The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Cal St. Northridge page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Cal St. Northridge

Conference:		BW
Expected RPI:		225.5
Current RPI:		229
Expected SOS:		216
Current SOS:		201
Current Record:		9-14
Expected Record:		13-18
Current Conf Record:		4-6
Expected Conf Record:		7-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-6
Current OOC Record:		5-8
Expected OOC Record:		6-9
Expected OOC RPI:		214
Expected OOC SOS:		177

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
17-14	168.8	0.61%
16-15	184.1	4.53%
15-16	201.3	15.52%
14-17	218.0	27.27%
13-18	232.9	27.66%
12-19	245.8	17.35%
11-20	258.1	5.92%
10-21	271.1	1.04%
9-22	284.7	0.09%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Cal St. Northridge.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Purdue (14.9)	B10	A	64-89	L	0%	0.0
11-16	Texas Christian (174.6)	MWC	N	65-83	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Texas St. (256.5)	Slnd	N	85-82	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Western Kentucky (159.1)	SB	A	67-68	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Coastal Carolina (129.1)	BSth	N	76-69	W	100%	0.0
11-30	Cal St. Bakersfield (322.0)	ind	H	81-74	W	100%	0.0
12-3	Idaho (149.2)	WAC	H	95-93	W	100%	0.0
12-6	Washington (50.4)	P10	A	76-88	L	0%	0.0
12-8	Denver (148.7)	SB	A	82-89	L	0%	0.0
12-18	Drexel (105.7)	CAA	H	63-75	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Colorado (136.4)	B12	A	58-92	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Pacific (115.6)	BW	A	43-52	L	0%	0.0
1-4	UC Davis (285.3)	BW	A	73-85	L	0%	0.0
1-7	UC Irvine (277.0)	BW	H	62-65	L	0%	0.0
1-11	Seattle (222.4)	ind	H	98-90	W	100%	0.0
1-14	UC Riverside (264.2)	BW	H	64-50	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Cal St. Fullerton (212.6)	BW	A	78-72	W	100%	0.0
1-19	Seattle (222.4)	ind	A	64-74	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Cal Poly (272.8)	BW	A	72-73	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Long Beach St. (139.7)	BW	H	68-69	L	0%	0.0
1-30	UC Santa Barbara (144.6)	BW	H	76-69	W	100%	0.0
2-4	UC Riverside (264.2)	BW	A	63-47	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Long Beach St. (139.7)	BW	A	51-65	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Cal St. Bakersfield (322.0)	ind	A	0-0		60%	2.6
2-13	Cal St. Fullerton (212.6)	BW	H	0-0		62%	3.2
2-17	Cal Poly (272.8)	BW	H	0-0		78%	8.3
2-20	Drake (179.5)	MVC	H	0-0		57%	1.9
2-24	UC Santa Barbara (144.6)	BW	A	0-0		25%	-7.3
2-27	UC Irvine (277.0)	BW	A	0-0		44%	-1.6
3-4	UC Davis (285.3)	BW	H	0-0		77%	8.0
3-6	Pacific (115.6)	BW	H	0-0		40%	-2.7

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Cal St. Northridge's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Cal St. Northridge's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Cal St. Northridge.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Cal St. Northridge	BW	26.45	26.44	41.05	43.63	-4.73	-3.37
UC Riverside	BW	4.92	4.09	36.84	39.36	-1.29	-0.87
Long Beach St.	BW	4.82	4.06	36.84	41.48	-1.27	-0.69
Seattle	ind	4.65	3.62	45.45	48.79	-0.42	-0.09
UC Irvine	BW	2.99	4.20	33.33	37.27	-1.00	-1.07
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	2.94	4.14	47.37	50.98	-0.15	0.08
Cal Poly	BW	2.94	4.20	33.33	34.20	-0.98	-1.33
UC Santa Barbara	BW	2.85	4.03	63.16	61.49	0.75	0.93
UC Davis	BW	2.83	4.14	31.58	31.03	-1.04	-1.57
Pacific	BW	2.69	4.10	66.67	67.26	0.90	1.41
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	2.58	3.73	23.81	21.49	-1.35	-2.13
Denver	SB	2.31	1.69	59.09	58.13	0.42	0.28
Idaho	WAC	2.26	1.77	47.37	50.11	-0.12	0.00
Washington	P10	2.26	1.66	68.18	67.78	0.82	0.59
Texas Christian	MWC	2.23	1.64	38.10	36.07	-0.53	-0.46
Texas St.	Slnd	2.22	1.64	38.89	38.29	-0.49	-0.38
Western Kentucky	SB	2.22	1.64	52.17	54.53	0.10	0.15
Coastal Carolina	BSth	2.17	1.61	85.00	85.23	1.52	1.14
Colorado	B12	2.17	1.61	40.00	38.36	-0.43	-0.38
Drexel	CAA	2.17	1.61	54.17	54.44	0.18	0.14
Purdue	B10	2.17	1.61	85.71	81.17	1.55	1.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.40	0.42	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.40	0.34	47.83	44.39	-0.02	-0.04
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.35	0.30	30.43	29.01	-0.14	-0.13
Utah St.	WAC	0.32	0.23	73.91	76.66	0.15	0.12
San Diego St.	MWC	0.31	0.32	66.67	67.74	0.10	0.11
Portland	WCC	0.29	0.16	61.90	65.68	0.07	0.05
Texas	B12	0.26	0.17	82.61	78.76	0.17	0.10
Arizona St.	P10	0.26	0.17	66.67	67.74	0.09	0.06
UCLA	P10	0.25	0.23	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.25	0.23	31.82	32.31	-0.09	-0.08
Pepperdine	WCC	0.25	0.22	27.27	25.31	-0.11	-0.11
Fresno St.	WAC	0.25	0.34	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.24	0.19	45.45	40.28	-0.02	-0.04
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.24	0.13	18.18	19.18	-0.15	-0.08
Colorado St.	MWC	0.20	0.17	59.09	52.85	0.04	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.20	0.23	33.33	34.27	-0.07	-0.07
Weber St.	BSky	0.20	0.17	61.90	65.04	0.05	0.05
Montana	BSky	0.20	0.11	68.18	70.35	0.07	0.05
Utah	MWC	0.19	0.14	45.45	44.32	-0.02	-0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.19	0.11	12.50	15.31	-0.15	-0.08
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.19	0.13	69.57	63.55	0.08	0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.19	0.22	36.84	39.02	-0.05	-0.05
Portland St.	BSky	0.19	0.19	38.10	39.65	-0.04	-0.04
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.16	0.09	45.00	43.95	-0.02	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.16	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.10	0.06
Air Force	MWC	0.15	0.11	35.00	30.59	-0.05	-0.04
Montana St.	BSky	0.15	0.17	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.15	0.12	87.50	83.52	0.11	0.08
San Diego	WCC	0.15	0.11	33.33	33.43	-0.05	-0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.15	0.08	86.36	82.20	0.11	0.05
California	P10	0.15	0.17	65.22	68.42	0.05	0.06
Stanford	P10	0.15	0.17	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.02
Southern California	P10	0.15	0.11	60.87	59.61	0.03	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.15	0.11	22.73	22.86	-0.08	-0.06
