The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Santa Clara page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Santa Clara

Conference:		WCC
Expected RPI:		220.8
Current RPI:		210
Expected SOS:		131
Current SOS:		120
Current Record:		8-16
Expected Record:		10-19
Current Conf Record:		2-7
Expected Conf Record:		4-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		3-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-5
Current OOC Record:		6-9
Expected OOC Record:		6-9
Expected OOC RPI:		190
Expected OOC SOS:		109

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
13-16	180.5	0.02%
12-17	191.7	1.89%
11-18	207.6	24.14%
10-19	220.5	43.30%
9-20	231.8	26.02%
8-21	241.3	4.62%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Santa Clara.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Cal St. Bakersfield (322.0)	ind	A	84-81	W	100%	0.0
11-19	San Diego St. (44.0)	MWC	A	53-86	L	0%	0.0
11-22	Pacific (115.6)	BW	A	57-84	L	0%	0.0
11-25	Northern Arizona (204.1)	BSky	H	72-88	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Fresno St. (160.9)	WAC	H	74-67	W	100%	0.0
12-1	UC Santa Barbara (144.6)	BW	A	79-68	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Nevada Las Vegas (32.4)	MWC	H	63-66	L	0%	0.0
12-14	Houston Baptist (342.5)	GWC	A	68-65	W	100%	0.0
12-16	Rice (288.1)	CUSA	A	57-70	L	0%	0.0
12-21	Pacific (115.6)	BW	H	54-53	W	100%	0.0
12-23	San Jose St. (141.9)	WAC	H	68-74	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Northeastern (49.2)	CAA	H	50-62	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Wofford (100.2)	SC	H	72-80	L	0%	0.0
1-2	New Hampshire (273.4)	AE	H	71-68	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Harvard (89.5)	Ivy	H	66-74	L	0%	0.0
1-8	San Diego (225.4)	WCC	H	46-55	L	0%	0.0
1-10	St. Mary's (42.1)	WCC	H	72-80	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Pepperdine (283.4)	WCC	A	60-61	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Loyola Marymount (205.0)	WCC	A	70-81	L	0%	0.0
1-23	San Francisco (222.5)	WCC	A	66-65	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Gonzaga (35.5)	WCC	H	64-71	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Portland (84.3)	WCC	H	52-74	L	0%	0.0
2-4	St. Mary's (42.1)	WCC	A	62-74	L	0%	0.0
2-6	San Diego (225.4)	WCC	A	59-43	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Loyola Marymount (205.0)	WCC	H	0-0		52%	0.6
2-13	Pepperdine (283.4)	WCC	H	0-0		70%	5.7
2-20	San Francisco (222.5)	WCC	H	0-0		63%	3.5
2-25	Gonzaga (35.5)	WCC	A	0-0		3%	-21.2
2-27	Portland (84.3)	WCC	A	0-0		6%	-16.6

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Santa Clara's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Santa Clara's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Santa Clara.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Santa Clara	WCC	26.41	26.37	33.33	33.02	-8.80	-8.96
St. Mary's	WCC	4.77	4.33	85.71	83.44	3.41	2.90
San Diego	WCC	4.73	4.30	31.82	32.20	-1.72	-1.53
Pacific	BW	4.64	3.82	70.00	69.40	1.86	1.48
San Francisco	WCC	2.77	4.27	33.33	33.40	-0.92	-1.42
Loyola Marymount	WCC	2.65	4.28	45.45	42.20	-0.24	-0.67
Pepperdine	WCC	2.64	4.27	23.81	22.25	-1.38	-2.37
San Diego St.	MWC	2.55	2.06	65.00	66.55	0.77	0.68
Gonzaga	WCC	2.50	4.22	80.95	82.49	1.55	2.74
Portland	WCC	2.50	4.18	60.00	63.20	0.50	1.10
Fresno St.	WAC	2.46	2.09	50.00	50.61	0.00	0.03
UC Santa Barbara	BW	2.41	2.02	63.16	62.02	0.64	0.49
San Jose St.	WAC	2.41	1.99	47.62	46.29	-0.11	-0.15
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	2.27	2.08	23.81	22.17	-1.19	-1.16
Rice	CUSA	2.19	1.78	28.57	27.85	-0.94	-0.79
Harvard	Ivy	2.18	1.79	72.22	74.47	0.97	0.87
Northern Arizona	BSky	2.18	1.78	42.11	43.13	-0.34	-0.24
Northeastern	CAA	2.17	1.79	65.22	67.01	0.66	0.61
New Hampshire	AE	2.14	1.76	36.84	39.70	-0.56	-0.36
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	2.13	1.79	80.95	80.22	1.32	1.08
Houston Baptist	GWC	2.13	1.75	23.81	24.88	-1.12	-0.88
Wofford	SC	2.08	1.72	65.22	66.84	0.63	0.58
UC Irvine	BW	0.52	0.42	36.36	40.08	-0.14	-0.08
Cal Poly	BW	0.52	0.43	36.36	36.06	-0.14	-0.12
UC Riverside	BW	0.48	0.37	33.33	36.45	-0.16	-0.10
Hawaii	WAC	0.32	0.21	36.36	33.80	-0.09	-0.07
Boise St.	WAC	0.32	0.29	45.45	45.95	-0.03	-0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.29	0.27	45.00	48.63	-0.03	-0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.29	0.24	30.43	29.01	-0.11	-0.10
New Mexico	MWC	0.29	0.21	87.50	83.52	0.21	0.14
Nevada	WAC	0.28	0.27	57.14	60.54	0.04	0.06
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.28	0.30	61.90	56.37	0.07	0.04
Utah St.	WAC	0.27	0.24	73.91	76.66	0.13	0.13
Montana St.	BSky	0.25	0.23	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.24	0.21	35.00	33.21	-0.07	-0.07
Colorado St.	MWC	0.24	0.25	59.09	52.85	0.04	0.01
Montana	BSky	0.24	0.22	68.18	70.35	0.09	0.09
Portland St.	BSky	0.24	0.26	38.10	39.65	-0.06	-0.05
Seattle	ind	0.24	0.27	45.83	48.87	-0.02	-0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.24	0.21	87.50	87.42	0.18	0.16
Boston University	AE	0.20	0.12	54.17	57.70	0.02	0.02
Arizona	P10	0.20	0.12	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.19	0.24	39.13	43.30	-0.04	-0.03
Idaho	WAC	0.19	0.24	45.00	48.32	-0.02	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.19	0.24	33.33	30.72	-0.06	-0.09
Utah Valley	GWC	0.19	0.15	36.84	39.02	-0.05	-0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.19	0.15	45.00	43.95	-0.02	-0.02
Southern California	P10	0.18	0.15	60.87	59.61	0.04	0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.18	0.15	54.55	54.05	0.02	0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.16	0.10	15.79	17.64	-0.11	-0.06
Army	Pat	0.16	0.13	57.14	59.04	0.02	0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.15	0.10	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.06
Weber St.	BSky	0.15	0.13	61.90	65.04	0.04	0.04
Air Force	MWC	0.15	0.16	35.00	30.59	-0.04	-0.06
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.13	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.05
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.15	0.19	18.18	19.18	-0.09	-0.12
California	P10	0.15	0.09	65.22	68.42	0.04	0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.14	0.30	42.86	45.66	-0.02	-0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.14	0.15	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.04
UCLA	P10	0.14	0.16	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.02
