The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated UC Davis page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

UC Davis

Conference:		BW
Expected RPI:		285.3
Current RPI:		280
Expected SOS:		277
Current SOS:		285
Current Record:		7-13
Expected Record:		9-19
Current Conf Record:		5-5
Expected Conf Record:		7-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-9
Current OOC Record:		2-8
Expected OOC Record:		2-10
Expected OOC RPI:		321
Expected OOC SOS:		320

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
15-13	201.0	0.01%
14-14	216.7	0.09%
13-15	232.5	0.56%
12-16	245.7	3.64%
11-17	259.5	12.25%
10-18	275.0	25.16%
9-19	290.8	31.03%
8-20	304.4	21.09%
7-21	314.6	6.16%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UC Davis.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Colorado St. (113.5)	MWC	N	73-91	L	0%	0.0
11-14	Oregon (152.1)	P10	A	64-95	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Winston Salem St. (314.2)	ind	N	99-79	W	100%	0.0
11-24	North Dakota St. (269.1)	Sum	H	62-63	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Ball St. (210.1)	MAC	A	60-58	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Sacramento St. (287.6)	BSky	H	57-59	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Seattle (222.4)	ind	H	78-88	L	0%	0.0
12-13	Stanford (173.0)	P10	A	69-85	L	0%	0.0
12-17	Fresno St. (160.9)	WAC	A	57-68	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Air Force (235.8)	MWC	A	57-69	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Cal St. Fullerton (212.6)	BW	H	67-63	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Cal St. Northridge (225.5)	BW	H	85-73	W	100%	0.0
1-8	UC Santa Barbara (144.6)	BW	A	47-68	L	0%	0.0
1-10	Cal Poly (272.8)	BW	A	69-72	L	0%	0.0
1-14	UC Irvine (277.0)	BW	H	79-77	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Pacific (115.6)	BW	A	61-77	L	0%	0.0
1-28	UC Riverside (264.2)	BW	A	60-50	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Long Beach St. (139.7)	BW	A	58-80	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Cal Poly (272.8)	BW	H	83-63	W	100%	0.0
2-6	UC Santa Barbara (144.6)	BW	H	77-81	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Pacific (115.6)	BW	H	0-0		27%	-6.7
2-13	UC Irvine (277.0)	BW	A	0-0		30%	-5.7
2-16	Seattle (222.4)	ind	A	0-0		23%	-8.0
2-20	Boise St. (214.0)	WAC	A	0-0		17%	-10.2
2-25	Long Beach St. (139.7)	BW	H	0-0		33%	-4.8
2-28	UC Riverside (264.2)	BW	H	0-0		55%	1.5
3-4	Cal St. Northridge (225.5)	BW	A	0-0		23%	-8.0
3-6	Cal St. Fullerton (212.6)	BW	A	0-0		21%	-8.8

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

UC Davis's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

UC Davis's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against UC Davis.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UC Davis	BW	26.41	26.44	35.23	34.26	-7.80	-8.32
Cal Poly	BW	5.64	4.55	35.00	35.02	-1.69	-1.36
UC Santa Barbara	BW	5.58	4.47	55.56	56.27	0.62	0.56
Pacific	BW	3.38	4.52	66.67	66.78	1.13	1.52
UC Riverside	BW	3.32	4.48	35.00	37.58	-1.00	-1.11
Cal St. Northridge	BW	3.26	4.58	40.91	43.63	-0.59	-0.58
UC Irvine	BW	3.20	4.52	38.10	40.46	-0.76	-0.86
Long Beach St.	BW	3.15	4.45	40.00	42.75	-0.63	-0.65
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	3.14	4.45	47.37	49.36	-0.17	-0.06
Seattle	ind	2.89	3.90	43.48	46.14	-0.38	-0.30
Colorado St.	MWC	2.75	1.94	57.14	51.16	0.39	0.05
Fresno St.	WAC	2.73	2.10	45.45	47.28	-0.25	-0.11
Oregon	P10	2.68	1.91	52.38	47.04	0.13	-0.11
Stanford	P10	2.67	1.91	40.91	41.13	-0.49	-0.34
Sacramento St.	BSky	2.67	2.03	27.27	26.38	-1.21	-0.96
Winston Salem St.	ind	2.61	1.85	31.25	30.82	-0.98	-0.71
Air Force	MWC	2.56	1.85	31.58	27.92	-0.94	-0.82
North Dakota St.	Sum	2.55	1.81	30.00	31.32	-1.02	-0.68
Ball St.	MAC	2.50	1.79	55.00	53.54	0.25	0.13
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.58	0.74	22.73	21.40	-0.32	-0.42
San Diego St.	MWC	0.48	0.42	66.67	67.74	0.16	0.15
Montana St.	BSky	0.35	0.25	47.62	48.65	-0.02	-0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.35	0.26	61.90	65.04	0.08	0.08
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.35	0.31	47.83	44.39	-0.02	-0.04
UCLA	P10	0.34	0.28	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.34	0.28	27.27	25.31	-0.16	-0.14
Oregon St.	P10	0.33	0.24	45.45	40.28	-0.03	-0.05
Portland St.	BSky	0.33	0.30	38.10	39.65	-0.08	-0.06
San Francisco	WCC	0.30	0.16	31.82	32.31	-0.11	-0.06
California	P10	0.29	0.25	65.22	68.42	0.09	0.09
Santa Clara	WCC	0.29	0.22	33.33	34.27	-0.10	-0.07
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.29	0.22	45.00	45.40	-0.03	-0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.28	0.42	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.02
Montana	BSky	0.28	0.25	68.18	70.35	0.10	0.10
Southern California	P10	0.28	0.22	60.87	59.61	0.06	0.04
Idaho	WAC	0.27	0.42	45.00	48.32	-0.03	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.24	0.19	66.67	67.74	0.08	0.07
Texas Christian	MWC	0.24	0.19	40.91	38.27	-0.04	-0.04
St. Mary's	WCC	0.23	0.15	86.96	84.62	0.17	0.10
