The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated UC Riverside page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

UC Riverside

Conference:		BW
Expected RPI:		255.0
Current RPI:		255
Expected SOS:		245
Current SOS:		245
Current Record:		10-17
Expected Record:		10-17
Current Conf Record:		5-11
Expected Conf Record:		5-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		3-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-8
Current OOC Record:		5-6
Expected OOC Record:		5-6
Expected OOC RPI:		215
Expected OOC SOS:		256

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
10-17		255.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UC Riverside.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	New Mexico (10.0)	MWC	A	51-67	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Southern California (113.0)	P10	A	67-77	L	0%	0.0
11-22	San Jose St. (177.0)	WAC	H	70-66	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Sacramento St. (297.0)	BSky	A	59-58	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Cal St. Bakersfield (317.0)	ind	H	87-47	W	100%	0.0
12-4	San Diego (230.0)	WCC	H	58-55	W	100%	0.0
12-13	Northern Arizona (197.0)	BSky	A	56-68	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Montana (97.0)	BSky	A	52-67	L	0%	0.0
12-21	Southern Utah (327.0)	Sum	A	65-76	L	0%	0.0
12-29	San Diego St. (18.0)	MWC	A	53-58	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Long Beach St. (112.0)	BW	H	69-67	W	100%	0.0
1-4	UC Santa Barbara (94.0)	BW	H	53-57	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Cal St. Fullerton (204.0)	BW	H	56-69	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Cal St. Northridge (251.0)	BW	A	50-64	L	0%	0.0
1-16	UC Santa Barbara (94.0)	BW	A	56-63	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Cal Poly (256.0)	BW	A	65-67	L	0%	0.0
1-23	UC Irvine (276.0)	BW	A	65-56	W	100%	0.0
1-28	UC Davis (244.0)	BW	H	50-60	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Pacific (128.0)	BW	H	57-72	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Cal St. Northridge (251.0)	BW	H	47-63	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Cal St. Fullerton (204.0)	BW	A	76-59	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Cal Poly (256.0)	BW	H	84-87	L	0%	0.0
2-17	UC Irvine (276.0)	BW	H	74-57	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Youngstown St. (271.0)	Horz	H	62-60	W	100%	0.0
2-25	Pacific (128.0)	BW	A	62-53	W	100%	0.0
2-28	UC Davis (244.0)	BW	A	43-66	L	0%	0.0
3-5	Long Beach St. (112.0)	BW	A	74-76	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

UC Riverside's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

UC Riverside's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against UC Riverside.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UC Riverside	BW	26.33	26.33	38.02	38.02	-6.31	-6.31
Pacific	BW	4.78	4.78	65.52	65.52	1.48	1.48
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	4.77	4.77	48.15	48.15	-0.18	-0.18
Long Beach St.	BW	4.75	4.75	48.28	48.28	-0.16	-0.16
Cal Poly	BW	4.75	4.75	34.48	34.48	-1.47	-1.47
UC Irvine	BW	4.75	4.75	42.86	42.86	-0.68	-0.68
UC Davis	BW	4.72	4.72	35.71	35.71	-1.35	-1.35
UC Santa Barbara	BW	4.70	4.70	65.38	65.38	1.45	1.45
Cal St. Northridge	BW	4.70	4.70	30.00	30.00	-1.88	-1.88
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	2.43	2.43	25.00	25.00	-1.21	-1.21
San Diego St.	MWC	2.19	2.19	73.33	73.33	1.02	1.02
Sacramento St.	BSky	2.14	2.14	25.93	25.93	-1.03	-1.03
Northern Arizona	BSky	2.07	2.07	44.00	44.00	-0.25	-0.25
San Jose St.	WAC	2.07	2.07	44.83	44.83	-0.21	-0.21
Montana	BSky	2.02	2.02	67.86	67.86	0.72	0.72
New Mexico	MWC	2.01	2.01	87.50	87.50	1.51	1.51
San Diego	WCC	1.97	1.97	33.33	33.33	-0.66	-0.66
Southern California	P10	1.88	1.88	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Southern Utah	Sum	1.85	1.85	15.38	15.38	-1.28	-1.28
Youngstown St.	Horz	1.85	1.85	22.22	22.22	-1.03	-1.03
Seattle	ind	0.49	0.49	54.84	54.84	0.05	0.05
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.44	0.44	53.12	53.12	0.03	0.03
Fresno St.	WAC	0.41	0.41	43.75	43.75	-0.05	-0.05
Santa Clara	WCC	0.40	0.40	30.00	30.00	-0.16	-0.16
Weber St.	BSky	0.40	0.40	64.29	64.29	0.11	0.11
Montana St.	BSky	0.39	0.39	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.30	0.30	20.69	20.69	-0.18	-0.18
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.30	0.30	76.67	76.67	0.16	0.16
Colorado St.	MWC	0.27	0.27	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.27	0.27	65.62	65.62	0.09	0.09
St. Mary's	WCC	0.27	0.27	83.33	83.33	0.18	0.18
Idaho St.	BSky	0.26	0.26	18.52	18.52	-0.17	-0.17
Portland St.	BSky	0.26	0.26	36.67	36.67	-0.07	-0.07
Utah St.	WAC	0.25	0.25	78.79	78.79	0.14	0.14
San Francisco	WCC	0.25	0.25	35.71	35.71	-0.07	-0.07
Hawaii	WAC	0.25	0.25	31.03	31.03	-0.09	-0.09
