The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Loyola Marymount page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Loyola Marymount

Conference:		WCC
Expected RPI:		205.0
Current RPI:		209
Expected SOS:		180
Current SOS:		221
Current Record:		11-12
Expected Record:		13-16
Current Conf Record:		3-5
Expected Conf Record:		5-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-6
Current OOC Record:		8-7
Expected OOC Record:		8-7
Expected OOC RPI:		173
Expected OOC SOS:		239

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
17-12	132.0	0.03%
16-13	155.9	0.82%
15-14	172.0	6.00%
14-15	187.6	20.23%
13-16	203.0	35.26%
12-17	219.1	28.87%
11-18	234.8	8.78%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Loyola Marymount.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Boise St. (214.0)	WAC	N	87-90	L	0%	0.0
11-14	North Dakota (331.1)	GWC	N	83-60	W	100%	0.0
11-15	Montana (102.5)	BSky	A	63-64	L	0%	0.0
11-18	UC Irvine (277.0)	BW	H	78-84	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Southern California (81.0)	P10	A	67-59	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Tulsa (63.1)	CUSA	A	65-79	L	0%	0.0
11-28	UC Santa Barbara (144.6)	BW	H	84-89	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Wyoming (206.5)	MWC	A	70-76	L	0%	0.0
12-10	Montana (102.5)	BSky	H	73-82	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Notre Dame (75.1)	BE	A	87-85	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Cal St. Bakersfield (322.0)	ind	H	84-71	W	100%	0.0
12-21	Long Beach St. (139.7)	BW	H	85-80	W	100%	0.0
12-27	Sacramento St. (287.6)	BSky	A	82-78	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Seattle (222.4)	ind	H	104-89	W	100%	0.0
1-3	Cal St. Bakersfield (322.0)	ind	A	81-73	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Pepperdine (283.4)	WCC	A	75-79	L	0%	0.0
1-14	San Francisco (222.5)	WCC	H	67-70	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Santa Clara (220.8)	WCC	H	81-70	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Portland (84.3)	WCC	A	39-79	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Gonzaga (35.5)	WCC	A	69-85	L	0%	0.0
1-28	San Diego (225.4)	WCC	H	68-65	W	100%	0.0
1-30	St. Mary's (42.1)	WCC	H	67-85	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Pepperdine (283.4)	WCC	H	77-61	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Santa Clara (220.8)	WCC	A	0-0		48%	-0.6
2-13	San Francisco (222.5)	WCC	A	0-0		46%	-1.1
2-18	Gonzaga (35.5)	WCC	H	0-0		19%	-9.8
2-20	Portland (84.3)	WCC	H	0-0		32%	-5.2
2-25	San Diego (225.4)	WCC	A	0-0		38%	-3.2
2-27	St. Mary's (42.1)	WCC	A	0-0		5%	-18.2

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Loyola Marymount's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Loyola Marymount's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Loyola Marymount.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Loyola Marymount	WCC	26.43	26.44	46.79	44.85	-1.70	-2.72
Pepperdine	WCC	4.79	4.27	25.00	23.41	-2.39	-2.27
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	4.54	3.75	25.00	22.99	-2.27	-2.02
Montana	BSky	4.50	3.57	65.00	67.88	1.35	1.28
Santa Clara	WCC	2.76	4.28	34.78	34.87	-0.84	-1.29
San Francisco	WCC	2.76	4.27	28.57	28.74	-1.18	-1.82
UC Irvine	BW	2.67	2.06	33.33	37.94	-0.89	-0.50
San Diego	WCC	2.66	4.22	34.78	33.62	-0.81	-1.38
St. Mary's	WCC	2.66	4.21	86.36	83.62	1.93	2.83
Portland	WCC	2.60	4.21	60.00	64.21	0.52	1.20
Gonzaga	WCC	2.56	4.25	80.95	83.08	1.59	2.81
Long Beach St.	BW	2.47	1.94	45.00	47.35	-0.25	-0.10
Boise St.	WAC	2.43	1.97	42.86	44.08	-0.35	-0.23
UC Santa Barbara	BW	2.37	1.97	57.89	58.02	0.37	0.32
Sacramento St.	BSky	2.37	1.94	31.82	30.08	-0.86	-0.77
Seattle	ind	2.32	1.94	47.83	50.50	-0.10	0.02
North Dakota	GWC	2.32	1.82	16.67	28.91	-1.55	-0.77
Wyoming	MWC	2.32	1.81	30.00	28.15	-0.93	-0.79
Southern California	P10	2.27	1.82	63.64	61.67	0.62	0.42
Notre Dame	BE	2.23	1.75	73.91	65.51	1.06	0.54
Tulsa	CUSA	2.17	1.72	76.19	69.92	1.14	0.69
Cal Poly	BW	0.59	0.52	36.36	36.06	-0.16	-0.15
UC Riverside	BW	0.55	0.43	33.33	36.45	-0.18	-0.12
Pacific	BW	0.54	0.58	68.18	68.10	0.20	0.21
Portland St.	BSky	0.49	0.47	38.10	39.65	-0.12	-0.10
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.43	0.40	18.18	19.18	-0.28	-0.25
Idaho St.	BSky	0.43	0.34	19.05	24.00	-0.27	-0.18
Fresno St.	WAC	0.43	0.42	47.83	48.98	-0.02	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.40	0.31	45.00	48.63	-0.04	-0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.40	0.38	47.62	48.65	-0.02	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.40	0.36	39.13	43.30	-0.09	-0.05
UCLA	P10	0.39	0.30	47.83	43.79	-0.02	-0.04
Weber St.	BSky	0.39	0.26	61.90	65.04	0.09	0.08
San Jose St.	WAC	0.39	0.39	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.35	0.26	79.17	78.03	0.21	0.14
UC Davis	BW	0.30	0.30	35.00	33.21	-0.09	-0.10
Utah Valley	GWC	0.30	0.24	36.84	39.02	-0.08	-0.05
Idaho	WAC	0.29	0.30	45.00	48.32	-0.03	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.29	0.28	69.57	68.86	0.11	0.11