San Diego	WCC	0.23	0.21	33.33	33.43	-0.08	-0.07
Washington	P10	0.22	0.23	69.57	68.86	0.09	0.09
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.21	0.21	18.18	19.18	-0.14	-0.13
New Mexico	MWC	0.18	0.19	87.50	83.52	0.13	0.13
Southern Utah	Sum	0.18	0.13	19.05	20.55	-0.11	-0.08
Utah St.	WAC	0.18	0.25	73.91	76.66	0.08	0.13
Wyoming	MWC	0.18	0.16	33.33	30.72	-0.06	-0.06
Brigham Young	MWC	0.17	0.16	87.50	87.42	0.13	0.12
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.17	0.13	79.17	78.03	0.10	0.07
Washington St.	P10	0.17	0.15	63.64	58.79	0.05	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.17	0.10	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.17	0.13	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Utah	MWC	0.17	0.19	45.45	44.32	-0.02	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.17	0.16	66.67	69.41	0.06	0.06
Hawaii	WAC	0.17	0.24	36.36	33.80	-0.05	-0.08
Idaho St.	BSky	0.17	0.12	19.05	24.00	-0.10	-0.06
Denver	SB	0.16	0.15	60.87	59.58	0.04	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.16	0.15	69.57	63.55	0.06	0.04
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.13	0.07	27.27	29.40	-0.06	-0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.13	0.10	19.05	22.94	-0.08	-0.05
Furman	SC	0.13	0.07	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.12	0.10	4.76	9.78	-0.11	-0.08
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.12	0.13	81.82	80.91	0.08	0.08
Centenary	Sum	0.12	0.07	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.12	0.07	38.10	38.08	-0.03	-0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.12	0.10	60.87	57.71	0.03	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.12	0.24	61.90	56.37	0.03	0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.12	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
Texas	B12	0.12	0.13	82.61	78.76	0.08	0.07
Kentucky	SEC	0.11	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.10	0.07
Purdue	B10	0.11	0.09	86.36	81.80	0.08	0.06
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.11	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.06	-0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.11	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.11	0.15	36.84	39.02	-0.03	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.11	0.12	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.11	0.09	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.11	0.18	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.04
Portland	WCC	0.11	0.09	61.90	65.68	0.03	0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	1.84	45.45	44.69	-0.01	-0.20
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.07	0.07	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.07	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.04	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	11.11	20.93	-0.06	-0.04
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.07	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.03	72.73	68.13	0.03	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.07	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.04	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.03	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	70.83	73.80	0.03	0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	23.81	27.28	-0.04	-0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.07	0.07	25.00	34.68	-0.04	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.07	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.04	0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.07	21.05	24.96	-0.04	-0.03
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.03	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.07	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.05	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.06	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.06	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.04	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.06	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.06	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.03	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.06	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.04	0.04
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.07	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.07	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.06	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.06	0.06	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.10	8.70	9.54	-0.05	-0.08
Temple	A10	0.06	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.06	8.70	10.09	-0.05	-0.05
Valparaiso	Horz	0.06	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.04
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.07	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.06	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.06	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.02	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.12	82.61	75.26	0.04	0.06
