The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Texas Arlington page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Texas Arlington

Conference:		Slnd
Expected RPI:		264.4
Current RPI:		265
Expected SOS:		294
Current SOS:		304
Current Record:		8-9
Expected Record:		11-14
Current Conf Record:		4-4
Expected Conf Record:		7-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-6
Current OOC Record:		4-5
Expected OOC Record:		4-5
Expected OOC RPI:		289
Expected OOC SOS:		341

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
15-10	195.8	0.10%
14-11	212.4	1.49%
13-12	230.4	7.10%
12-13	246.5	20.77%
11-14	261.8	31.83%
10-15	278.8	26.50%
9-16	295.1	10.23%
8-17	308.1	1.97%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Texas Arlington.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-18	North Texas (158.4)	SB	H	99-101	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Eastern Washington (293.2)	BSky	H	68-72	L	0%	0.0
11-30	Houston Baptist (342.5)	GWC	A	80-75	W	100%	0.0
12-4	North Dakota (331.1)	GWC	N	75-65	W	100%	0.0
12-5	SIU Edwardsville (329.0)	OVC	N	67-71	L	0%	0.0
12-20	Baylor (23.2)	B12	A	63-94	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Michigan St. (23.6)	B10	A	68-87	L	0%	0.0
1-5	Utah Valley (329.2)	GWC	H	90-85	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Texas St. (256.5)	Slnd	H	60-64	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Lamar (239.8)	Slnd	A	68-71	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Texas San Antonio (183.0)	Slnd	H	72-66	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Stephen F. Austin (170.0)	Slnd	A	65-72	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Sam Houston St. (79.9)	Slnd	H	64-67	L	0%	0.0
1-25	Houston Baptist (342.5)	GWC	H	84-73	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Texas St. (256.5)	Slnd	A	82-78	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Texas A&M Corpus Chris (145.1)	Slnd	H	71-66	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Northwestern St. (316.9)	Slnd	H	81-80	W	100%	0.0
2-10	McNeese St. (285.0)	Slnd	A	0-0		36%	-3.9
2-13	Texas San Antonio (183.0)	Slnd	A	0-0		14%	-11.7
2-17	Southeastern Louisiana (204.5)	Slnd	H	0-0		40%	-2.8
2-20	Central Arkansas (318.5)	Slnd	A	0-0		44%	-1.7
2-24	Lamar (239.8)	Slnd	H	0-0		64%	3.9
2-27	Sam Houston St. (79.9)	Slnd	A	0-0		7%	-15.8
3-3	Nicholls St. (292.0)	Slnd	H	0-0		71%	6.1
3-6	Texas A&M Corpus Chris (145.1)	Slnd	A	0-0		12%	-12.8

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Texas Arlington's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Texas Arlington's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Texas Arlington.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Texas Arlington	Slnd	26.54	26.38	43.04	41.93	-3.70	-4.26
Texas St.	Slnd	6.20	4.84	35.29	35.72	-1.82	-1.38
Houston Baptist	GWC	6.12	4.23	25.00	25.77	-3.06	-2.05
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	3.42	4.84	50.00	53.23	0.00	0.31
Lamar	Slnd	3.42	4.85	45.00	42.93	-0.34	-0.69
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	3.40	4.83	68.75	70.95	1.28	2.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	3.33	4.84	58.82	59.60	0.59	0.93
Northwestern St.	Slnd	3.23	2.83	25.00	27.19	-1.61	-1.29
North Dakota	GWC	3.22	2.29	16.67	28.91	-2.14	-0.97
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	3.18	2.77	66.67	65.72	1.06	0.87
Utah Valley	GWC	3.15	2.21	38.89	40.65	-0.70	-0.41
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	3.02	2.07	4.55	5.93	-2.74	-1.83
Baylor	B12	2.94	2.00	75.00	71.76	1.47	0.87
Eastern Washington	BSky	2.94	2.00	14.29	16.18	-2.10	-1.35
Michigan St.	B10	2.94	2.00	78.26	75.83	1.66	1.03
North Texas	SB	2.94	2.11	60.00	62.29	0.59	0.52
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.70	0.74	12.00	18.82	-0.53	-0.46
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.63	2.80	50.00	55.16	0.00	0.29
South Dakota	GWC	0.57	0.44	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.09
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.55	2.77	21.05	23.72	-0.32	-1.46
Chicago St.	GWC	0.49	0.32	20.00	20.57	-0.29	-0.19
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.49	2.77	22.22	26.42	-0.27	-1.30
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.47	2.77	26.32	30.26	-0.22	-1.09
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.44	0.22	45.00	43.95	-0.04	-0.03
Texas	B12	0.36	0.25	82.61	78.76	0.24	0.15
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.36	0.22	47.62	49.36	-0.02	-0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.36	0.22	22.73	22.86	-0.20	-0.12
Boise St.	WAC	0.35	0.18	45.45	45.95	-0.03	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.31	0.33	68.18	59.30	0.11	0.06
Texas A&M	B12	0.30	0.18	72.73	66.85	0.14	0.06
Minnesota	B10	0.28	0.14	63.64	64.66	0.08	0.04
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.28	0.18	38.10	38.08	-0.07	-0.04
Rice	CUSA	0.27	0.21	31.82	30.34	-0.10	-0.08
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.27	0.14	30.43	29.01	-0.10	-0.06
Florida International	SB	0.23	0.15	24.00	23.74	-0.12	-0.08
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.23	0.26	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.22	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.07	0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.22	0.18	69.57	63.55	0.09	0.05
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.22	0.12	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.22	0.14	33.33	33.00	-0.07	-0.05
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.21	0.29	22.22	27.56	-0.12	-0.13
Seattle	ind	0.21	0.15	45.83	48.87	-0.02	-0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.21	0.10	60.87	57.71	0.05	0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.21	0.15	57.14	57.10	0.03	0.02
Iowa	B10	0.20	0.14	33.33	30.82	-0.07	-0.05
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.20	0.21	52.17	54.94	0.01	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.20	0.10	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.20	0.15	42.86	45.31	-0.03	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.19	0.13	45.45	44.00	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.19	0.10	66.67	59.01	0.06	0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.16	0.19	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.16	0.15	36.36	33.80	-0.04	-0.05
