The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Portland St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Portland St.

Conference:		BSky
Expected RPI:		210.0
Current RPI:		219
Expected SOS:		177
Current SOS:		201
Current Record:		8-13
Expected Record:		11-17
Current Conf Record:		5-5
Expected Conf Record:		8-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-5
Current OOC Record:		3-8
Expected OOC Record:		3-9
Expected OOC RPI:		206
Expected OOC SOS:		101

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
15-13	143.1	0.14%
14-14	160.9	2.25%
13-15	177.4	10.13%
12-16	194.9	24.51%
11-17	212.6	30.97%
10-18	229.0	22.70%
9-19	242.1	8.24%
8-20	253.9	1.05%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Portland St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Belmont (139.4)	ASun	N	67-74	L	0%	0.0
11-14	Wright St. (81.6)	Horz	N	70-75	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Washington (50.5)	P10	A	55-111	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Cal Poly (272.6)	BW	H	92-83	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Stanford (174.3)	P10	A	64-83	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Portland (84.4)	WCC	A	86-82	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Eastern Washington (292.9)	BSky	H	98-75	W	100%	0.0
12-13	Pepperdine (282.6)	WCC	A	93-81	W	100%	0.0
12-15	St. Mary's (41.8)	WCC	A	80-101	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Washington St. (111.1)	P10	N	69-93	L	0%	0.0
12-21	Boise St. (214.6)	WAC	A	62-69	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Sacramento St. (287.5)	BSky	H	94-66	W	100%	0.0
1-8	Montana St. (193.0)	BSky	A	71-77	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Montana (102.0)	BSky	A	58-90	L	0%	0.0
1-15	Northern Colorado (103.4)	BSky	H	85-69	W	100%	0.0
1-17	Northern Arizona (204.4)	BSky	H	86-93	L	0%	0.0
1-22	Weber St. (80.7)	BSky	A	83-86	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Idaho St. (275.5)	BSky	A	80-88	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Eastern Washington (292.9)	BSky	A	85-77	W	100%	0.0
2-5	Sacramento St. (287.5)	BSky	A	76-62	W	100%	0.0
2-7	Seattle (222.1)	ind	H	77-80	L	0%	0.0
2-12	Montana (102.0)	BSky	H	0-0		36%	-4.0
2-13	Montana St. (193.0)	BSky	H	0-0		61%	3.0
2-18	Northern Arizona (204.4)	BSky	A	0-0		44%	-1.5
2-20	Northern Colorado (103.4)	BSky	A	0-0		17%	-10.5
2-26	Idaho St. (275.5)	BSky	H	0-0		76%	7.6
2-28	Weber St. (80.7)	BSky	H	0-0		39%	-3.1
3-2	Seattle (222.1)	ind	A	0-0		38%	-3.5

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Portland St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Portland St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Portland St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Portland St.	BSky	26.33	26.49	43.01	42.42	-3.68	-4.02
Eastern Washington	BSky	5.57	4.72	20.00	20.65	-3.34	-2.77
Sacramento St.	BSky	5.47	4.62	33.33	31.24	-1.82	-1.74
Montana	BSky	3.20	4.56	66.67	69.38	1.07	1.77
Montana St.	BSky	3.20	4.56	45.00	46.91	-0.32	-0.28
Idaho St.	BSky	3.14	4.53	15.00	20.95	-2.20	-2.63
Weber St.	BSky	3.13	4.56	60.00	63.76	0.63	1.25
Northern Colorado	BSky	3.05	4.51	82.61	80.73	1.99	2.77
Northern Arizona	BSky	3.03	4.49	42.11	42.59	-0.48	-0.67
Seattle	ind	2.92	3.99	43.48	46.63	-0.38	-0.27
Washington	P10	2.74	2.13	68.18	67.80	1.00	0.76
Portland	WCC	2.70	2.06	65.00	68.20	0.81	0.75
Boise St.	WAC	2.66	2.05	42.86	44.08	-0.38	-0.24
Cal Poly	BW	2.64	2.01	38.10	37.34	-0.63	-0.51
Washington St.	P10	2.59	1.97	61.90	57.30	0.62	0.29
St. Mary's	WCC	2.55	1.95	86.36	84.07	1.85	1.33
Pepperdine	WCC	2.54	1.95	28.57	26.25	-1.09	-0.92
Stanford	P10	2.54	1.94	40.91	41.09	-0.46	-0.35
Belmont	ASun	2.48	1.85	58.33	62.59	0.41	0.46
Wright St.	Horz	2.48	1.85	60.87	64.18	0.54	0.52
Idaho	WAC	0.54	0.40	45.00	48.32	-0.05	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.53	0.48	47.83	44.40	-0.02	-0.05
Oregon	P10	0.43	0.45	54.55	48.80	0.04	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.42	0.34	60.87	59.64	0.09	0.07
Gonzaga	WCC	0.38	0.29	81.82	83.61	0.24	0.19
San Francisco	WCC	0.38	0.32	31.82	32.31	-0.14	-0.11
Fresno St.	WAC	0.33	0.29	47.83	48.99	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.32	0.25	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.32	0.28	33.33	33.42	-0.11	-0.09
UCLA	P10	0.32	0.25	47.83	43.81	-0.01	-0.03
Pacific	BW	0.32	0.19	68.18	68.11	0.12	0.07
UC Davis	BW	0.31	0.30	35.00	33.21	-0.09	-0.10
Oregon St.	P10	0.31	0.30	45.45	40.27	-0.03	-0.06
Utah St.	WAC	0.28	0.29	73.91	76.68	0.13	0.16
Nevada	WAC	0.28	0.23	57.14	60.54	0.04	0.05
Santa Clara	WCC	0.27	0.27	33.33	34.27	-0.09	-0.08
UC Riverside	BW	0.27	0.27	33.33	36.46	-0.09	-0.07
Arizona St.	P10	0.26	0.18	66.67	67.74	0.09	0.06
Brigham Young	MWC	0.22	0.20	87.50	87.42	0.17	0.15
Utah	MWC	0.22	0.22	45.45	44.33	-0.02	-0.03
Denver	SB	0.21	0.22	60.87	59.59	0.05	0.04
San Jose St.	WAC	0.21	0.31	50.00	48.13	0.00	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.21	0.21	39.13	43.30	-0.04	-0.03
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.17	0.20	60.00	59.64	0.03	0.04
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.16	0.28	22.73	21.40	-0.09	-0.16
Air Force	MWC	0.16	0.16	35.00	30.57	-0.05	-0.06
Colorado St.	MWC	0.16	0.20	59.09	52.86	0.03	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.16	0.12	63.64	58.35	0.04	0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.16	0.16	15.79	27.70	-0.11	-0.07
UC Irvine	BW	0.16	0.15	36.36	40.06	-0.04	-0.03
