The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated UC Davis page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

UC Davis

Conference:		BW
Expected RPI:		244.0
Current RPI:		244
Expected SOS:		253
Current SOS:		253
Current Record:		12-18
Expected Record:		12-18
Current Conf Record:		9-9
Expected Conf Record:		9-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		11-6
Current OOC Record:		3-9
Expected OOC Record:		3-9
Expected OOC RPI:		303
Expected OOC SOS:		316

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
12-18		244.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UC Davis.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Colorado St. (120.0)	MWC	N	73-91	L	0%	0.0
11-14	Oregon (138.0)	P10	A	64-95	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Winston Salem St. (293.0)	ind	N	99-79	W	100%	0.0
11-24	North Dakota St. (268.0)	Sum	H	62-63	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Ball St. (218.0)	MAC	A	60-58	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Sacramento St. (297.0)	BSky	H	57-59	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Seattle (192.0)	ind	H	78-88	L	0%	0.0
12-13	Stanford (164.0)	P10	A	69-85	L	0%	0.0
12-17	Fresno St. (190.0)	WAC	A	57-68	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Air Force (246.0)	MWC	A	57-69	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Cal St. Fullerton (204.0)	BW	H	67-63	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Cal St. Northridge (251.0)	BW	H	85-73	W	100%	0.0
1-8	UC Santa Barbara (94.0)	BW	A	47-68	L	0%	0.0
1-10	Cal Poly (256.0)	BW	A	69-72	L	0%	0.0
1-14	UC Irvine (276.0)	BW	H	79-77	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Pacific (128.0)	BW	A	61-77	L	0%	0.0
1-28	UC Riverside (255.0)	BW	A	60-50	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Long Beach St. (112.0)	BW	A	58-80	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Cal Poly (256.0)	BW	H	83-63	W	100%	0.0
2-6	UC Santa Barbara (94.0)	BW	H	77-81	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Pacific (128.0)	BW	H	62-59	W	100%	0.0
2-13	UC Irvine (276.0)	BW	A	67-69	L	0%	0.0
2-16	Seattle (192.0)	ind	A	56-81	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Boise St. (203.0)	WAC	A	82-74	W	100%	0.0
2-25	Long Beach St. (112.0)	BW	H	65-68	L	0%	0.0
2-28	UC Riverside (255.0)	BW	H	66-43	W	100%	0.0
3-4	Cal St. Northridge (251.0)	BW	A	66-70	L	0%	0.0
3-6	Cal St. Fullerton (204.0)	BW	A	92-86	W	100%	0.0
3-11	Cal St. Fullerton (204.0)	BW	N	68-65	W	100%	0.0
3-12	UC Santa Barbara (94.0)	BW	N	62-76	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

