The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Texas Arlington page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 9, 2010.

Texas Arlington

Conference:		Slnd
Expected RPI:		230.4
Current RPI:		233
Expected SOS:		267
Current SOS:		279
Current Record:		12-13
Expected Record:		12-14
Current Conf Record:		8-8
Expected Conf Record:		8-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		3-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-5
Current OOC Record:		4-5
Expected OOC Record:		4-5
Expected OOC RPI:		268
Expected OOC SOS:		318

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
13-13	223.2	31.32%
12-14	233.7	68.68%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Texas Arlington.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-18	North Texas (100.2)	SB	H	99-101	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Eastern Washington (275.2)	BSky	H	68-72	L	0%	0.0
11-30	Houston Baptist (332.6)	GWC	A	80-75	W	100%	0.0
12-4	North Dakota (337.6)	GWC	N	75-65	W	100%	0.0
12-5	SIU Edwardsville (322.2)	OVC	N	67-71	L	0%	0.0
12-20	Baylor (7.7)	B12	A	63-94	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Michigan St. (24.0)	B10	A	68-87	L	0%	0.0
1-5	Utah Valley (340.2)	GWC	H	90-85	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Texas St. (234.3)	Slnd	H	60-64	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Lamar (291.9)	Slnd	A	68-71	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Texas San Antonio (180.1)	Slnd	H	72-66	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Stephen F. Austin (159.4)	Slnd	A	65-72	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Sam Houston St. (82.7)	Slnd	H	64-67	L	0%	0.0
1-25	Houston Baptist (332.6)	GWC	H	84-73	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Texas St. (234.3)	Slnd	A	82-78	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Texas A&M Corpus Chris (173.3)	Slnd	H	71-66	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Northwestern St. (314.3)	Slnd	H	81-80	W	100%	0.0
2-10	McNeese St. (313.6)	Slnd	A	70-58	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Texas San Antonio (180.1)	Slnd	A	61-63	L	0%	0.0
2-17	Southeastern Louisiana (200.3)	Slnd	H	85-73	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Central Arkansas (320.1)	Slnd	A	71-47	W	100%	0.0
2-24	Lamar (291.9)	Slnd	H	75-71	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Sam Houston St. (82.7)	Slnd	A	69-94	L	0%	0.0
3-3	Nicholls St. (276.8)	Slnd	H	64-73	L	0%	0.0
3-6	Texas A&M Corpus Chris (173.3)	Slnd	A	79-82	L	0%	0.0
3-10	Stephen F. Austin (159.4)	Slnd	N	0-0		31%	-4.8

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Texas Arlington's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Texas Arlington's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Texas Arlington.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Texas Arlington	Slnd	26.38	26.40	46.96	46.29	-1.61	-1.96
Lamar	Slnd	4.85	4.67	34.62	34.62	-1.49	-1.44
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	4.84	4.74	48.00	48.22	-0.19	-0.17
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	4.84	4.74	62.50	61.85	1.21	1.12
Texas St.	Slnd	4.84	4.70	41.67	41.48	-0.81	-0.80
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	4.83	4.70	69.57	70.52	1.89	1.93
Houston Baptist	GWC	4.23	4.06	35.71	35.71	-1.21	-1.16
Northwestern St.	Slnd	2.83	2.78	29.17	29.17	-1.18	-1.16
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	2.80	2.82	58.33	58.52	0.47	0.48
McNeese St.	Slnd	2.77	2.72	26.92	26.92	-1.28	-1.25
Central Arkansas	Slnd	2.77	2.72	24.00	24.00	-1.44	-1.41
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	2.77	4.57	68.00	68.00	1.00	1.65
Nicholls St.	Slnd	2.77	2.79	29.17	28.30	-1.15	-1.21
North Dakota	GWC	2.29	2.20	23.08	23.08	-1.23	-1.19
Utah Valley	GWC	2.21	2.12	33.33	33.33	-0.74	-0.71
North Texas	SB	2.11	2.02	72.41	72.41	0.94	0.91
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	2.07	1.99	8.00	8.00	-1.74	-1.68
Baylor	B12	2.00	1.92	78.57	78.57	1.14	1.10
Eastern Washington	BSky	2.00	1.92	22.22	22.22	-1.11	-1.07
Michigan St.	B10	2.00	1.92	76.67	76.67	1.07	1.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.74	0.70	16.13	16.13	-0.50	-0.47
South Dakota	GWC	0.44	0.42	64.00	64.00	0.12	0.12
Texas Tech	B12	0.33	0.35	53.33	53.23	0.02	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.32	0.31	22.22	22.22	-0.18	-0.17
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.29	0.28	23.08	23.08	-0.15	-0.15
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.26	0.24	42.86	42.86	-0.04	-0.03
Texas	B12	0.25	0.24	74.19	74.50	0.12	0.12
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.22	0.21	42.86	43.52	-0.03	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.22	0.28	62.07	62.85	0.05	0.07
New Orleans	SB	0.21	0.20	21.43	21.43	-0.12	-0.11
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.21	0.20	56.67	56.67	0.03	0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.21	0.20	24.14	23.58	-0.11	-0.11
Houston	CUSA	0.19	0.18	48.28	49.55	-0.01	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.18	0.17	35.71	35.71	-0.05	-0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.18	0.17	72.41	72.41	0.08	0.08
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.18	0.17	70.00	70.12	0.07	0.07
Boise St.	WAC	0.17	0.17	46.67	45.45	-0.01	-0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.16	0.15	36.67	35.65	-0.04	-0.04
Seattle	ind	0.15	0.15	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.15	0.18	17.24	17.24	-0.10	-0.12
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.15	0.14	46.43	47.08	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.15	0.14	31.03	31.03	-0.06	-0.05
Florida International	SB	0.15	0.14	19.35	19.35	-0.09	-0.08