Utah	MWC	0.14	0.18	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.14	0.16	69.57	68.86	0.06	0.06
Furman	SC	0.14	0.12	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.14	0.13	39.13	38.63	-0.03	-0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.14	0.12	69.57	69.99	0.06	0.05
Oregon	P10	0.14	0.13	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.14	0.14	82.61	75.26	0.09	0.07
Houston	CUSA	0.13	0.12	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.13	0.12	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.13	0.12	65.22	62.18	0.04	0.03
Washington St.	P10	0.13	0.12	63.64	58.79	0.04	0.02
Hartford	AE	0.10	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.04	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.10	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.05	-0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.09	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.06	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.09	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.06	-0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.09	0.09	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.09	0.12	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.09	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.09	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.09	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.09	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.03	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.12	15.79	27.84	-0.06	-0.05
Oregon St.	P10	0.09	0.06	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.09	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.04
Davidson	SC	0.09	0.12	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.09	0.09	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.09	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.09	79.17	76.61	0.05	0.05
Howard	MEAC	0.09	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.05	0.03
Delaware	CAA	0.09	0.06	26.09	26.91	-0.04	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.09	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Elon	SC	0.09	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.05	-0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.05	-0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.06	69.57	70.29	0.03	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.03	0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.09	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.05	-0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.09	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.03	-0.02
Stanford	P10	0.09	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.06	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.05	-0.03
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.06	40.00	39.13	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.06	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.05
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.06	16.67	19.94	-0.04	-0.04
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.06	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.02
Albany	AE	0.05	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.03
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.08	-0.02	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.10	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.05
Maine	AE	0.05	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.03	4.17	4.73	-0.05	-0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.06	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.05
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.06	68.18	68.72	0.02	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.09	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.06
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.06	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.02
Denver	SB	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.04
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.03	23.81	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.02	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.03
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.06	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.02
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.00
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.04	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.04	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.04	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.04	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.01	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.04	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.04	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.04	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.04	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.04	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.04	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.04	0.06	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.04	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Providence	BE	0.04	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.04	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.04	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.04	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.04	0.03	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.04	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.04	0.03	22.73	23.47	-0.02	-0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.04	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.04	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.04	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.00	0.06	23.81	27.31	-0.00	-0.03
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.00	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.00	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Samford	SC	0.00	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.00	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.00	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.00	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.00	0.06	36.36	38.12	-0.00	-0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Santa Clara	WCC	26.41	26.37	33.33	33.02	-8.80	-8.96
St. Mary's	WCC	4.77	4.33	85.71	83.44	3.41	2.90
San Diego	WCC	4.73	4.30	31.82	32.20	-1.72	-1.53