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.06	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.04
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.02
Drake	MVC	0.00	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.00	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.00	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.00	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.00	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.00	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.00	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.00	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.00	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.00	-0.06
North Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.03	15.79	27.84	-0.00	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.00	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.00	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.00	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.00	-0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.00	0.07	28.57	27.72	-0.00	-0.03

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UC Davis	BW	26.41	26.44	35.23	34.26	-7.80	-8.32
Cal St. Northridge	BW	3.26	4.58	40.91	43.63	-0.59	-0.58
Cal Poly	BW	5.64	4.55	35.00	35.02	-1.69	-1.36
Pacific	BW	3.38	4.52	66.67	66.78	1.13	1.52
UC Irvine	BW	3.20	4.52	38.10	40.46	-0.76	-0.86
UC Riverside	BW	3.32	4.48	35.00	37.58	-1.00	-1.11
UC Santa Barbara	BW	5.58	4.47	55.56	56.27	0.62	0.56
Long Beach St.	BW	3.15	4.45	40.00	42.75	-0.63	-0.65
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	3.14	4.45	47.37	49.36	-0.17	-0.06
Seattle	ind	2.89	3.90	43.48	46.14	-0.38	-0.30
Fresno St.	WAC	2.73	2.10	45.45	47.28	-0.25	-0.11
Sacramento St.	BSky	2.67	2.03	27.27	26.38	-1.21	-0.96
Colorado St.	MWC	2.75	1.94	57.14	51.16	0.39	0.05
Oregon	P10	2.68	1.91	52.38	47.04	0.13	-0.11
Stanford	P10	2.67	1.91	40.91	41.13	-0.49	-0.34
Air Force	MWC	2.56	1.85	31.58	27.92	-0.94	-0.82
Winston Salem St.	ind	2.61	1.85	31.25	30.82	-0.98	-0.71
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	1.84	45.45	44.69	-0.01	-0.20
North Dakota St.	Sum	2.55	1.81	30.00	31.32	-1.02	-0.68
Ball St.	MAC	2.50	1.79	55.00	53.54	0.25	0.13
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.58	0.74	22.73	21.40	-0.32	-0.42
San Jose St.	WAC	0.28	0.42	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.27	0.42	45.00	48.32	-0.03	-0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.48	0.42	66.67	67.74	0.16	0.15
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.35	0.31	47.83	44.39	-0.02	-0.04
Portland St.	BSky	0.33	0.30	38.10	39.65	-0.08	-0.06
UCLA	P10	0.34	0.28	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.34	0.28	27.27	25.31	-0.16	-0.14
Weber St.	BSky	0.35	0.26	61.90	65.04	0.08	0.08
Montana St.	BSky	0.35	0.25	47.62	48.65	-0.02	-0.01
Montana	BSky	0.28	0.25	68.18	70.35	0.10	0.10
California	P10	0.29	0.25	65.22	68.42	0.09	0.09
Utah St.	WAC	0.18	0.25	73.91	76.66	0.08	0.13
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.12	0.24	61.90	56.37	0.03	0.03
Hawaii	WAC	0.17	0.24	36.36	33.80	-0.05	-0.08
Oregon St.	P10	0.33	0.24	45.45	40.28	-0.03	-0.05
Washington	P10	0.22	0.23	69.57	68.86	0.09	0.09
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.29	0.22	45.00	45.40	-0.03	-0.02
Southern California	P10	0.28	0.22	60.87	59.61	0.06	0.04
Santa Clara	WCC	0.29	0.22	33.33	34.27	-0.10	-0.07
San Diego	WCC	0.23	0.21	33.33	33.43	-0.08	-0.07
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.21	0.21	18.18	19.18	-0.14	-0.13
New Mexico	MWC	0.18	0.19	87.50	83.52	0.13	0.13
Arizona St.	P10	0.24	0.19	66.67	67.74	0.08	0.07
Texas Christian	MWC	0.24	0.19	40.91	38.27	-0.04	-0.04
Utah	MWC	0.17	0.19	45.45	44.32	-0.02	-0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.11	0.18	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.04
San Francisco	WCC	0.30	0.16	31.82	32.31	-0.11	-0.06
Wyoming	MWC	0.18	0.16	33.33	30.72	-0.06	-0.06
Brigham Young	MWC	0.17	0.16	87.50	87.42	0.13	0.12
Oakland	Sum	0.17	0.16	66.67	69.41	0.06	0.06
Washington St.	P10	0.17	0.15	63.64	58.79	0.05	0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.23	0.15	86.96	84.62	0.17	0.10
Utah Valley	GWC	0.11	0.15	36.84	39.02	-0.03	-0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.16	0.15	69.57	63.55	0.06	0.04
Denver	SB	0.16	0.15	60.87	59.58	0.04	0.03
Southern Utah	Sum	0.18	0.13	19.05	20.55	-0.11	-0.08
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.17	0.13	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.12	0.13	81.82	80.91	0.08	0.08
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.17	0.13	79.17	78.03	0.10	0.07
Texas	B12	0.12	0.13	82.61	78.76	0.08	0.07
Idaho St.	BSky	0.17	0.12	19.05	24.00	-0.10	-0.06
Arizona	P10	0.11	0.12	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.12	82.61	75.26	0.04	0.06
North Carolina Central	ind	0.12	0.10	4.76	9.78	-0.11	-0.08
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.13	0.10	19.05	22.94	-0.08	-0.05