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.29	0.25	45.00	45.40	-0.03	-0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.25	0.19	59.09	52.85	0.05	0.01
Denver	SB	0.25	0.19	60.87	59.58	0.05	0.04
Utah St.	WAC	0.25	0.21	73.91	76.66	0.12	0.11
Oregon	P10	0.25	0.25	54.55	48.81	0.02	-0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.24	0.28	66.67	67.74	0.08	0.10
Cincinnati	BE	0.24	0.17	60.87	55.54	0.05	0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.24	0.18	45.45	40.28	-0.02	-0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.20	0.18	22.73	24.05	-0.11	-0.09
Utah	MWC	0.20	0.15	45.45	44.32	-0.02	-0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.20	0.18	61.90	56.37	0.05	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.19	0.18	65.22	62.18	0.06	0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.17	0.09	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.15	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.05
Nevada	WAC	0.15	0.15	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.15	0.09	31.82	42.24	-0.05	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.15	0.09	41.67	42.69	-0.03	-0.01
California	P10	0.15	0.09	65.22	68.42	0.05	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.15	0.12	86.36	82.20	0.11	0.08
Texas	B12	0.15	0.09	82.61	78.76	0.10	0.05
Colorado	B12	0.15	0.15	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.03
Hawaii	WAC	0.15	0.15	36.36	33.80	-0.04	-0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.14	0.15	81.82	80.91	0.09	0.09
Central Florida	CUSA	0.14	0.09	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.14	0.12	31.82	30.34	-0.05	-0.05
Washington St.	P10	0.14	0.18	63.64	58.79	0.04	0.03
Stanford	P10	0.14	0.12	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.11	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.09	0.05
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.11	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.11	0.09	42.86	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.10	0.13	87.50	87.42	0.08	0.09
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.12	82.61	82.33	0.07	0.08
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.02
Longwood	ind	0.10	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.05	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.10	0.09	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.12	87.50	83.52	0.07	0.08
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.09	0.09	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.12	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.09	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.09	0.12	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.12	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.09	0.09	73.68	75.41	0.04	0.04
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.09	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.06	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.05	-0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.03	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.04
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.06	35.00	30.59	-0.02	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Army	Pat	0.05	0.06	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.09	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.05
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.12	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.03
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.06	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.03
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.06	35.00	38.23	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.03	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.03	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.04	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.00	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.00	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.00	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.00	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.00	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.00	0.03	4.17	4.73	-0.00	-0.03
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.00	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.00	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.00	-0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.00	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.00	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Loyola Marymount	WCC	26.43	26.44	46.79	44.85	-1.70	-2.72
Santa Clara	WCC	2.76	4.28	34.78	34.87	-0.84	-1.29
Pepperdine	WCC	4.79	4.27	25.00	23.41	-2.39	-2.27
San Francisco	WCC	2.76	4.27	28.57	28.74	-1.18	-1.82
Gonzaga	WCC	2.56	4.25	80.95	83.08	1.59	2.81
San Diego	WCC	2.66	4.22	34.78	33.62	-0.81	-1.38
St. Mary's	WCC	2.66	4.21	86.36	83.62	1.93	2.83
Portland	WCC	2.60	4.21	60.00	64.21	0.52	1.20
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	4.54	3.75	25.00	22.99	-2.27	-2.02