Wisconsin	B10	0.15	0.11	78.26	78.92	0.08	0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.15	0.08	95.65	88.67	0.13	0.06
Arizona	P10	0.15	0.08	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.15	0.11	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.14	0.08	36.36	36.18	-0.04	-0.02
Troy	SB	0.14	0.08	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.11	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.11	0.09	21.05	24.96	-0.06	-0.05
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.17	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.11	0.17	61.90	56.37	0.03	0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.09	33.33	33.96	-0.04	-0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.11	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.08	-0.04
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.11	0.12	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.10	0.09	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.10	0.08	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.10	0.17	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.09	82.61	75.26	0.07	0.04
Nevada	WAC	0.10	0.11	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.10	0.06	20.00	23.58	-0.06	-0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.10	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.07	-0.04
NC Asheville	BSth	0.10	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.03	-0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.10	0.06	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.10	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.10	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.06	-0.04
Winthrop	BSth	0.10	0.06	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.10	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.10	0.11	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.10	0.08	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.09	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.10	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.10	0.11	86.96	84.62	0.07	0.08
Indiana St.	MVC	0.10	0.11	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.10	0.14	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.06
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.10	0.06	79.17	78.03	0.06	0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.10	0.08	68.18	59.30	0.04	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.08	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.09	0.11	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.09	0.05	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.09	0.08	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.09	0.08	24.00	23.74	-0.05	-0.04
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.09	0.08	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.09	0.11	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.09	0.05	73.68	75.41	0.04	0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.09	0.08	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.05	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.05	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.05	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.09	0.05	22.73	23.47	-0.05	-0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.05	68.18	66.65	0.03	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.06	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.03	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Furman	SC	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.09	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.06	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.08	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.06
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.08	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.03
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.06	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.02
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.06	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.03
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.04
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.08	-0.02	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.05	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.08	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.03
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.05	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.11	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.09
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.08	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.04
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.08	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.06
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.08	22.73	22.60	-0.02	-0.04
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	86.96	85.47	0.03	0.02
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.05	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.08	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.04	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.03	0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.04	0.05	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.04	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.04	0.05	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.04	0.05	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.04	0.05	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.04	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.04	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.04	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.04	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.04	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.04	0.03	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.04	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