Air Force	MWC	0.24	0.24	27.59	27.59	-0.11	-0.11
UCLA	P10	0.22	0.22	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.22	0.22	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
California	P10	0.22	0.22	69.70	69.70	0.08	0.08
Stanford	P10	0.21	0.21	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
Idaho	WAC	0.21	0.21	44.83	44.83	-0.02	-0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.21	0.21	75.00	75.00	0.11	0.11
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.20	0.20	25.00	25.00	-0.10	-0.10
Washington	P10	0.18	0.18	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
Texas Christian	MWC	0.17	0.17	36.67	36.67	-0.05	-0.05
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.16	0.16	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Arizona St.	P10	0.16	0.16	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Oregon	P10	0.16	0.16	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.15	0.15	72.73	72.73	0.07	0.07
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.13	0.13	33.33	33.33	-0.04	-0.04
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.13	0.13	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Brigham Young	MWC	0.12	0.12	84.85	84.85	0.08	0.08
Utah	MWC	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.12	0.12	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.09	0.09	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.09	0.09	80.65	80.65	0.06	0.06
Washington St.	P10	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.09	0.09	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Portland	WCC	0.09	0.09	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.09	0.09	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.07	0.07	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.07	0.07	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Western Illinois	Sum	0.07	0.07	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Butler	Horz	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.07	0.07	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Furman	SC	0.07	0.07	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.07	0.07	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.07	0.07	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.07	0.07	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.05	-0.05
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.06	0.06	3.33	3.33	-0.06	-0.06
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.06	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.06	0.06	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.06	0.06	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.06	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.06	81.82	81.82	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Colorado	B12	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.06	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
Texas St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.04	0.04	18.18	18.18	-0.02	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
High Point	BSth	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.03	0.03	12.00	12.00	-0.03	-0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.02	-0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.02	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.03	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UC Riverside	BW	26.33	26.33	38.02	38.02	-6.31	-6.31
Pacific	BW	4.78	4.78	65.52	65.52	1.48	1.48
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	4.77	4.77	48.15	48.15	-0.18	-0.18
Long Beach St.	BW	4.75	4.75	48.28	48.28	-0.16	-0.16
Cal Poly	BW	4.75	4.75	34.48	34.48	-1.47	-1.47
UC Irvine	BW	4.75	4.75	42.86	42.86	-0.68	-0.68
UC Davis	BW	4.72	4.72	35.71	35.71	-1.35	-1.35
UC Santa Barbara	BW	4.70	4.70	65.38	65.38	1.45	1.45
Cal St. Northridge	BW	4.70	4.70	30.00	30.00	-1.88	-1.88
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	2.43	2.43	25.00	25.00	-1.21	-1.21
San Diego St.	MWC	2.19	2.19	73.33	73.33	1.02	1.02
Sacramento St.	BSky	2.14	2.14	25.93	25.93	-1.03	-1.03
Northern Arizona	BSky	2.07	2.07	44.00	44.00	-0.25	-0.25
San Jose St.	WAC	2.07	2.07	44.83	44.83	-0.21	-0.21
Montana	BSky	2.02	2.02	67.86	67.86	0.72	0.72
New Mexico	MWC	2.01	2.01	87.50	87.50	1.51	1.51
San Diego	WCC	1.97	1.97	33.33	33.33	-0.66	-0.66
Southern California	P10	1.88	1.88	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Southern Utah	Sum	1.85	1.85	15.38	15.38	-1.28	-1.28
Youngstown St.	Horz	1.85	1.85	22.22	22.22	-1.03	-1.03
Seattle	ind	0.49	0.49	54.84	54.84	0.05	0.05
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.44	0.44	53.12	53.12	0.03	0.03
Fresno St.	WAC	0.41	0.41	43.75	43.75	-0.05	-0.05
Santa Clara	WCC	0.40	0.40	30.00	30.00	-0.16	-0.16
Weber St.	BSky	0.40	0.40	64.29	64.29	0.11	0.11