Wyoming	MWC	0.16	0.12	33.33	30.71	-0.05	-0.05
California	P10	0.16	0.18	65.22	68.43	0.05	0.07
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.16	0.09	22.73	24.06	-0.09	-0.05
Hawaii	WAC	0.16	0.18	36.36	33.80	-0.04	-0.06
San Diego St.	MWC	0.11	0.10	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.04
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.11	0.13	45.00	48.64	-0.01	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.11	0.06	19.05	20.74	-0.07	-0.04
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.06	50.00	49.53	0.00	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.11	0.09	42.86	45.64	-0.02	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.11	0.06	47.06	43.54	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.11	0.13	19.05	20.55	-0.07	-0.08
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.10	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.04	-0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.10	0.06	68.18	59.32	0.04	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.06	66.67	68.15	0.03	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.09	69.57	63.54	0.04	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.10	0.06	84.00	84.05	0.07	0.04
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.06	21.74	22.22	-0.06	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.06	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.10	0.06	43.48	43.62	-0.01	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.10	0.06	57.14	58.73	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.10	0.06	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.10	0.06	47.62	49.07	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.10	0.06	56.52	59.88	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.10	0.06	52.17	56.49	0.00	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.10	0.06	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.06	0.07	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.05
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.07	12.00	18.83	-0.05	-0.04
Army	Pat	0.06	0.03	57.14	59.01	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.06	0.07	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.07	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.07	69.57	70.01	0.02	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.03	63.64	64.63	0.02	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.07	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.06	0.07	81.82	80.91	0.04	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.07	70.83	63.36	0.02	0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.06	0.07	55.56	55.84	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.03	82.61	79.46	0.04	0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	34.78	43.27	-0.02	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.29	-0.01	-0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.55	0.03	0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.39	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.06	79.17	73.38	0.03	0.03
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.71	0.02	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	21.74	24.91	-0.03	-0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.67	-0.01	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.68	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.03	78.26	78.94	0.03	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.03	39.13	38.66	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.45	0.03	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	24.00	26.47	-0.03	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	41.67	38.60	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.68	0.05	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.92	0.02	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.54	0.00	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.84	0.02	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.21	0.03	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.28	0.02	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.27	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.06	58.33	58.25	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.03
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.84	-0.02	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	26.32	31.50	-0.02	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.49	0.02	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.06	66.67	69.42	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.06	59.09	51.14	0.01	0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.06	12.50	15.32	-0.04	-0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	73.00	0.02	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	54.22	-0.00	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.07	-0.04	-0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.12	36.84	39.04	-0.01	-0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.06	60.87	57.67	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.98	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	28.57	27.82	-0.02	-0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	31.58	39.01	-0.02	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.06	29.17	28.88	-0.02	-0.03
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.83	93.08	0.04	0.03