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.15	0.14	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.15	0.14	76.67	76.67	0.08	0.07
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.14	0.14	34.38	34.38	-0.04	-0.04
Minnesota	B10	0.14	0.17	60.00	60.63	0.03	0.04
Iowa	B10	0.14	0.13	32.26	31.88	-0.05	-0.05
Arkansas St.	SB	0.14	0.13	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.14	0.13	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.02
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.14	0.13	25.00	25.00	-0.07	-0.07
Michigan	B10	0.13	0.13	44.83	46.00	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.12	0.11	70.97	70.87	0.05	0.05
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.12	0.15	48.15	48.41	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.12	0.11	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.11	0.10	70.97	71.29	0.05	0.04
Mississippi	SEC	0.11	0.10	70.00	70.00	0.04	0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.11	0.10	43.33	42.79	-0.01	-0.01
Montana	BSky	0.11	0.10	67.86	66.70	0.04	0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.11	0.10	27.59	27.32	-0.05	-0.05
Memphis	CUSA	0.11	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.10	58.06	56.87	0.02	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.10	86.67	86.67	0.08	0.07
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.10	0.10	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.08	0.07	46.67	45.97	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.08	0.08	24.14	24.14	-0.04	-0.04
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.08	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.08	0.07	32.14	32.14	-0.03	-0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.07	93.55	93.55	0.07	0.06
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.08	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.08	0.07	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.07	53.33	53.61	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.08	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.08	0.07	35.48	35.77	-0.02	-0.02
DePaul	BE	0.08	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.08	0.07	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.08	0.07	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.08	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.08	0.07	7.41	7.41	-0.07	-0.06
Texas Christian	MWC	0.08	0.07	37.93	36.75	-0.02	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.08	0.07	41.38	41.71	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.08	0.07	46.67	45.47	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.08	0.07	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.08	0.07	51.72	51.76	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.08	0.07	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.07	0.07	45.16	44.13	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.07	0.07	73.33	73.04	0.03	0.03
Monmouth	NEC	0.07	0.07	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.07	0.07	46.67	45.56	-0.00	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.07	0.10	45.16	45.10	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.07	0.07	93.55	93.55	0.06	0.06
Indiana	B10	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.01	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.07	48.39	47.38	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Marshall	CUSA	0.07	0.07	71.43	71.43	0.03	0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.15	-0.03	-0.03
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.07	0.07	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.07	0.07	54.84	54.24	0.01	0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.63	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.07	0.07	80.65	80.65	0.04	0.04
Massachusetts	A10	0.07	0.06	36.67	35.84	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.07	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Creighton	MVC	0.07	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.07	0.06	30.00	30.00	-0.03	-0.03
Troy	SB	0.07	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.78	0.01	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.14	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.78	0.03	0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.04	0.04	6.45	6.45	-0.03	-0.03
California	P10	0.04	0.04	70.00	70.00	0.02	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.04	0.04	22.22	22.22	-0.02	-0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.04	0.04	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Furman	SC	0.04	0.04	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.04	0.04	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.04	0.04	20.00	19.78	-0.02	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.04	0.04	43.33	43.70	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.04	0.04	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.04	0.04	90.32	90.32	0.03	0.03
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.04	0.04	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.04	0.04	44.83	44.75	-0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.04	0.04	80.00	80.35	0.02	0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.04	0.04	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.04	0.07	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.04	0.04	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.04	0.07	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.04