UC Davis's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

UC Davis's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against UC Davis.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UC Davis	BW	26.58	26.58	41.79	41.79	-4.36	-4.36
UC Santa Barbara	BW	5.91	5.91	64.00	64.00	1.66	1.66
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	5.89	5.89	53.85	53.85	0.45	0.45
Cal St. Northridge	BW	4.44	4.44	33.33	33.33	-1.48	-1.48
Long Beach St.	BW	4.43	4.43	44.83	44.83	-0.46	-0.46
Cal Poly	BW	4.43	4.43	37.93	37.93	-1.07	-1.07
Pacific	BW	4.35	4.35	65.52	65.52	1.35	1.35
UC Irvine	BW	4.34	4.34	39.29	39.29	-0.93	-0.93
UC Riverside	BW	4.25	4.25	40.00	40.00	-0.85	-0.85
Seattle	ind	3.63	3.63	51.72	51.72	0.13	0.13
Fresno St.	WAC	1.98	1.98	41.94	41.94	-0.32	-0.32
Sacramento St.	BSky	1.89	1.89	22.22	22.22	-1.05	-1.05
Colorado St.	MWC	1.81	1.81	48.28	48.28	-0.06	-0.06
Oregon	P10	1.78	1.78	48.39	48.39	-0.06	-0.06
Stanford	P10	1.77	1.77	41.94	41.94	-0.29	-0.29
Air Force	MWC	1.72	1.72	25.00	25.00	-0.86	-0.86
Winston Salem St.	ind	1.72	1.72	33.33	33.33	-0.57	-0.57
Boise St.	WAC	1.72	1.72	46.67	46.67	-0.11	-0.11
North Dakota St.	Sum	1.69	1.69	30.77	30.77	-0.65	-0.65
Ball St.	MAC	1.67	1.67	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.72	0.72	24.14	24.14	-0.37	-0.37
San Diego St.	MWC	0.46	0.46	74.19	74.19	0.22	0.22
San Jose St.	WAC	0.39	0.39	43.33	43.33	-0.05	-0.05
Idaho	WAC	0.38	0.38	44.83	44.83	-0.04	-0.04
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.31	0.31	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.29	0.29	64.29	64.29	0.08	0.08
Portland St.	BSky	0.27	0.27	36.67	36.67	-0.07	-0.07
California	P10	0.27	0.27	69.70	69.70	0.11	0.11
Utah St.	WAC	0.27	0.27	78.79	78.79	0.16	0.16
UCLA	P10	0.27	0.27	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.26	0.26	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.25	0.25	65.62	65.62	0.08	0.08
Pepperdine	WCC	0.24	0.24	20.69	20.69	-0.14	-0.14
Washington	P10	0.24	0.24	72.73	72.73	0.11	0.11
Montana	BSky	0.23	0.23	68.97	68.97	0.09	0.09
Santa Clara	WCC	0.22	0.22	30.00	30.00	-0.09	-0.09
Arizona St.	P10	0.22	0.22	68.75	68.75	0.08	0.08
Hawaii	WAC	0.22	0.22	31.03	31.03	-0.08	-0.08
Oregon St.	P10	0.21	0.21	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.20	0.20	46.15	46.15	-0.02	-0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.20	0.20	87.88	87.88	0.15	0.15
Southern California	P10	0.20	0.20	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.19	0.19	32.26	32.26	-0.07	-0.07
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.19	0.19	25.00	25.00	-0.10	-0.10
San Francisco	WCC	0.17	0.17	35.71	35.71	-0.05	-0.05
Wyoming	MWC	0.17	0.17	27.59	27.59	-0.08	-0.08
Utah	MWC	0.17	0.17	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.17	0.17	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Nevada	WAC	0.16	0.16	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Washington St.	P10	0.16	0.16	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.14	0.14	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Brigham Young	MWC	0.14	0.14	84.85	84.85	0.10	0.10
Utah Valley	GWC	0.14	0.14	30.77	30.77	-0.05	-0.05
Denver	SB	0.13	0.13	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.13	0.13	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
St. Mary's	WCC	0.13	0.13	83.33	83.33	0.09	0.09
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.13	0.13	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Southern Utah	Sum	0.12	0.12	18.52	18.52	-0.08	-0.08
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.12	0.12	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.12	0.12	76.67	76.67	0.06	0.06
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.12	0.12	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.11	0.11	11.54	11.54	-0.09	-0.09
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Idaho St.	BSky	0.11	0.11	18.52	18.52	-0.07	-0.07
Texas	B12	0.11	0.11	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.10	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.09	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Furman	SC	0.09	0.09	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.09	0.09	23.08	23.08	-0.05	-0.05
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.09	0.09	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.08	0.08	84.38	84.38	0.06	0.06
Colorado	B12	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
Portland	WCC	0.08	0.08	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Central Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.06	12.00	12.00	-0.04	-0.04
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.06	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.06	9.68	9.68	-0.05	-0.05
Western Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.06	36.36	36.36	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.06	0.06	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.02	-0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.03	0.03	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.03	0.03	81.25	81.25	0.02	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.03	0.03	18.18	18.18	-0.02	-0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UC Davis	BW	26.58	26.58	41.79	41.79	-4.36	-4.36
UC Santa Barbara	BW	5.91	5.91	64.00	64.00	1.66	1.66
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	5.89	5.89	53.85	53.85	0.45	0.45
Cal St. Northridge	BW	4.44	4.44	33.33	33.33	-1.48	-1.48
Long Beach St.	BW	4.43	4.43	44.83	44.83	-0.46	-0.46
Cal Poly	BW	4.43	4.43	37.93	37.93	-1.07	-1.07
Pacific	BW	4.35	4.35	65.52	65.52	1.35	1.35
UC Irvine	BW	4.34	4.34	39.29	39.29	-0.93	-0.93
UC Riverside	BW	4.25	4.25	40.00	40.00	-0.85	-0.85
Seattle	ind	3.63	3.63	51.72	51.72	0.13	0.13
Fresno St.	WAC	1.98	1.98	41.94	41.94	-0.32	-0.32
Sacramento St.	BSky	1.89	1.89	22.22	22.22	-1.05	-1.05
Colorado St.	MWC	1.81	1.81	48.28	48.28	-0.06	-0.06
Oregon	P10	1.78	1.78	48.39	48.39	-0.06	-0.06
Stanford	P10	1.77	1.77	41.94	41.94	-0.29	-0.29
Air Force	MWC	1.72	1.72	25.00	25.00	-0.86	-0.86
Winston Salem St.	ind	1.72	1.72	33.33	33.33	-0.57	-0.57
Boise St.	WAC	1.72	1.72	46.67	46.67	-0.11	-0.11
North Dakota St.	Sum	1.69	1.69	30.77	30.77	-0.65	-0.65
Ball St.	MAC	1.67	1.67	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.72	0.72	24.14	24.14	-0.37	-0.37
San Diego St.	MWC	0.46	0.46	74.19	74.19	0.22	0.22
San Jose St.	WAC	0.39	0.39	43.33	43.33	-0.05	-0.05
Idaho	WAC	0.38	0.38	44.83	44.83	-0.04	-0.04
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.31	0.31	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.29	0.29	64.29	64.29	0.08	0.08