Loyola Marymount	WCC	2.65	4.28	45.45	42.20	-0.24	-0.67
San Francisco	WCC	2.77	4.27	33.33	33.40	-0.92	-1.42
Pepperdine	WCC	2.64	4.27	23.81	22.25	-1.38	-2.37
Gonzaga	WCC	2.50	4.22	80.95	82.49	1.55	2.74
Portland	WCC	2.50	4.18	60.00	63.20	0.50	1.10
Pacific	BW	4.64	3.82	70.00	69.40	1.86	1.48
Fresno St.	WAC	2.46	2.09	50.00	50.61	0.00	0.03
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	2.27	2.08	23.81	22.17	-1.19	-1.16
San Diego St.	MWC	2.55	2.06	65.00	66.55	0.77	0.68
UC Santa Barbara	BW	2.41	2.02	63.16	62.02	0.64	0.49
San Jose St.	WAC	2.41	1.99	47.62	46.29	-0.11	-0.15
Harvard	Ivy	2.18	1.79	72.22	74.47	0.97	0.87
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	2.13	1.79	80.95	80.22	1.32	1.08
Northeastern	CAA	2.17	1.79	65.22	67.01	0.66	0.61
Rice	CUSA	2.19	1.78	28.57	27.85	-0.94	-0.79
Northern Arizona	BSky	2.18	1.78	42.11	43.13	-0.34	-0.24
New Hampshire	AE	2.14	1.76	36.84	39.70	-0.56	-0.36
Houston Baptist	GWC	2.13	1.75	23.81	24.88	-1.12	-0.88
Wofford	SC	2.08	1.72	65.22	66.84	0.63	0.58
Cal Poly	BW	0.52	0.43	36.36	36.06	-0.14	-0.12
UC Irvine	BW	0.52	0.42	36.36	40.08	-0.14	-0.08
UC Riverside	BW	0.48	0.37	33.33	36.45	-0.16	-0.10
Long Beach St.	BW	0.14	0.30	42.86	45.66	-0.02	-0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.28	0.30	61.90	56.37	0.07	0.04
Boise St.	WAC	0.32	0.29	45.45	45.95	-0.03	-0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.29	0.27	45.00	48.63	-0.03	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.24	0.27	45.83	48.87	-0.02	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.28	0.27	57.14	60.54	0.04	0.06
Portland St.	BSky	0.24	0.26	38.10	39.65	-0.06	-0.05
Colorado St.	MWC	0.24	0.25	59.09	52.85	0.04	0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.29	0.24	30.43	29.01	-0.11	-0.10
Idaho	WAC	0.19	0.24	45.00	48.32	-0.02	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.19	0.24	33.33	30.72	-0.06	-0.09
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.19	0.24	39.13	43.30	-0.04	-0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.27	0.24	73.91	76.66	0.13	0.13
Montana St.	BSky	0.25	0.23	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.01
Montana	BSky	0.24	0.22	68.18	70.35	0.09	0.09
New Mexico	MWC	0.29	0.21	87.50	83.52	0.21	0.14
Brigham Young	MWC	0.24	0.21	87.50	87.42	0.18	0.16
UC Davis	BW	0.24	0.21	35.00	33.21	-0.07	-0.07
Hawaii	WAC	0.32	0.21	36.36	33.80	-0.09	-0.07
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.15	0.19	18.18	19.18	-0.09	-0.12
Utah	MWC	0.14	0.18	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.14	0.16	69.57	68.86	0.06	0.06
Air Force	MWC	0.15	0.16	35.00	30.59	-0.04	-0.06
UCLA	P10	0.14	0.16	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.18	0.15	54.55	54.05	0.02	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.18	0.15	60.87	59.61	0.04	0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.14	0.15	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.04
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.19	0.15	45.00	43.95	-0.02	-0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.19	0.15	36.84	39.02	-0.05	-0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.14	0.14	82.61	75.26	0.09	0.07
Weber St.	BSky	0.15	0.13	61.90	65.04	0.04	0.04
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.13	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.05
Army	Pat	0.16	0.13	57.14	59.04	0.02	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.14	0.13	39.13	38.63	-0.03	-0.03
Oregon	P10	0.14	0.13	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Arizona	P10	0.20	0.12	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.20	0.12	54.17	57.70	0.02	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.09	0.12	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.02
South Florida	BE	0.13	0.12	65.22	62.18	0.04	0.03
Furman	SC	0.14	0.12	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.13	0.12	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.13	0.12	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.13	0.12	63.64	58.79	0.04	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.14	0.12	69.57	69.99	0.06	0.05
Davidson	SC	0.09	0.12	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.12	15.79	27.84	-0.06	-0.05
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.10	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.05
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.15	0.10	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.06
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.16	0.10	15.79	17.64	-0.11	-0.06
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.09	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.06
California	P10	0.15	0.09	65.22	68.42	0.04	0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.09	0.09	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.09	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.09	0.09	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.09	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.04
Illinois	B10	0.09	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.09	79.17	76.61	0.05	0.05
Albany	AE	0.05	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.03
Brown	Ivy	0.00	0.06	23.81	27.31	-0.00	-0.03
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.06	40.00	39.13	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.06	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.05
Denver	SB	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.10	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.04	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Maine	AE	0.05	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.06	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.05
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.06	16.67	19.94	-0.04	-0.04
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.03
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.06	68.18	68.72	0.02	0.02
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.06	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.04
Yale	Ivy	0.00	0.06	36.36	38.12	-0.00	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.10	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.05	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.09	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.03
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.05	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.06	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.06	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.04