Illinois St.	MVC	0.04	0.04	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.04	0.04	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.04	0.07	29.63	29.63	-0.02	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.04	0.04	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.04	0.04	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.04	0.04	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.04	0.04	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.04	0.04	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.04	0.04	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.04	0.04	87.50	87.50	0.03	0.03
Samford	SC	0.04	0.04	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.04	0.04	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Brigham Young	MWC	0.04	0.03	87.10	87.42	0.03	0.03
Idaho	WAC	0.04	0.03	46.43	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.04	0.03	62.07	62.73	0.01	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.04	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.43	0.00	0.00
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.54	-0.00	-0.00
Hartford	AE	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	79.31	79.31	0.02	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.49	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	72.73	73.10	0.02	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.77	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.80	0.00	-0.00
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.30	0.02	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.84	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.11	0.00	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.03	-0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.02	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Texas Arlington	Slnd	26.38	26.40	46.96	46.29	-1.61	-1.96
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	4.84	4.74	48.00	48.22	-0.19	-0.17
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	4.84	4.74	62.50	61.85	1.21	1.12
Texas St.	Slnd	4.84	4.70	41.67	41.48	-0.81	-0.80
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	4.83	4.70	69.57	70.52	1.89	1.93
Lamar	Slnd	4.85	4.67	34.62	34.62	-1.49	-1.44
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	2.77	4.57	68.00	68.00	1.00	1.65
Houston Baptist	GWC	4.23	4.06	35.71	35.71	-1.21	-1.16
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	2.80	2.82	58.33	58.52	0.47	0.48
Nicholls St.	Slnd	2.77	2.79	29.17	28.30	-1.15	-1.21
Northwestern St.	Slnd	2.83	2.78	29.17	29.17	-1.18	-1.16
McNeese St.	Slnd	2.77	2.72	26.92	26.92	-1.28	-1.25
Central Arkansas	Slnd	2.77	2.72	24.00	24.00	-1.44	-1.41
North Dakota	GWC	2.29	2.20	23.08	23.08	-1.23	-1.19
Utah Valley	GWC	2.21	2.12	33.33	33.33	-0.74	-0.71
North Texas	SB	2.11	2.02	72.41	72.41	0.94	0.91
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	2.07	1.99	8.00	8.00	-1.74	-1.68
Baylor	B12	2.00	1.92	78.57	78.57	1.14	1.10
Eastern Washington	BSky	2.00	1.92	22.22	22.22	-1.11	-1.07
Michigan St.	B10	2.00	1.92	76.67	76.67	1.07	1.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.74	0.70	16.13	16.13	-0.50	-0.47
South Dakota	GWC	0.44	0.42	64.00	64.00	0.12	0.12
Texas Tech	B12	0.33	0.35	53.33	53.23	0.02	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.32	0.31	22.22	22.22	-0.18	-0.17
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.22	0.28	62.07	62.85	0.05	0.07
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.29	0.28	23.08	23.08	-0.15	-0.15
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.26	0.24	42.86	42.86	-0.04	-0.03
Texas	B12	0.25	0.24	74.19	74.50	0.12	0.12
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.22	0.21	42.86	43.52	-0.03	-0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.21	0.20	56.67	56.67	0.03	0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.21	0.20	24.14	23.58	-0.11	-0.11
New Orleans	SB	0.21	0.20	21.43	21.43	-0.12	-0.11
Southern	SWAC	0.15	0.18	17.24	17.24	-0.10	-0.12
Houston	CUSA	0.19	0.18	48.28	49.55	-0.01	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.18	0.17	35.71	35.71	-0.05	-0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.18	0.17	72.41	72.41	0.08	0.08
Minnesota	B10	0.14	0.17	60.00	60.63	0.03	0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.18	0.17	70.00	70.12	0.07	0.07
Boise St.	WAC	0.17	0.17	46.67	45.45	-0.01	-0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.16	0.15	36.67	35.65	-0.04	-0.04
Seattle	ind	0.15	0.15	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.12	0.15	48.15	48.41	-0.00	-0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.15	0.14	31.03	31.03	-0.06	-0.05
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.15	0.14	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.15	0.14	46.43	47.08	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.15	0.14	76.67	76.67	0.08	0.07
Florida International	SB	0.15	0.14	19.35	19.35	-0.09	-0.08
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.14	0.14	34.38	34.38	-0.04	-0.04
Iowa	B10	0.14	0.13	32.26	31.88	-0.05	-0.05
Arkansas St.	SB	0.14	0.13	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.14	0.13	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.02
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.14	0.13	25.00	25.00	-0.07	-0.07
Michigan	B10	0.13	0.13	44.83	46.00	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.12	0.11	70.97	70.87	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.12	0.11	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.11	0.10	70.97	71.29	0.05	0.04
Arkansas	SEC	0.07	0.10	45.16	45.10	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.11	0.10	70.00	70.00	0.04	0.04
Montana	BSky	0.11	0.10	67.86	66.70	0.04	0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.11	0.10	27.59	27.32	-0.05	-0.05
Oklahoma	B12	0.11	0.10	43.33	42.79	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.11	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.10	58.06	56.87	0.02	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.10	86.67	86.67	0.08	0.07