Montana	BSky	4.50	3.57	65.00	67.88	1.35	1.28
UC Irvine	BW	2.67	2.06	33.33	37.94	-0.89	-0.50
Boise St.	WAC	2.43	1.97	42.86	44.08	-0.35	-0.23
UC Santa Barbara	BW	2.37	1.97	57.89	58.02	0.37	0.32
Sacramento St.	BSky	2.37	1.94	31.82	30.08	-0.86	-0.77
Long Beach St.	BW	2.47	1.94	45.00	47.35	-0.25	-0.10
Seattle	ind	2.32	1.94	47.83	50.50	-0.10	0.02
North Dakota	GWC	2.32	1.82	16.67	28.91	-1.55	-0.77
Southern California	P10	2.27	1.82	63.64	61.67	0.62	0.42
Wyoming	MWC	2.32	1.81	30.00	28.15	-0.93	-0.79
Notre Dame	BE	2.23	1.75	73.91	65.51	1.06	0.54
Tulsa	CUSA	2.17	1.72	76.19	69.92	1.14	0.69
Pacific	BW	0.54	0.58	68.18	68.10	0.20	0.21
Cal Poly	BW	0.59	0.52	36.36	36.06	-0.16	-0.15
Portland St.	BSky	0.49	0.47	38.10	39.65	-0.12	-0.10
UC Riverside	BW	0.55	0.43	33.33	36.45	-0.18	-0.12
Fresno St.	WAC	0.43	0.42	47.83	48.98	-0.02	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.43	0.40	18.18	19.18	-0.28	-0.25
San Jose St.	WAC	0.39	0.39	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.40	0.38	47.62	48.65	-0.02	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.40	0.36	39.13	43.30	-0.09	-0.05
Idaho St.	BSky	0.43	0.34	19.05	24.00	-0.27	-0.18
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.40	0.31	45.00	48.63	-0.04	-0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.30	0.30	35.00	33.21	-0.09	-0.10
Idaho	WAC	0.29	0.30	45.00	48.32	-0.03	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.39	0.30	47.83	43.79	-0.02	-0.04
Washington	P10	0.29	0.28	69.57	68.86	0.11	0.11
San Diego St.	MWC	0.24	0.28	66.67	67.74	0.08	0.10
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.35	0.26	79.17	78.03	0.21	0.14
Weber St.	BSky	0.39	0.26	61.90	65.04	0.09	0.08
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.29	0.25	45.00	45.40	-0.03	-0.02
Oregon	P10	0.25	0.25	54.55	48.81	0.02	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.30	0.24	36.84	39.02	-0.08	-0.05
Utah St.	WAC	0.25	0.21	73.91	76.66	0.12	0.11
Colorado St.	MWC	0.25	0.19	59.09	52.85	0.05	0.01
Denver	SB	0.25	0.19	60.87	59.58	0.05	0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.20	0.18	22.73	24.05	-0.11	-0.09
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.20	0.18	61.90	56.37	0.05	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.19	0.18	65.22	62.18	0.06	0.04
Washington St.	P10	0.14	0.18	63.64	58.79	0.04	0.03
Oregon St.	P10	0.24	0.18	45.45	40.28	-0.02	-0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.24	0.17	60.87	55.54	0.05	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.15	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.05
Colorado	B12	0.15	0.15	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.03
Utah	MWC	0.20	0.15	45.45	44.32	-0.02	-0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.15	0.15	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.14	0.15	81.82	80.91	0.09	0.09
Hawaii	WAC	0.15	0.15	36.36	33.80	-0.04	-0.05
Brigham Young	MWC	0.10	0.13	87.50	87.42	0.08	0.09
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.09	0.12	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.15	0.12	86.36	82.20	0.11	0.08
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.12	87.50	83.52	0.07	0.08
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.12	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.12	82.61	82.33	0.07	0.08
Rice	CUSA	0.14	0.12	31.82	30.34	-0.05	-0.05
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.12	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.12	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.05
Stanford	P10	0.14	0.12	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.17	0.09	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.09	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.05
Hampton	MEAC	0.15	0.09	31.82	42.24	-0.05	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.15	0.09	41.67	42.69	-0.03	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.11	0.09	42.86	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
California	P10	0.15	0.09	65.22	68.42	0.05	0.03
Texas	B12	0.15	0.09	82.61	78.76	0.10	0.05
Houston	CUSA	0.09	0.09	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.10	0.09	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.09	0.09	73.68	75.41	0.04	0.04
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.09	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.03
Central Florida	CUSA	0.14	0.09	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.05	0.06	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.00	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.00	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.05	-0.05
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.11	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.09	0.05
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.11	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.06	35.00	30.59	-0.02	-0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.03
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.03
