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Through games of Mar 15, 2015.


Eastern Washington

Conference:BSky
Expected RPI:74.0
Current RPI:74
Expected SOS:212
Current SOS:212
Current Record:23-8
Expected Record:23-8
Current Conf Record:17-4
Expected Conf Record:17-4
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:16-1
Current OOC Record:6-4
Expected OOC Record:6-4
Expected OOC RPI:41
Expected OOC SOS:62



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
23-874.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Eastern Washington.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Texas Southern (120.0)SWACH86-62W100%0.0
11-17Utah Valley (308.0)WACH75-50W100%0.0
11-22SMU (12.0)AmerA77-68L0%0.0
11-24Indiana (61.0)B10A86-88W100%0.0
11-26Northern Kentucky (265.0)ASunH81-60W100%0.0
12-6Seattle (280.0)WACA75-87W100%0.0
12-11San Francisco (181.0)WCCA76-81W100%0.0
12-14Washington (126.0)P12A81-77L0%0.0
12-16Sam Houston St. (82.0)SlndA76-52L0%0.0
12-19California (95.0)P12A78-67L0%0.0
1-1Weber St. (263.0)BSkyH84-78W100%0.0
1-3Idaho St. (343.0)BSkyH65-57W100%0.0
1-10Idaho (267.0)BSkyA86-89W100%0.0
1-15Portland St. (225.0)BSkyA85-92W100%0.0
1-17Sacramento St. (141.0)BSkyA90-77L0%0.0
1-22Northern Colorado (245.0)BSkyH95-85W100%0.0
1-24North Dakota (310.0)BSkyH102-80W100%0.0
1-31Idaho (267.0)BSkyH98-95W100%0.0
2-5Montana (144.0)BSkyA69-75W100%0.0
2-7Montana St. (325.0)BSkyA51-61W100%0.0
2-12Sacramento St. (141.0)BSkyH64-61W100%0.0
2-14Portland St. (225.0)BSkyH66-68L0%0.0
2-19Southern Utah (307.0)BSkyA75-78W100%0.0
2-21Northern Arizona (166.0)BSkyA73-69L0%0.0
2-26Montana St. (325.0)BSkyH92-68W100%0.0
2-28Montana (144.0)BSkyH76-77L0%0.0
3-5Idaho St. (343.0)BSkyA81-85W100%0.0
3-7Weber St. (263.0)BSkyA71-79W100%0.0
3-12Idaho (267.0)BSkyN91-83W100%0.0
3-13Sacramento St. (141.0)BSkyN91-83W100%0.0
3-14Montana (144.0)BSkyA65-69W100%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Eastern Washington's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Eastern Washington's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Eastern Washington.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
Eastern WashingtonBSky26.5926.5978.5278.5215.1715.17
MontanaBSky5.835.8362.9662.961.511.51
IdahoBSky5.805.8044.0044.00-0.70-0.70
Sacramento St.BSky5.755.7565.3865.381.771.77
Weber St.BSky4.204.2042.3142.31-0.65-0.65
Idaho St.BSky4.154.1519.2319.23-2.56-2.56
Portland St.BSky4.154.1548.0048.00-0.17-0.17
Montana St.BSky4.134.1322.2222.22-2.30-2.30
Northern ArizonaBSky2.632.6354.8454.840.250.25
Northern ColoradoBSky2.562.5648.1548.15-0.09-0.09
Southern UtahBSky2.552.5533.3333.33-0.85-0.85
North DakotaBSky2.542.5422.2222.22-1.41-1.41
Utah ValleyWAC2.092.0933.3333.33-0.70-0.70
SeattleWAC1.861.8650.0050.000.000.00
Northern KentuckyASun1.791.7940.7440.74-0.33-0.33
San FranciscoWCC1.751.7543.3343.33-0.23-0.23
CaliforniaP121.751.7553.1253.120.110.11
WashingtonP121.691.6950.0050.000.000.00
Texas SouthernSWAC1.661.6666.6766.670.550.55
IndianaB101.661.6662.5062.500.420.42
SMUAmer1.661.6680.6580.651.021.02
Sam Houston St.Slnd1.611.6171.4371.430.690.69
Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.280.2836.6736.67-0.08-0.08
Washington St.P120.270.2741.9441.94-0.04-0.04
South Dakota St.Sum0.260.2667.7467.740.090.09
Grand CanyonWAC0.250.2551.7251.720.010.01
PortlandWCC0.250.2550.0050.000.000.00
GonzagaWCC0.210.2193.9493.940.180.18
Boise St.MWC0.200.2074.1974.190.090.09
New Mexico St.WAC0.190.1967.7467.740.070.07
South DakotaSum0.190.1948.3948.39-0.01-0.01