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.10	0.10	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.08	0.08	24.14	24.14	-0.04	-0.04
Auburn	SEC	0.08	0.07	46.67	45.97	-0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.08	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.08	0.07	32.14	32.14	-0.03	-0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.07	93.55	93.55	0.07	0.06
Lipscomb	ASun	0.08	0.07	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.08	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.08	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.08	0.07	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.08	0.07	7.41	7.41	-0.07	-0.06
Western Illinois	Sum	0.08	0.07	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.07	53.33	53.61	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.08	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Drake	MVC	0.08	0.07	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.08	0.07	51.72	51.76	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.04	0.07	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.08	0.07	35.48	35.77	-0.02	-0.02
DePaul	BE	0.08	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.08	0.07	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.04	0.07	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.04
Longwood	ind	0.04	0.07	29.63	29.63	-0.02	-0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.08	0.07	37.93	36.75	-0.02	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.08	0.07	41.38	41.71	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.08	0.07	46.67	45.47	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.07	0.07	93.55	93.55	0.06	0.06
Nebraska	B12	0.07	0.07	45.16	44.13	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.01	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.07	48.39	47.38	-0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Idaho St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Kent St.	MAC	0.07	0.07	73.33	73.04	0.03	0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.07	0.07	71.43	71.43	0.03	0.03
Monmouth	NEC	0.07	0.07	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Montana St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.15	-0.03	-0.03
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.07	0.07	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.07	0.07	54.84	54.24	0.01	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.07	0.07	46.67	45.56	-0.00	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.63	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.07	0.07	80.65	80.65	0.04	0.04
Massachusetts	A10	0.07	0.06	36.67	35.84	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.07	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Creighton	MVC	0.07	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.07	0.06	30.00	30.00	-0.03	-0.03
Troy	SB	0.07	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.78	0.01	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.14	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.78	0.03	0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.04	0.04	6.45	6.45	-0.03	-0.03
California	P10	0.04	0.04	70.00	70.00	0.02	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.04	0.04	22.22	22.22	-0.02	-0.02
Furman	SC	0.04	0.04	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.04	0.04	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.04	0.04	20.00	19.78	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.04	0.04	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.04	0.04	44.83	44.75	-0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.04	0.04	80.00	80.35	0.02	0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.04	0.04	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.04	0.04	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.04	0.04	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.04	0.04	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.04	0.04	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.04	0.04	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.04	0.04	43.33	43.70	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.04	0.04	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.04	0.04	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.04	0.04	90.32	90.32	0.03	0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.04	0.04	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.04	0.04	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.04	0.04	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.04	0.04	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.04	0.04	87.50	87.50	0.03	0.03
Samford	SC	0.04	0.04	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.04	0.04	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Brigham Young	MWC	0.04	0.03	87.10	87.42	0.03	0.03
Idaho	WAC	0.04	0.03	46.43	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.04	0.03	62.07	62.73	0.01	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.04	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.43	0.00	0.00
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.54	-0.00	-0.00
Hartford	AE	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	79.31	79.31	0.02	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.49	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	72.73	73.10	0.02	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.77	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.80	0.00	-0.00
