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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Virginia Commonwealth

Conference:CAA
Expected RPI:38.0
Current RPI:38
Expected SOS:154
Current Record:28-6
Expected Record:28-6
Current Conf Record:18-3
Expected Conf Record:18-3
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:6-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:11-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-0
Current OOC Record:10-3
Expected OOC Record:10-3
Expected OOC RPI:54
Expected OOC SOS:147


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
28-682.35%38.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Virginia Commonwealth.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11St. Francis PA (312.0)NECH63-57W100%0.0
11-17Seton Hall (68.0)BEN69-54L0%0.0
11-18Georgia Tech (197.0)ACCN60-73L0%0.0
11-20Western Kentucky (189.0)SBN69-64W100%0.0
11-23Western Kentucky (189.0)SBA45-68W100%0.0
11-27Alabama (36.0)SECA72-64L0%0.0
11-30South Florida (52.0)BEH69-46W100%0.0
12-4George Washington (188.0)A10N60-75W100%0.0
12-9Richmond (127.0)A10H73-51W100%0.0
12-17NC Wilmington (214.0)CAAH87-64W100%0.0
12-20UAB (112.0)CUSAH68-49W100%0.0
12-22NC Greensboro (231.0)SCA68-80W100%0.0
12-29Akron (55.0)MACA75-76W100%0.0
1-2Hofstra (263.0)CAAA63-80W100%0.0
1-4Georgia St. (141.0)CAAH53-55L0%0.0
1-8Drexel (64.0)CAAA64-58L0%0.0
1-12James Madison (261.0)CAAH65-45W100%0.0
1-14Delaware (153.0)CAAA55-68W100%0.0
1-19William & Mary (299.0)CAAH69-68W100%0.0
1-21Old Dominion (103.0)CAAH61-48W100%0.0
1-23Hofstra (263.0)CAAH61-49W100%0.0
1-25Towson (311.0)CAAA42-67W100%0.0
1-28Georgia St. (141.0)CAAA58-59W100%0.0
2-1William & Mary (299.0)CAAA78-87W100%0.0
2-4Northeastern (172.0)CAAH59-56W100%0.0
2-8Towson (311.0)CAAH66-43W100%0.0
2-11Old Dominion (103.0)CAAA64-68W100%0.0
2-14George Mason (82.0)CAAA62-61L0%0.0
2-17Northern Iowa (73.0)MVCH77-68W100%0.0
2-22NC Wilmington (214.0)CAAA59-63W100%0.0
2-25George Mason (82.0)CAAH89-77W100%0.0
3-3Northeastern (172.0)CAAN75-65W100%0.0
3-4George Mason (82.0)CAAN74-64W100%0.0
3-5Drexel (64.0)CAAN59-56W100%0.0