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Through games of Mar 12, 2017.


Eastern Washington

Conference:BSky
Expected RPI:148.0
Current RPI:148
Expected SOS:302
Current SOS:302
Current Record:20-11
Expected Record:20-11
Current Conf Record:14-6
Expected Conf Record:14-6
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:17-3
Current OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC RPI:124
Expected OOC SOS:136



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
20-11148.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Eastern Washington.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Northwestern (50.0)B10A86-72L0%0.0
11-17Texas (156.0)B12A85-52L0%0.0
11-21Bryant (285.0)NECH81-77W100%0.0
11-22Seattle (287.0)WACH80-76W100%0.0
11-26Denver (207.0)SumH85-80W100%0.0
11-27San Francisco (94.0)WCCH96-90W100%0.0
12-4Seattle (287.0)WACA88-93W100%0.0
12-13Morehead St. (200.0)OVCH88-86W100%0.0
12-18Northern Kentucky (87.0)HorzA70-48L0%0.0
12-20Xavier (37.0)BEA85-56L0%0.0
12-22Colorado (99.0)P12A76-68L0%0.0
12-30Idaho (209.0)BSkyA62-69W100%0.0
1-5Montana St. (253.0)BSkyH82-64W100%0.0
1-7Montana (221.0)BSkyH59-65L0%0.0
1-12Idaho St. (340.0)BSkyA85-92W100%0.0
1-14Weber St. (185.0)BSkyA70-67L0%0.0
1-19Northern Arizona (335.0)BSkyH84-62W100%0.0
1-21Southern Utah (341.0)BSkyH83-68W100%0.0
1-26Montana (221.0)BSkyA60-72W100%0.0
1-28Montana St. (253.0)BSkyA91-90L0%0.0
2-2Sacramento St. (293.0)BSkyH77-72W100%0.0
2-4Portland St. (268.0)BSkyH130-124W100%0.0
2-9North Dakota (144.0)BSkyA95-86L0%0.0
2-11Northern Colorado (286.0)BSkyA44-70W100%0.0
2-17Idaho (209.0)BSkyH77-67W100%0.0
2-23Weber St. (185.0)BSkyH82-72W100%0.0
2-25Idaho St. (340.0)BSkyH89-77W100%0.0
3-2Southern Utah (341.0)BSkyA75-91W100%0.0
3-4Northern Arizona (335.0)BSkyA76-61L0%0.0
3-9Sacramento St. (293.0)BSkyN89-70W100%0.0
3-10Weber St. (185.0)BSkyN72-80L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Eastern Washington's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Eastern Washington's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Eastern Washington.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
Eastern WashingtonBSky26.4326.4368.8068.809.949.94
Weber St.BSky5.685.6855.5655.560.630.63
Southern UtahBSky4.164.1613.7913.79-3.01-3.01
Sacramento St.BSky4.144.1440.7440.74-0.77-0.77
IdahoBSky4.134.1359.2659.260.770.77
MontanaBSky4.104.1050.0050.000.000.00
Montana St.BSky4.094.0946.4346.43-0.29-0.29
Idaho St.BSky4.074.0714.2914.29-2.91-2.91
Northern ArizonaBSky3.993.9924.1424.14-2.07-2.07
SeattleWAC3.303.3040.0040.00-0.66-0.66
North DakotaBSky2.642.6466.6766.670.880.88
Portland St.BSky2.552.5544.4444.44-0.28-0.28
Northern ColoradoBSky2.502.5034.6234.62-0.77-0.77
DenverSum1.781.7855.1755.170.180.18
ColoradoP121.781.7854.8454.840.170.17
San FranciscoWCC1.701.7063.3363.330.450.45
NorthwesternB101.661.6666.6766.670.550.55
TexasB121.661.6631.2531.25-0.62-0.62
Northern KentuckyHorz1.641.6467.7467.740.580.58
Morehead St.OVC1.641.6444.4444.44-0.18-0.18
XavierBE1.641.6460.6160.610.350.35
BryantNEC1.641.6436.6736.67-0.44-0.44
Utah ValleyWAC0.340.3442.8642.86-0.05-0.05
UC DavisBW0.300.3062.5062.500.080.08
Washington St.P120.290.2940.0040.00-0.06-0.06
South DakotaSum0.270.2764.5264.520.080.08
Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.230.2367.8667.860.080.08
PepperdineWCC0.210.2126.6726.67-0.10-0.10
BYUWCC0.210.2166.6766.670.070.07
South Dakota St.Sum0.190.1950.0050.000.000.00
StanfordP120.190.1943.3343.33-0.02-0.02
San Jose St.MWC0.180.1842.8642.86-0.03-0.03
MilwaukeeHorz0.180.1829.4129.41-0.07-0.07
WashingtonP120.160.1629.0329.03-0.07-0.07
Santa ClaraWCC0.160.1650.0050.000.000.00
UtahP120.150.1562.0762.070.040.04
UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.150.1524.1424.14-0.08-0.08
