0.34	68.97	68.97	0.13	0.13
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.31	0.31	46.15	46.15	-0.02	-0.02
Stanford	P10	0.26	0.28	43.33	42.53	-0.03	-0.04
Portland St.	BSky	0.27	0.27	36.67	36.67	-0.07	-0.07
Utah St.	WAC	0.27	0.26	80.00	80.37	0.16	0.16
Oregon	P10	0.23	0.26	51.61	50.31	0.01	0.00
UCLA	P10	0.26	0.25	43.33	43.10	-0.04	-0.04
Colorado St.	MWC	0.20	0.23	51.72	50.46	0.01	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.23	0.22	53.33	53.33	0.02	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.22	0.22	80.65	80.65	0.14	0.14
Washington	P10	0.22	0.22	70.00	70.58	0.09	0.09
Brigham Young	MWC	0.20	0.20	87.10	87.43	0.15	0.15
Portland	WCC	0.19	0.19	65.52	65.52	0.06	0.06
Boise St.	WAC	0.20	0.19	46.67	45.44	-0.01	-0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.19	0.19	62.07	61.92	0.05	0.05
Idaho	WAC	0.19	0.19	46.43	45.44	-0.01	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.19	0.19	31.03	31.03	-0.07	-0.07
New Mexico	MWC	0.17	0.17	90.32	90.55	0.14	0.14
Nevada	WAC	0.16	0.16	62.07	62.74	0.04	0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.16	0.16	37.93	36.74	-0.04	-0.04
Arizona	P10	0.16	0.16	53.33	53.68	0.01	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.16	0.15	46.67	45.55	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.14	0.14	25.00	25.00	-0.07	-0.07
Idaho St.	BSky	0.14	0.14	18.52	18.52	-0.09	-0.09
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.14	0.14	76.67	76.67	0.07	0.07
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.14	0.13	75.86	76.36	0.07	0.07
Air Force	MWC	0.14	0.13	28.57	27.67	-0.06	-0.06
Texas	B12	0.13	0.13	75.00	74.46	0.07	0.06
Washington St.	P10	0.13	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.11	0.11	18.52	18.52	-0.07	-0.07
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.10	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.10	70.00	70.31	0.04	0.04
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.10	46.67	45.46	-0.01	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.10	83.87	83.87	0.07	0.07
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.10	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.10	0.10	68.75	67.91	0.04	0.03
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.10	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Colorado	B12	0.09	0.09	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.09	0.09	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.06	0.09	70.97	70.89	0.03	0.04
Texas St.	Slnd	0.09	0.09	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
College of Charleston	SC	0.07	0.07	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.07	0.07	23.33	23.33	-0.04	-0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.07	0.07	23.33	23.33	-0.04	-0.04
Ball St.	MAC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.07	0.07	23.08	23.08	-0.04	-0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.07	0.07	93.55	93.55	0.06	0.06
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.07	0.07	11.54	11.54	-0.05	-0.05
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.07	0.07	70.37	69.63	0.03	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	80.00	80.10	0.04	0.04
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.07	0.07	32.00	33.42	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.07	0.07	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.06	0.06	3.33	3.33	-0.06	-0.06
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.06	70.97	69.60	0.03	0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.80	0.03	0.03
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.04	0.04
Denver	SB	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.06	86.67	86.67	0.04	0.04
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.04	0.04	74.19	74.20	0.02	0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.04	0.04	55.56	54.66	0.00	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.03	-0.03