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.15	0.08	22.73	21.40	-0.08	-0.05
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.15	0.08	39.13	43.30	-0.03	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.15	0.08	34.78	33.89	-0.05	-0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.15	0.08	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.15	0.15	45.00	54.19	-0.02	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.15	0.07	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.15	0.07	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.15	0.15	19.05	20.58	-0.09	-0.09
Montana	BSky	0.14	0.11	68.18	70.35	0.05	0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.14	0.15	79.17	78.03	0.08	0.08
Drake	MVC	0.14	0.08	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.13	0.07	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.13	0.11	69.57	69.99	0.05	0.04
Portland St.	BSky	0.13	0.07	38.10	39.65	-0.03	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.13	0.07	33.33	34.27	-0.04	-0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.13	0.07	31.82	31.64	-0.05	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.13	0.07	81.82	83.61	0.08	0.05
Lipscomb	ASun	0.13	0.08	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.13	0.08	86.96	85.47	0.09	0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.12	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.05	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.12	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.07	0.04
Auburn	SEC	0.09	0.08	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.09	0.04	27.27	27.20	-0.04	-0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.09	0.08	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.09	0.04	23.53	25.88	-0.05	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.07	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.08	95.65	88.67	0.08	0.06
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.09	0.16	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.09	0.12	82.61	75.26	0.06	0.06
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.09	0.08	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.09	0.08	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.08	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.08	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.08	0.08	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.08	0.08	36.36	40.08	-0.02	-0.02
Utah	MWC	0.08	0.08	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.08	0.04	0.00	5.15	-0.08	-0.04
Binghamton	AE	0.08	0.04	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.08	0.12	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
California	P10	0.08	0.04	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.08	0.07	73.91	69.49	0.04	0.03
Furman	SC	0.08	0.04	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.04	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.08	0.04	25.00	26.64	-0.04	-0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.08	0.07	69.57	70.29	0.03	0.03
Longwood	ind	0.08	0.04	23.81	29.40	-0.04	-0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.08	0.04	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.08	0.11	73.91	72.52	0.04	0.05
Monmouth	NEC	0.08	0.07	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.08	0.04	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.08	0.04	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.08	0.04	91.30	88.21	0.06	0.03
Oregon St.	P10	0.08	0.07	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.08	0.04	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.08	0.04	73.91	76.66	0.04	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.07	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.07	0.07	23.81	28.38	-0.04	-0.03
Colorado	B12	0.07	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Denver	SB	0.07	0.11	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.07	0.08	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Hartford	AE	0.07	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.03	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.07	0.03	72.00	70.73	0.03	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.07	0.07	95.65	91.32	0.06	0.06
Kansas St.	B12	0.07	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.04	0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.07	0.07	36.36	36.18	-0.02	-0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.07	0.07	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.03	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.07	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.04	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.07	0.07	25.00	34.68	-0.04	-0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.07	0.11	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.07	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Troy	SB	0.07	0.04	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.07	0.11	31.82	29.58	-0.03	-0.04
Western Kentucky	SB	0.07	0.04	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.07	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.03	0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.07	0.04	87.50	87.42	0.05	0.03
Idaho	WAC	0.07	0.04	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	19.05	24.00	-0.04	-0.04
Montana St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.07	0.04	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.07	0.07	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.07	0.04	61.90	65.68	0.02	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.07	0.08	63.64	58.79	0.02	0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	61.90	65.04	0.02	0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.04	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.06	0.04	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.06	0.04	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.04	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.04	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.04	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.10	86.36	81.80	0.05	0.07
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.04	27.27	25.82	-0.03	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.06	0.08	5.00	8.59	-0.06	-0.06