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.06	45.45	43.33	-0.00	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.06	17.39	20.22	-0.03	-0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.09	0.01	0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.06	14.29	15.66	-0.03	-0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.03	-0.03	-0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Portland St.	BSky	26.33	26.49	43.01	42.42	-3.68	-4.02
Eastern Washington	BSky	5.57	4.72	20.00	20.65	-3.34	-2.77
Sacramento St.	BSky	5.47	4.62	33.33	31.24	-1.82	-1.74
Montana St.	BSky	3.20	4.56	45.00	46.91	-0.32	-0.28
Montana	BSky	3.20	4.56	66.67	69.38	1.07	1.77
Weber St.	BSky	3.13	4.56	60.00	63.76	0.63	1.25
Idaho St.	BSky	3.14	4.53	15.00	20.95	-2.20	-2.63
Northern Colorado	BSky	3.05	4.51	82.61	80.73	1.99	2.77
Northern Arizona	BSky	3.03	4.49	42.11	42.59	-0.48	-0.67
Seattle	ind	2.92	3.99	43.48	46.63	-0.38	-0.27
Washington	P10	2.74	2.13	68.18	67.80	1.00	0.76
Portland	WCC	2.70	2.06	65.00	68.20	0.81	0.75
Boise St.	WAC	2.66	2.05	42.86	44.08	-0.38	-0.24
Cal Poly	BW	2.64	2.01	38.10	37.34	-0.63	-0.51
Washington St.	P10	2.59	1.97	61.90	57.30	0.62	0.29
Pepperdine	WCC	2.54	1.95	28.57	26.25	-1.09	-0.92
St. Mary's	WCC	2.55	1.95	86.36	84.07	1.85	1.33
Stanford	P10	2.54	1.94	40.91	41.09	-0.46	-0.35
Belmont	ASun	2.48	1.85	58.33	62.59	0.41	0.46
Wright St.	Horz	2.48	1.85	60.87	64.18	0.54	0.52
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.53	0.48	47.83	44.40	-0.02	-0.05
Oregon	P10	0.43	0.45	54.55	48.80	0.04	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.54	0.40	45.00	48.32	-0.05	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.42	0.34	60.87	59.64	0.09	0.07
San Francisco	WCC	0.38	0.32	31.82	32.31	-0.14	-0.11
San Jose St.	WAC	0.21	0.31	50.00	48.13	0.00	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.31	0.30	45.45	40.27	-0.03	-0.06
UC Davis	BW	0.31	0.30	35.00	33.21	-0.09	-0.10
Utah St.	WAC	0.28	0.29	73.91	76.68	0.13	0.16
Fresno St.	WAC	0.33	0.29	47.83	48.99	-0.01	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.38	0.29	81.82	83.61	0.24	0.19
San Diego	WCC	0.32	0.28	33.33	33.42	-0.11	-0.09
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.16	0.28	22.73	21.40	-0.09	-0.16
UC Riverside	BW	0.27	0.27	33.33	36.46	-0.09	-0.07
Santa Clara	WCC	0.27	0.27	33.33	34.27	-0.09	-0.08
Arizona	P10	0.32	0.25	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.02
UCLA	P10	0.32	0.25	47.83	43.81	-0.01	-0.03
Nevada	WAC	0.28	0.23	57.14	60.54	0.04	0.05
Utah	MWC	0.22	0.22	45.45	44.33	-0.02	-0.03
Denver	SB	0.21	0.22	60.87	59.59	0.05	0.04
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.21	0.21	39.13	43.30	-0.04	-0.03
Colorado St.	MWC	0.16	0.20	59.09	52.86	0.03	0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.17	0.20	60.00	59.64	0.03	0.04
Brigham Young	MWC	0.22	0.20	87.50	87.42	0.17	0.15
Pacific	BW	0.32	0.19	68.18	68.11	0.12	0.07
Hawaii	WAC	0.16	0.18	36.36	33.80	-0.04	-0.06
Arizona St.	P10	0.26	0.18	66.67	67.74	0.09	0.06
California	P10	0.16	0.18	65.22	68.43	0.05	0.07
Air Force	MWC	0.16	0.16	35.00	30.57	-0.05	-0.06
North Dakota	GWC	0.16	0.16	15.79	27.70	-0.11	-0.07
UC Irvine	BW	0.16	0.15	36.36	40.06	-0.04	-0.03
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.11	0.13	45.00	48.64	-0.01	-0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.11	0.13	19.05	20.55	-0.07	-0.08
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.16	0.12	63.64	58.35	0.04	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.16	0.12	33.33	30.71	-0.05	-0.05
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.12	36.84	39.04	-0.01	-0.03
San Diego St.	MWC	0.11	0.10	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.16	0.09	22.73	24.06	-0.09	-0.05
Long Beach St.	BW	0.11	0.09	42.86	45.64	-0.02	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.09	69.57	63.54	0.04	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.06	0.07	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.05
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.07	12.00	18.83	-0.05	-0.04
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.07	69.57	70.01	0.02	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.06	0.07	81.82	80.91	0.04	0.04
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.06	0.07	55.56	55.84	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.06	0.07	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.07	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.07	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.07	70.83	63.36	0.02	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.11	0.06	19.05	20.74	-0.07	-0.04
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.06	50.00	49.53	0.00	-0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.04	-0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.11	0.06	47.06	43.54	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.06	66.67	68.15	0.03	0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	26.32	31.50	-0.02	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.06	59.09	51.14	0.01	0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	54.22	-0.00	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.10	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.03
Butler	Horz	0.10	0.06	84.00	84.05	0.07	0.04
Campbell	ASun	0.10	0.06	57.14	58.73	0.01	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.06	58.33	58.25	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.10	0.06	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.10	0.06	47.62	49.07	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.06	29.17	28.88	-0.02	-0.03