Chicago St.WAC0.140.1410.3410.34-0.11-0.11
Louisiana MonroeSB0.140.1422.5822.58-0.07-0.07
North Dakota St.Sum0.140.1460.7160.710.030.03
Notre DameACC0.130.1373.5373.530.060.06
Utah St.MWC0.130.1343.3343.33-0.02-0.02
Loyola MarymountWCC0.130.1348.2848.28-0.00-0.00
IUPUISum0.130.1340.0040.00-0.03-0.03
Illinois ChicagoHorz0.130.1341.9441.94-0.02-0.02
WyomingMWC0.130.1353.3353.330.010.01
Texas TechB120.130.1356.2556.250.020.02
ButlerBE0.120.1274.1974.190.060.06
Grand CanyonWAC0.120.1268.9768.970.050.05
New Mexico St.WAC0.120.1283.3383.330.080.08
UMKCWAC0.120.1246.6746.67-0.01-0.01
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.110.1134.4834.48-0.03-0.03
Jacksonville St.OVC0.110.1156.2556.250.010.01
Tennessee St.OVC0.110.1153.5753.570.010.01
Little RockSB0.110.1143.3343.33-0.01-0.01
PacificWCC0.110.1131.2531.25-0.04-0.04
Nebraska OmahaSum0.110.1154.8454.840.010.01
UC RiversideBW0.110.1122.2222.22-0.06-0.06
PortlandWCC0.110.1129.0329.03-0.04-0.04
Wright St.Horz0.100.1060.0060.000.020.02
BuffaloMAC0.100.1050.0050.000.000.00
Oral RobertsSum0.100.1021.4321.43-0.06-0.06
San DiegoWCC0.100.1040.0040.00-0.02-0.02
UNLVMWC0.100.1034.3834.38-0.03-0.03
NebraskaB100.100.1036.6736.67-0.03-0.03
OaklandHorz0.100.1073.3373.330.050.05
ValparaisoHorz0.100.1074.1974.190.050.05
WisconsinB100.100.1073.5373.530.050.05
OregonP120.100.1084.8584.850.070.07
West VirginiaB120.100.1076.4776.470.050.05
DePaulBE0.090.0928.1228.12-0.04-0.04
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.090.0920.0020.00-0.05-0.05
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.090.0918.5218.52-0.05-0.05
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.080.0821.8821.88-0.05-0.05
Sacred HeartNEC0.080.0840.6240.62-0.02-0.02
Abilene ChristianSlnd0.080.0836.0036.00-0.02-0.02
Cal St. FullertonBW0.080.0851.7251.720.000.00
IonaMAAC0.080.0864.7164.710.020.02
ArizonaP120.080.0888.2488.240.060.06
LamarSlnd0.080.0851.7251.720.000.00
OklahomaB120.080.0835.4835.48-0.02-0.02
GonzagaWCC0.080.0896.9796.970.070.07
St. Francis PANEC0.080.0848.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Northern IowaMVC0.080.0844.8344.83-0.01-0.01
PurdueB100.080.0878.1278.120.040.04
USCP120.080.0872.7372.730.030.03
Youngstown St.Horz0.080.0834.3834.38-0.02-0.02
IllinoisB100.070.0754.8454.840.010.01
BaylorB120.070.0777.4277.420.040.04
CreightonBE0.070.0772.7372.730.030.03
RutgersB100.070.0743.7543.75-0.01-0.01
UCFAmer0.060.0665.6265.620.020.02
BelmontOVC0.060.0677.7877.780.030.03
LipscombASun0.060.0656.6756.670.010.01
Murray St.OVC0.060.0645.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Tennessee TechOVC0.060.0633.3333.33-0.02-0.02
Northern IllinoisMAC0.060.0641.3841.38-0.01-0.01
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.060.0656.6756.670.010.01
Colorado St.MWC0.060.0665.6265.620.020.02
Arizona St.P120.050.0545.4545.45-0.00-0.00
Austin PeayOVC0.050.0532.1432.14-0.02-0.02
Eastern IllinoisOVC0.050.0544.4444.44-0.01-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.050.0541.9441.94-0.01-0.01
Boise St.MWC0.050.0562.0762.070.010.01
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.050.0535.7135.71-0.02-0.02
Central MichiganMAC0.050.0546.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Delaware St.MEAC0.050.0526.6726.67-0.03-0.03
Fort WayneSum0.050.0557.1457.140.010.01
James MadisonCAA0.050.0528.1228.12-0.02-0.02
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
New MexicoMWC0.050.0554.8454.840.010.01
NJITASun0.050.0531.0331.03-0.02-0.02
RiceCUSA0.050.0564.5264.520.020.02
Western IllinoisSum0.050.0523.0823.08-0.03-0.03
IowaB100.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
Air ForceMWC0.050.0532.2632.26-0.02-0.02
Alabama St.SWAC0.050.0523.3323.33-0.03-0.03
Ball St.MAC0.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