Montana St.	BSky	0.39	0.39	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.30	0.30	20.69	20.69	-0.18	-0.18
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.30	0.30	76.67	76.67	0.16	0.16
Colorado St.	MWC	0.27	0.27	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.27	0.27	65.62	65.62	0.09	0.09
St. Mary's	WCC	0.27	0.27	83.33	83.33	0.18	0.18
Idaho St.	BSky	0.26	0.26	18.52	18.52	-0.17	-0.17
Portland St.	BSky	0.26	0.26	36.67	36.67	-0.07	-0.07
Utah St.	WAC	0.25	0.25	78.79	78.79	0.14	0.14
San Francisco	WCC	0.25	0.25	35.71	35.71	-0.07	-0.07
Hawaii	WAC	0.25	0.25	31.03	31.03	-0.09	-0.09
Air Force	MWC	0.24	0.24	27.59	27.59	-0.11	-0.11
UCLA	P10	0.22	0.22	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.22	0.22	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
California	P10	0.22	0.22	69.70	69.70	0.08	0.08
Stanford	P10	0.21	0.21	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
Idaho	WAC	0.21	0.21	44.83	44.83	-0.02	-0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.21	0.21	75.00	75.00	0.11	0.11
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.20	0.20	25.00	25.00	-0.10	-0.10
Washington	P10	0.18	0.18	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
Texas Christian	MWC	0.17	0.17	36.67	36.67	-0.05	-0.05
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.16	0.16	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Arizona St.	P10	0.16	0.16	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Oregon	P10	0.16	0.16	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.15	0.15	72.73	72.73	0.07	0.07
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.13	0.13	33.33	33.33	-0.04	-0.04
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.13	0.13	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Brigham Young	MWC	0.12	0.12	84.85	84.85	0.08	0.08
Utah	MWC	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.12	0.12	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.09	0.09	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.09	0.09	80.65	80.65	0.06	0.06
Washington St.	P10	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.09	0.09	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Portland	WCC	0.09	0.09	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.09	0.09	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.07	0.07	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.07	0.07	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Western Illinois	Sum	0.07	0.07	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Butler	Horz	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.07	0.07	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Furman	SC	0.07	0.07	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.07	0.07	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.07	0.07	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.07	0.07	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.05	-0.05
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.06	0.06	3.33	3.33	-0.06	-0.06
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.06	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.06	0.06	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.06	0.06	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.06	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.06	81.82	81.82	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Colorado	B12	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.06	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
Texas St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.04	0.04	18.18	18.18	-0.02	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
High Point	BSth	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.03	0.03	12.00	12.00	-0.03	-0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.02	-0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.02	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.03	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
New Mexico	MWC	2.01	2.01	87.50	87.50	1.51	1.51
Pacific	BW	4.78	4.78	65.52	65.52	1.48	1.48
UC Santa Barbara	BW	4.70	4.70	65.38	65.38	1.45	1.45
San Diego St.	MWC	2.19	2.19	73.33	73.33	1.02	1.02
Montana	BSky	2.02	2.02	67.86	67.86	0.72	0.72
St. Mary's	WCC	0.27	0.27	83.33	83.33	0.18	0.18
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.30	0.30	76.67	76.67	0.16	0.16
Utah St.	WAC	0.25	0.25	78.79	78.79	0.14	0.14
Weber St.	BSky	0.40	0.40	64.29	64.29	0.11	0.11
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.21	0.21	75.00	75.00	0.11	0.11
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.27	0.27	65.62	65.62	0.09	0.09
California	P10	0.22	0.22	69.70	69.70	0.08	0.08
Washington	P10	0.18	0.18	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
Brigham Young	MWC	0.12	0.12	84.85	84.85	0.08	0.08
Texas	B12	0.15	0.15	72.73	72.73	0.07	0.07