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.79	0.00	-0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	51.01	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.02	0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	35.48	36.20	-0.01	-0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	93.55	93.61	0.03	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	90.32	89.58	0.03	0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	79.31	78.09	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	56.00	56.08	0.00	0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	35.65	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.07	0.01	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UC Santa Barbara	BW	26.39	26.37	68.75	68.75	9.90	9.89
Pacific	BW	4.94	4.92	71.43	71.43	2.12	2.11
San Diego St.	MWC	2.22	2.22	70.37	70.93	0.90	0.93
Arizona St.	P10	2.06	2.05	70.00	70.38	0.82	0.84
California	P10	2.05	2.05	68.97	69.67	0.78	0.81
Weber St.	BSky	2.06	2.06	66.67	66.67	0.69	0.69
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	4.90	4.95	53.85	54.08	0.38	0.40
St. Mary's	WCC	0.36	0.35	83.33	83.33	0.24	0.23
Loyola Marymount	WCC	2.22	2.22	54.84	54.84	0.22	0.21
Utah St.	WAC	0.27	0.26	80.00	80.37	0.16	0.16
Brigham Young	MWC	0.20	0.20	87.10	87.43	0.15	0.15
New Mexico	MWC	0.17	0.17	90.32	90.55	0.14	0.14
Gonzaga	WCC	0.22	0.22	80.65	80.65	0.14	0.14
Montana	BSky	0.34	0.34	68.97	68.97	0.13	0.13
Washington	P10	0.22	0.22	70.00	70.58	0.09	0.09
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.14	0.14	76.67	76.67	0.07	0.07
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.14	0.13	75.86	76.36	0.07	0.07
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.10	83.87	83.87	0.07	0.07
Texas	B12	0.13	0.13	75.00	74.46	0.07	0.06
Portland	WCC	0.19	0.19	65.52	65.52	0.06	0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.07	0.07	93.55	93.55	0.06	0.06
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.10	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.19	0.19	62.07	61.92	0.05	0.05
Seattle	ind	0.48	0.47	54.84	54.84	0.05	0.05
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.06	86.67	86.67	0.04	0.04
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.10	70.00	70.31	0.04	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	80.00	80.10	0.04	0.04
Nevada	WAC	0.16	0.16	62.07	62.74	0.04	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.10	0.10	68.75	67.91	0.04	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.80	0.03	0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.07	0.07	70.37	69.63	0.03	0.03
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	93.55	93.61	0.03	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.06	70.97	69.60	0.03	0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.06	0.09	70.97	70.89	0.03	0.04
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	90.32	89.58	0.03	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.07	0.07	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	79.31	78.09	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.04	0.04	74.19	74.20	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.02	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.23	0.22	53.33	53.33	0.02	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.16	0.16	53.33	53.68	0.01	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.07	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.23	0.26	51.61	50.31	0.01	0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.20	0.23	51.72	50.46	0.01	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.04	0.04	55.56	54.66	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	56.00	56.08	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.79	0.00	-0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	51.01	0.00	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.13	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.10	46.67	45.46	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	35.65	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	35.48	36.20	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.09	0.09	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.16	0.15	46.67	45.55	-0.01	-0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.20	0.19	46.67	45.44	-0.01	-0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.19	0.19	46.43	45.44	-0.01	-0.02
Drake	MVC	0.09	0.09	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.09	0.09	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.31	0.31	46.15	46.15	-0.02	-0.02