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Longwood	ind	0.10	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.05	-0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.06	35.00	38.23	-0.01	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.03
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.06	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.09	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.06	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.03	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.00	0.03	4.17	4.73	-0.00	-0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.00	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.00	-0.02
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.00	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.00	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.00	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.00	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.00	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.03	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.00	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.03	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.00	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.04	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
St. Mary's	WCC	2.66	4.21	86.36	83.62	1.93	2.83
Gonzaga	WCC	2.56	4.25	80.95	83.08	1.59	2.81
Montana	BSky	4.50	3.57	65.00	67.88	1.35	1.28
Tulsa	CUSA	2.17	1.72	76.19	69.92	1.14	0.69
Notre Dame	BE	2.23	1.75	73.91	65.51	1.06	0.54
Southern California	P10	2.27	1.82	63.64	61.67	0.62	0.42
Portland	WCC	2.60	4.21	60.00	64.21	0.52	1.20
UC Santa Barbara	BW	2.37	1.97	57.89	58.02	0.37	0.32
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.35	0.26	79.17	78.03	0.21	0.14
Pacific	BW	0.54	0.58	68.18	68.10	0.20	0.21
Utah St.	WAC	0.25	0.21	73.91	76.66	0.12	0.11
Washington	P10	0.29	0.28	69.57	68.86	0.11	0.11
West Virginia	BE	0.15	0.12	86.36	82.20	0.11	0.08
Texas	B12	0.15	0.09	82.61	78.76	0.10	0.05
Weber St.	BSky	0.39	0.26	61.90	65.04	0.09	0.08
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.14	0.15	81.82	80.91	0.09	0.09
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.11	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.09	0.05
San Diego St.	MWC	0.24	0.28	66.67	67.74	0.08	0.10
Brigham Young	MWC	0.10	0.13	87.50	87.42	0.08	0.09
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.12	87.50	83.52	0.07	0.08
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.12	82.61	82.33	0.07	0.08
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.03
South Florida	BE	0.19	0.18	65.22	62.18	0.06	0.04
Denver	SB	0.25	0.19	60.87	59.58	0.05	0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.24	0.17	60.87	55.54	0.05	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.15	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.20	0.18	61.90	56.37	0.05	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.25	0.19	59.09	52.85	0.05	0.01
California	P10	0.15	0.09	65.22	68.42	0.05	0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.09	0.09	73.68	75.41	0.04	0.04
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.04	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.14	0.18	63.64	58.79	0.04	0.03
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.09	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.12	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.04
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.09	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.03
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.03	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.11	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.25	0.25	54.55	48.81	0.02	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.15	0.15	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.12	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.12	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.10	0.09	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.09	0.12	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Army	Pat	0.05	0.06	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.00	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.00	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.00	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.00	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.00	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.00	0.03	4.17	4.73	-0.00	-0.03
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.00	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.00	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.00	-0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.00	0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.39	0.39	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.00	0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.17	0.09	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.00	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00