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.03	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.03	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.06	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.07	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.06	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.05	-0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.06	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.00	0.04	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.00	0.08	38.10	41.29	-0.00	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.00	0.04	43.48	47.68	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.00	0.04	69.57	68.48	0.00	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.00	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.00	0.07	56.52	50.42	0.00	0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.00	0.04	87.50	83.52	0.00	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.00	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.00	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.00	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.00	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.00	0.04	28.57	31.03	-0.00	-0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.00	0.04	19.05	20.55	-0.00	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.00	0.04	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.00	0.08	30.00	31.79	-0.00	-0.03

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Texas Arlington	Slnd	26.54	26.38	43.04	41.93	-3.70	-4.26
Lamar	Slnd	3.42	4.85	45.00	42.93	-0.34	-0.69
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	3.42	4.84	50.00	53.23	0.00	0.31
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	3.33	4.84	58.82	59.60	0.59	0.93
Texas St.	Slnd	6.20	4.84	35.29	35.72	-1.82	-1.38
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	3.40	4.83	68.75	70.95	1.28	2.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	6.12	4.23	25.00	25.77	-3.06	-2.05
Northwestern St.	Slnd	3.23	2.83	25.00	27.19	-1.61	-1.29
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.63	2.80	50.00	55.16	0.00	0.29
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.47	2.77	26.32	30.26	-0.22	-1.09
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.55	2.77	21.05	23.72	-0.32	-1.46
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	3.18	2.77	66.67	65.72	1.06	0.87
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.49	2.77	22.22	26.42	-0.27	-1.30
North Dakota	GWC	3.22	2.29	16.67	28.91	-2.14	-0.97
Utah Valley	GWC	3.15	2.21	38.89	40.65	-0.70	-0.41
North Texas	SB	2.94	2.11	60.00	62.29	0.59	0.52
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	3.02	2.07	4.55	5.93	-2.74	-1.83
Baylor	B12	2.94	2.00	75.00	71.76	1.47	0.87
Eastern Washington	BSky	2.94	2.00	14.29	16.18	-2.10	-1.35
Michigan St.	B10	2.94	2.00	78.26	75.83	1.66	1.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.70	0.74	12.00	18.82	-0.53	-0.46
South Dakota	GWC	0.57	0.44	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.09
Texas Tech	B12	0.31	0.33	68.18	59.30	0.11	0.06
Chicago St.	GWC	0.49	0.32	20.00	20.57	-0.29	-0.19
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.21	0.29	22.22	27.56	-0.12	-0.13
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.23	0.26	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.36	0.25	82.61	78.76	0.24	0.15
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.36	0.22	47.62	49.36	-0.02	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.44	0.22	45.00	43.95	-0.04	-0.03
New Orleans	SB	0.36	0.22	22.73	22.86	-0.20	-0.12
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.20	0.21	52.17	54.94	0.01	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.27	0.21	31.82	30.34	-0.10	-0.08
Houston	CUSA	0.16	0.19	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.30	0.18	72.73	66.85	0.14	0.06
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.22	0.18	69.57	63.55	0.09	0.05
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.28	0.18	38.10	38.08	-0.07	-0.04
Boise St.	WAC	0.35	0.18	45.45	45.95	-0.03	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.09	0.16	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.05
Florida International	SB	0.23	0.15	24.00	23.74	-0.12	-0.08
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.15	0.15	45.00	54.19	-0.02	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.21	0.15	45.83	48.87	-0.02	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.15	0.15	19.05	20.58	-0.09	-0.09
Hawaii	WAC	0.16	0.15	36.36	33.80	-0.04	-0.05
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.20	0.15	42.86	45.31	-0.03	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.21	0.15	57.14	57.10	0.03	0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.14	0.15	79.17	78.03	0.08	0.08
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.22	0.14	33.33	33.00	-0.07	-0.05
Minnesota	B10	0.28	0.14	63.64	64.66	0.08	0.04
Iowa	B10	0.20	0.14	33.33	30.82	-0.07	-0.05
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.27	0.14	30.43	29.01	-0.10	-0.06
Michigan	B10	0.19	0.13	45.45	44.00	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.09	0.12	82.61	75.26	0.06	0.06
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.08	0.12	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.22	0.12	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.22	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.07	0.04
Mississippi	SEC	0.08	0.11	73.91	72.52	0.04	0.05
Oklahoma	B12	0.07	0.11	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Denver	SB	0.07	0.11	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.02
Montana	BSky	0.14	0.11	68.18	70.35	0.05	0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.07	0.11	31.82	29.58	-0.03	-0.04
Memphis	CUSA	0.13	0.11	69.57	69.99	0.05	0.04
South Alabama	SB	0.20	0.10	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.21	0.10	60.87	57.71	0.05	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.19	0.10	66.67	59.01	0.06	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.10	86.36	81.80	0.05	0.07
Auburn	SEC	0.09	0.08	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.15	0.08	22.73	21.40	-0.08	-0.05
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.09	0.08	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.00	0.08	38.10	41.29	-0.00	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.08	95.65	88.67	0.08	0.06