WyomingMWC0.190.1971.8871.880.080.08
UC DavisBW0.170.1779.3179.310.100.10
Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.170.1725.0025.00-0.08-0.08
North Dakota St.Sum0.170.1770.0070.000.070.07
PacificWCC0.160.1632.1432.14-0.06-0.06
Utah St.MWC0.140.1456.6756.670.020.02
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.140.1422.5822.58-0.08-0.08
UC RiversideBW0.140.1441.3841.38-0.02-0.02
Chicago St.WAC0.140.1417.2417.24-0.09-0.09
UMKCWAC0.140.1438.7138.71-0.03-0.03
Abilene ChristianSlnd0.140.1425.0025.00-0.07-0.07
OregonP120.140.1472.7372.730.060.06
USCP120.130.1337.5037.50-0.03-0.03
ColoradoP120.130.1346.8846.88-0.01-0.01
UCLAP120.130.1360.6160.610.030.03
LamarSlnd0.130.1342.3142.31-0.02-0.02
ArizonaP120.130.1391.1891.180.110.11
StanfordP120.130.1359.3859.380.020.02
UT ArlingtonSB0.110.1150.0050.000.000.00
Cal St. FullertonBW0.110.1124.1424.14-0.06-0.06
BYUWCC0.110.1171.8871.880.050.05
Colorado St.MWC0.110.1181.2581.250.070.07
UtahP120.110.1174.1974.190.050.05
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.100.1043.7543.75-0.01-0.01
SouthernSWAC0.100.1046.8846.88-0.01-0.01
Alcorn St.SWAC0.100.1016.6716.67-0.06-0.06
LipscombASun0.090.0939.2939.29-0.02-0.02
Northern IllinoisMAC0.090.0944.8344.83-0.01-0.01
StetsonASun0.090.0921.4321.43-0.05-0.05
Western IllinoisSum0.090.0923.0823.08-0.05-0.05
LSUSEC0.090.0968.7568.750.030.03
Nebraska OmahaSum0.090.0939.2939.29-0.02-0.02
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.080.0865.5265.520.030.03
OklahomaB120.080.0868.7568.750.030.03
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.080.0886.6786.670.060.06
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.080.0856.6756.670.010.01
UC IrvineBW0.080.0861.2961.290.020.02
Kennesaw St.ASun0.080.0826.6726.67-0.04-0.04
NevadaMWC0.080.0824.1424.14-0.04-0.04
Houston BaptistSlnd0.080.0833.3333.33-0.03-0.03
MinnesotaB100.080.0853.1253.120.010.01
South Carolina St.MEAC0.080.0829.0329.03-0.03-0.03
DavidsonA100.080.0876.6776.670.040.04
MilwaukeeHorz0.080.0842.8642.86-0.01-0.01
NorthwesternB100.080.0846.8846.88-0.00-0.00
WisconsinB100.080.0891.1891.180.060.06
Loyola MarymountWCC0.080.0823.3323.33-0.04-0.04
Saint Mary'sWCC0.080.0868.9768.970.030.03
Oregon St.P120.080.0853.3353.330.010.01
Alabama St.SWAC0.080.0862.9662.960.020.02
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.080.0837.5037.50-0.02-0.02
ConnecticutAmer0.080.0858.8258.820.010.01
TempleAmer0.080.0869.7069.700.030.03
Arizona St.P120.070.0753.1253.120.000.00
Grambling St.SWAC0.070.070.000.00-0.07-0.07
MarylandB100.070.0781.8281.820.050.05
Michigan St.B100.070.0767.6567.650.030.03
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.070.0718.7518.75-0.04-0.04
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.060.0638.4638.46-0.01-0.01
DenverSum0.060.0640.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Illinois St.MVC0.060.0662.5062.500.010.01
JacksonvilleASun0.060.0624.1424.14-0.03-0.03
New MexicoMWC0.060.0648.3948.39-0.00-0.00
North FloridaASun0.060.0664.5264.520.020.02
Oral RobertsSum0.060.0653.3353.330.000.00
USC UpstateASun0.060.0663.3363.330.020.02
UNLVMWC0.060.0653.1253.120.000.00
Central ArkansasSlnd0.060.066.906.90-0.05-0.05
KentuckySEC0.060.06100.00100.000.060.06
ArkansasSEC0.050.0576.4776.470.030.03
ToledoMAC0.050.0560.6160.610.010.01
UTSACUSA0.050.0542.8642.86-0.01-0.01
San Jose St.MWC0.050.050.000.00-0.05-0.05
NebraskaB100.050.0541.9441.94-0.01-0.01
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.050.0556.6756.670.010.01