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.05	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.03	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.09	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.03	-0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.09	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.09	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.03	-0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.03
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.06	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.09	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.09	0.06	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.09	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.06	-0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.04	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.01	0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.09	0.06	26.09	26.91	-0.04	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.09	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Elon	SC	0.09	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.05	-0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.04	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.04	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.04	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.06	69.57	70.29	0.03	0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.09	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.05	-0.03
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.04	0.06	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.09	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.09	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.04	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.06	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.05	-0.03
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.08	-0.02	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.03	4.17	4.73	-0.05	-0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.03	23.81	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.00	0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.02	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.02
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.00	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.00	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.04	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.04	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.04	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.04	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.00	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.04	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.04	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.01	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.04	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Providence	BE	0.04	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.04	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.02
Samford	SC	0.00	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.00	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.04	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.04	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.04	0.03	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.02
Towson	CAA	0.04	0.03	22.73	23.47	-0.02	-0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.04	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.04	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.04	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
St. Mary's	WCC	4.77	4.33	85.71	83.44	3.41	2.90
Pacific	BW	4.64	3.82	70.00	69.40	1.86	1.48
Gonzaga	WCC	2.50	4.22	80.95	82.49	1.55	2.74
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	2.13	1.79	80.95	80.22	1.32	1.08
Harvard	Ivy	2.18	1.79	72.22	74.47	0.97	0.87
San Diego St.	MWC	2.55	2.06	65.00	66.55	0.77	0.68
Northeastern	CAA	2.17	1.79	65.22	67.01	0.66	0.61
UC Santa Barbara	BW	2.41	2.02	63.16	62.02	0.64	0.49
Wofford	SC	2.08	1.72	65.22	66.84	0.63	0.58
Portland	WCC	2.50	4.18	60.00	63.20	0.50	1.10
New Mexico	MWC	0.29	0.21	87.50	83.52	0.21	0.14
Brigham Young	MWC	0.24	0.21	87.50	87.42	0.18	0.16
Utah St.	WAC	0.27	0.24	73.91	76.66	0.13	0.13
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.14	0.14	82.61	75.26	0.09	0.07
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.15	0.10	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.06
Montana	BSky	0.24	0.22	68.18	70.35	0.09	0.09
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.28	0.30	61.90	56.37	0.07	0.04
Washington	P10	0.14	0.16	69.57	68.86	0.06	0.06
Memphis	CUSA	0.14	0.12	69.57	69.99	0.06	0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.09	79.17	76.61	0.05	0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.09	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.04
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.13	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.05	0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.06	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.06	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.03
California	P10	0.15	0.09	65.22	68.42	0.04	0.03
Colorado St.	MWC	0.24	0.25	59.09	52.85	0.04	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.13	0.12	65.22	62.18	0.04	0.03
Nevada	WAC	0.28	0.27	57.14	60.54	0.04	0.06
Southern California	P10	0.18	0.15	60.87	59.61	0.04	0.03
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.06	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.05
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.09	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.13	0.12	63.64	58.79	0.04	0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.15	0.13	61.90	65.04	0.04	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.04
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.06	69.57	70.29	0.03	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.03	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.04	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.04
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.09	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.04	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.13	0.12	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00