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.17	0.10	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.12	0.10	60.87	57.71	0.03	0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.10	8.70	9.54	-0.05	-0.08
Kentucky	SEC	0.11	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.10	0.07
Purdue	B10	0.11	0.09	86.36	81.80	0.08	0.06
Colorado	B12	0.11	0.09	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.02
Portland	WCC	0.11	0.09	61.90	65.68	0.03	0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.07	0.07	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.12	0.07	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	11.11	20.93	-0.06	-0.04
Furman	SC	0.13	0.07	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.07	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.07	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.12	0.07	38.10	38.08	-0.03	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	70.83	73.80	0.03	0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	23.81	27.28	-0.04	-0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.07	0.07	25.00	34.68	-0.04	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.07	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.03
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.13	0.07	27.27	29.40	-0.06	-0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.07	21.05	24.96	-0.04	-0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.07	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.00	0.07	28.57	27.72	-0.00	-0.03
Central Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.06	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.06	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.04	0.04
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.06	0.06	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.06	8.70	10.09	-0.05	-0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.04
Western Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.12	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.11	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.06	-0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.00	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.00	-0.06
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.11	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.04
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.04
Drake	MVC	0.00	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.00	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.06	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.04
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.07	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.04	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.07	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.03	72.73	68.13	0.03	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.00	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.00	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.07	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.04	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.03	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.07	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.04	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.06	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.03	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.05	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.06	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.06	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.04	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.06	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.03	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.00	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.00	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.06	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.06	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.00	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.00	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.06	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.06	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.00	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.00	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.03	15.79	27.84	-0.00	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.00	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.00	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Pacific	BW	3.38	4.52	66.67	66.78	1.13	1.52
UC Santa Barbara	BW	5.58	4.47	55.56	56.27	0.62	0.56
Colorado St.	MWC	2.75	1.94	57.14	51.16	0.39	0.05
Ball St.	MAC	2.50	1.79	55.00	53.54	0.25	0.13
St. Mary's	WCC	0.23	0.15	86.96	84.62	0.17	0.10
San Diego St.	MWC	0.48	0.42	66.67	67.74	0.16	0.15
New Mexico	MWC	0.18	0.19	87.50	83.52	0.13	0.13
Brigham Young	MWC	0.17	0.16	87.50	87.42	0.13	0.12
Oregon	P10	2.68	1.91	52.38	47.04	0.13	-0.11
Kentucky	SEC	0.11	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.10	0.07
Montana	BSky	0.28	0.25	68.18	70.35	0.10	0.10
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.17	0.13	79.17	78.03	0.10	0.07