Kansas St.B120.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
New OrleansSlnd0.050.0530.7730.77-0.02-0.02
PepperdineWCC0.050.0556.6756.670.010.01
San DiegoWCC0.050.0546.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Santa ClaraWCC0.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
TulaneAmer0.050.0546.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Cal PolyBW0.050.0540.7440.74-0.01-0.01
CincinnatiAmer0.050.0568.7568.750.020.02
East CarolinaAmer0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
HoustonAmer0.050.0540.6240.62-0.01-0.01
MemphisAmer0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
South FloridaAmer0.050.0525.8125.81-0.02-0.02
TulsaAmer0.050.0570.9770.970.020.02
UCFAmer0.050.0537.9337.93-0.01-0.01
Fresno St.MWC0.050.0543.3343.33-0.01-0.01
MichiganB100.050.0548.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Norfolk St.MEAC0.050.0558.0658.060.010.01
Ohio St.B100.050.0569.7069.700.020.02
PurdueB100.050.0563.6463.640.010.01
RutgersB100.050.0531.2531.25-0.02-0.02
Alabama A&MSWAC0.050.0528.5728.57-0.02-0.02
Jackson St.SWAC0.050.0534.3834.38-0.01-0.01
ChattanoogaSC0.030.0366.6766.670.010.01
DrakeMVC0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.030.0360.7160.710.010.01
Florida A&MMEAC0.030.036.906.90-0.02-0.02
Jacksonville St.OVC0.030.0334.4834.48-0.01-0.01
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.030.0356.6756.670.000.00
MarquetteBE0.030.0340.6240.62-0.01-0.01
Miami OHMAC0.030.0338.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Morehead St.OVC0.030.0346.8846.88-0.00-0.00
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.030.0323.3323.33-0.02-0.02
Northern IowaMVC0.030.0390.9190.910.020.02
Tennessee MartinOVC0.030.0357.1457.140.000.00
West VirginiaB120.030.0371.8871.880.010.01
Youngstown St.Horz0.030.0327.5927.59-0.01-0.01
FairfieldMAAC0.030.0322.5822.58-0.02-0.02
Incarnate WordSlnd0.030.0358.3358.330.000.00
McNeese St.Slnd0.030.0340.7440.74-0.01-0.01
Nicholls St.Slnd0.030.0326.9226.92-0.01-0.01
Northwestern St.Slnd0.030.0355.5655.560.000.00
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.030.0325.8125.81-0.01-0.01
Texas A&MSEC0.030.0364.5264.520.010.01
Texas St.SB0.030.0339.2939.29-0.01-0.01
WoffordSC0.030.0381.2581.250.020.02
Cleveland St.Horz0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
EvansvilleMVC0.030.0360.0060.000.010.01
HawaiiBW0.030.0360.6160.610.010.01
Long Beach St.BW0.030.0345.1645.16-0.00-0.00
San Diego St.MWC0.030.0375.7675.760.010.01
Stony BrookAE0.030.0365.6265.620.010.01
UTEPCUSA0.030.0368.7568.750.010.01
HamptonMEAC0.030.0348.4848.48-0.00-0.00
Illinois ChicagoHorz0.030.0325.0025.00-0.01-0.01
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.030.0352.9452.940.000.00
MississippiSEC0.030.0362.5062.500.010.01
MonmouthMAAC0.030.0354.5554.550.000.00
North Carolina CentralMEAC0.030.0375.8675.860.010.01
XavierBE0.030.0361.7661.760.010.01
ButlerBE0.020.0268.7568.750.010.01
GeorgetownBE0.020.0267.7467.740.010.01
IllinoisB100.020.0259.3859.380.000.00
IowaB100.020.0265.6265.620.010.01
LouisvilleACC0.020.0275.0075.000.010.01
Penn St.B100.020.0252.9452.940.000.00
PittsburghACC0.020.0256.2556.250.000.00
PrincetonIvy0.020.0251.7251.720.000.00
Savannah St.MEAC0.020.0224.1424.14-0.01-0.01
SyracuseACC0.020.0258.0658.060.000.00
TexasB120.020.0260.6160.610.010.01
UNC GreensboroSC0.020.0226.6726.67-0.01-0.01
AuburnSEC0.020.0241.1841.18-0.00-0.00
BaylorB120.020.0271.8871.880.010.01
FloridaSEC0.020.0248.4848.48-0.00-0.00
TennesseeSEC0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00