Vermont	AE	0.04	0.03	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.04	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.04	0.05	77.27	77.12	0.02	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.00	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.00	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.00	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.00	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.00	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.00	0.08	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.00	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.00	0.05	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.00	1.61	44.00	43.20	-0.00	-0.22
Idaho St.	BSky	0.00	0.06	19.05	24.00	-0.00	-0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.00	0.05	66.67	63.46	0.00	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.00	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.00	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.00	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.00	-0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.00	0.05	79.17	76.61	0.00	0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.00	0.05	66.67	64.62	0.00	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.00	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.00	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.00	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.00	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.00	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.03	15.79	27.84	-0.00	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.00	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.00	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.00	0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.00	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.00	-0.03

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Cal St. Northridge	BW	26.45	26.44	41.05	43.63	-4.73	-3.37
Cal Poly	BW	2.94	4.20	33.33	34.20	-0.98	-1.33
UC Irvine	BW	2.99	4.20	33.33	37.27	-1.00	-1.07
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	2.94	4.14	47.37	50.98	-0.15	0.08
UC Davis	BW	2.83	4.14	31.58	31.03	-1.04	-1.57
Pacific	BW	2.69	4.10	66.67	67.26	0.90	1.41
UC Riverside	BW	4.92	4.09	36.84	39.36	-1.29	-0.87
Long Beach St.	BW	4.82	4.06	36.84	41.48	-1.27	-0.69
UC Santa Barbara	BW	2.85	4.03	63.16	61.49	0.75	0.93
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	2.58	3.73	23.81	21.49	-1.35	-2.13
Seattle	ind	4.65	3.62	45.45	48.79	-0.42	-0.09
Idaho	WAC	2.26	1.77	47.37	50.11	-0.12	0.00
Denver	SB	2.31	1.69	59.09	58.13	0.42	0.28
Washington	P10	2.26	1.66	68.18	67.78	0.82	0.59
Texas Christian	MWC	2.23	1.64	38.10	36.07	-0.53	-0.46
Texas St.	Slnd	2.22	1.64	38.89	38.29	-0.49	-0.38
Western Kentucky	SB	2.22	1.64	52.17	54.53	0.10	0.15
Coastal Carolina	BSth	2.17	1.61	85.00	85.23	1.52	1.14
Colorado	B12	2.17	1.61	40.00	38.36	-0.43	-0.38
Drake	MVC	0.00	1.61	44.00	43.20	-0.00	-0.22
Drexel	CAA	2.17	1.61	54.17	54.44	0.18	0.14
Purdue	B10	2.17	1.61	85.71	81.17	1.55	1.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.40	0.42	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.25	0.34	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.40	0.34	47.83	44.39	-0.02	-0.04
San Diego St.	MWC	0.31	0.32	66.67	67.74	0.10	0.11
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.35	0.30	30.43	29.01	-0.14	-0.13
Utah St.	WAC	0.32	0.23	73.91	76.66	0.15	0.12
San Francisco	WCC	0.25	0.23	31.82	32.31	-0.09	-0.08
UCLA	P10	0.25	0.23	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.20	0.23	33.33	34.27	-0.07	-0.07
Pepperdine	WCC	0.25	0.22	27.27	25.31	-0.11	-0.11
Utah Valley	GWC	0.19	0.22	36.84	39.02	-0.05	-0.05
Oregon St.	P10	0.24	0.19	45.45	40.28	-0.02	-0.04
Portland St.	BSky	0.19	0.19	38.10	39.65	-0.04	-0.04
Arizona St.	P10	0.26	0.17	66.67	67.74	0.09	0.06
Weber St.	BSky	0.20	0.17	61.90	65.04	0.05	0.05
Montana St.	BSky	0.15	0.17	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.26	0.17	82.61	78.76	0.17	0.10
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.11	0.17	61.90	56.37	0.03	0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.17	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.20	0.17	59.09	52.85	0.04	0.01
California	P10	0.15	0.17	65.22	68.42	0.05	0.06
Hawaii	WAC	0.10	0.17	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.05
Stanford	P10	0.15	0.17	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.02
Portland	WCC	0.29	0.16	61.90	65.68	0.07	0.05
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.10	0.14	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.06
Utah	MWC	0.19	0.14	45.45	44.32	-0.02	-0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.19	0.13	69.57	63.55	0.08	0.04
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.24	0.13	18.18	19.18	-0.15	-0.08
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.11	0.12	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.15	0.12	87.50	83.52	0.11	0.08
Montana	BSky	0.20	0.11	68.18	70.35	0.07	0.05
San Diego	WCC	0.15	0.11	33.33	33.43	-0.05	-0.04
Southern California	P10	0.15	0.11	60.87	59.61	0.03	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.15	0.11	35.00	30.59	-0.05	-0.04
New Orleans	SB	0.15	0.11	22.73	22.86	-0.08	-0.06
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.11	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.09
Presbyterian	BSth	0.19	0.11	12.50	15.31	-0.15	-0.08
Nevada	WAC	0.10	0.11	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.02
Oregon	P10	0.10	0.11	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.15	0.11	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.10	0.11	86.96	84.62	0.07	0.08
Wisconsin	B10	0.15	0.11	78.26	78.92	0.08	0.06
Indiana St.	MVC	0.10	0.11	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.09	0.11	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.09	0.11	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.11	0.09	21.05	24.96	-0.06	-0.05
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.09	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.10	0.09	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.16	0.09	45.00	43.95	-0.02	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.16	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.10	0.06
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.09	33.33	33.96	-0.04	-0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.09	82.61	75.26	0.07	0.04