Southern California	P10	1.88	1.88	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Arizona St.	P10	0.16	0.16	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Gonzaga	WCC	0.09	0.09	80.65	80.65	0.06	0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.06	0.06	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Butler	Horz	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Seattle	ind	0.49	0.49	54.84	54.84	0.05	0.05
Duke	ACC	0.06	0.06	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.06	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.06	81.82	81.82	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.16	0.16	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.09	0.09	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Portland	WCC	0.09	0.09	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.44	0.44	53.12	53.12	0.03	0.03
Nevada	WAC	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.06	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Denver	SB	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.02	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.07	0.07	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.13	0.13	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.27	0.27	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.16	0.16	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
High Point	BSth	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.07	0.07	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.03	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.07	0.07	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.09	0.09	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.07	0.07	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.39	0.39	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.02	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.02	-0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.07	0.07	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.07	0.07	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.22	0.22	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.21	0.21	44.83	44.83	-0.02	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.06	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.04	0.04	18.18	18.18	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.03	0.03	12.00	12.00	-0.03	-0.03
Stanford	P10	0.21	0.21	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
UCLA	P10	0.22	0.22	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.07	0.07	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.09	0.09	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
Centenary	Sum	0.07	0.07	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.13	0.13	33.33	33.33	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.17	0.17	36.67	36.67	-0.05	-0.05
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.05	-0.05
Fresno St.	WAC	0.41	0.41	43.75	43.75	-0.05	-0.05
Wyoming	MWC	0.12	0.12	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
Marist	MAAC	0.06	0.06	3.33	3.33	-0.06	-0.06
Portland St.	BSky	0.26	0.26	36.67	36.67	-0.07	-0.07
San Francisco	WCC	0.25	0.25	35.71	35.71	-0.07	-0.07
Hawaii	WAC	0.25	0.25	31.03	31.03	-0.09	-0.09
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.20	0.20	25.00	25.00	-0.10	-0.10
Air Force	MWC	0.24	0.24	27.59	27.59	-0.11	-0.11
Santa Clara	WCC	0.40	0.40	30.00	30.00	-0.16	-0.16
Long Beach St.	BW	4.75	4.75	48.28	48.28	-0.16	-0.16
Idaho St.	BSky	0.26	0.26	18.52	18.52	-0.17	-0.17
Pepperdine	WCC	0.30	0.30	20.69	20.69	-0.18	-0.18
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	4.77	4.77	48.15	48.15	-0.18	-0.18
San Jose St.	WAC	2.07	2.07	44.83	44.83	-0.21	-0.21
Northern Arizona	BSky	2.07	2.07	44.00	44.00	-0.25	-0.25
San Diego	WCC	1.97	1.97	33.33	33.33	-0.66	-0.66
UC Irvine	BW	4.75	4.75	42.86	42.86	-0.68	-0.68
Youngstown St.	Horz	1.85	1.85	22.22	22.22	-1.03	-1.03
Sacramento St.	BSky	2.14	2.14	25.93	25.93	-1.03	-1.03
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	2.43	2.43	25.00	25.00	-1.21	-1.21
Southern Utah	Sum	1.85	1.85	15.38	15.38	-1.28	-1.28
UC Davis	BW	4.72	4.72	35.71	35.71	-1.35	-1.35
Cal Poly	BW	4.75	4.75	34.48	34.48	-1.47	-1.47
Cal St. Northridge	BW	4.70	4.70	30.00	30.00	-1.88	-1.88
UC Riverside	BW	26.33	26.33	38.02	38.02	-6.31	-6.31

BY EXPECTED (END-OF-SEASON) HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
New Mexico	MWC	2.01	2.01	87.50	87.50	1.51	1.51
Pacific	BW	4.78	4.78	65.52	65.52	1.48	1.48
UC Santa Barbara	BW	4.70	4.70	65.38	65.38	1.45	1.45
San Diego St.	MWC	2.19	2.19	73.33	73.33	1.02	1.02
Montana	BSky	2.02	2.02	67.86	67.86	0.72	0.72
St. Mary's	WCC	0.27	0.27	83.33	83.33	0.18	0.18
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.30	0.30	76.67	76.67	0.16	0.16
Utah St.	WAC	0.25	0.25	78.79	78.79	0.14	0.14