Portland St.	BSky	0.27	0.27	36.67	36.67	-0.07	-0.07
California	P10	0.27	0.27	69.70	69.70	0.11	0.11
Utah St.	WAC	0.27	0.27	78.79	78.79	0.16	0.16
UCLA	P10	0.27	0.27	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.26	0.26	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.25	0.25	65.62	65.62	0.08	0.08
Pepperdine	WCC	0.24	0.24	20.69	20.69	-0.14	-0.14
Washington	P10	0.24	0.24	72.73	72.73	0.11	0.11
Montana	BSky	0.23	0.23	68.97	68.97	0.09	0.09
Santa Clara	WCC	0.22	0.22	30.00	30.00	-0.09	-0.09
Arizona St.	P10	0.22	0.22	68.75	68.75	0.08	0.08
Hawaii	WAC	0.22	0.22	31.03	31.03	-0.08	-0.08
Oregon St.	P10	0.21	0.21	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.20	0.20	46.15	46.15	-0.02	-0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.20	0.20	87.88	87.88	0.15	0.15
Southern California	P10	0.20	0.20	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.19	0.19	32.26	32.26	-0.07	-0.07
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.19	0.19	25.00	25.00	-0.10	-0.10
San Francisco	WCC	0.17	0.17	35.71	35.71	-0.05	-0.05
Wyoming	MWC	0.17	0.17	27.59	27.59	-0.08	-0.08
Utah	MWC	0.17	0.17	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.17	0.17	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Nevada	WAC	0.16	0.16	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Washington St.	P10	0.16	0.16	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.14	0.14	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Brigham Young	MWC	0.14	0.14	84.85	84.85	0.10	0.10
Utah Valley	GWC	0.14	0.14	30.77	30.77	-0.05	-0.05
Denver	SB	0.13	0.13	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.13	0.13	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
St. Mary's	WCC	0.13	0.13	83.33	83.33	0.09	0.09
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.13	0.13	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Southern Utah	Sum	0.12	0.12	18.52	18.52	-0.08	-0.08
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.12	0.12	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.12	0.12	76.67	76.67	0.06	0.06
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.12	0.12	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.11	0.11	11.54	11.54	-0.09	-0.09
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Idaho St.	BSky	0.11	0.11	18.52	18.52	-0.07	-0.07
Texas	B12	0.11	0.11	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.10	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.09	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Furman	SC	0.09	0.09	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.09	0.09	23.08	23.08	-0.05	-0.05
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.09	0.09	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.08	0.08	84.38	84.38	0.06	0.06
Colorado	B12	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
Portland	WCC	0.08	0.08	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Central Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.06	12.00	12.00	-0.04	-0.04
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.06	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.06	9.68	9.68	-0.05	-0.05
Western Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.06	36.36	36.36	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.06	0.06	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.02	-0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.03	0.03	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.03	0.03	81.25	81.25	0.02	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.03	0.03	18.18	18.18	-0.02	-0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UC Santa Barbara	BW	5.91	5.91	64.00	64.00	1.66	1.66
Pacific	BW	4.35	4.35	65.52	65.52	1.35	1.35
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	5.89	5.89	53.85	53.85	0.45	0.45
San Diego St.	MWC	0.46	0.46	74.19	74.19	0.22	0.22
Utah St.	WAC	0.27	0.27	78.79	78.79	0.16	0.16
New Mexico	MWC	0.20	0.20	87.88	87.88	0.15	0.15
Seattle	ind	3.63	3.63	51.72	51.72	0.13	0.13
California	P10	0.27	0.27	69.70	69.70	0.11	0.11
Washington	P10	0.24	0.24	72.73	72.73	0.11	0.11
Brigham Young	MWC	0.14	0.14	84.85	84.85	0.10	0.10
St. Mary's	WCC	0.13	0.13	83.33	83.33	0.09	0.09
Montana	BSky	0.23	0.23	68.97	68.97	0.09	0.09
Weber St.	BSky	0.29	0.29	64.29	64.29	0.08	0.08
Arizona St.	P10	0.22	0.22	68.75	68.75	0.08	0.08
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.25	0.25	65.62	65.62	0.08	0.08
Oakland	Sum	0.14	0.14	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.12	0.12	76.67	76.67	0.06	0.06
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Purdue	B10	0.08	0.08	84.38	84.38	0.06	0.06
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.13	0.13	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.13	0.13	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Texas	B12	0.11	0.11	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Nevada	WAC	0.16	0.16	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.09	0.09	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Denver	SB	0.13	0.13	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Portland	WCC	0.08	0.08	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.12	0.12	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Temple	A10	0.03	0.03	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.31	0.31	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.03	0.03	81.25	81.25	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.20	0.20	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.06	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.10	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	1.67	1.67	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.16	0.16	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.26	0.26	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.06	36.36	36.36	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.20	0.20	46.15	46.15	-0.02	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.02	-0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Utah	MWC	0.17	0.17	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.12	0.12	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.03	0.03	18.18	18.18	-0.02	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Furman	SC	0.09	0.09	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.21	0.21	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
UCLA	P10	0.27	0.27	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Idaho	WAC	0.38	0.38	44.83	44.83	-0.04	-0.04
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.09	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04