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.06	21.74	22.22	-0.06	-0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.10	0.06	56.52	59.88	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.10	0.06	52.17	56.49	0.00	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.06	79.17	73.38	0.03	0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.06	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.06	45.45	43.33	-0.00	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.10	0.06	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.06	17.39	20.22	-0.03	-0.04
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.06	14.29	15.66	-0.03	-0.04
Texas Tech	B12	0.10	0.06	68.18	59.32	0.04	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.10	0.06	43.48	43.62	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.06	60.87	57.67	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	28.57	27.82	-0.02	-0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.06	66.67	69.42	0.02	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.06	12.50	15.32	-0.04	-0.04
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.98	0.02	0.02
Army	Pat	0.06	0.03	57.14	59.01	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.03	63.64	64.63	0.02	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.03	82.61	79.46	0.04	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.03	39.13	38.66	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	34.78	43.27	-0.02	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	24.00	26.47	-0.03	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.71	0.02	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.67	-0.01	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.21	0.03	0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.29	-0.01	-0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.55	0.03	0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.39	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	21.74	24.91	-0.03	-0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.03	78.26	78.94	0.03	0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	31.58	39.01	-0.02	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.27	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.45	0.03	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	41.67	38.60	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.83	93.08	0.04	0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.68	0.05	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.84	-0.02	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.49	0.02	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.68	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.92	0.02	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.54	0.00	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	73.00	0.02	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.09	0.01	0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.03	-0.03	-0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.84	0.02	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.07	-0.04	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.28	0.02	0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northern Colorado	BSky	3.05	4.51	82.61	80.73	1.99	2.77
St. Mary's	WCC	2.55	1.95	86.36	84.07	1.85	1.33
Montana	BSky	3.20	4.56	66.67	69.38	1.07	1.77
Washington	P10	2.74	2.13	68.18	67.80	1.00	0.76
Portland	WCC	2.70	2.06	65.00	68.20	0.81	0.75
Weber St.	BSky	3.13	4.56	60.00	63.76	0.63	1.25
Washington St.	P10	2.59	1.97	61.90	57.30	0.62	0.29
Wright St.	Horz	2.48	1.85	60.87	64.18	0.54	0.52
Belmont	ASun	2.48	1.85	58.33	62.59	0.41	0.46
Gonzaga	WCC	0.38	0.29	81.82	83.61	0.24	0.19
Brigham Young	MWC	0.22	0.20	87.50	87.42	0.17	0.15
Utah St.	WAC	0.28	0.29	73.91	76.68	0.13	0.16
Pacific	BW	0.32	0.19	68.18	68.11	0.12	0.07
Southern California	P10	0.42	0.34	60.87	59.64	0.09	0.07
Arizona St.	P10	0.26	0.18	66.67	67.74	0.09	0.06
Butler	Horz	0.10	0.06	84.00	84.05	0.07	0.04
California	P10	0.16	0.18	65.22	68.43	0.05	0.07
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.68	0.05	0.02
Denver	SB	0.21	0.22	60.87	59.59	0.05	0.04
New Mexico	MWC	0.06	0.07	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.05
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.83	93.08	0.04	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.16	0.12	63.64	58.35	0.04	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.09	69.57	63.54	0.04	0.02
Oregon	P10	0.43	0.45	54.55	48.80	0.04	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.28	0.23	57.14	60.54	0.04	0.05
Texas Tech	B12	0.10	0.06	68.18	59.32	0.04	0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.11	0.10	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.03	82.61	79.46	0.04	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.06	0.07	81.82	80.91	0.04	0.04
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.55	0.03	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.06	66.67	68.15	0.03	0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.17	0.20	60.00	59.64	0.03	0.04