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.30	0.02	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.84	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.11	0.00	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.03	-0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.02	0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	4.83	4.70	69.57	70.52	1.89	1.93
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	4.84	4.74	62.50	61.85	1.21	1.12
Baylor	B12	2.00	1.92	78.57	78.57	1.14	1.10
Michigan St.	B10	2.00	1.92	76.67	76.67	1.07	1.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	2.77	4.57	68.00	68.00	1.00	1.65
North Texas	SB	2.11	2.02	72.41	72.41	0.94	0.91
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	2.80	2.82	58.33	58.52	0.47	0.48
South Dakota	GWC	0.44	0.42	64.00	64.00	0.12	0.12
Texas	B12	0.25	0.24	74.19	74.50	0.12	0.12
Texas A&M	B12	0.18	0.17	72.41	72.41	0.08	0.08
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.15	0.14	76.67	76.67	0.08	0.07
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.10	86.67	86.67	0.08	0.07
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.18	0.17	70.00	70.12	0.07	0.07
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.07	93.55	93.55	0.07	0.06
Kansas	B12	0.07	0.07	93.55	93.55	0.06	0.06
Murray St.	OVC	0.08	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.22	0.28	62.07	62.85	0.05	0.07
Memphis	CUSA	0.11	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.12	0.11	70.97	70.87	0.05	0.05
Arizona St.	P10	0.11	0.10	70.97	71.29	0.05	0.04
Mississippi	SEC	0.11	0.10	70.00	70.00	0.04	0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.07	0.07	80.65	80.65	0.04	0.04
Montana	BSky	0.11	0.10	67.86	66.70	0.04	0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.07	0.07	73.33	73.04	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.78	0.03	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.04	0.04	90.32	90.32	0.03	0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.07	0.07	71.43	71.43	0.03	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.14	0.17	60.00	60.63	0.03	0.04
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.21	0.20	56.67	56.67	0.03	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.04	0.04	87.50	87.50	0.03	0.03
Brigham Young	MWC	0.04	0.03	87.10	87.42	0.03	0.03
Denver	SB	0.14	0.13	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.04	0.04	80.00	80.35	0.02	0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.63	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.33	0.35	53.33	53.23	0.02	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	79.31	79.31	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.08	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.30	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.02	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.10	58.06	56.87	0.02	0.01
California	P10	0.04	0.04	70.00	70.00	0.02	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	72.73	73.10	0.02	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.08	0.07	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.08	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.15	0.15	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.78	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.49	0.01	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.04	0.04	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.12	0.11	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.04	0.04	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.04	0.04	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Troy	SB	0.07	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.04	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.84	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.04	0.03	62.07	62.73	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.08	0.07	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.07	0.07	54.84	54.24	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.07	53.33	53.61	0.01	0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.14	0.13	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.08	0.07	51.72	51.76	0.00	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.08	0.07	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.04	0.04	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.43	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.07	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.11	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.04	0.04	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.80	0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.04	0.04	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.07	48.39	47.38	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.54	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho	WAC	0.04	0.03	46.43	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
San Jose St.	WAC	0.04	0.04	44.83	44.75	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.12	0.15	48.15	48.41	-0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.07	0.07	46.67	45.56	-0.00	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.15	0.14	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.04	0.04	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.00
Utah	MWC	0.08	0.07	46.67	45.47	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.04	0.04	43.33	43.70	-0.01	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.08	0.07	46.67	45.97	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.07	0.07	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.04	0.04	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.19	0.18	48.28	49.55	-0.01	-0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.07	0.10	45.16	45.10	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.07	0.07	45.16	44.13	-0.01	-0.01