California	P10	0.29	0.25	65.22	68.42	0.09	0.09
Washington	P10	0.22	0.23	69.57	68.86	0.09	0.09
Utah St.	WAC	0.18	0.25	73.91	76.66	0.08	0.13
Weber St.	BSky	0.35	0.26	61.90	65.04	0.08	0.08
Purdue	B10	0.11	0.09	86.36	81.80	0.08	0.06
Arizona St.	P10	0.24	0.19	66.67	67.74	0.08	0.07
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.12	0.13	81.82	80.91	0.08	0.08
Texas	B12	0.12	0.13	82.61	78.76	0.08	0.07
Wisconsin	B10	0.11	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.16	0.15	69.57	63.55	0.06	0.04
Southern California	P10	0.28	0.22	60.87	59.61	0.06	0.04
Oakland	Sum	0.17	0.16	66.67	69.41	0.06	0.06
Washington St.	P10	0.17	0.15	63.64	58.79	0.05	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.04
Charlotte	A10	0.07	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.04	0.01
Butler	Horz	0.06	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.04	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.06	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.04	0.04
Wake Forest	ACC	0.07	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.04	0.01
Denver	SB	0.16	0.15	60.87	59.58	0.04	0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.12	82.61	75.26	0.04	0.06
Temple	A10	0.06	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.03	72.73	68.13	0.03	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.03	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	70.83	73.80	0.03	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.12	0.24	61.90	56.37	0.03	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.06	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.03	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.11	0.09	61.90	65.68	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.12	0.10	60.87	57.71	0.03	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.06	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.07	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.07	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.11	0.18	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.04
Indiana St.	MVC	0.12	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.17	0.10	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.07	0.07	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.11	0.12	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.00	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.00	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.00	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.00	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.00	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.00	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.00	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.00	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.00	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.00	-0.06
North Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.03	15.79	27.84	-0.00	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.00	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.00	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
San Jose St.	WAC	0.28	0.42	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.17	0.13	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.00	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.00	-0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.06	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.00	0.07	28.57	27.72	-0.00	-0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.06	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.03	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.07	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.06	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.07	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	1.84	45.45	44.69	-0.01	-0.20
Valparaiso	Horz	0.06	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.02
UCLA	P10	0.34	0.28	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.03
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.35	0.31	47.83	44.39	-0.02	-0.04
Yale	Ivy	0.06	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.02	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.17	0.19	45.45	44.32	-0.02	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.11	0.09	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.06	0.06	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.02
Montana St.	BSky	0.35	0.25	47.62	48.65	-0.02	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.13	0.07	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.07	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.03
Idaho	WAC	0.27	0.42	45.00	48.32	-0.03	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.12	0.07	38.10	38.08	-0.03	-0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.29	0.22	45.00	45.40	-0.03	-0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.11	0.15	36.84	39.02	-0.03	-0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.03
Oregon St.	P10	0.33	0.24	45.45	40.28	-0.03	-0.05
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01