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.09	0.08	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.09	0.08	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.08	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.08	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.07	0.08	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.15	0.08	39.13	43.30	-0.03	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.15	0.08	34.78	33.89	-0.05	-0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.08	0.08	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.13	0.08	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.13	0.08	86.96	85.47	0.09	0.05
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.06	0.08	5.00	8.59	-0.06	-0.06
Texas Christian	MWC	0.15	0.08	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.08	0.08	36.36	40.08	-0.02	-0.02
Utah	MWC	0.08	0.08	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.00	0.08	30.00	31.79	-0.00	-0.03
Washington St.	P10	0.07	0.08	63.64	58.79	0.02	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.14	0.08	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.00	0.07	56.52	50.42	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.07	0.07	23.81	28.38	-0.04	-0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.08	0.07	73.91	69.49	0.04	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.08	0.07	69.57	70.29	0.03	0.03
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.07	0.07	36.36	36.18	-0.02	-0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.08	0.07	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.08	0.07	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.15	0.07	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.07	0.07	95.65	91.32	0.06	0.06
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.07	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.15	0.07	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	19.05	24.00	-0.04	-0.04
Marshall	CUSA	0.07	0.07	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Montana St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.07	0.07	25.00	34.68	-0.04	-0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.07	0.07	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.13	0.07	38.10	39.65	-0.03	-0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	61.90	65.04	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.07	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.13	0.07	81.82	83.61	0.08	0.05
Massachusetts	A10	0.13	0.07	31.82	31.64	-0.05	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.13	0.07	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.13	0.07	33.33	34.27	-0.04	-0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.12	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.05	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.12	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.07	0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.00	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.00	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.08	0.04	0.00	5.15	-0.08	-0.04
California	P10	0.08	0.04	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.09	0.04	27.27	27.20	-0.04	-0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.00	0.04	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.08	0.04	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.04	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.09	0.04	23.53	25.88	-0.05	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.00	0.04	43.48	47.68	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.00	0.04	69.57	68.48	0.00	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.00	0.04	87.50	83.52	0.00	0.03
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.08	0.04	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.08	0.04	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.08	0.04	73.91	76.66	0.04	0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.04	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.08	0.04	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.06	0.04	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.08	0.04	25.00	26.64	-0.04	-0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.06	0.04	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.04	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.08	0.04	23.81	29.40	-0.04	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.04	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.04	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.04	27.27	25.82	-0.03	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.00	0.04	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.08	0.04	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.08	0.04	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.08	0.04	91.30	88.21	0.06	0.03
Samford	SC	0.00	0.04	28.57	31.03	-0.00	-0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.00	0.04	19.05	20.55	-0.00	-0.02
Troy	SB	0.07	0.04	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.07	0.04	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.07	0.04	87.50	87.42	0.05	0.03
Idaho	WAC	0.07	0.04	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.07	0.04	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.07	0.04	61.90	65.68	0.02	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.07	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Colorado	B12	0.07	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.07	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.03	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.07	0.03	72.00	70.73	0.03	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.07	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.04	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.00	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.03	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.07	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.04	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.07	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.07	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.03	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.03	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.03	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.06	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.00	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.00	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.06	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.05	-0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.06	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Michigan St.	B10	2.94	2.00	78.26	75.83	1.66	1.03