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.07	0.07	32.00	33.42	-0.02	-0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.03	-0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.07	0.07	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Elon	SC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.10	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Stanford	P10	0.26	0.28	43.33	42.53	-0.03	-0.04
UCLA	P10	0.26	0.25	43.33	43.10	-0.04	-0.04
Rice	CUSA	0.07	0.07	23.33	23.33	-0.04	-0.04
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Georgia Southern	SC	0.07	0.07	23.33	23.33	-0.04	-0.04
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.07	0.07	23.08	23.08	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.16	0.16	37.93	36.74	-0.04	-0.04
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
San Jose St.	WAC	0.43	0.43	44.83	44.75	-0.04	-0.04
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.10	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.07	0.07	11.54	11.54	-0.05	-0.05
Air Force	MWC	0.14	0.13	28.57	27.67	-0.06	-0.06
Marist	MAAC	0.06	0.06	3.33	3.33	-0.06	-0.06
Southern Utah	Sum	0.11	0.11	18.52	18.52	-0.07	-0.07
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.14	0.14	25.00	25.00	-0.07	-0.07
Hawaii	WAC	0.19	0.19	31.03	31.03	-0.07	-0.07
Portland St.	BSky	0.27	0.27	36.67	36.67	-0.07	-0.07
Idaho St.	BSky	0.14	0.14	18.52	18.52	-0.09	-0.09
Fresno St.	WAC	2.12	2.12	46.67	46.18	-0.14	-0.16
San Diego	WCC	0.43	0.42	32.26	32.26	-0.15	-0.15
Montana St.	BSky	2.09	2.09	46.15	46.15	-0.16	-0.16
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.37	0.37	25.00	25.00	-0.19	-0.19
Pepperdine	WCC	0.51	0.51	20.69	20.69	-0.30	-0.30
Furman	SC	1.92	1.92	40.74	40.74	-0.36	-0.36
Long Beach St.	BW	4.80	4.85	46.15	47.35	-0.37	-0.26
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.84	0.83	24.14	24.14	-0.44	-0.43
San Francisco	WCC	2.21	2.21	37.04	37.04	-0.57	-0.57
UC Davis	BW	4.80	4.85	42.31	42.22	-0.74	-0.75
UC Riverside	BW	4.80	4.78	40.00	40.00	-0.96	-0.96
Santa Clara	WCC	2.25	2.24	27.59	27.59	-1.01	-1.01
UC Irvine	BW	4.87	4.85	39.29	39.29	-1.04	-1.04
Cal Poly	BW	4.91	4.96	39.29	38.67	-1.05	-1.12
Cal St. Northridge	BW	4.85	4.83	33.33	33.33	-1.62	-1.61

BY EXPECTED (END-OF-SEASON) HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UC Santa Barbara	BW	26.39	26.37	68.75	68.75	9.90	9.89
Pacific	BW	4.94	4.92	71.43	71.43	2.12	2.11
San Diego St.	MWC	2.22	2.22	70.37	70.93	0.90	0.93
Arizona St.	P10	2.06	2.05	70.00	70.38	0.82	0.84
California	P10	2.05	2.05	68.97	69.67	0.78	0.81
Weber St.	BSky	2.06	2.06	66.67	66.67	0.69	0.69
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	4.90	4.95	53.85	54.08	0.38	0.40
St. Mary's	WCC	0.36	0.35	83.33	83.33	0.24	0.23
Loyola Marymount	WCC	2.22	2.22	54.84	54.84	0.22	0.21
Utah St.	WAC	0.27	0.26	80.00	80.37	0.16	0.16
Brigham Young	MWC	0.20	0.20	87.10	87.43	0.15	0.15
New Mexico	MWC	0.17	0.17	90.32	90.55	0.14	0.14
Gonzaga	WCC	0.22	0.22	80.65	80.65	0.14	0.14
Montana	BSky	0.34	0.34	68.97	68.97	0.13	0.13
Washington	P10	0.22	0.22	70.00	70.58	0.09	0.09
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.14	0.14	76.67	76.67	0.07	0.07
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.14	0.13	75.86	76.36	0.07	0.07
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.10	83.87	83.87	0.07	0.07
Texas	B12	0.13	0.13	75.00	74.46	0.07	0.06
Portland	WCC	0.19	0.19	65.52	65.52	0.06	0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.07	0.07	93.55	93.55	0.06	0.06
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.10	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Seattle	ind	0.48	0.47	54.84	54.84	0.05	0.05
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.19	0.19	62.07	61.92	0.05	0.05
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.06	86.67	86.67	0.04	0.04
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.10	70.00	70.31	0.04	0.04
Nevada	WAC	0.16	0.16	62.07	62.74	0.04	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	80.00	80.10	0.04	0.04
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.06	0.09	70.97	70.89	0.03	0.04
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.04	0.04
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04