Central ConnecticutNEC0.050.0520.6920.69-0.03-0.03
Coastal CarolinaSB0.050.0545.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.050.0534.4834.48-0.02-0.02
LIU BrooklynNEC0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.050.0555.8855.880.010.01
Robert MorrisNEC0.050.0542.4242.42-0.01-0.01
Saint LouisA100.050.0536.3636.36-0.01-0.01
Saint Mary'sWCC0.050.0587.5087.500.040.04
St. Francis NYNEC0.050.0510.0010.00-0.04-0.04
UTEPCUSA0.050.0545.1645.16-0.01-0.01
WagnerNEC0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
CaliforniaP120.050.0563.6463.640.010.01
Cleveland St.Horz0.050.0526.6726.67-0.02-0.02
DetroitHorz0.050.0523.3323.33-0.03-0.03
Green BayHorz0.050.0555.1755.170.010.01
MississippiSEC0.050.0560.6160.610.010.01
North Carolina St.ACC0.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Oregon St.P120.050.0512.9012.90-0.04-0.04
Iowa St.B120.050.0569.7069.700.020.02
KansasB120.050.0587.5087.500.040.04
Kansas St.B120.050.0560.6160.610.010.01
Oklahoma St.B120.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
TCUB120.050.0554.5554.550.000.00
MichiganB100.050.0568.5768.570.020.02
GeorgetownBE0.050.0543.7543.75-0.01-0.01
IndianaB100.050.0554.5554.550.000.00
MarquetteBE0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
MarylandB100.050.0574.1974.190.020.02
ProvidenceBE0.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
Seton HallBE0.050.0565.6265.620.010.01
St. John'sBE0.050.0542.4242.42-0.01-0.01
VillanovaBE0.050.0591.1891.180.040.04
Wake ForestACC0.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
BucknellPat0.030.0376.4776.470.020.02
Central ArkansasSlnd0.030.0325.0025.00-0.01-0.01
East Tennessee St.SC0.030.0378.1278.120.020.02
EvansvilleMVC0.030.0345.1645.16-0.00-0.00
MarshallCUSA0.030.0355.8855.880.000.00
Mississippi St.SEC0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
North FloridaASun0.030.0336.6736.67-0.01-0.01
PittsburghACC0.030.0348.4848.48-0.00-0.00
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.030.0317.8617.86-0.02-0.02
Tennessee MartinOVC0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
JacksonvilleASun0.030.0346.4346.43-0.00-0.00
South AlabamaSB0.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Texas A&MSEC0.030.0351.6151.610.000.00
Alcorn St.SWAC0.030.0351.7251.720.000.00
BrownIvy0.030.0339.2939.29-0.01-0.01
DartmouthIvy0.030.0325.9325.93-0.01-0.01
HarvardIvy0.030.0361.5461.540.010.01
Illinois St.MVC0.030.0381.2581.250.020.02
NavyPat0.030.0348.3948.39-0.00-0.00
New HampshireAE0.030.0358.6258.620.000.00
OhioMAC0.030.0363.3363.330.010.01
San Diego St.MWC0.030.0356.2556.250.000.00
TroySB0.030.0358.8258.820.000.00
YaleIvy0.030.0360.7160.710.010.01
DelawareCAA0.030.0335.4835.48-0.01-0.01
Miami OHMAC0.030.0330.0030.00-0.01-0.01
Norfolk St.MEAC0.030.0348.3948.39-0.00-0.00
North Carolina CentralMEAC0.030.0373.3373.330.010.01
UCLAP120.030.0387.8887.880.020.02
WoffordSC0.030.0343.3343.33-0.00-0.00
AlabamaSEC0.020.0257.5857.580.000.00
ArkansasSEC0.020.0273.5373.530.010.01
GeorgiaSEC0.020.0256.2556.250.000.00
Incarnate WordSlnd0.020.0232.0032.00-0.01-0.01
Kent St.MAC0.020.0261.7661.760.010.01
Long Beach St.BW0.020.0240.6240.62-0.00-0.00
UABCUSA0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
UT ArlingtonSB0.020.0274.1974.190.010.01
CincinnatiAmer0.020.0285.2985.290.020.02
ClemsonACC0.020.0253.1253.120.000.00
DaytonA100.020.0276.6776.670.010.01
Houston BaptistSlnd0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
LehighPat0.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
Michigan St.B100.020.0257.5857.580.000.00
MinnesotaB100.020.0272.7372.730.010.01
MissouriSEC0.020.0225.0025.00-0.01-0.01
New OrleansSlnd0.020.0260.7160.710.010.01
Ohio St.B100.020.0253.1253.120.000.00
Penn St.B100.020.0245.4545.45-0.00-0.00