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.09	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.10	0.08	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.15	0.08	86.36	82.20	0.11	0.05
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.08	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.06
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.08	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.15	0.08	95.65	88.67	0.13	0.06
Texas Tech	B12	0.10	0.08	68.18	59.30	0.04	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.08	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.15	0.08	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.10	0.08	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.09	0.08	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.14	0.08	36.36	36.18	-0.04	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.09	0.08	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.09	0.08	24.00	23.74	-0.05	-0.04
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.09	0.08	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.08	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.06
Troy	SB	0.14	0.08	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.08	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.04
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.08	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.00	0.08	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.08	22.73	22.60	-0.02	-0.04
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.08	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.01
Furman	SC	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.11	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.06	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.10	0.06	20.00	23.58	-0.06	-0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.10	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.07	-0.04
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.10	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.03	-0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.10	0.06	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.10	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.06	-0.04
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.06	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.10	0.06	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.00	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.00	-0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.11	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.08	-0.04
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.06	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.10	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.10	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.10	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.02
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.00	0.06	19.05	24.00	-0.00	-0.03
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.00	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.00	-0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.03
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.10	0.06	79.17	78.03	0.06	0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.05	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.05	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.00	0.05	79.17	76.61	0.00	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.05	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.09	0.05	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.00	0.05	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.04	0.05	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.04	0.05	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.09	0.05	73.68	75.41	0.04	0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.04	0.05	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.00	0.05	66.67	63.46	0.00	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.04	0.05	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.00	0.05	66.67	64.62	0.00	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.05	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.05	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.09	0.05	22.73	23.47	-0.05	-0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.04	0.05	77.27	77.12	0.02	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.05	68.18	66.65	0.03	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.05	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.06	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.03	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.00	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.00	-0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.01
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.00	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.00	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.00	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.08	-0.02	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.00	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.00	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.00	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.00	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.00	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.00	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.04	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.03	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.04	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.00	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.00	0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	86.96	85.47	0.03	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.00	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.00	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.04	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.03	15.79	27.84	-0.00	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.04	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01