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.06	79.17	73.38	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.03	78.26	78.94	0.03	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.16	0.20	59.09	52.86	0.03	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.45	0.03	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.21	0.03	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.07	70.83	63.36	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.84	0.02	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.07	69.57	70.01	0.02	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	73.00	0.02	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.92	0.02	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.71	0.02	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.49	0.02	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.28	0.02	0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.06	66.67	69.42	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.98	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.03	63.64	64.63	0.02	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.32	0.25	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.10	0.06	57.14	58.73	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.68	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.10	0.06	56.52	59.88	0.01	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.09	0.01	0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.06	60.87	57.67	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.06	59.09	51.14	0.01	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.06	58.33	58.25	0.01	0.01
Army	Pat	0.06	0.03	57.14	59.01	0.01	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.07	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.06	0.07	55.56	55.84	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.54	0.00	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.10	0.06	52.17	56.49	0.00	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.06	0.07	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.27	0.00	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.10	0.06	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.06	50.00	49.53	0.00	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.06	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
San Jose St.	WAC	0.21	0.31	50.00	48.13	0.00	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.00
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.06	45.45	43.33	-0.00	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.10	0.06	47.62	49.07	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	54.22	-0.00	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.11	0.06	47.06	43.54	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.29	-0.01	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	41.67	38.60	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.67	-0.01	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.11	0.13	45.00	48.64	-0.01	-0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.03	39.13	38.66	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.39	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.10	0.06	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.10	0.06	43.48	43.62	-0.01	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.12	36.84	39.04	-0.01	-0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.07	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.02
UCLA	P10	0.32	0.25	47.83	43.81	-0.01	-0.03
Fresno St.	WAC	0.33	0.29	47.83	48.99	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.11	0.09	42.86	45.64	-0.02	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	34.78	43.27	-0.02	-0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	31.58	39.01	-0.02	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.84	-0.02	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.22	0.22	45.45	44.33	-0.02	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.06	29.17	28.88	-0.02	-0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	28.57	27.82	-0.02	-0.03
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.53	0.48	47.83	44.40	-0.02	-0.05
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	26.32	31.50	-0.02	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	24.00	26.47	-0.03	-0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.31	0.30	45.45	40.27	-0.03	-0.06
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.03	-0.03	-0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	21.74	24.91	-0.03	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.06	17.39	20.22	-0.03	-0.04
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.06	14.29	15.66	-0.03	-0.04
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.06	12.50	15.32	-0.04	-0.04
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.04	-0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.07	-0.04	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.16	0.18	36.36	33.80	-0.04	-0.06
UC Irvine	BW	0.16	0.15	36.36	40.06	-0.04	-0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.21	0.21	39.13	43.30	-0.04	-0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.07	12.00	18.83	-0.05	-0.04
Air Force	MWC	0.16	0.16	35.00	30.57	-0.05	-0.06
Wyoming	MWC	0.16	0.12	33.33	30.71	-0.05	-0.05
Idaho	WAC	0.54	0.40	45.00	48.32	-0.05	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.10	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.03
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.06	21.74	22.22	-0.06	-0.03
Southern Utah	Sum	0.11	0.13	19.05	20.55	-0.07	-0.08
Chicago St.	GWC	0.11	0.06	19.05	20.74	-0.07	-0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.16	0.09	22.73	24.06	-0.09	-0.05
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.16	0.28	22.73	21.40	-0.09	-0.16