Baylor	B12	2.94	2.00	75.00	71.76	1.47	0.87
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	3.40	4.83	68.75	70.95	1.28	2.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	3.18	2.77	66.67	65.72	1.06	0.87
North Texas	SB	2.94	2.11	60.00	62.29	0.59	0.52
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	3.33	4.84	58.82	59.60	0.59	0.93
Texas	B12	0.36	0.25	82.61	78.76	0.24	0.15
Texas A&M	B12	0.30	0.18	72.73	66.85	0.14	0.06
Texas Tech	B12	0.31	0.33	68.18	59.30	0.11	0.06
Murray St.	OVC	0.13	0.08	86.96	85.47	0.09	0.05
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.22	0.18	69.57	63.55	0.09	0.05
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.14	0.15	79.17	78.03	0.08	0.08
Gonzaga	WCC	0.13	0.07	81.82	83.61	0.08	0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.08	95.65	88.67	0.08	0.06
Minnesota	B10	0.28	0.14	63.64	64.66	0.08	0.04
Arizona St.	P10	0.22	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.07	0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.12	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.07	0.04
Kansas	B12	0.07	0.07	95.65	91.32	0.06	0.06
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.08	0.04	91.30	88.21	0.06	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.19	0.10	66.67	59.01	0.06	0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.09	0.12	82.61	75.26	0.06	0.06
Montana	BSky	0.14	0.11	68.18	70.35	0.05	0.04
Memphis	CUSA	0.13	0.11	69.57	69.99	0.05	0.04
Brigham Young	MWC	0.07	0.04	87.50	87.42	0.05	0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.12	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.05	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.10	86.36	81.80	0.05	0.07
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.21	0.10	60.87	57.71	0.05	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.07	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.04	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.08	0.07	73.91	69.49	0.04	0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.08	0.11	73.91	72.52	0.04	0.05
Utah St.	WAC	0.08	0.04	73.91	76.66	0.04	0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.07	0.03	72.00	70.73	0.03	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.08	0.07	69.57	70.29	0.03	0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.21	0.15	57.14	57.10	0.03	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.03	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.03	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.07	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.03	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.08	0.08	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.02
California	P10	0.08	0.04	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.07	0.07	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.04	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.08	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.06	0.04	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.07	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.15	0.07	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.07	0.08	63.64	58.79	0.02	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.07	0.04	61.90	65.68	0.02	0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	61.90	65.04	0.02	0.02
Denver	SB	0.07	0.11	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.07	0.11	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.07	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.07	0.04	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.07	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.20	0.21	52.17	54.94	0.01	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.06	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.08	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.09	0.08	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.15	0.07	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.07	0.04	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.13	0.08	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.09	0.08	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.04	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.04	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.13	0.07	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.00	0.04	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.00	0.08	38.10	41.29	-0.00	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.00	0.04	43.48	47.68	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.00	0.04	69.57	68.48	0.00	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.00	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.00	0.07	56.52	50.42	0.00	0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.00	0.04	87.50	83.52	0.00	0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.00	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.00	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.00	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.00	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.00	0.04	28.57	31.03	-0.00	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.08	0.04	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.57	0.44	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.09
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.63	2.80	50.00	55.16	0.00	0.29
Southern Utah	Sum	0.00	0.04	19.05	20.55	-0.00	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.00	0.04	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	3.42	4.84	50.00	53.23	0.00	0.31
Western Illinois	Sum	0.00	0.08	30.00	31.79	-0.00	-0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.22	0.12	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Troy	SB	0.07	0.04	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.08	0.04	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.06	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.07	0.08	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00