Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Virginia Commonwealth   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Virginia Commonwealth

Conference:CAA
Expected RPI:65.0
Current RPI:65
Expected SOS:135
Current Record:22-9
Expected Record:22-9
Current Conf Record:13-8
Expected Conf Record:13-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-1
Current OOC Record:9-1
Expected OOC Record:9-1
Expected OOC RPI:15
Expected OOC SOS:83


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
22-970.97%65.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Virginia Commonwealth.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Bethune Cookman (258.8)MEACH77-51W100%0.0
11-18Western Michigan (149.7)MACA67-83L0%0.0
11-21Oklahoma (117.9)B12H82-69W100%0.0
11-23Hampton (283.5)MEACA63-52W100%0.0
11-27Nevada (72.9)WACH85-76W100%0.0
12-2Rhode Island (37.1)A10H82-80W100%0.0
12-5William & Mary (57.0)CAAA74-75L0%0.0
12-12Richmond (28.0)A10H65-57W100%0.0
12-19Tulane (281.1)CUSAA78-77W100%0.0
12-29East Carolina (230.2)CUSAH82-74W100%0.0
1-2NC Wilmington (237.0)CAAH91-57W100%0.0
1-4Northeastern (74.0)CAAH57-62L0%0.0
1-6Drexel (147.2)CAAA72-75L0%0.0
1-9Delaware (238.8)CAAH77-64W100%0.0
1-12Hofstra (145.0)CAAA81-68W100%0.0
1-16Georgia St. (248.0)CAAA82-69W100%0.0
1-20William & Mary (57.0)CAAH81-59W100%0.0
1-23Northeastern (74.0)CAAA62-74L0%0.0
1-27Towson (264.6)CAAH112-53W100%0.0
1-30Georgia St. (248.0)CAAH78-62W100%0.0
2-3NC Wilmington (237.0)CAAA73-60W100%0.0
2-6Old Dominion (26.9)CAAH70-58W100%0.0
2-9George Mason (158.1)CAAA77-82L0%0.0
2-13James Madison (241.9)CAAA71-76L0%0.0
2-16Drexel (147.2)CAAH73-54W100%0.0
2-20Akron (84.2)MACH70-53W100%0.0
2-24James Madison (241.9)CAAH76-62W100%0.0
2-27Old Dominion (26.9)CAAA70-73L0%0.0
3-5Delaware (238.8)CAAN66-49W100%0.0
3-6George Mason (158.1)CAAN75-60W100%0.0
3-7Old Dominion (26.9)CAAN69-73L0%0.0